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Newbie Mini Mafia XVI

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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1 2 Next All
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 06 2012 18:28 GMT
#8
/in

second game.

3:00 PM PST should be midnight in CEST, so european players would prefer that one.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 07 2012 07:02 GMT
#32
Why is there a setup with a roleblocker when the townie setup doesn't even have a blue, might aswell replace the roleblocker in that setup with a standard goon.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 08 2012 23:25 GMT
#69
No, it's this

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 10 2012 12:12 GMT
#229
Good day guys.

I opened this thread with the expectation of everyone pointing his finger at me for lurking so heavily the first half of day 1, for which I apologize now.

I have had a REALLY shit day yesterday, and I didn't have any motivation whatsoever to get into the internet. I am not very willing to specify what happened yesterday since this is still the internet, I'll just mention that it involved me driving.
Now that it's Sunday, I can lean back a bit, gonna have quite some shit going on from tomorrow on, but I feel that I can keep contributing to this game in spite of the circumstances, but don't expect me to be online whenever you are.

Oh, and you should also know where I'm located to know the times I'm posting at: Austria/CET.

Time to start Top-down:

Like I already mentioned, I expected everyone to suspect me cause of policy lynching.
Surprisingly, that's not the case.
The policy talk quickly resulted into Release squeezing grush like a lemon throughout the game, but grush results to be a pretty dry one, just releasing unjuicy drops which only help to fortify the suspicions against him.

Frankly I think Release has a really aggressive playstyle reminding me of my own last game, it's a great way to gain transparent information from other people and to a lesser extent from the accused ones, but also involves risks of all kind.

The subsequent posts regaridng this case all revolve around the initial posts as tells.
My verdict is:
Release looks like he's tunneling pretty hard with the aggressive style, on the other hand I have to give him credit for getting out so much information from this case, town really IS busy due to this.
Grush, well, if he's town I would be able to understand his somewhat angry, resignated answers as follow-up. If he's scum I would also be able to understand his high amount of one-liners with the least possible amount of information.
However, his first posts really weren't helpful to town, so I'll treat him as suspicious, but not definitely guilty. I feel it's too early for me to cast a vote on him, he kind of reminds me of + Show Spoiler +
superouman
last game, but less lurking.
If he's the only alternative to a No lynch, you'll have my vote nontheless.

I'm going to post more very soon, I'd prefer to keep my posts focused on single cases since I have to post a lot at once.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 10 2012 13:22 GMT
#231
Okay, I've been doing a stance analysis on the grush case and here's my promised post:

s0lstice prefers to go on with policy discussion in the first posts and goes on with it until he outs for the night.
When he's back, he completely drops grush and the policy discussion and puts his FoS on ha2etc.

Release thinks grush is guilty. Pretty much everyone agreed on grushs post about 'nothing to discuss' being a really bad suggestion for town play. Many dropped the case or defended grush in spite of this.

KtheZ notices the overconfidence of Release against grush and points out the danger of tunneling. But he also believes grush to have made scummy moves. I find his semi-calculations pretty strange tbh, but I guess it's his way of FoSing.

ShiaoPi has one post in which he says people should stop tunneling grush and instead pressure ha2etc. . What strikes me here is that he wants to pressure ha2etc. for actually defending grush. I find this to be contradictory.

Lazermonkey notices grush's suspicious posts and focuses on the people defending him in consequence after placing his FoS on grush.

ha2etc. soft-defends grush.

The_Zen_Man soft-defends grush.

I'm keeping my summary of the swedes in this thread rather short cause there are complex cases developing around them and I think these deserve an in-depth analysis before a summary.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 10 2012 20:29 GMT
#265
Here's an inofficial vote count somewhat including the order.

grush: Release
ha236: s0lstice, Release
The_Zen_Man: Lazermonkey
grush57: KTheZ
s0lstice: ha236
Release: ha236

Guys, we're at close danger of a no-lynch. I'm not very satisfied with ha236 as option cause I find his first posts regarding Lazermonkey and Release to be true, but on the other hand he didn't make a single case except for OMGUS ones now in the end and instead only spent time defending grush and himself.

It was a pretty bad day 1 imo, and it can get even worse if we will have to further lurk in the dark, you'll have my vote on ha236 for the sake of the lynch, but be aware of the fact that I'll gladly switch it for any other majority.

##vote ha236

@ s0lstice

odd analysis? To me town play seems to be messed up atm and you should actually thank me for getting a bit of transparency in here. Every single and good player would make such a summary in a case before going on and accusing single persons. I doubt one would want to play with a narrow sight.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 10 2012 20:33 GMT
#266
@ Lazermonkey

Gimme a sec and I'll go through your case against The_Zen_Man.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 10 2012 21:21 GMT
#278
Needless summarization? That is the type of summarization a good townie uses to get an idea of the connections someone had once he flips. If grush gets lynched, you can look up my summary and check the connections between grush and other players. Just cause you don't see the use doesn't mean it doesn't have any.

Btw, I can prove you are being selective since I didn't see you pick on the following summary yet. I just wonder if you are being selective on purpose cause raising suspicion on me would further increase the chance of a No lynch or if it's by mistake.
While working on Lazermonkeys case against The_Zen_Man i found another 'needless summarization':

+ Show Spoiler +
On June 11 2012 04:47 Lazermonkey wrote:
So right now, we have not too much time untill lynching. We need to get something done here. With nine players there are 5(Lol) players that have received FoS/Votes unless I'm misstaken. These players are:
grush
Ha236
me(Lazermonkey)
The_Zen_Man
s0Lstice
s0Lstice were also suspicious of KtheZ recently, although no FoS were placed.



Regarding The_Zen_Man case:

I especially liked LazerMans point regarding the contradiction between the FoS on him, but the vote on grush. It looks like The_Zen_Man doesn't believe much in his own case.
We also have to consider that The_Zen_Man mostly used ha236 points already posted to soft-defend grush. That would allow scum to deflect attention to ha236 again in case gursh flips green.

That's about the latest points made by Lazermonkey, now to my own analysis, I'll be especially focusing on The_Zen_Man's first posts:

On June 09 2012 18:11 The_Zen_Man wrote:
Hey guys, just woke up(time difference suck).

1:I have read some of the grush-release discussion, and i can say that i did found Grush comment weird. Also some of his later post is also strange. I will post a analysis on him later.

2:But release, you are going against him to hard. You said it yourself before, that your comment is useless to anyone but grush. If it's like that, you should let others give their opinions about him, and focus on someone else for a bit.

3:Also, as to my opinions on lynching, i agree that in case there is a hard lurker and no scum reads we should lynch the lurker, as he is not contributing anyways. But lynching with not much information (like d1) will probably result in a misslynch. We still gain information even is there is no lynch, by observing how players act before lynch, what they vote for, reaction after lynch, etc.


1. Here's the broken promise: We still have no analysis on grush from you. In a lynch all liars environment you would already be in huge trouble.

2. Without the analysis, you proceed to soft-defend him.
The problem about your posts is the way you do that:
You tell Release to focus on someone else. Imagine if he suddenly switched target like you propose, that would make him look quite inconsistent...and scummy.

3. The opinions on lynching. I mean, seriously? This part confuses the hell out of me.
We should lynch lurkers, but on the other hand you say it will probably result in a mislynch.
Then you actually say that we might gain information without a lynch. How is that so? Both points lack reasoning behind them and contradict the other points in your post.
Your opinion on lynching policy is wishy washy and no opinion, you seem to promote everything at once.

The next posts show your support of ha, always disproving points others make against grush, but at the same time you emphasize your beliefs that he looks scummy.

On June 10 2012 17:35 The_Zen_Man wrote:
I really don't know how ha got to be one of the "top" scum reads on this game. His play does not seem scummy at all to me. I think the best d1 lynch is grush, and then we can think about how to proceed once he flips.


Once ha gets into the crosshair, all of sudden you think it's best to drop all your defenses of grush and to lynch him.

When Lazermonkey actually notices your suspicious behavior:

On June 10 2012 20:14 The_Zen_Man wrote:
The case against Lazermonkey:

First of all, i would like to say that i am not making this in respond to Lazermonkey voring on me, but rather that he said that i did not have any ideas of my own.


I think this quotation of mine reminds that he does have a point about that. You took many of the points about grushs defense from ha236, allowing you to deflect responsibility in case they turn out to be wrong.

Looking at your and ha2's posts, your stances are soft and inconsistent as opposed to his, so I'll let you know: If there's a choice between a majority on you and a majority on ha2, I will pick the one against you.

##FoS The_Zen_Man
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 10 2012 21:28 GMT
#284
On June 11 2012 06:23 grush57 wrote:
Yea if Ha flips red then it is either Zen man or KtheZ.


Grush, you've already been attacked numerous times for your short posts without explications of your thought processes.

Can you for once post something that is based on something visible? It would be nice if we knew the connection you see between Ha2, Zen and KtheZ. Don't forget you're still on the towns' list for your 'bad habits', whether knowingly or not.
Right now someone could attack this statement of yours and you could post ANYTHING to justify it. You're intransparent. And I'd lynch you over ha2 anytime, just so you know.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 10 2012 21:57 GMT
#287
I think we still have one hour to change things, if anyone got a good case it would be best to pull it out NOW. Vote switches in the last 30 minutes might end badly for town.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 10 2012 22:20 GMT
#297
I've got the vote for Zen_Man ready, I'll give him about 30 minutes more time to post a defense, then I will proceed to vote for him.

We have a majority on him, that's for sure. I think even 6, not 5. Count me in in case he doesn't post a nukeproof defense.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 10 2012 22:41 GMT
#306
I'm not sure what to think of 'When i flip town, please go after Lazermonkey'. But your post still doesn't give us any information of use, which is scummy. You have this only chance to defend yourself, and you throw it away with such a post that implies 'I am town' with the least revelation of information.

##Vote The_Zen_Man
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 10 2012 22:45 GMT
#311
Also, I'm OP since my 250th post
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 10 2012 23:06 GMT
#334
Shit
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 12 2012 11:33 GMT
#381
Sucks that s0lstice got lynched, he was one of the few active posters here. With people being lazy it's even easier for mafia to choose the active ones to get killed first. GG and thanks for the activity yo.

Let's get back to the real stuff, I think we have a good clue of the direction to move into:

  • I don't read ha2 scum yet, but I find his silence since the mislynch and the nightkill to be strange.
    And by silence I mean absence of good townie play. He's still a suspect who needs a decisive defense, and he didn't make any cases outside of OMGUS ones. Need people to come out and play, that's why you signed in for...if you are townie

  • Same goes for grush, since the attention switched away from him he decided to go on holidays. Still no proper townie work there, just short posts with short resumes.
    Wtf:

    On June 12 2012 09:25 grush57 wrote:
    Damn, they killed one of my town reads. Well, I'm fine with ha or KtheZ.


    You are asking for a lynch here, scum or not.
    Now he's suddenly one of your town reads, nice that you tell us once he's dead, everyone could say what you said.
    But even better, you don't post a single reason for you thinking that ha or KTheZ should be good lynch candidates, you are implying that others should do the work for you, and you even announce yourself for a jump on a bandwagon against these two. That's either a scumslip or really really bad townie play.

  • KTheZ shows activity when he has to. But like with the latter two, I feel he's being lazy about it, aside from the fact that I don't like his way of shaping his defense post, it's a wall of text.


I have no decisive scumreads yet. But I'll pick one of the three based on his post quality, activity levels and gut feeling:

##Vote grush57
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 12 2012 11:36 GMT
#382
EBWOP: That's what you signed in for.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 12 2012 11:58 GMT
#383
EBWOP2: Killed, not lynched.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 12 2012 13:33 GMT
#385
I've already responded to s0lstice in defense of my first posts. He also felt my summarizations were needless. If you want answers to your accusations, read spoiler 3 and 4. It pretty much comes down to whether or not you think it's useless if someone posts overviews of town relations.

Then you say I didn't give scumreads yet. Just lol, the next spoiler already contains my read, I wonder why you bother criticizing me for something which is disproved in the next thing you mention.

I said earlier that I would vote for Zen_Man in case that there was a majority possible on him.
While I was writing that, town was about to lynch ha236.
If I switched my vote at the point you find suspicious cause I didn't do so, then I would have put the town at danger of a no lynch.
Gl the next day with no new information gained except for a nightkill that might allow mafia to make someone look suspicious or get rid of a better townie than the would-have-been-lynched one.A lynch is always better than no lynch,
Zen_Man really appeared scummy. He didn't even claim. It was a solid lynch from a perspective of someone not knowing his alignment, and if he wouldn't have died, he just would have kept the circle of suspects bigger along with town's insecurity.

That was my defense to your feeble points, now I think you really deserve to be in the spotlight for what I'm about to post:

I still have posted more useful cases than anyone I mentioned in my post above.
I wonder why you suddenly start bothering me and not them. You are giving them incentives to keep lurking, and their lurking is one of the reason I don't have decisive scumreads on them.

That, on the other hand, makes YOU suspicious. When I'm about to call out lurkers, you start accusing me with a really weak case. 'When you can't defend your scumbuddies, discredit their attackers' could be what you're plotting.

You have also tunneled The_Zen_Man with a rather weak case (as opposed to my case against him). Maybe you knew of his alignment, and maybe you even suspected he could have a blue role. On the other hand, you keep protecting ha236 with words and grush with your behavior, while you completely ignore KtheZ.

You have a history of tunneling mate, and your posts aren't less wishywashy than what you think of other people's posts, just check this out:

+ Show Spoiler +

On June 11 2012 04:47 Lazermonkey wrote:
So right now, we have not too much time untill lynching. We need to get something done here. With nine players there are 5(Lol) players that have received FoS/Votes unless I'm misstaken. These players are:
grush
Ha236
me(Lazermonkey)
The_Zen_Man
s0Lstice
s0Lstice were also suspicious of KtheZ recently, although no FoS were placed.

We need to know who are willing to vote for who, even if they are not your n1 scumread if we are going to get a decent lynch tonight.

Right now my main scumread is The_Zen_Man but I am also willing to lynch grush. Ha236 has imo given quite solid response to the accusations against him and I'm not very keen on lynching him anymore. I am not sure about either s0lstice and KtheZ yet tho, as their cases were very recently posted.



Look how scummy you actually are, even by your own definition.
You make a summarization (I used that to prove s0lstice's selective view.)
You moderate a lot: 'We need to get something done', 'We need to know who are willing to vote for who' and 'even if they are not your n1 scumread'

I highlighted this cause it contradicts the points in your case against me. You say I'm scummy cause I tell who I'm willing to vote for, and then I'm scummy cause I'm not entirely sure of the scumreads on them when I vote. You actually promoted that in your moderation .

Not to mention your stances on lynch candidates, the syntax of that part is 'I'm not sure on who to lynch', that's all one can get from what you wrote there.

And while writing this I also realized that I should make you my first of suspects. You're screwing up pretty badly, and I hope that the still active part of town will recognize your mistakes (or slips) like I do.



##unvote
##Vote Lazermonkey
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 12 2012 16:35 GMT
#391
On June 12 2012 23:46 grush57 wrote:
YA CUZ HE'S MAFIA HURR DURR
##Vote: KtheZ


Fix'd.

Dunno what to think of this, but I think it wouldn't hurt to wait how the two handle it now. They are both on my to-'do'-list.

Grush, care to spend more than a few minutes on your posts?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21959 Posts
June 12 2012 17:19 GMT
#393
On June 13 2012 01:56 ShiaoPi wrote:
Wait so you guys are actually claiming?
grush57 vs. KtheZ?


Didn't see a claim yet, but if both claim we will nail 1 scum for sure.
One hour has passed and still nothing from KTheZ. Grush has been derping around all game long, but KTheZ is surpassing him at it right now.
He's either a pretty bad townie or scum denying information. Pretty sloppy from both perspectives to announce he's gonna post something and then leave it unfulfilled.

I don't think a scum grush would claim like that without a good reason, he isn't under pressure atm and if KtheZ flips town he's dead anyway.

I'm very curious to see if KtheZ actually ends up replying.
#unvote
##Vote KTheZ

I still wanna hear opinions regarding the 'Lazermonkey vs. me-case'.
And now that grush is most likely a townie he can stop playing the minimalist style
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