Blizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 71

On October 28 2013 05:25 Elite_ wrote:

No, NaNiwa is favored because Revival's Challenger group hasn't happened yet.

On October 28 2013 05:26 frogrubdown wrote:


I factored that in. Naniwa is favored roughly 70-30 by aligulac in his match against revival.

On October 28 2013 05:34 Stoffelhase wrote:
the other player actually have no goal at all to train for this.. not sure if they would even all participate if it wasnt very unfair for naniwa then.. but revival, training like a boss, will be heavily favored against anyone.. voted 80%

On October 28 2013 06:09 NoGasfOu wrote:
There's no way Naniwa can stand a chance against Revival. Naniwa gets sent to more tournaments to get extra points, plus playing in the easiest region with the least Koreans but still having trouble getting through. That's disappointing as a player. So much opportunities but unable to capitalize.

On October 28 2013 06:12 FiWiFaKi wrote:
The blizzard employee said that it would be determined by more points in regular season, and then my coin-toss. Why do people say it will be a Bo5 at Blizzcon? Where was that posted?

On October 28 2013 06:12 FiWiFaKi wrote:
The blizzard employee said that it would be determined by more points in regular season, and then my coin-toss. Why do people say it will be a Bo5 at Blizzcon? Where was that posted?

On October 28 2013 06:12 FiWiFaKi wrote:
The blizzard employee said that it would be determined by more points in regular season, and then my coin-toss. Why do people say it will be a Bo5 at Blizzcon? Where was that posted?

On October 28 2013 06:23 Dragoonstorm7 wrote:
We can actually seriously start looking at possible Blizzcon seeding now that there are so few games left:

Innovation-1(maru doesnt win & soulkey gets 3/4), 2(maru wins or soulkey gets top2), 3(Maru wins, soulkey gets 2nd)
Soulkey----1(soulkey gets top2), 2(soulkey gets 3/4 & maru doesnt win), 3(soulkey gets 3/4 & maru wins)
Jaedong----3 (maru doesnt win), 4 (maru wins)
Polt----------4 (maru doesnt win), 5 (maru wins)
HerO--------5 (maru doesnt get top2), 6 (maru gets top2)
Maru--------1(maru wins & soulkey gets 3/4), 2(maru wins & soulkey gets 2nd), 5(maru gets 2nd), 6(maru gets 3/4, Dear doesnt ----------------win), 7(maru gets 3/4 & Dear wins)
Bomber-----7 (Dear doesnt win), 8 (Dear wins)
MMA--------8 (Dear doesnt win), 9 (Dear wins)
MC-----------9 (Dear doesnt win), 10 (Dear wins)
Taeja--------10 (Dear doesnt win), 11 (Dear wins)
sOs----------11 (Dear doesnt win & Trap doesnt win), 12 (Dear wins or Trap wins)
Mvp----------12 (Dear gets 3/4 & Trap doesnt win), 13 (Dear gets top2 or Trap wins), 14 (Dear gets top2 and Trap wins)
Alive---------13 (Dear gets 3/4 & Trap doesnt win), 14 (Dear gets top2 or Trap wins), 15 (Dear gets top2 and Trap wins)
duckdeok--14 (Dear gets 3/4 & Trap doesnt win), 15 (Dear gets top2 or Trap wins), 16 (Dear gets top2 and Trap wins)
Dear----------6(Dear wins), 12(Dear gets 2nd & Trap doesnt win), 13(Dear gets 2nd & Trap wins), 15(Dear gets 3/4 & Trap doesnt -----------------win), 16(Dear gets 3/4 & Trap wins)
Naniwa------16 (Trap doesnt win & either [Revival 3/4 challenger group or Naniwa beats Revival in showmatch)
Revival-------16 (Trap doesnt win & Revival 1st/2nd challenger group & Revival beats Naniwa in showmatch)
Trap-----------12 (Trap wins)
Think i got everything, tell me if something is off.

On October 28 2013 06:25 Elite_ wrote:

There's literally a BlizzCon bracket in at the bottom of the OP of the day 3 lr thread. lol

Also this: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=433531&currentpage=73#1453

On October 28 2013 06:57 ZeromuS wrote:
The op doesn't mention what happens if dear comes first. What happens then?