Newbie Student Mafia XXIX - Page 3

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 16:29 GMT

#566

The above two vote counts show that we haven’t had a true wagon emerge on scum this whole game, the most votes any possible scum has had at EOD is one.

Based on that my vote analysis is lacking at best. There was no impetus for any scum member to vote one way or another during d1 or d2.

There is also no impetus for scum to vote any particular way now, d3 with each wagon having less than or equal to two votes. We need to consolidate our votes on only two targets for this lynch so that we actually have a chance of winning.

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 16:30 GMT

#567

Rayn: the point was to help me see what’s happened thus far and try to work out the next step

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 16:31 GMT

#570

I have a gut town read on Meapak but I have to filter dive him again now

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 16:32 GMT

#571

I’m pretty sure Kelsier is town

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 17:01 GMT

#582

Meapak came into the thread late but with an open mindset trying to find scum in a different way than anyone else had up to that point, his post #450 looks really townie to me as it shows what he is thinking about every player and why with the use of a heuristic that makes sense to me. His attempts to discern Alignments from voting patterns are townie as well though, based on my above vote analysis, I don’t think we can find scum that way today.

I’m sticking to my town read there.

Kelsier strikes me as town as well, his play around Kaley d1 felt genuine in that he was annoyed but didn’t find her role playing alignment indicative which is the correct read for a townie in my mind.

Kelsier has been involved in the thread as it moves and is posting quick thoughts and snippets which I think is hard for scum to do. His early game especially shows him being really careless with his posting that just doesn’t seem possible from scum.

Again I think Kelsier is town.

My town right now is Qatol, Meapak and Kelsier with three scum in RoL, Rels, Rayn and Prplhz. In something like that order of likeliness. I will probably end up sheeping Meapak and Qatol onto Rels today since that is the only way I feel that we can insure a town controlled lynch.

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 17:03 GMT

#583

So Rayn, do you have Prplhz as scum as well as Kelsier?

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 17:09 GMT

#586

## Vote Rels

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 17:11 GMT

#590

Do you Rayn think Prplhz is mafia y/n?

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 17:14 GMT

#592

Rayn - I will not vote Kelsier today. Your vote is bad and you should feel bad

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 17:34 GMT

#602

Because I won’t vote Kelsier and you think Prplhz is town which means there is a zero percent chance you can get a town controlled lynch on Kelsier since Prplhz is voting with Kelsier he clearly won’t vote for him. Therefore your vote is bad because you will only be able to lynch Kelsier if he is town.

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 17:38 GMT

#605

Kelsier’s posts simply aren’t from a scum mindset, look at how careless he is. Bad townie makes way more sense than any other explanation for his behavior. Read what I wrote about him, go look at his early game again; the way he thinks means he cannot be the most likely scum in this game

Don’t vote Qatol. That’s a terrible vote.

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 17:57 GMT

#608

So Qatol, from that I gather that you read Rayn and Meapak as town, yes?

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 18:04 GMT

#611

I don’t know how he plays but I think his behavior makes more sense from a bad town than a scum it’s about how he thinks not what he thinks

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 18:06 GMT

#612

Qatol: Meapak’s RB claim is total WIFOM. Scum could easily have not sent a RB and claimed it themselves. I think Meapak appears townie but that isn’t a good reason to think so

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 18:19 GMT

#616

So you have three scum in me, Rels, RoL and Prplhz. Yes?

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 18:20 GMT

#617

Which of RoL and Prplhz do you have as scummier?

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 18:23 GMT

#620

Yeah not disagreeing on the read as a whole, just don’t like that aspect of the reasoning.

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 18:38 GMT

#627

I just read through that but I’m not sure how much insight I can give since it was a two family pms allowed game almost a decade ago

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 18:42 GMT

#632

Prplhz! Welcome back to the thread.

Please be aware that if you are town we don’t have the option of splitting our votes. We need to vote as four fifths of a single block and I believe that means that we have to vote Rels with Meapak and Qatol

Sergiovan

90 Posts

September 14 2018 18:42 GMT

#633

Jesus christ

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