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ritoky
Profile Joined March 2011
United States6851 Posts
March 19 2017 19:37 GMT
#1061
On March 20 2017 04:32 darthfoley wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2017 04:28 ritoky wrote:
On March 20 2017 04:25 darthfoley wrote:
On March 20 2017 04:14 ritoky wrote:
On March 20 2017 04:00 darthfoley wrote:
On March 20 2017 03:46 ritoky wrote:
people with good posts:
damdred
rayn
calix

people i don't feel anything much about:
xata
koshi
onegu
rels

people with bad posts:
eden
darthfoley
disfo
tumble


Why is rayn town and Xata null and Damdred "good" when the majority of rayn's interactions today have been revolving around Xata/Damdred. If you think rayn is making good posts, and many of his posts have been about Xata AND Damdred, then surely you would seem to think Xata and/or Damdred is more likely to be scum, no? But you have Damdred and rayn as both "good posts" and Xata "null posts." How good can rayns posts be if they're all wrong, according to your reads?

You can add yourself to the "bad posts" section because your categories are ass. Good posts and bad posts have nothing to do with alignment, especially when you're playing with veteran mafia players who are good at both alignments. I find this post scummy


? I mean we must play a different game. Just because someone orients the game as black vs white, doesn't mean the game is actually black vs white. You're implying that because someone is tunneling, the tunneler and the tunneled must be opposite alignments. More often than not they aren't. Further, being right is also not a requirement for being town, there exists this thing and it is called a donkey, please ask Koshi about it he is abundantly familiar.

Once you get away from the realm of right vs wrong and black vs white, and stop trying to render the game into a state of binary decision making, you arrive at a place where you can judge peoples' process. Process and intent are vastly more important than people's actual conclusions much of the time, and that is what matters. I see the town process in rayn when he rails on 1 point for hours and tries to drive discussion back to his point that he views as unimpeachably scummy, I see his process when he tries to scum check me to get a reaction. These are town processes for him, which make his posts good. You look at damdred and, he unprompted, makes a poignant observation and asks an extremely pointed question at tumble and then pushes when the answer is unsatisfactory. Once again I see the process, the desire for more information and to drive the game forward in the direction he thinks is right.

You have to remember that you've been playing this game for 36 hours and have 50 pages, I have been playing for like 10 and have 5 pages, so my opinions have not had the cultivating of others' opinions. However, my categories are fine. Because people making bad posts are a good place to begin looking for me. I used to be quite skilled at reading people who post bad shit, so I likely still am. Some of the terrible posters will likely become my top town reads who I will never vote on soon.


You lecturing me on not using a binary system to judge the game while using categories of "good" and "bad" is an irony of the ages.

I read a whole lot of words and hear a whole lot of nothing. If you want to pull out the "I'm new" card, that's fine, but go back and read the first 40 pages.


Well if you wanna talk about the game at all once you're over me saying your posts are bad I am open. But no, I am not going back to read day 1, it is pointless. I do suggest you get out of viewing the game as side vs side or those who agree with me vs those who don't. Mafia very often hedge (particularly early) and staying in that state of mind loses you a lot of games to sneaksters.


Why is it pointless


Because I wasn't IN it. For me day 1 is all about feels, prodding and people's response to your prodding, tone, humor checking, meta checking, etc. A lot of that requires interaction and non-established relationships or reads to gain. If I wasn't present then I can't get most of that. Plus I have subbed into over 100 page long games before, gone back and read them, and gained less from that than I have from 2 pages of talking to people; so experience tells me otherwise as well. Outside of the votecount, there really isn't a whole lot to be gained.
“When interest is at variance with conscience, any distinction to make them friends will serve the hollow-hearted.” -Henry Home
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
March 19 2017 19:37 GMT
#1062
On March 20 2017 04:32 Xatalos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2017 04:24 Calix wrote:
On March 20 2017 04:20 Xatalos wrote:
On March 20 2017 04:14 ritoky wrote:
On March 20 2017 04:00 darthfoley wrote:
On March 20 2017 03:46 ritoky wrote:
people with good posts:
damdred
rayn
calix

people i don't feel anything much about:
xata
koshi
onegu
rels

people with bad posts:
eden
darthfoley
disfo
tumble


Why is rayn town and Xata null and Damdred "good" when the majority of rayn's interactions today have been revolving around Xata/Damdred. If you think rayn is making good posts, and many of his posts have been about Xata AND Damdred, then surely you would seem to think Xata and/or Damdred is more likely to be scum, no? But you have Damdred and rayn as both "good posts" and Xata "null posts." How good can rayns posts be if they're all wrong, according to your reads?

You can add yourself to the "bad posts" section because your categories are ass. Good posts and bad posts have nothing to do with alignment, especially when you're playing with veteran mafia players who are good at both alignments. I find this post scummy


? I mean we must play a different game. Just because someone orients the game as black vs white, doesn't mean the game is actually black vs white. You're implying that because someone is tunneling, the tunneler and the tunneled must be opposite alignments. More often than not they aren't. Further, being right is also not a requirement for being town, there exists this thing and it is called a donkey, please ask Koshi about it he is abundantly familiar.

Once you get away from the realm of right vs wrong and black vs white, and stop trying to render the game into a state of binary decision making, you arrive at a place where you can judge peoples' process. Process and intent are vastly more important than people's actual conclusions much of the time, and that is what matters. I see the town process in rayn when he rails on 1 point for hours and tries to drive discussion back to his point that he views as unimpeachably scummy, I see his process when he tries to scum check me to get a reaction. These are town processes for him, which make his posts good. You look at damdred and, he unprompted, makes a poignant observation and asks an extremely pointed question at tumble and then pushes when the answer is unsatisfactory. Once again I see the process, the desire for more information and to drive the game forward in the direction he thinks is right.

You have to remember that you've been playing this game for 36 hours and have 50 pages, I have been playing for like 10 and have 5 pages, so my opinions have not had the cultivating of others' opinions. However, my categories are fine. Because people making bad posts are a good place to begin looking for me. I used to be quite skilled at reading people who post bad shit, so I likely still am. Some of the terrible posters will likely become my top town reads who I will never vote on soon.


Well, from my point of view rayn is just pushing townies for weak reasons and with huge, inappropriate force. Malongo was town, I'm town, and Damdred is at least more likely town than rayn - and certainly not scum for the reasons rayn proposed. He's not even really listening or changing his views. He pretty much ignored Damdred, ignored me several times (although at least he responded to me at times) and Malongo was more of an "lynch the AFKer". It fits the view that he's scum and pushing whatever may stick to mislynch, not so well with an "active and helpful town mindset".


It doesn't matters how many townies someone pushes. Townies can be very wrong. Townies can scum-read three townies for days on end. It's more how they do it, really.

The part where he totally ignores facts that don't fit his narrative is more concerning but I don't think that means he's really 'trying to ML you as scum' because he would have to know that people would pick up on him doing that and thus think he's less credible and persuasive.


He's gotten away with it several times already though. I basically debunked his Malongo case, and he actually pretty much gave up on 50% of his case, and stopped arguing about the rest, but it didn't affect his read in the slightest (even though both of his reasons were weak to begin with). Then I showed him how Damdred's question at the start could easily come from town, but he just repeated and repeated his argument that it makes Damdred sure scum without any real thought process. Now he puts Tumble as town and me as scum based on a totally incorrect narrative of how the EOD went down. And basically accuses me of being scum for doing pretty much the same thing as he himself did (accepting a slightly lower-priority lynch happening on D1 - Malongo for both of us).


I don't know how accurate your portrayal of events is so I plan to review that once there's a bit of distance/ time to reflect on it a bit. You two argue a lot so it's hard to remember the details after a while. Since his Damdred case is flawed, I agree with you on that point.

I do think that Tweedledumb is town though unless you thought that paranoia post was distancing or something. Dunno, looked really good on his part IMO. You'll probably say "oh but rayn keeps defending him, they're scum buddies" but that's a bit of a simplistic argument and nowhere near strong enough to make a pre-flip association. Not saying it's impossible but scummers don't tend to link themselves together THAT obviously.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
March 19 2017 19:45 GMT
#1063
okay. where was I.
tumblewood
strongly suspicious of rayn. kinda waffles on/off that wagon a lot near deadline.
spoiler cause long:
+ Show Spoiler +

On March 19 2017 02:33 Tumblewood wrote:
oh shit i forgot to change my vote
guess that's what we have onegu for. i don't really wanna end up on him by the end of the day though, i have some decision making to do

On March 19 2017 06:24 Tumblewood wrote:
hi I'm back and I don't have time to catch up by deadline. it looks like everyone's on malongo by now and while I'd like to lynch someone worse I'm not crazy about him
someone who can explain any major new developments to me would be appreciated otherwise I will skim

(malongo was a town lean earlier)
On March 19 2017 06:40 Tumblewood wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2017 06:36 Damdred wrote:
On March 18 2017 13:58 Tumblewood wrote:
okay great filter sesh!
where i am at

town, i think
calix
disfo
eden
malongo
dbs
koshi?

needs more examination but their filters were kinda long
rayn
damdred
xata
koshi?

bad
rels
onegu

scummy
df


Can you explain how you want from thisto willing to lynch mal

willing-ish just then because plynches are never bad but the wagon is so sketchy that I am swinging back to no

On March 19 2017 06:43 Tumblewood wrote:
I kinda don't wanna lynch rayn either though because who wants to be *that guy* who mislynches rayn d1?
I will keep my vote on him but I'll have to force myself to

On March 19 2017 06:46 Tumblewood wrote:
rayn/damdred is the pair that makes the most sense to me given vote logic. malongo wagon formed easily without rayn's vote. and then koshi as a third or something? trying to make a whole team on d1 is a bad idea and I feel bad already
oooooh this could also mean mal town rayn town
hnnnnggnggngngnnfmd

On March 19 2017 06:53 Tumblewood wrote:
if I had to decide right now, to answer df, it would be malongo who I don't see being useful for either side but tells us a lot more than rels or onegu. and then I'd lynch rayn if mal flips town


tbh. after rereading it, it kinda makes no sense to me as either alignment.
Only explanation for the mal town lean was:
On March 18 2017 13:46 Tumblewood wrote:
and actually i would like to give malongo the benefit of the doubt for today. it is a tone thing. seems fickle and all over the place, which is ok and encouraged in tumblewood's townable world

Though. I can kinda understand downgrading mal to a plynch after mal coming back to do nothing.

Like town could have been waffly at deadline. TW also could be scum being worried to look bad for being on the wrong wagon. which could explain the:
- but I didn't switch at deadline because of basically what you guys have been yelling at me about

from:
On March 19 2017 08:41 Tumblewood wrote:
I will explain the thought process just a little more and from then on I will not give a useful response
ok:

- before leaving, I got real suspicious of rayn
- when I came back, I saw malongo was still afk and I was like "a plynch isn't the end of the world"
- then I saw the votes and switched back to malongo as a bad wagon
- then (internally) I mulled over rayn as being useful compared to malongo, switched back to being but still on rayn
- I saw calix's post about shenannies being bad and decided not to go after rayn
- but I didn't switch at deadline because of basically what you guys have been yelling at me about
- after deadline I realized a shenanny was probably not that bad because most of the active players were town

I doubted myself okay

as in being overly conscious about how he looks to the thread.

Not impossible to come from town, but I am leaning scum on that.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
March 19 2017 19:48 GMT
#1064
Maybe it'll do good to distance myself from this mess a bit. At the moment I have a significantly stronger scumlean on rayn than before N1 started though. Every time rayn has scumread me for stupid reasons like that EOD thing, he's been scum so far.. I guess we've fought our fair share as town vs town too, but then it's usually been because I made some sort of huge blunder, not because he's trying to fling random small points against me. That's only happened with scum rayn.

Note also how he's scumread me pretty much all game, only with shifting (weak) reasons.

Well, AFK for a while now... If I happen to die, keep a close eye on rayn.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
March 19 2017 19:51 GMT
#1065
One more thing: apparently I'm 100% scum to rayn for accepting the Malongo lynch, even though I was advocating a lynch on any of Mal/Tumble/rayn, but Tumble is 100% town when he accepted the Malongo lynch despite townreading (to some extent) Malongo and scumreading rayn???


?????? ??!!!????
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
March 19 2017 19:51 GMT
#1066
Phew. Time to refresh...
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
March 19 2017 19:56 GMT
#1067
On March 20 2017 04:48 Xatalos wrote:
Maybe it'll do good to distance myself from this mess a bit. At the moment I have a significantly stronger scumlean on rayn than before N1 started though. Every time rayn has scumread me for stupid reasons like that EOD thing, he's been scum so far.. I guess we've fought our fair share as town vs town too, but then it's usually been because I made some sort of huge blunder, not because he's trying to fling random small points against me. That's only happened with scum rayn.

Note also how he's scumread me pretty much all game, only with shifting (weak) reasons.

Well, AFK for a while now... If I happen to die, keep a close eye on rayn.


You should probably lay off the meta reads. Correct me if I am wrong but you two haven't played together since...2014? 2015? Your meta tells are probably outdated if I'm right.

I'm starting to think that the townie-looking people who aren't really DOING anything are more likely to be mafia.

disformation. Can anyone tell me what he is doing? Because I can't remember a single thing he's done outside of the early game. His VCA posts are a more boring version of my own take on the votes. It didn't feel like his analysis was very insightful.

Koshi. Again, nice filter but hasn't done a lot. Not so sure on this one, could just be busy for 92 hours like he said.

ritoky. Lots of debate-orientated points in his posts to DF which are great theoretically but don't mean anything for his alignment. Has the Eden post, however.

Rels/ Onegu. I think Rels is more likely to be scum here, just because I don't spot any incongruencies with Onegu's current posting.

Eden does not actually fit into this heuristic. He has those forceful posts on me going for him. Will have to see his response to the current events though.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
March 19 2017 20:01 GMT
#1068
i guess that means you disagree with my point on tumble?
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
March 19 2017 20:03 GMT
#1069
Why are you townreading tumble calix?
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
March 19 2017 20:04 GMT
#1070
On March 20 2017 05:01 disformation wrote:
i guess that means you disagree with my point on tumble?


There was a point?

Reading your "well maybe he has an alignment" post made me so demotivated that I'm not even sure you believe it yourself.

And if you don't believe it then why should I? As you note, there is plenty of doubt about Tweedledumb's alignment around EOD.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
March 19 2017 20:06 GMT
#1071
On March 20 2017 05:04 Calix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2017 05:01 disformation wrote:
i guess that means you disagree with my point on tumble?


There was a point?

Reading your "well maybe he has an alignment" post made me so demotivated that I'm not even sure you believe it yourself.

And if you don't believe it then why should I? As you note, there is plenty of doubt about Tweedledumb's alignment around EOD.

yeah. fine. if you ppl dont read my posts at all i just can stop posting them.

the point that his "paranoia" can very well be mafia being paranoid of looking bad of what is soon to be a lynched town.
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
March 19 2017 20:09 GMT
#1072
I'm town-reading Tweedledumb because every fucking time someone pressures him, he consistently comes back with extremely townie responses and reactions to things which might not subscribe to conventional wisdom as to what townies 'should' do but look genuine nonetheless. He isn't trying to look good either; something I believe mafia in this game would aim to do. Case in point, his response to rayn and open admission of not having any proper scum-reads/ wanting to vote someone who had not posted.

Also he seems like the easy scum-read for most people right now and it's giving me deja-vu vibes a la Malongo.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
March 19 2017 20:09 GMT
#1073
On March 20 2017 05:09 Calix wrote:
I'm town-reading Tweedledumb because every fucking time someone pressures him, he consistently comes back with extremely townie responses and reactions to things which might not subscribe to conventional wisdom as to what townies 'should' do but look genuine nonetheless. He isn't trying to look good either; something I believe mafia in this game would aim to do. Case in point, his response to rayn and open admission of not having any proper scum-reads/ wanting to vote someone who had not posted.

Also he seems like the easy scum-read for most people right now and it's giving me deja-vu vibes a la Malongo.

wouldnt the "easy" scumread be eden?
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
March 19 2017 20:10 GMT
#1074
On March 20 2017 05:06 disformation wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2017 05:04 Calix wrote:
On March 20 2017 05:01 disformation wrote:
i guess that means you disagree with my point on tumble?


There was a point?

Reading your "well maybe he has an alignment" post made me so demotivated that I'm not even sure you believe it yourself.

And if you don't believe it then why should I? As you note, there is plenty of doubt about Tweedledumb's alignment around EOD.

yeah. fine. if you ppl dont read my posts at all i just can stop posting them.

the point that his "paranoia" can very well be mafia being paranoid of looking bad of what is soon to be a lynched town.


We would barely notice, scumformation

I don't see why scum!Tweedledumb would have even bothered posting what he did at EOD. Makes no sense to come in, fumble around between wagons and basically do nothing but look extremely and overtly suspicious for NO gain.
Calix
Profile Joined August 2016
3379 Posts
March 19 2017 20:11 GMT
#1075
No, because Tweedledumb is lynch-bait and Eden has only been mislynched like, once before as town.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
March 19 2017 20:13 GMT
#1076
I guess you could be right.. I've been a bit fixated on the way how rayn/Tumble scumteam would work in that EOD (Tumble distancing from rayn, then "hesitating" to make it possible to save rayn if needed) - but if rayn was town, then Tumble would most likely be town in that situation. So it's a bit hasty to judge Tumble to be scum really.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
March 19 2017 20:13 GMT
#1077
At least Tumble shouldn't be lynched before rayn IMO as things stand
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
March 19 2017 20:14 GMT
#1078
On March 20 2017 05:10 Calix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2017 05:06 disformation wrote:
On March 20 2017 05:04 Calix wrote:
On March 20 2017 05:01 disformation wrote:
i guess that means you disagree with my point on tumble?


There was a point?

Reading your "well maybe he has an alignment" post made me so demotivated that I'm not even sure you believe it yourself.

And if you don't believe it then why should I? As you note, there is plenty of doubt about Tweedledumb's alignment around EOD.

yeah. fine. if you ppl dont read my posts at all i just can stop posting them.

the point that his "paranoia" can very well be mafia being paranoid of looking bad of what is soon to be a lynched town.


We would barely notice, scumformation

I don't see why scum!Tweedledumb would have even bothered posting what he did at EOD. Makes no sense to come in, fumble around between wagons and basically do nothing but look extremely and overtly suspicious for NO gain.

why would town!tw post that then? thats my problems, as described in the earlier post. doesnt make a lot of sense as either alignment. so it goes both ways aaand is a bit of a too scummy to be scum argument again.

i also admit that it is not full lockdown slam dunk scum, but i think it has a decent chance to come from scum. so a scum lean.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
March 19 2017 20:15 GMT
#1079
I mean, with scum Tumble and town rayn, it wouldn't make a huge amount of sense to hesitate there. It would be easier / less noticeable to just continue with voting rayn without hesitation.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
March 19 2017 20:15 GMT
#1080
On March 20 2017 05:11 Calix wrote:
No, because Tweedledumb is lynch-bait and Eden has only been mislynched like, once before as town.

don't think I ever played with eden, so that is good to know actually.
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