EPT![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/QDmKbFa.png)
SPOILERS INCOMING POST DAY 4 OF SSL RO16, YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED!
With just one week and 2 match days left to go till the end of 10th SonicTV Starleague Round of 16 Group Stage, I begin to analyze heavily of all the possibilities on who will end up toward the next stages of Round of 8.
After finalizing the results of Ro16 Day 4, I have come to a conclusion that potential tiebreakers is inevitable before all players and fans alike can breathe easy.
Note: This will be somewhat of major spoilers for those who have not seen up to SSL10 Ro16 Day 4 matches. You have been warned again!
Following the results and possibilities that can occur for each group within Group A to Group D, I decided to make simple split description into 4 different sections:
Group A:
+ Show Spoiler +
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/1rQHkoV.png)
Winners and losers already determined?
Looks simple right? Wrong, while there is no tiebreakers happening here, the battle determing first or second seeds of Group A lies directly between Mong and Mini. As for Movie/Pure who currently lost all their matches, all hope has been lost for them already. See this extremely complicated pie chart below for details:
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/9WBJyRW.png)
Geez, who will possibly advance to ro8?
Outcome: NO TIEBREAKER, Day 5 determines 1st/2nd Seed for Ro8 Group
Group B:
+ Show Spoiler +
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Dgedggn.png)
Group B: The Group of Death
The first potential tiebreaker in the works ever since OGN restarted broadcasting SC BW Starleague! Here's the actual breakdown:
1. Mind goes 3-0 taking 1st Seed while Jangbi/Free/PianO all go 1-2 for a 3-way tiebreaker to fight for 2nd Seed.
OR
2. Mind/Jangbi/Free all go 2-1 for a 3-way tiebreaker to fight for 1st AND 2nd Seeds while PianO eliminated with 0-3 record.
OR
3. Free > Mind and PianO > Jangbi and thus Mind/Free advance (with NO TIEBREAKERS).
OR
4. Mind > Free and Jangbi > PianO and thus Mind/Jangbi advance (with NO TIEBREAKERS).
If you still don't understand what this all means, why don't you look at this extremely easy-to-determine pie chart to see who will advance as first and who will advance as second in Group B:
Note: If name is first, that player is considered 1st seed of the group. If name is second, that player is considered 2nd seed of the group.
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/afFok8P.png)
Compared to Group A, this looks fairly easy, right?
Outcome: Out of 4 possible results, two of them will result in a 3-WAY TIEBREAKER determining either 1st/2nd seed or just 2nd seed for Ro8 Group
Group C:
+ Show Spoiler +
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/RuuN1yB.png)
Group of Deat.... wait, this is Group C?!
That's right, if you just saw my Group B section, you will notice that this is awfully identical right to what's to expect in the next two matches. Therefore, I simply copy/paste Group B scenarios and replace name A with name B on actual breakdown:
1. sSak goes 3-0 taking 1st Seed while Snow/hero/Sea.KH all go 1-2 for a 3-way tiebreaker to fight for 2nd Seed.
OR
2. sSak/Snow/hero all go 2-1 for a 3-way tiebreaker to fight for 1st AND 2nd Seeds while Sea.KH eliminated with 0-3 record.
OR
3. Snow > sSak and Sea.KH > hero and thus sSak/Snow advance (with NO TIEBREAKERS).
OR
4. sSak > Snow and hero > Sea.KH and thus sSak/hero advance (with NO TIEBREAKERS).
If you're unclear about what this all means, here's an easy-to-follow pie chart that shows all possibilities to who advance 1st/2nd with percentage!
Note: If name is first, that player is considered 1st seed of the group. If name is second, that player is considered 2nd seed of the group.
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ieGL1Tc.png)
I once ate a pie like this, guess which slice I got?
Outcome: Out of 4 possible results, two of them will result in a 3-WAY TIEBREAKER determining either 1st/2nd seed or just 2nd seed for Ro8 Group
Group D:
+ Show Spoiler +
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/ZkpQwpL.png)
Everyone is equal! How's this possible?!
While this looks complicated and marks way for tiebreaker scenario by the end of match day 6, we'll determine who are winners and who are losers for Group D. But the question remains, who will be the winner of winners and loser of losers?!
With the given matches remaining, it's clear that 2 winners and 2 losers will be selected but without knowing who the 1st nor 2nd seed of this group will be. Given by this rare, strange, and weird scenario, OGN may just pull a tiebreaker match just to determine 1st/2nd seed IF ONLY there are tiebreaker matches on other groups already.
Here's all the possibilities in a form of a pie chart to see who shall rise as a winner and THE WINNER:
Note: If name is first, that player is considered 1st seed of the group. If name is second, that player is considered 2nd seed of the group.
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/fm4A9vV.png)
Perfect 8 slices of pie except that each of them suppose to be 12.5%...
Outcome: There'll be clear 2 winners of Group D but a 1st/2nd Seed TIEBREAKER may occur if OGN decides to spend resources for additional broadcast and possibly if there's other tiebreaker groups occurring already.
There you have it folks! Quick rundown of potential tiebreaker scenarios and outcomes for one of the biggest and exciting Korean Professional StarCraft Broodwar Starleague in 2015!
Special thanks and shout-outs to DiMiaN for SSL10 banner graphics, Prech for excel/pie chart conversions, Terranlisk, crimson0011, c3rberUs, GGtimes, kngtheo, ninazerg and everyone else at snipealot2 twitch chat who was with me while trying to figure out the exact math on google docs doodling. Not to mention some of the most "unique" macro images I've seen while I was figuring out the percentages to make a pie chart just because any thread that uses pie chart is automatically considered a cool thread.
