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[IEM] World Championship Day 3 - Page 166

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
Prev 1 164 165 166 167 168 Next
CikaZombi
Profile Joined August 2011
Serbia630 Posts
March 07 2013 18:55 GMT
#3301
Awww yeah almost forgot about resume from replay :D
You can no more evade my wrath, than you could your own shadow.
739
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Bearded Elder29905 Posts
March 07 2013 18:56 GMT
#3302
On March 08 2013 03:39 Kasaraki wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2013 03:25 Giriath wrote:
Predictions:
Ro12
MaNa > Nerchio
PartinG > Stephano
Sting < Re
First > Dream (close)

Ro8
MVP < MaNa (may be close)
YoDa > PartinG
YongHwa > Sting
Violet > First

Ro4
YongHwa > Violet (may be close)
MaNa < YoDa

Finals
YongHwa < YoDa (close)

MVP vs YoDa, YongHwa vs Violet and YongHwa vs MVP should be the best series in the tournament.

Those mirror my predictions, though YoDa might get taken out by PartinG in a close series, in which case Mvp will sweep PartinG, same ultimate final, but yeah.


Fixed
WriterSalty oldboy that loves memes | One and only back-to-back Liquibet Winner
n0ah
Profile Joined June 2011
United States250 Posts
March 07 2013 18:59 GMT
#3303
Is there a music list anywhere for Day3 ? They played a sick cover of a Two Door Cinema Club song...
If this is to end in fire, then we will all burn together
CikaZombi
Profile Joined August 2011
Serbia630 Posts
March 07 2013 19:03 GMT
#3304
These new medivacs are gonna earn Terrans a lot of money in the next few months
You can no more evade my wrath, than you could your own shadow.
ES.Genie
Profile Joined July 2011
Germany1370 Posts
March 07 2013 19:06 GMT
#3305
On March 08 2013 04:03 CikaZombi wrote:
These new medivacs are gonna earn Mvp a lot of money in the next few months

Fixed that.
No Mvp, no care. ~ the King will be back | Shawn Ray, Kevin Levrone, Phil Heath |
qbs
Profile Joined January 2011
Poland771 Posts
March 07 2013 19:07 GMT
#3306
omg MaNa vs Nerchio AGAIN sooo sad
DeMusliM !!!
Havik_
Profile Joined November 2011
United States5585 Posts
March 07 2013 19:11 GMT
#3307
haha. FUCK YEAH Mvp!!!



He's still got it! Can't wait to watch the games later.
"An opinion is only as good as the evidence that backs it up."- William O'Malley, S.J.
Added
Profile Joined March 2013
United Kingdom40 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-03-07 19:19:59
March 07 2013 19:17 GMT
#3308
On March 08 2013 03:44 TheBB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2013 03:43 TheDwf wrote:
On March 08 2013 03:26 TheBB wrote:
I implemented a BYE feature, so now you can simulate brackets like these.

http://aligulac.com/predict/sebracket/?bo=5,5,5,7&ps=13,0,26,58,54,0,5,10,20,0,64,208,8,0,109,39

                   Win    Top 2    Top 4    Top 8    Top 16    
---------------------------------------------------------------
Yonghwa 20.22% 15.56% 35.32% 28.89% 0.00%
viOLet 17.70% 11.70% 27.25% 43.36% 0.00%
PartinG 17.17% 10.06% 8.01% 13.44% 51.32%
YoDa 9.96% 8.75% 20.63% 60.66% 0.00%
Stephano 7.35% 7.67% 10.40% 25.90% 48.68%
Nerchio 7.06% 13.92% 29.31% 18.14% 31.56%
First 5.81% 5.23% 7.27% 29.68% 52.01%
Mvp 5.69% 6.97% 20.21% 67.14% 0.00%
Dream 4.60% 8.28% 12.16% 26.96% 47.99%
Sting 2.67% 7.67% 14.60% 59.05% 16.02%
MaNa 1.66% 3.74% 11.44% 14.72% 68.44%
Ret 0.10% 0.46% 3.40% 12.06% 83.98%
Estimated by Aligulac. Twitter.

What's the point in trying to predict things on HotS based on (incomplete) WoL stats?

What's the point in trying to predict things across patches? Are you suggesting that absolutely no information carries over? The correlation is weaker, but it's not zero.


Can you please post the group of death stats when you get the chance? Because I'm betting neither Dream or Mvp were predicted to get anywhere above 4th.

EDIT: Found the original stats posted on the 3rd page or so, and yeah, I wasn't far off I guess... but I didn't know Dream was doing so well in WoL.
CikaZombi
Profile Joined August 2011
Serbia630 Posts
March 07 2013 19:18 GMT
#3309
On March 08 2013 04:06 ES.Genie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2013 04:03 CikaZombi wrote:
These new medivacs are gonna earn Mvp a lot of money in the next few months

Fixed that.

Nah, MVP would win no matter what. But using these units is not exactly advanced theoretical physics.
You can no more evade my wrath, than you could your own shadow.
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-03-07 19:22:12
March 07 2013 19:22 GMT
#3310
On March 08 2013 04:17 Added wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 08 2013 03:44 TheBB wrote:
On March 08 2013 03:43 TheDwf wrote:
On March 08 2013 03:26 TheBB wrote:
I implemented a BYE feature, so now you can simulate brackets like these.

http://aligulac.com/predict/sebracket/?bo=5,5,5,7&ps=13,0,26,58,54,0,5,10,20,0,64,208,8,0,109,39

                   Win    Top 2    Top 4    Top 8    Top 16    
---------------------------------------------------------------
Yonghwa 20.22% 15.56% 35.32% 28.89% 0.00%
viOLet 17.70% 11.70% 27.25% 43.36% 0.00%
PartinG 17.17% 10.06% 8.01% 13.44% 51.32%
YoDa 9.96% 8.75% 20.63% 60.66% 0.00%
Stephano 7.35% 7.67% 10.40% 25.90% 48.68%
Nerchio 7.06% 13.92% 29.31% 18.14% 31.56%
First 5.81% 5.23% 7.27% 29.68% 52.01%
Mvp 5.69% 6.97% 20.21% 67.14% 0.00%
Dream 4.60% 8.28% 12.16% 26.96% 47.99%
Sting 2.67% 7.67% 14.60% 59.05% 16.02%
MaNa 1.66% 3.74% 11.44% 14.72% 68.44%
Ret 0.10% 0.46% 3.40% 12.06% 83.98%
Estimated by Aligulac. Twitter.

What's the point in trying to predict things on HotS based on (incomplete) WoL stats?

What's the point in trying to predict things across patches? Are you suggesting that absolutely no information carries over? The correlation is weaker, but it's not zero.

Can you please post the group of death stats when you get the chance? Because I'm betting neither Dream or Mvp were predicted to get anywhere above 4th.

These you mean?

                    1st      2nd      3rd      4th      5th      6th    
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Stephano 40.59% 22.59% 16.01% 11.15% 6.68% 2.99%
Dream 22.35% 22.59% 19.78% 16.71% 11.65% 6.92%
Mvp 18.49% 22.05% 20.20% 17.05% 13.39% 8.82%
Golden 8.89% 14.04% 17.38% 17.96% 20.97% 20.76%
TLO 6.73% 10.56% 14.34% 18.95% 23.09% 26.33%
Grubby 2.96% 8.16% 12.29% 18.18% 24.23% 34.18%
Estimated by Aligulac. Twitter.

Should mention that these numbers are now polluted by the results that have already been added (or were already added before 18:00 CET, since that was the latest rating update), but that shouldn't have made such a big impact.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
freerolll
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Belgium1056 Posts
March 07 2013 19:52 GMT
#3311
So after watching these games im asking myself why zerg dont fungal and blinding cloud at the same time?

thats like the most OP thing vs ground in the game right?

or is it like they dont have the gass?
Always give without remembering & always receive without forgetting.
danl9rm
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States3111 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-03-07 20:02:54
March 07 2013 20:00 GMT
#3312
On March 08 2013 04:52 freerolll wrote:
So after watching these games im asking myself why zerg dont fungal and blinding cloud at the same time?

thats like the most OP thing vs ground in the game right?

or is it like they dont have the gass?


Gas is certainly a problem. But, what about super late game where they are trying to max with the perfect army? Well, they are, sometimes, kind of. It's also not that easy to pull off in a real game. In a bubble*, sure.

But, when you're trying to macro, defend a drop, actually catch some number of units in a fungal, grab vipers and cloud, move army in to attack and not get blasted by tanks off the screen that are not under a cloud... it's more difficult. Nevermind keeping a keen eye on the seeker missiles, widow mines, and yamato's that will certainly be coming in such a lategame engagement.

*By "bubble," I meant "in a vacuum." Meaning, a theoretical perfect world or laboratory.
"Science has so well established that the preborn baby in the womb is a living human being that most pro-choice activists have conceded the point. ..since the abortion proponents have lost the science argument, they are now advocating an existential one."
nimdil
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Poland3769 Posts
March 07 2013 20:13 GMT
#3313
On March 08 2013 03:25 Giriath wrote:
Predictions:
Ro12
MaNa > Nerchio
PartinG > Stephano
Sting < Re
First > Dream (close)

Ro8
MVP < MaNa (may be close)
YoDa > PartinG
YongHwa > Sting
Violet > First

Ro4
YongHwa > Violet (may be close)
MaNa < YoDa

Finals
YongHwa < YoDa (close)

MVP vs YoDa, YongHwa vs Violet and YongHwa vs Mvp should be the best series in the tournament.

Weird. MaNa has terrible record against Nerchio. Stephano - I think - has a good shot at Parting. I feel like Mvp will take this title.
ALPINA
Profile Joined May 2010
3791 Posts
March 07 2013 20:14 GMT
#3314
On March 08 2013 04:52 freerolll wrote:
So after watching these games im asking myself why zerg dont fungal and blinding cloud at the same time?

thats like the most OP thing vs ground in the game right?

or is it like they dont have the gass?


Fungal is much weaker than in Wol as well as much harder to hit enemy. Blinding cloud is ofc very good, and I think most zergs are still not used to it yet. I think it's always good to have Vipers unless opponent goes mass air.
You should never underestimate the predictability of stupidity
Osiccor
Profile Joined March 2011
Canada128 Posts
March 07 2013 20:16 GMT
#3315
First big tourny for HotS and in the top 12 we have equal racial balance and there is no mirror match-ups at least until the semi-finals.
=) =) =)
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
March 07 2013 20:16 GMT
#3316
It's actually possible for the semi finals to be 4 IM players, hope it happens.

I had to go to sleep, how many viewers for the Mvp vs Stephano series?
CikaZombi
Profile Joined August 2011
Serbia630 Posts
March 07 2013 20:28 GMT
#3317
WOAH GRUBBY!!
You can no more evade my wrath, than you could your own shadow.
AlternativeEgo
Profile Joined August 2011
Sweden17309 Posts
March 07 2013 20:29 GMT
#3318
On March 08 2013 05:16 Dodgin wrote:
It's actually possible for the semi finals to be 4 IM players, hope it happens.

I had to go to sleep, how many viewers for the Mvp vs Stephano series?


47k in total (Nathanias stream excluded). Don't know if all of them showed that game though, but they probably did. It increased all through the day and peaked at the last series at 52k.

I gave it a look every 30-60 minutes or so: 17, 32, 36, 38, 37, 39, 40, 37, 38, 47, 45, 47, 50, 52
Mark Munoz looks like Gretorp
Account252508
Profile Joined February 2012
3454 Posts
March 07 2013 20:34 GMT
#3319
--- Nuked ---
blade55555
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States17423 Posts
March 07 2013 20:36 GMT
#3320
Hm I tried looking at the vods for stephano vs dream anyone have a link as maybe I am just being retarded? xD
When I think of something else, something will go here
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