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[M][N] Presidential Election Mini Mafia - Page 82

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
June 29 2016 18:41 GMT
#1621
Brb again like an asshole. I'll be back in an hour to play some EoD
Minimal effort.
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
June 29 2016 18:42 GMT
#1622
Explain me with reasoning super.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
June 29 2016 18:46 GMT
#1623
I think I like the idea of lynching Jean a lot just because it is kinda a risky Yolo play that could turn out super good or kinda shitty.

Though tbh we have plenty of lynches to go if Jean is town.
I can take that responsibility.
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
June 29 2016 18:47 GMT
#1624
Also besides that fact Jean can't really be allowed to reach lylo or if he's scum he auto wins if hes here at start of day meh.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12971 Posts
June 29 2016 18:47 GMT
#1625
On June 30 2016 02:44 Damdred wrote:
I don't think that's something scum forgets who shot their partner.

Ehhh its kinda weak, but I don't think I want to lynch jealous especially with his attitude/interactions today.

I'm inclined to agree. There's very few people I want to lynch at this point which is kinda nice but also mildly concerning.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
June 29 2016 18:48 GMT
#1626
Besides if Jean flips town the last scum would basically have to be either Damdred or I from the way we are pushing this right?
I can take that responsibility.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12971 Posts
June 29 2016 18:49 GMT
#1627
On June 29 2016 21:13 Jean Valjean wrote:
I think mafia is most likely somewhere in:

Damdred/Artanis/Chez/Tictock

On June 29 2016 22:52 Rels wrote:
Day 2 Votecount

Jean Valjean (3): Tictock, Artanis[Xp], Damdred
Damdred (2): Tictock, Skynx, Tumblewood, Jealous
Chezinu (2): Jean Valjean (x2), Jean Valjean (x2)
Jealous (1): Artanis[Xp], Superbia, Damdred, Tumblewood
Artanis[Xp] (0): Jean Valjean (x2)
Tictock (0): Superbia, Artanis[Xp], Skynx, Jean Valjean (x2), Tumblewood, Jealous, Damdred

Not Voting (3): GlowingBear, Chezinu, Superbia

As of now, Jean Valjean will get lynched!



Day 2 ends Wednesday, Jun 29 9:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) in .
TL countdown synchronizes with your device local time and not with the TL server time. It might be inaccurate.

Hey, what a coincidence. JVJ's scumlist consists of the people voting him and the potentially easy mislynch.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12971 Posts
June 29 2016 18:51 GMT
#1628
On June 30 2016 03:48 Tictock wrote:
Besides if Jean flips town the last scum would basically have to be either Damdred or I from the way we are pushing this right?

I don't think either of you is going to flip scum regardless honestly. Damdred is never scum and you seem very unlikely to be scum as well from how the game's developed. You've gotten more and more into the game as it's progressed whereas scum has been getting trounced. That with the fakeclaim which would've given you a fine excuse to just concede, I'm quite certain you're town.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12971 Posts
June 29 2016 18:53 GMT
#1629
I'm basically at 'it has to be JVJ or Chez', and I will never abandon my BFF.
Outside chance of it being Superbia too but meh.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
June 29 2016 18:55 GMT
#1630
On June 30 2016 03:51 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 03:48 Tictock wrote:
Besides if Jean flips town the last scum would basically have to be either Damdred or I from the way we are pushing this right?

I don't think either of you is going to flip scum regardless honestly. Damdred is never scum and you seem very unlikely to be scum as well from how the game's developed. You've gotten more and more into the game as it's progressed whereas scum has been getting trounced. That with the fakeclaim which would've given you a fine excuse to just concede, I'm quite certain you're town.


What I'm hearing is that this wagon is pure as fuck and everyone should get on it...
I can take that responsibility.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12971 Posts
June 29 2016 18:58 GMT
#1631
Also looking at EC's filter now; it makes more sense for him to attack JVJ a bit if he's scum. Scum feels much more at ease attacking other scum, and especially newbie scum can suffer from unnecessary bussing syndrome. I know I did.

Pure speculation though!
Jean Valjean
Profile Joined April 2015
France216 Posts
June 29 2016 19:03 GMT
#1632
On June 30 2016 02:30 Jealous wrote:
To remove uncertainty from potentially painful end-game scenarios that have muddled my analytical breakdown of when we CAN or SHOULD lynch Jean, I have a couple of questions:

GlowingBear, will you ever use your pardon? If so, in what scenarios and why?

If you were in an endgame scenario where you had to choose between Jean and your bodyguard to lynch, who would you lynch?

Jean: Under what circumstances would you push a GlowingBear lynch?


Never, scum vigilante isn't a role in the game so he's confirmed town.
In His name my task has just begun, I will see it done!
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10339 Posts
June 29 2016 19:05 GMT
#1633
On June 30 2016 03:55 Tictock wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 03:51 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On June 30 2016 03:48 Tictock wrote:
Besides if Jean flips town the last scum would basically have to be either Damdred or I from the way we are pushing this right?

I don't think either of you is going to flip scum regardless honestly. Damdred is never scum and you seem very unlikely to be scum as well from how the game's developed. You've gotten more and more into the game as it's progressed whereas scum has been getting trounced. That with the fakeclaim which would've given you a fine excuse to just concede, I'm quite certain you're town.


What I'm hearing is that this wagon is pure as fuck and everyone should get on it...

I still think it's too much of a risk to take at this juncture, and would prefer to only do it if it is forced upon us as we progress through the D/N cycles. There are still quite a few cycles left until Jean becomes invincible as scum, which means plenty of other developments can occur that would help shed light on Jean and others in the game. Maybe my balls aren't big enough to join you on this wagon or perhaps I tend to be risk-averse, either way I am sticking to my guns (Damdred) on this one because it is the strongest case I've seen developed on a purely logical scale (as in, ignoring meta).

If Damdred flips green, I have some other avenues to pursue but I don't want to reveal those until someone gets NK'd. Maybe scum will eliminate some possibilities and if I post my suspicions now, scum will be less likely to remove them from town's radar.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10339 Posts
June 29 2016 19:06 GMT
#1634
On June 30 2016 04:03 Jean Valjean wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 02:30 Jealous wrote:
To remove uncertainty from potentially painful end-game scenarios that have muddled my analytical breakdown of when we CAN or SHOULD lynch Jean, I have a couple of questions:

GlowingBear, will you ever use your pardon? If so, in what scenarios and why?

If you were in an endgame scenario where you had to choose between Jean and your bodyguard to lynch, who would you lynch?

Jean: Under what circumstances would you push a GlowingBear lynch?


Never, scum vigilante isn't a role in the game so he's confirmed town.

Yea, I made a mistake, ignore that please ^^ I forgot GB was confirmed town when I wrote that because I was mentally trapped in some analytical end-game scenario hell.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
Jean Valjean
Profile Joined April 2015
France216 Posts
June 29 2016 19:09 GMT
#1635
On June 30 2016 03:47 Damdred wrote:
Also besides that fact Jean can't really be allowed to reach lylo or if he's scum he auto wins if hes here at start of day meh.


Why can I specifically not be allowed to reach lylo Damdred? Also, why are you trying to take care of that problem now.

For someone bitching about how you're one of the best players in the game you're showing a tremendously weak grasp of scumhunting. There is no way I flip mafia, because I have not done anything a mafia would do.

I am helpful
I lynch mafia
I am transparent
I explain my reads
I help push the game
I push buttons on people to make them talk

It is actually amazing that I know in this situation that one of Artanis and Damdred must not be mafia (and if I'm right on chez, neither is). Because those two people specifically should know the very situation that has come up, being very experienced.

I know I have seen this situation before, multiple times. I lynch mafia and then surely I must have bussed on day 2 because people fear me. I am not this good at playing mafia, no one is.

One of the things I would like an input on from other people post-game is how to avoid this specific situation, I thought I did well on day 1, I thought I put myself in a position, yet players who at least claim to be good at this game are literally head up to waist in their asses thinking I surely must be mafia because only mafia would lynch mafia and play like town. That is perfect logic.
In His name my task has just begun, I will see it done!
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12971 Posts
June 29 2016 19:10 GMT
#1636
Can't really get anything out of the vote counts. We already know MD committed suicide-by-mayor and EC ended up parking his vote on TW (off-wagon) and didn't come back until 90 min past deadline. Could've actually been AFK, could've been strategical, but there's strategical reasons for him to be afk whether JVJ is scum or not. He positioned himself in a way that he couldn't end up voting for either wagon but could probably justify a vote on either still.

I also went through Chez's filter but didn't find much in it to sway me one way or the other. Bleh.
Jean Valjean
Profile Joined April 2015
France216 Posts
June 29 2016 19:12 GMT
#1637
I genuinely think I am being lynched for playing like town. The only argument I've actually seen against me the one Damdred mentioned about me trying to figure out the game with incomplete information.

Everyone, and I mean literally everyone, has at absolutely best skimmed every post in the game. It's much more likely people skim and skip parts of the game. I am just honest about it, because you know... I'm transparent and helpful.
In His name my task has just begun, I will see it done!
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12971 Posts
June 29 2016 19:13 GMT
#1638
On June 30 2016 04:09 Jean Valjean wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 03:47 Damdred wrote:
Also besides that fact Jean can't really be allowed to reach lylo or if he's scum he auto wins if hes here at start of day meh.


Why can I specifically not be allowed to reach lylo Damdred? Also, why are you trying to take care of that problem now.

For someone bitching about how you're one of the best players in the game you're showing a tremendously weak grasp of scumhunting. There is no way I flip mafia, because I have not done anything a mafia would do.

I am helpful
I lynch mafia
I am transparent
I explain my reads
I help push the game
I push buttons on people to make them talk

It is actually amazing that I know in this situation that one of Artanis and Damdred must not be mafia (and if I'm right on chez, neither is). Because those two people specifically should know the very situation that has come up, being very experienced.

I know I have seen this situation before, multiple times. I lynch mafia and then surely I must have bussed on day 2 because people fear me. I am not this good at playing mafia, no one is.

One of the things I would like an input on from other people post-game is how to avoid this specific situation, I thought I did well on day 1, I thought I put myself in a position, yet players who at least claim to be good at this game are literally head up to waist in their asses thinking I surely must be mafia because only mafia would lynch mafia and play like town. That is perfect logic.

The main reason I think you're mafia is because you're playing survivalist and because everyone else bar Chez is extremely Town. Also, mafia does all of those things, are you kidding? Mafia's the party that wants to look good.

On June 30 2016 04:05 Jealous wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 03:55 Tictock wrote:
On June 30 2016 03:51 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On June 30 2016 03:48 Tictock wrote:
Besides if Jean flips town the last scum would basically have to be either Damdred or I from the way we are pushing this right?

I don't think either of you is going to flip scum regardless honestly. Damdred is never scum and you seem very unlikely to be scum as well from how the game's developed. You've gotten more and more into the game as it's progressed whereas scum has been getting trounced. That with the fakeclaim which would've given you a fine excuse to just concede, I'm quite certain you're town.


What I'm hearing is that this wagon is pure as fuck and everyone should get on it...

I still think it's too much of a risk to take at this juncture, and would prefer to only do it if it is forced upon us as we progress through the D/N cycles. There are still quite a few cycles left until Jean becomes invincible as scum, which means plenty of other developments can occur that would help shed light on Jean and others in the game. Maybe my balls aren't big enough to join you on this wagon or perhaps I tend to be risk-averse, either way I am sticking to my guns (Damdred) on this one because it is the strongest case I've seen developed on a purely logical scale (as in, ignoring meta).

If Damdred flips green, I have some other avenues to pursue but I don't want to reveal those until someone gets NK'd. Maybe scum will eliminate some possibilities and if I post my suspicions now, scum will be less likely to remove them from town's radar.

Logic is an awful guide in mafia. Townies are illogical as hell whilst mafia's very concerned with it.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12971 Posts
June 29 2016 19:13 GMT
#1639
Basically, your post just explained in detail that you're behaving the way you think town should behave. It's all artificial, and the only party that needs to put on a charade on how townie they are is mafia.
Skynx
Profile Blog Joined January 2013
Turkey7150 Posts
June 29 2016 19:14 GMT
#1640
Bah I'm so nakkered but w/e, whats up then?
"When seagulls follow the troller, it is because they think sardines will be thrown into the sea. Thank you very much" - King Cantona | STX 4 eva
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