WCS Predictor 2014 - Page 46

Die4Ever

United States17601 Posts

October 11 2014 17:13 GMT

#901

Just getting these stats all together here, will run these stats again after WCS AM today of course

Early Blizzcon 2014 Finals preview!

Winning Chances

herO has a ~ 9.48 % chance to win.

MMA has a ~ 8.34 % chance to win.

INnoVation has a ~ 8.2 % chance to win.

TaeJa has a ~ 8.2 % chance to win.

jjakji has a ~ 8.17 % chance to win.

Zest has a ~ 8.08 % chance to win.

Polt has a ~ 7.02 % chance to win.

Life has a ~ 6.01 % chance to win.

Bomber has a ~ 5.94 % chance to win.

HyuN has a ~ 5.61 % chance to win.

San has a ~ 5.58 % chance to win.

soO has a ~ 5.23 % chance to win.

Classic has a ~ 4.78 % chance to win.

StarDust has a ~ 4.08 % chance to win.

MC has a ~ 2.22 % chance to win.

Jaedong has a ~ 2.07 % chance to win.

Scarlett has a ~ 0.83 % chance to win.

Pigbaby has a ~ 0.1 % chance to win.

HerO has a ~ 0.06 % chance to win.

Some Likely Finals Results
~ 1.29 % of the time
herO gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
jjakji gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 1.22 % of the time
MMA gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
TaeJa gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 1.18 % of the time
TaeJa gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
MMA gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 1.17 % of the time
MMA gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Zest gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 1.1 % of the time
Zest gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
MMA gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

~ 1.07 % of the time
jjakji gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
herO gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 1.05 % of the time
INnoVation gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Classic gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.99 % of the time
MMA gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Life gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.95 % of the time
Life gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
MMA gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.93 % of the time
Zest gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
StarDust gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.92 % of the time
MMA gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
soO gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.92 % of the time
MMA gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
INnoVation gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.92 % of the time
TaeJa gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
StarDust gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.88 % of the time
Zest gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
herO gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.86 % of the time
INnoVation gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
MMA gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.85 % of the time
soO gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
MMA gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.82 % of the time
herO gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
TaeJa gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.82 % of the time
Zest gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Classic gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.82 % of the time
Zest gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
San gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.81 % of the time
herO gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Life gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.79 % of the time
TaeJa gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Classic gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.77 % of the time
INnoVation gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Polt gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.77 % of the time
TaeJa gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
herO gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.75 % of the time
Polt gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Zest gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.75 % of the time
TaeJa gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Polt gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.74 % of the time
TaeJa gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
San gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.73 % of the time
herO gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
soO gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.7 % of the time
jjakji gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Zest gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.69 % of the time
Bomber gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
San gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.68 % of the time
jjakji gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
TaeJa gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.68 % of the time
INnoVation gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
StarDust gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.67 % of the time
MMA gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Bomber gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.67 % of the time
TaeJa gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
jjakji gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.67 % of the time
San gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Life gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.67 % of the time
Life gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
StarDust gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.65 % of the time
Polt gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
herO gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.65 % of the time
Zest gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
jjakji gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.65 % of the time
herO gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Polt gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.64 % of the time
Classic gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
INnoVation gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.62 % of the time
Polt gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
INnoVation gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.62 % of the time
San gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
soO gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.62 % of the time
herO gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
INnoVation gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.62 % of the time
herO gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
MMA gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.61 % of the time
HyuN gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Polt gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.61 % of the time
Bomber gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
MMA gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.6 % of the time
Zest gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
HyuN gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.6 % of the time
TaeJa gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
HyuN gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.6 % of the time
herO gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
Bomber gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.6 % of the time
INnoVation gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
herO gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

~ 0.6 % of the time
herO gets 1st in Blizzcon 2014 and
HyuN gets 2nd in Blizzcon 2014

Some likely finals
MMA vs TaeJa finals has a ~ 2.4 % chance
CJ herO vs jjakji finals has a ~ 2.36 % chance
MMA vs Zest finals has a ~ 2.27 % chance
MMA vs Life finals has a ~ 1.95 % chance
INnoVation vs Classic finals has a ~ 1.69 % chance[/QUOTE]

~ 100 % chance to see MMA vs StarDust in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 72.12 % chance to see Life vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 69.44 % chance to see TaeJa vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 64.46 % chance to see HyuN vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 56.87 % chance to see MC vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

~ 54.37 % chance to see San vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 39.3 % chance to see jjakji vs San in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 35.54 % chance to see HyuN vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 30.56 % chance to see Bomber vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 24.38 % chance to see Polt vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 22.79 % chance to see INnoVation vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 21.43 % chance to see Polt vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 20.1 % chance to see Polt vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 16.43 % chance to see Bomber vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 15.19 % chance to see Life vs Polt in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 13.82 % chance to see TaeJa vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 13.81 % chance to see TaeJa vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 12.97 % chance to see MC vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 12.97 % chance to see jjakji vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 12.51 % chance to see Bomber vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 12.49 % chance to see Bomber vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 10.4 % chance to see Polt vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 9.49 % chance to see Bomber vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 8.85 % chance to see Scarlett vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 8.34 % chance to see Life vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 6.34 % chance to see Polt vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 6.11 % chance to see Bomber vs Pigbaby in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 5.09 % chance to see Classic vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 4.35 % chance to see Life vs Bomber in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 4.17 % chance to see San vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 3.8 % chance to see Bomber vs Scarlett in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 2.93 % chance to see TaeJa vs HerO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 2.35 % chance to see Bomber vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 2.17 % chance to see Polt vs Scarlett in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 2.17 % chance to see Scarlett vs San in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 1.9 % chance to see HerO vs Bomber in the first round of the WCS Finals.

+ Show Spoiler [46 Possible Seedings] +

~ 5.7878 % chance
#1 Bomber
#2 HyuN
#3 Zest
#4 Polt
#5 MC
#6 San
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 5.5652 % chance
#1 Polt
#2 HyuN
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 5.5602 % chance
#1 Polt
#2 HyuN
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 4.5426 % chance
#1 Polt
#2 HyuN
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 4.5146 % chance
#1 Polt
#2 HyuN
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 4.4426 % chance
#1 Bomber
#2 HyuN
#3 Zest
#4 Polt
#5 MC
#6 San
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 3.563 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Polt
#4 Bomber
#5 MC
#6 San
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 3.5368 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Polt
#4 Bomber
#5 MC
#6 San
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 3.528 % chance
#1 Bomber
#2 HyuN
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 Polt
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 2.904 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Polt
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 2.8558 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Polt
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 2.6516 % chance
#1 Bomber
#2 HyuN
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 Polt
#6 San
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 2.4322 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 Polt
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 2.4102 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 San
#5 Polt
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 2.3446 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Polt
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 2.3342 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Polt
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 2.1992 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Bomber
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 Polt
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 2.13 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Bomber
#4 MC
#5 Polt
#6 San
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 1.9172 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Polt
#4 Bomber
#5 MC
#6 San
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.8918 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Polt
#4 Bomber
#5 MC
#6 San
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.7802 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 Polt
#5 San
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 1.7402 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 San
#5 Polt
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 1.6028 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Polt
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 Pigbaby
#11 soO
#12 jjakji
#13 herO
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.5946 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Polt
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 Pigbaby
#11 soO
#12 herO
#13 jjakji
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.4748 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Bomber
#3 Zest
#4 Polt
#5 MC
#6 San
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 1.4738 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Polt
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 1.46 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Polt
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 1.4488 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 San
#5 Polt
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 HerO
#11 soO
#12 jjakji
#13 herO
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.446 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 Polt
#5 San
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 HerO
#11 soO
#12 herO
#13 jjakji
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.434 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 San
#5 Polt
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 Pigbaby
#11 soO
#12 jjakji
#13 herO
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.4324 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 Polt
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 Pigbaby
#11 soO
#12 herO
#13 jjakji
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.4166 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Polt
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.386 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Polt
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.2624 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 Polt
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.2566 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 San
#5 Polt
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.1664 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Bomber
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 Polt
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.1594 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Bomber
#4 MC
#5 Polt
#6 San
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.1526 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Polt
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.1466 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Polt
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 0.9574 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 San
#5 Polt
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 HerO
#11 soO
#12 jjakji
#13 herO
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 0.936 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 Polt
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 HerO
#11 soO
#12 herO
#13 jjakji
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 0.906 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 Polt
#5 San
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 0.9018 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 MC
#4 San
#5 Polt
#6 Bomber
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 0.8694 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Bomber
#3 Zest
#4 MC
#5 Polt
#6 San
#7 TaeJa
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Classic
#14 Life
#15 INnoVation
#16 Jaedong
------------------

~ 0.7426 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Polt
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 herO
#12 jjakji
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

~ 0.741 % chance
#1 HyuN
#2 Zest
#3 Polt
#4 MC
#5 San
#6 TaeJa
#7 Bomber
#8 StarDust
#9 MMA
#10 soO
#11 jjakji
#12 herO
#13 Scarlett
#14 Classic
#15 Life
#16 INnoVation
------------------

annedeman

Netherlands350 Posts

October 11 2014 17:50 GMT

#902

On October 07 2014 21:18 Dingodile wrote:
I think it is better without aligulac and other stuff next year. I dont like that the chance of x is higher than of y (both have same wcs points) to come to blizccon because of current performance. Just do "neutral" math. thats why we see Jaedong chance slight differently daily. 72% and next day 72.5% (numbers random chosen) while no sc2 happened/played there.

that would massively underestimate the chances for someone who is behind to get points at dreamhack for example, you play alot of randoms and expecting a good player to go 50/50 against those people is massively unaccurate, and the prediction will give you an extremely low expectation values for players to get points at these events even when them getting points in that event would basicly be a shoe in, noone says agiculac can predict winrates exactly, its still the best we have, you need some kinda weight to measure the opposition they meet in these tournaments.

Kal_rA

United States2925 Posts

October 11 2014 22:54 GMT

#903

So only pigbaby and hero potentially stopping jd right?

The_Templar

your Country52797 Posts

October 11 2014 22:57 GMT

#904

On October 12 2014 07:54 Kal_rA wrote:
So only pigbaby and hero potentially stopping jd right?

Correct. They both have to win WCS

Die4Ever

United States17601 Posts

October 11 2014 22:57 GMT

#905

After Scarlett vs Heart
+ Show Spoiler [Possible Blizzcon Brackets] +

32 possible brackets (down from 46)

~ 6.4793 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 herO
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 5.7819 % chance
#1 Polt vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 5.7746 % chance
#1 Polt vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.9437 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 jjakji
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.8949 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 jjakji
#4 Bomber vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Polt vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.8895 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 herO
#4 Bomber vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 jjakji
#3 Polt vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.7205 % chance
#1 Polt vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.6317 % chance
#1 Polt vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.0609 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Polt vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.0571 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Polt vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.8881 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Polt vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.3436 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 herO
#4 San vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 jjakji
#3 MC vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.3224 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 herO
#3 MC vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.305 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Polt vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.2948 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Polt vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.9895 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.9135 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Polt vs #11 jjakji
#3 Bomber vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.9095 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Bomber vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.3492 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 herO
#4 San vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 jjakji
#3 MC vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.3358 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 herO
#3 MC vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.0328 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 jjakji
#3 Polt vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.0122 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 herO
#3 Polt vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.7891 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 San vs #13 herO

#6 Bomber vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 TaeJa vs #10 HerO
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.7782 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 jjakji

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 Polt vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 Pigbaby
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.7757 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 Polt vs #13 jjakji

#6 Bomber vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 TaeJa vs #10 HerO
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.7656 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 herO

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 Polt vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 Pigbaby
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.6164 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 San vs #13 herO

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 Pigbaby
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.5929 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 Polt vs #13 jjakji

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 Pigbaby
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.5331 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 jjakji
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Bomber vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.1514 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 Polt vs #13 jjakji

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 HerO
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.1463 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 San vs #13 herO

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 HerO
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 0.9208 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Bomber vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

Likely first round WCS Global Finals matches
~ 100 % chance to see MMA vs StarDust in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 69.81 % chance to see TaeJa vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 68.95 % chance to see Life vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 62.39 % chance to see MC vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 55.69 % chance to see San vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

~ 51.79 % chance to see HyuN vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 48.21 % chance to see HyuN vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 38.63 % chance to see jjakji vs San in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 31.05 % chance to see INnoVation vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 30.19 % chance to see Bomber vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 22.7 % chance to see Polt vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 22.16 % chance to see Polt vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 20.93 % chance to see Polt vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 18.3 % chance to see Bomber vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 14.7 % chance to see Polt vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 13.83 % chance to see Life vs Polt in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 13.32 % chance to see TaeJa vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 13.32 % chance to see TaeJa vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 13.15 % chance to see jjakji vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 13.12 % chance to see MC vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 12.21 % chance to see Bomber vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 12.18 % chance to see Bomber vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 11.35 % chance to see Life vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 9.77 % chance to see Bomber vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 6.72 % chance to see Bomber vs Pigbaby in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 5.87 % chance to see Life vs Bomber in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 5.68 % chance to see Polt vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 5.68 % chance to see San vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 3.55 % chance to see TaeJa vs HerO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 2.47 % chance to see Bomber vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 2.29 % chance to see HerO vs Bomber in the first round of the WCS Finals.

Kal_rA

United States2925 Posts

October 11 2014 22:58 GMT

#906

On October 12 2014 07:57 The_Templar wrote:

Show nested quote +

Correct. They both have to win WCS

Die4Ever

United States17601 Posts

October 11 2014 23:06 GMT

#907

edit: nvm found it lol

plogamer

Canada3132 Posts

October 11 2014 23:15 GMT

#908

wrong thread wtf

andrewlt

United States7702 Posts

October 11 2014 23:26 GMT

#909

On October 08 2014 20:50 Yakikorosu wrote:
Aligulac isn't perfect but I think its certainly more accurate than assuming a 50/50 result all the time. I do think some of the bias against their ratings is that sometimes aligulac doesnt value fan favorites as highly as people want because fans' conception of player skill tends to lag significantly behind current form. I do agree though that aligulac seems to overvalue 'foreign koreans. For example last I checked Sacsri was rated #3 despite not having achieved much of anything since his breakout tournament win a few months ago and with most of his recent recorded wins being against relatively less known foreigners.

It is pretty accurate when evaluating known players vs complete randoms early on in tournaments. It does tend to overvalue the foreign scene. There's usually some random foreign Koreans who are rated higher than the top GSL Koreans for various reasons.

Die4Ever

United States17601 Posts

October 12 2014 00:42 GMT

#910

after Hyun vs Huk
+ Show Spoiler [Possible Blizzcon Brackets] +

32 possible brackets

~ 5.8555 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 jjakji
#4 Bomber vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Polt vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 5.8037 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 herO
#4 Bomber vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 jjakji
#3 Polt vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 5.561 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 herO
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 5.1189 % chance
#1 Polt vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 5.1089 % chance
#1 Polt vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.7224 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Polt vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.712 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Polt vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.1352 % chance
#1 Polt vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.1203 % chance
#1 Polt vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.8402 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Polt vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.8285 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Polt vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.7008 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 herO
#3 MC vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.6971 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 herO
#4 San vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 jjakji
#3 MC vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.5294 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Bomber vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.5145 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Polt vs #11 jjakji
#3 Bomber vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.3639 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Polt vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.9602 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 jjakji
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.5993 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 herO
#3 MC vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.5979 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 herO
#4 San vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 jjakji
#3 MC vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.5284 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 jjakji
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Bomber vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.2445 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 herO
#3 Polt vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.2247 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 TaeJa vs #11 jjakji
#3 Polt vs #14 Life
#7 Bomber vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.792 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.576 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 herO

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 Polt vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 Pigbaby
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.5566 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 jjakji

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 Polt vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 Pigbaby
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.5292 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Bomber vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 1.5244 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 San vs #13 herO

#6 Bomber vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 TaeJa vs #10 HerO
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.4993 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 Polt vs #13 jjakji

#6 Bomber vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 TaeJa vs #10 HerO
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.421 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 San vs #13 herO

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 Pigbaby
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 1.3999 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 Polt vs #13 jjakji

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 Pigbaby
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 0.9734 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 Polt vs #13 jjakji

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 HerO
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 0.9609 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 San vs #13 herO

#6 TaeJa vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 Bomber vs #10 HerO
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

Likely first round WCS Global Finals matches
~ 100 % chance to see MMA vs StarDust in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 69.17 % chance to see TaeJa vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 64.22 % chance to see Life vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 61.54 % chance to see MC vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 56.97 % chance to see HyuN vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

~ 54.42 % chance to see San vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 43.03 % chance to see HyuN vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 39.28 % chance to see jjakji vs San in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 35.78 % chance to see INnoVation vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 30.83 % chance to see Bomber vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 21.46 % chance to see Polt vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 20.5 % chance to see Polt vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 18.48 % chance to see Polt vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 17.12 % chance to see Polt vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 16.13 % chance to see Life vs Polt in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 13.91 % chance to see TaeJa vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 13.9 % chance to see TaeJa vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 13.64 % chance to see Bomber vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 12.92 % chance to see jjakji vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 12.91 % chance to see MC vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 12.63 % chance to see Life vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 12.47 % chance to see Bomber vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 12.43 % chance to see Bomber vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 11.65 % chance to see Bomber vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 7.02 % chance to see Life vs Bomber in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 6.3 % chance to see Polt vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 6.3 % chance to see San vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 5.94 % chance to see Bomber vs Pigbaby in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 4.07 % chance to see Bomber vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 3.02 % chance to see TaeJa vs HerO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 1.95 % chance to see HerO vs Bomber in the first round of the WCS Finals.

Die4Ever

United States17601 Posts

October 12 2014 02:18 GMT

#911

After Bomber vs Pigbaby
+ Show Spoiler [Possible Blizzcon Brackets] +

18 possible brackets (down from 32)

~ 9.1047 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 herO
#4 Bomber vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 jjakji
#3 Polt vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 9.0285 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 jjakji
#4 Bomber vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Polt vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 8.5519 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 herO
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 7.9509 % chance
#1 Polt vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 7.9389 % chance
#1 Polt vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 7.3859 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Polt vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 7.3764 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Polt vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 5.5101 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Bomber vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 5.4695 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Polt vs #11 jjakji
#3 Bomber vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 5.1764 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 Polt vs #11 jjakji
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.5674 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 jjakji
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.0866 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 jjakji
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 herO
#3 MC vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 4.0387 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 herO
#4 San vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 jjakji
#3 MC vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 3.9902 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 MC vs #12 jjakji
#4 Polt vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Bomber vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.7658 % chance
#1 Bomber vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 HyuN vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.4026 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 MC vs #13 Classic

#6 San vs #11 herO
#3 Zest vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Bomber vs #15 INnoVation
------------------

~ 2.3492 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 jjakji
#4 San vs #13 herO

#6 Bomber vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 TaeJa vs #10 HerO
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

~ 2.3063 % chance
#1 HyuN vs #16 INnoVation
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 San vs #12 herO
#4 Polt vs #13 jjakji

#6 Bomber vs #11 soO
#3 MC vs #14 Classic
#7 TaeJa vs #10 HerO
#2 Zest vs #15 Life
------------------

Likely first round WCS Global Finals matches
~ 100 % chance to see MMA vs StarDust in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 95.33 % chance to see TaeJa vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 62.75 % chance to see Life vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 58.91 % chance to see San vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 58.36 % chance to see HyuN vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
+ Show Spoiler [More] +

~ 56.58 % chance to see MC vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 41.64 % chance to see HyuN vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 37.25 % chance to see INnoVation vs Zest in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 37.03 % chance to see jjakji vs San in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 25.99 % chance to see Polt vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 21.2 % chance to see Polt vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 21.09 % chance to see Bomber vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 19.37 % chance to see Bomber vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 19.35 % chance to see Bomber vs jjakji in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 18.16 % chance to see Life vs Polt in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 18.16 % chance to see Bomber vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 17.66 % chance to see MC vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 17.63 % chance to see jjakji vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 15.88 % chance to see Polt vs Jaedong in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 14.71 % chance to see Polt vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 10.97 % chance to see Life vs Bomber in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 8.13 % chance to see Life vs MC in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 6.39 % chance to see Bomber vs INnoVation in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 4.67 % chance to see Bomber vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 4.67 % chance to see TaeJa vs HerO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 4.06 % chance to see Polt vs herO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 4.06 % chance to see San vs Classic in the first round of the WCS Finals.

The_Templar

your Country52797 Posts

October 12 2014 02:19 GMT

#912

so, for TaeJa to not face soO in the first round, HerO has to win WCS?

Die4Ever

United States17601 Posts

October 12 2014 02:23 GMT

#913

On October 12 2014 11:19 The_Templar wrote:
so, for TaeJa to not face soO in the first round, HerO has to win WCS?

~ 95.34 % chance to see TaeJa vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 4.66 % chance to see TaeJa vs HerO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
yep lol

The_Templar

your Country52797 Posts

October 12 2014 02:24 GMT

#914

On October 12 2014 11:23 Die4Ever wrote:

Show nested quote +

~ 95.34 % chance to see TaeJa vs soO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
~ 4.66 % chance to see TaeJa vs HerO in the first round of the WCS Finals.
yep lol

Oh man, both of those would be amazing for completely different reasons

pure.Wasted

Canada4701 Posts

October 12 2014 02:33 GMT

#915

On October 12 2014 11:24 The_Templar wrote:

Show nested quote +

Oh man, both of those would be amazing for completely different reasons

There's nothing amazing about Taeja getting knocked out in Ro16.

I was going to say "Taeja or soO" but... this being Ro16 and all...

The_Templar

your Country52797 Posts

October 12 2014 02:34 GMT

#916

On October 12 2014 11:33 pure.Wasted wrote:

Show nested quote +

There's nothing amazing about Taeja getting knocked out in Ro16.

I was going to say "Taeja or soO" but... this being Ro16 and all...

TaeJa vs soO would produce glorious games, and TaeJa vs HerO is a team kill and very likely TaeJa win :D

Die4Ever

United States17601 Posts

October 12 2014 02:36 GMT

#917

so the curent standings have a ~ 4.0387 % chance to stay put

#1 HyuN vs #16 Jaedong
#8 StarDust vs #9 MMA
#5 Polt vs #12 herO
#4 San vs #13 Classic

#6 Bomber vs #11 jjakji
#3 MC vs #14 Life
#7 TaeJa vs #10 soO
#2 Zest vs #15 INnoVation

pure.Wasted

Canada4701 Posts

October 12 2014 02:36 GMT

#918

On October 12 2014 11:34 The_Templar wrote:

Show nested quote +

TaeJa vs soO would produce glorious games, and TaeJa vs HerO is a team kill and very likely TaeJa win :D

So either I consign myself to losing Taeja or soO right out of the gate, or I have to trade Jaedong for HerO? God damn it.

Those games had better be fucking glorious.

Yakikorosu

1203 Posts

October 12 2014 02:36 GMT

#919

On October 12 2014 11:34 The_Templar wrote:

Show nested quote +

TaeJa vs soO would produce glorious games, and TaeJa vs HerO is a team kill and very likely TaeJa win :D

Well only way HerO is even getting there is if he beats Polt AND Bomber, so if he manages that I would think a win against TaeJa would be far from impossible.

Bagration

United States18282 Posts

October 12 2014 02:42 GMT

#920

No foreigners - Korea wins

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