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Cell Mini Mafia II

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 13 2014 06:56 GMT
#33
/in
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 26 2014 21:55 GMT
#177
tomorrow >>>>>>> today for me :D
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 12:57 GMT
#497
skimmed through this. So far I like hf´s mayor campaign best. I definitely don´t want ritoky as mayor because the freedom shit annoys me.

The thing about Poof brought up about Palmar is nothing I´d read into.

Some more thoughts will follow later when I´m caught up.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 14:21 GMT
#499
On May 28 2014 22:07 Palmar wrote:
join me in voting mtamburini mderg.

I won´t do that. I think the mayor role actually matters and mtamburini did nothing except talk about rng. Definitely not getting my vote.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 15:14 GMT
#501
My thoughts so far:

I really like bunnies´ play so far. It´s just screaming town to me. This would also mean that layabout is scum. Since layabout´s contributions are pretty much only pointing out common knowledge my cell seems straightforward to me.

I don´t like how ritoky played the freedom thing at all. But his suggested cell order is well reasoned and makes sense. So I think he´s town and I may even consider voting for him as mayor.
I don´t really like M_Z because he is so into the freedom thing and kinda buddied with ritoky. He also called the meta case on Palmar "a pretty damning meta case". IMO it´s something to look into but definitely not even close to a 100% scum tell.


mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 17:10 GMT
#509
On May 29 2014 01:12 27ninjabunnies wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 29 2014 00:14 mderg wrote:
My thoughts so far:

I really like bunnies´ play so far. It´s just screaming town to me. This would also mean that layabout is scum. Since layabout´s contributions are pretty much only pointing out common knowledge my cell seems straightforward to me.

I don´t like how ritoky played the freedom thing at all. But his suggested cell order is well reasoned and makes sense. So I think he´s town and I may even consider voting for him as mayor.
I don´t really like M_Z because he is so into the freedom thing and kinda buddied with ritoky. He also called the meta case on Palmar "a pretty damning meta case". IMO it´s something to look into but definitely not even close to a 100% scum tell.




So at first you weren't going to vote for ritoky as mayor, but now you are considering it.

What about his cell order seems reasonable?


Yeah, when I skimmed through this thread, only his freedom/murrica posts came to my mind but after reading carefully I saw that he also had serious posts and elaborated on his thought process.


On May 28 2014 09:41 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 28 2014 09:18 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
Mayor-Elect Ritoky could you dazzle me with some scum reads?


In all seriousness, I am trying to think about this game slightly different than a normal mafia game. I am trying to think about it in terms of the cells and getting strong reads on players in the cells. Outside of the fact that freedom and murrica declare that Cell A should go first, I know I am town and I think you have posted and done enough in the thread for me to get a strong read on you. Thrawn has yet to post, so I can't speak with certainty, but I think there is a wealth of information in the thread about Cell A for people to make informed reads on two of us already.

The next Cells I would consider after A are C or B. Probably C before B. In regards to Cell C, I think there is something off about ShiaoPi's post where he was critical of those who were joking. I didn't really find that it added much to the game beyond complaining about the state of the game. To me his complaints are anti-freedom. If he doesn't like the state of the game, why didn't he push hard for it to change to a more serious tone instead of just pointing it out and walking away? HF, unfortunately, has done more to push a town than Shiao but I also find his avoidance of certain questions and topics (such as my campaign against him) to be questionable. Batsnacks hasn't posted. We will see about him, but I think that after Cell A which will be very clear cut, how people vote in regards to cell C will be highly informative. Currently, I am about that Shiao kill in C (although I sways toward HF the more anti-freedom he spews).

Cell B would probably be next, although I could be convinced that it should go before C. I think poofter has pitted himself against Palmar in a very strong way, and I think WoS's response to that direction opposition of two people in his cell will be very alignment indicative for him. I like poofter currently, as he is in my murrica huddle. I like his case as a baseline for starting an extensive inquiry into Palmar. I think he also needs to bit of time to really flesh it out with gameplay support or watch it fall through. Which is why I would have him go 3rd. Currently, I am about that Palmar kill in B.

The last two would be probably E then D as of right now. Simply because I think we have the least information about those two at the moment and I can't say I have particularly strong feelings about any of the people outside of bunnies in those groups. I could be convinced to push D up after group A into the 2nd spot if someone convinces me of that sick tambo read, cuz his post was strange. I think it was him trying to make a joke about golden sun, but it fell flat and was awk.

Wanting his cell first makes sense, if he is pretty sure who the scum is in there. Even though I don´t agree with his read in that.

His suspicion about ShiaoPi seemed warranted. Not a strong read but with the information from the first lynch I think one can make a good read of cell C.

Cell B is the one I´m not sure about, so I wouldn´t put it at the start or the end.

At that point there was little information on cell E, so putting it late seemed reasonable. Cell D was also not even close to figured out.


At this point in the game I wouldn´t go with ritoky´s order anymore because the state of the game changed. When he suggested it it was reasonable, though. I think cell E and D should be earlier while cell C should be later on. So in case ritoky is willing to change the cell order to fit the ongoings and elaborates on his thoughts I´m willing to vote for him. If he wants to stick to his earlier suggestions, I´m not voting for him.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 17:58 GMT
#528
Am I the only one here who wants cell C to go late? Right now I can´t read that at all.
Hf´s mayor campaign seemed townie but at some point I started to find it strange how he didn´t want to take responsibility for the cell order. So my read on him is kinda null.
batsnacks had some good guidelines about the cell order but it wasn´t really specific. I also didn´t agree with lynching the lowest contributing cells first. I´m slightly leaning towards town but I´m really not sure about that.
ShiaoPi is like a huge question mark for me right now.

So for me this is the last cell I´d want to go first.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 18:21 GMT
#532
On May 29 2014 03:13 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 29 2014 02:58 mderg wrote:
Am I the only one here who wants cell C to go late? Right now I can´t read that at all.
Hf´s mayor campaign seemed townie but at some point I started to find it strange how he didn´t want to take responsibility for the cell order. So my read on him is kinda null.
batsnacks had some good guidelines about the cell order but it wasn´t really specific. I also didn´t agree with lynching the lowest contributing cells first. I´m slightly leaning towards town but I´m really not sure about that.
ShiaoPi is like a huge question mark for me right now.

So for me this is the last cell I´d want to go first.


did you read the last page? :p

Of course.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 18:24 GMT
#535
On May 29 2014 03:21 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 29 2014 03:17 slOosh wrote:
On May 29 2014 02:53 Holyflare wrote:
On May 29 2014 02:50 slOosh wrote:
On May 29 2014 02:42 Holyflare wrote:
if sloosh does not post soon after posting in detention then he could actually be mafia btw

And if I post I'm mafia? Quite the loaded statement here.


how does that statement make sense :o? you posted in another game and hadn't posted here yet, people that don't really want to focus on a second game over their first are usually mafia who don't care but you've posted now (albeit nothing noteworthy) so it's all cool

The idea is that one could easily follow up with "hey he is mafia and only posting when called out". Which you would think people would realize is a pretty frail reason to lynch someone, but I've been mislynched enough times to overestimate the general townie's perceptive abilities.


well i didn't do that so whatever :D


Show nested quote +
On May 29 2014 02:58 mderg wrote:
Am I the only one here who wants cell C to go late? Right now I can´t read that at all.
Hf´s mayor campaign seemed townie but at some point I started to find it strange how he didn´t want to take responsibility for the cell order. So my read on him is kinda null.
batsnacks had some good guidelines about the cell order but it wasn´t really specific. I also didn´t agree with lynching the lowest contributing cells first. I´m slightly leaning towards town but I´m really not sure about that.
ShiaoPi is like a huge question mark for me right now.

So for me this is the last cell I´d want to go first.



^ On reflection this is really disingenuous. He starts by saying "Am i the only one here who wants cell C late" but not many people said C should go first. In fact, batsnacks is like the only person to say that and that was on the last page. If he DID in fact read the last page then what he said about batsnacks can't possibly be true. He just got specific and gave the order with C in front and explained his reasoning behind it.

I also explained the order i'd like and reads on people and why I picked that order but he left that out. So really, he's made up some strange things here.

You´re making shit up now. When I say late, I mean late, not in the middle of the game. What I said about batsnacks was specifically about the post with the general guidelines.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 18:50 GMT
#544
On May 29 2014 03:28 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 29 2014 03:24 mderg wrote:
On May 29 2014 03:21 Holyflare wrote:
On May 29 2014 03:17 slOosh wrote:
On May 29 2014 02:53 Holyflare wrote:
On May 29 2014 02:50 slOosh wrote:
On May 29 2014 02:42 Holyflare wrote:
if sloosh does not post soon after posting in detention then he could actually be mafia btw

And if I post I'm mafia? Quite the loaded statement here.


how does that statement make sense :o? you posted in another game and hadn't posted here yet, people that don't really want to focus on a second game over their first are usually mafia who don't care but you've posted now (albeit nothing noteworthy) so it's all cool

The idea is that one could easily follow up with "hey he is mafia and only posting when called out". Which you would think people would realize is a pretty frail reason to lynch someone, but I've been mislynched enough times to overestimate the general townie's perceptive abilities.


well i didn't do that so whatever :D


On May 29 2014 02:58 mderg wrote:
Am I the only one here who wants cell C to go late? Right now I can´t read that at all.
Hf´s mayor campaign seemed townie but at some point I started to find it strange how he didn´t want to take responsibility for the cell order. So my read on him is kinda null.
batsnacks had some good guidelines about the cell order but it wasn´t really specific. I also didn´t agree with lynching the lowest contributing cells first. I´m slightly leaning towards town but I´m really not sure about that.
ShiaoPi is like a huge question mark for me right now.

So for me this is the last cell I´d want to go first.



^ On reflection this is really disingenuous. He starts by saying "Am i the only one here who wants cell C late" but not many people said C should go first. In fact, batsnacks is like the only person to say that and that was on the last page. If he DID in fact read the last page then what he said about batsnacks can't possibly be true. He just got specific and gave the order with C in front and explained his reasoning behind it.

I also explained the order i'd like and reads on people and why I picked that order but he left that out. So really, he's made up some strange things here.

You´re making shit up now. When I say late, I mean late, not in the middle of the game. What I said about batsnacks was specifically about the post with the general guidelines.


I'm not making anything up. You just said you were up to date with the game and read the last page. On the last page batsnacks doesn't follow the metric about lynching the lowest contributing cells at all. He does quite the opposite. I started the day with no plan for cells because half the people in the game hadn't spoken yet. That should be obvious. I have made a post with a cell order that you should actually like but you didn't comment on that, you decided to pick up on the start of the game which shows you aren't evolving your reads as time goes on.

Why, if you are up to date, do your reads not account for anything that happened since the last time you posted?

On the last page batsnacks doesn´t follow the metric about lynching the lowest contributing cells, that´s right. But that doesn´t change the fact that he wanted to do that earlier. And it´s not like it wasn´t mentioned before, so he only got rid of that idea after it got called out. My slight townread on him makes sense considering that he later posted an elaborated lynch order and I didn´t really like his start.

Why are you the one to decide which posts I should like? Your reads on cell A and B are not something I agree with. You basically have thrawn as mafia because he didn´t post at all and got replaced. Also I am not that sure about Palmar being scum. Why would he do the same shit as the game before where he was scum. It just feels strange.
Your actual reasoning for the cell order is based almost only on activity then. Activity itself doesn´t make cells easier to read (for me at least).
Tell me why I should like your post!
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 18:57 GMT
#546
On May 29 2014 03:46 OdinOfPergo wrote:
mderg I'm having trouble understanding your progression from
-don't want rit's to be mayor
-Rit's post a bit more = could be ok with Rit's mayor
-Likes Rits for mayor but would change cell order

You basically just realized you were tunneling him and then decided to 180% your read?
Your thought process here just doesn't seem natural.

I skimmed at first and didn´t like his posts. I later realized that I missed well elaborated posts while skimming. But I still didn´t agree with the cell order. So I wanted him to change the cell order to fit the more recent ongoings while elaborating similarly to before.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 18:59 GMT
#547
On May 29 2014 03:57 Holyflare wrote:
Activity is the only real metric you should actually be using because more activity is more posting is easier scum reading.

I very strongly disagree with this. Just because someone is more active he doesn´t have to be easier to read than someone who is less active.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 19:08 GMT
#552
On May 29 2014 04:01 OdinOfPergo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 29 2014 03:57 mderg wrote:
On May 29 2014 03:46 OdinOfPergo wrote:
mderg I'm having trouble understanding your progression from
-don't want rit's to be mayor
-Rit's post a bit more = could be ok with Rit's mayor
-Likes Rits for mayor but would change cell order

You basically just realized you were tunneling him and then decided to 180% your read?
Your thought process here just doesn't seem natural.

I skimmed at first and didn´t like his posts. I later realized that I missed well elaborated posts while skimming. But I still didn´t agree with the cell order. So I wanted him to change the cell order to fit the more recent ongoings while elaborating similarly to before.



What about Rit's post that you missed made you change your mind?
Because to be honest I don't like most of his 'murica this and that filler. It's just him insta buddying anyone that happens to play along. What's the easiest way to lead an agenda? Make friends.
His post feel rather forced to me. Elaborate yes, but not in a way that gives me good vibes.



i basically didn´t attribute this post to his play. In this everything is based on reasoning and is elaborated. Elaborating on the cell order and giving proper reasons is exactly what I expect from the mayor. So I changed my mind from definitely not voting him to thinking about voting him.

On May 28 2014 09:41 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 28 2014 09:18 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
Mayor-Elect Ritoky could you dazzle me with some scum reads?


In all seriousness, I am trying to think about this game slightly different than a normal mafia game. I am trying to think about it in terms of the cells and getting strong reads on players in the cells. Outside of the fact that freedom and murrica declare that Cell A should go first, I know I am town and I think you have posted and done enough in the thread for me to get a strong read on you. Thrawn has yet to post, so I can't speak with certainty, but I think there is a wealth of information in the thread about Cell A for people to make informed reads on two of us already.

The next Cells I would consider after A are C or B. Probably C before B. In regards to Cell C, I think there is something off about ShiaoPi's post where he was critical of those who were joking. I didn't really find that it added much to the game beyond complaining about the state of the game. To me his complaints are anti-freedom. If he doesn't like the state of the game, why didn't he push hard for it to change to a more serious tone instead of just pointing it out and walking away? HF, unfortunately, has done more to push a town than Shiao but I also find his avoidance of certain questions and topics (such as my campaign against him) to be questionable. Batsnacks hasn't posted. We will see about him, but I think that after Cell A which will be very clear cut, how people vote in regards to cell C will be highly informative. Currently, I am about that Shiao kill in C (although I sways toward HF the more anti-freedom he spews).

Cell B would probably be next, although I could be convinced that it should go before C. I think poofter has pitted himself against Palmar in a very strong way, and I think WoS's response to that direction opposition of two people in his cell will be very alignment indicative for him. I like poofter currently, as he is in my murrica huddle. I like his case as a baseline for starting an extensive inquiry into Palmar. I think he also needs to bit of time to really flesh it out with gameplay support or watch it fall through. Which is why I would have him go 3rd. Currently, I am about that Palmar kill in B.

The last two would be probably E then D as of right now. Simply because I think we have the least information about those two at the moment and I can't say I have particularly strong feelings about any of the people outside of bunnies in those groups. I could be convinced to push D up after group A into the 2nd spot if someone convinces me of that sick tambo read, cuz his post was strange. I think it was him trying to make a joke about golden sun, but it fell flat and was awk.

mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 19:15 GMT
#556
On May 29 2014 04:12 Holyflare wrote:
ever been changed intentionally* rayn doesn't count because drunk and angry at gumshoe

I´m not completely sure but wasn´t it koshi who changed things from rayn´s order?
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 20:35 GMT
#594
On May 29 2014 05:28 ritoky wrote:
Also, to stick with the theme of freedom, I have will now give my reads in an appropriate manner:

[image loading]

Blue represents the biggest patriot, or town read I have in a cell as of now. Red represents the largest scum read I have in a cell as of now. White is generally speaking, the person in the middle. Some of these are much stronger reads than the others, and as you can clearly see; I have not determined a solid scum read in groups D or E yet. Most of these reads are previously explained in the thread, but if you would like clarification on any of them, first consult this:

[image loading]

Then, please ask.

I´m curious why you townread me over bunnies. I´d also like to know your reasoning on cell C since I can´t really get a hang on it.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 20:51 GMT
#599
##vote: ritoky

I don´t really agree with his cell order but I´m more sure about him being town than batsnacks. The vote is most likely going to be between these two. So I´m voting for my stronger townread.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 20:56 GMT
#601
On May 29 2014 05:54 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 29 2014 05:51 mderg wrote:
##vote: ritoky

I don´t really agree with his cell order but I´m more sure about him being town than batsnacks. The vote is most likely going to be between these two. So I´m voting for my stronger townread.


so what order would you like?

A, D, E, B, C
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 28 2014 21:09 GMT
#609
On May 29 2014 06:00 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 29 2014 05:56 mderg wrote:
On May 29 2014 05:54 Holyflare wrote:
On May 29 2014 05:51 mderg wrote:
##vote: ritoky

I don´t really agree with his cell order but I´m more sure about him being town than batsnacks. The vote is most likely going to be between these two. So I´m voting for my stronger townread.


so what order would you like?

A, D, E, B, C


Can you explain this then? You want to start with group A because I presume you have a read on ritoky and it would be easy to solve so that would be a +point but then you jump into wanting 2 of the lurker groups to go next? How do you have such a strong read on D/E? I realise your argument for your own cell will be "because i'm in it so it's easy" but what about everyone else? You're then putting the 2 groups with the least amount of information at the front of the line when we literally have no idea what is going on in them?

A should be pretty clear. D because I´m having a scumread on tamburini. E because I´m pretty sure bunnies is town, I´m also town so it only leaves layabout. B and C are the cells I´m most unsure about.

As a side note: why didn´t you attack bunnies for her suggested cell orders? The first 3 cells would be the same. So why are my first 3 cells pointed out and hers weren´t?
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 29 2014 16:25 GMT
#791
I don´t get what your problem is right now. I think MZ is more likely to be lynched than you and also way more scummy. Like the only reason brought up to lynch you was thrawn not being there at all.
mderg
Profile Joined April 2011
Germany1740 Posts
May 29 2014 16:37 GMT
#796
On May 30 2014 01:31 batsnacks wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 29 2014 16:42 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
On May 29 2014 04:01 OdinOfPergo wrote:
On May 29 2014 03:57 mderg wrote:
On May 29 2014 03:46 OdinOfPergo wrote:
mderg I'm having trouble understanding your progression from
-don't want rit's to be mayor
-Rit's post a bit more = could be ok with Rit's mayor
-Likes Rits for mayor but would change cell order

You basically just realized you were tunneling him and then decided to 180% your read?
Your thought process here just doesn't seem natural.

I skimmed at first and didn´t like his posts. I later realized that I missed well elaborated posts while skimming. But I still didn´t agree with the cell order. So I wanted him to change the cell order to fit the more recent ongoings while elaborating similarly to before.



What about Rit's post that you missed made you change your mind?
Because to be honest I don't like most of his 'murica this and that filler. It's just him insta buddying anyone that happens to play along. What's the easiest way to lead an agenda? Make friends.
His post feel rather forced to me. Elaborate yes, but not in a way that gives me good vibes.

I HATE posts like this. Rit seems to be making friends, does that make him scum? Rit's posting feels forced, does that make him scum? It's elaborate and gives you bad vibes, does that make him scum? Odin presents a lot of things rit is doing and neither gives examples of why he feels that way or makes a solid conclusion. Like, c'mon man, you KNOW that either rit or I have to be scum. For some reason it's incredibly hard for odin to form a solid read (other than Palmar lol). When I started off the game I wanted to solve my own cell first because I had a whopping 50% chance of doing that. HF mentioned that one of the things he liked about odin was that he was reading the whole game. That's great, but at this point he can't even give a solid read on his own cell which honestly just screams scum who's not certain which cell member he'll have a better chance to misslynch.


I was rereading and I found something that really bothered me. It's in red above. MZ I thought you were pushing Odin as scum. If Odin is scum, how would he "KNOW" that either ritoky or you are scum? There can only be one mafia per cell.

I agree that this is bad wording but I don´t feel like it has any significance.
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