Because I wasn't IN it. For me day 1 is all about feels, prodding and people's response to your prodding, tone, humor checking, meta checking, etc. A lot of that requires interaction and non-established relationships or reads to gain. If I wasn't present then I can't get most of that. Plus I have subbed into over 100 page long games before, gone back and read them, and gained less from that than I have from 2 pages of talking to people; so experience tells me otherwise as well. Outside of the votecount, there really isn't a whole lot to be gained.
[M][N] Generic Mini Mafia - Page 54
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ritoky
United States6851 Posts
Because I wasn't IN it. For me day 1 is all about feels, prodding and people's response to your prodding, tone, humor checking, meta checking, etc. A lot of that requires interaction and non-established relationships or reads to gain. If I wasn't present then I can't get most of that. Plus I have subbed into over 100 page long games before, gone back and read them, and gained less from that than I have from 2 pages of talking to people; so experience tells me otherwise as well. Outside of the votecount, there really isn't a whole lot to be gained. | ||
Calix
3379 Posts
On March 20 2017 04:32 Xatalos wrote: He's gotten away with it several times already though. I basically debunked his Malongo case, and he actually pretty much gave up on 50% of his case, and stopped arguing about the rest, but it didn't affect his read in the slightest (even though both of his reasons were weak to begin with). Then I showed him how Damdred's question at the start could easily come from town, but he just repeated and repeated his argument that it makes Damdred sure scum without any real thought process. Now he puts Tumble as town and me as scum based on a totally incorrect narrative of how the EOD went down. And basically accuses me of being scum for doing pretty much the same thing as he himself did (accepting a slightly lower-priority lynch happening on D1 - Malongo for both of us). I don't know how accurate your portrayal of events is so I plan to review that once there's a bit of distance/ time to reflect on it a bit. You two argue a lot so it's hard to remember the details after a while. Since his Damdred case is flawed, I agree with you on that point. I do think that Tweedledumb is town though unless you thought that paranoia post was distancing or something. Dunno, looked really good on his part IMO. You'll probably say "oh but rayn keeps defending him, they're scum buddies" but that's a bit of a simplistic argument and nowhere near strong enough to make a pre-flip association. Not saying it's impossible but scummers don't tend to link themselves together THAT obviously. | ||
disformation
Germany8352 Posts
tumblewood strongly suspicious of rayn. kinda waffles on/off that wagon a lot near deadline. spoiler cause long: + Show Spoiler + On March 19 2017 02:33 Tumblewood wrote: oh shit i forgot to change my vote guess that's what we have onegu for. i don't really wanna end up on him by the end of the day though, i have some decision making to do On March 19 2017 06:24 Tumblewood wrote: hi I'm back and I don't have time to catch up by deadline. it looks like everyone's on malongo by now and while I'd like to lynch someone worse I'm not crazy about him someone who can explain any major new developments to me would be appreciated otherwise I will skim (malongo was a town lean earlier) On March 19 2017 06:40 Tumblewood wrote: willing-ish just then because plynches are never bad but the wagon is so sketchy that I am swinging back to no On March 19 2017 06:43 Tumblewood wrote: I kinda don't wanna lynch rayn either though because who wants to be *that guy* who mislynches rayn d1? I will keep my vote on him but I'll have to force myself to On March 19 2017 06:46 Tumblewood wrote: rayn/damdred is the pair that makes the most sense to me given vote logic. malongo wagon formed easily without rayn's vote. and then koshi as a third or something? trying to make a whole team on d1 is a bad idea and I feel bad already oooooh this could also mean mal town rayn town hnnnnggnggngngnnfmd On March 19 2017 06:53 Tumblewood wrote: if I had to decide right now, to answer df, it would be malongo who I don't see being useful for either side but tells us a lot more than rels or onegu. and then I'd lynch rayn if mal flips town tbh. after rereading it, it kinda makes no sense to me as either alignment. Only explanation for the mal town lean was: On March 18 2017 13:46 Tumblewood wrote: and actually i would like to give malongo the benefit of the doubt for today. it is a tone thing. seems fickle and all over the place, which is ok and encouraged in tumblewood's townable world Though. I can kinda understand downgrading mal to a plynch after mal coming back to do nothing. Like town could have been waffly at deadline. TW also could be scum being worried to look bad for being on the wrong wagon. which could explain the: - but I didn't switch at deadline because of basically what you guys have been yelling at me about from: On March 19 2017 08:41 Tumblewood wrote: I will explain the thought process just a little more and from then on I will not give a useful response ok: - before leaving, I got real suspicious of rayn - when I came back, I saw malongo was still afk and I was like "a plynch isn't the end of the world" - then I saw the votes and switched back to malongo as a bad wagon - then (internally) I mulled over rayn as being useful compared to malongo, switched back to being but still on rayn - I saw calix's post about shenannies being bad and decided not to go after rayn - but I didn't switch at deadline because of basically what you guys have been yelling at me about - after deadline I realized a shenanny was probably not that bad because most of the active players were town I doubted myself okay as in being overly conscious about how he looks to the thread. Not impossible to come from town, but I am leaning scum on that. | ||
Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
Note also how he's scumread me pretty much all game, only with shifting (weak) reasons. Well, AFK for a while now... If I happen to die, keep a close eye on rayn. | ||
Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
?????? ??!!!???? | ||
Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
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Calix
3379 Posts
On March 20 2017 04:48 Xatalos wrote: Maybe it'll do good to distance myself from this mess a bit. At the moment I have a significantly stronger scumlean on rayn than before N1 started though. Every time rayn has scumread me for stupid reasons like that EOD thing, he's been scum so far.. I guess we've fought our fair share as town vs town too, but then it's usually been because I made some sort of huge blunder, not because he's trying to fling random small points against me. That's only happened with scum rayn. Note also how he's scumread me pretty much all game, only with shifting (weak) reasons. Well, AFK for a while now... If I happen to die, keep a close eye on rayn. You should probably lay off the meta reads. Correct me if I am wrong but you two haven't played together since...2014? 2015? Your meta tells are probably outdated if I'm right. I'm starting to think that the townie-looking people who aren't really DOING anything are more likely to be mafia. disformation. Can anyone tell me what he is doing? Because I can't remember a single thing he's done outside of the early game. His VCA posts are a more boring version of my own take on the votes. It didn't feel like his analysis was very insightful. Koshi. Again, nice filter but hasn't done a lot. Not so sure on this one, could just be busy for 92 hours like he said. ritoky. Lots of debate-orientated points in his posts to DF which are great theoretically but don't mean anything for his alignment. Has the Eden post, however. Rels/ Onegu. I think Rels is more likely to be scum here, just because I don't spot any incongruencies with Onegu's current posting. Eden does not actually fit into this heuristic. He has those forceful posts on me going for him. Will have to see his response to the current events though. | ||
disformation
Germany8352 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Calix
3379 Posts
On March 20 2017 05:01 disformation wrote: i guess that means you disagree with my point on tumble? There was a point? Reading your "well maybe he has an alignment" post made me so demotivated that I'm not even sure you believe it yourself. And if you don't believe it then why should I? As you note, there is plenty of doubt about Tweedledumb's alignment around EOD. | ||
disformation
Germany8352 Posts
On March 20 2017 05:04 Calix wrote: There was a point? Reading your "well maybe he has an alignment" post made me so demotivated that I'm not even sure you believe it yourself. And if you don't believe it then why should I? As you note, there is plenty of doubt about Tweedledumb's alignment around EOD. yeah. fine. if you ppl dont read my posts at all i just can stop posting them. the point that his "paranoia" can very well be mafia being paranoid of looking bad of what is soon to be a lynched town. | ||
Calix
3379 Posts
Also he seems like the easy scum-read for most people right now and it's giving me deja-vu vibes a la Malongo. | ||
disformation
Germany8352 Posts
On March 20 2017 05:09 Calix wrote: I'm town-reading Tweedledumb because every fucking time someone pressures him, he consistently comes back with extremely townie responses and reactions to things which might not subscribe to conventional wisdom as to what townies 'should' do but look genuine nonetheless. He isn't trying to look good either; something I believe mafia in this game would aim to do. Case in point, his response to rayn and open admission of not having any proper scum-reads/ wanting to vote someone who had not posted. Also he seems like the easy scum-read for most people right now and it's giving me deja-vu vibes a la Malongo. wouldnt the "easy" scumread be eden? | ||
Calix
3379 Posts
On March 20 2017 05:06 disformation wrote: yeah. fine. if you ppl dont read my posts at all i just can stop posting them. the point that his "paranoia" can very well be mafia being paranoid of looking bad of what is soon to be a lynched town. We would barely notice, scumformation ![]() I don't see why scum!Tweedledumb would have even bothered posting what he did at EOD. Makes no sense to come in, fumble around between wagons and basically do nothing but look extremely and overtly suspicious for NO gain. | ||
Calix
3379 Posts
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
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Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
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disformation
Germany8352 Posts
On March 20 2017 05:10 Calix wrote: We would barely notice, scumformation ![]() I don't see why scum!Tweedledumb would have even bothered posting what he did at EOD. Makes no sense to come in, fumble around between wagons and basically do nothing but look extremely and overtly suspicious for NO gain. why would town!tw post that then? thats my problems, as described in the earlier post. doesnt make a lot of sense as either alignment. so it goes both ways aaand is a bit of a too scummy to be scum argument again. i also admit that it is not full lockdown slam dunk scum, but i think it has a decent chance to come from scum. so a scum lean. | ||
Xatalos
Finland9673 Posts
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disformation
Germany8352 Posts
On March 20 2017 05:11 Calix wrote: No, because Tweedledumb is lynch-bait and Eden has only been mislynched like, once before as town. don't think I ever played with eden, so that is good to know actually. | ||
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