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Every Matchup's Top 5 Winrates (all ASLs & KSLs)

Forum Index > BW General
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Kanzzer
Profile Joined October 2025
54 Posts
May 28 2026 10:45 GMT
#1
Note:

1. I don't assign rankings to players wi​th less than 25 games played in a matchup. Their records are included anyway for reference.​

2. I ​do not include Random game results ​to these tables. You'd think it's a no brainer, but surp​risingly ​S​OOP doesn't care whether Random was involved and includes both FlaSh and his opponent results into their main faction records​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​.

3. Yes it's 22 ASL seasons, not 21. SOOP counts Season 0 results in their on-screen players stats, and S0 champion has the S0 star on their jacket too.

4. Yes KSL t​itles are equally as prestigious as ASL titles too. Except for F​laSh (couldn't d​o too many starleagues), Bisu, effOrt and HERO (military services), all your favorite ASL champions a​nd runners-up participated and took them seriously.

Protoss vs. Protoss
[image loading]


Protoss vs. Terran
[image loading]


Protoss vs. Zerg
[image loading]


Terran vs. Protoss
[image loading]


Terran vs. Terran
[image loading]


Terran vs. Zerg
[image loading]


Zerg vs. Protoss
[image loading]


Zerg vs. Terran
[image loading]


Zerg vs. Zerg
[image loading]
Simplistik
Profile Blog Joined November 2007
2140 Posts
May 28 2026 11:04 GMT
#2
Cutoff at 20 seems more reasonable.
Dear BW Gods, it IS now autumn, so...
Kanzzer
Profile Joined October 2025
54 Posts
May 28 2026 11:17 GMT
#3
On May 28 2026 20:04 Simplistik wrote:
Cutoff at 20 seems more reasonable.


You can if you want to. Allowing cutoff at 20 would recognize:

- Bisu as #3 PvP over Mini
- Horang2 as #2 PvT over Mini, Best, Bisu and Rain
- Mong as #2 TvP over Light, Rush, Mind, Rush and Last
- sSak as #4 TvT over Light and Rush
- Sea as #5 TvZ over JyJ (or even Light who couldn't make the top 5)

...none of which I'm personally too comfortable with. But to each their own.
Peeano
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Netherlands5625 Posts
May 28 2026 13:30 GMT
#4
About 90% of Hero's ZvP wins is hydra bust, right? Getting 64% winrate with that is not bad at all.
FBH #1!
Crimson)S(hadow
Profile Blog Joined July 2007
Philippines711 Posts
May 28 2026 13:46 GMT
#5
hero is not necessarily a hydra bust player, he is the epitome of why protoss complain about hydralisks; 480-500 apm macro+micro that dodges every storm.

whether it be queen's 973, his own signature build of 3hatch lair hydra den skipping spire for monstrous hydra macro, or standard 3h spire 5hatch hydra, he is the first person that comes to mind when i hear protoss players meme about "all zergs have to do to win is be good at pressing the SH button"
"It's the end of the BW era which i devoted everything to for 10 years. I tried playing sc2, but my BW memories run too deep; I felt like I was playing an entirely different game" -ToSsGirL
iopq
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States1092 Posts
May 28 2026 15:31 GMT
#6
On May 28 2026 22:30 Peeano wrote:
About 90% of Hero's ZvP wins is hydra bust, right? Getting 64% winrate with that is not bad at all.


No, he's 90% battle Zerg, he goes mass muta/hydra and switches into lurkers and just gets more stuff and tries to stop Protoss from getting more bases

Losing to a hydra bust is basically just being greedy (unless we're talking about hydra range + ling speed all in right before corsair pops out)
BisuDagger
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Bisutopia19363 Posts
May 28 2026 16:18 GMT
#7
This is great.

Kanzzer do you have any spreadsheets you can share/pm? This would help so much when I try to do stat collection on liquipedia for news articles .
ModeratorFormer Afreeca Starleague Caster: http://afreeca.tv/ASL2ENG2
Kanzzer
Profile Joined October 2025
54 Posts
May 28 2026 16:50 GMT
#8
On May 29 2026 01:18 BisuDagger wrote:
This is great.

Kanzzer do you have any spreadsheets you can share/pm? This would help so much when I try to do stat collection on liquipedia for news articles .



I have a master spreadsheet logging every single ASL + KSL matches ever along with a winrate calculator etc...Let me tidy it up and I'll post a link later.
iopq
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States1092 Posts
May 28 2026 18:39 GMT
#9
On May 29 2026 00:31 iopq wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 28 2026 22:30 Peeano wrote:
About 90% of Hero's ZvP wins is hydra bust, right? Getting 64% winrate with that is not bad at all.


No, he's 90% battle Zerg, he goes mass muta/hydra and switches into lurkers and just gets more stuff and tries to stop Protoss from getting more bases

Losing to a hydra bust is basically just being greedy (unless we're talking about hydra range + ling speed all in right before corsair pops out)


Here is his bread and butter:


FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10443 Posts
May 28 2026 19:32 GMT
#10
Interesting to note that in TvP and PvZ, the top 5 includes players with sub 50% winrates.

Maybe at pro level, instead of T>Z>P=T, it's actually Z>P>T=Z. Zesagi.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
doktordingerdonger
Profile Joined October 2025
113 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-05-28 21:12:44
May 28 2026 21:12 GMT
#11
On May 29 2026 04:32 FlaShFTW wrote:
Interesting to note that in TvP and PvZ, the top 5 includes players with sub 50% winrates.

Maybe at pro level, instead of T>Z>P=T, it's actually Z>P>T=Z. Zesagi.


This shit again

[image loading]


We all know your argument now: "but its 2016-24" "but but without Flash".

Until you get better data, than https://tl.net/forum/brood-war/617591-lots-of-stats-from-the-asl-ksl-era-of-pro-broodwar

Honestly, you do not get clowned enough by spouting this BS.
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10443 Posts
May 28 2026 21:56 GMT
#12
Damn, I thought that was so obviously a joke that no one could possibly get that riled up over my comment.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
Peeano
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Netherlands5625 Posts
May 28 2026 22:21 GMT
#13
Zesagi is obvious. Just check the winners of the most prestige tournament. Even Flash can't beat them when it matters despite being ahead.
FBH #1!
Maks
Profile Joined December 2010
Ukraine193 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-05-28 23:42:54
May 28 2026 23:41 GMT
#14
On May 29 2026 07:21 Peeano wrote:
Zesagi is obvious. Just check the winners of the most prestige tournament. Even Flash can't beat them when it matters despite being ahead.

That’s just recency bias. Historically (since patch 1.08), Terran has still been the top race. Out of 82 premier tournaments (OSL + MSL + KSL + ASL), Terrans have won 35 times, compared to Zerg’s 31 and Protoss’s 16.

[image loading]
Peeano
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Netherlands5625 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-05-29 06:03:52
May 29 2026 06:03 GMT
#15
+ Show Spoiler +
Since you took the bait
And without Flash? lmao
FBH #1!
RowdierBob
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
Australia13424 Posts
21 hours ago
#16
Seems the T>Z>P>T still largely holding all these years later (unless you’re flash and just crush everyone).
"Terrans are pretty much space-Australians" - H
p4fn2w
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
394 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-05-29 10:02:00
20 hours ago
#17
Would be interesting to have the winrates broken down by year (or every N years if the small sample size is too small). Meta and map pool changes seasonally, and I'm curious to see how each match up is trending.
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium5177 Posts
20 hours ago
#18
I'm surprised Light isn't in the list for TvZ.
Taxes are for Terrans
Peeano
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Netherlands5625 Posts
20 hours ago
#19
On May 29 2026 19:34 Uldridge wrote:
I'm surprised Light isn't in the list for TvZ.

Probably because he was and is a proleague monster.
FBH #1!
Kanzzer
Profile Joined October 2025
54 Posts
19 hours ago
#20
On May 29 2026 19:34 Uldridge wrote:
I'm surprised Light isn't in the list for TvZ.

Light's KSL TvZ records: 18W - 11L
Light's ASL TvZ records: 40W - 38L
Light's Total TvZ records: 58W - 49L (54.21%) (would have ranked 6)

JyJ Total TvZ records: 24W - 19L (55.81%) (ranked 5)
ThunderJunk
Profile Joined December 2015
United States735 Posts
10 hours ago
#21
On May 29 2026 06:12 doktordingerdonger wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 29 2026 04:32 FlaShFTW wrote:
Interesting to note that in TvP and PvZ, the top 5 includes players with sub 50% winrates.

Maybe at pro level, instead of T>Z>P=T, it's actually Z>P>T=Z. Zesagi.


This shit again

[image loading]


We all know your argument now: "but its 2016-24" "but but without Flash".

Until you get better data, than https://tl.net/forum/brood-war/617591-lots-of-stats-from-the-asl-ksl-era-of-pro-broodwar

Honestly, you do not get clowned enough by spouting this BS.


Shouldn't the overall winrates average out at 50%? How is it possible that all 3 races have sub-50% winrates?
I am free because I know that I alone am morally responsible for everything I do.
Empyrean
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
17065 Posts
Last Edited: 2026-05-29 20:31:50
10 hours ago
#22
On May 30 2026 05:04 ThunderJunk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 29 2026 06:12 doktordingerdonger wrote:
On May 29 2026 04:32 FlaShFTW wrote:
Interesting to note that in TvP and PvZ, the top 5 includes players with sub 50% winrates.

Maybe at pro level, instead of T>Z>P=T, it's actually Z>P>T=Z. Zesagi.


This shit again

[image loading]


We all know your argument now: "but its 2016-24" "but but without Flash".

Until you get better data, than https://tl.net/forum/brood-war/617591-lots-of-stats-from-the-asl-ksl-era-of-pro-broodwar

Honestly, you do not get clowned enough by spouting this BS.


Shouldn't the overall winrates average out at 50%? How is it possible that all 3 races have sub-50% winrates?


The actual numbers of players/match-ups of each race/match-up type are not balanced.
Moderator
so0willprevail
Profile Joined July 2018
9 Posts
9 hours ago
#23
Rain PvP in KSL was just ludicrous. Wish we still had another legit tourney these days besides ASL.
sc2turtlepants
Profile Joined December 2023
54 Posts
2 hours ago
#24
On May 29 2026 15:03 Peeano wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Since you took the bait
And without Flash? lmao


On May 29 2026 06:56 FlaShFTW wrote:
Damn, I thought that was so obviously a joke that no one could possibly get that riled up over my comment.



Why aren't the class clowns getting bans for these disingenuous comments? Shit like this ruins forums.

Doctor, thanks for the link to the old thread. I'm shit at finding stats for bw but I've been wanting to review some so I'll definitely be giving that a read over my coffee in the morning
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