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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2782

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-23 13:06:05
January 23 2016 13:05 GMT
#55621
lmao trump suddenly anti putin and nobody bats an eye
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8744 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-23 13:19:35
January 23 2016 13:16 GMT
#55622
On January 23 2016 22:05 oneofthem wrote:
lmao trump suddenly anti putin and nobody bats an eye


trump is basically - on a rhetorical level - a leaf in the wind, a word-ninja. nobody takes it seriously until it's too late and the argument hits you in the face.

or did it?!
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8744 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-23 13:19:20
January 23 2016 13:18 GMT
#55623
del...
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
January 23 2016 16:31 GMT
#55624
On January 23 2016 22:02 GreenHorizons wrote:




Is it me or is this grown ass men running for president acting like (nerdy) middle school kids?


Republicans can't run on policy because they don't have answers to the country's actual problems (income inequality, wage stagnation, environmental degradation, assimilation of new Americans, tackling global political Islam). They have to run on grade school bullying. Look at the Republican policy proposals:

Carpet bomb the Levant -- absolutely insane and the Air Force generals would resign before agreeing to it.
Tax cuts for the rich -- tried and failed, and polls so badly that Republicans don't even run on them anymore.
De-unionize America -- madness but they keep trying, polls like hell so they leave it to the judges.
Wild tarrifs (Trump) -- not possible under all out treaties, pointless and counterproductive in the modern globally integrated supply chain.
Privatize social security -- attempted in 2006 by Bush2 and Paul Ryan, Rubio and Bush3 presumably support this, disastrous.
Repeal ACA -- lunacy, would break the insurance industry and bring back pre-existing condition bans.
Criminalize abortion -- stupid and hateful move to punish single women.
Privatize public schools -- charter schools do no better than public ones, but funnel more money into well places private companies.
Muslim busting laws -- almost all of them are unconstitutional due to 1st and 14th, and will certainly backfire.

They can't run on those so they run on bluster and posturing in an attempt to appeal to easily manipulated white suburbanites (aka Values Voters).
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
January 23 2016 17:02 GMT
#55625
On January 23 2016 22:05 oneofthem wrote:
lmao trump suddenly anti putin and nobody bats an eye

All he's saying is that Putin is a tough dude with whom Jeb is ill-equipped to deal.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43966 Posts
January 23 2016 17:14 GMT
#55626
Obama's leadership of the return of Iran to the international community and the subsequent oil market share war between Sunni and Shiite Islam it triggered is the final nail in the coffin of Putin's power internationally. Russia's economy is imploding and I struggle to believe that nobody at the White House saw this coming.

We'll see how long the Russian people are willing to go without government subsidized services paid for with oil money and without imported luxuries which the inflation and devaluation has placed out of reach of all but the oligarchy.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6102 Posts
January 23 2016 17:25 GMT
#55627
On January 24 2016 01:31 JW_DTLA wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 23 2016 22:02 GreenHorizons wrote:
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/690701138899898368

https://twitter.com/JebBush/status/690738809772888065

Is it me or is this grown ass men running for president acting like (nerdy) middle school kids?


Republicans can't run on policy because they don't have answers to the country's actual problems (income inequality, wage stagnation, environmental degradation, assimilation of new Americans, tackling global political Islam). They have to run on grade school bullying. Look at the Republican policy proposals:

Carpet bomb the Levant -- absolutely insane and the Air Force generals would resign before agreeing to it.
Tax cuts for the rich -- tried and failed, and polls so badly that Republicans don't even run on them anymore.
De-unionize America -- madness but they keep trying, polls like hell so they leave it to the judges.
Wild tarrifs (Trump) -- not possible under all out treaties, pointless and counterproductive in the modern globally integrated supply chain.
Privatize social security -- attempted in 2006 by Bush2 and Paul Ryan, Rubio and Bush3 presumably support this, disastrous.
Repeal ACA -- lunacy, would break the insurance industry and bring back pre-existing condition bans.
Criminalize abortion -- stupid and hateful move to punish single women.
Privatize public schools -- charter schools do no better than public ones, but funnel more money into well places private companies.
Muslim busting laws -- almost all of them are unconstitutional due to 1st and 14th, and will certainly backfire.

They can't run on those so they run on bluster and posturing in an attempt to appeal to easily manipulated white suburbanites (aka Values Voters).

I think it's interesting how people can differentiate policy and rhetorical posturing when it comes to Democratic candidates, but don't apply the same to Republican politicians. Or perhaps those people just agree with Democrats across the board anyway... maybe people on both "sides" take the other side as literally as possible so they can reduce the opposition to one unacceptable policy or another.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
January 23 2016 17:42 GMT
#55628
JW -> while the way the republicans are trying to repeal the aca is bad; it is possible to repeal the ACA and replace it with something sounder.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-23 17:53:37
January 23 2016 17:51 GMT
#55629
On January 24 2016 02:25 oBlade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2016 01:31 JW_DTLA wrote:
On January 23 2016 22:02 GreenHorizons wrote:
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/690701138899898368

https://twitter.com/JebBush/status/690738809772888065

Is it me or is this grown ass men running for president acting like (nerdy) middle school kids?


Republicans can't run on policy because they don't have answers to the country's actual problems (income inequality, wage stagnation, environmental degradation, assimilation of new Americans, tackling global political Islam). They have to run on grade school bullying. Look at the Republican policy proposals:

Carpet bomb the Levant -- absolutely insane and the Air Force generals would resign before agreeing to it.
Tax cuts for the rich -- tried and failed, and polls so badly that Republicans don't even run on them anymore.
De-unionize America -- madness but they keep trying, polls like hell so they leave it to the judges.
Wild tarrifs (Trump) -- not possible under all out treaties, pointless and counterproductive in the modern globally integrated supply chain.
Privatize social security -- attempted in 2006 by Bush2 and Paul Ryan, Rubio and Bush3 presumably support this, disastrous.
Repeal ACA -- lunacy, would break the insurance industry and bring back pre-existing condition bans.
Criminalize abortion -- stupid and hateful move to punish single women.
Privatize public schools -- charter schools do no better than public ones, but funnel more money into well places private companies.
Muslim busting laws -- almost all of them are unconstitutional due to 1st and 14th, and will certainly backfire.

They can't run on those so they run on bluster and posturing in an attempt to appeal to easily manipulated white suburbanites (aka Values Voters).

I think it's interesting how people can differentiate policy and rhetorical posturing when it comes to Democratic candidates, but don't apply the same to Republican politicians. Or perhaps those people just agree with Democrats across the board anyway... maybe people on both "sides" take the other side as literally as possible so they can reduce the opposition to one unacceptable policy or another.

He's not strictly wrong in his list (on the left hand side at least). Those are the general directions of a lot of Republican policies, the things they would pursue if they got to the office. He's missing a few, like abolish/reform corporate tax law (and I can't think of any others right now), and embellishes a few to the extreme, but the idea is correct.

There are a few that are candidate specific: abolish the IRS and increased oversight/controls over the Federal Reserve.

On January 24 2016 02:42 zlefin wrote:
JW -> while the way the republicans are trying to repeal the aca is bad; it is possible to repeal the ACA and replace it with something sounder.


Like what? Most people are itching to learn what we'll get instead, but so far there hasn't really been an alternate even floated, just a ton of attempts and talks of repeal.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
January 23 2016 17:54 GMT
#55630
On January 24 2016 02:14 KwarK wrote:
Obama's leadership of the return of Iran to the international community and the subsequent oil market share war between Sunni and Shiite Islam it triggered is the final nail in the coffin of Putin's power internationally. Russia's economy is imploding and I struggle to believe that nobody at the White House saw this coming.

We'll see how long the Russian people are willing to go without government subsidized services paid for with oil money and without imported luxuries which the inflation and devaluation has placed out of reach of all but the oligarchy.

Haha, nice try, but no. The current oil price depression has nothing to do with Obama or even really Iran. Thank US shale oil for creating a massive supply glut in 2014.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8744 Posts
January 23 2016 17:58 GMT
#55631
On January 24 2016 02:54 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2016 02:14 KwarK wrote:
Obama's leadership of the return of Iran to the international community and the subsequent oil market share war between Sunni and Shiite Islam it triggered is the final nail in the coffin of Putin's power internationally. Russia's economy is imploding and I struggle to believe that nobody at the White House saw this coming.

We'll see how long the Russian people are willing to go without government subsidized services paid for with oil money and without imported luxuries which the inflation and devaluation has placed out of reach of all but the oligarchy.

Haha, nice try, but no. The current oil price depression has nothing to do with Obama or even really Iran. Thank US shale oil for creating a massive supply glut in 2014.


always the US #1 card with you.

I for one make a toast to saudi aramco everytime I leave the gas station.
Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43966 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-23 18:04:59
January 23 2016 17:58 GMT
#55632
On January 24 2016 02:54 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2016 02:14 KwarK wrote:
Obama's leadership of the return of Iran to the international community and the subsequent oil market share war between Sunni and Shiite Islam it triggered is the final nail in the coffin of Putin's power internationally. Russia's economy is imploding and I struggle to believe that nobody at the White House saw this coming.

We'll see how long the Russian people are willing to go without government subsidized services paid for with oil money and without imported luxuries which the inflation and devaluation has placed out of reach of all but the oligarchy.

Haha, nice try, but no. The current oil price depression has nothing to do with Obama or even really Iran. Thank US shale oil for creating a massive supply glut in 2014.

Which got it down to $50, from $100. We're at $30 now. I am aware of domestic US oil production. If you're going to try and be condescending could you at least also put the effort in to try and be right? Or you could just treat other posters like intelligent humans.

Incidentally Russia needs $86/barrel for their budget to work and $50/barrel for their emergency budget to work. Government employees are already missing paychecks over there. If this continues for 18 months their cash reserves will be exhausted. Will be fun to see how it plays out.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
January 23 2016 18:05 GMT
#55633
On January 24 2016 02:54 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2016 02:14 KwarK wrote:
Obama's leadership of the return of Iran to the international community and the subsequent oil market share war between Sunni and Shiite Islam it triggered is the final nail in the coffin of Putin's power internationally. Russia's economy is imploding and I struggle to believe that nobody at the White House saw this coming.

We'll see how long the Russian people are willing to go without government subsidized services paid for with oil money and without imported luxuries which the inflation and devaluation has placed out of reach of all but the oligarchy.

Haha, nice try, but no. The current oil price depression has nothing to do with Obama or even really Iran. Thank US shale oil for creating a massive supply glut in 2014.

And China, India, and Brazil for going through their own economic contraction. Oh, and don't forget Europe forever floundering about with wrangling government budget deficits to prepare for the "next" economic downturn when they are sitting right in the middle of their last one still. Prices don't drop 75% over 2 years because global output increased 5% over 2 years.
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
January 23 2016 18:06 GMT
#55634
On January 24 2016 02:42 zlefin wrote:
JW -> while the way the republicans are trying to repeal the aca is bad; it is possible to repeal the ACA and replace it with something sounder.


Republicans have had 6 years to cough up something sounder. They have failed to even put an idea on paper.
JW_DTLA
Profile Joined December 2015
242 Posts
January 23 2016 18:20 GMT
#55635
On January 24 2016 02:25 oBlade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2016 01:31 JW_DTLA wrote:
On January 23 2016 22:02 GreenHorizons wrote:
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/690701138899898368

https://twitter.com/JebBush/status/690738809772888065

Is it me or is this grown ass men running for president acting like (nerdy) middle school kids?


Republicans can't run on policy because they don't have answers to the country's actual problems (income inequality, wage stagnation, environmental degradation, assimilation of new Americans, tackling global political Islam). They have to run on grade school bullying. Look at the Republican policy proposals:

Carpet bomb the Levant -- absolutely insane and the Air Force generals would resign before agreeing to it.
Tax cuts for the rich -- tried and failed, and polls so badly that Republicans don't even run on them anymore.
De-unionize America -- madness but they keep trying, polls like hell so they leave it to the judges.
Wild tarrifs (Trump) -- not possible under all out treaties, pointless and counterproductive in the modern globally integrated supply chain.
Privatize social security -- attempted in 2006 by Bush2 and Paul Ryan, Rubio and Bush3 presumably support this, disastrous.
Repeal ACA -- lunacy, would break the insurance industry and bring back pre-existing condition bans.
Criminalize abortion -- stupid and hateful move to punish single women.
Privatize public schools -- charter schools do no better than public ones, but funnel more money into well places private companies.
Muslim busting laws -- almost all of them are unconstitutional due to 1st and 14th, and will certainly backfire.

They can't run on those so they run on bluster and posturing in an attempt to appeal to easily manipulated white suburbanites (aka Values Voters).

I think it's interesting how people can differentiate policy and rhetorical posturing when it comes to Democratic candidates, but don't apply the same to Republican politicians. Or perhaps those people just agree with Democrats across the board anyway... maybe people on both "sides" take the other side as literally as possible so they can reduce the opposition to one unacceptable policy or another.


I chose not to delve deep Republican rhetoric and focus on the meat of what they are running on. The list I put up is a list of policies that I think they will actually do due to their history of advocating such policies and implementing them at the state level. The bullying and posturing rhetoric is just should be ignored when the policy stakes are so high. The tragedy is that the media focuses on the latest sound bites and quips between the Rs rather than looking at what these guys are actually saying they will do.

Contrast that with the arguments between Bernie and Clinton, which are almost entirely focused on finer details of various health and tax plans.
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4751 Posts
January 23 2016 18:27 GMT
#55636
On January 24 2016 02:54 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2016 02:14 KwarK wrote:
Obama's leadership of the return of Iran to the international community and the subsequent oil market share war between Sunni and Shiite Islam it triggered is the final nail in the coffin of Putin's power internationally. Russia's economy is imploding and I struggle to believe that nobody at the White House saw this coming.

We'll see how long the Russian people are willing to go without government subsidized services paid for with oil money and without imported luxuries which the inflation and devaluation has placed out of reach of all but the oligarchy.

Haha, nice try, but no. The current oil price depression has nothing to do with Obama or even really Iran. Thank US shale oil for creating a massive supply glut in 2014.


Shale oil contributes yes but Sauds refusing to lower they production is the main reason.
Pathetic Greta hater.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
January 23 2016 18:42 GMT
#55637
On January 24 2016 03:27 Silvanel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2016 02:54 xDaunt wrote:
On January 24 2016 02:14 KwarK wrote:
Obama's leadership of the return of Iran to the international community and the subsequent oil market share war between Sunni and Shiite Islam it triggered is the final nail in the coffin of Putin's power internationally. Russia's economy is imploding and I struggle to believe that nobody at the White House saw this coming.

We'll see how long the Russian people are willing to go without government subsidized services paid for with oil money and without imported luxuries which the inflation and devaluation has placed out of reach of all but the oligarchy.

Haha, nice try, but no. The current oil price depression has nothing to do with Obama or even really Iran. Thank US shale oil for creating a massive supply glut in 2014.


Shale oil contributes yes but Sauds refusing to lower they production is the main reason.

And why did they refuse to lower production? They've been very transparent about they primary reason: killing off the US shale oil industry.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
January 23 2016 18:44 GMT
#55638
On January 24 2016 03:06 JW_DTLA wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2016 02:42 zlefin wrote:
JW -> while the way the republicans are trying to repeal the aca is bad; it is possible to repeal the ACA and replace it with something sounder.


Republicans have had 6 years to cough up something sounder. They have failed to even put an idea on paper.


We could have a public option...

That's the only sort of large-ish change I see working on our healthcare system from a regulatory perspective right now.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
January 23 2016 18:45 GMT
#55639
On January 24 2016 03:05 aksfjh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 24 2016 02:54 xDaunt wrote:
On January 24 2016 02:14 KwarK wrote:
Obama's leadership of the return of Iran to the international community and the subsequent oil market share war between Sunni and Shiite Islam it triggered is the final nail in the coffin of Putin's power internationally. Russia's economy is imploding and I struggle to believe that nobody at the White House saw this coming.

We'll see how long the Russian people are willing to go without government subsidized services paid for with oil money and without imported luxuries which the inflation and devaluation has placed out of reach of all but the oligarchy.

Haha, nice try, but no. The current oil price depression has nothing to do with Obama or even really Iran. Thank US shale oil for creating a massive supply glut in 2014.

And China, India, and Brazil for going through their own economic contraction. Oh, and don't forget Europe forever floundering about with wrangling government budget deficits to prepare for the "next" economic downturn when they are sitting right in the middle of their last one still. Prices don't drop 75% over 2 years because global output increased 5% over 2 years.

You need to consider the added US production over more than two years. But beyond that, let us not bother wasting time stating the obvious that there are many factors that contribute to oil prices. I merely objected to the idiotic notion that Obama is responsible by design. Looking at all factors US shale production is clearly the biggest factor in the price drop.
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-01-23 19:36:05
January 23 2016 19:02 GMT
#55640
We've seen the shale boom affect output since late 2011, so about 4 years, where US output grew about 4 million barrels of oil per day. Total output in 2011 was about 88.5 million barrels per day (its currently, so US added about 4% cumulative from 2011 through 2015.

Oil prices didn't crash until late 2014, as global economic expectations started to seriously adjust downward. That was and still is the single largest drag on oil prices. I'm fine with not giving Obama credit, but don't try to make US industry to be some sort of hero in this case. You're more than welcome to give them credit for propping up the overall US economy (or at least the numbers) from 2011 through 2014.

Edit: magnitudes on oil
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