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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2554

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
November 23 2015 00:37 GMT
#51061
On November 23 2015 09:23 jellyjello wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 23 2015 07:19 Deathstar wrote:
On November 23 2015 07:08 LemOn wrote:
On November 23 2015 05:50 Deathstar wrote:
Trump leads Carson 32% to 22%, in a new poll by The Washington Post and ABC News.

And the real estate mogul leads the retired neurosurgeon 28% to 18% in a new Fox News poll.
...
In the Washington Post/ABC News poll, Rubio is in third at 11%, followed by Cruz at 8%, Bush at 6% and former tech CEO Carly Fiorina at 4%. In the Fox News poll, Rubio and Cruz are tied at 14% and Bush has 5%.


http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/22/politics/donald-trump-leads-ben-carson-two-polls-election-2016/

Trump has been sent from providence. Go to bed Ben.

Why is Rubio such a large favorite get the nomination now guys with the bookies? Is it because people from other candidates will flock to him as others drop out?


3 things come to mind for me.

1. He has Koch brother backing + other wealthy patrons (winner of Koch brother's love gets 1B+. He is in competition with Cruz, who is not establishment and more right-wing). So Marco Rubio has the eye of the establishment + Koch brothers/billionaires.
2. He doesn't have baggage (but also no experience...).
3. He is cuban (he can cozy up with hispanics. Remember Mitt Romney once jokingly saying that if he was part Mexican the election would have been over.)

But number 1 is most important.



Actually, Rubio's ascension is a direct result of his outstanding debate performances, but good try to make any viable GOP candidate look ridiculous. I personally think that Rubio is a GOP version of what Obama was in 2008, and therefore it would be a grave mistake to nominate him.


His debate performance hasn't been spectacular by any means, especially when he has had a number of questionable moments (e.g. his inability to do basic math).

His rise is a direct result of Jeb's implosion, which caused Rubio to be the de facto establishment candidate.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
November 23 2015 01:05 GMT
#51062
On November 23 2015 09:23 jellyjello wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 23 2015 07:19 Deathstar wrote:
On November 23 2015 07:08 LemOn wrote:
On November 23 2015 05:50 Deathstar wrote:
Trump leads Carson 32% to 22%, in a new poll by The Washington Post and ABC News.

And the real estate mogul leads the retired neurosurgeon 28% to 18% in a new Fox News poll.
...
In the Washington Post/ABC News poll, Rubio is in third at 11%, followed by Cruz at 8%, Bush at 6% and former tech CEO Carly Fiorina at 4%. In the Fox News poll, Rubio and Cruz are tied at 14% and Bush has 5%.


http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/22/politics/donald-trump-leads-ben-carson-two-polls-election-2016/

Trump has been sent from providence. Go to bed Ben.

Why is Rubio such a large favorite get the nomination now guys with the bookies? Is it because people from other candidates will flock to him as others drop out?


3 things come to mind for me.

1. He has Koch brother backing + other wealthy patrons (winner of Koch brother's love gets 1B+. He is in competition with Cruz, who is not establishment and more right-wing). So Marco Rubio has the eye of the establishment + Koch brothers/billionaires.
2. He doesn't have baggage (but also no experience...).
3. He is cuban (he can cozy up with hispanics. Remember Mitt Romney once jokingly saying that if he was part Mexican the election would have been over.)

But number 1 is most important.



Actually, Rubio's ascension is a direct result of his outstanding debate performances, but good try to make any viable GOP candidate look ridiculous. I personally think that Rubio is a GOP version of what Obama was in 2008, and therefore it would be a grave mistake to nominate him.


I wasn't trying lol
rip passion
killa_robot
Profile Joined May 2010
Canada1884 Posts
November 23 2015 02:14 GMT
#51063
On November 23 2015 06:39 GreenHorizons wrote:
Besides those numbers being very misleading (read: wrong) the cop covering crowd seems to fail to understand that it's not just getting killed but getting killed by the people we're paying to protect us that's the problem, along with the whole cops almost never going to trial/getting convicted when they do murder someone.


Cops aren't paid to protect "us", they're paid to protect "society". If they suspect someone might be dangerous, they'll prioritize their own life before the other person's.

I don't think it's wrong to hold them accountable, but most people have pretty unrealistic expectations for cops.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21973 Posts
November 23 2015 02:17 GMT
#51064
On November 23 2015 11:14 killa_robot wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 23 2015 06:39 GreenHorizons wrote:
Besides those numbers being very misleading (read: wrong) the cop covering crowd seems to fail to understand that it's not just getting killed but getting killed by the people we're paying to protect us that's the problem, along with the whole cops almost never going to trial/getting convicted when they do murder someone.


Cops aren't paid to protect "us", they're paid to protect "society". If they suspect someone might be dangerous, they'll prioritize their own life before the other person's.

I don't think it's wrong to hold them accountable, but most people have pretty unrealistic expectations for cops.

a lot of those people have lived outside of the US and know how cops can behave in contrast.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
killa_robot
Profile Joined May 2010
Canada1884 Posts
November 23 2015 02:35 GMT
#51065
On November 23 2015 11:17 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 23 2015 11:14 killa_robot wrote:
On November 23 2015 06:39 GreenHorizons wrote:
Besides those numbers being very misleading (read: wrong) the cop covering crowd seems to fail to understand that it's not just getting killed but getting killed by the people we're paying to protect us that's the problem, along with the whole cops almost never going to trial/getting convicted when they do murder someone.


Cops aren't paid to protect "us", they're paid to protect "society". If they suspect someone might be dangerous, they'll prioritize their own life before the other person's.

I don't think it's wrong to hold them accountable, but most people have pretty unrealistic expectations for cops.

a lot of those people have lived outside of the US and know how cops can behave in contrast.


Unless these places have comparable violent crime levels to the states, I really don't see how you think this is actually a point.
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
November 23 2015 02:42 GMT
#51066
Most people living in other countries don't live in an environment like the US. We border a failed state dominated by drug cartels.
They are in our military and in our police force. They are in our prisons and travel throughout the country.
https://www.fbi.gov/stats-services/publications/2011-national-gang-threat-assessment/2011-national-gang-threat-assessment-emerging-trends

This is only a part of the broader problem, but it is a problem. Our police force needs to be vigilant of drug gangs and drug trafficking, groups that are highly violent. Urban areas also have similar problems as well...
rip passion
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43296 Posts
November 23 2015 03:07 GMT
#51067
On November 23 2015 11:35 killa_robot wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 23 2015 11:17 Gorsameth wrote:
On November 23 2015 11:14 killa_robot wrote:
On November 23 2015 06:39 GreenHorizons wrote:
Besides those numbers being very misleading (read: wrong) the cop covering crowd seems to fail to understand that it's not just getting killed but getting killed by the people we're paying to protect us that's the problem, along with the whole cops almost never going to trial/getting convicted when they do murder someone.


Cops aren't paid to protect "us", they're paid to protect "society". If they suspect someone might be dangerous, they'll prioritize their own life before the other person's.

I don't think it's wrong to hold them accountable, but most people have pretty unrealistic expectations for cops.

a lot of those people have lived outside of the US and know how cops can behave in contrast.


Unless these places have comparable violent crime levels to the states, I really don't see how you think this is actually a point.

The role of the police force within the state is a moral question, not a pragmatic one. You can aspire to something and fall short. The US police force aspires to be something very different to what Europeans would recognize as good policing. It's not simply that the circumstances are different, the philosophy is too.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 23 2015 03:19 GMT
#51068
lets see about that in a few years
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8654 Posts
November 23 2015 04:15 GMT
#51069
with no 2nd amendment and glorification culture of guns, which basically means that anyone can have a gun at any time which in turn makes the police officer's job even harder, I doubt we will see chicago levels of gang violence for example. even with the recent influx of refugees.





Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before the fall.
ElMeanYo
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1032 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-23 07:37:04
November 23 2015 07:34 GMT
#51070
On November 23 2015 13:15 Doublemint wrote:
with no 2nd amendment and glorification culture of guns, which basically means that anyone can have a gun at any time which in turn makes the police officer's job even harder, I doubt we will see chicago levels of gang violence for example. even with the recent influx of refugees.


Wrong. 2nd amendment makes the cops job easier, assuming they know who they have issued CC permits to. The threat of an armed 'victim' deters a lot more crimes than you would think.

However... I agree with the 'glorification of guns'. This is a direct result of liberal media and hollywood portraying gun violence and violence in general as 'consequence free' and 'cool' in the eyes of the young and easily impressionable.
“The only man who never makes mistakes is the man who never does anything.” ― Theodore Roosevelt
Slaughter
Profile Blog Joined November 2003
United States20254 Posts
November 23 2015 07:37 GMT
#51071
On November 23 2015 16:34 ElMeanYo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 23 2015 13:15 Doublemint wrote:
with no 2nd amendment and glorification culture of guns, which basically means that anyone can have a gun at any time which in turn makes the police officer's job even harder, I doubt we will see chicago levels of gang violence for example. even with the recent influx of refugees.


Wrong. 2nd amendment makes the cops job easier, assuming they know who they have issued CC permits to. The threat of an armed 'victim' deters a lot more crimes than you would think.


Or just escalates situations.
Never Knows Best.
Warfie
Profile Joined February 2009
Norway2846 Posts
November 23 2015 08:00 GMT
#51072
Oh boy here we go again...

On another note, would be an interesting (and completely insane) experiment to see how a department of police from say a Scandinavian country would fare if put on duty for 1 month in the US in a burdened area
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23493 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-23 10:48:51
November 23 2015 10:34 GMT
#51073
On November 23 2015 17:00 Warfie wrote:
Oh boy here we go again...

On another note, would be an interesting (and completely insane) experiment to see how a department of police from say a Scandinavian country would fare if put on duty for 1 month in the US in a burdened area


Well it would be interesting to see police shootings vs civilian shootings by city, not sure if that's out there but we know the police have been drastically under reporting how many people they kill every year so those statistics are kind of useless. Cops don't get shot at as often as they'd like to make you think though.

There's no question Scandinavian cops would do better than cops in the cities that don't have that excuse. Though I'd imagine some additional fire arms training and some acclimation would have them getting better results within a year even in the toughest areas.

They did a much better job than I would expect from the NYPD on an NYC subway.



Lately it seems like the word "deescalation" isn't in the police's vocabulary and there's no question that has led to more violence
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-23 14:01:45
November 23 2015 13:10 GMT
#51074
Even if the numbers Trump tweeted were "correct", they're pretty meaningless without knowing how many active duty police officers and people of each ethnicity there are (if there were 1 police officer per every 100 African Americans, he would have the same rate of killing per capita). For even easier understanding, if there are a quarter as many cops as white people, the cops are actually killing at twice the rate you would expect if they were "just white people". That's not great news.

But numbers without context or understanding didn't stop his immigration "statistics," his unemployment "statistics," or pretty much any of the gibberish he's said in the past, and no one will ever question him on it, so it doesn't matter really.

It's interesting, actually, because I've noticed at debates that when he gets called out on something/ignored his gut impulse is always to quote official sounding numbers when insulting other people (polls especially). He seems to think the numbers give him magical protection against stupidity or something. Kinda like how Bernie evades by mentioning the income gap and Clinton evaded with 9/11.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
November 23 2015 14:59 GMT
#51075
On November 23 2015 11:42 Deathstar wrote:
Most people living in other countries don't live in an environment like the US. We border a failed state dominated by drug cartels.
They are in our military and in our police force. They are in our prisons and travel throughout the country.
https://www.fbi.gov/stats-services/publications/2011-national-gang-threat-assessment/2011-national-gang-threat-assessment-emerging-trends

This is only a part of the broader problem, but it is a problem. Our police force needs to be vigilant of drug gangs and drug trafficking, groups that are highly violent. Urban areas also have similar problems as well...

We sell those drug cartels the majority of their fire arms, which they buy with money they get selling the US drugs. Failed state us to constant influx of illegal fire arms and money from the US.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
heliusx
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States2306 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-23 15:11:37
November 23 2015 15:08 GMT
#51076
On November 23 2015 23:59 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 23 2015 11:42 Deathstar wrote:
Most people living in other countries don't live in an environment like the US. We border a failed state dominated by drug cartels.
They are in our military and in our police force. They are in our prisons and travel throughout the country.
https://www.fbi.gov/stats-services/publications/2011-national-gang-threat-assessment/2011-national-gang-threat-assessment-emerging-trends

This is only a part of the broader problem, but it is a problem. Our police force needs to be vigilant of drug gangs and drug trafficking, groups that are highly violent. Urban areas also have similar problems as well...

We sell those drug cartels the majority of their fire arms, which they buy with money they get selling the US drugs. Failed state us to constant influx of illegal fire arms and money from the US.

Who is "we"? They get a lot of weapons through straw purchases but I don't see how that's "us" "selling cartels the majority of their fire arms". Beyond that, how do you know where most cartel guns are sourced? Is there some information I'm unaware of? Or just pulling that out your ass Trump style?
dude bro.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-23 15:16:48
November 23 2015 15:15 GMT
#51077
On November 24 2015 00:08 heliusx wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 23 2015 23:59 Plansix wrote:
On November 23 2015 11:42 Deathstar wrote:
Most people living in other countries don't live in an environment like the US. We border a failed state dominated by drug cartels.
They are in our military and in our police force. They are in our prisons and travel throughout the country.
https://www.fbi.gov/stats-services/publications/2011-national-gang-threat-assessment/2011-national-gang-threat-assessment-emerging-trends

This is only a part of the broader problem, but it is a problem. Our police force needs to be vigilant of drug gangs and drug trafficking, groups that are highly violent. Urban areas also have similar problems as well...

We sell those drug cartels the majority of their fire arms, which they buy with money they get selling the US drugs. Failed state us to constant influx of illegal fire arms and money from the US.

Who is "we"? They get a lot of weapons through straw purchases but I don't see how that's "us" "selling cartels the majority of their fire arms". Beyond that, how do you know where most cartel guns are sourced? Is there some information I'm unaware of? Or just pulling that out your as Trump style?

We collectively, as in the US as a whole. We reasonable number of drugs from Mexico. And a lot of guns travel from the US to Mexico, which is an issue the US government is not willing to address.

http://joeg.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2014/06/13/jeg.lbu021.abstract

The worst part about it is that there are so many weird restrictions on government agencies when it comes to gun sales, good numbers are hard to come by. But its a lot of firearms that travel to Mexico and there are some gun manufacturers that would like it to stay that way.

Which is why I responded to calling Mexico a failed state, because its not like the US is making their life any easier.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
heliusx
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States2306 Posts
November 23 2015 15:23 GMT
#51078
Ah so your source is a paper locked behind a paywall. If your assertion is widely accepted as fact I'm sure you'll have no problems finding a free source.
dude bro.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 23 2015 15:27 GMT
#51079
to be sure the u.s. prison system and cops in certain areas are hugely destructive, but there are way more threats and the whole narcotic problem too.

i'd say europe's current situation is similar to the u.s. without the narcotics trade and related gang problems. the segregation and lack of law enforcement presence is shared with u.s. in the 60's. the gangs were able to take over power vacuum neighborhoods neglected by police. europe does not have this yet, but hte conditions are still ripe.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
November 23 2015 15:35 GMT
#51080
On November 24 2015 00:23 heliusx wrote:
Ah so your source is a paper locked behind a paywall. If your assertion is widely accepted as fact I'm sure you'll have no problems finding a free source.

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/nation-world/world/article24746863.html

There are plenty of sources out there preforming studies that find similar results with a simple google search. It is a pretty well documented issue.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
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