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Blizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 72

Forum Index > SC2 General
1549 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 70 71 72 73 74 78 Next
Dragoonstorm7
Profile Joined December 2012
United States599 Posts
October 27 2013 22:07 GMT
#1421
On October 28 2013 07:00 ZeromuS wrote:
OK guys so tell me the % to use on our nani flag signs here at wcs

you might as well just write "Soulkey" since Trap is the only player there who can affect Naniwa.
oblivion awaits- dark archon (aka best unit ever)
TheSilverfox
Profile Joined December 2010
Sweden1928 Posts
October 27 2013 22:09 GMT
#1422
On October 27 2013 13:16 NoGasfOu wrote:
Oh Dear. Thank god. Waiting for Oz to finish SoulKey and I'll will be a happy guy.


On October 27 2013 13:04 NoGasfOu wrote:
YES YES YES. Naniwa is half way in the hole. DOWN DOWN DOWN!!!!


On October 28 2013 06:09 NoGasfOu wrote:
There's no way Naniwa can stand a chance against Revival. Naniwa gets sent to more tournaments to get extra points, plus playing in the easiest region with the least Koreans but still having trouble getting through. That's disappointing as a player. So much opportunities but unable to capitalize.


Don't you have anything better to do than constantly bash against NaNiwa in this thread? This is just the last three, but pretty much every post from you have been Nani bashing instead of discussing the real thing: Blizzcon probabilities.
Also known as Joinsimon on Twitter/Reddit
75
Profile Joined December 2012
Germany4057 Posts
October 27 2013 22:15 GMT
#1423
naniwa with 71% chance of advanding and revival with only 12% ?
is it really that unlikely that revival will advance in his group and kill naniwa? or do i miss something?
yo twitch, as long as I can watch 480p lagfree I'm happy
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
October 27 2013 22:22 GMT
#1424
On October 28 2013 07:15 75 wrote:
naniwa with 71% chance of advanding and revival with only 12% ?
is it really that unlikely that revival will advance in his group and kill naniwa? or do i miss something?

The simulation doesn't actually calculate the Challenger League group properly. It will go up within the next week after Revival's group.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17720 Posts
October 27 2013 22:29 GMT
#1425
Update posted with results of Dear vs Maru. Also Revival with 90% chance to get top 2 in his group by popular vote.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
illidanx
Profile Joined November 2011
United States973 Posts
October 27 2013 22:32 GMT
#1426
I hope Trap wins vs. Soulkey and Dear forfeit his match against Trap. That would be a middle finger to this stupid WCS system.
Die-hard KeSPA fan
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
October 27 2013 22:33 GMT
#1427
On October 28 2013 07:29 Die4Ever wrote:
Update posted with results of Dear vs Maru. Also Revival with 90% chance to get top 2 in his group by popular vote.

wait, then why is naniwa's chances much higher than revival's
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17720 Posts
October 27 2013 22:35 GMT
#1428
On October 28 2013 07:33 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 28 2013 07:29 Die4Ever wrote:
Update posted with results of Dear vs Maru. Also Revival with 90% chance to get top 2 in his group by popular vote.

wait, then why is naniwa's chances much higher than revival's

because Naniwa has a way higher aligulac rating than Revival, so he is expected to win the best of 5 tie breaker
"Expert" mods4ever.com
KaiserKieran
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States615 Posts
October 27 2013 22:36 GMT
#1429
Everytime i read the OP i am reminded of HyuN's 0% probability of making it to Blizzcon...
+ Show Spoiler +
LIKE DIS IF YOU CRAH EVERTIME
Aegeis
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States1619 Posts
October 27 2013 22:39 GMT
#1430
oh man IT COMES DOWN TO A Bo5 for Naniwa
"Skills to pay the bills" - Artosis, https://twitter.com/AegeisSC2 ,http://www.tumblr.com/blog/socal-esports
Coolhwip
Profile Joined March 2011
Sweden1381 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 22:45:09
October 27 2013 22:44 GMT
#1431
edit:Wrong thread..
crack
iNsaNe-
Profile Joined January 2005
Finland5201 Posts
October 27 2013 22:51 GMT
#1432
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_WCS_Season_3_America/Challenger#Group_Stage says that Revival forfeited the bracket stage match, did he forget to play or?
It takes a fool to remain sane.
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 27 2013 22:52 GMT
#1433
He was traveling to IEM so he couldnt play
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
October 27 2013 22:55 GMT
#1434
On October 28 2013 07:51 iNsaNe- wrote:
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_WCS_Season_3_America/Challenger#Group_Stage says that Revival forfeited the bracket stage match, did he forget to play or?

What Shellbot said, or in other words, he got fucked over by Blizzard/NASL's mediocre scheduling for Challenger League.
Facultyadjutant
Profile Blog Joined January 2012
Sweden1876 Posts
October 27 2013 22:56 GMT
#1435
On October 28 2013 07:55 Elite_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 28 2013 07:51 iNsaNe- wrote:
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_WCS_Season_3_America/Challenger#Group_Stage says that Revival forfeited the bracket stage match, did he forget to play or?

What Shellbot said, or in other words, he got fucked over by Blizzard/NASL's mediocre scheduling for Challenger League.


So he can't get the 25 points?
#1 FAN OF TERRY THE INTERN - NONY AND IDRA NUMBER #1, EVERY DAY. AXIOM MANOR - Axiom: Ryung, Alicia, Heart and Crank under the Don TotalBiscuit and the Donnesa Genna Bain- Join the family http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=396090#2
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 27 2013 22:57 GMT
#1436
On October 28 2013 07:56 Facultyadjutant wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 28 2013 07:55 Elite_ wrote:
On October 28 2013 07:51 iNsaNe- wrote:
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_WCS_Season_3_America/Challenger#Group_Stage says that Revival forfeited the bracket stage match, did he forget to play or?

What Shellbot said, or in other words, he got fucked over by Blizzard/NASL's mediocre scheduling for Challenger League.


So he can't get the 25 points?

He can still get the 25 points from the group stage which hasn't been played yet
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18545 Posts
October 27 2013 23:03 GMT
#1437
On October 28 2013 07:55 Elite_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 28 2013 07:51 iNsaNe- wrote:
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_WCS_Season_3_America/Challenger#Group_Stage says that Revival forfeited the bracket stage match, did he forget to play or?

What Shellbot said, or in other words, he got fucked over by Blizzard/NASL's mediocre scheduling for Challenger League.


pretty sure if Revival had qualified for IEM they would have put his challenger league at another time
Stoffelhase
Profile Joined September 2010
Germany162 Posts
October 27 2013 23:14 GMT
#1438
On October 28 2013 07:55 Elite_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 28 2013 07:51 iNsaNe- wrote:
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_WCS_Season_3_America/Challenger#Group_Stage says that Revival forfeited the bracket stage match, did he forget to play or?

What Shellbot said, or in other words, he got fucked over by Blizzard/NASL's mediocre scheduling for Challenger League.

fucked over? they offered him free 75 points with a chance of way more and a seeded spot close to good price money.. only that made it even possible for him to have a chance to tie with naniwa.. still hugely unfair in my eyes
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
October 27 2013 23:16 GMT
#1439
On October 28 2013 08:14 Stoffelhase wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 28 2013 07:55 Elite_ wrote:
On October 28 2013 07:51 iNsaNe- wrote:
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2013_WCS_Season_3_America/Challenger#Group_Stage says that Revival forfeited the bracket stage match, did he forget to play or?

What Shellbot said, or in other words, he got fucked over by Blizzard/NASL's mediocre scheduling for Challenger League.

fucked over? they offered him free 75 points with a chance of way more and a seeded spot close to good price money.. only that made it even possible for him to have a chance to tie with naniwa.. still hugely unfair in my eyes

Blizzard/NASL didn't offer Revival the spot at IEM. IEM/ESL did. They offered the players with the most WCS points until someone said yes to replacing ForGG, Revival was the first to say yes.
Cereb
Profile Joined November 2011
Denmark3388 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-27 23:38:21
October 27 2013 23:24 GMT
#1440
Soulkey saves the day
"Until the very very top in almost anything, all that matters is how much work you put in. The only problem is most people can't work hard even at things they do enjoy, much less things they don't have a real passion for. -Greg "IdrA" Fields
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