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Newbie Mini Mafia XLVII

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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1 2 Next All
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 01 2013 19:17 GMT
#106
/in
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 02 2013 00:04 GMT
#114
I'm really liking this backstory/theme
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 02 2013 19:04 GMT
#136
I'm fine with him playing. IS it guaranteed that the guy who hasn't confirmed yet wont show up later tonight though? It seems a little fast to be putting in a replacement.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 03 2013 22:58 GMT
#170
I agree we should try and lynch day 1, but we need to do so intelligently based on pressuring information out of players allegiances. The thing you should do as town is try and post as actively as possible, but avoid any fluff. If you can't figure out who look scummy figure out who looks like a town player.

I'm not liking the discussion about prior games, it really doesn't add anything to this one. I don't care that X player did Y in the game before because we've all played so few games that we won't have too many clear recognizable patterns to follow. I don't necessarily think its a scum-tell but I also don't think we should pursue it any further.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 03 2013 23:04 GMT
#175
On September 04 2013 07:53 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 07:51 Umasi wrote:
On September 04 2013 07:36 Chairman Ray wrote:
Regardless of the math, a day 1 lynch as the norm gets people talking. No lynch = no incentive to give up information. Unless everyone is super cooperative and gives great information, we lynch.


anything else to add about anything?




Holyflare:
no lynching is 'occasionally alright'. I'll grant you that.
But no lynching D1 is not good.
the problem is you could be 'lynching a potential townsman'
but the entire reason you are lynching that person is because they are more than likely a potential scummer!

voting to no lynch because the target could be town is like not using your doctor save because your target could be scum and there'd be a vig shot on him. Like, is that sensible?
not really.
I'm gonna go to class, I'll be back later tonight.
/afk



that's dumb reasoning, a lynch day 1 is 75% likely to hit a townsperson compared to the 25% for scum. Especially considering within that 75% is likely to be 1 or 2 blue roles that would have to reveal and then subsequently be lost at night if they were the target to be lynched


You get a lot more out of lynching than just the player dead, you also get loads of information on everybody and is one of the best ways to have the scum reveal themselves. Bandwagoning, Fence Sitting, Caving under pressure are some of the best ways to spot the scum and these are revealed when you lynch a player day 1.

Since its plurality vote anyway, I'm going to be lynching somebody no matter what day 1, so now that the decision to lynch is taken out of your hands you better come up with some scum reads to not waste this day and reduce the chances of a mislynch.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 03 2013 23:07 GMT
#176
On September 04 2013 08:00 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 07:58 Blurry wrote:
I agree we should try and lynch day 1, but we need to do so intelligently based on pressuring information out of players allegiances. The thing you should do as town is try and post as actively as possible, but avoid any fluff. If you can't figure out who look scummy figure out who looks like a town player.

I'm not liking the discussion about prior games, it really doesn't add anything to this one. I don't care that X player did Y in the game before because we've all played so few games that we won't have too many clear recognizable patterns to follow. I don't necessarily think its a scum-tell but I also don't think we should pursue it any further.


I entirely disagree with you, meta has helped me determine who is who in every game I have played, especially in the newbie games.


I'm already doing something entirely different from my previous game just because I have a better handle on how its supposed to be played and not because I have a different role. Prove me wrong though, if you can come up with a convincing argument that makes sense you will draw my attention to whoever you think is scum. I'm not counting it out, I'm just a little bit skeptical of its effectiveness.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 03 2013 23:09 GMT
#178
On September 04 2013 08:07 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 08:04 Blurry wrote:
On September 04 2013 07:53 Holyflare wrote:
On September 04 2013 07:51 Umasi wrote:
On September 04 2013 07:36 Chairman Ray wrote:
Regardless of the math, a day 1 lynch as the norm gets people talking. No lynch = no incentive to give up information. Unless everyone is super cooperative and gives great information, we lynch.


anything else to add about anything?




Holyflare:
no lynching is 'occasionally alright'. I'll grant you that.
But no lynching D1 is not good.
the problem is you could be 'lynching a potential townsman'
but the entire reason you are lynching that person is because they are more than likely a potential scummer!

voting to no lynch because the target could be town is like not using your doctor save because your target could be scum and there'd be a vig shot on him. Like, is that sensible?
not really.
I'm gonna go to class, I'll be back later tonight.
/afk



that's dumb reasoning, a lynch day 1 is 75% likely to hit a townsperson compared to the 25% for scum. Especially considering within that 75% is likely to be 1 or 2 blue roles that would have to reveal and then subsequently be lost at night if they were the target to be lynched


You get a lot more out of lynching than just the player dead, you also get loads of information on everybody and is one of the best ways to have the scum reveal themselves. Bandwagoning, Fence Sitting, Caving under pressure are some of the best ways to spot the scum and these are revealed when you lynch a player day 1.

Since its plurality vote anyway, I'm going to be lynching somebody no matter what day 1, so now that the decision to lynch is taken out of your hands you better come up with some scum reads to not waste this day and reduce the chances of a mislynch.


You can still vote no-lynch in a plurality, besides, I have only been suggesting the no-lynch if nothing comes to obvious light. The fact that you people are so eager to let us lose a day of mislynching is funny though because I don't think any of your arguments make sense.

If our strongest weapon is our connection theories and our votes, THEN WHY IS IT NOT BETTER TO GET 1 MORE DAY OF THESE THINGS?????? Wagons can happen every fucking day on every lynch. Why are you all so eager to kill off potential townspeople??


Because lynching gives us the most information. Following your logic, if we don't have a role detector, should we just not lynch day 2 either because we'll lose another day?
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 03 2013 23:13 GMT
#179
On September 04 2013 08:07 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 08:04 Blurry wrote:
On September 04 2013 07:53 Holyflare wrote:
On September 04 2013 07:51 Umasi wrote:
On September 04 2013 07:36 Chairman Ray wrote:
Regardless of the math, a day 1 lynch as the norm gets people talking. No lynch = no incentive to give up information. Unless everyone is super cooperative and gives great information, we lynch.


anything else to add about anything?




Holyflare:
no lynching is 'occasionally alright'. I'll grant you that.
But no lynching D1 is not good.
the problem is you could be 'lynching a potential townsman'
but the entire reason you are lynching that person is because they are more than likely a potential scummer!

voting to no lynch because the target could be town is like not using your doctor save because your target could be scum and there'd be a vig shot on him. Like, is that sensible?
not really.
I'm gonna go to class, I'll be back later tonight.
/afk



that's dumb reasoning, a lynch day 1 is 75% likely to hit a townsperson compared to the 25% for scum. Especially considering within that 75% is likely to be 1 or 2 blue roles that would have to reveal and then subsequently be lost at night if they were the target to be lynched


You get a lot more out of lynching than just the player dead, you also get loads of information on everybody and is one of the best ways to have the scum reveal themselves. Bandwagoning, Fence Sitting, Caving under pressure are some of the best ways to spot the scum and these are revealed when you lynch a player day 1.

Since its plurality vote anyway, I'm going to be lynching somebody no matter what day 1, so now that the decision to lynch is taken out of your hands you better come up with some scum reads to not waste this day and reduce the chances of a mislynch.


You can still vote no-lynch in a plurality, besides, I have only been suggesting the no-lynch if nothing comes to obvious light. The fact that you people are so eager to let us lose a day of mislynching is funny though because I don't think any of your arguments make sense.

If our strongest weapon is our connection theories and our votes, THEN WHY IS IT NOT BETTER TO GET 1 MORE DAY OF THESE THINGS?????? Wagons can happen every fucking day on every lynch. Why are you all so eager to kill off potential townspeople??


A couple more things, please don't use loaded questions. I don't want to kill townspeople, but I also think that the risk of doing so is necessary to inspire discussion. Why does it have to be obvious that someone is scum? We should go off our best hunch rather than waste time.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 04 2013 02:09 GMT
#190
This discussion is pretty slow so how about this.
Everyone answer the following questions.

Who is your strongest town read?
Who is your strongest scum read?

This will let us see where peoples allegiances lie. Also, give reasons for your choices.

Strongest town read: Holyflare, active, trying to provide analysis
Strongest scum read: Lord Velocity, hes just following along with Umasi's ideas, not really providing any of his own stuff.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 04 2013 03:53 GMT
#199
The reason you voice your suspicions is because it puts pressure on that person. When someone is under pressure they make mistakes and reveal things they shouldn't. Write about your hunches, it also allows us to see if you are innocent, and yes, when you are town you need to prove your innocence by providing good analysis and leading the discussion.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 04 2013 04:38 GMT
#219
On September 04 2013 13:24 Lord Velocity wrote:
Well because I scimmed over the posts and why wouldn't I address things concerning me? I'm not trying to have a misslynch day 1 and give scum a one up, but in no way was I saying "He's pro town" I was simply stating that your logic made sense, but:

Strongest town read: Nobody so far because I don't think we've heard from everybody? so I can't really base it off of like, the 5 people that actually talked and not about the day 1 lynch thing.

Strongest Scum read: Umasi due to his fast vote on Holyflare and his super aggressive early play.


Two things:

Scum read in retaliation to him questioning you is pretty suspicious. You aren't helping your case with that, especially because your analysis is flawed.

Aggression at the start is in no way indicative of scum, and if anything, is more a town indicator than anything, especially when he is leading the charge against a player.

It is really risky for scum to be so direct because it draws so much attention to them. Umasi is probably my biggest town read for that reason right now.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 05 2013 04:21 GMT
#330
Hey guys, I don't have much time to devote to a real writeup tonight, which I will do tomorrow morning. I will say though that my suspicions of Lord Velocity haven't changed as he still has yet to contribute other than trying to deflect suspicions to others.

Expect to hear from me in the morning about other players and how i think we should proceed going into night 1.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 05 2013 16:01 GMT
#370
While I agree that he (myrzeth) isn't worth keeping around it may just be a waste of a vote to lynch him today. I'm assuming that the mafia has a QT which they can use during the day? If that is the case, if he really was just a lurking mafia his buddies would have given him stuff to say in order to save him.

I just don't think there is enough to go on piling on the easiest target because he is just a lurker, and it may very well be that a lot of the pressure on him is coming from mafia themselves. Be careful in voting for him because he is the easiest target for mafia to get a mislynch right now compared to anyone else.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 05 2013 18:50 GMT
#382
I want to draw attention to LoneMeow's posting content.

It is made up of either asking people of their opinions on players or criticizing other peoples content.

There is literally no analysis form him at any point in the game, nor taking any sides. Hes creating posts without content to make it seem like hes contributing to the discussion. This is pretty darn scummy.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 05 2013 19:17 GMT
#386
My opinion is that Chairman Ray is slightly town because he did advance the discussion and brought up concerns about players nobody else had really said anything against. By saying he suspects Umasi who right now is probably the biggest leader in discussion he goes after the player who I would guess has the biggest sway.

Scum don't go after the big leaders during the day because it draws attention to themselves when they could just get it done at night.

Heavenz is also leaning town to me because hes trying to involve other players in the discussion as well. He also brought some pretty good analysis against me standing on neutral ground. He is right that I haven't really been taking any aggressive unpopular stances and I've been playing it safe.

I think Myrzeth is a waste of a lynch because he isn't playing like scum, hes playing like someone who doesn't know how the game works.

For now I think either lonemeow or Lord Velocity are the better lynch targets but maybe someone will make a slip up in the next few hours that will change my mind. I do however still think Vel is the scummier target so that is who will get my vote for the next few hours unless something changes.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 05 2013 19:20 GMT
#388
Another thing against myRZeth:

If he were scum lurking on purpose he would by now be trying to defend himself somehow rather than just some noob play. This doesn't really scream scum to me if he doesn't really even show up to defend himself. I want to hear more out of him before I lynch him, especially with nightroles being what they are.


One thing I will say is I can't really make sense of Holyflare. He just seems to swing all over the place making it difficult to see what his intentions are.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 05 2013 19:21 GMT
#390
Also

##Vote: Lord Velocity
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 05 2013 19:21 GMT
#391
Great minds think alike.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 05 2013 21:03 GMT
#418
On September 06 2013 05:57 killerdog wrote:
Blurry, you're the only person who's declared chairman ray a town read recently.

Show nested quote +
On September 06 2013 04:17 Blurry wrote:
My opinion is that Chairman Ray is slightly town because he did advance the discussion and brought up concerns about players nobody else had really said anything against.


Your opinion on holyflares psot?


I don't think scum go after the two most active players, that just doesn't make sense to me because it means a lot of scrutiny will be on you. Let me reread his stuff again, but none of it seems to be scummy in my eyes.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 05 2013 21:23 GMT
#439
Chairman, I think that could be too much coincidence to make that a reason for lynching him.
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