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'14-'15 NHL SEASON - Can Carlyle Win? CORSI CAN'T! - Page 6

Forum Index > Sports
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15-16 thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/sports/495505-nhl-15-16-mike-richards-possession-superstar
QuanticHawk
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States32080 Posts
June 25 2014 17:38 GMT
#101
Rangers get TBL's second since they resigned Cally. Rangers give back the 7th they got in the trade.

And yeah I heard the same numbers for Cally and that's nuts. It's hard to say he's worth $5m now, let alone in 4, 5, or 6 years. He's a fringe top 6 guy.

I don't know much about Johnston
PROFESSIONAL GAMER - SEND ME OFFERS TO JOIN YOUR TEAM - USA USA USA
Jer99
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Canada8158 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-06-25 17:50:03
June 25 2014 17:49 GMT
#102
Gaborik signs 7 year extension with LA
StrategyTaeJa #1 || @TL_Jer99 || "seeker seeked out his seeking"
QuanticHawk
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States32080 Posts
June 25 2014 18:07 GMT
#103
That's a lot of years for an oft-injured 32 year old, but just under $5m per for him is pretty nice since he's still a very good goal scorer. LA will have some issues with the cap in 4-5 years, but they probably don't care since their core is intact to make annual pushes now.
PROFESSIONAL GAMER - SEND ME OFFERS TO JOIN YOUR TEAM - USA USA USA
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-06-25 18:34:38
June 25 2014 18:34 GMT
#104
Its a dumb contract but from Stevie Y's perspective he has the cap room, they just bought Malone -- aka Calahan contract 1.0 -- and its not like there is some crazy pair of defensemen TB should drop all their money for. Next year if Bishop doesnt have a career year TB will struggle to make the playoffs again.
QuanticHawk
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States32080 Posts
June 25 2014 18:44 GMT
#105
Yeah I wouldn't be going nutso on the defensemen available either. However, I read earlier that they currently only have 4 NHL dmen. They need to do something, even if it is just getting a 5 & 6.
PROFESSIONAL GAMER - SEND ME OFFERS TO JOIN YOUR TEAM - USA USA USA
Flaccid
Profile Blog Joined August 2006
8845 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-06-25 19:06:18
June 25 2014 19:05 GMT
#106
On June 26 2014 03:07 QuanticHawk wrote:
That's a lot of years for an oft-injured 32 year old, but just under $5m per for him is pretty nice since he's still a very good goal scorer. LA will have some issues with the cap in 4-5 years, but they probably don't care since their core is intact to make annual pushes now.


Yeah, given that LA's only real weakness is the ability to consistently score goals (there is something wonky with their team sh%), it is reasonable to lock up one of the better finishers in the league for the remainder of his years. Gabby is the kind of scorer who should remain somewhat effective even as he ages.

edit: Plus the contract will probably be super front-loaded and he can retire early if he starts stinking up the joint.
I'd rather have a bottle in front of me than a frontal lobotomy
QuanticHawk
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States32080 Posts
June 25 2014 19:11 GMT
#107
Doesn't cap recapture make it painful for teams to have someone retire early now? Like his cap hit will still be $5 even if his final two years he is paid 1.5 per

But yeah, I agree about Gabby. While his speed is his trademark, he's got a really underrated shot, and consistently gets to the open areas on the ice. Sticking him with a very talented playmaker like Kopitar means he's gonna be effective for a while.
PROFESSIONAL GAMER - SEND ME OFFERS TO JOIN YOUR TEAM - USA USA USA
Flaccid
Profile Blog Joined August 2006
8845 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-06-25 19:36:10
June 25 2014 19:23 GMT
#108
Yeah, recapture will hurt the Kings - but Gabby won't suffer is all ;-)

edit: And for the Kings, it's a price they're willing to pay later on in order to win a few more cUpZ before he retires.

cupszcupzcupz.

edit 2: Worth doing a glossing-over of cap-recapture so we can see how it applies to Gaborik:

The NHLPA devised something called a "cap benefit recapture formula," which would punish teams with players who retired early on long-term deals by putting the money they saved over the term of the deal on their cap after they've retired...

...applies to deals seven years or longer...

...instead of allowing the post-retirement cap penalty to be spread over twice the length remaining on the deal it can only be spread over the number of years that the player didn't play.


Example: Jeff Carter retires with three years left on his ten-year contract:

Carter would earn $59 million over the first eight years before retirement, an average of $6.375 million per year. But thanks to the structure of the contract, his cap hit is only $5,272,727 per season over the life of the deal. Take the total cap savings earned across those first eight years of the contract -- $6.375 million minus $5.272 million multiplied by eight -- and you get the cap penalty the Flyers would be forced to pay.

It's $8.818 million, and they'd have to pay it over those final three years


So front-loading seems to both encourage Gaborik not to play too far past his expiry date and should save the Kings in potential recapture costs, given that the majority of the contract has been paid out. That's if I understand this correctly, which I never do when it comes to the CBA =P. I think it was meant to punish those brutal back-loaded contracts that always anticipated some magical, infinite future cap.

Source: http://www.broadstreethockey.com/2012/12/14/3763560/nhl-lockout-2012-retired-players-mike-richards-jeff-carter-flyers
I'd rather have a bottle in front of me than a frontal lobotomy
Flaccid
Profile Blog Joined August 2006
8845 Posts
June 25 2014 19:28 GMT
#109
Oh, and the Oilers have signed one of the lesser defensemen from the Columbus Blue Jackets. PROBLEMS SOLVED.

The Oilers seem to like these defensive depth signings. Makes sense as they have a number of good prospects who need some sheltering - but they still need some massive top-pairing help.
I'd rather have a bottle in front of me than a frontal lobotomy
Orcasgt24
Profile Joined August 2011
Canada3238 Posts
June 25 2014 22:31 GMT
#110
On June 26 2014 04:28 Flaccid wrote:
Oh, and the Oilers have signed one of the lesser defensemen from the Columbus Blue Jackets. PROBLEMS SOLVED.

The Oilers seem to like these defensive depth signings. Makes sense as they have a number of good prospects who need some sheltering - but they still need some massive top-pairing help.

The depth signing are fine. We paid nothing for the CBJ guy and he is ok.

The rumor mill has MacT dangling his pick looking for a top flight defenceman. Nashville might find that huge contract of Webers very ugly soon so hopefully we could relieve them of it
In Hearthstone we pray to RNGesus. When Yogg-Saron hits the field, RNGod gets to work
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
June 26 2014 01:44 GMT
#111
On June 26 2014 07:31 Orcasgt24 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2014 04:28 Flaccid wrote:
Oh, and the Oilers have signed one of the lesser defensemen from the Columbus Blue Jackets. PROBLEMS SOLVED.

The Oilers seem to like these defensive depth signings. Makes sense as they have a number of good prospects who need some sheltering - but they still need some massive top-pairing help.

The depth signing are fine. We paid nothing for the CBJ guy and he is ok.

The rumor mill has MacT dangling his pick looking for a top flight defenceman. Nashville might find that huge contract of Webers very ugly soon so hopefully we could relieve them of it

Is this part of the Oilers fan coping mechanism, imaginary scenarios where every other GM in the league descends to Oiler level?
Orcasgt24
Profile Joined August 2011
Canada3238 Posts
June 26 2014 02:10 GMT
#112
On June 26 2014 10:44 Sub40APM wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2014 07:31 Orcasgt24 wrote:
On June 26 2014 04:28 Flaccid wrote:
Oh, and the Oilers have signed one of the lesser defensemen from the Columbus Blue Jackets. PROBLEMS SOLVED.

The Oilers seem to like these defensive depth signings. Makes sense as they have a number of good prospects who need some sheltering - but they still need some massive top-pairing help.

The depth signing are fine. We paid nothing for the CBJ guy and he is ok.

The rumor mill has MacT dangling his pick looking for a top flight defenceman. Nashville might find that huge contract of Webers very ugly soon so hopefully we could relieve them of it

Is this part of the Oilers fan coping mechanism, imaginary scenarios where every other GM in the league descends to Oiler level?

Meh, With GM's like Garth Snow in the NHL and budget strapped teams like CBJ, Phoenix and Nashville trades to save money are always a possibility.
It's also not imaginary. There was alot of talk among hockey people when Nashville matched that offer sheet that they would probably end up trading him a few years down the road due to its sheer size.

Edmonton has never had "Mad Mike Milbury" levels of bad management. Trade and signing wise they have almost always done pretty good. Horcoff is the one truly glaring error. The real problem with management is there complete inability to realize we never have the puck and our defense can't move the thing when they do get it. Their draft strategy of "Take the best player regardless of need" is also a bit shoddy. It's safe but winning takes risk and gambling that a player you need will be available later and trading down for a mid/low tier prospect and their first is a good idea IMO.
In Hearthstone we pray to RNGesus. When Yogg-Saron hits the field, RNGod gets to work
Jer99
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Canada8158 Posts
June 26 2014 20:24 GMT
#113
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]
StrategyTaeJa #1 || @TL_Jer99 || "seeker seeked out his seeking"
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
June 26 2014 21:59 GMT
#114
On June 26 2014 11:10 Orcasgt24 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2014 10:44 Sub40APM wrote:
On June 26 2014 07:31 Orcasgt24 wrote:
On June 26 2014 04:28 Flaccid wrote:
Oh, and the Oilers have signed one of the lesser defensemen from the Columbus Blue Jackets. PROBLEMS SOLVED.

The Oilers seem to like these defensive depth signings. Makes sense as they have a number of good prospects who need some sheltering - but they still need some massive top-pairing help.

The depth signing are fine. We paid nothing for the CBJ guy and he is ok.

The rumor mill has MacT dangling his pick looking for a top flight defenceman. Nashville might find that huge contract of Webers very ugly soon so hopefully we could relieve them of it

Is this part of the Oilers fan coping mechanism, imaginary scenarios where every other GM in the league descends to Oiler level?

Meh, With GM's like Garth Snow in the NHL and budget strapped teams like CBJ, Phoenix and Nashville trades to save money are always a possibility.
It's also not imaginary. There was alot of talk among hockey people when Nashville matched that offer sheet that they would probably end up trading him a few years down the road due to its sheer size.

Edmonton has never had "Mad Mike Milbury" levels of bad management. Trade and signing wise they have almost always done pretty good. Horcoff is the one truly glaring error. The real problem with management is there complete inability to realize we never have the puck and our defense can't move the thing when they do get it. Their draft strategy of "Take the best player regardless of need" is also a bit shoddy. It's safe but winning takes risk and gambling that a player you need will be available later and trading down for a mid/low tier prospect and their first is a good idea IMO.

their draft strategy seems to be wholly built on EA sports NHL games, Just take the guy with the highest stars, screw building an actual team or setting up a system that will ensure the young kids dont have their spirits destroyed and their hockey sense warped as to ensure they become one dimensional and progressively less and less suited to the modern game
Orcasgt24
Profile Joined August 2011
Canada3238 Posts
June 26 2014 22:27 GMT
#115
NHL teams as a whole need to start pressuring the CHL leagues to change the way they play the game. Currently the OHL and QMJHL are an all offence slug fest. Its not even close to a representation of how the game is played in the NHL now. They gotta start teaching these kids at that level solid defense and positioning. I do believe its to hard to learn that shit in the NHL and AHL

All the good defense men come from the WHL because they know defense wins championships.
In Hearthstone we pray to RNGesus. When Yogg-Saron hits the field, RNGod gets to work
EiBmoZ
Profile Joined January 2011
Canada235 Posts
June 27 2014 13:01 GMT
#116
Draft day!!!
Hope my Wings make some moves today.
QuanticHawk
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States32080 Posts
June 27 2014 14:07 GMT
#117
i wish we got chl and junior hockey down in the states. i never know who the hell these prospects are outside of a couple college players
PROFESSIONAL GAMER - SEND ME OFFERS TO JOIN YOUR TEAM - USA USA USA
Flaccid
Profile Blog Joined August 2006
8845 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-06-27 14:30:57
June 27 2014 14:29 GMT
#118
On June 27 2014 06:59 Sub40APM wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2014 11:10 Orcasgt24 wrote:
On June 26 2014 10:44 Sub40APM wrote:
On June 26 2014 07:31 Orcasgt24 wrote:
On June 26 2014 04:28 Flaccid wrote:
Oh, and the Oilers have signed one of the lesser defensemen from the Columbus Blue Jackets. PROBLEMS SOLVED.

The Oilers seem to like these defensive depth signings. Makes sense as they have a number of good prospects who need some sheltering - but they still need some massive top-pairing help.

The depth signing are fine. We paid nothing for the CBJ guy and he is ok.

The rumor mill has MacT dangling his pick looking for a top flight defenceman. Nashville might find that huge contract of Webers very ugly soon so hopefully we could relieve them of it

Is this part of the Oilers fan coping mechanism, imaginary scenarios where every other GM in the league descends to Oiler level?

Meh, With GM's like Garth Snow in the NHL and budget strapped teams like CBJ, Phoenix and Nashville trades to save money are always a possibility.
It's also not imaginary. There was alot of talk among hockey people when Nashville matched that offer sheet that they would probably end up trading him a few years down the road due to its sheer size.

Edmonton has never had "Mad Mike Milbury" levels of bad management. Trade and signing wise they have almost always done pretty good. Horcoff is the one truly glaring error. The real problem with management is there complete inability to realize we never have the puck and our defense can't move the thing when they do get it. Their draft strategy of "Take the best player regardless of need" is also a bit shoddy. It's safe but winning takes risk and gambling that a player you need will be available later and trading down for a mid/low tier prospect and their first is a good idea IMO.

their draft strategy seems to be wholly built on EA sports NHL games, Just take the guy with the highest stars, screw building an actual team or setting up a system that will ensure the young kids dont have their spirits destroyed and their hockey sense warped as to ensure they become one dimensional and progressively less and less suited to the modern game


Honestly though, outside of the top handful of picks, NHL drafting is such a crapshoot that it almost never works out when you draft for need. Unless, of course, your need is a top center and you have the 2nd overall pick or something, and the 2nd best prospect happens to be a center. Not only are you dealing with kids who are still developing, but there is a huge gap between how forwards adjust to the game vs. defensemen. Defensemen, unless a top-end talent (i.e. along the lines of Doughty) are extremely hit and miss and it's hard to use a top pick on one. Goalies are even worse (FLOLeury).

For fun, a blogger from Vancouver did an experiment where he threw out all scouting data and re-did the Canucks drafts for every year after and including 2000. Instead, he just took the best CHL player available at each point the Canucks drafted. In doing this, his draft picks played 4013 more NHL games, got 957 more goals, and 1556 more assists. That's how useful NHL scouting can be (and often is).

http://canucksarmy.com/2014/5/20/we-think-the-vancouver-canucks-may-have-a-scouting-problem

The Canucks, though, probably have some of the worst scouting. Another blogger looked at the same data for all teams and found it close to 50/50 pass/fail (More like 55% pass). Still, it puts NHL scouting, as a whole, at not much better than a coin flip.

The argument for drafting the best-player-available is that you end up with good players and can later trade for need or fill for need via free-agency. The downside is when you get attached to your prospects or young players and are unable to move them until after your shitty team has completely destroyed their value (i.e. Sam Gagner). Then, you are no longer able to make those trades that you require and it kind of destroys the basis for the draft-the-best-player model.
I'd rather have a bottle in front of me than a frontal lobotomy
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-06-27 14:45:24
June 27 2014 14:33 GMT
#119
--- Nuked ---
Sub40APM
Profile Joined August 2010
6336 Posts
June 27 2014 18:11 GMT
#120
Kesler to Ducks for Bonino, Sbisa and the 19th pick.
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