I decided to claim today in any case unless my check or the Doc was killed. Even one green check helps a ton when it's only 6 players left, and I could just be healed easily.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 09:21 GMT

#444

On February 28 2014 18:16 Oatsmaster wrote:

Show nested quote +

What do you mean by this?
Who are the '3' townies?

Sn0_Man (100%) - also previously the most likely mislynch
Artanis (99.99%)
JJD (90%)

The percentages are all scientifically calculated.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 09:31 GMT

#446

I'll probably vote for no-lynch soonish, but there's no rush.

1) The discussion was getting sidetracked when everyone just attacked Sn0_Man (who I knew was innocent)
2) I was going to sleep and wanted to force a counterclaim in order to confirm the scumteam
3) Why not? It just helps town overall

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 09:40 GMT

#448

.....What's the point in lynching now? Naturally I'd prefer to lynch Sylencia, but others can't be 100% that I'm telling the truth, so it's just the optimal play to no-lynch.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 09:43 GMT

#449

It's also kind of funny how Sylencia claimed Cop, yet that's the only thing he's done, while you do all the dirty work for him :D

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 09:53 GMT

#451

Sigh. I don't even know why I'm explaining this, but it's just overall beneficial for town to prolong the game. More information, better results. We can't mislynch so no need to risk anything. Sylencia is confirmed scum for ME but not for others. It's just optimal to no-lynch in this situation.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 09:59 GMT

#454

In that case the scumteam would be me+Artanis+JJD+Sn0_Man.

Or maybe it's just Sylencia+Oats.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 10:00 GMT

#455

On February 28 2014 18:59 Oatsmaster wrote:
it literally benefits scum the longer the game goes.

ROFL

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 10:01 GMT

#456

I don't think you can possibly believe what you're saying recently.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 10:06 GMT

#458

1) A real cop check
2) A fake cop check
3) A town flip

Maybe not all of those, but at least 2 of them. Each one of them is helpful overall.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 10:08 GMT

#459

Oh, and possibly a Doctor save. That would clear one townie as well.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 10:18 GMT

#460

Also, if we HAD to lynch today, then almost certainly Sylencia would be lynched. If I was pushing scum agenda, I would definitely push for lynching Sylencia right away (like you are pushing me). It's risky to no-lynch as scum since there's even less space to hide tomorrow.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 10:26 GMT

#464

Town doesn't gather information to reinforce their existing beliefs, they gather information to find the truth. If JJD or Artanis dies, then I can be certain that that player wasn't scum.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 10:35 GMT

#465

Actually one of the best scenarios would be if I flipped. In that case you and Sylencia would be pretty much confirmed scum.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 10:42 GMT

#468

Confirmed for me != confirmed for everyone

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 10:47 GMT

#470

Everyone already is pretty convinced of you + Sylencia. What we want is confirmation.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 15:31 GMT

#480

##Vote No-Lynch

Artanis may decide when to end the day. I'm pretty much ready already.

JJD, I very much doubt that Sylencia would bus Oats. It would be somewhat possible if it was the other way around, but frankly, I don't see how Sylencia could carry the scumteam to victory. I don't really see how Oats could either, but at least it's in the realms of possibility.

I'm almost certainly going to check Oats, and I think Sylencia should do the same. It seems like we gain the most information if we both choose the same target (and specifically Oats).

Doctor should probably heal Sn0_Man. If Sn0_Man is the Doctor, he should probably heal Artanis or JJD. There's also a small chance that I might get hit, but since my death would pretty much nail the scumteam, I doubt it. IF I was NK'd, healing me would also pretty much nail the scumteam, since then both me and the Doctor would be confirmed. But it's a lot less likely than scum hitting someone else, so it's probably not the best choice after all.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 15:36 GMT

#481

tl;dr: It's going to be a wild night of Doctor vs Mafia WIFOM Wars

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 15:39 GMT

#483

Oats, you remind me a lot of myself in my previous game as Mafia where I relentlessly tried to stop town from mass claiming blue roles. Nobody believed me, but I continued to try, since a mass claim would pretty much end the game (the setup was quite OP too). You're doing exactly the same thing here.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

February 28 2014 15:42 GMT

#484

Doctor should probably randomize his heal target by giving each player a chance of getting hit (something like 50% for Sn0_Man for example) and then going to http://www.random.org