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Newbie Mini Mafia III

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 24 2012 01:11 GMT
#11
/in Finally I get to play game after not being able to for the past 2 mini mafias TT
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 24 2012 22:20 GMT
#68
They should, and we'll have to be really careful with lynches and vigi kills. I wish we could have more players TT, this ratio seems weird.

Also apologizing in advance for being inactive right off the start, I will probably only be able to read the thread at 7:30 EST and won't post until like 2-3:00 EST. So don't read that as scum
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 24 2012 22:21 GMT
#69
That first part was directed at Jaj's post btw.
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 25 2012 14:23 GMT
#107
Hey guys sorry I have not been able to post TT. I have read the thread and it appears you all are trying to decide how to do the first day lynch. We SHOULD NOT randomly lynch someone and find people who defended him if mafia or bamdwagoned if he flips town. A smart mafia would simply bandwagon one of their own if we decide to certainly kill one person. And a smart mafia would not simply bandwagon someone of they are likely to die anyway. The best approach is simply lynching who we think is the scummiest or people inactive but not so inactive that they get modkilled.

As of right now my two people of interest are zarepath and fakepromise. Zarepath for introducing the idea which really only benefits scum if they have half a brain and fakepromise for thinking 30% of finding scum is a good bet 0_o

I should post again around 3EST I encourage everypne to post their minds. Bah I made so many errors but posting on my iphone so I really dont want to correct them
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 25 2012 19:53 GMT
#128
CosmosXAM still has yet to post... let's make him
##vote: CosmosXAM

Still looking at zellblade & zarepath but we've seen them post and zare is pretty active, zellblade may just be making nooby mistakes but he has still posted oddly.
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 25 2012 22:10 GMT
#136
It's a standard strategy for getting people, especially lurkers, to post. Don't take it too personally, if you had made posts it just would've been someone else. If you don't believe me you can read previous mafia games
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 26 2012 00:01 GMT
#139
Remember sacred to use the thread that has already been posted on this thread -.- http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=306091
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 26 2012 21:43 GMT
#199
On January 26 2012 23:35 Simberto wrote:
Chocolate looks strange. Not only is he active on TL, but not contributing here at all, almost all of his posts consist of zero content. He is saying that he tries to make Lurkers post, while he pretty much lurks very hard himself. Other then that, he did not post anything except an attack on the random lynching plan.

I would really like some kind of statement from those 3 guys.

Hi guys I'm back. I just got home from school so please excuse my poor schedule for one more day.

First, about activity on TL as opposed to that in mafia. When I was making posts last night there was nothing going on in the thread. When I got off SS was just defending himself and the last post was http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=305805&currentpage=8#145 I didn't see anything to add to SS's post because there is essentially nothing to add; it was a thoroughly confusing post but what I got from it was that he's voting for fakepromise because there is better evidence against him than others.

Now I haven't been lurking in that I haven't been reading the thread. I can only read for 15 minutes in the car on my phone in the morning and post from 4-9 P.M. Since the traffic will increase closer and closer to the deadline tonight you can expect to see more input.
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 26 2012 22:50 GMT
#201
Make sure you remove your vote on him if he continues to not post. Correct me (mods) if I'm wrong but he is set to be modkilled. Unless you are in favor of a no lynch.
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 27 2012 02:07 GMT
#215
Well voting for cosmos has accomplished my goal of getting him to post. Honestly there are a bunch of people that seem suspicious, but there is one that just seems more suspicious than everyone, and that is fakepromise. Zare has a moderately strong case against him but I think lynching an active player who seems a little suspicious is worse than lynching one who is more suspicious and posts less
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 27 2012 21:30 GMT
#243
On January 28 2012 05:09 slOosh wrote:
Are people not talking because they don't know what to talk about?

How about this. Answer these two questions
- Name one person who you think is town and why.
- Name one person who you think is mafia and why.

Bromancipate, SacredSystem, Chocolate, balt11t, CosmosXAM, Adam4167 and zelblade - answer the question.
All the rest of us have been pretty active and so instead of answering this ourselves we should pressure the lurkers.
By withholding our own answers, we can put these guys in the spotlight.

There are 7 hours left in the night. Post or warrant more suspicion on yourselves. Town have nothing to fear, and much to gain by posting.

List of haven't posted yet:
Bromancipate, SacredSystem, Chocolate, balt11t, CosmosXAM, Adam4167 and zelblade.

Well I'm back from school so here goes nothing.

I think simberto is the most town because he has posted many posts, usually with good content a la getting people to post, analyzing, etc. He is very active, although not so much tonight as he has been while I've been gone before.

I think sacredsystem is mafia, or at least appears to be the most mafia right now. Definitely suspicious. The most suspicious part is that his posts are confusing- if anyone calls him out on them for a scumslip he could try to explain it away by interpreting his posts. Then again, he may just be trying to be concise with his posts, and they do generally have a good message. I'm just not sure about him.
Zellblade has been suspicious to me for the whole game, as has zarepath.
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 27 2012 22:10 GMT
#253
On January 28 2012 06:41 slOosh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 28 2012 06:30 Chocolate wrote:
On January 28 2012 05:09 slOosh wrote:
Are people not talking because they don't know what to talk about?

How about this. Answer these two questions
- Name one person who you think is town and why.
- Name one person who you think is mafia and why.

Bromancipate, SacredSystem, Chocolate, balt11t, CosmosXAM, Adam4167 and zelblade - answer the question.
All the rest of us have been pretty active and so instead of answering this ourselves we should pressure the lurkers.
By withholding our own answers, we can put these guys in the spotlight.

There are 7 hours left in the night. Post or warrant more suspicion on yourselves. Town have nothing to fear, and much to gain by posting.

List of haven't posted yet:
Bromancipate, SacredSystem, Chocolate, balt11t, CosmosXAM, Adam4167 and zelblade.

Well I'm back from school so here goes nothing.

I think simberto is the most town because he has posted many posts, usually with good content a la getting people to post, analyzing, etc. He is very active, although not so much tonight as he has been while I've been gone before.

I think sacredsystem is mafia, or at least appears to be the most mafia right now. Definitely suspicious. The most suspicious part is that his posts are confusing- if anyone calls him out on them for a scumslip he could try to explain it away by interpreting his posts. Then again, he may just be trying to be concise with his posts, and they do generally have a good message. I'm just not sure about him.
Zellblade has been suspicious to me for the whole game, as has zarepath.


Please provide one quote of his in which he does this and show how you come to this conclusion. I want to see you do it, instead of doing it for you.
Pick only one mafia suspect.

I presume you mean SS.

He is confusing in his word choice and spelling in all of his posts but I guess this one is a good example.


On January 26 2012 10:34 SacredSystem wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 26 2012 09:04 CosmosXAM wrote:
On January 26 2012 08:27 SacredSystem wrote:
## vote: FakePromise

1: you gotta vote in the voting thread http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=306091
and 2: I find it a bit odd your jump from
On January 25 2012 14:55 SacredSystem wrote:
However, despite several conclusions that we all wish to draw, we need to wait, the mafia will all expose themselves at some point in time.

on a side note
Fakepromise agreed with him at 30% odds -_-

to straight up voting for him, I mean sure he now has two votes going for him but you said that you wanted to wait for more information and based on him only posting once and your points about him just being copy&paste what other people had said earlier and not offering any new information or opinions I find your vote to be very bandwagon-ey. I am not trying to say that you are mafia or to go as far as that but just pointing out that simply copying what others say and blindly agreeing is very suspicious.


i was saying that we shouldnt make wild assumuptions based on inconclusive logic traps, which many of you were doing

also if you arnt saying anything, then dont say it



now fakepromise made a decision which doenst make much sense from the townes perspective, now im not assuming anything in sayin that, which is why im voting for fakepromise as mafia







sorry i forgot about the voting thread

The bolded part isthe most confusing because he says he is not assuming anything from his post about mafia odds but then says that's why he is voting for FP as mafia.
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 27 2012 22:15 GMT
#256
I just posted again

Also SS please explain your reasoning; I have explained mine and it is nowhere near conclusive, meaning that i'm not very certain your are mafia, just that you are the best candidate in my eyes right now to be one.
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 29 2012 02:04 GMT
#336
On January 29 2012 10:44 SacredSystem wrote:
i was originally suspicious of chocolate for simply abandoning his chase on cosmos and then using my logic to jump on fakepromise when several people were already onboard to lynch him

however in light of recent events there seem to be a lot of odd posts and ideas that are floating around that have reduced my interest on chocolate

i am busy reading into the incentives and motives that other players have made and ill be posting my thoughts in a moment

I was putting pressure on cosmos just to get him to post and get a good feel for how he responds under pressure. I wasn't trying to really convince everyone that he was mafia and worthy of a lynch. It was a little bit the same when I said I though you were mafia; I wanted to put you under pressure and see your reaction, but this time there was actually content to work off of. This isn't to say that I'm no longer suspicious of you, of course.
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 29 2012 03:36 GMT
#338
Show nested quote +
On January 28 2012 15:45 zelblade wrote:
Does the mafia know the exact set-up? (What roles exsist, role-counts etc.)


if he were mafia wouldnt he know?
as of now i am really tempted to lean in favor of zelblade just being a noob like he claims to be

If he were mafia of course he would know. That's why people are so suspicious of his post, because they see it as a move to try to seem like he's not mafia.

Now the two most prominent suspects for mafia at the moment at Zerpath, who is the most prominent, and myself. Yet interestingly enough he is attacking me
now we both cant be mafia, if we were we wouldnt accuse each other
that leaves us with 3 choices, we both are town, i am mafia, zerpath is mafia

You actually could both be mafia. It is not unheard of for two mafia to go after each other so that once one dies the town "confirms" the other. This is known as bussing, and you can't overlook this as a possibility.
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 29 2012 17:19 GMT
#349
On January 30 2012 02:04 Simberto wrote:
I think that for today, SacredSystem is not a very good lynch. I also still remain very, very suspicious of zelblade, and would really like to lynch him since so often stuff seems to lead towards him, like this Zarepath case does, too. Basically the moment the second Zarepath case appears, zelblade comes out of lurking and attacks SacredSystem (easy target), quickly reinforced by Zarepath himself.

This, in my opinion, makes the already strong case on zarepath stronger. There are also some more inconsistencies i noticed upon rereading the thread, but this could also be my confirmation bias speaking (which upon rereading day 1 seems to be pretty strong).

For the moment, to avoid falling into the same traps i did on day 1, i will keep my vote on zelblade for overall fishiness, but i won't be the reason the zarepath case fails unless something truly unexpected comes up.

I would also really like our friendly neighbourhood lurkers balt11t, bromancipate and chocolate to both post in this thread and cast their votes.

I'm voting for zarepath because he seems the most scummy out of everyone right now and because if we don't lynch today we'll be in a pretty bad position if mafia get a kill tonight.
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 31 2012 02:10 GMT
#416
I am giving leeway to SS based on my belief that Zelblade is mafia. It is conditional leeway. Hypothetically if there was room for another mafia member on the team I would totally agree with you and move to lynch SS. However because there are only 4 and I cannot see how mafia team could be Zarepath, Zelblade, balt11t and SS, I am inclined to believe SS is just a confusing, anti-town townie (much like FakePromise).

I don't really like this. It seems pretty risky to let bad/scummy play go unpunished just because you don't think these two could both be mafia. Is it unlikely that they are both mafia? Yes. Is it possible? Who knows. I just think these are dangerous waters, because two players are "scummy" and yet you're only letting one actually be scum, when we still have two spots left (I'm pretty convinced balt is scum. We'll see.).
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 31 2012 02:12 GMT
#417
And for the 3rd scum, id be looking at Chocolate or Bromancipate.

Any reasons, or just because I haven't posted much?
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 31 2012 22:09 GMT
#465
On January 31 2012 19:21 zelblade wrote:
Also one thing that I feel is wierd:

Show nested quote +
Simberto
Just one thing i wanted to say: DoYouHas claiming having been shot at does not make him 100% town, even without a counterclaim. It could be a mafia ploy to get someone 100% trusted by not shooting at all. I don't think that this is what happened (it sounds pretty far-fetched), but one should still keep the possibility at the back of ones head.


It seems like he is attempting to be casting doubt onto DYH at this point. I understand this is a minor point, but i feel that it is really wierd.

You're right, it is a minor point but it is possible. I don't think he is casting doubt but just trying to keep everyone with an open mind, since it is possible. I highly doubt mafia would waste a shot like that, and DYH has really good analysis and posts, but still, it is a possibility that i think he wanted to make sure others understand.
Chocolate
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States2350 Posts
January 31 2012 22:17 GMT
#466
On February 01 2012 01:24 Simberto wrote:
And to avoid this whole thing being to one-sided, i want to point out two significantly non-scummy things i did.

I was the first person to be suspicious of balt11t because of the way he attacked FakePromise, even though i should have followed that through after FakePromise flipped green. At least i hope that some of the suspicion that was on him is a result of that.

I was the first person to accept the day1 case against zarepath. At that point in time there was a very real chance that that case could succeed, and if it had succeeded, me supporting it might have very well been the deciding factor. Sure, it did not succeed, but that is not something i knew at that point in time, when there were still more then 2.5 hours on the clock. I only did change my vote away from zarepath when it became totally clear that there was no chance that we would get a lynch on him.

You are posting what you should have done but in my opinion you aren't posting enough of why you did things in the first place. When you are addressing posts you say what you could have done better, but we aren't interested in that. As they say, hindsight is 20/20. Just tell us why you did things to begin with.

Like this
Well, i don't know what i thought half a week ago. I know that that post does not make any sense, so i must have either simply put in the wrong name by accident, or at that point in time believed it is the right name. Should i make up some bullshit why putting that name there makes sense when it obviously does not?

I'm sure you can give us a more substantial answer than that.
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