TL MMA Pick'em Pool 2013 - Page 5
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GrapeApe
1053 Posts
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Blondinbengt
Sweden578 Posts
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KaiserReinhard
United States554 Posts
On January 27 2013 17:49 Doses wrote: preemptive apology - sorry about format, lack of capitals, and possible disjointed thinking wanted to comment on the new system LINK the risk/reward is too far skewed towards not using LINK at all. think you will have to adjust the numbers to make it a reasonable choice. current system reward of 2wins linked vs not = +2 current system risk for 1 win linked vs not = -3 current system risk of 2 losses linked vs not = -4 the net numbers just dont really add up. no matter the confidence level of the picks in an unpredictable sport the risk vs not using it is far too great. i know you like to put a little extra on the risk side, i understand that i just think its too much. some link options i came up with - game is fine, number are just off imo options in order of '2 wins/1win/2losses' A: +4 / 0 / -4 B: +4 / -1 / -4 C: +5 / -2 / -4 D: +4 / -2 / -3 as it stands now i dont think ill ever use current version of link. B,C,D would take a large amount of thought even with confident picks as the risk is fairly high and i would often skip out on using link. i would prefer A, it takes high level of confidence as there is risk involved but its reasonable enough to use most weeks. Even if it were A i might still skip using it and thats kind of the awesome part about the bonuses: thought. A LINK vs no LINK: +2 for both wins, -1 for 1 win, -4 for 2 losses anyways obviously it's your game run it how you want, im not complaining one bit of course. i just liked the idea of LINK so i wanted to get it tweeked a bit so i might use it. maybe others have input as well? I agree it's more skewed toward punishment than gain, it was the same with boost, which was why I tried to use both sparingly, but my thought process in making them was that they would be used wisely, and not spammed. Which is funny, because when I gave unlimited boosts last season people spammed them on every pick and often ended up with negative scores for the card. I can try some of those other link options, I like C right now. | ||
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KaiserReinhard
United States554 Posts
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luckybeni2
Germany1065 Posts
On January 28 2013 11:30 KaiserReinhard wrote: I agree it's more skewed toward punishment than gain, it was the same with boost, which was why I tried to use both sparingly, but my thought process in making them was that they would be used wisely, and not spammed. Which is funny, because when I gave unlimited boosts last season people spammed them on every pick and often ended up with negative scores for the card. I can try some of those other link options, I like C right now. The high risk low reward is a good way to go. The reason so many people spammed them when they were unlimited was because only 3 or 4 of us still had a chance to win by normal means. I used the boost option very limited towards the end and ended up 3rd place I believe. Having too much payoff gives too much credit for boosting mismatches and give more importance to matches like Mendes/McKenzie than they deserve. Also the reason many people didn't get as much out of the boosts as they hoped was because they did the math wrong and for example boosted a fighter who I only would only give a 60% chance of winning. Option B is my favorite of the displayed because it favors those who pick wisely and punishes greed. | ||
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DennizR
Sweden653 Posts
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva Jon Fitch v Demian Maia Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green | ||
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Insomniac22
United States907 Posts
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva Jon Fitch v Demian Maia Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg boost Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green | ||
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Sermokala
United States14104 Posts
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira Boost! Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva Boost! Jon Fitch v Demian Maia Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green | ||
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liberate71
Australia10252 Posts
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar (Boost!) Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (Boost!) Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva Jon Fitch v Demian Maia Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green | ||
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cynical
Canada589 Posts
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira(BOOST) Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva(BOOST) Jon Fitch v Demian Maia Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green | ||
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KaiserReinhard
United States554 Posts
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (boost) Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (link) Jon Fitch v Demian Maia Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron (boost) Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green (link) | ||
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Murdco
United States745 Posts
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira(Boost) Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva(Link) Jon Fitch v Demian Maia(Link) Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham(Boost) Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green | ||
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Baituri
Netherlands1501 Posts
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira [Boost] Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva [Link] Jon Fitch v Demian Maia Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron [Boost] Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green [Link] | ||
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Kyhol
Canada2575 Posts
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva link Jon Fitch v Demian Maia link Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg boost Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green boost | ||
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CorsairHero
Canada9491 Posts
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira boost Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva Jon Fitch v Demian Maia Link Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Link Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green | ||
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GrapeApe
1053 Posts
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (boost) Jon Fitch v Demian Maia (boost) Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green Come on Uncle Creepy! I know I'm taking a big chance on you, but you won that first fight vs MM and it's time to go get your goddamn belt! GO GET IT! And Mr. Dunham...don't fuck up. Awesome card. | ||
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Renent
Canada302 Posts
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (Link) Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (BOOST! Jon Fitch v Demian Maia (Link) Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green | ||
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Doses
United States61 Posts
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (BOOST!) Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (BOOST!) Jon Fitch v Demian Maia Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green | ||
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Silentness
United States2821 Posts
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar (BOOST!) Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (BOOST!) Jon Fitch v Demian Maia Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwardsv Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann Bobby Green I'm glad that I can pick all of the fights this time... (previous two UFC events I forgot to put my MMA picks lol) *edited* before matches! | ||
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TheBrofessor
Canada429 Posts
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (link) Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (link) Jon Fitch v Demian Maia (BOOST) Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green (BOOST) Lots of fights that could go either way, but fuck it using all my boosts'n shit | ||
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