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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5622

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
GGTeMpLaR
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States7226 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-17 15:48:57
October 17 2016 15:48 GMT
#112421
Honestly can't see a world where a "Trump channel" ends up being even remotely successful

edit - UNLESS it's on twitch.tv lol (full respect to Trump the gamer)
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
October 17 2016 15:48 GMT
#112422
It's worth noting that state-run media and media run by the head of state's family and news executives from his campaign are kind of an apples and oranges comparison.
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-17 15:53:03
October 17 2016 15:49 GMT
#112423
On October 18 2016 00:41 Nevuk wrote:



Really enjoyed that bit. Especially after having just read:

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/grading-the-presidential-candidates-on-science/

Which basically tells you everything you need to know about how qualified the different candidates are.

One choice best bit keeping in mind these are **prepared statements** and not on the spot questions (full article provides the statements as well as the grading summaries):


There is growing concern over the decline of fisheries and the overall health of the ocean: scientists estimate that 90% of stocks are fished at or beyond sustainable limits, habitats like coral reefs are threatened by ocean acidification, and large areas of ocean and coastlines are polluted. What efforts would your administration make to improve the health of our ocean and coastlines and increase the long-term sustainability of ocean fisheries?

...

Trump does not mention the ocean, fish, fisheries, coral reefs or coastlines in his answer. Grade: 0/5

...

Johnson favors taking "reasonable steps to protect coastlines and territorial waters," but he does not define what "reasonable" means. Global efforts, he says, should focus on "international agreements and allowing consumer-driven market forces to reduce over-harvesting and ocean pollution," completely ignoring the extent to which market forces have fueled the problem in the first place. Grade: 0/5
Logo
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 17 2016 15:49 GMT
#112424
On October 18 2016 00:43 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2016 00:32 Doodsmack wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:03 Dan HH wrote:


Could be why Trump is focusing more on blasting the media than on his own plans these days


So literally a state-run media outlet if he were to win. I guess they wanted to give people who are thinking and fully using their brains one more reason not to vote for him.


Don't diss state-run media. Aren't PBS and NPR basically your best outlets in terms of facticity? ;p Same story for most functional democracies that have state-run media imo, NRK is best in Norway, BBC in Britain, SVT in sweden. Then when regimes are less democratic and transparent, they end up being disasters, but there's nothing intrinsically problematic about state-run media as long as proper precautions are taken and strong ethical standards are maintained.

NPR is the best news outlet in the US right now for on the hour news coverage. Their coverage of the election is the best going right now. For profit broadcast news is a pretty bad model for the goals of journalism.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
October 17 2016 15:49 GMT
#112425
On October 18 2016 00:14 Logo wrote:
Is there any good unbiased information about what's going on with Wikileaks & RT?

BBC reports:
http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-37680411
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-37677020

Slightly off-topic bonus:
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-37683244
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
October 17 2016 15:50 GMT
#112426
On October 18 2016 00:48 TheTenthDoc wrote:
It's worth noting that state-run media and media run by the head of state's family and news executives from his campaign are kind of an apples and oranges comparison.


Yeah this is true, I should have been more specific than "state run media".
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18832 Posts
October 17 2016 15:53 GMT
#112427
On October 18 2016 00:43 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2016 00:32 Doodsmack wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:03 Dan HH wrote:
https://twitter.com/FT/status/787968740927369216

Could be why Trump is focusing more on blasting the media than on his own plans these days


So literally a state-run media outlet if he were to win. I guess they wanted to give people who are thinking and fully using their brains one more reason not to vote for him.


Don't diss state-run media. Aren't PBS and NPR basically your best outlets in terms of facticity? ;p Same story for most functional democracies that have state-run media imo, NRK is best in Norway, BBC in Britain, SVT in sweden. Then when regimes are less democratic and transparent, they end up being disasters, but there's nothing intrinsically problematic about state-run media as long as proper precautions are taken and strong ethical standards are maintained. I'd argue that the clickbait/sensationalism tendencies are more ubiquitous with for-profit media than the 'wants to paint sitting government in positive light' tendency is of state-run media.

Just a small caveat; technically, PBS and NPR and their kin aren't "state-run" so much as they are dependent on public funding through grants, foundation sponsorships, and the like. Federal funds only make up around 12-15% of their budgets iirc, and both are organizationally unrelated to the government.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-17 16:04:18
October 17 2016 15:53 GMT
#112428
On October 18 2016 00:43 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2016 00:32 Doodsmack wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:03 Dan HH wrote:
https://twitter.com/FT/status/787968740927369216

Could be why Trump is focusing more on blasting the media than on his own plans these days


So literally a state-run media outlet if he were to win. I guess they wanted to give people who are thinking and fully using their brains one more reason not to vote for him.


Don't diss state-run media. Aren't PBS and NPR basically your best outlets in terms of facticity? ;p Same story for most functional democracies that have state-run media imo, NRK is best in Norway, BBC in Britain, SVT in sweden. Then when regimes are less democratic and transparent, they end up being disasters, but there's nothing intrinsically problematic about state-run media as long as proper precautions are taken and strong ethical standards are maintained. I'd argue that the clickbait/sensationalism tendencies are more ubiquitous with for-profit media than the 'wants to paint sitting government in positive light' tendency is of state-run media.

yeah agree. Doesn't even have to be just news. Educational stuff as a for-profit model just sounds awful to me. Not really a TV watcher myself but glad there's something out there that doesn't need to entertain their viewers to get in money.

quick question: what are the chances for Clinton to officially give up on Utah and ask her voters to vote for McMullin there? Or same question for Johnson?
538 currently has Trump at roughly 8-9 points ahead of Clinton, but Clinton is at about 26, McMullin is at 26 and Johnson at 10. If less than half of Clinton people vote McMullin in Utah that goes third party oO
I guess since only 6 electoral votes not worth it for Clinton?
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3188 Posts
October 17 2016 16:08 GMT
#112429
On October 17 2016 23:35 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 17 2016 22:37 ChristianS wrote:
For you legal people out there, a bunch of originalist lawyers and law-professors just put out a statement opposing Trump.

I'm not familiar with that community, how much cred do those people have in that community? how influential will their statement be?

Conservative law professors are few and far between, but a good chunk of the well-known ones are on there. In terms of influence, I think we're long past the opinion experts, even nonpartisan ones, being counted for much regarding Trump.
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
ImFromPortugal
Profile Joined April 2010
Portugal1368 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-17 16:19:06
October 17 2016 16:14 GMT
#112430
On October 18 2016 00:17 PhoenixVoid wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2016 00:03 Dan HH wrote:
https://twitter.com/FT/status/787968740927369216

Could be why Trump is focusing more on blasting the media than on his own plans these days

I guess it's nice having Trump TV either way. Either you win and get your own propaganda arm, or lose and broadcast your ideas 24/7 and stir the pot more.



You guys forget that regardless of the outcome it will be a win for Trump, he will have an alt-right media empire, soon enough they will get a more polished candidate to run for the presidency.


will become 'irredeemable'.


what would be the option to deal with those ?
Yes im
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18832 Posts
October 17 2016 16:16 GMT
#112431
On October 18 2016 01:14 ImFromPortugal wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2016 00:17 PhoenixVoid wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:03 Dan HH wrote:
https://twitter.com/FT/status/787968740927369216

Could be why Trump is focusing more on blasting the media than on his own plans these days

I guess it's nice having Trump TV either way. Either you win and get your own propaganda arm, or lose and broadcast your ideas 24/7 and stir the pot more.



You guys forget that regardless of the outcome it will be a win for Trump, he will have an alt-right media empire, soon enough they will get a more polished candidate to run for the presidency.

You vastly underestimate how much damage losing will do to his reputation; the riots that are likely to follow the election won't exactly help.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
ImFromPortugal
Profile Joined April 2010
Portugal1368 Posts
October 17 2016 16:20 GMT
#112432
You vastly underestimate how much damage losing will do to his reputation; the riots that are likely to follow the election won't exactly help.


he will spin it as fraud and rigged elections.

I can see russia giving an helping hand to TrumpTV and other outlets that are already established.

The internet will be here as well, reddit , 4Chan, it can snowball pretty quickly.
Yes im
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
October 17 2016 16:21 GMT
#112433
On October 18 2016 00:53 Toadesstern wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2016 00:43 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:32 Doodsmack wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:03 Dan HH wrote:
https://twitter.com/FT/status/787968740927369216

Could be why Trump is focusing more on blasting the media than on his own plans these days


So literally a state-run media outlet if he were to win. I guess they wanted to give people who are thinking and fully using their brains one more reason not to vote for him.


Don't diss state-run media. Aren't PBS and NPR basically your best outlets in terms of facticity? ;p Same story for most functional democracies that have state-run media imo, NRK is best in Norway, BBC in Britain, SVT in sweden. Then when regimes are less democratic and transparent, they end up being disasters, but there's nothing intrinsically problematic about state-run media as long as proper precautions are taken and strong ethical standards are maintained. I'd argue that the clickbait/sensationalism tendencies are more ubiquitous with for-profit media than the 'wants to paint sitting government in positive light' tendency is of state-run media.

yeah agree. Doesn't even have to be just news. Educational stuff as a for-profit model just sounds awful to me. Not really a TV watcher myself but glad there's something out there that doesn't need to entertain their viewers to get in money.

quick question: what are the chances for Clinton to officially give up on Utah and ask her voters to vote for McMullin there? Or same question for Johnson?
538 currently has Trump at roughly 8-9 points ahead of Clinton, but Clinton is at about 26, McMullin is at 26 and Johnson at 10. If less than half of Clinton people vote McMullin in Utah that goes third party oO
I guess since only 6 electoral votes not worth it for Clinton?

She doesn't need it, and it would damage her reputation in other states losing her votes there. Why would she do it?
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
October 17 2016 16:24 GMT
#112434
On October 18 2016 00:53 Toadesstern wrote:
quick question: what are the chances for Clinton to officially give up on Utah and ask her voters to vote for McMullin there? Or same question for Johnson?
538 currently has Trump at roughly 8-9 points ahead of Clinton, but Clinton is at about 26, McMullin is at 26 and Johnson at 10. If less than half of Clinton people vote McMullin in Utah that goes third party oO
I guess since only 6 electoral votes not worth it for Clinton?



Zero Percent Chance.

That same thing backfired horribly for the republicans, I don't think people like the idea of trying to game the election math. It also would play into reinforcing the things people dislike about Clinton.

Also it's entirely possible that McMullin or Johnson voters will deflect to Clinton anyways as the election draws closer.
Logo
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
October 17 2016 16:25 GMT
#112435
On October 18 2016 00:49 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2016 00:43 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:32 Doodsmack wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:03 Dan HH wrote:
https://twitter.com/FT/status/787968740927369216

Could be why Trump is focusing more on blasting the media than on his own plans these days


So literally a state-run media outlet if he were to win. I guess they wanted to give people who are thinking and fully using their brains one more reason not to vote for him.


Don't diss state-run media. Aren't PBS and NPR basically your best outlets in terms of facticity? ;p Same story for most functional democracies that have state-run media imo, NRK is best in Norway, BBC in Britain, SVT in sweden. Then when regimes are less democratic and transparent, they end up being disasters, but there's nothing intrinsically problematic about state-run media as long as proper precautions are taken and strong ethical standards are maintained.

NPR is the best news outlet in the US right now for on the hour news coverage. Their coverage of the election is the best going right now. For profit broadcast news is a pretty bad model for the goals of journalism.


Lets not move to quickly on that--the big issue right now is the move towards ratings/clicks based profit models that cares over about the results of each article instead of the performance of the paper as a whole. In the past when you had to purchase the entire paper to get your comics/sports/news, now it is ala carte and it shoves off any topic or writer that is focusing on non-popular headlines.

Not that journalism in the past did no wrong, but before you needed to make a paper that was a totality, one that would be as liked by both comics only readers, sports only readers, etc... Ala cart means that if your certain topic was not exciting it means you get replaced by more sports/comics.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-17 16:31:07
October 17 2016 16:28 GMT
#112436
On October 18 2016 01:24 Logo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2016 00:53 Toadesstern wrote:
quick question: what are the chances for Clinton to officially give up on Utah and ask her voters to vote for McMullin there? Or same question for Johnson?
538 currently has Trump at roughly 8-9 points ahead of Clinton, but Clinton is at about 26, McMullin is at 26 and Johnson at 10. If less than half of Clinton people vote McMullin in Utah that goes third party oO
I guess since only 6 electoral votes not worth it for Clinton?



Zero Percent Chance.

That same thing backfired horribly for the republicans, I don't think people like the idea of trying to game the election math. It also would play into reinforcing the things people dislike about Clinton.

Also it's entirely possible that McMullin or Johnson voters will deflect to Clinton anyways as the election draws closer.

Maybe some Johnson voters but the McMullin vote I don't see helping Clinton overall. Sure some went Clinton -> McMullin and would return to her in that case but more people went Trump -> McMullin and would probably go back to Trump or not vote at all before going for Clinton.

Funnily enough 538 is giving McMullin about twice the chances to win Utah than it's giving Clinton. Maybe on the basis that some people do that themselves come election day without her having to say a word?
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
October 17 2016 16:32 GMT
#112437
On October 18 2016 01:28 Toadesstern wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2016 01:24 Logo wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:53 Toadesstern wrote:
quick question: what are the chances for Clinton to officially give up on Utah and ask her voters to vote for McMullin there? Or same question for Johnson?
538 currently has Trump at roughly 8-9 points ahead of Clinton, but Clinton is at about 26, McMullin is at 26 and Johnson at 10. If less than half of Clinton people vote McMullin in Utah that goes third party oO
I guess since only 6 electoral votes not worth it for Clinton?



Zero Percent Chance.

That same thing backfired horribly for the republicans, I don't think people like the idea of trying to game the election math. It also would play into reinforcing the things people dislike about Clinton.

Also it's entirely possible that McMullin or Johnson voters will deflect to Clinton anyways as the election draws closer.

Maybe some Johnson voters but the McMullin vote I don't see helping Clinton overall. Sure some went Clinton -> McMullin and would return to her in that case but more people went Trump -> McMullin and would probably go back to Trump or not vote at all before going for Clinton.

Funnily enough 538 is giving McMullin about twice the chances to win Utah than it's giving Clinton. Maybe on the basis that some people do that themselves come election day without her having to say a word?


I'm not seeing that? 538 is showing me the chances at 7.5% Clinton and 6.0% McMullin.
Logo
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 17 2016 16:33 GMT
#112438
On October 18 2016 01:25 Thieving Magpie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2016 00:49 Plansix wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:43 Liquid`Drone wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:32 Doodsmack wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:03 Dan HH wrote:
https://twitter.com/FT/status/787968740927369216

Could be why Trump is focusing more on blasting the media than on his own plans these days


So literally a state-run media outlet if he were to win. I guess they wanted to give people who are thinking and fully using their brains one more reason not to vote for him.


Don't diss state-run media. Aren't PBS and NPR basically your best outlets in terms of facticity? ;p Same story for most functional democracies that have state-run media imo, NRK is best in Norway, BBC in Britain, SVT in sweden. Then when regimes are less democratic and transparent, they end up being disasters, but there's nothing intrinsically problematic about state-run media as long as proper precautions are taken and strong ethical standards are maintained.

NPR is the best news outlet in the US right now for on the hour news coverage. Their coverage of the election is the best going right now. For profit broadcast news is a pretty bad model for the goals of journalism.


Lets not move to quickly on that--the big issue right now is the move towards ratings/clicks based profit models that cares over about the results of each article instead of the performance of the paper as a whole. In the past when you had to purchase the entire paper to get your comics/sports/news, now it is ala carte and it shoves off any topic or writer that is focusing on non-popular headlines.

Not that journalism in the past did no wrong, but before you needed to make a paper that was a totality, one that would be as liked by both comics only readers, sports only readers, etc... Ala cart means that if your certain topic was not exciting it means you get replaced by more sports/comics.

That is why I limited my condemnation to broadcast news. I would limit it further to broadcast news networks that provide 24 hours coverage. Each network has its own problems, but 24 hour coverage of breaking news doesn’t provide for a lot of diverse stories or investigative journalism. It’s just hot takes on the hour and little insight beyond that.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-17 16:44:46
October 17 2016 16:41 GMT
#112439
On October 18 2016 01:32 Logo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2016 01:28 Toadesstern wrote:
On October 18 2016 01:24 Logo wrote:
On October 18 2016 00:53 Toadesstern wrote:
quick question: what are the chances for Clinton to officially give up on Utah and ask her voters to vote for McMullin there? Or same question for Johnson?
538 currently has Trump at roughly 8-9 points ahead of Clinton, but Clinton is at about 26, McMullin is at 26 and Johnson at 10. If less than half of Clinton people vote McMullin in Utah that goes third party oO
I guess since only 6 electoral votes not worth it for Clinton?



Zero Percent Chance.

That same thing backfired horribly for the republicans, I don't think people like the idea of trying to game the election math. It also would play into reinforcing the things people dislike about Clinton.

Also it's entirely possible that McMullin or Johnson voters will deflect to Clinton anyways as the election draws closer.

Maybe some Johnson voters but the McMullin vote I don't see helping Clinton overall. Sure some went Clinton -> McMullin and would return to her in that case but more people went Trump -> McMullin and would probably go back to Trump or not vote at all before going for Clinton.

Funnily enough 538 is giving McMullin about twice the chances to win Utah than it's giving Clinton. Maybe on the basis that some people do that themselves come election day without her having to say a word?


I'm not seeing that? 538 is showing me the chances at 7.5% Clinton and 6.0% McMullin.

had it on Now and not the normal ones (since there's only 4-6 polls with McMullin in them and Now-Cast will increase weight of the 4 most recent ones in that particular case)
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9129 Posts
October 17 2016 16:46 GMT
#112440
On October 18 2016 01:20 ImFromPortugal wrote:
Show nested quote +
You vastly underestimate how much damage losing will do to his reputation; the riots that are likely to follow the election won't exactly help.


he will spin it as fraud and rigged elections.

I can see russia giving an helping hand to TrumpTV and other outlets that are already established.

The internet will be here as well, reddit , 4Chan, it can snowball pretty quickly.

/pol/ will still be there, but the rest of it will be as forgotten as S4P in half a year
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