EPTOn September 03 2015 18:31 Die4Ever wrote:
In the SSL semifinals we have 3 players already over 99.99%, and then we have TY at 20.89% with 2500 WCS Points.
If TY loses here then he cannot make it to Blizzcon unless he gets a 4th place or better at Dreamhack or a new tournament is announced. A loss here and a 2nd at Dreamhack puts him at 55.18%, a 1st instead of that 2nd would be 82.51%. A 2nd place in SSL means that he just needs a 16th in Dreamhack to get over 50%, with a 52.58%.
In the SSL semifinals we have 3 players already over 99.99%, and then we have TY at 20.89% with 2500 WCS Points.
If TY loses here then he cannot make it to Blizzcon unless he gets a 4th place or better at Dreamhack or a new tournament is announced. A loss here and a 2nd at Dreamhack puts him at 55.18%, a 1st instead of that 2nd would be 82.51%. A 2nd place in SSL means that he just needs a 16th in Dreamhack to get over 50%, with a 52.58%.
WCS Predictor 2015
StarLeague Season 3 Semifinal 1
TY vs 
ByuL in
in StarLeague Season 3 semifinals.
TY must win this match!
ByuL has the #2 Headband.
TY is at 20.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.1% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 47.04%, or 3.38% if they lose.
ByuL is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.9% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [herO vs Rain] +
herO vs Rain in
in StarLeague Season 3 semifinals.
herO has the #4 Headband.Rain has the #1 Headband.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.27% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] +
Rain has a 32.39% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
herO has a 29.21% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
ByuL has a 23.52% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
TY has a 14.88% chance to win
----going from 20.89% to 99.74% if they get 1st, or 7.1% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL Placements Table] +![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/VO66zHP.png)
StarLeague Season 3 Semifinal 1
TY vs ByuL in in StarLeague Season 3 semifinals.
TY must win this match!
ByuL has the #2 Headband.
TY is at 20.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.1% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 47.04%, or 3.38% if they lose.
ByuL is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.9% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [herO vs Rain] +
herO vs Rain in in StarLeague Season 3 semifinals.
herO has the #4 Headband.Rain has the #1 Headband.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.27% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] +
Rain has a 32.39% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
herO has a 29.21% chance to win----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
ByuL has a 23.52% chance to win----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
TY has a 14.88% chance to win----going from 20.89% to 99.74% if they get 1st, or 7.1% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL Placements Table] +
Thanks for the Stats, as usual
Do we know if TY is planning to attend Dreamhack ? If he doesn't, that pretty much means he'll have to win S2SL to get to Blizzcon. A tall order...
