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[DH] EIZO Open - Preview

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[DH] EIZO Open - Preview

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byshiroiusagi
April 20th, 2012 23:50 GMT
  • DH @ Liquipedia

by: Waxangel


DreamHack EIZO Open - Preview


Our resident Euro-beat writer tree.hugger was unavailable this weekend, so we have unfortunately been forced to cancel our DreamHack Power Rank. Also, we didn't want to deal with people whining about how we had Snute higher than Nerchio. So, along similar lines as our MLG Spring Arena preview, here are our picks for most interesting storylines of DreamHack Stockholm (in no strict sense of order).


Storyline you definitely don't have to follow: the round of 128

DreamHack was unable to fill all 128 spots in its first group stage, throwing a laughable number of byes into the first round. Many players have simply received auto qualification into the RO64, while others need to only place top two in their three man groups. The biggest match-up of the RO128? I ended up with (Z)Seala vs (Z)sLivko, and (Z)Ret vs (P)RunA as a close second.

So schedule a few more hours of drinking on Friday night, or sleep in a few more hours: the first round of DreamHack Stockholm is utterly skippable (unless Sweden is getting ready to spring their own Scarlett on us).


Revenge for DreamHack Winter

I'm not entirely sure how the Europeans feel about it, but at least to me, the last DreamHack felt a bit embarrassing. A tiny pool of Koreans in (P)Liquid`HerO, (T)EG.PuMa, (P)MvPGenius, and (Z)MvPDongRaeGu made their way to Jönköping, and mugged the foreigners for 290,000 SEK (~ € 31,000) in first and second place prize money.

That happened under the watch of one of the best foreigner pools of all time: (Z)Mill.Stephano, (P)Quantic.SaSe, (P)Quantic.NaNiwa, (P)EG.HuK, (Z)Liquid`Ret, (T)mouz.ThorZaIN, (T)Empire|Kas... it was a who's who of great non-Korean players, yet they were all trampled by the rampaging Koreans. There could have been even more Koreans in the final four, if not for some timely team-kills that saw DongRaeGu, PuMa, and Genius be placed in the same quadrant of the bracket, with only PuMa emerging victorious.

Things are a little different this time around. There's no Stephano or HuK, but there's no HerO or DongRaeGu either. NaNiwa and SaSe look even stronger for their additional months in Korea, while newer stars like (P)RoX.KIS.TitaN and (Z)RoX.KIS.sLivko have emerged as well.

While the safe bet is still a Korean victory, it will be interesting to see if the Europeans can fight back in the first DreamHack of 2012. A European hasn't won a Dreamhack event since DreamHack Stockholm in 2011, and everyone will be hoping for someone to step up to end this year long drought.


Can we get some new faces in here?

When you compare it to the Korean scene that's full of power struggles, the foreign scene does start to look a bit stagnant. We're seeing some of the same names that dominated beta tournaments remain high up in the rankings in 2012, and there's a surprisingly slow turnover rate on the whole. With the international elite starting to look like an excessively exclusive club, there are some players at DreamHack Stockholm who will try to break the old school monopoly and force their way into the spotlight.

(P)RoX.KIS.TitaN was a player who all the other pros were touting as the next big thing at DreamHack Winter, but as of yet, he's hasn't achieved the results people seem to be expecting of him. But with the pros so high on his talent, then it should be worth checking in on him to see if this is the tournament where he finally breaks out.

While Titan might be the most famous Russian at DreamHack, both in (Z)RoX.KIS.sLivko and (Z)RoX.KIS.LiveZerg have been flying under the radar and racking up impressive records. LiveZerg is the fourth highest non-Korean in TLPD ELO, while Slivko is coming in at twelfth. In particular, Slivko looked very good against Code S player SuperNoVa at IEM Sao Paulo, barely losing to him in a five set, quarter-final series.


(Z)MvPMonster and (Z)TSL_HyuN: Underestimate at your own risk

Maybe you haven't heard of them, but you should still be pretty damn afraid. We all know Korean teams are pretty tight on money, and anyone they send overseas will be someone they're pretty damn confident in investing in. How many people outside of avid Korean scene fans heard of (T)coL.GanZi (4th place MLG Anaheim), (Z)FXOLucky (2nd place IPL3), or (T)oGs.TheStC (3rd place MLG Orlando) before they appeared out of nowhere and owned face at an international tournament on their first try? Sure, not all of the Koreans end up being championship contenders, but if a Korean pro-team believes in a player's skill, it's probably worth giving him the benefit of the doubt.


F*** IT, WE'LL DO IT LIVE

(Z)Acer.Nerchio was the original online-only monster, though he did overcome that reputation a bit by winning the eight-man Battle in Berlin. Beyond that one tournament though, he's never really made a splash in any of the bigger live tournaments, and getting over that hump is yet again, his goal at DreamHack Stockholm.

This time, he'll have some more company. (Z)Liquid`TLO has been a beast in online tournaments, most famously defeating three members of the Prime team (including MarineKing) in IPL TAC, while also placing top four in the second ONOG invitational, beating Fnatic's Koreans (T)Rain and (T)aLive in the process. In contrast, his live tournament results have been disappointing, with a first round exit from Assembly and a hasty elimination from MLG Winter Arena in recent months.

Speaking of ONOG, the surprise champion (Z)GL.Snute took down a very tough field of opponents (Killer, NightEnd, Titan, Sheth) on his way to the title, only to suffer a rather disappointing early elimination at the hands of (T)VPTuruk at The Gathering LAN in Norway. He hasn't been at enough live events for anyone to get a good measure of his composure, so DreamHack Stockholm will be important in finding out what level of threat he possesses.

It's easy to get excited for any of these guys based on just their online play (and who knows, maybe you could throw in (T)ClouD, (Z)MorroW, or even (T)ThorZaIN into this category), but rather paradoxically, it's how good you are live that counts in eSports.


Pride of the hosts

Obviously, there wouldn't be any greater thing for DreamHack than if a Swede managed to take home the first place prize. But let's be realistic – winning an entire tournament will always be a tough goal to reach when Koreans are in contention. Still, even without winning the championship, there's a reasonable level of performance that would still do the home fans proud.

For benchmarking purposes, let's look at February's ASUS ROG's Assembly Winter in Helsinki, Finland. Among the 32 pros competing, six were Koreans at the Code A level of higher, and three were from the host country of Finland (elfi, Welmu, Satiini). In this field, (P)Aprilfools.Welmu reached the RO16 while (P)Acer.elfi made it to the RO8, a result the home crowd seemed rather pleased with. Considering the strength of the field, the number of representatives for Finland, and the fact that (T)aL.Naama wasn't even playing, it was a very good result for the hosts.

Now, let's look at Stockholm. Among the players, there around forty of them are "notable," and half of those notable players are Swedish. With (P)Quantic.NaNiwa, (P)Quantic.SaSe, and (Z)mouz.MorroW flying over from Korea, the entire Swedish A-team roster has been assembled, alongside the B, C, and D team. Against them are the usual crew of European tournament circuit pros (minus Stephano), and four Code A or above Koreans.

After careful deliberation, I've come to the conclusion that will Sweden need at least one player in the semi-finals if they don't want to be outdone by Finland. Personally, I'm rooting for the Swedes here. They've already lost at hockey, so it would be a shame to lose at Starcraft II as well (yeah, I went there).


Is homegrown strength enough?

NaNiwa's achievements in Code S are extremely impressive. Only a handful of players have the devotion to go to Korea and train there for months, and fewer of them have the skill to turn it into tangible results. While we're proud of all of our successful foreigners, there's still something that feels different about players who joined the Koreans and learned their ways, and the ones who decided to cultivate their skill at home but can still compete with the best. One of those makes intuitive sense, the other is still somewhat of a mystery.

With Stephano off skiing somewhere and deciding that he does indeed like money, DreamHack will feature the two other enigmatic homegrown gosus: (Z)Liquid`Ret and (T)mouz.ThorZaIN. Both players tried out the Korea experience, decided it wasn't the thing for them, and returned to play from home. And so far, it hasn't really hurt them. ThorZaIN has been a rock for Mousesports in team leagues, holding his own against a variety of opponents thrown at him by Korean teams. Ret has also looked like a player that could cut in Korea, even scoring an upset over Mvp at the last MLG Winter Arena.

So far, Stephano's been the only homegrown, non-Korean player who has managed to win a major live event with Korean participants, and that was back at IPL3 in October of 2011. ThorZaIN defeated MC on his TSL3 championship run, but that was online. Ret has won live championships, but only against Europeans. At DreamHack Stockholm, we'll see how far they can really go.


Taking aim at Polt & PuMa

There are two players who will come into Stockholm with giant target marks on their backs.

(T)EG.PuMa is a player who needs little introduction, having won around $100,000 dollars in international prize money in 2011. While the generally higher skill level in Korea means that any Koreans at a foreign tournament will have an advantage, PuMa has been especially successful because of his skill in elimination tournament settings. He lays out his strategies for multi-game series extremely well, and uses deception and mind-games better than almost any Terran player on the planet.

(T)TSL_Polt got into the international tournament scene a bit late, but he's been rolling in 2012, crushing online cups and winning his first international title at ASUS ROG Assembly Winter 2011. While he's not as devious as PuMa, he seems to possess a stronger all around game, with great macro, micro, and decision making that make him extremely difficult to beat.

These two are two best Koreans, if not the two best players coming into DreamHack – but they are still quite beatable. Though they both possess excellent TvP and TvT, TvZ has been pointed out as a weakness for both. Most recently, Stephano manhandled PuMa at Assembly, while a well-prepared Sheth defeated Polt at MLG Columbus with carefully chosen counter-strategies.

Stephano might not be at DH, but players like Ret, Nerchio, and sLivko have shown they can play great TvZ. Take into account the fact that PuMa has been looking less than invincible in TvP lately (Socke took him down at MLG), the attendance of strong TvP players such as Mana and SaSe will be present, and the fact that everyone will be gunning for the two Koreans, and it might just be a matter of when, and not if, the Korean duo goes down.


NaNiwa

Criticized, discarded, mocked, ignored, hated.

Few people have had to endure as much as NaNiwa. Though the industry he works in can be incredibly cruel and harsh, he's fortunate that it adheres to one iron principle: Win, and all is forgiven. NaNiwa has been very good at winning.

NaNiwa may be the most polarizing player in the world, but right now, there's no one who has a better chance to upset the Koreans and deliver a championship to the rest of the world. Not just this weekend at Stockholm, but also in the GSL, the very heart of the Korean scene. Neither HuK, nor Stephano can make that claim.

It's only taken nine games for NaNiwa to reach that exalted status, nine games that didn't even show us anything that was new. It was precise, well calculated PvP as always, and solid, if not particularly flashy PvT. They were ordinary games we could have seen from him anywhere – at the Red Bull Lan, or an MLG event. Had those nine games happened anywhere else, no one would be giving NaNiwa a chance to win this weekend at DreamHack.

All that has changed is that now people believe. The fans in him, and perhaps even him in himself. It's the reason why now, more so than ever, he has a chance to win in his home country. Because a lot of players have skill, intelligence, or luck. Not many have faith.






Facebook Twitter Reddit
TL+ Member
Corsica
Profile Joined February 2011
Ukraine1854 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-04-20 23:53:42
April 20 2012 23:53 GMT
#2
dont worry europe will represent much better this time

really want sase to do good!
MCDayC
Profile Joined March 2011
United Kingdom14464 Posts
April 21 2012 00:03 GMT
#3
I wanna see Ret and Thorzain really do well at this tournament, I feel like they could both be in the finals.
VERY FRAGILE, LIKE A BABY PANDA EGG
styrn00b
Profile Joined October 2011
41 Posts
April 21 2012 00:08 GMT
#4
Here we go
Vertical
Profile Joined July 2011
Indonesia4317 Posts
April 21 2012 00:10 GMT
#5
4K.FuRy for the quarter finals !!!!
-Terran-
MilLorD
Profile Joined September 2011
Germany36 Posts
April 21 2012 00:11 GMT
#6
nice writeup. I really hope foreigners will do well this tournament, I feel nani has a got shot at going far. That being said I still think a Korean will take it - would rather be an upset if thats not the case imo ^^

anyways I hope for great games and that TLO will overcome his offline problems.

TL Hwaiting
Olinim
Profile Joined March 2011
4044 Posts
April 21 2012 00:14 GMT
#7
Looking forward to dreamhack as well, hopefully the schedule conflict doesn't affect MLG and dreamhack too much.
aznball123
Profile Joined February 2012
2759 Posts
April 21 2012 00:15 GMT
#8
I don't think it's cool to say Stephano can't claim a spot in the GSL, he is very capable of it, he just doesn't choose to. I do know that he decided to go to Korea in a month or so, we'll see how he does.
Mmm, what to watch.
soulist
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States932 Posts
April 21 2012 00:22 GMT
#9
Some mess ups in the article. Dreamhack Stockholm was won by MC, the last time a European won Dreamhack was Dreamhack Winter by Naama. Another thing is you said Stephano hasn't won a major event since IPL3 that koreans were attending, but he won ESWC and Lone Star Clash.
Evil Geniuses<3
flagg
Profile Joined October 2010
Sweden123 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-04-21 00:44:34
April 21 2012 00:29 GMT
#10
Thanks for the preview Waxangel!!!

I think Polt will take this but hopefully he will meat a Swede in the final.

edit: wow soulist,I didn’t want to commentate those details because Wax is from the US. Kudos to you good sir and shame on me!

Maybe the guy from the GSL final could have been mentioned somehow...

But a great read no mather what!
torm3ntin
Profile Joined October 2009
Brazil2534 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-04-21 00:30:04
April 21 2012 00:29 GMT
#11
awesome preview. it`s not as stacked as the last DH but it will still be pretty good once it reaches RO32 and up.
Grubby and Ret fan, but a TERRAN player :D
Xoronius
Profile Joined July 2011
Germany6362 Posts
April 21 2012 00:44 GMT
#12
On April 21 2012 09:22 soulist wrote:
Some mess ups in the article. Dreamhack Stockholm was won by MC, the last time a European won Dreamhack was Dreamhack Winter by Naama. Another thing is you said Stephano hasn't won a major event since IPL3 that koreans were attending, but he won ESWC and Lone Star Clash.


ESWC is a premier event. Stephano won 26k there, that more than 5 times the amout of money of last years normals MLG´s first prize.
NiteWatch
Profile Joined January 2012
Indonesia58 Posts
April 21 2012 00:51 GMT
#13
I'm really rootin for thorzain, naniwa and ret. i hope one of them at least reach the ro4
Thorzain & TLO are awesome!!
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States33665 Posts
April 21 2012 00:52 GMT
#14
On April 21 2012 09:44 Xoronius wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2012 09:22 soulist wrote:
Some mess ups in the article. Dreamhack Stockholm was won by MC, the last time a European won Dreamhack was Dreamhack Winter by Naama. Another thing is you said Stephano hasn't won a major event since IPL3 that koreans were attending, but he won ESWC and Lone Star Clash.


ESWC is a premier event. Stephano won 26k there, that more than 5 times the amout of money of last years normals MLG´s first prize.


money ain't everything
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
yallah
Profile Joined April 2012
Denmark3 Posts
April 21 2012 00:54 GMT
#15
On April 21 2012 09:22 soulist wrote:
the last time a European won Dreamhack was Dreamhack Winter by Naama.


Huk won dreamhack summer 2011 ?
soulist
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States932 Posts
April 21 2012 00:55 GMT
#16
On April 21 2012 09:54 yallah wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2012 09:22 soulist wrote:
the last time a European won Dreamhack was Dreamhack Winter by Naama.


Huk won dreamhack summer 2011 ?


Huk's European?
Evil Geniuses<3
soulist
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States932 Posts
April 21 2012 00:56 GMT
#17
On April 21 2012 09:44 Xoronius wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2012 09:22 soulist wrote:
Some mess ups in the article. Dreamhack Stockholm was won by MC, the last time a European won Dreamhack was Dreamhack Winter by Naama. Another thing is you said Stephano hasn't won a major event since IPL3 that koreans were attending, but he won ESWC and Lone Star Clash.


ESWC is a premier event. Stephano won 26k there, that more than 5 times the amout of money of last years normals MLG´s first prize.


IPL3 was a premier event too. What's your point?
Evil Geniuses<3
yallah
Profile Joined April 2012
Denmark3 Posts
April 21 2012 01:01 GMT
#18
On April 21 2012 09:55 soulist wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2012 09:54 yallah wrote:
On April 21 2012 09:22 soulist wrote:
the last time a European won Dreamhack was Dreamhack Winter by Naama.


Huk won dreamhack summer 2011 ?


Huk's European?


Aww true, for some reason I just thought non-korean .. -.-
Jaaaaasper
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
United States10225 Posts
April 21 2012 01:05 GMT
#19
Cmon ret, nani, stephano, and co., a foreigner win here would be awesome.
Hey do you want to hear a joke? Chinese production value. | I thought he had a aegis- Ayesee | When did 7ing mad last have a good game, 2012?
Jongl0
Profile Joined June 2011
631 Posts
April 21 2012 02:02 GMT
#20
Nice read as always. Really stoked, especially since I don't have to destroy my sleeping patterns to follow this. Would be fun if SaSe could take a win at a major tournament for once but it doesn't matter that much, just want some good games!
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