The Last Premier of the WCS Year
Points, Points, Points
Out to Ruin Someone's Day
Brackets and standings on Liquipedia
The Last Premier
of the WCS Year
One of the most interesting things that the WCS format has given us is the race for points to qualify for BlizzCon. It's an overarching narrative that spans continents and tournaments, and every win and every loss receives added meaning. Even seemingly minute decisions end up reverberating: take for example, KT's decision to keep Zest at home for the R4 playoffs. Yes, they did end up sealing their place in the post season, but it allowed sOs, Zest's replacement, to earn enough points to leap into the top 16 in lieu of KT's TY. It was a 750 point swing (not to mention $10,000) that, unfortunately, TY can no longer recover from, especially since the team has decided not to send him to DreamHack.
It is moments like that which make the race so compelling. There are only three spots left unsecured for the big event, and five of the seven players still in the running will be at DreamHack Stockholm, the last premier event before BlizzCon. sOs, FanTaSy, Dark, HyuN and ForGG will all be in attendance, and it's going to be close. The 750 points awarded to the winner would be enough to get even ForGG, a player that has struggled all year long, into the top 16 should all the other players not earn significant points. None of the names written beside the numbers 14, 15 and 16 are locked—though Rogue is 99% sure to get in—, and we could still see a big change.
Or, we might not, should those players prove that deserve to have their reservations stamped and booked.
Points, Points, Points
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What a month it’s been for sOs. Up til August it had all been a bit of a disappointment. Failure to qualify for either of the Season 1 Starleagues characterised his rather sluggish start to 2015, while his eventual top four placing for GSL Season 2 seemed somewhat fortuitous given the bracket he advanced through. His results in Proleague were hardly great either (19-16 pre-playoffs), and captured his career so far in microcosm as he went through patches of feast and famine with no real consistency. With a miracle result in the GSL Season 3 his only shot at a redemptive Blizzcon run, a mediocre year was spluttering to an undignified end.
That all changed with KT’s fateful decision to block Zest’s attendance at MSI MGA in late August. Suddenly, sOs flicked on the weekender kill mode switch that we last saw in action last December in the Hot6ix Cup, brutally scything his way through the opposition while only dropping a single map (his clinical dissection of INnoVation was a particular highlight). The crucial 750 WCS points gained elevated him to pole position in the race for the final two Blizzcon spots that are up for grabs (Rogue is all but guaranteed at #14), leaving him with the simple task of reaching the top 8 to finish the job. After the week he’s had, achieving the singular feat of reverse all-killing KT Rolster in Proleague on Tuesday, there shouldn’t be too many people rushing to write him off.
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The Starcraft scene is one that is constantly in flux. It’s hard enough for a player to establish themselves in a scene, let alone to maintain consistent results for months and years on end. So how the hell is it that we’re talking about HyuN’s chances for Blizzcon again? In recent times, there’s been no finer exporter of Korean perpetual dominance at foreigner events. If there’s money or WCS points on offer, chances are HyuN will turn up to hoover up all the loot. That all changed in 2015 though, and the reduced number of weekenders have eaten into his total haul for the year, not to mention the increased calibre of opposition in the WCS format following his forced relocation to Korea. He’s made it to this stage of the year without a single truly memorable run, but that’ll have to change here if he wants to keep his hopes for a trip to California alive. That’s something he hasn’t done at a weekend premier tournament since Dreamhack Valencia more than two years ago, and with the fresh Korean influx compared to the previous two Dreamhacks of 2015, success is looking unlikely for the Roach King. Even a win here won’t guarantee his Blizzcon ticket, and he’s hoping for an early exit from sOs or a loss in the GSL semifinals for Dear to bolster his chances. Still, few things in Starcraft would be as shockingly unsurprising as a HyuN special to close out the year.
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Much like HyuN, it’s puzzling how FanTaSy’s remained in contention at this late stage of the year despite a complete lack of truly notable results. There have been memorable performances aplenty—his brutal 3-0 over Rain at IEM Katowice, for example, or his determined comeback to shock eventual champion INnoVation at IEM gamescom—but in terms of extended runs in tournaments, nothing stands out as particularly impressive. What is worth noting though is the resilience he’s displayed all year, showing markedly better performances than last year despite leaving the supposed practice haven that is the SKT team house. It’s resilience best demonstrated by his match against soO in GSL Season 2—a performance he himself ranks as his greatest in his entire gaming career—hanging on by a thread in the game before pulling off some traditional FanTaSy low supply magic to seal the victory. Reaching the finals here would all but seal a spot at Blizzcon for FanTaSy—in itself a career milestone for the veteran terran, whose previous best finish in Starcraft 2 was his eventual semifinal placing at IEM gamescom earlier this year. With his accomplishments in Brood War still nagging away in his mind though, FanTaSy surely has greater goals in mind.
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Has anyone disappointed more in 2015 than ForGG? He ended 2014 on top of the world, crushing the newly crowned Blizzcon champion at Dreamhack Winter and giving us one of the greatest finals we’ve seen in Starcraft. Coming into this year, he was meant to be first amongst equals when considering the Koreans fighting for WCS glory, yet all he has to show for it is a set of sub-par eliminations. Results in the weekender circuit have hardly been promising either, with elimination by Heart in the Round of 32 at Dreamhack Tours his personal nadir. ForGG has the longest shot at a paid trip to California of any of the five attendees still nursing hopes for Blizzcon, and much like HyuN, he needs to win the whole thing to keep his dreams alive. He’s also dependent on factors outside his control, such as Dear losing in GSL or for the other four players on this list falling short early on. It’s also notable that this might be the last time we ever see him, with his time on Millenium possibly coming to an end following rumours of heading back home for his military service. As we saw last year in Jönköping, few players are more capable of surprising than ForGG with his back to the wall.
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Our final member gunning for one last shot at Blizzcon is Dark. Unlike all his competitors here bar sOs, he’s probably played far better during the year than his position here suggests. Firstly, he’s competing in Korea, unlike ForGG, and while he’s still yet to make it to the playoff stages of a starleague, the consistency demonstrated to qualify for all six competitions on offer during the year is admirable. What’s more, his results in weekenders rival anyone in the world this year, with a pair of silvers in the two KeSPA Cups so far, alongside his monstrous qualification run and top four finish at IEM Katowice (wins over Stork, SuperNova, San, PartinG, MyuNgSiK, sOs, TaeJa, Maru). It’s becoming clear that outside of a few cases (his meticulously planned 3-0 against Life in KeSPA Cup 1, for example), his preparation has been his undoing, and much like certain teammates he’s often stuck to playing his game rather than adapting to his opponent. It does help that his standard ZvZ and ZvT is pretty great, although his ZvP still requires work. Fortunately then, his Blizzcon dreams will hinge on running the Dreamhack gauntlet, and he enters his second foreign tournament as a heavy favourite alongside sOs to take the whole thing. Complete victory is what he needs, as even a third silver medal of the year won’t be enough to guarantee him a spot in the top 16, and it would be fitting if he joined soO in banishing the SKT zerg curse in one of the last events of the year.
Out to Ruin Someone's Day
Perhaps it's true that DreamHack Stockholm means more to the players that still have dreams of BlizzCon. As the final premier of the year, Stockholm could lead directly to Anaheim for one of these players. However, it's possible that it doesn't lead anywhere for anyone. With about 90 other competitors present at DreamHack, it's only inevitable that someone's day (or year, in this case) gets ruined and someone else's made.
The Dear Defense Force
We can count Dear unlucky that his GSL semi finals was scheduled in conflict with DH. Had his semifinal been scheduled a week earlier or later, he could have attended both for the best possible chance at making it back to BlizzCon. Instead, he'll have to rely on his teammates, because Samsung hilariously decided to send half their team in order to make sure Dear gets the best chance possible. Hurricane, Reality, Solar and Armani will all be in attendance, and it'll be their mission to take down all of the five BlizzCon hopefuls early. Minimizing the point haul of their teammate's rivals would give the Samsung protoss some breathing room, especially since Solar will likely be in the reckoning on the final day of Dreamhack.
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: FanTaSy in a mind numbing mech TvT
How Far He'll Likely Get: Knocked out by another Korean in the Ro16
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: Dark with some really nasty protoss all in
How Far He'll Likely Get: Knocked out by a foreigner in the Ro16
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: sOs after sOs decides to build carriers or something
How Far He'll Likely Get: A loss against a contender in the Ro8
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: HyuN and Dark in ZvZs
How Far He'll Likely Get: Semi finals against one of the BlizzCon hopefuls
Korean Hunting Season
If WCS Season 3 proved anything, it is that, at the very least, the best foreigners are about as good as the current lot of Korean imports. MaNa's one sided win over ForGG and Lilbow's revengestomp on Hydra gave us the first all foreigner Finals in WCS history, and it's finally not hyperbole or blind optimism to say that the world is catching up. The pressure is now off for a big premier victory in 2015, so the continent can play relaxed on their home soil. This lot of Koreans will be tougher than the one at WCS Season 3, but it's once again that time of year when we just can't rule out the possibility. One of these foreigners will want to append his name below the #yearofLilbow, and this might be the last chance to do it.
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: A Korean in a ZvZ
Lilbonaparte Potential: We keep saying he has it but he has to do it
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: ForGG, again, because why not
Lilbonaparte Potential: Too bad this isn't in Poland again
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: Jaedong in a sloppy PvZ
Lilbonaparte Potential: Pretty good but needs more consistency
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: All of the foreigners, none of the Koreans
Lilbonaparte Potential: Not enough Rotti in him
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: Anyone that tries to cheese him
Lilbonaparte Potential: Definitely has the attitude
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: The eventual champion in the first match of a group stage
Lilbonaparte Potential: Probably the dirtiest protoss in the same vein as Lilbow, so surprisingly good
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: A bunch of foreigners
Lilbonaparte Potential: Usurped by Elazer and Zanster as Europe's best young zerg
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: At least 1 Korean zerg
Lilbonaparte Potential: Will meet Zanster to decide next year's foreign zerg to watch
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: At least 1 Korean protoss
Lilbonaparte Potential: Will meet Elazer to decide next year's foreign zerg to watch
The Usual Suspects
As with every foreign tournament, there's that group of Koreans that attends just about everything. Most of the them, the Koreans on foreign teams, will be in Stockholm, and their only intention is to raid the tournament of cash. Sure, their friends might need the points more, but there's no way they'll give up a fat paycheck.
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: Everyone, probably
How Far He'll Likely Get: A Ro4 against a BlizzCon hopeful
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: A contender in a vintage HerO game before losing the next 2 games
How Far He'll Likely Get: Haha no one knows
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: A fan favorite with some dirty cheese
How Far He'll Likely Get: Out in the Ro16 against a contender
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: Everyone until a very disappointing semi finals
How Far He'll Likely Get: With this lineup, probably Ro8 at best
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: All of the zergs
How Far He'll Likely Get: Ro16 or champion, who knows
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: A bunch of protoss with broodlords
How Far He'll Likely Get: Ro16 or champion, who knows
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: All of the Koreans, none of the better foreigners
How Far He'll Likely Get: Out in the Ro16 to a foreigner
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Who He'd Probably Take Out: A streaking foreign hopeful
How Far He'll Likely Get: Out in the Ro16 to a foreigner
Credits:
Writers: munch, lichter.
Editors: lichter.
Graphics: shiroiusagi.
Photos: Dreamhack.
Stats: Aligulac
Writers: munch, lichter.
Editors: lichter.
Graphics: shiroiusagi.
Photos: Dreamhack.
Stats: Aligulac