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Australia4290 Posts
This will be my last post for a little while. I have a large number of commitments in the next 48 hours so I will be fairly quiet but will try and keep updated.
On May 06 2011 13:58 AirbladeOrange wrote: I remember ilovejonn being mostly a lurker in the last mafia game providing no real analysis. Why is he suspicious this game when he was acting the same way last game and was town?
He is acting similar but he's still suspicious . I agree that he is acting similarly to last time to a degree and that's why he's on my suss list not my mafia list. See the bottom of my post regarding him. The most obvious difference between this game and last is that he voted for the townie to die in this game and voted for Protactinium last game who was tearing the scum team apart.
On May 06 2011 14:13 kitaman27 wrote:@DropBear, nice to see some analysis. In the future, you might wanna consider posting them before the day post so you don't influence night hits, but I guess this provides a chance for further discussion at least. Show nested quote +On May 06 2011 14:05 KillerSOS wrote: Well can't say that result was unexpected... we all pretty much agreed that he was just a noobtown.
Oh well. If you felt so strongly, how come you spent so little effort defending him or pushing your preferred target?
I post when I can. I didn't get the time to write them up until now and I want to get them out while everything is fresh in the game. The Kurumi flip is evidence so it makes sense to post now. I'm not sure what you mean about posting before the day post? I have posted before the day post.
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Damn... It was really too good to be true to find scum during the first day. At least we got some analysis to work with, one way or another.
@Cthsazsa Not much to say, questions are often short posts, and you don´t burn a day-vigi to make sure a lynch sticks. About the bandwagon, there really wasn´t any support to lynch redtooth, so I moved back to kurumi to make sure the vote couldn´t be redirected during the last minute by Mafia. Satisfied?
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^^ as in, directly before the day post, so scum can't react to the info but you still get it out in case you die. I agree with this policy generally.
Newb blues should talk to Ver about night actions. I'd love to think that we're protecting protown players and checking scummy ones...
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On May 06 2011 10:38 GGQ wrote: ...
Also, to a large number of people in the mafia forum: the word 'weary' is not the same as the word 'wary'. To be 'weary' means you are tired or exhausted. To be 'wary' means you are cautious or on your guard. Thank you. Rofl, this one bugs me too. But not enough to say something usually.
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Eternalmisfit Why I think he's scum
On May 04 2011 20:54 Eternalmisfit wrote:+ Show Spoiler +@ Redtooth - I am fairly inexperienced at mafia and this is my second mafia game ever.
On accusation of Irish and follow-up I do not buy on the initial accusation of redtooth that Irish is scum just because he said that he was looking forward to play with 3-4 people he knew from before. That by itself is a rather weak case and does not give a scum-signal. The strong response of Irish on chaoser's vote is slightly more scummy to me. But, what seems scummy to me was chaos13's strong defense of Irish.
The way I interpret is that both are mafia and are looking out for each other (or) chaos13 is just looking out for Irish just because they know each other from before but they do not know each other's alignment.
At this point, the evidence based on posting is rather weak for me to vote on either of them and I won't go beyond just a FoS on them. This is his first post. In the very early stages of the game I think he has the right to just FOS them for now. Since he doesn't buy redtooth's accusation of him being scum it would be logical to only keep an eye on him only.
His analysis of Kurumi is a long post just for an FOS. Kind of similar to what redtooth did on chaoser. The thing that irks me the most is that he needed this long of a post for someone like Kurumi. He even included quotes he himself thinks are not worth analyzing. What is the point in that? Seems to me someone is trying to look pro-town by extending their post length. Almost anyone can see Kurumi's posts up to this point are spam/disruptive. Funny how he makes an analysis for the easiest person to finger. At this point I'm not yet certain that he is trying as a townie or just pretending to be one.
Also, I feel that his FOS post is to play it safe. He doesn't really have to take a stance and call him scum, but his long post for an FOS makes it seem like he is still contributing.
On May 05 2011 06:30 Eternalmisfit wrote:+ Show Spoiler +As I posted earlier, I am not too keen on lynching a lurker/inactive on the first day in a 30 man setup as a blue kill would hurt us quite a bit. However, if we have someone in the game who has not posted/voted till somewhat close to the deadline and the town cannot reach a consensus on a mafia lynch, I would recommend lynching the inactive person since he was going to be mod-killed anyways. That is my 2 cents on the issue but it would nice to hear thoughts from more experienced players about it. Why would we want to lynch an inactive that is going to be mod-killed anyways? So that we can waste a lynch? This makes no sense. Also notice the last sentence. Usually newer players when they are SCUM they feel the need to get the approval or recognition of better players. There is natural sense of guilt since he knows what he said if anti-town.
On May 05 2011 06:47 Eternalmisfit wrote:+ Show Spoiler + Sacrificing 1 inactive player to hit [potentially] 0 mafia is bad. Ignoring 1 inactive player to hit [potentially] 1 mafia is a pretty good deal.
I think you misunderstood my intent in that post. I was more so pointing towards a scenario where the town is split in 2 or 3-way on deciding who to lynch. I was wondering whether lynching an inactive would be a reasonable in that scenario or not? In case of strong scummy behavior or a majority of town believing in someone being scum, I would be all for voting that person for lynching. When someone notices that what he said is wrong, he covers it up and decides to change his stance to "I would totally lynch the scummiest person instead of the inactive if town says so."
On May 05 2011 07:00 Eternalmisfit wrote:+ Show Spoiler +On May 05 2011 06:46 Cthsazsa wrote: I'll give my thoughts so far on this. I've noticed a lot of finger-pointing going around. A good example would be of KillerSOS qucikly criticizing Rising_Pheonix's post as spam, even though all he did was give his viewpoint on the current situation?
Sandroba is very quick to accuse people as being scum.
As a few people have already said, Kurumi's posts are strange. It seemed like that at first he was trying to attack chaoser, and then started claiming him to be a good pro-townie?
AirBlade's post instantly looked like anti-town. He was suggesting that we lynch Kurumi, and then he said that even if Kurumi is a townie, it's still okay.
As I said earlier, right now all we're doing is pointing fingers and forcing people into corners to make them look suspicious. I still haven't seen a good, legitimate reason for voting off someone yet. Sandroba was quite finger-happy in Surprisingly Normal Mini Mafia as well where he was a DT. Now, this does not necessitate that he is town but his play-style in consistent with that game at the very least. I am quite suspicious of Kurumi as he spammed the hell out of this thread with mostly meaningless posts. I was going to give him the benefit of doubt of him being a young kid or being not comfortable in English for his mostly incoherent posting, but he made a rather coherent analysis post as his last post of the day. Since his last post suggests that he is quite capable of making reasonable posts, his other posts seem scummy to me written in order to create confusion and derail discussion. But again, I have never been in a mafia game with him and am not sure of his mafia play habits. I agree with AirBlade seeming anti-town. I am also for voting and lynching Kurumi if I think that he is scum (which seems probable to me at this point) but I would not vote/lynch him just because he posts horribly. This might be a lapse in judgment or scum trying to get a townie killed. FoS: AirBladeOrange This post reeks of contradictions. He's suspicious and thinks Kurumi is probable scum. He says he's all for voting him IF he thinks he is scum (which he does), and then immediately says he won't vote for him because of his horrible posting. What? And then suddenly BAM an FOS on AirBlade which is surprisingly....dun dun dun, THE LEAST SUSPICIOUS PERSON OF PEOPLE HE FOS'd! I have trouble understanding why he needed to do an analysis on a person that he thinks has "no visible scum signs" and the least suspicious person on his list. Perhaps to seem like he contributed yet another awesome post? Starting to see a theme here? Contributing without actually contributing.
On May 05 2011 11:43 Eternalmisfit wrote:+ Show Spoiler +I am going to post my final thoughts for the night on posts till now and then head to bed.
I am going to vote for Kurumi for now based on his posting which seems rather scum-like to me (apart from his last post which was the only half-decent one). It is placeholder vote for now as there can be future developments in this thread and also I am still willing to give him benefit of doubt provided he explains his style/content of posts. Back to voting for Kurumi! I thought you wouldn't vote for him just on his horrible postings alone!
On May 05 2011 20:54 Eternalmisfit wrote:+ Show Spoiler +@redtooth Quite a lot of the accusations against Irish are close to grasping at straws. I disagree on his defense against early chaoser/redtooth accusations being scum-tells. However, there is some scummy behavior when he tried to hop on the AO bandwagon and stated Kurumi made some good posts.
In light of one decent scum-tell and some rather weak/non-existent scum-tells from Irish, and lack of clear scum-tells from most other people, Irish makes a good candidate for a lynch.
Does that mean that I am 100% sure that he is mafia? No This only means that he is highly probable of being mafia.
I can make a similar case against Kurumi as well. In both these cases, the two accused of being scum have shown odd behavior. On top, both of them descended into lurking after accusing AirBlade. I would have expected them to be more active after starting the case against AirBlade. At this point, I would like to see them post again and defend their posts and accusations of AirBlade. My current vote on Kurumi is to pressure him to stop his nonsense posting which is derailing the discussion, and provide an explanation for his voting.
At this point of time, I do not think anyone can be painted as completely pro-town which even includes the people providing detailed analysis since we have no concrete evidence to go-to and most discussion is based on interpretation and perceived intent of someone's post.
Also, the more the discussion is heading along in this thread, the more I feel that lynching Irish might as well be a good idea. As a lot of people in this thread have stated, Kurumi and Irish are prime candidates for their odd behavior. And then there are a few people (e.g. red) that have defended them relatively strongly. Thus, Irish makes a good lynch candidate as he has shown scum-vibes in his posts, and his flipping either red or green will allow the town to ascertain the orientation of a lot of people (redtooth's defense and chaoser's borderline tunneling).
Another huge contradiction. He has a placeholder vote on Kurumi all the while saying Irish is the better lynch. If you think Irish has scum-tells and lynching him would give so much information, why did you vote for Kurumi instead? From what you are saying Irish would be the better person to place your vote on!
On May 06 2011 02:36 Eternalmisfit wrote:+ Show Spoiler +People defending others People accusing/FoS/Voting others How to read this chartEvery player has a number against him. Green number on the column of a player means defense or town call for player # by this player Red number on the column means accusation or mafia call for player # by this player Bold and deep color represents multiple occasions of the said event i.e. strong support/attack This chart is applicable till Takuna's first post on page 33 (not including it) The purpose behind this is to analyze potential relationships between different people which will come into play after we people flip after lynches/deaths. I will post a more detailed analysis with my thoughts based on this within 30-60 mins. DOES NOT DELIVER!
On May 06 2011 04:59 Eternalmisfit wrote:+ Show Spoiler +On May 06 2011 04:28 orgolove wrote: Oh wow. I didn't even realize it was chaoser himself that made the spreadsheet. Ugh. Hmm.... For the record, it was me who made the spreadsheet. I was unable to link the pictures properly so chaoser later posted the images based on my links. Unfortunately, I did not save the spreadsheet after making the images from them.
Also, the fact that someone did an analysis does not mean he/she is not scum. Now, if that analysis turns up correct on a flip might suggest that he/she has town/mafia-creds. But, at this point, there is no such evidence for anyone.
The thing that makes me suspicious about the spreadsheet, is that it is entirely fluff. Don't know if I'm using the term fluff correctly but I think it means a seemingly contributive post that has no value at all. Yes, thanks for putting numbers that indicate who responded to who. But in what context? Don't we have to still go to people's profile, find their posts, read thoroughly, before we can decide whether there is any significant connections at all? At least I wouldn't just take your spreadsheet and base people's relationship on the numbers you've shown after a flip. For heaven's sake, you created a tool to help yourself organize people's relationships, and you "forgot" to save it. Maybe it was an honest mistake, or maybe you just wanted to show people you're doing something pro-town and then forget about the whole thing. Oh and thanks for the last paragraph. Exactly the reason why I think you're scum.
Conclusion: Eternalmisfit seems to have great lengthy posts that contribute little of value. Most of the things he says are really echoes of what the majority of people are saying. His posting career up to now has been very wishy-washy and he makes many posts that are contradictory. I believe he is scum!
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Go town! Glad to see I helped a bit,when there's easy mode enabled it is easier to make mistakes than on hard mode,I think. Maybe it was a short first game for me,but it was fun nonetheless,thanks!
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On Kurumi's flip, it suggests that redtooth is possibly town. (since he did suggest that Kurumi was noobtown)
The people who voted for him:
sandroba - one of the first ones to accuse Kurumi. MIA since then
chaos13 - Voted for Kurumi was bringing spam in the discussion and later defended his vote by saying that the posting style did not change.
ilovejonn - suspicious of Kurumi for inane posting. He makes a post just 4 min before the deadline saying he wanted to change his vote but wont since it is pointless. This seems suspicious since he has not posted any FoS on anyone else apart from Irish/Kurumi. It seems like a scum trying to get town-cred since he knows Kurumi will flip town in a few minutes.
sinani206 - bandwagon vote on Kurumi.
Forumite - If he was scum, he would know that Kurumi is town and thus, there is no point switching his vote near the end to Kurumi. It was all but decided that Kurumi was going to be lynched and he could have stayed off the radar by not voting for him at that point.
VarpuliS - Made a strong case against Kurumi.
Eternalmisfit - Made the initial case against Kurumi and has FoS/argued against Kurumi throughout.
AirbladeOrange - Joked about going for Kurumi even if he is town because of his posting style. Has consistently FoS Kurumi
GGQ - not too many posts to go by. Made a couple of posts in suspicion of Kurumi and then voted for him
orgolove - tunnels redtooth throughout the day but votes for Kurumi w/o explanation
Mig - not too many posts to go by. Made a couple of posts in suspicion of Kurumi and then voted for him
Amber[LighT]- not too many posts to go by. Made a post in suspicion of Kurumi and then voted for him
Beneather - Again, no explanation of his vote. Also, he made a post about what is an 'inactive' in context of mafia and then acts as a perfect example of that.
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@ilovejohn It is interesting that you are claiming me to be scum for doing the exact things you did: 1. Made a post-by-post analysis of someone. 2. Thought Kurumi & AirBlade were suspicious based on their incoherent posting and suggesting to lynch a townie posts, respectively.
Also, I do not share your viewpoint that the spreadsheet was pointless. It is NOT a post of who responded to who but who accused someone of being mafia and who defended someone of being town. I made a similar list (albiet in post text form itself as there were only 9 people) in Suprisingly Normal Mafia as well since it allow you to voting/FoS relationships between people. Of course, you need to see the context and content of a post accusing/defending someone but the purpose of the sheet is to pin-point the person who needs to be studied instead of reading the entire posts of everyone.
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In reading through the thread so far, one thing has stood out to me: a definite connection between chaoser and redtooth.
This is a huge guide for new players written by redtooth early on in the game. + Show Spoiler +On May 04 2011 16:27 redtooth wrote: Longpost:
Hello all. Your friendly neighborhood redtooth (aka WRAWRAWRAWRA) here. I've been gone from this forum for quite a long time so there are a lot of new faces that I don't really recognize. Some of you I do recognize but it has been too long for me to remember your meta anyways. Before we continue, let's just lay down a framework-of-sorts for being awesome:
Rule 1: Don't lurk Lurking is bad - this is the first thing you should learn as a mafia player. In a worst-case scenario, the town may policy-lynch you and waste an entire day simply because you were too forgetful or too lazy to post . In a best-case scenario, you are still a potential scum suspect simply because you were lurking, a situation that could have been avoided had you actively contributed to the thread. If you want to win then don’t lurk.
However, lurking isn’t limited to not posting either. “Active lurking” (the act of posting already stated ideas or not contributing any novel content in a post) is just as detrimental to the town and should be avoided at all costs. You don’t have to reinvent the wheel with every post but do your best to be as pro-town as possible in each and every post.
Rule 2: Don't spam While activity within the thread is highly encouraged, creating meaningless and contentless clutter is just as anti-town an action. There will be varying degrees of time commitment exhibited by the other players and it discourages people from actively and substantively posting if there are 30 pages of clutter they have to go through every time they log on. That means no one-liner posts, even if they are votes (you should be explaining your vote anyways). Also included in that category are off-topic shit, comments on how exasperated you are, etc. On the flip side, don’t create massive walls of quotes as they simply get gleaned over more often than not (I am breaking my own rule here with this post). Random townies are more likely to quit out of boredom than scum are so try your best to be concise and be precise.
On that note, if non-players (coaches, audience, not-mods) could keep their discussions out of the thread the town would greatly appreciate it. Let’s create a clutter-free environment.
Rule 3: Never Give Up This is directed at townies. If you're scum, by all means feel free to give up and get modkilled or bussed. However, as mentioned above, it is likely that townies will lose interest in the game much faster than scum will. There are two provisions to this rule: don't stop participating and don't stop defending.
Sometimes your ideas are overlooked or cast aside simply due to the number of strategies or targets being promoted. That doesn’t mean you should stop participating. The town may be tunneling, they may be overlooking something, you may see a scumtell nobody else believes, etc. Each members’ participation is vital to a successful town operation.
Also, there will be cases where you feel extremely frustrated at the (bullshit) evidence being thrown at you despite the fact that you are town. While you may not want to purposefully drag attention to yourself beforehand (since it would be better served looking for actual scum), you should relish the opportunity to defend yourself. A well explained defense can raise the confidence others have in you and gives you more credence in town. Also, getting lynched when you’re town is not only bad for yourself but bad for the town. Do your best to stay alive. No matter how daunting the argument is, don’t give up and keep fighting until you take your last breath or the town sees the light.
Rule 4: Kill Scum It’s such a simple rule but people (including myself) tend to forget it consistently. Every action you take should ultimately be an attempt to promote town activities and hunt/find scum. Disagreeing for the sake of disagreeing is not something that we benefit from and only serves to boost your ego and create rifts in the town. However, if you really feel that playing devil’s advocate is necessary then by all means go ahead. At the same time, be wary of tunneling (focusing exclusively on one person) as your conviction may convince others to pursue an incorrect lynch. Always have an open mind and a desire to be correct more than to win in your argument. Just remember to keep the main objectives in mind: find scum, prosecute scum, lynch scum, beat scum.
Rule 5: Have Fun Ultimately, the game is meant to have fun. I will be the first person to admit that this is not always the case as emotions often run rampant. However, do your best not only to have fun for yourself but to promote fun for others. That means trying not to get personal with arguments/defenses and trying your hardest to be the best player you could possibly be.
Also, many players are discouraged when they are given the role of town. Sometimes we think it’s a curse to be one of the many generic roles. People have different tastes but I personally believe it to be just as fun (if not more fun) than being scum. If you’re still not motivated, think of it this way: while sheeping the town is a great feeling, there is no better feeling than nailing a good scum to the wall after a war of words. Be active, be intelligent, kill scum, and enjoy.
Those were all I could think of for now. Follow these guidelines and SCUM WILL LOSE GUARANTEED. Go town!
Notice the last paragraph in this post. redtooth's guide was nothing that could not be found elsewhere on the site, or other mafia-related sites. How then is it so helpful, and why does this make chaoser feel redtooth is more pro-town? + Show Spoiler +On May 04 2011 18:33 chaoser wrote:Show nested quote +On May 04 2011 18:12 Forumite wrote:On May 04 2011 15:09 AirbladeOrange wrote:On May 04 2011 14:09 chaoser wrote: Ok, so I posted that line just to see how people would respond. You can see that I didn't even post in the actual voting thread and already I think I've got some good reactions. Irish, why such a big response, going so far as to posting a link to another website, even saying that you would dismiss me and "not waste time on trying to convince someone I'm not scum". I didn't even actually vote for you, I posted some bolded words that could have easily been knocked down since there was no analysis behind it, and no logic behind it; it had nothing behind it. Why so serious? Why such a big reaction? Same thing to chaos13.
At the same time, why so much silence on the issue from people who were clearly present? Kitaman? You pop in to say that people shouldn't edit but you don't mention a single thing about Irish, a single thing about me, and a single thing about anything. What up? I think this long of a post is more suspicious than anything irish punk dude said. He does have a few points, people need to make constructive posts, even more so with a 30-player game. Also even this early it´s a good move to call out people on their scum-tells. There's no real such thing as a scum-tell per say. TL doesn't really do the MS "You said good job to medic when he saved someone, you're scum!" kind of deal but there are limitations to what mafia can and can't do. Or at least feel comfortable with doing. If you look at XXXVII, you'll see that mafia found it very hard to make cases against each other and that ended up catching a lot of them. If you look at XXXXVIII, you can see that mafia were decently wishy-washy. By wishy-washy I don't mean they changed their opinions on things, but that they changed them based upon nothing, merely to please the rest of town. In Simple Mafia, Town because Mafia were inactive and allowed town to dominate the discussion. Even so, you'll notice that most of the time it was town arguing against town, using weak arguments and trying to figure out alliances before anyone even flipped. That's bad play since you don't know how mafia will act towards each other. They could bus each other a bit, they could act friendly, or they might not interact at all. The point is that you should focus on a few people and then make judgements about connections AFTER the flip. On day one, conversation generation is the most important thing, even if it IS the 30th game we're discussing about lynching inactives or not. Pressure is also a good conversation generator and I know for a fact that GM's question asking helps too. Mafia wants town to have no direction and I'm sure in this game, where it's filled with mostly newbies, the mafia aren't going to go out of their way to help newbie townies. As such, redtooth get's +townie points in my book. Townies should be sure to ask coaches for help and read over guides conveniently localed here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=215574
After someone had questioned how the guide was helpful, chaoser responded with this. The entire post is talking about redtooth, and there is a key line in bold. It can be labeled as WIFOM, but is worth examining nonetheless. Could this be a ploy by a scum player to seem more pro-town in that they are not afraid to be connected to players, and especially to redtooth, to whom he has already been connected? + Show Spoiler +On May 05 2011 00:44 chaoser wrote: Why shouldn't I point out in my post that helping out newbies is pro-town? In the statement that I made, I mentioned redtooth doing it, not me. I think my posts do a heck of a lot more talking about my alignment than this one little nit-pick.
I didn't say, "look, helping out newbies is pro town okay? OKAY?!?!? NOTICE THIS!!!"
I said, I think redtooth has shown townie behavior and here is the reason why I think so (He was trying to help people).
I don't need to copy redtooth's behavior to be pro-town lol and I don't think our posting has been similar at all aside from the general undertone of "Help new townies." His advice is more general while mine is very much indepth and explanatory. Trust me, I highly doubt mafia would go out of it's way to arm the opposition with weapons that would make their life more difficult. Mafia would rather have half the players inactive and the rest having no idea how to actually play the game.
My advice has been solid. I have shown that I'm not afraid to be connected to multiple people.
The bolded is again a response to a player who mentioned that the newbie guides were essentially useless posts. + Show Spoiler +On May 05 2011 01:41 chaoser wrote: Sorry, I didn't see it. He has a good point about not going straight for lynching inactives as well as previous game experiences. I disagree with his newbie guides statement. Clearly some people need to use it so making a conscious effort to link them and be like please read them in full is needed. I'm sure most people have skimmed them at best and outright not read them at all at worst. His last statement is wishy-washy.
Assessment: I don't think it's more scummy than you, Kurumi or Irish/chao13 at this point. Just because he shot ideas down doesn't mean he's scummy, that's him expressing his opinion. At the same time, clearly what he stated isn't common sense/obvious since people followed along and focused on previous game experiences. You can't just look at one post and say OMG YOU'RE SCUM! It's behavior over time that tips you off on it. Like I said before, if you feel he is scummy, write it down on a notepad or excel sheet (which is an action I know MOST people DON'T DO!) and compare it to future statements.
At this time and period though I think Kurumi is infinitely more scummy.
Here is where the connection between them really gets interesting. redtooth is now FoS'ing chaoser in order to put some distance between them. + Show Spoiler +On May 05 2011 14:48 redtooth wrote:+ Show Spoiler [Post Write-Up Disclaimer] +: @ Chaoser – I just read through it again and it has sort of a sharp tone. It’s really late so I can’t be bothered to go back and make it nicer. Just know that it isn’t meant to be a personal attack on your character. Honestly I would have liked to stay quiet a little bit longer to see how it progressed but since you guys are demanding it, here goes. This essay brought to you by Redtooth, the person who got attacked the last time he made a longpost. Warning, very long:
FoS: Chaoser Reason 1: The Irish Lynch PushHonestly, let’s be serious: the Irish argument is a joke. There really isn’t enough of a basis to keep pushing it and it has only wasted massive amounts of time that could have been spent doing other stuff. Obviously not many people have been convinced, even though the reasoning behind this is pretty depressing in and of itself. Back to his strategy. I initially thought that it was just a prolonged Minimalist Approach, something I assumed he was doing ever since he hopped onto my RVS vote. He seemed to have dropped it after a certain point (which was fine with me since it was getting nowhere) but Irish suddenly appeared again as top suspect in a later post making it very clear that Chaoser is still actively pursuing a lynch on Irish. Since Irish can’t be bothered to defend himself (more on that later), let’s examine Chaoser’s main arguments point-by-point on his behalf (I will paraphrase for the sake of brevity). First off, that’s not a scumtell. When two people with Ghost icons start attacking you while acting like they know what they’re doing, you pay attention. As a matter of fact, would it not have been more odd if he didn’t react the way he did? I mean who is comfortable with two “vets” pressing you off the bat, regardless of how much support there is to those presses? I’m curious as to what a normal, expected reaction would have been. Show nested quote +Points 2 and 3: Irish creates empty content then chainsaw defends Kurumi by attacking AO. I’ll admit, I was pretty surprised at how much traction Irish’s argument got. However, I wouldn’t call it a “chainsaw defense” as much as it is a desperate attempt to look like you’re scumhunting. Irish didn’t have many choices in this position as he was expected to “hunt scum” and produce new and interesting content. He couldn’t accuse himself (duh). On the other hand, you would have spun an accusation if he jumped on the Kurumi wagon. Besides those two, there literally is nothing to go off of up to that point. This scenario is somewhat less likely so I won’t hold Chaoser as accountable for these 2 points. See above. There is a sudden expectation on him to create novel contributions to the thread and this honestly seems like a very half-hearted attempt to fulfill those expectations. And you’re right it wasn’t an EBWODP. It was an EBWOP. It’s a picky counterargument to a nitpicky argument. What difference does it make? If anything, it perfectly fits his character of noobtown. You’ve made it very clear that he’s not going to slip your grasp without a serious defense. So why hasn’t he posted one? Because he’s uninterested. Scum is way more likely to fight back til the bitter end (see KillerSOS below) rather than just semi-abandoning a game. It’s not like he’s trying to lurk through it either since his bandwagon seemed to be the biggest at one point. Now you may be saying, “Hey redtooth! This looks more like a defense of Irish than a FoS on Chaoser.” Well the problem is that either Chaoser should have recognized these or he did recognize but chose to ignore them. Since he seems to be a solid player so far, I’m leaning towards the latter and that is the scummiest action exhibited by anybody in this game so far ( essentially actively and knowingly promoting a lynch on obvtown). Everyone, consider the following questions as objectively as possible: Is it very possible that Irish is simply a noobtown? Yes Is it very possible that Irish’s “chainsaw defense” was actually just a noobtown analysis? Yes Is it very possible that Irish’s lack of defense is in his lack of interest in staying alive? Yes Is it very possible that Chaoser is tunneling, intentional or otherwise? Yes Reason 2: Active LurkingTown has been giving Chaoser a LOT of credit for “contributing so much”. However, upon closer examination a lot of them are either logistical posts (request to focus, poke on lurkers, answer to questions, etc), offtopic, or pushing one of his four FoS. They all look good but break them down and there is very little to be had. As shown by one of the posts quoted above, his attention seems to be spread over four people atm: Irish (primary), Kurumi, KillerSOS, Sinani. I’ve already stated why I think Irish isn’t realscum but let’s address the others as well. Kurumi is that guy. He is the prototypical hyperactive townie who expended all that energy and lost interest midway through game after being pressured. Honestly, when was the last time someone so blatantly scum actually flipped scum? It’s pretty shocking and discouraging to see Kurumi leading in votes. However, it’s a super easy bandwagon to contribute to since there is a wealth of incriminating behavior and an easy target for active lurking. The FoS on Sinani is based off of one sentence that could easily have been due to him simply not reading the thread with much detail (very much within the realm of possibility since there’s so much clutter). Another easy-to-press person that was pressed. Relatively recent development so we’ll see how it goes. KillerSOS is actually a great lead (he’s near the top of my list). However, it’s odd that both KillerSOS and Irish are on the list since they are handling the pressure in totally opposite manners (one totally passive, one full aggressive). Odd behavior isn’t always scum behavior, something he should know very well. ANOTHER easy-to-press person to press, regardless of the merit in the argument. I won’t FoS Killer for now since it wouldn’t make sense for one to be on both him and Chaoser at this point. And by having 4 people FoS’d this early, Chaoser’s also implying that he’s found over half the scum team 36 hours into the game. I don’t know if it is part of his gamestyle to just mass accuse but all it does is create unfocused chatter as attention is split between 10 suspects and lines of arguments get muddled or skimmed over. You’re a liar if you can say that it is easy to focus on what’s happening in the thread right now.
Ultimately, Chaoser’s actions haven’t been enough to place a vote on him yet. But since he seems to be steadily increasing his voice in town, I suggest you guys definitely approach his statements more warily then has happened thus far. From what’s been said in the thread, it seems like he played pretty well as town the previous game but that trust shouldn’t necessarily be carried into this game. He may be a great town member but it is just as likely that he is scum. I mean it’s gotten so ridiculous that players are now making blanket threats against those who dare even challenge the great Chaoser. What’s even more surprising is nobody has even said anything about that challenge. That isn’t to say I FoS’d him just to get you guys to pay attention. I genuinely do think it is suspicious that a “vet” would pursue these weird lynches and FoS. Logistical posts are neutraltells (WHY WONT YOU GUYS UNDERSTAND THIS?) as are offtopic stuff. That leaves just what I perceive to be a real subtle case of active lurking. I’ll watch how it continues to play out and I suggest the rest of town do the same.
Here is an argument against redtooth's FoS. Both the original accusation and this defense there is nothing too solid. It almost seems as if they were making them up completely and trying to twist things and take them out of context. + Show Spoiler +On May 05 2011 16:01 chaoser wrote: Is there a possiblilty that Bin Laden isn't dead? Yes Is there a possiblilty that the US didn't actually go to the Moon? Yes
While those are extreme analogies to your questions, the logical fallacy behind them are the same. While there is a CHANCE that it is possible, there is a BIGGER and more well supported CHANCE that Irish's scummy actions are just that...scummy actions. Your defense is essentially a roundabout stretch. Instead of thinking about it in a straight forward manner (Scummy actions=scummy player), you put forward this more complicated explanation:
"It's not that he's acting scummy cause he's scummy. It's cause he's inactive and disinterested in the game."
Aren't you basically making excuses for players acting scummy?
You say we should not waste time on this. So how would we go about catching scum and not "wasting massive amounts of time"? You've yet to put forward anything to focus on (Saying you FoS me but that we shouldn't vote me just yet)
Let's be truthful here, this post was motivated by a desire to discredit me and paint me in a negative light, not because you ACTUALLY think the case against Irish is weak. You first thought, hmm, I don't like Chaoser's posting and then added on this weak argument on Irish to try to give it legitimacy. If we were to use your logic, we could hand wave anyone's actions as "not interested so he made a shitty argument that was not only based upon false premises, but then immediately started a bandwagon." and no mafia would ever be caught.
In regards to active lurking, do you understand what the concept of lurking even means? It means giving useless information and not actually taking a stance on anything. I've taken multiple stances, called people out, tried to promote inactivity amongst the vets, and put pressure on many people. I've helped create a pro-town environment. What have you done? Nothing.
Sinani's "analysis" post is the most contradictory post I've ever seen. He says he's suspicious of AO but gives no reasons why and then votes Kurumi. When I catch him on it, he says that he forgot and then says Kurumi has been analytical and doesn't give up. I've been analytical and aggressive (both, by the way, which are generally POSITIVE), why didn't he vote me? Even if he's not reading the thread with much detail, to say he's voting for someone due to them CONTRIBUTING TO THE CONVERSATION WITH ANALYSIS is ridiculous. To try to say a complete logically fallicy is due to inactivity is just WRONG in so many ways.
Either way, I neither said I was definitely sure sinani was mafia nor did I say that I had found half of the mafia team. I made a LIST of those that I found suspicious. The people on that list will continue to be evaluated and either be kept on or taken off as events arise. My attention has been very focused (Irish) and the rest are me responding to things people say, as they say them. Should I only respond to issues regarding Irish and after that's resolved, to start noticing other things? No. Your argument to try to defend Irish is weak and your true motive to discredit me is seen. I completely support your stance that people should approach me more warily though but I disagree with the way you have gone about doing it (weak argument, convoluted logic).
I still support the Irish lynch though I see a lot of people are for the Kurumi lynch. Either way, they are tied to each other via the chainsaw defense into vote switch of support that if one flips red, the other is sure to flip red. At this point I am 70% sure Irish is red.
So, redtooth and chaoser have shown a definite connection between each other, and have tried to deny it, even after chaoser mentioned that he wasn't afraid to be connected to other players.
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The list argument is pretty dumb. If I were mafia I would NEVER want to see kurumi dead. He was basically doing mafia's job for them. He was spaming the thread, creating a lot of confusion and posting a lot of nonsense. There is no way in hell you could know for sure kurumi was town unless you were mafia. My suspicions are on the people who came to his defensess for no reason, because he was "obvtown". Seriously, you guys must be on a whole other level, because calling kurumi obvtown is like calling a rape a beautiful act between two people in love. Give me a break.
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And yes, I'm saying Irish and Redtooth are scum.
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On May 06 2011 23:18 sandroba wrote: The list argument is pretty dumb. If I were mafia I would NEVER want to see kurumi dead. He was basically doing mafia's job for them. He was spaming the thread, creating a lot of confusion and posting a lot of nonsense. There is no way in hell you could know for sure kurumi was town unless you were mafia. My suspicions are on the people who came to his defensess for no reason, because he was "obvtown". Seriously, you guys must be on a whole other level, because calling kurumi obvtown is like calling a rape a beautiful act between two people in love. Give me a break. But as town you wanted him dead? But if you were scum you would never want him dead? But as town you did? But as scum you wouldn't? So since you voted for him you're obviously town right? Because obvscum would want him alive? But you have no problems with voting for obvtown? It's not rape. It's surprise sex. Enjoy it scummy.
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What a nice argument. Your last follow up question is a very logical leap (not). You must be obvtown as well, because it turns out people that make no sense flip green.
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OK EVERYBODY STOP AND LISTEN Collectively as a group, town is playing the worst mafia I have ever seen. I think there are literally >20 suspects being listed as being scum with only around half that amount actually being actively pursued. People observing the game from the outside are laughing their asses off at the ridiculous level of fingerpointing going on right now and frankly it's embarrassing.
There is so much criticism and scrutiny on my help-the-town longpost. Honestly I wouldn't have cared as much if you guys knew all of the advice listed there. But seriously none of you guys have shown that you're capable of following it so far. Do you want to know why I posted it in the first place? Because Chaoser was literally the only person who realized my first vote on Irish was a RVS vote and I immediately lost all hope in having a smart town.
It's amazing that some of you are able to move forward with that smug "I-know-you-did-it" attitude after being so blatantly wrong about Kurumi. I think Jackal (very slightly), aidnai (late addition), and I are the only ones on the record arguing against his lynch. Not to mention it's hilarious how so many of you were guaranteeing Chaoser's town alignment and being sheeped by him, only now to turn around and accuse him of being scummy just because.
Stop for a second and actually think about what you are doing. If all you have is "there is a possibility _____ is mafia" then stay quiet and pursue evidence indirectly. I don't want to hear your quotewalls and orgies of bad evidence. All it does it make town lose focus on the real suspects. If you do raise an argument against one person, you will be held accountable for the results of either the lynch or the press.
Learn how to distinguish a scumtell from a nulltell. Suspicious =/= Scummy. Listen to yourselves talk before you blurt something out. I am connected to Chaoser? My kick-the-hive post was the one that made him fall from Town God status that would have easy-carried him to victory if he was scum. You figured out the entire opposing scumteam? Not a chance, players much better than me and you wouldn't have been able to confidently find even 2 with the level of focus the town has right now. Every post _____ made is scummy? Well everybody looks scummy when you haven't even bothered to objectively consider if he is town at all.
Your ideas aren't clever. Your ideas aren't smart. Your ideas aren't correct.
From now on, I will show no more lenience.
If you are incompetent and provide a terrible accusation backed by flawed reasoning, I will move forward with the assumption that you are scum trying to derail the thread.
If your terrible accusation is proven wrong by the night kills or otherwise, you will be held accountable.
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i still don't understand why kurumi was lynched
spamming the thread? Cthsazsa did far more spamming by acting emotionally and just arguing with everyone that said he was spamming too much.
bad town play? look at Cthsazsa. "oh im noob so how am i supposed to know jackal tunnels, rly?" lol ok.
finger pointing?
wtf is this shit
+ Show Spoiler +On May 05 2011 12:01 Cthsazsa wrote:Hmm, this is my rather short analysis on Conversion, since he won't make one of his own. okay let's make analysis of a person that doesn't make an analysis? what kind of stupid logic are you spewing here. you could've just said, "oh here's my analysis of someone who's lurking."
Show nested quote +On May 04 2011 22:11 Conversion wrote: I played in two games, BrownBear's mafia game (if you could even call that playing) where I was town and DocH's newbie mafia where I was mafia. Still pretty bad at this game.
To be honest I really don't have any opinions on anyone atm. I still think there's too many lurkers. The only playstyle I'm somewhat familiar with is Phoenix's since we were scumbuddies in newbie mafia, but he's not posting. Come out, phoenix! Too many lurkers? That's funny, because you've only posted three times since the game started. You refuse to form, create, and state your own analysis. Instead, you're lurking in the shadows watching everyone quarl. Kind of hypocritical, is it not? when did I ever state that I wasn't a lurker? you're just making baseless conclusions (I'm a hypocrite? LOLOLOL?) off nothing. tyvm new guy, maybe I shouldn't learn from logic from anyone but you.Show nested quote +On May 05 2011 11:15 Conversion wrote: jeez jackal and the chtzihfia whatever dude bloated the page count up.
look jackal tunnels people. stop bitching about him tunneling if you don't know his playstyle. it makes you seem really scummy when you spam up the thread with silly ego arguments. And you know Jackal's playstyle? Because in your last post you claim to only be somewhat familiar with Pheonix's. You also say you're still bad at this game. So you must be a newbie, no? If you've played 2 games and you're still a noob, how do you expect me to know how Jackal's playstyle is if this is the first time I've played mafia? okay I want you to do a little research. I know, the horror, right? Go look at how many games Jackal has played. Got a number? good! Now look at how many games Phoenix has played. Got another number? Excellent! Now compare those two numbers. Oh look, jackal's number > phoenix's number, mirite? Good job, now you know why I know jackal's playstyle and "somewhat" know phoenix's. HE PLAYED ONE DAMN GAME. GET YOUR HEAD STRAIGHT.
And why are you so quick to come to his defense? already addressed this point. I wasn't coming to anyone's defense but the town's. I told you not to spam too much, wtf? great logic
This guy is just playing the newbie card and deflecting attention away from himself by arguing with anyone that accuses him or criticizes him, and we lynch someone who had more experienced people saying he was noobtown. great. I'm voting this guy until he gets lynched or vigi'd or shot or whatever.
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EBWODP: Node please tell us exactly what time (TL Time or EST) that the Night officially ends.
We are starting all over again. The previous pages can be used as evidence but all cases must be set forth again with new, strict standards in mind. Abide by the following:
- All official accusations and arguments must be prefaced by the sentence: "I, [name], have thought about the following argument and have relatively high confidence in its accuracy". This is to make sure people aren't just throwing out arguments they don't believe in. Do this for each person you make an official, on-the-record argument against.
- No more than 4 quotes per argument against a player. This is to discourage quotewalls nobody reads and to encourage people actually thinking about what evidence they present. If you need to quote him 10 times to prove he's scum, you're doing it wrong. Unlimited references and paraphrasing is allowed.
- If an official argument sounds valid to you, request to cosponsor it. Arguments not cosponsored within 3 pages or 3 hours (whichever come later) will be dropped. You personally will not be able to make that argument again until the end of the round (day and night count as separate rounds). If another person makes the same argument against the same person, you can cosponsor that one and add your reasonings to it.
- All new arguments made from this point forth cannot link to your previous argument. We are starting over. Even if its the same argument, write it up again. Keep it focused, efficient, and clear. I know I haven't been the best at doing that either but we now will have higher standards.
- Failure to abide by these rules will be automatically receive a pFoS (pseudo Finger of Suspicion) by me.
I will not deny that I am taking draconian steps in reorganizing town. However, unless you really think what I am proposing is anti-town, shut up and deal with it. By the way, this applies to my argument against Chaoser as well. If I make an official argument and it's bad or doesn't adhere to these rules, call me out.
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EBWOTP: add to the list:
- Additions made to your argument in later posts must be headed by a link (via "#" button) to the addition you most recently made or, if none exists, the initial argument.
If anybody has any other high standards they want for the town, please share. I'll be glad to add any great ideas to the list.
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On May 07 2011 01:32 redtooth wrote:EBWODP: Node please tell us exactly what time (TL Time or EST) that the Night officially ends.We are starting all over again. The previous pages can be used as evidence but all cases must be set forth again with new, strict standards in mind. Abide by the following: - All official accusations and arguments must be prefaced by the sentence: "I, [name], have thought about the following argument and have relatively high confidence in its accuracy". This is to make sure people aren't just throwing out arguments they don't believe in. Do this for each person you make an official, on-the-record argument against.
- No more than 4 quotes per argument against a player. This is to discourage quotewalls nobody reads and to encourage people actually thinking about what evidence they present. If you need to quote him 10 times to prove he's scum, you're doing it wrong. Unlimited references and paraphrasing is allowed.
- If an official argument sounds valid to you, request to cosponsor it. Arguments not cosponsored within 3 pages or 3 hours (whichever come later) will be dropped. You personally will not be able to make that argument again until the end of the round (day and night count as separate rounds). If another person makes the same argument against the same person, you can cosponsor that one and add your reasonings to it.
- All new arguments made from this point forth cannot link to your previous argument. We are starting over. Even if its the same argument, write it up again. Keep it focused, efficient, and clear. I know I haven't been the best at doing that either but we now will have higher standards.
- Failure to abide by these rules will be automatically receive a pFoS (pseudo Finger of Suspicion) by me.
I will not deny that I am taking draconian steps in reorganizing town. However, unless you really think what I am proposing is anti-town, shut up and deal with it. By the way, this applies to my argument against Chaoser as well. If I make an official argument and it's bad or doesn't adhere to these rules, call me out.
I cosponsor these guidelines.
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XXXIX Town Official Argument Standards: - All official accusations and arguments must be prefaced by the sentence:
I, USERNAME, have given much thought to the following argument and have relatively high confidence in its accuracy. This sentence (and the red font) is there to encourage people to not just throw out arguments they don't believe in. Copy/paste code below (replace USERNAME):
I, [b][red]USERNAME[/red][/b], have given much thought to the following argument and have relatively high confidence in its accuracy. - Make separate posts and headings for each person you make an official, on-the-record argument against. This is so we can refer to it easier and take in information piecemeal instead of through information overload.
- No more than 4 quotes per argument against a player. This is to discourage quotewalls nobody reads and to encourage people actually thinking about what evidence they present. If you need to quote him 10 times to prove he's scum, you're doing it wrong. Select the ones you find most incriminating and quote those, nothing more. Unlimited references, paraphrasing, and "shortlinking" (hyperlinking without the full URL) is allowed.
- If an official argument sounds valid to you, request to cosponsor it. Arguments not cosponsored within 3 pages or 3 hours (whichever come later) will be dropped. If your argument is dropped, you personally will not be able to make an official argument against the same suspect until the next round (day and night count as separate rounds). If another person makes an argument against the same suspect, you can cosponsor that one and add your reasonings to it. An official argument can have any number of cosponsors to signify its strength and support. Any sponsor (main arguer) of an argument may remove people from the cosponsor list at his discretion. Any cosponsor can remove himself from an argument and, if that was the only cosponsor, that argument will be given the same timeframe (3 pages or 3 hours) to find another.
- Additions made to your argument in later posts must be headed by a link (via "#" button) to the addition you most recently made or, if none exists, the initial argument. This is for ease of tracking your argument. It is your obligation to convince us, not our obligation to be convinced by you. Make it as easy as possible for us to follow.
- All new arguments made from this point forth cannot link to your previous argument. We are starting over. Even if it’s the same argument, write it up again following these standards. Keep it focused, efficient, and clear.
- There is no obligation for me or any player upholding these standards to recognize any arguments not made through these means. This is to incentivize people into actually following the standards.
- Failure to abide by these rules will be automatically receive a pFoS (partial Finger of Suspicion) by me. I will treat these like normal FoS and move forward with the assumption that the person is scum with the intention to derail the town.
Note, these rules don't apply to subsequent debate and discussions about existing official arguments. They are only for when you want to introduce a new suspect into town consideration.
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Revised rules posted. Tell me if you disagree.
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EBWODP: Node please tell us exactly what time (TL Time or EST) that the Night officially ends.
Night ends at 03:00 GMT (+00:00), or in about 10 hours.
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