WCS Korea Season II
Group G Preview
PartinG, Yonghwa, Squirtle, SuperNoVa
Group H Preview
Bomber, Hurricane, Rain, Keen
Brackets and standings on Liquipedia
VODs on Twitch
Group G Preview
PartinG, Yonghwa, Squirtle, SuperNoVa
Group H Preview
Bomber, Hurricane, Rain, Keen
Brackets and standings on Liquipedia
VODs on Twitch
Ro32 - Day 4 Preview
It's the final day of the Ro32, and only four more players will advance to the next round. It will be an important day for
![](/mirror/smilies/protoss-small.gif)
Currently Qualified For Ro16:
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
Group G: PartinG, Yonghwa, Squirtle, SuperNoVa
by stuchiu2012: All Happier Time for Protoss
At the end of WoL, three Protosses stood above all others:
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/staff/Waxangel/OSL/auction13/ahappiertime.jpg)
The good old days.
However, the conductor's time in the limelight was not to last as HotS was released and changed the world order once more. While both Zerg and Terran have found strong new leaders in the forms of Innovation and Soulkey, Protoss reluctantly looked to sOs to guide them. Although sOs was a great player in his own right, he was too stylish and too inconsistent to hold onto power, and thus he fell to Maru in the first round of the OSL. With MC continuing his exile in Europe, this leaves just two Protosses in Korea to fight for the crown: Rain and Parting.
All Aboard!
For
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
The most important aspect of Parting’s play that differentiates himself from the other two Protosses from this group is his incredible execution and his ability to make comebacks. Time and time again, when seemingly completely down and out of a game, Parting has been able to make miraculous comeback after miraculous comeback using only his superb micro and crisis management to carry him through games that almost no one else could win. While he probably won’t be needing his comeback factor, it is another contributing factor to why Parting will be the odds on favorite to make it out of this group.
Fighting for Shotgun
The fight for second place should end up being between
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
These days, both players have been rather non-descript. After losing his Code A match to Rain, Yonghwa fought through the Up/Downs where he won his spot in the OSL. Meanwhile, Squirtle just came off a long tour in Europe where he had decent but still disappointing results, getting 3rd in the Millennium house cup and getting to the Ro16 in Dreamhack before getting knocked out by TLO. While it wasn’t the most glorious of tours, it did reveal that his PvP was solid enough to beat down all of the EU Protosses (sans Nightend). Beyond that it is difficult to say where exactly Squirtle and Yonghwa actually are in terms of skill level. Both can play incredibly well when they're hot, but both players often seem to play below their skill level in the GSL. Now that they're in the same group, it looks like only one of them will advance. It's a close decision, but I’ll give Squirtle the advantage as he’s had way more experience at this level of competition.
The odd man out
It must be difficult to be
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
Sensing that fate had it out for him, Supernova quickly underwent plastic surgery to change his looks and escape the eyes of the esports gods. And for a time it worked as he was able to get onto team Azubu and be hailed as one of the best Terrans in the HotS beta. But tragedy struck as in his first debut match in HotS, he became the first and only player to die to collapsible rocks. Despite that Supernova soldiered on and he would make it back into Code S and be able to go to Dreamhack and play there as well. But much like oGs and mTw, Azubu left him in the cold as his DreamHack Summer participation was abruptly cancelled.
And now after all of that misfortune, all of that time fighting to get back to the place he knows he belongs, Supernova will have to fight off three of the strongest Protosses in Korea. It will be extra hard work as all three of them are well known for their PvTs. While Supernova is the clear underdog in this group, he does have a small chance. While on any given day, the other three players in this group clearly outmatch him, Supernova has three things going for him.
First he is the only Terran in the group, and only has to prepare for one match-up. Second, it is a bo1. Third, Supernova is extremely clever and unorthodox, making it hard to just play normally against him. Supernova plays SC2 like other people plays dominoes. He sets up his pieces all around the board and then tips over the first piece. This causes a chain reaction with his aggression and multitasking kicking in as he quickly tears apart his opponent with never-ending attacks and harassment. The biggest problem for Supernova is getting that first domino to fall. In TvP especially, Supernova has always needed to be the player to set the tempo of the match and have a successful first strike. When he ends up playing a slow-paced macro game, things usually don't go so well. So it will be up to Supernova to find a way to crack the defenses of these three very solid players. If he can do it just two times out of three, he might just slip by.
Overall Predictions:
Parting > Yonghwa
Squirtle > Supernova
Parting > Squirtle
Yonghwa > Supernova
Squirtle > Yonghwa
Parting and Squirtle advance
Group H: Bomber, Hurricane, Rain, Keen
by pigscanflyMatch 1: Bomber vs. Hurricane
"Bomber's Law: Bomber will always disappoint.
Corollary to Bomber's Law: If Bomber does not disappoint, it will be in order to set up a bigger disappointment later.
It's surprising and depressing how well this rule holds up, as Bomber is great at building up momentum with a string of good results, only to smash into a brick wall in a burning wreck. His great runs atMLG Fall MLG Winter(including a fantastic win over by.Rain Taeja) Lone Star Clash last season’s GSL seemed like signs of a Bomber revival, but his fans are cautious about getting their hopes up lest they get burned again. As usual, Bomber enters the tournament with the potential to win it all, but also bearing a huge weight of doubt.”
- Power Rank: IPL5 Edition, 29th November, 2012, modified.
Corollary to Bomber's Law: If Bomber does not disappoint, it will be in order to set up a bigger disappointment later.
It's surprising and depressing how well this rule holds up, as Bomber is great at building up momentum with a string of good results, only to smash into a brick wall in a burning wreck. His great runs at
- Power Rank: IPL5 Edition, 29th November, 2012, modified.
When this was written, we were still playing WoL and
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
His opponent for the night,
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
Match 2: Rain vs. Keen
Now, whether Bomber can beat
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
Although Rain is the much more accomplished player, he has actually made little impact in Code S since his Ro4 debut run and his fateful decision to give up his spot the following season to play in MLG. Yet, unlike the rest of the members of this group, Rain has shown himself to be a real winner, with victories in the inaugural season of Starcraft II OSL and in the 2012 WCS Asia. Rain’s 14-11 record in HotS PvT looks better when you realize that 6 of those 11 losses came against INnoVation, against whom he holds a 3-6 record. That isn’t too bad, considering this is INnoVation we’re talking about( 21-5 in PvT, meaning more than half of his losses have come against Rain). Rain also has an impressive 19-9 record in Proleague where he has beaten the likes of Flash and Soulkey. Rain’s great unit control and fantastic drop defence in PvT should serve him well against Keen, and I expect the Kespa player to have the upper hand. Rain also has plenty to prove, with sOs stealing his thunder lately and challenging him for the position as top Kespa Protoss, and with a resurgent Jangbi threatening to reassert the old Brood War order. With both of them flubbing their lines and exiting the OSL in the Ro32, this is a great time for Rain to capitalize.
Overall thoughts:
Rain should be too much for the rest of the players in his group. Even if he loses one of his games, I still expect him to make it out of this group eventually. Bomber will make it out of his group, simply to build up the expectations of thousands of Bomber fans (like myself) and then cruelly dashing them against the rocks and shattering them into millions of itty bitty little pieces. Or maybe now that I’ve predicted him to get out, he won’t. WITH BOMBER, WHO KNOWS WHEN HE WILL DISAPPOINT???
Until Keen improves his play by one more level, he is likely to continue to bobble between Code A and Code S. Keen’s TvT has always been a weakness since his days of picking Nada in his group and losing to him. Bomber on the other hand, has always had very strong TvT and I expect him to be able to beat Keen. Either way, I don’t see Keen beating both Bomber and Rain or either of them twice. Hurricane is slightly unfortunate to be a group with and excellent vs. P players in Rain, Keen, and (at least in WOL) Bomber, though it is doubtful that he would get out of any of the other groups either. Again, I err on the side of caution in predicting that since he hasn’t accomplished much yet, he will be dumped out of Code S at the first hurdle.
Overall Predictions:
Bomber > Hurricane
Rain > Keen
Rain > Bomber
Keen > Hurricane
Bomber > Keen
Rain and Bomber advance to the Ro16.