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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 538

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-14 22:52:55
October 14 2013 22:50 GMT
#10741
On October 15 2013 06:28 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2013 06:26 TheFish7 wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:22 xDaunt wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:21 Sermokala wrote:
The real problems are going to come after the first of the year when people assume that they filed out the ACA website forms correctly and have health care when they really don't thus getting hit by the individual mandate tax and not having health insurance.

Not to mention whats going to happen after everyone's premiums triple after companies are forced to take people in with pre existing conditions.

This is already happening.


I keep hearing this but I have yet to see any real evidence that supports this claim.

Have you seen what's happened to insurance premiums?

Have you?

How about looking at an actual study of the matter instead of an article by a conservative contributor to Forbes (and instead of cherry-picking states)?

No Widespread Increase in Cost of Individual Health Insurance Policies Under Affordable Care Act

The federal Affordable Care Act will lead to an increase in health insurance coverage and higher enrollment among people who purchase individual policies, according to a new RAND Corporation study.

While there have been some reports that the cost of individual policies may jump sharply under health reform, a RAND analysis of 10 states and the United States overall predicts that there will be no widespread premium increase in the individual health insurance market.

However, researchers caution that the cost of policies in the individual market will vary between states and will be influenced by individual factors such as an individual's age and whether they smoke, as well as whether they qualify for federal tax credits to help cover the cost.

“Our analysis shows that rates for policies in the individual market are likely to vary from state to state, with some experiencing increases and some experiencing decreases in cost,” said Christine Eibner, the study's lead author and a senior economist at RAND, a nonprofit research organization. “But our analysis found no widespread trend toward sharply higher prices in the individual market.”

Source
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8516 Posts
October 14 2013 22:57 GMT
#10742
On October 15 2013 07:50 kwizach wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2013 06:28 xDaunt wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:26 TheFish7 wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:22 xDaunt wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:21 Sermokala wrote:
The real problems are going to come after the first of the year when people assume that they filed out the ACA website forms correctly and have health care when they really don't thus getting hit by the individual mandate tax and not having health insurance.

Not to mention whats going to happen after everyone's premiums triple after companies are forced to take people in with pre existing conditions.

This is already happening.


I keep hearing this but I have yet to see any real evidence that supports this claim.

Have you seen what's happened to insurance premiums?

Have you?

How about looking at an actual study of the matter instead of an article by a conservative contributor to Forbes (and instead of cherry-picking states)?

Show nested quote +
No Widespread Increase in Cost of Individual Health Insurance Policies Under Affordable Care Act

The federal Affordable Care Act will lead to an increase in health insurance coverage and higher enrollment among people who purchase individual policies, according to a new RAND Corporation study.

While there have been some reports that the cost of individual policies may jump sharply under health reform, a RAND analysis of 10 states and the United States overall predicts that there will be no widespread premium increase in the individual health insurance market.

However, researchers caution that the cost of policies in the individual market will vary between states and will be influenced by individual factors such as an individual's age and whether they smoke, as well as whether they qualify for federal tax credits to help cover the cost.

“Our analysis shows that rates for policies in the individual market are likely to vary from state to state, with some experiencing increases and some experiencing decreases in cost,” said Christine Eibner, the study's lead author and a senior economist at RAND, a nonprofit research organization. “But our analysis found no widespread trend toward sharply higher prices in the individual market.”

Source


More like libertarian contributor, just read on who is behind the Manhattan institute (hint: it's not Dr. Manhattan).

As ludicrous as it sounds, people really have to wait and see how things work out in the end I feel.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
October 14 2013 23:04 GMT
#10743
On October 15 2013 07:50 kwizach wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2013 06:28 xDaunt wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:26 TheFish7 wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:22 xDaunt wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:21 Sermokala wrote:
The real problems are going to come after the first of the year when people assume that they filed out the ACA website forms correctly and have health care when they really don't thus getting hit by the individual mandate tax and not having health insurance.

Not to mention whats going to happen after everyone's premiums triple after companies are forced to take people in with pre existing conditions.

This is already happening.


I keep hearing this but I have yet to see any real evidence that supports this claim.

Have you seen what's happened to insurance premiums?

Have you?

How about looking at an actual study of the matter instead of an article by a conservative contributor to Forbes (and instead of cherry-picking states)?

Show nested quote +
No Widespread Increase in Cost of Individual Health Insurance Policies Under Affordable Care Act

The federal Affordable Care Act will lead to an increase in health insurance coverage and higher enrollment among people who purchase individual policies, according to a new RAND Corporation study.

While there have been some reports that the cost of individual policies may jump sharply under health reform, a RAND analysis of 10 states and the United States overall predicts that there will be no widespread premium increase in the individual health insurance market.

However, researchers caution that the cost of policies in the individual market will vary between states and will be influenced by individual factors such as an individual's age and whether they smoke, as well as whether they qualify for federal tax credits to help cover the cost.

“Our analysis shows that rates for policies in the individual market are likely to vary from state to state, with some experiencing increases and some experiencing decreases in cost,” said Christine Eibner, the study's lead author and a senior economist at RAND, a nonprofit research organization. “But our analysis found no widespread trend toward sharply higher prices in the individual market.”

Source

So, basically,
So the evil, conservative writer for forbes Manhattan Institute for Policy Research says they're going to go up, huh? Well the Rand Corporation says they're going to stay the same! My analyst cherry picks states without cherry picking states, and your analyst just cherry picks states.

Ease up on the bloviating, one study had 13 states the other 10.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Derez
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Netherlands6068 Posts
October 14 2013 23:12 GMT
#10744
The National Security Agency is harvesting hundreds of millions of contact lists from personal e-mail and instant messaging accounts around the world, many of them belonging to Americans, according to senior intelligence officials and top secret documents provided by former NSA contractor Edward Snowden.

The collection program, which has not been disclosed before, intercepts e-mail address books and “buddy lists” from instant messaging services as they move across global data links. Online services often transmit those contacts when a user logs on, composes a message, or synchronizes a computer or mobile device with information stored on remote servers.


During a single day last year, the NSA’s Special Source Operations branch collected 444,743 e-mail address books from Yahoo, 105,068 from Hotmail, 82,857 from Facebook, 33,697 from Gmail and 22,881 from unspecified other providers, according to an internal NSA PowerPoint presentation. Those figures, described as a typical daily intake in the document, correspond to a rate of more than 250 million per year.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/nsa-collects-millions-of-e-mail-address-books-globally/2013/10/14/8e58b5be-34f9-11e3-80c6-7e6dd8d22d8f_story.html

Anything digital left the NSA is not collecting?
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-14 23:13:59
October 14 2013 23:13 GMT
#10745
On October 15 2013 08:04 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2013 07:50 kwizach wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:28 xDaunt wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:26 TheFish7 wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:22 xDaunt wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:21 Sermokala wrote:
The real problems are going to come after the first of the year when people assume that they filed out the ACA website forms correctly and have health care when they really don't thus getting hit by the individual mandate tax and not having health insurance.

Not to mention whats going to happen after everyone's premiums triple after companies are forced to take people in with pre existing conditions.

This is already happening.


I keep hearing this but I have yet to see any real evidence that supports this claim.

Have you seen what's happened to insurance premiums?

Have you?

How about looking at an actual study of the matter instead of an article by a conservative contributor to Forbes (and instead of cherry-picking states)?

No Widespread Increase in Cost of Individual Health Insurance Policies Under Affordable Care Act

The federal Affordable Care Act will lead to an increase in health insurance coverage and higher enrollment among people who purchase individual policies, according to a new RAND Corporation study.

While there have been some reports that the cost of individual policies may jump sharply under health reform, a RAND analysis of 10 states and the United States overall predicts that there will be no widespread premium increase in the individual health insurance market.

However, researchers caution that the cost of policies in the individual market will vary between states and will be influenced by individual factors such as an individual's age and whether they smoke, as well as whether they qualify for federal tax credits to help cover the cost.

“Our analysis shows that rates for policies in the individual market are likely to vary from state to state, with some experiencing increases and some experiencing decreases in cost,” said Christine Eibner, the study's lead author and a senior economist at RAND, a nonprofit research organization. “But our analysis found no widespread trend toward sharply higher prices in the individual market.”

Source

So, basically,
Show nested quote +
So the evil, conservative writer for forbes Manhattan Institute for Policy Research says they're going to go up, huh? Well the Rand Corporation says they're going to stay the same! My analyst cherry picks states without cherry picking states, and your analyst just cherry picks states.

Ease up on the bloviating, one study had 13 states the other 10.

Did you even look at the two sources? One (mine) is an actual study and one is an article accompanying an "interactive map". Here's the link to the RAND study.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 14 2013 23:23 GMT
#10746
Nobody can argue that the Tea Party is not racist and is just concerned about fiscal and other policy points. They might as well have burned a cross today.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
DoubleReed
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States4130 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-14 23:34:53
October 14 2013 23:34 GMT
#10747
{CC}StealthBlue, I have no idea what you're talking about.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]
Source
packrat386
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States5077 Posts
October 14 2013 23:34 GMT
#10748
On October 15 2013 08:23 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Nobody can argue that the Tea Party is not racist and is just concerned about fiscal and other policy points. They might as well have burned a cross today.

Ummm, context?

In general, I'm not a huge fan of the "Tea Part are racists" argument. There are so many great reasons why the Tea Party is full of shit, why rely on the one that is the most tenuous?
dreaming of a sunny day
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
October 14 2013 23:39 GMT
#10749
On October 15 2013 08:34 packrat386 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2013 08:23 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Nobody can argue that the Tea Party is not racist and is just concerned about fiscal and other policy points. They might as well have burned a cross today.

Ummm, context?

In general, I'm not a huge fan of the "Tea Part are racists" argument. There are so many great reasons why the Tea Party is full of shit, why rely on the one that is the most tenuous?

Intellectual laziness.
DoubleReed
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States4130 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-14 23:45:20
October 14 2013 23:42 GMT
#10750
There are studies on racism and nativism in the Tea Party.

The Tea Party is essentially reactionaries similar to the John Birch Society, the reactionary group 50 years ago that called Eisenhower a communist spy. They just switched it to muslim spy.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13930 Posts
October 14 2013 23:51 GMT
#10751
To be fair him being black and having muslim connections has something to do with it. Change is scary to a lot of people and obama did grow up in a poor muslim ghetto.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8516 Posts
October 14 2013 23:58 GMT
#10752
On October 15 2013 08:51 Sermokala wrote:
To be fair him being black and having muslim connections has something to do with it. Change is scary to a lot of people and obama did grow up in a poor muslim ghetto.


I get the feeling that you are not helping your point... and that's quite telling itself really.
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6209 Posts
October 14 2013 23:58 GMT
#10753
On October 15 2013 08:12 Derez wrote:
Show nested quote +
The National Security Agency is harvesting hundreds of millions of contact lists from personal e-mail and instant messaging accounts around the world, many of them belonging to Americans, according to senior intelligence officials and top secret documents provided by former NSA contractor Edward Snowden.

The collection program, which has not been disclosed before, intercepts e-mail address books and “buddy lists” from instant messaging services as they move across global data links. Online services often transmit those contacts when a user logs on, composes a message, or synchronizes a computer or mobile device with information stored on remote servers.


Show nested quote +
During a single day last year, the NSA’s Special Source Operations branch collected 444,743 e-mail address books from Yahoo, 105,068 from Hotmail, 82,857 from Facebook, 33,697 from Gmail and 22,881 from unspecified other providers, according to an internal NSA PowerPoint presentation. Those figures, described as a typical daily intake in the document, correspond to a rate of more than 250 million per year.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/nsa-collects-millions-of-e-mail-address-books-globally/2013/10/14/8e58b5be-34f9-11e3-80c6-7e6dd8d22d8f_story.html

Anything digital left the NSA is not collecting?

But it's only used to catch terrorists so there's no reason to worry.
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
October 15 2013 00:08 GMT
#10754
On October 15 2013 08:51 Sermokala wrote:
To be fair him being black and having muslim connections has something to do with it. Change is scary to a lot of people and obama did grow up in a poor muslim ghetto.

....Muslim connections?
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13930 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-15 00:23:14
October 15 2013 00:21 GMT
#10755
On October 15 2013 08:58 Doublemint wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2013 08:51 Sermokala wrote:
To be fair him being black and having muslim connections has something to do with it. Change is scary to a lot of people and obama did grow up in a poor muslim ghetto.


I get the feeling that you are not helping your point... and that's quite telling itself really.

I'm not trying to help any point. I don't like the tea party like the rest of people but for different reasons.
On October 15 2013 09:08 Sub40APM wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2013 08:51 Sermokala wrote:
To be fair him being black and having muslim connections has something to do with it. Change is scary to a lot of people and obama did grow up in a poor muslim ghetto.

....Muslim connections?

His dads from kenya and he grew up in indonesia (after being born in hawaii). Those are muslim connections.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
DoubleReed
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States4130 Posts
October 15 2013 00:22 GMT
#10756
Wow, Sermokala. I used to think you were conservative, but that was so on-point I think you must be a deep-cover liberal.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States13930 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-15 00:25:27
October 15 2013 00:24 GMT
#10757
On October 15 2013 09:22 DoubleReed wrote:
Wow, Sermokala. I used to think you were conservative, but that was so on-point I think you must be a deep-cover liberal.

Not being a raving lunatic with reasonable points has that effect.

I'm a pragmatic person with unreasonable points.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
DoubleReed
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States4130 Posts
October 15 2013 00:27 GMT
#10758
On October 15 2013 09:24 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2013 09:22 DoubleReed wrote:
Wow, Sermokala. I used to think you were conservative, but that was so on-point I think you must be a deep-cover liberal.

Not being a raving lunatic with reasonable points has that effect.

I'm a pragmatic person with unreasonable points.


Whoosh.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42688 Posts
October 15 2013 00:27 GMT
#10759
On October 15 2013 09:21 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2013 08:58 Doublemint wrote:
On October 15 2013 08:51 Sermokala wrote:
To be fair him being black and having muslim connections has something to do with it. Change is scary to a lot of people and obama did grow up in a poor muslim ghetto.


I get the feeling that you are not helping your point... and that's quite telling itself really.

I'm not trying to help any point. I don't like the tea party like the rest of people but for different reasons.
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2013 09:08 Sub40APM wrote:
On October 15 2013 08:51 Sermokala wrote:
To be fair him being black and having muslim connections has something to do with it. Change is scary to a lot of people and obama did grow up in a poor muslim ghetto.

....Muslim connections?

His dads from kenya and he grew up in indonesia (after being born in hawaii). Those are muslim connections.

This isn't how logic works.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
October 15 2013 00:28 GMT
#10760
On October 15 2013 08:13 kwizach wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 15 2013 08:04 Danglars wrote:
On October 15 2013 07:50 kwizach wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:28 xDaunt wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:26 TheFish7 wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:22 xDaunt wrote:
On October 15 2013 06:21 Sermokala wrote:
The real problems are going to come after the first of the year when people assume that they filed out the ACA website forms correctly and have health care when they really don't thus getting hit by the individual mandate tax and not having health insurance.

Not to mention whats going to happen after everyone's premiums triple after companies are forced to take people in with pre existing conditions.

This is already happening.


I keep hearing this but I have yet to see any real evidence that supports this claim.

Have you seen what's happened to insurance premiums?

Have you?

How about looking at an actual study of the matter instead of an article by a conservative contributor to Forbes (and instead of cherry-picking states)?

No Widespread Increase in Cost of Individual Health Insurance Policies Under Affordable Care Act

The federal Affordable Care Act will lead to an increase in health insurance coverage and higher enrollment among people who purchase individual policies, according to a new RAND Corporation study.

While there have been some reports that the cost of individual policies may jump sharply under health reform, a RAND analysis of 10 states and the United States overall predicts that there will be no widespread premium increase in the individual health insurance market.

However, researchers caution that the cost of policies in the individual market will vary between states and will be influenced by individual factors such as an individual's age and whether they smoke, as well as whether they qualify for federal tax credits to help cover the cost.

“Our analysis shows that rates for policies in the individual market are likely to vary from state to state, with some experiencing increases and some experiencing decreases in cost,” said Christine Eibner, the study's lead author and a senior economist at RAND, a nonprofit research organization. “But our analysis found no widespread trend toward sharply higher prices in the individual market.”

Source

So, basically,
So the evil, conservative writer for forbes Manhattan Institute for Policy Research says they're going to go up, huh? Well the Rand Corporation says they're going to stay the same! My analyst cherry picks states without cherry picking states, and your analyst just cherry picks states.

Ease up on the bloviating, one study had 13 states the other 10.

Did you even look at the two sources? One (mine) is an actual study and one is an article accompanying an "interactive map". Here's the link to the RAND study.

Yes, I saw the study. Let me repeat,
So the evil, conservative writer for forbes Manhattan Institute for Policy Research says they're going to go up, huh? Well the Rand Corporation says they're going to stay the same! My analyst cherry picks states without cherry picking states, and your analyst just cherry picks states.

Maybe you should consider looking at the source of articles and not assuming that it was researched and published in-house. You might learn something.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
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