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Talaris
Switzerland766 Posts
On March 08 2013 02:29 Poopi wrote: That's why the "korean" vs "foreign" is important.  Well, if you we want to generalize that much, you could also say that IM vs korean/foreigner is pretty imba atm - 94.5% win ratio for IM; so nerf IM plz ! :o) | ||
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Kergy
Peru2011 Posts
))) | ||
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Giriath
Sweden2412 Posts
Ro12 MaNa > Nerchio PartinG > Stephano Sting > Ret (may be close) First > Dream (close) Ro8 MVP > MaNa (may be close) YoDa > PartinG YongHwa > Sting Violet > First Ro4 YongHwa > Violet (may be close) MVP > YoDa (close) Finals YongHwa > MVP (close) MVP vs YoDa, YongHwa vs Violet and YongHwa vs MVP should be the best series in the tournament. | ||
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TheBB
Switzerland5133 Posts
http://aligulac.com/predict/sebracket/?bo=5,5,5,7&ps=13,0,26,58,54,0,5,10,20,0,64,208,8,0,109,39 Win Top 2 Top 4 Top 8 Top 16 | ||
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Reasonable
Ukraine1432 Posts
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movac
Canada494 Posts
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739
Bearded Elder29905 Posts
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opterown
Australia54785 Posts
On March 08 2013 03:33 739 wrote: No idea why MaNa comparing to Stephano has so few percent to win, since he went out of his group with 4;1 score, same as ret, lol. stats are mostly based on WoL | ||
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iSunrise
3302 Posts
If you factor that into the already OK numbers from today, they easily have had 60-70 thousand viewers for this event today. | ||
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NKB
United Kingdom608 Posts
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Kasaraki
Denmark7115 Posts
On March 08 2013 03:25 Giriath wrote: Predictions: Ro12 MaNa > Nerchio PartinG > Stephano Sting > Ret (may be close) First > Dream (close) Ro8 MVP > MaNa (may be close) YoDa > PartinG YongHwa > Sting Violet > First Ro4 YongHwa > Violet (may be close) MVP > YoDa (close) Finals YongHwa > MVP (close) MVP vs YoDa, YongHwa vs Violet and YongHwa vs MVP should be the best series in the tournament. Those mirror my predictions, though YoDa might get taken out by PartinG in a close series, in which case Mvp will sweep PartinG, same ultimate final, but yeah. | ||
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Crownlol
United States3726 Posts
On March 08 2013 01:42 TimENT wrote: This is complete bullshit. People are excited to see new HotS strats. Mvp was playing like a genius. Now we are watching Stephano adapt, and everyone is enjoying it. Thank you. I'm a bit of a Stephano fanboy myself, but he was playing against the greatest player in sc2 history (who also happens to have a very enjoyable style to watch). When MVP won with drops and picking Steph apart, there wasn't much whine. Only the "Widow Mines counter everything" is an acceptable whine. | ||
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TheDougler
Canada8324 Posts
On March 08 2013 02:17 tribulator wrote: Parting Stephano, oh man... Stephano just got out of the frying pan and tossed straight into a meat grinder. And even if he wins... Yoda. Ouch. Yoda's not great. But maybe I'm saying that cause he got Canada'd hard at IPL5. | ||
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TheDwf
France19747 Posts
On March 08 2013 03:26 TheBB wrote: I implemented a BYE feature, so now you can simulate brackets like these. http://aligulac.com/predict/sebracket/?bo=5,5,5,7&ps=13,0,26,58,54,0,5,10,20,0,64,208,8,0,109,39 Win Top 2 Top 4 Top 8 Top 16 What's the point in trying to predict things on HotS based on (incomplete) WoL stats? | ||
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Crownlol
United States3726 Posts
On March 08 2013 03:42 TheDougler wrote: Yoda's not great. But maybe I'm saying that cause he got Canada'd hard at IPL5. Yoda looked pretty strong yesterday. Hopefully they'll rebroadcast the champ bracket at a reasonable hour for NA | ||
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TheBB
Switzerland5133 Posts
On March 08 2013 03:43 TheDwf wrote: What's the point in trying to predict things on HotS based on (incomplete) WoL stats? What's the point in trying to predict things across patches? Are you suggesting that absolutely no information carries over? The correlation is weaker, but it's not zero. | ||
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Kasaraki
Denmark7115 Posts
On March 08 2013 03:42 TheDougler wrote: Yoda's not great. But maybe I'm saying that cause he got Canada'd hard at IPL5. YoDa had trouble with protoss all-ins in WoL... But with widowmines, he might be able to close this hole. His other matchups are really good though, and standard TvP he's fine as well. | ||
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TheDwf
France19747 Posts
On March 08 2013 03:44 TheBB wrote: What's the point in trying to predict things across patches? Are you suggesting that absolutely no information carries over? The correlation is weaker, but it's not zero. I am suggesting that Mvp 1:3 Nerchio as a R2 median outcome based on what we saw so far seems really off and indicate a weak correlation indeed. | ||
Shellshock
United States97277 Posts
On March 08 2013 03:44 Crownlol wrote: Yoda looked pretty strong yesterday. Hopefully they'll rebroadcast the champ bracket at a reasonable hour for NA It's pretty much the same as every other day. Tomorrow's schedule http://us.intelextrememasters.com/season7/world-championship-2013/ 08:30 GMT (+00:00) MaNa vs. Nerchio - Round of 16 09:55 GMT (+00:00) PartinG vs. Stephano - Round of 16 11:20 GMT (+00:00) Sting vs. ret - Round of 16 13:00 GMT (+00:00) Dream vs. First - Round of 16 16:00 GMT (+00:00) Quarterfinal - #2 Another random gap in the schedule at 9/10 EST again like the schedule had today which caused all that omg Mvp vs Stephano not being shown!? so I'm guessing Quarterfinal 1 is at that time | ||
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TheBB
Switzerland5133 Posts
On March 08 2013 03:50 TheDwf wrote: I am suggesting that Mvp 1:3 Nerchio as a R2 median outcome based on what we saw so far seems really off and indicate a weak correlation indeed. Well of course. Congratulations, you can use your head. I'm not sure what we are discussing here. On February 03 2013 02:50 Heartland wrote: I think what's cool and great about this work is that it does what statistics are good for. They give you the ability to create data and then to look at it critically. But maybe people in this thread confuse statistics with the Truth with a capital p (sic). That's not the way you should read statistics, whether in the morning paper or on TL. Rather statistics can make us think about deeper connections that we haven't seen before, twist and turn around concepts and play with them through statistical models. They're not meant to say "Scarlett should be in Code S." Obviously there are flaws or issues with these stats, but it's common for statistics everywhere. What you can do with that is to add or change some modifier, let it meet other forms of reasoning or to extrapolate on what we take for granted. So yeah, tl;dr, lies, damn lies and statistics are the case with all stats but it's not the point of stats. | ||
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