EPTBlizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 69
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Iceman331
United States1306 Posts
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Stoffelhase
Germany162 Posts
oz out! On October 28 2013 03:12 Iceman331 wrote: Methinks Naniwa is going to be buying Soulkey a beer at Blizzcon. Soulkey continues to impress. well, if soulkey wins this tournament, he will play naniwa (if naniwa qualifies) | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
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Stoffelhase
Germany162 Posts
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Juisson
Finland52 Posts
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Nebuchad
Switzerland12583 Posts
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isaachukfan
Canada785 Posts
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ThePlagueJG
Sweden1010 Posts
On October 28 2013 03:34 isaachukfan wrote: Correct me if I'm wrong, but if Revival gets 1st place in his Challenger league group, he will be tied with Naniwa on points right? Yes if he get 1st or second, and if he do they will play a Bo5 tiebreaker in BlizzCon for the BlizzCon spot. | ||
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Elite_
United States4259 Posts
On October 28 2013 03:34 isaachukfan wrote: Correct me if I'm wrong, but if Revival gets 1st place in his Challenger league group, he will be tied with Naniwa on points right? For the at least hundredth time in this thread, why yes he will. He will also tie if he gets 2nd place in his Challenger League group. | ||
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sharkie
Austria18762 Posts
17. Revival, 1011061/5000000, minimum 3175 points, needs at least 3201 points, 20.2212% Why does Revival need 3201 points and Naniwa only 3200? | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On October 28 2013 03:38 sharkie wrote: Why does Revival need 3201 points and Naniwa only 3200? haha, it's the way I programmed it to handle the tie breaker. I just gave Revival a 50% chance to get 24 points if he wins the group or 26 points. It was much simpler to program that way. | ||
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Elite_
United States4259 Posts
On October 28 2013 03:38 sharkie wrote: Why does Revival need 3201 points and Naniwa only 3200? Because his program doesn't like Challenger League simulations so Revival gets a free 26 points 25% of the time and 24 points 25% of the time, and 0 points 50% of the time. Or that^ | ||
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sharkie
Austria18762 Posts
On October 28 2013 03:40 Die4Ever wrote: haha, it's the way I programmed it to handle the tie breaker. I just gave Revival a 50% chance to get 24 points if he wins the group or 26 points. It was much simpler to program that way. Thanks for clarifying! Very fast response, wow | ||
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isaachukfan
Canada785 Posts
On October 28 2013 03:40 Die4Ever wrote: haha, it's the way I programmed it to handle the tie breaker. I just gave Revival a 50% chance to get 24 points if he wins the group or 26 points. It was much simpler to program that way. Oh, so It's programmed to handle the tiebreaker...ok that makes it much more simple, thanks! | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On October 28 2013 03:43 sharkie wrote: Thanks for clarifying! Very fast response, wow You reminded me to change the tie breaker from a 50/50 to an actual match prediction. So Naniwa's chances should go up a little in the next update. But then again without the challenger league groups I still have Revival at 50% to get top 2 in his group, and he probably will have a better chance than that. | ||
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elanobissen
Denmark244 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On October 28 2013 03:47 elanobissen wrote: Who do I root for now? :D Dear vs Byul Naniwa fans are rooting for Dear, Maru, and Soulkey. Naniwa haters are cheering for Byul, Trap, and Revival. | ||
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lolfail9001
Russian Federation40190 Posts
On October 28 2013 03:48 Die4Ever wrote: Naniwa fans are rooting for Dear, Maru, and Soulkey. Naniwa haters are cheering for Byul, Trap, and Revival. So i think i am cheering for Dear, Maru, Soulkey and Revival then. ByuL makes Ro4, loses in close series to Soulkey and Soulkey stomps Maru in finals. Sounds about right. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
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LOGMATHR
30 Posts
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