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Hogwarts Mafia - Page 135

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25557 Posts
October 22 2013 00:20 GMT
#2681
unless someone presents a real good argument as to how I can do anything other than save syllo without getting lynched I'm saving syllo
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
October 22 2013 00:21 GMT
#2682
lol BH relax we aren't lynching you. save syllo.
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25557 Posts
October 22 2013 00:22 GMT
#2683
yeah i guess there's also the fact that syllo is literally an innocent child, and if I save him tonight he'll be able to live through tomorrow night as well thanks to the potion
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
October 22 2013 00:26 GMT
#2684
When do we get to see BH's famous voting shenanagins analysis
StorrZerg
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
United States13919 Posts
October 22 2013 00:29 GMT
#2685
On October 22 2013 09:22 Blazinghand wrote:
yeah i guess there's also the fact that syllo is literally an innocent child, and if I save him tonight he'll be able to live through tomorrow night as well thanks to the potion



o good point fair enough.

Hwaseung Oz fan for life. Swing out, always swing out.
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25557 Posts
October 22 2013 00:29 GMT
#2686
I actually am doing some thoughts on skan and the D2 vote that's making me think he's scum. he claims his hands were too slow, but I'm betting he PLANNED to swap after the deadline and not have his vote count, but got surprised by the secret vote and stutters actually flipped. If stutters were scum I'd say skan is scum 100%, but stutters flipped town so I'm still thinking it through. I'm gonna have some dinner and put together some more complete thoughts on what happened with the D2 lynch.
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Skanjab1s
Profile Joined June 2013
748 Posts
October 22 2013 00:30 GMT
#2687
Why does everyone gotta not believe things? :<
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
October 22 2013 00:38 GMT
#2688
On October 22 2013 09:29 Blazinghand wrote:
I actually am doing some thoughts on skan and the D2 vote that's making me think he's scum. he claims his hands were too slow, but I'm betting he PLANNED to swap after the deadline and not have his vote count, but got surprised by the secret vote and stutters actually flipped. If stutters were scum I'd say skan is scum 100%, but stutters flipped town so I'm still thinking it through. I'm gonna have some dinner and put together some more complete thoughts on what happened with the D2 lynch.

that's ridiculous lol. Town don't plan to change their vote after the deadline and scum don't plan to last minute swap off of their scum read onto a townie with bad reasoning after the deadline.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
October 22 2013 00:39 GMT
#2689
Unless CR is scum of course.
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
October 22 2013 00:39 GMT
#2690
Yamato/Chairman Ray
On October 22 2013 09:02 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
yamato did play to his town meta on D1 and guess who else stopped playing after N1?-rayn

Rayn, regarding the below: I do not have firm thoughts, so am happy to debate this out.

I don't understand why people thought Yamato was playing his town meta. This extends all the way back to Pandain:
On October 17 2013 23:41 yamato77 wrote:
<I believe regarding Skanjab>
Well, at least this idiotic push if me gives me a read on you.
On October 17 2013 23:51 Pandain wrote:
I don't think it proves anything, never really see mafia go after vets. Especially with weak reasoning and when they're all alone, its just a lone townie trying to lynch you.

Mocsta and Yamato are my two strongest town reads. Mocsta because every single thing he's posted so far I've liked and he's not spamming the thread while still having an influence. Yamato because he is being his townie self without the incessant spam, and I heavily disagree that he isn't pushing people. You don't have to vote someone to push them.

Skanjab, you are tunneling Yamato and reading into things. He doesn't have to exactly fit with his town meta to be town, heck he was playing his scum meta up until the second day of play in Thug and he was town. Also why /would you lynch a potentially very valuable vet?
My take on Yamato town-meta is that he tries to be the knight in shining armor. He is forthcoming with his reads, and has a confidence behind them as if he has mod-information.

This game: his first efforts were to socialise and complain
On October 17 2013 10:26 yamato77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 17 2013 07:01 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
Skanjab1s

On October 17 2013 06:25 Skanjab1s wrote:
On October 17 2013 06:22 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
##vote: Skanjab1s

Bring it on slytherin scum


State your house, challenger, and prepare to see it fall.


"guis I am town because I don't know yet the compositions of each House'


On October 17 2013 06:51 Skanjab1s wrote:
On October 17 2013 06:41 I-be-Pro wrote:
Okay I'm done with the contest. Just won it. So let's talk mafia.

Anything interesting happening in your QT supersoft? This skanjab guy asked in mine wether mafia has 1 member per house.
Rather scummy question to me. There's really not much to get out of that. Obviously everyone assumes so at this point but what do you expect the hosts to answer to that? Up until this point it's just a no-brainer question that might have not been a no-brainer for him. I ask that kind of questions all the time but this particular one really makes it sound like he's trying to "just post something" and look like he's participating imo.


There is actually a lot to get out of that, if there was 1 scum in each house it would make it a hell of a lot easier to find the scum. If the answer had been "yes" then we'd get like, 5 conftown every scum lynch.

"guis I am town because I have no clue how many scums there are"

who posted this?

I wanna know
On October 17 2013 10:28 yamato77 wrote:
nvm it's the bad head of the hydra
As an introductory post all this serves is to discredit a player in the game; whilst producing no direct reason to why that discredit exists. Simply put. I don't expect this type of post from Yamato as his first few posts.
Note, that others had also requested confirmation on the hydra head for that exact same post; but did not result to discredit attempts - that was solely Yamato.

So again, I can't grasp why Pandain lumped him as a town read for playing to his town meta; 
and then when discussing with Skanjab suggests he may not be playing to his exact town meta.

This is a glaring inconsistency for me.

I still think Yamato is scum --> CR is scum.


Vayne
Theres not that much content to go on. I have a weak tell on him that makes me lean town. Again, I am happy for the validity of this to be discussed.

We know Pandain flipped scum + Harry Potter:
On October 18 2013 02:21 Pandain wrote:
Also I'm pretty sure that scum aren't going to be left with roles like "Voldemort".

Worst roles of all time.

Ron/Herminoie/Harry are probably confirmed, anyone else is fair game.

Though he does not state directly that Harry Potter is town; it is inferred quite strongly.

If Vayne was scum with Pandain, he would known that Pandain was Harry.
On October 18 2013 02:17 VayneAuthority wrote:
it is physically incapable for me to be mafia anyhow, I am one of the main characters. the one that banged harry potter. zer0 chance of me being mafia until a scum flips with a good guy name. I doubt that will happen tho.

Originally, when I thought of this Vayne quote, I believed there is no way that a scum Vayne would put himself out knowing that Pandain was Harry. However, reading through this sequence of quotes, I have changed my mind.

I can't find any reason why town would have those thoughts in the first place 
(about characters being alignment related) - flavour is flavour after all.



JustAnotherTownie
This guy needs to step up. You aren't a scum read currently, but you are starting to verge into zone.
In my opinion, you are commenting a lot of live thread discussion; but not progressing your own reads. Yes, I saw what you wrote at the start of Night 2, but I am talking about the 4-5 hrs before lynch where your posts equate to fillers.

On October 22 2013 02:24 justanothertownie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2013 02:24 Blazinghand wrote:
hello! I'm now reading through the thread.

Impressive...
On October 22 2013 02:37 justanothertownie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2013 02:35 Blazinghand wrote:
On October 22 2013 02:35 Holyflare wrote:
On October 22 2013 02:34 Blazinghand wrote:
On October 22 2013 02:32 syllogism wrote:
On October 22 2013 02:31 Blazinghand wrote:
On October 22 2013 02:31 syllogism wrote:
On October 22 2013 02:29 Blazinghand wrote:
So i'm getting lynched right now and have about 2 hours to say my bit before I flip right

The first thing you should do is claim.

am I allowed to quote my PM or not

Just tell me your name and abilities


I'm Blaise Zabini, the non-conseq doctor. I can protect people from one kp. I saved sn0 last night


What is your reasoning for sn0 save?


I rnged it ._.

Town MVP right here.
On October 22 2013 02:49 justanothertownie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2013 02:48 Stutters695 wrote:
On October 22 2013 02:32 justanothertownie wrote:
On October 22 2013 02:29 Stutters695 wrote:
On October 22 2013 02:06 justanothertownie wrote:
On October 22 2013 02:04 Stutters695 wrote:
Well after catching up on Ceph and his role, I'm with Mocsta and still think he should be number 1 lynch today. This dude is simply not town.

Gonna go catch up with the other candidates, but I'm still for a Ceph lynch currently.

If that's your decision make sure to have a look in the house qt.

I'm not sure I get it?

Well he posted there quite a bit. I thought you might want to read that if he is your lynch candidate.


I did and, quite frankly, I didn't see anything that really swayed me.

Fair enough. Would still be nice if you posted something from time to time.
On October 22 2013 03:51 justanothertownie wrote:
Game ain't easy. Syllo, is it CR/yamato? As I said I would kill this slot and with the potion/BH situation I don't like a hopeless lynch that much.
On October 22 2013 05:06 justanothertownie wrote:
Wow, that was sketchy.
Skanjab1s
Profile Joined June 2013
748 Posts
October 22 2013 00:42 GMT
#2691
On October 22 2013 09:29 Blazinghand wrote:
I actually am doing some thoughts on skan and the D2 vote that's making me think he's scum. he claims his hands were too slow, but I'm betting he PLANNED to swap after the deadline and not have his vote count, but got surprised by the secret vote and stutters actually flipped. If stutters were scum I'd say skan is scum 100%, but stutters flipped town so I'm still thinking it through. I'm gonna have some dinner and put together some more complete thoughts on what happened with the D2 lynch.

(1) If I planned to swap after deadline, and yam/CR is scum, and the secret vote surprised me, then I'd be knowingly switching off flipped scum and onto town, which would only result in me looking scummy.
(2) The secret vote wouldn't have surprised me if it is a scum ability, because I'd know that it was going to happen.
(1re2) Last option, if I planned to swap after deadline, and yam/GR is scum, and the secret vote didnt surprise me, then I'd be knowingly switching off flipped town onto flipped town, which would only result in me looking scummy.

Now how would any plan related to me planning to swap votes after deadline be a scum move?

Naysayers with yo' naysayin'
Skanjab1s
Profile Joined June 2013
748 Posts
October 22 2013 00:44 GMT
#2692
EBWOP: Off scum onto flipped town*
raynpelikonoshi
Profile Joined October 2013
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
October 22 2013 00:46 GMT
#2693
Two things that made me think yamato is town:
(1) I don't think yamato would have confidency to attack me first thing in the game as scum.
(2) I don't think yamato was overly trying to look townie and/or was scared of something (like he usually does as scum).
(3) Yamato has been fairly "useless" in other games aswell as town. That's not alignment indicative for him. (1) and (2) are.

-rayn
Koshi & raynpelikoneet hydra
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
October 22 2013 00:48 GMT
#2694
On October 22 2013 09:46 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
Two things that made me think yamato is town:
(1) I don't think yamato would have confidency to attack me first thing in the game as scum.
(2) I don't think yamato was overly trying to look townie and/or was scared of something (like he usually does as scum).
(3) Yamato has been fairly "useless" in other games aswell as town. That's not alignment indicative for him. (1) and (2) are.

-rayn

I don't understand you were ok lynching him prior to the ninja vote and now you do not want to lynch him?
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
October 22 2013 00:56 GMT
#2695
Regarding Skanjab and the last-second vote-swap.

On one hand,
On October 22 2013 05:47 Skanjab1s wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2013 05:45 Mattchew wrote:
Mafia probably used the secret vote whether or not cr is scum... Either they delay his death or get a vig/lynch on a townie from the confusion and sketchiness


The closeness of the lynch points more to CRay scum. It is pointless as scum to try last minute switch the lynch off of one townie and onto another.
This is his last contribution before the lynch; and suggests no premeditation towards Stutters.

On the other hand, scum KP at 3 members is already 1KP for this cycle. Its a very risky move to hammer a townie (regardless of secret vote) for the benefit of 1 town lynch. I don't think the risk is worth the reward.

As scum, I have hammered a townie last-second before, but made sure I had a story backed up over the past 3-4hrs to why. i.e. the concept was premeditated and I could back it up.
Skanjab doesn't have this.

As we know with claims: typically the awkwardly revealed claims are usually from town, and the big spiels that are perfectly crafted are usually fake-claims.

Lastly, I have had a townread on Skanjab since his Yamato case, Day1. This has nothing to do with that he made a case on Yamato. It had to do with his approach.

I asked him int he QT his thoughts on Yamato. He made a semi-case of points that suggested a scum mindset. I said I agreed. When Skanjab decided to unveil his case in the thread; he actually fleshed it out significantly more than the QT. That effort is something I *FIRMLY* associate with town.
i.e. he had the confidence that his read was right due to QT talk, and then put more effort into the case. I find it hard-pressed to believe scum would have a mindset capable to do this.

Skanjab is town.
raynpelikonoshi
Profile Joined October 2013
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
October 22 2013 00:56 GMT
#2696
On October 22 2013 09:48 Grackaroni wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2013 09:46 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
Two things that made me think yamato is town:
(1) I don't think yamato would have confidency to attack me first thing in the game as scum.
(2) I don't think yamato was overly trying to look townie and/or was scared of something (like he usually does as scum).
(3) Yamato has been fairly "useless" in other games aswell as town. That's not alignment indicative for him. (1) and (2) are.

-rayn

I don't understand you were ok lynching him prior to the ninja vote and now you do not want to lynch him?

That was pure policy until CR started contributing and i think he will contribute later on aswell. I am nowhere near 100% sure yamato is town, but i am over 50% confident in my early read on him.
Why are people talking about the silent vote? It's not alignment indicative for CR.

-rayn
Koshi & raynpelikoneet hydra
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
October 22 2013 00:58 GMT
#2697
On October 22 2013 09:46 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
Two things that made me think yamato is town:
(1) I don't think yamato would have confidency to attack me first thing in the game as scum.
(2) I don't think yamato was overly trying to look townie and/or was scared of something (like he usually does as scum).
(3) Yamato has been fairly "useless" in other games aswell as town. That's not alignment indicative for him. (1) and (2) are.

-rayn

(1)Clearly, Yamato attacked Koshi via clear discredit attempt.

(2) So at least you can admit he was not overly trying to look townie.
Where is this town credit coming from then?

Did he really try to progress the game? His attitude between Champions game/this one are MILES apart.
His attitude between Noir/this game are MILES apart.

Do you disagree?
raynpelikonoshi
Profile Joined October 2013
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
October 22 2013 00:59 GMT
#2698
On October 22 2013 09:56 Mocsta wrote:
Regarding Skanjab and the last-second vote-swap.

On one hand,
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2013 05:47 Skanjab1s wrote:
On October 22 2013 05:45 Mattchew wrote:
Mafia probably used the secret vote whether or not cr is scum... Either they delay his death or get a vig/lynch on a townie from the confusion and sketchiness


The closeness of the lynch points more to CRay scum. It is pointless as scum to try last minute switch the lynch off of one townie and onto another.
This is his last contribution before the lynch; and suggests no premeditation towards Stutters.

On the other hand, scum KP at 3 members is already 1KP for this cycle. Its a very risky move to hammer a townie (regardless of secret vote) for the benefit of 1 town lynch. I don't think the risk is worth the reward.

As scum, I have hammered a townie last-second before, but made sure I had a story backed up over the past 3-4hrs to why. i.e. the concept was premeditated and I could back it up.
Skanjab doesn't have this.

As we know with claims: typically the awkwardly revealed claims are usually from town, and the big spiels that are perfectly crafted are usually fake-claims.

Lastly, I have had a townread on Skanjab since his Yamato case, Day1. This has nothing to do with that he made a case on Yamato. It had to do with his approach.

I asked him int he QT his thoughts on Yamato. He made a semi-case of points that suggested a scum mindset. I said I agreed. When Skanjab decided to unveil his case in the thread; he actually fleshed it out significantly more than the QT. That effort is something I *FIRMLY* associate with town.
i.e. he had the confidence that his read was right due to QT talk, and then put more effort into the case. I find it hard-pressed to believe scum would have a mindset capable to do this.

Skanjab is town.

Wait what?
Assuming you are town and Skan is scum;

If i was in Skan's position and someone told me my case on a townie had merit i would totally expand it and post it in thread.

Did Skan push the lynch on D1? Did he push it on D2?

-rayn
Koshi & raynpelikoneet hydra
raynpelikonoshi
Profile Joined October 2013
Cayman Islands1087 Posts
October 22 2013 01:00 GMT
#2699
On October 22 2013 09:58 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2013 09:46 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
Two things that made me think yamato is town:
(1) I don't think yamato would have confidency to attack me first thing in the game as scum.
(2) I don't think yamato was overly trying to look townie and/or was scared of something (like he usually does as scum).
(3) Yamato has been fairly "useless" in other games aswell as town. That's not alignment indicative for him. (1) and (2) are.

-rayn

(1)Clearly, Yamato attacked Koshi via clear discredit attempt.

(2) So at least you can admit he was not overly trying to look townie.
Where is this town credit coming from then?

Did he really try to progress the game? His attitude between Champions game/this one are MILES apart.
His attitude between Noir/this game are MILES apart.

Do you disagree?

Probably because the Champions game. duh..
Do i look like i put the same effort into this game i put into the Champions game?
Is that alignment indicative?

-rayn
Koshi & raynpelikoneet hydra
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9388 Posts
October 22 2013 01:05 GMT
#2700
On October 22 2013 09:59 raynpelikonoshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2013 09:56 Mocsta wrote:
Regarding Skanjab and the last-second vote-swap.

On one hand,
On October 22 2013 05:47 Skanjab1s wrote:
On October 22 2013 05:45 Mattchew wrote:
Mafia probably used the secret vote whether or not cr is scum... Either they delay his death or get a vig/lynch on a townie from the confusion and sketchiness


The closeness of the lynch points more to CRay scum. It is pointless as scum to try last minute switch the lynch off of one townie and onto another.
This is his last contribution before the lynch; and suggests no premeditation towards Stutters.

On the other hand, scum KP at 3 members is already 1KP for this cycle. Its a very risky move to hammer a townie (regardless of secret vote) for the benefit of 1 town lynch. I don't think the risk is worth the reward.

As scum, I have hammered a townie last-second before, but made sure I had a story backed up over the past 3-4hrs to why. i.e. the concept was premeditated and I could back it up.
Skanjab doesn't have this.

As we know with claims: typically the awkwardly revealed claims are usually from town, and the big spiels that are perfectly crafted are usually fake-claims.

Lastly, I have had a townread on Skanjab since his Yamato case, Day1. This has nothing to do with that he made a case on Yamato. It had to do with his approach.

I asked him int he QT his thoughts on Yamato. He made a semi-case of points that suggested a scum mindset. I said I agreed. When Skanjab decided to unveil his case in the thread; he actually fleshed it out significantly more than the QT. That effort is something I *FIRMLY* associate with town.
i.e. he had the confidence that his read was right due to QT talk, and then put more effort into the case. I find it hard-pressed to believe scum would have a mindset capable to do this.

Skanjab is town.

Wait what?
Assuming you are town and Skan is scum;

If i was in Skan's position and someone told me my case on a townie had merit i would totally expand it and post it in thread.

Did Skan push the lynch on D1? Did he push it on D2?

-rayn

U get your point but the same can be asked why I did not vote with the case if I agreed.
I had my reasons.

But ok, maybe you would expand. I just know I wouldn't. If the case was already convincing, why try harder?
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