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TL MMA Pick'em Pool 2013 - Page 5

Forum Index > Sports
Post a Reply
Prev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 30 31 32 Next All
GrapeApe
Profile Joined March 2011
1053 Posts
January 27 2013 18:06 GMT
#81
My pick went horrible, horrible wrong lol =[
GOIMBA.com <--- eSports betting :)
Blondinbengt
Profile Joined July 2010
Sweden578 Posts
January 27 2013 22:39 GMT
#82
Oh whoops, just realised I acidentally bolded the Janitor instead of Bader haha
KaiserReinhard
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
United States554 Posts
January 28 2013 02:30 GMT
#83
On January 27 2013 17:49 Doses wrote:
preemptive apology - sorry about format, lack of capitals, and possible disjointed thinking

wanted to comment on the new system LINK
the risk/reward is too far skewed towards not using LINK at all. think you will have to adjust the numbers to make it a reasonable choice.

current system reward of 2wins linked vs not = +2
current system risk for 1 win linked vs not = -3
current system risk of 2 losses linked vs not = -4

the net numbers just dont really add up. no matter the confidence level of the picks in an unpredictable sport the risk vs not using it is far too great. i know you like to put a little extra on the risk side, i understand that i just think its too much.

some link options i came up with - game is fine, number are just off imo
options in order of '2 wins/1win/2losses'
A: +4 / 0 / -4
B: +4 / -1 / -4
C: +5 / -2 / -4
D: +4 / -2 / -3

as it stands now i dont think ill ever use current version of link. B,C,D would take a large amount of thought even with confident picks as the risk is fairly high and i would often skip out on using link. i would prefer A, it takes high level of confidence as there is risk involved but its reasonable enough to use most weeks. Even if it were A i might still skip using it and thats kind of the awesome part about the bonuses: thought.
A LINK vs no LINK: +2 for both wins, -1 for 1 win, -4 for 2 losses

anyways obviously it's your game run it how you want, im not complaining one bit of course. i just liked the idea of LINK so i wanted to get it tweeked a bit so i might use it.

maybe others have input as well?


I agree it's more skewed toward punishment than gain, it was the same with boost, which was why I tried to use both sparingly, but my thought process in making them was that they would be used wisely, and not spammed. Which is funny, because when I gave unlimited boosts last season people spammed them on every pick and often ended up with negative scores for the card. I can try some of those other link options, I like C right now.
twitch.tv/imkirok
KaiserReinhard
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
United States554 Posts
January 28 2013 04:32 GMT
#84
Also updated
twitch.tv/imkirok
luckybeni2
Profile Joined October 2008
Germany1065 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-28 18:39:16
January 28 2013 12:21 GMT
#85
On January 28 2013 11:30 KaiserReinhard wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 27 2013 17:49 Doses wrote:
preemptive apology - sorry about format, lack of capitals, and possible disjointed thinking

wanted to comment on the new system LINK
the risk/reward is too far skewed towards not using LINK at all. think you will have to adjust the numbers to make it a reasonable choice.

current system reward of 2wins linked vs not = +2
current system risk for 1 win linked vs not = -3
current system risk of 2 losses linked vs not = -4

the net numbers just dont really add up. no matter the confidence level of the picks in an unpredictable sport the risk vs not using it is far too great. i know you like to put a little extra on the risk side, i understand that i just think its too much.

some link options i came up with - game is fine, number are just off imo
options in order of '2 wins/1win/2losses'
A: +4 / 0 / -4
B: +4 / -1 / -4
C: +5 / -2 / -4
D: +4 / -2 / -3

as it stands now i dont think ill ever use current version of link. B,C,D would take a large amount of thought even with confident picks as the risk is fairly high and i would often skip out on using link. i would prefer A, it takes high level of confidence as there is risk involved but its reasonable enough to use most weeks. Even if it were A i might still skip using it and thats kind of the awesome part about the bonuses: thought.
A LINK vs no LINK: +2 for both wins, -1 for 1 win, -4 for 2 losses

anyways obviously it's your game run it how you want, im not complaining one bit of course. i just liked the idea of LINK so i wanted to get it tweeked a bit so i might use it.

maybe others have input as well?


I agree it's more skewed toward punishment than gain, it was the same with boost, which was why I tried to use both sparingly, but my thought process in making them was that they would be used wisely, and not spammed. Which is funny, because when I gave unlimited boosts last season people spammed them on every pick and often ended up with negative scores for the card. I can try some of those other link options, I like C right now.

The high risk low reward is a good way to go. The reason so many people spammed them when they were unlimited was because only 3 or 4 of us still had a chance to win by normal means. I used the boost option very limited towards the end and ended up 3rd place I believe. Having too much payoff gives too much credit for boosting mismatches and give more importance to matches like Mendes/McKenzie than they deserve. Also the reason many people didn't get as much out of the boosts as they hoped was because they did the math wrong and for example boosted a fighter who I only would only give a 60% chance of winning. Option B is my favorite of the displayed because it favors those who pick wisely and punishes greed.
DennizR
Profile Joined May 2007
Sweden653 Posts
January 28 2013 13:47 GMT
#86

Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green
Insomniac22
Profile Joined February 2011
United States907 Posts
January 28 2013 15:16 GMT
#87
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg boost
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14138 Posts
January 28 2013 15:52 GMT
#88
UFC 156 (Feb 2nd)

Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira Boost!
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva Boost!
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
liberate71
Profile Joined October 2011
Australia10252 Posts
January 28 2013 23:21 GMT
#89
^ boosting Diet Nog - baaaaaawls of steel!

Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar (Boost!)
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (Boost!)
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green
Minelord Stimfestor, also known as karma.
cynical
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada589 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-02-01 03:21:45
January 28 2013 23:48 GMT
#90
UFC 156 (Feb 2nd)

Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira(BOOST)
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva(BOOST)
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green
KaiserReinhard
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
United States554 Posts
January 29 2013 04:20 GMT
#91

Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (boost)
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (link)
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron (boost)
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green (link)
twitch.tv/imkirok
Murdco
Profile Joined June 2011
United States745 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-02-03 00:03:20
January 29 2013 04:31 GMT
#92
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira(Boost)
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva(Link)
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia(Link)
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham(Boost)
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green
Baituri
Profile Joined June 2010
Netherlands1501 Posts
January 29 2013 06:22 GMT
#93
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira [Boost]
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva [Link]
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron [Boost]
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green [Link]
Kyhol
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Canada2575 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-29 06:51:37
January 29 2013 06:49 GMT
#94
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva link
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia link
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg boost
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green boost
Wishing you well.
CorsairHero
Profile Joined December 2008
Canada9491 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-02-02 08:05:53
January 29 2013 07:20 GMT
#95
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira boost
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia Link
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall Link
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green
© Current year.
GrapeApe
Profile Joined March 2011
1053 Posts
January 29 2013 15:20 GMT
#96
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (boost)
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia (boost)
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green

Come on Uncle Creepy! I know I'm taking a big chance on you, but you won that first fight vs MM and it's time to go get your goddamn belt! GO GET IT! And Mr. Dunham...don't fuck up.

Awesome card.
GOIMBA.com <--- eSports betting :)
Renent
Profile Joined February 2011
Canada302 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-30 15:34:23
January 30 2013 15:34 GMT
#97
Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (Link)
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (BOOST!
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia (Link)
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green
Woof
Doses
Profile Joined September 2010
United States61 Posts
February 01 2013 17:24 GMT
#98
UFC 156 (Feb 2nd)

Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (BOOST!)
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (BOOST!)
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green
you're using up our ranged too space
Silentness
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
United States2821 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-02-02 00:56:16
February 02 2013 00:52 GMT
#99
UFC 156 (Feb 2nd)

Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar (BOOST!)
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (BOOST!)
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwardsv Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann Bobby Green

I'm glad that I can pick all of the fights this time... (previous two UFC events I forgot to put my MMA picks lol)

*edited* before matches!
GL HF... YOLO..lololollol.
TheBrofessor
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada429 Posts
February 02 2013 06:35 GMT
#100
UFC 156 (Feb 2nd)

Jose Aldo v Frankie Edgar
Rashad Evans v Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (link)
Alistair Overeem v Antonio Silva (link)
Jon Fitch v Demian Maia (BOOST)
Joseph Benavidez v Ian McCall
Gleison Tibau v Evan Dunham
Tyron Woodley v Jay Hieron
Yves Edwards v Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Jacob Volkmann v Bobby Green (BOOST)

Lots of fights that could go either way, but fuck it using all my boosts'n shit
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