Newbie Mini Mafia XXXI
Forum Index > TL Mafia |
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
![]() | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
But oh the horror of being held accountable for the votes you make 6 in the morning :p | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 15 2012 15:53 Oatsmaster wrote: Also the lynch is 1600 CET right? Thats perfect for me, 11 pm where I live, I think :/ Think it's 4 CET. In the middle of the night, so it's 11 am for you. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 15 2012 23:49 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: I'm on the east coast here, so delaying the lynch time would not be preferable. It's at 10pm right now, so I can get up at 6:00 for my classes with relatively good sleep. Making it earlier is fine, just not much later. I already have nightmares of 3AM WoW raids. We'll just mislynch you d1 again, problem solved :p | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Now his response was "omg I can't remember saying any of that shit because I was drunk, I totally didn't lie yesterday... if I knew there was a video of me saying stupid shit why would I have denied it?" and I'm like "omg that stupid racist needs to play more mafia". Cliff notes: politicians should play more mafia | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
![]() | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 20 2012 02:04 Kickstart wrote: Mario mini was fun but I gott a lot of flak for being noobie so hopefully I can get some coaching and some aftergame feedback from this game :D Just follow my lead and you'll be fine. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
My winrate with consulting coaches is 0% I need buff. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
You're host, make it happen pls :p | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Yamato is making a decent amount of posts with no content and making some weird conclusions, such as. On November 25 2012 13:51 yamato77 wrote: If we sheep oats and lynch cheesecake, and he flips town, at least our day 2 lynch is an easy decision. Which obviously isn't correct. He also seems worried about how he's percieved, asking Aqua about whether he's still uneasy about him. From my experience as scum you usually don't like being in the dark of how others percieve you. Not much to go on so far, but that was my initial reactions to the thread. About Oat and Cake I'll wait for a while before commenting. As for me, I have 3 games played on, newbie XXVI-XXVIII. Two times scum, one time town, lost all of them ![]() | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 25 2012 19:18 Oatsmaster wrote: Why didnt you play the other newbie games between XXVIII and this one? XXVIII was so taxing and I was really sick of mafia after it. Probably would've played XXIX if I knew I get to play town, but I didn't sign up because I couldn't stomach another game as scum because it fucking sucks. On November 25 2012 19:18 Oatsmaster wrote: I think that weird conclusions are gonna be the norm with inexperienced players Yes, this is true. Saying stupid shit is not a good scum tell, it's usually just a newb tell. Whether you're town or scum you'll obviously be looking NOT to say stupid shit. Besides scum will usually be more careful about what they say, so actually I take back that point. The players I intuitively feel are scummy, Helo and Yamato, could be struggling newbie town. My early d1 reads rarely pan out very well (the one exception I can come to think of is CC from last game). I think this a common newbie game syndrome, where a lot of people have misconceptions of what is actually scummy play. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 25 2012 14:57 Aquanim wrote: Sure, he's made all of I'm not liking this. In the first quote Cheesecake took, Oatsmaster is agreeing with this post: which is pretty generically town-speech stuff from Mr. Cheesecake. I could well see Oatsmaster agreeing with the body of this message, BUT not liking the fact that Cheesecake is making speeches rather than poking people and looking for scum. (I'm taking a wild guess at what Oatsmaster's feeling was based on here.) And apart from Cheesecake's questions in his first post and contentless sniping at Oatsmaster since that's all there is. I don't really understand this post. What read did you end up with on CC and why? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 25 2012 21:41 JacobStrangelove wrote: Mainly the "or if you still do" you allowed him to backtrack something a nervous town might take advantage of if they feel it might put them in a bad situation. (one thing is for sure oats isn't nervous lol) However I am mainly interested in it as it doesn't appear to be (although I don't know your meta (haven't looked at it yes) something a town wouldn't say (giving all the options[admittedly I tend to do this for everything though]) so just curious on that particular wording. It came up in conjunction with your rant. Honestly I think oats is doing good by promoting conversation but he might have hit a sore spot. tl;dr any particular reason for creating a backout opportunity for him? Holy mother of God, what are you trying to say? Is Kick scummy for giving Oat an easy out? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 25 2012 21:53 JacobStrangelove wrote: Hey just asking the question! Looking back I may have read into that.... a little too much but we don't have much to work with. It wasn't so much your argument that confused me, but the sentence containing a double negation and a parentheses within a parentheses within a parentheses. Did I get it correctly that you thought giving Oat an easy out was scummy by Kick? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 25 2012 22:06 JacobStrangelove wrote: But yeah I was thinking along the lines of oats put a target of his back. However some people *cough* kush *cough* use that play even as mafia to variable success. Fair point. I think that's rather uncommon though. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 25 2012 22:40 Kickstart wrote: You two seem to be agreeing that you don't think Oats is scum. Can you explain his vote onto cheese then, because he apparently can't provide a decent explanation for it himself. I take it you have never played scum. The last thing you feel like doing when you're scum is to stumble into the thread and make a terrible case with no evidence, because it'll give you a ton of attention. You can argue whether his posts are anti-town or not. They've started some discussions and a lot of people (well, at least some) are chiming in with opinions etc. At the end of the day it doesn't really matter whether it's anti-town though, I've basically seen no newbies play scum like this (perhaps Kush. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
This sounds like a silly job interview question, but I'd be really interesting in hearing a short analysis. It'd be quite helpful for me. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 01:40 Kickstart wrote: So you view it as a null tell or...? Am at least glad we agree that it is a terrible case with no evidence though. And I just don't think the argument that you have not seen any newbies play like that means anything really, just because you haven't seen it or if it has never been done doesn't mean it can't be. Slight town. I'd say early game spazzes are more likely to be town. He also comes across genuine in his posts, will comment more on this later. I'm not putting too much weight into early town reads though. I think experience is valuable, as long as you realize it's possible your experience is biased. I've played 3 games and have obsed quite a few. I think that's enough to be able to draw some conclusions about general behaviour that are better than worthless. On November 26 2012 01:40 Kickstart wrote: I am however inclined to agree with you that scum wouldn't want to draw attention to themselves but I can't get over how bad his posts were, and they haven't gotten much better. That's exactly how I've been reacting in the Obs QTs I've been in. I see someone who (imo) play terrible and use flawed logic and it pisses me off so bad that I think it makes him scum. Rarely have those reads been correct and I think it's because scum are too careful to use terrible logic. There are better scum tells than someone simply "playing bad". | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 02:10 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: @SDM Probably the most important thing is that just because someone has bad game sense doesn't make them scum. Djo last game pushed his terrible case on me, and I thought he was scummy because he literally had no traction on it. Oats, to me, seems a lot like Djo from last game. Hell, even the smiles. I'm more concerned with people who have faulty motives. Clarity, for example, made this random comment when i was counter-pushing djo to sort of amplify my case. Stuck out to me as active lurking, and there really was no motive behind it. Oats, therefore, despite his lolcase is null. I'm more curious about the people I've FoS'd, particularly HeloKnight. He came in, summarized the general theme which was anti-Oats, posted a little rant on him and then left. Anything from your earlier newbie games you've learnt about what style to play yourself? Do you see any mistakes you made in those games? I'm not talking about VT claiming but more general stuff. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 02:31 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: VT claim was partially due to the fact that I was lazy and thought the flavor would confirm me. Turns out, it made the mafia look so guilty once I flipped haha. The only other game I played was as scum. In that game I played overly neutral, and pretty much tunneled a townie to the ground D2. I felt pressured to -never- change my way of thinking (I only ever FoS'd like two people and only voted Djo lol). If you read my filter in that game, I'm also putting on this super serious face; it's evident in my syntax and diction. I think I know what I'm looking for in my scumreads if I base it off my experience and seeing how my team played. And did that lead you to make any adjustments in your style for this game? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 03:19 HeloKnight wrote: The mafia has to implicate townies as scum and, using good logic, they can only convict other scum. So doesn't scum have to use terrible logic? Otherwise they with only catch their partners. Not really, but kind of. It's like that story about the man who lost his keys on his way home from the bar. A policeman sees a drunk man searching for something under a streetlight and asks what the drunk has lost. He says he lost his keys and they both look under the streetlight together. After a few minutes the policeman asks if he is sure he lost them here, and the drunk replies, no, that he lost them in the park. The policeman asks why he is searching here, and the drunk replies, "this is where the light is." Most newbs are like the drunk man who looks for scum tells that are easy to find (contradictions, "scum slips" etc). The problem is scum tells are usually NOT easy to find because the easy to find scum tells are also easy to cover up. Not contradicting yourself is suprisingly easy as long as you're a bit careful and most "scum slips" are just the result of a careless townie. As long as townies scum hunt under the streetlight scum can join their in because it's so easy to find townies contradicting themself or some comment that can be an OMG-scumslip-alert. As long as the townies themselves don't realize it's inneffective, arguments by scum will at least look logically sound. And of course, sometimes a bad set of circumstances or a lack of trying will actually make a townie look legitimately scummy | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 03:28 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: For this game? Aside from what to look for in posts and analyzing behavior, not really. As it were, that game helped my scum mentality more than anything. In what way did it help your scum mentality? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Part 1 In XXIX: CC was scum and all uptight, just like he said in one of his responses itt. After the game, his scum buddies said he was a funny guy cracking a lot of jokes in the scum QT. It's quite obvious CC wasn't being himself in the actual XXIX game thread, the real CC isn't uptight. In XXX: CC was town and the complete opposite of uptight. It was obvious he was being his real self, ie what he had shown in the scum QT in XXIX. This complete change of meta was why I gave him a 100% town read in the obs QT. BUT this play style got him lynch. Cracking jokes and being a goof got him into a shitty situation which lead him to a weird VT claim and later a mislynch. What would one expect town CC to take away from this? He needs to lay off his goofy style or he risks getting mislynched. What would one expect scum CC to take away from this? He needs to be more of a goof, otherwise the difference in meta will give him away. If you compare this game to his town play in XXX, he's more serious business now. That would lead me to believe either a) he's town and has realized his style in XXIX didn't work and he needs to play a bit more "serious" or b) the reason he's playing closer to his scum meta is because he's scum. Now I agree with what Oats said, CCs initial posts in this thread come off as "forced casual". That is, b) is quite possible: He's scum, has realized he needs to emulate his town play style, but doesn't really succeed. Besides, by asking these questions, I really gave him the chance to give me the a) explanation, but he didn't. He even says it hasn't affected his town play at all, which I find weird considering how he crashed and burned in XXX. He says, however, that it has affected his scum mentality. The reason he knows may be because he's playing scum right now. Part 2 When you play as scum, you really don't want to butt heads with the stronger players. When I was scum in XXVIII I soon came to realize it would be in my best interest to agree with DarthPunk and Z-Boson because they pursued their scum reads aggressively. Now maybe I'm full of myself, but having played 3 games I would like to believe I'm one of the DPs and ZBs of this game, a player you want to get along with if you're scum. That's why this post by CC makes uneasy: On November 26 2012 00:16 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: + Show Spoiler + Okay so just woke up. The Oats vote is pretty lulzy to me. On November 25 2012 23:26 Oatsmaster wrote: LOL kickstart learning from the vets huh. there are like 4 pages of content, I challenge you to find a case out of that. A proper case that has scum reasons for certain posts. ok about cheesecake 1.) This post looks like he is being light-hearted, especially with the Pie and Cheesecake question. I feel that it is an act, the post looks VERY deliberate in being casual. 2.) Then here, a reason for people to be lurking is because we havent called them out. He basically says, I will lynch a lurker/anybody. Which is good reason to hop onto any bandwagon that is benefical for scum. Like lynching an inactive town/active but bad town <snip> I'm more concerned about Yamato right now. His posts amount to a bunch of one-liners that achieve nothing. Same goes for Helo, pretty blendy personalities at this point in time. FoS Yamato77 FoS HeloKnight Just a bit of pressure, I'd like to hear some constructive posts from them. @Aquanium On November 25 2012 14:57 Aquanim wrote: Sure, he's made all of I'm not liking this. In the first quote Cheesecake took, Oatsmaster is agreeing with this post: which is pretty generically town-speech stuff from Mr. Cheesecake. I could well see Oatsmaster agreeing with the body of this message, BUT not liking the fact that Cheesecake is making speeches rather than poking people and looking for scum. (I'm taking a wild guess at what Oatsmaster's feeling was based on here.) And apart from Cheesecake's questions in his first post and contentless sniping at Oatsmaster since that's all there is. This post is extremely wish-washy to me. He basically takes a neutral stance and says that he can understand both sides of the argument. I'm confused as to his opinion. Do you not like the fact that he agreeing with me, and simultaneously gets a scum-feel? Or do you disagree with me? It is basically a carbon copy of my previous opinions/questions: On November 25 2012 19:15 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: + Show Spoiler + The first thing that stuck out to me was Helo just making a couple of short posts then disappearing (to enter again with another contentless post after he was called out for it). Yamato is making a decent amount of posts with no content and making some weird conclusions, such as. On November 25 2012 13:51 yamato77 wrote: If we sheep oats and lynch cheesecake, and he flips town, at least our day 2 lynch is an easy decision. Which obviously isn't correct. He also seems worried about how he's percieved, asking Aqua about whether he's still uneasy about him. From my experience as scum you usually don't like being in the dark of how others percieve you. Not much to go on so far, but that was my initial reactions to the thread. <snip> On November 25 2012 21:37 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: + Show Spoiler + On November 25 2012 14:57 Aquanim wrote: Sure, he's made all of I'm not liking this. In the first quote Cheesecake took, Oatsmaster is agreeing with this post: which is pretty generically town-speech stuff from Mr. Cheesecake. I could well see Oatsmaster agreeing with the body of this message, BUT not liking the fact that Cheesecake is making speeches rather than poking people and looking for scum. (I'm taking a wild guess at what Oatsmaster's feeling was based on here.) And apart from Cheesecake's questions in his first post and contentless sniping at Oatsmaster since that's all there is. I don't really understand this post. What read did you end up with on CC and why? Being second on the ball to one of the stronger/more experienced players in this game is scummy. CC also kind of sided with me on the Oats issue, although his read is more on the null side. So yeah, I'm accusing him of cock-riding. FOS Cheesecake Cheesecake is my best scum read right now, but at least he's around and actually contributing. I'm absolutely capable of switching to one of you lurkers out there if I find a decent reason. There's also plenty of time of Cheesecake to convince me he's not scum, so go for it. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 05:18 Munk-E wrote: Hello everyone! I am here. 1. 3 before, and I think I've lost them all. TT 2. It's a dumb idea. Lurkers don't become suspicious unless they avoid direct questions. A townie would be just as likely to lurk day 1 as a red, since real life can get in the the way early on. Plus, if someone is lurking a suspicious amount, and they're mafia, their scum brethren would tell them to pick it up on their posting. 3. It's a biased question, you give us only one flavor of cake, but we have to compare it against an entire class of deserts? What are you trying to imply? That cheesecake is better than any type of pie? In your response you arrogantly dismiss pie. This could be a tactic to make every type of pie be seen as inferior to cheesecake, and that might taint the views of the rest of the players. You know who else trys to change the opinion of the players? Mafia do. Mr. Cheesecake is SCUM So a lurker appears and says lynching lurkers is a dumb idea. You're gonna have to do better than this. Besides it can be any flavor of pie ldo. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 05:30 Kickstart wrote: Not to mention the post is just fluff, but I suppose I will forgive that for an introduction post. What's your take on CC? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 05:35 HeloKnight wrote: I'm interested in hearing Cheesecake's response to this part before I make a judgement. I don't really see the "forced casual" in his posting, however, and you could make the same argument for a lot of people. Do you think Oats is forced casual? No, he comes off as genuine to me. Not a strong read either way, but having played so much scum I've been studying the play of a lot of newbie town that I knew were town at the time. He seems to fit. And don't put too much emphazis on the "forced casual" part, that's my opinion but not what the case hinges on. On November 26 2012 05:35 HeloKnight wrote: It's possible that Cheesecake is just sheeping your opinion, but he might also honestly have the same opinion as you. I think the two of you are the most experienced players here, you might just be agreeing on something. Why do you think he's "cock-riding"? The scum motivation would be to get along. There's not town motivation other than him genuinely agreeing with me wrt to you, Yamato, Aqua and Oats. That's possible, but a bit unlikely. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 05:35 Kickstart wrote: In regards to your case on cheesecake SDM, I am personally not a fan of meta cases (they did not go well at all in my last game lol), I am much more interested in a players activity in this game. I have to agree on the point that he has echoed what has already been said in the thread, I just personally think it is a null tell at this point. Right now I really need to hear more from the people lurking, they've had almost a day at this point to post something of substance and engage in some conversation. In what sense? Because you think low activity players are more likely to be scum or just because it's obv pro-town because we need as much info as possible? I agree we need more activity, all townies needs to start posting their thoughts/reads. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 05:34 yamato77 wrote: Mr. Cheesecake is playing without contributing. He's written a lot, but most of it is absolutely useless to a town looking for scum. His policy discussion and talk about other mafia games he's played doesn't help hunt for other players, it seems like more of a defense for himself. Then he calls out two players, myself and Helo, trying to draw attention away from himself. None of this reads town to me, at all. I don't like this reaction. Sure, you can argue he hasn't contributed much, but at least he's been somewhat enganged in the thread unlike a lot of others. Aside from that, the reason he talked about his old games was because I asked him, him answering is appreciated. Him calling out you and Helo can easily have town motivations. Obviously town wants to call out what he considers suspicious bahaviour. You end up saying nothing reads town, but the more important question is: does it read scum, and why? Other than that your one-liners are really not contributing much and kind of stay-under-the-radar like. FOS Yamato | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 05:57 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: Put some stuff in bold. [b]The meta-argument is a null tell, SDM, and you should know that. I've played two games two different ways and two different roles, nothing can be concluded from this. I actually agree with the sheeping point. Seems pretty legit to me, but the fact that we observed the same thing isn't out of the ordinary because the game just started. I was there when yamato was doing his one liner stuff, I think I even told him somewhere that he wasn't contributing shit to the thread during our conversation, if you could call it that. I'm pretty suspicious of HeloKnight right now and I'll give a little post on him later. Yeah, meta is likely to change within your first few games. That's why I gave you the opportunity to explain to me that was what had happened. I don't think those meta changes happens sub-conciously (they may to some degree), but I find it weird this change in meta would be entirely sub-concious as implied in your responses. If in this game you are more serious than your usual self, it seems likely to me it would be a product of either a) you realized that in order to not get lynched you can't be your usual town self or b) you are scum and thus closer to your scum self. I brought this up now because I wanted a response asap, otherwise I'll end up close to EOD with too little info on your play. Still need some more time to fully process this info, but as of right now it's scummy to me. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
My "goofy style" didn't get me lynched. I got myself lynched by trolling and claiming VT for no reason at all. XXX I barely consider a game, and it was my first as town. I didn't learn anything from that game other than what I told you. This meta argument is funny, because it can go either way. If I played like I did in XXIX, I would be shamed for going back to my scum meta. I'm not excessively trolling like in XXX because I actually have a clear head for this game. I'm just going to be myself. I didn't learn much in XXX because I pretty much killed myself to reveal scum. The only thing I learned in XXIX was how to play scum, so of course that game only effected my scum play. @CC I thought you claimed VT because you had a decent amount of votes and/or suspicion against you. Was your claim entirely to exploit the lack of "regular fapper" info in OP? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 06:47 HeloKnight wrote: Part of the reason I asked that question is because everyone was getting on me to contribute more, but I wasn't finding a lot to comment on. So I asked this question because it seemed like SDM was reaching an absurd conclusion: that only townies will use terrible logic. You say that scum will be easily called out on using terrible logic, but then people like SDM will point out that scum will never use terrible logic, and the scum who used the bad logic is in the clear and looking more townie. That wasn't really my intention. But when the logic is very obviously terrible it's less likely the work of a scum, because they would've spotted it and wouldn't post it. Often terrible logic comes from not putting a lot of thought into your post and scum is more likely to put thought in their posts. I'm not saying this is a great tell, but at the very least blindly aiming for people who "play bad" won't perform better than random lynching. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
##unvote ##vote: Yamato | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
So far D1 confirmed disappointment. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 06:55 yamato77 wrote: I don't think my posting at the beginning should be taken as alignment indicative. It was prodding, mostly. I'm on the fence about Mr. Cheesecake. His posting is still mostly defending himself, and attacking two players who posted early, me and Helo. That kind of behavior doesn't really indicate alignment, but if he keeps coming after me with posts that don't even address my concerns about him, I'm going to vote for him. Most of what I've posted so far has been to get a reaction, and it has worked. How people answer questions and accusations are definitely tells. I don't get this. Look back at your own posts. + Show Spoiler + On November 25 2012 10:55 yamato77 wrote: Everyone is likely waiting for other people to post so they can come in the thread with: "XXX is SCUM! His opening post proves it!" On November 25 2012 11:00 yamato77 wrote: The D1 lynch. On November 25 2012 13:51 yamato77 wrote: If we sheep oats and lynch cheesecake, and he flips town, at least our day 2 lynch is an easy decision. On November 25 2012 14:02 yamato77 wrote: I think you need a real case against Cheesecake before you make a post calling him scum. Anything else is either bad town play or blatant misdirection. On November 25 2012 14:16 yamato77 wrote: Still feel uneasy about me? On November 25 2012 14:37 yamato77 wrote: Why don't you give us your actual input on Cheesecake? On November 25 2012 14:53 yamato77 wrote: I don't really care for your topics of discussion, but that's about it. On November 25 2012 15:09 yamato77 wrote: I think the discussion is fine as it is. On November 25 2012 15:12 yamato77 wrote: That is, between Aqua and I, the only other 2 people actively keeping up. What exactly do you expect to accomplish with this? What do you think to did accomplish? As far as I can tell very little of today's conversation has revovled around your contributions (until you got accused, which can't be what you were looking for). To me they look more like someone trying active while not contributing. And still you've done a minimal amount of scum hunting, while doing a lot of explaining yourself and asking others about their opinion of you. Scum are not interested in scum hunting, while they are interested in knowing what others think of them. That said I'm not sure you're scum and if you're not, step it up pls. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 08:14 yamato77 wrote: I don't particularly care for how me jumped on me after one post, especially when it gave a similar read to his own. In what way? Just recently you said something to the extent of "at least SDMs post had some quality". Now you're saying you don't like it. The difference between our post is I was posting about something that can be alignment indicative, you were mostly sheeping. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 13:23 JacobStrangelove wrote: That is true and it is a good point... however when I was scum I set out to bus everyone I could. (not common though) oh and don't worry about it being to early for that I love association cases. Early D1 association cases suck, you should know better. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 12:38 yamato77 wrote: SDM's vote on me is based on information from a single post basically, which does not bode well for my opinion of him. Honestly if I am your top scumread because of a bunch of one-liners and a post where I give my negative opinion on someone you read as scum, you are doing something wrong. CC's vote on me looks like scum trying to deflect attention onto a player receiving negative heat. Also, it would eliminate someone he sees as a threat, if he was scum, in that I haven't liked his play since the start of the game. I'm tempted to vote Cheesecake with you, if your vote is actually serious. However, if I get lynched today, I would 100% go after CC and SDM tomorrow because of the way they have parked their votes on me. Not really, if you recall I found you kind of suspicious before that post. And just for the record, my vote isn't parked on anyone in the sense that I'm not considering switching. As of right now there are only a few posters off the table for me when it comes to my D1 lynch and at the end of the day, it's quite possible it will land on one of the more lurky players because those are the ones that will become hard. Please realize that if you're town, this means being active and posting your thoughts is the best way not to get my vote. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 10:40 Oatsmaster wrote: I made that case so that you guys could see how bad of a case it was.. And it got bashed horrendously. Thanks for seeing my point of view. Im still on the fence about Cheesecake because he hasnt actually posted any reads, just responded to people. I am inclined to think that SDM is town because he made a longass post on CC. On November 26 2012 12:42 Oatsmaster wrote: Lets go with the association case now. If CC is scum, yamato isnt, if yamato is scum, CC isnt. How would CC see you as a threat? arnt me and SDM more of a threat at that point of time? How many times do I have to repeat that my vote is serious Dude, you're making very little sense. You made what you consider a bad case against CC. You're on the fence with him, but you're still repeating how serious you are about lynching him. At this point you should really be able to have a decent case if you're convinced about sticking to CC. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 25 2012 22:06 JacobStrangelove wrote: Yes. I have to kick that habit. I am just confused why you are so angry and aggressive. *mental note to check history* It just looked like a strange thing to ask with the tail end out. Also we have to compare the two votes as they are the only two votes there are. We may find as you say they are completely different however but not as different as you think. But yeah I was thinking along the lines of oats put a target of his back. However some people *cough* kush *cough* use that play even as mafia to variable success. How did this work out for you? I'd expect that when you're suspicious of me, you would look into this before giving me a town read. Unless you know, you're not at all suspicious of me because you know I'm town. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 16:05 Oatsmaster wrote: I have a strong feeling that he is scum. I cant prove it due to having less than 10 posts to analyse. On the fence means that I didnt see anything from him to change my vote. It's kind of a paradoxical that you have a really strong read based on that few posts. Try to figure out why you feel this way and try to explain it. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
I'm also legitimately concerned about Jacob and Aqua. They really seem to not want to take a stance on anything. Jacob seems really wishy-washy and not very interested in finding a lynch candidate. He's showing no sense of urgency at all and quite satisfied with the current state of the game, which I would expect scum to be right now because we're really heading nowhere and activity is low. I'm soon heading off to school and I would've liked to be able to narrow down my potential list of lynch candidates, but there are probably 5 players I'd consider now. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 16:49 Aquanim wrote: Hello everyone, I'm back. For now: ##Vote: Munk-E I require more posts from Munk-E to make any kind of a read on him. Post some more stuff Munk-E, look for scum (somewhere other than in Oatsmaster's early contributions, there's plenty more to read now). If your posts have new content this vote will disappear. Aqua, that's all you got after all this discussion? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 16:49 Aquanim wrote: I require more posts from Munk-E to make any kind of a read on him. Post some more stuff Munk-E, look for scum (somewhere other than in Oatsmaster's early contributions, there's plenty more to read now). If your posts have new content this vote will disappear. But what about your reads on people that do post more? If you're not making reads on people you've got information on, why does it even matter if Munk posts more? This post and vote just seems like an excuse not to take a stance on anything. This is where I'm at right now: I guess I'm leaning mostly townards Yamato or Aqua right now. Munk's first two posts were unimpressive and pretty null, he needs to post more indeed. He's not engaging in any discussions and just makes a long case/rant about Oats. In this game that seems to be just about enough to stay alive, and doing just about enough to stay alive but not more is usually what scum wants to do. I'm quite undecided about Jacob, I need time to solve that riddle. Oats is weird and I'm not sure what to make of it. He seems to have latched on to CC for no good reason. It may be confirmation bias but it's kind of scummy. My initial read was genuine and slight town and while he's kind of working on turning that read around, I don't see him as a lynch candidate right now. Kick came off as genuine in my exchange with him regarding Oats. He's been a slight town read in part because of this and in part because he seems to be trying to scum hunt. While I'm not convinced I don't see myself wanting to lynch one of the few people scum hunting. I think Cake is a good enough player to get himself out of th case I made against him earlier. I have to admit though that the meta part of that case was rather weak. His play in this game is somewhere in between his spazzy play in XXX and uptight play in XXIX. In the end that probably means null. He conceded to the point about cock-riding, which I feel may be an indication of honesty (town trait). He also continued to pursue Yamato rehashing my points even after I called him out for it, which makes it seem like he was genuinely suspicious of him (a scum might be hesistant to doing this). All in all, CC has shown some effort and arguments that's been enough for me to doubt him being a good D1 candidate. Helo has moved himself into a more null/slight town read after my earlier suspicion. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 17:28 JacobStrangelove wrote: Hey I asked questions "just wondering why the aggressive comments" I do expect answers just because I don't say "this is a question" trust me when he reads that he probably will answer. Theory was implied ![]() Yeah that's a fair point, but if you think Kick's comment was allignment indicative I would've expected you to put some pressure. Instead you kind of just left it out there for others to either go with or ignore. As far as your Yamato case goes, what you point out is nothing new (I know claim that, you were just clarifying). A lot of it is stuff I've thought about and I think commented on. The problem I have is it feels like one of this cases I convince myself is good but end up being crap. It's just to easy to make. D1 it's very easy for scum not to leave those obvious openings. This is why I'm intrigued about Aqua's case on Kick. On surface Kick isn't scummy, but scum usually won't be scummy on the first day, at least D1 (I have yet to read the case though). | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 17:48 Oatsmaster wrote: I really dont know how you guys can be condemning me for voting for CC when none of you have a town read on him. Bad play? I dont think so. This is not a good argument. You're not supposed to vote on people you think others think are scummy. Scum vote this town way. If you're town you should vote on someone you think is scummy and you should be able to explain why. Just because I don't have a town read on CC doesn't mean I think it's a good idea to vote on him without a good scum read. Besides, townies tend to be suspicious of everything, you seem to be suspicious of only CC. That's not town mentality. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 18:12 JacobStrangelove wrote: yeah oats while his initial style was very townlike in my opinion has also been quite inconsistent tunnling as well like sonic mentioned however I think his style (and this is only a feel read) is more town like though. Aside from sparking decision early nothing he's done is very pro-town. Of course we want every townie to be pro-town, but I don't think it's very allignment indicative. There are some things I've pointed out that can be seen as scum mentality, but in the end I don't even manage to convince myself he's scum (I'm usually quite good at convincing myself as long as I try hard :p). I have the same feeling as you. It's hard to put to words, but I guess the best description still is to obviously scummy to be scum. This goes back to the same old argument: Scum primary objective is to try not to look like scum. I have a hard time believing that's Oats' primary objective. As far as the Kick case goes it's quite reasonable: - He's only going after Oats, which is an obvious and easy target. - He's defending CC pretty hard, aka white knighting (assuming CC is town). Kick is rather cautious. I'd say his style of writing is rather formal and for the lack of a better word, cold (not a lot of excitement). I expect from newbie scum. I'm sure CC can relate to this from his first scum game. It was true for me in my first scum game (and to a lesser extent also my second). It was true to Xatalos in my first scum game. Debears in his first scum game. To make my point short, it's often the case. This has given me a slight suspicion towards Kick, but I've really not thought it was worth acting on such a suspicion, because he's been active and "making sense" (unfortunately I have a tendency to think people "making sense" are townies, but like I've explain before it seems townies are more often logically incoherrent while scum will be more focused on appearing to "make sense"). I think Kick is worth considering. Aqua has moved himself off my list having made a good case with some thinking that runs a deeper than this-dude-looks-scummy-on-the-surface case. Munk and Yamato are still up there, but for my wishy-washy reasonings I expressed earlier I'm kind of doubting a vote on Yamato. I will have to go back and look at why I thought Kick was townie to begin with. It's probably mostly because he was the first to make some sort of case. The genuine feel I got from our discussion about Oats was because it seemed to me like he genuinely didn't realize why it was a bad case. After all, it's pretty common for newbies not to look for motivation and rather just look for weird/bad behaviour. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
There are a few of his comments and actions that struck me as weird. For example he seemed to sheep me pretty hard on Yamato. This happened at the same time I made my case on CC. I found it a bit weird he focused on my smaller side-not of Yamato while I was siding with his biggest scum read making a big case on CC. His last comment also kind of strikes me as a I-think-this-is-the-way-town-thinks type post, but I'm afraid that's me starting to suffer from confirmation bias. On November 26 2012 10:33 Kickstart wrote: Right well I am going to go to sleep so won't be on for several hours, I am glad to see that there has been a decent amount of new discussion and hope to find more when I wake up and I will weigh in on everything then and try and find them scum after some well needed rest. About Jacob's note on Kick's meta. It may or may not be an important point. I remember in XXVIII Djo was newbie town and defended other newbie towns, just to in his next newbie game make a case against a newbie town because of his newbie town traits. I thought that was scummy as hell, but he turned out town. I really need to start study now ![]() | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 18:56 Aquanim wrote: I don't think I saw anything from you about Jacob after this post. Do you still feel this way about Jacob? I posted this shortly after: "I'm quite undecided about Jacob, I need time to solve that riddle." Me and Jacob played XXVI together where he was town and I was scum. My recollection of that game is not 100%, but as far as I can remember he was kind of wishy-washy and used a lot of circle arguments which ended up with indecisive reads. So him not taking decisive stands here doesn't have to be scummy. He did show a lot of effort in trying to solve the game though, which I think he is lacking in this game. That seems to be a bit uncharacterstic and as the same time quite common for scum. We also played in XXVII where he was scum and I townie. They killed me off N1 so I don't have too much information. I did get the feeling he was kind of buddying me in that game though, or at least concerned about me not suspecting him. I'm getting a similar feeling here, but it's a really weak argument. Jacob usually puts in a lot of effort though so I don't really want to see him lynched D1 for those weak reasons. If he's town he'll be a late game asset, if he's scum at least he's likely to post a lot and we'll get a better read. I think his activity will pick up and especially in late game. I think he'll be really excited to solve the game if he's town. As scum it's really hard to be very active late game and if he's not very active I'd become really concerned. Keep this in mind if I'm not around, him being active doesn't necessarily mean he's town, but if he isn't excited about solving the game and posting a lot I'd be vary. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 21:40 JacobStrangelove wrote: Kickstarter case looks good tbh. I am a little funny about the helo yamoto thing due to having an insane probably wrong read on one of them. I really want these guys particularly to enter the thread. I can't do much more without it. Will look into it more before bed. On a side note how much time left before lynch? What "helo yamoto" thing and what is this "insane probably wrong" read of yours? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 21:22 Aquanim wrote: - Comparing Yamato77 to HeloKnight (two players who have similar profiles, I think) I see more purpose in Yamato's posts. To clarify, my feeling is that Yamato is giving more thought into how his posts can uncover scum. Compare their filters, YMMV. Yeah, I'm also a bit suprised about this purpose you see in Yamato's posts. So far the only purpose I've seen is to stay alive. That's both a town and scum trait. However he's lacking the exclusive town trait, to hunt scum. Helo on the other hand has shown some scum hunting and comes off as genuine imo. Saying something like: "Part of the reason I asked that question is because everyone was getting on me to contribute more, but I wasn't finding a lot to comment on" is good sign of honesty. It's also the feeling which goes through most newbies early game, they find it hard to contribute. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Kick - He's defending CC for no reason. I agree defending people is kind of scummy because as scum it's easier to town reads instead of scum read on townies, because you know they're correct. Kick isn't really making a town read, he's just saying the case isn't convincing. And the case wasn't convincing. Can you really blame him? It's more of an attack on Oats than a defense of CC. - His scum hunting is only limited to Oats. Oats is an easy target and the case is bad, at least according to me and as it seems a lot of others. Oats would be the perfect target for newbie scum to jump on, but on the other hand, why wouldn't newbie town do that as well? - There are some more abstract feelings I've had pointing in the direction of scum. I've tried to cover this in my earlier posts but not done a great job at it. Maybe that's because that feeling is baseless. I do feel like scum usually hide behind his style of posting though. Yamato - Not contributing, just a bunch of one-liners. - Non-existant scum hunting, jumps the CC wagon for no good reason (they might've been good reasons in his mind but they are not allignment indicative imo). - Focusing on defending himself rather than making cases. More concerned about what people think about him rather than voicing his own opinions. Munk-E - A grand total of 2 posts. - Makes a quite unconvincing case against easy target Oats. - Essentially provides the bare minimum to look like he's scum hunting and doesn't engage in any discussions. I'm quite disappointed with my own contributions so far and I don't see a clear #1 candidate. I'm quite suprised at how convinced Aqua is about Kick. It's as if he's getting coached and Debears is giving him that confidence speech. Or he's suffering from confirmation bias. Or he's scum. I'm leaning towards not scum for now though. I'll shut the fuck up for a while and try to collect my thoughts. My crazy ramblings are just clogging up the thread. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 23:24 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: Have a few minutes between my class and was looking through some filters. Obviously, Munk-E only has two posts so far. The first has a sarcastic rant that dubs me scum. He also doesn't want to lynch lurkers. His second post is a long quote-focused exodus against Oats that at the end says that he's unsure about his vote. Why do you read his first post as scummy? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Both of you guys, pls start giving your opinnions. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 26 2012 23:34 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: I didn't say it was scummy, I said that he made a joke about me being scum for my third question. Think you misread that. Mainly confused about why he would do that in the middle of d1 when there was better stuff to talk about. Oh I did. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
##vote: Munk-E @Cheesecake Has you opinion of Yamato changed since he started defending himself? What's your position on Helo now? @Aqua I expressed why I wasn't entirely convinced about your Kick case here. If you're convinced he's scum, can you explain why you don't share those concerns? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 27 2012 00:07 Oatsmaster wrote: Cheesecake, I want to make it clear now. I dont think you are scum because of the joke. I think you are scum because the joke answer sounded so forced that it was beaten out of you. among other stuff. Can you quote this post and explain what about it is scummy? I'm curious what in partivular the "joke answer". | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 27 2012 01:00 Kickstart wrote: It seems like I am going to have to consolidate my vote eventually (I won't actually be here AT lynch time because I have class, have to leave a few hours before time) because it seems no one is convinced that Oats is scummy. I will probably have to vote for Munk-E based on the lurker factor and that at least other people have posted, while Munk-E just posts twice, both of which have little town motive behind them. My main issue is I view most lurker lynches as a coin-flip, but if Munk-E doesn't post anything in the next 6ish hours (amount of time I have till need to get ready and go to class) then it will kind of be forced on me to vote for him. A Oats lynch probably isn't going to happen today, but who would be your #2 read if you wouldn't have to take consolidation into account (ie pick whoever you want for a lynch)? Just because Oats won't be lynched doesn't mean Munk-E has to be the alternative. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
My brain tells me Yamato is scummy, but my feel is that he's not. My feel is that Kick is scummy, but my brain tells me he's not. If Munk-E does shows up he might be able to convince me otherwise though and might give an indication that he'll be able to make himself useful later. If he doesn't show up, he's most likely getting modkilled anyway. In either case I', gonna have to prepare a second alternative. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 27 2012 01:49 Kickstart wrote: Was my defense not adequate for you SDM? I really feel the points brought against me were pretty mediocre. Not really, you've made sense with your posts. I even pointed out why I thought the case wasn't convincing beforehand. Somehow the thought you being scum got stuck in my head because it's posters like you who I don't pay too much to, who makes sense while stating quite obvious and uncontroversial opinions, that turn out to be scum later (while I've focused on bad players early). This is shitty and unconvincing reasoning though, so I'd rather have you around to be able to make a better read later. In the end I'm really not convinced about any of the scum reads I've had. I think Munk is more or less a coin flip and if he flips green we're in a terrible spot D2. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
It seems like the voting is kind of all over the place. I've come up with a few criteria that I will use when I decide on who to vote for and then I'll vote on whoever comes off as most scummy according to those. Not necessarily one of the main targets right now. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 27 2012 02:13 JacobStrangelove wrote: Well I have finished everything. I don't want to vote munkey for listed reasons (when is the lynch btw?) but I have to vote before bed. So far I have to go Yamato77 or Kickstart. For the moment while I think I have to go Yamato while I think about the recent developments with kick (incase I fall alseep {3:11am}) ##Vote: Yamato77 I can see why you don't want to vote for Munk, but why Yamato over Kick or anyone else? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Seriously, I've been twisting and turning on Kick's filter to explain why I get a scummy feel from him. Despite putting all my confirmation bias to work I haven't been able to convince myself, so I won't vote for him today. At the end of the day, I think my feeling comes from his writing coming across a bit formal to me (at least at time) and perhaps a bit detached, but looking at his townie play in Mario it's similar (he may be more aggressive here, but that's pro-town and not what I'm talking about). The criteria I've looked into lately is 1) who is trying not to get noticed and 2) who doesn't seem interested in finding out if his top scum read is scum. Unsuprisingly a lot of people failed one of the criteria, but rather few failed both. One of them is Jacob. Seriously, the amount of sheeping of safe cases he's been doing is quite staggering. I don't really expect this from town Jacob. He's also jumped the Yamato wagon for no good reason and doesn't really seem interested in finding out whether Yamato really is scum. The other one is Yamato. He's also been doing a lot of sheeping and I'm still unsure what's he's top scum read and why. I'm going to read Munk's posts now and reevaluate my opinion on him. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 27 2012 06:04 Kickstart wrote: Well that is pretty much exactly what I wanted to see. Ball is in yamatos court now. ##unvote ##Vote: Yamato77 WTF, that's what you wanted to see? The only thing Munk just showed is that he's capable of sheeping the most popular case. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 27 2012 07:27 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: Still not up to date, interesting shit seems to be going on though. Confirmed disappointment. @Yamato Stick around please. I think there's a decent chance you can avoid getting lynched. I for one feel hesistant switching to you. I agree with a lot of what you've been saying, eg wrt Jacob. @Munk Why did you completely drop your case on Oats and vote for Yamato? @Kick Again, what exactly about Munk sheeping the Yamato case made you think he's a bad lynch? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 27 2012 07:50 Oatsmaster wrote: Ok based on what I have read, Kickstart and Munke are scum, kickstart used a lousy case to justify lynching the most lynchable target. I say we vote kickstart today [b]##Unvote ##Vote: Kickstart What in the world happened to your CC read? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 27 2012 08:09 Munk-E wrote: Yamato is much more likely to be scum than oats. His incessant defence of himself, while lack of actual cases against who he accuses is very scummy behavior. I didn't drop my case, because I never really had one. That post pointed out how at the time, oats posts were weird for a townie. Although may have been inductive of a potential scum alliance, it is much more likely he was just bad. On average, everyone has a 2/9 chance of being mafia, but by his posts,,i would put him at 1/3 Why have you been so inactive so far? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
The only one I feel like is actually trying to solve this, think critically and similarly to me is CC. I hope to God he's town. Good night. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Munk-E got lynched because town fucked up, in part due to basically everyone failing to establish their townieness. I agree with this post and it's exactly how I felt during D1. I'll even go so far to it's a quite townie post by Aqua. I've played a lot of scum but I've never felt this way. As scum you tend to always have some problem in seeing scumminess because you know everyone is townie. This post doesn't seem to come from a scum mindset imo, at least not the scum mindset I've had in my games. On November 27 2012 16:48 Aquanim wrote: EBWOP: It is my opinion (though this may alter a little after reread) that not many people in this game are doing things which are hard for scum to fake. Aqua his hard to get a good read on because he tends not to be around for a lot of discussions, around EOD etc. I might get back with more comments on him. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 27 2012 21:41 Aquanim wrote: So, what's to be learned from this? One question is: what happened to the Yamato lynch? Up until four hours before lynch Yamato was leading Munk-E in the lynch stakes. @everyone who switched from Yamato to Munk-E (in other words, everyone except Kickstart): Why did you switch? And for that matter, Kickstart, why didn't you switch? I don't particularly like this broad question and I don't particularly think voting for Munk-E was scummy. I think it's much better to focus on someone who actually did look really scummy during the voting, throwing out those questions makes it so easy for scum to slip by in a sea of answers. My explanation: + Show Spoiler + I was one of the first to express suspicion of Yamato (I actually think Aqua was the first but I can't be bothered to go back and check). I later made the case against Cake, which I thought was pretty good but after Cake had responded didn't feel was strong enough. When I made the case against Cake, Yamato sheeped it hard with really poor motivation, which made me switch to him since I had already been suspicious of him. When Yamato started explaining himself I got the feeling he was genuine. Yes, this is kind of abstract, but I thought his effort to change read townie. Also, Yamato expressed before the game started that Marv was his role model for town play. From what I've seen from Marv he tends to post a lot of one-liners, so I was getting the feeling yamato had tried the Marv strat, it had backfired, and now he was feeling bad because he had fucked up. He explained what his thought process through-out the game and tried to be more transparent than his one-liners had been. Some attacked him for just restating events, but I thought his way of explaining himself was rather good. What was still lacking was original cases, but I let that slip by because making original cases while defending himself isn't really that easy (and honestly, when it comes to a lack of original cases he had competition of a lot of other players). (As an aside, the Yamato wagon still gained momentum even after I jumped off. I thought his response to this wagon was rather townie. This is getting really long-winded so I won't go into detail, but for obvious reasons this part of the defense had nothing to do with me switching to Munk-E At that point I switched to Munk-E. He really had shown no effort and I convinced myself he was an ok vote. I still think he was a better vote than Yamato, but I also still think it was a bad vote in the sense it was a coin-flip. Like I said at the time, it was a cop out and admitting that I couldn't find a good scum read. Basically a policy lynch. Now Aqua, I'm a bit curious about your vote on Munk-E. If found it weird. If I recall correctly, you made a short post voting for Munk-E. Then 45 minutes later you had typed out a long-ass case on Kick. I know those posts take a lot of time to write. Did you really read through Kicks filter, decide he was scummy, type up that post with all the formatting and stuff all in 45 minutes? If yes, then it seems you couldn't have put a lot of thought into your case and weighing it against other possibilities (weird considering how confident you seemed it was the best case out there). | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 27 2012 22:32 JacobStrangelove wrote: Something I came across in the thread. Did oats ever give a reason for saying 1 down 5 to go? Sure it's unlikely that it would happen as mafia normally are far to careful but why on earth would you say something like that. On November 27 2012 22:33 Oatsmaster wrote: ITS A FUCKING JOKE GUYS. GIVE IT A BREAK. Wow, responds within one minute as soon as you're called out, even though you hadn't been posting in the thread for several hours. Lurking much? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Preface: Before starting to reading this thread today, I thought to myself it would be scummy if Yamato didn't use the knowledge of his alignment and argue based on that. If he's town he's the only town who knows the alignment of both main wagons. It would be really weird if he didn't use this knowledge to figure stuff out. A competent scum could of course realize this is how he would feel if he was townie, but not all scum will be able to think outside of his scum mindset. Cliff notes: Obviously not a dead sure tell, but Yamato acts in accordance to how I think town Yamato would. The main case: I don't find it very convincing. I've been thinking quite a bit about CCs actions around deadline. If we look at the two possible scenarios where CC is scum: - Both CC and Yamato are scum: Obviously CCs switch to Munk could in that case be motivated by saving his scum buddy. But meh, I don't really buy it. Not only is it statistically unlikely, but there needs to be a lot of bussing going on right now. I'm not getting that feeling at all. Besides it's quite difficult to keep a high level of activity. All in all, this is a nothing I feel is worth considering right now. - CC is scum, Yamato is town: This means it was a town/town wagon. I thought about this before reading CCs response and his response reflects my opinions. If it's a town/town wagon, what is there to gain from switching? He's painting a target on his back because he's still "responsible" for a town lynch and besides he's responsible while flip-floping. Perhaps town Yamato is a little bit too focused on thinking about how CC saved himself for being responsible of his mislynch, so i don't really think Yamato's argument makes him come off as scummy, but I don't see any incentives for scum CC to switch. CC might be levelling and try to look like a confused townie, but at best this argument is null. Cliff notes: The case is weak. Kick's reaction to the case and my comments on him: Kick, you're still incredibly focused on defending yourself. If you're townie, take a deep breath and start focusing on more important things (scum hunting). Your scum hunting is non-existant, which can be shown by you quoting that old ass "case" you made on Oats. You're relying on logic, which is fine, but I don't see much of town mindset from you. I've played a lot of scum and in my first game I went completely unnoticed for a long while relying on plain logic. It's super fucking easy to stay logically consistant as scum. It's much more difficult to show a real townie mindset. You are also focusing a lot on pointing out weaknesses in others's cases: Oats', my case and Yamato's case on CC. I don't think doing this is anti-town, BUT it is also incredibly easy for scum to do. I know pointing out weaknesses in cases is so tempting to do as scum while making cases against innocent townies so much harder. It is easier to just point out bad play and logical inconcistencies, which it seems like you're focusing on doing mostly doing (aside from defending yourself). Cliff notes: So if you're townie, use your town mindset and start scumhunting. That's the best way to save your ass as well as saving town. As of right now, you're suspicious to me. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 01:41 yamato77 wrote: But I'm telling you, I've read all those people's filters. No one was as convinced of their case on someone as CC was of me and then switched their vote. Look at his language. I pointed it out. Has anyone else posted in that manner? No. Everyone has expressed reservations about voting for anyone at all, that none of their reads are strong. So if he seems overly confident in that scenario, it looks suspicious when I flip. If he was town and that confident of my scum behavior, he should have pushed for my lynch. He should have tried to convince other people. I pushed for Munk's lynch. His behavior looked odd and sheepish. It's unfortunate he didn't post more or we might have been able to avoid lynching him. Also, I am not sold on Oats as town or scum. His play is too erratic to read that well for me. Here here! Yes, I was going to ask this. When going through CCs actions around the lynching, I didn't find his flip-flopping scummy for the reasons you mentioned in the your main case. This, however, is a very legitimate question. So last night I was skimming through peoples filters trying to find who's 1) trying to be unnoticed and 2) didn't seem interested in finding out if their #1 scum read really was scum. When I got to CC, it was really hard to evaluate 1), because he got caught in a shitstorm early. However, I felt he actually did pass 2). This is because he replied to Yamato's post in detail, I'm thinking of this post: + Show Spoiler + On November 27 2012 02:16 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: Okay, just to make this known -- I will not be here for lynch tonight. My Comedy class is going to see a play on campus that I have to write an analytical paper for, so it's pretty important that I attend. @SDM My opinion of Yamato is getting scummier as the thread progresses. I really cannot take anything he says seriously, just look at this wall of text. The majority is basically a summary of stuff that happened. 1) So nothing at all was worth pitching in on? Why don't you want to come up with original ideas instead of sheeping off of SDM's case on me? 2) We know you've been saying these things over and over, you don't need to tell us. Why are you trying to assure us that you haven't gone off-track in your thinking? 3) Town are not concerned with coming off a little scummy. You evidently, are. 4) Anyone who saw Oat's cavalier vote of me would at least garner some suspicion of it. The fact Kickstarter focused on it isn't a surprise. 5) Why do you want to know who is blue??? Town do NOT blue hunt!! Scum do. And even if you think someone might be blue, you do NOT reveal it to the thread -- it makes for an easy scum target. 6) As SDM said, these reads are SAFE AS HELL! Everyone on his top-scum list has had some suspicion thrown onto them by another player. Oats thinks im scummy, yamato agrees. Munk - E has some suspicion on him, yamato agrees. Kickstarter is thrown under the bus, yamato agrees. Where the HELL is his original thinking? - Yamato is sheeping like hell. - His largest post is basically a summary of events that rehashes other peoples ideas. - He seems to be actively lurking, and waiting for when to chime in (I.E., his post about me). Answering questions that aren't addressed to him fit in this category. I see no reason I should take my vote off of him. I feel like this Munk-E lynch is an easy way for scum to secure a mislynch. I dearly hope he magically appears to defend himself. Helo right now I'm liking more because he shaped up after I accused him of being neutral. Oats is just sitting with his vote on me. His entire case is based on a "feeling" and that my questions were "fluff". Being content to just sit on someone really says "Meh, I don't care who is lynched, this guy will do." It seemed like he really read Yamato's posts, analyzed them and came to the conclusion he was scum. And the conclusion seemed really strong as shown in the above post. This is why I was really suprised when I woke up this morning and found out CC of all people had switched to Munk-E (look at the part I bolded and put in red). CC, I'd want a clear explanation as to why you switched to Munk-E? Walk me through it please. As for Yamato, I'm starting to become convinced he's town and that we had a town/town wagon yesterday. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 04:55 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: Kick's reaction to the case and my comments on him: Kick, you're still incredibly focused on defending yourself. If you're townie, take a deep breath and start focusing on more important things (scum hunting). Your scum hunting is non-existant, which can be shown by you quoting that old ass "case" you made on Oats. You're relying on logic, which is fine, but I don't see much of town mindset from you. I've played a lot of scum and in my first game I went completely unnoticed for a long while relying on plain logic. It's super fucking easy to stay logically consistant as scum. It's much more difficult to show a real townie mindset. You are also focusing a lot on pointing out weaknesses in others's cases: Oats', my case and Yamato's case on CC. I don't think doing this is anti-town, BUT it is also incredibly easy for scum to do. I know pointing out weaknesses in cases is so tempting to do as scum while making cases against innocent townies so much harder. It is easier to just point out bad play and logical inconcistencies, which it seems like you're focusing on doing mostly doing (aside from defending yourself). Cliff notes: So if you're townie, use your town mindset and start scumhunting. That's the best way to save your ass as well as saving town. As of right now, you're suspicious to me. Fwiw I hope scum Kick looks at this and goes "shit, I can't keep playing like this but I don't know how to think like a townie" and that town Kick thinks "yeah he makes a good point, I need to focus on scum hunting, thinking deeper about stuff and establish my townieness". I think we might've had a trio of townies suspected yesterday, since I'm leaning town on Yamato and I'm not at all sure about Kick. Kind of like in XXVIII when after D1, Alsn and Debears were the top suspects. They put in a shit ton of effort to clear themselves but failed because town refused to view their efforts with an open mind. If this is XXVIII all over again I would be the lesser version of DarthPunk and Cheesecake would be scum SDM trying to not piss off DP. Alright, now I might be going into conspiracy theory territory, but CC seems to be overly friendly to me. I'm not just talking about him sheeping me yesterday with Yamato, Oats and Helo early on. He also sheeped me after I voted on Munk-E. And now N1 when he lists people who flip-floped during the lynch, he somehow leaves me out. CC, I was the mother of all flip-flopers yesterday, why did you leave me out? Why do you think I'm town? If you are town CC, I urge you to view Kick's and in especially Yamato's efforts with an open mind. The reason I'm talking like I'm dead is because I'm having a feeling I might get NKd tonight. If I am, don't start pretending like I was some kind of Nostradamus. Look at my arguments and evaluate them for what they are. The reason I got killed does NOT have to be because I made awesome reads. Me being active, analytical and generally considered townie is often enough to get lynched. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
1) Any green check is 100% confirmed townie 2) A red check is a lot more reliable compared to if there's a GF in the set-up. 3) The cop is more valuable than in the usual set-up. (I PMd Hapa to confirm the the framer can't frame himself, that wasn't entirely clear in OP) | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 05:41 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: @SDM Okay I'm going to make this clear: I should have kept my vote on Yamato. Switching over to Munk was a huge mistake on my part, because I was so damn confused at the situation. Why were people sheeping onto my case so quickly? What was the deal with Munk? Why did Kick put his vote on Yamato? ("that's all I needed to hear") quote. This, and Yamato kept making me feel bad with his whiny posts. I had to leave early and made one of those quick spur of the moment decisions that should never be made, but you do it anyway. We can blame the mislynch on me, go ahead, but I'm just confused as to why people followed in my wake. When I got back 8 mins before lynch, I was so surprised people were sticking so hard to the lurker lynch over Yamato. In those 8 minutes I reevaluated my decision and realized "Shit, why did I do that? If Yamato doesn't get lynched I'm just going to keep wondering" but at that point it was too late. Yamato, focus on someone besides me. Tunneling me over this stupid decision won't do any good. If you're town, you'll realize that fact. I'm looking at HeloKnight, Aqua, and Oats mainly right now. SDM, what do you think of each of them? I think Aqua's little exodus of last-minute voting fiasco is just a play to say: "Hey guys, I didn't vote for either of them, I'm in the clear." He seemed so distant from the lynch at hand, he didn't even give his vote on one of the main targets. That, and he was playing mega neutral early game. Helo is just inactive and doesn't seem to really weigh in on discussions, and was just sitting back with his vote on Munk-E with his feet propped up. Fwiw I think the entire town is to blame for the mislynch. Whoever the townies are we didn't do a good job neither scum hunting nor establishing our townieness. The reason your vote on Munk was weird was because you seemed so sure about Yamato being scum. I think it's less likely a convinced townie will suddenly have a sudden switch of heart and change vote. A scum on the other hand may not realize how convinced he is, or at least seemed, and may slip up. Now I understand confusion is possible because yesterday I was confused myself, but your sudden change from conviction to confusion doesn't sit entirely well with me. Unfortunately I likely won't have time to look closer into it today, so in the end I'm not convinced either way on your alignment. You seem to put a lot of effort in so I hope you're town. I'll state it clearly that you're rather null to me atm, just so people tomorrow won't get any ideas you were a big scum read of mine. But I think your actions are worth looking into. Helo and Aqua have probably been the only two I've had a slight town leans on this game. Aqua I feel like have shown at least some signs of town mentality. I quoted a post earlier about that. He's really low volume though so I can't really put much trust in him. Helo has also come off as quite genuine. I quoted one example where he admitted he just asked a question for the sake of asking a question, because he didn't really know what to do. I've seen quite a lot newbie town do say similar things but never any scum. I feel like it's a sign of honesty. Again, he too is rather low volume so I can't put too much weight in such a read at this point. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 05:58 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: @SDM Your opinion is the only one I've been valuing in this thread mainly because of your experience and my town read on you. Ever since you made that case on me, in the back of my mind I was like "Okay, SDM is probably town". The fact that you did a whole meta case with relevant past information was awesome. Even if it wasn't good, it shows you weren't afraid to be wrong. You also seem like you care more than anybody else who is going to get lynched. That's why I think you're town, and at this point it's almost cemented in my mind. You accuse me of not wanting to butt heads with you or sheeping a bit. I can see that, it's understandable. This is my first town game (excluding XXX lolness) so I'm not used to having nobody to bounce ideas off of that's actively in the game. So, I guess you're my confidant as a good town read. It's possible I'm being paranoid. We seem to have a lot of similar opinions and usually you've been having them after me :p I can see wanting to have one player in the game you wanna trust though, otherwise it gets really lonely as town. Like I said, I'd put you at null. If you're town I'm sure you'll be able to show it later. Hopefully I'll be around tomorrow, right now i just don't have enough time. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
How did you become so convinced Kick was scum (or at least the best lynch candidate)? You don't seem to put that much time into this game, so it seems a bit weird to me. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
I'm not convinced about your case. It's mostly pointing out bad play and inconsistencies (anti-town). Problem is if he's town, which is a real possibility, he's a really easy mislynch for scum. I think the best approach is to try to get him to straighten up his posts. He's quite high quantity but not quality. I'd probably use him as a back-up plan for a lynch D2, but a back-up plan I would prefer not to execute. I'd be worried about people pushing his lynch too hard, because like I said it's an easy mislynch to setup. He's been spazzy all game, any reason you're pushing his lynch now? He didn't seem to be on your scum radar D1. Your case looks a little bit like my cases when I'm scum, "omg guys look at those inconsistencies and the bad play". I can see worrying about him being a late game liability, but that doesn't seem like the argument you're making. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 07:12 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: Eh, I just don't see much town motivation from him. Marv told me that looking for motivation in posts was key to unlocking the pieces of the puzzle. What's the purpose for his posts? I don't see much townie motiv for it. I made that longass post to point out of all the fallacies in town motivation, combined with his tendency to not do much in this thread other than soft-attack people. and spread a little suspicion without much evidence Yeah, Debears posted a saying in XXVIII which was something along the lines of "If something doesn't make sense from the point of view of town, it's scum motivated". There's something to that, but also I've seen so much terrible town play. He's a potential candidate mostly because he's a liability and non-contributor imo, just don't get too focused on just him. Meh, I feel feel pretty silly leaving on the note of being sceptical of CC. He really seems to be the one trying the most and actually being critical. In general, and especially in this game where I've got the feeling scum doesn't really have to try, that has to be a town trait. And I missed the part of you questioning Aqua's vote on Kick. I've tried to ask him myself about that, I feel it was weird and I think those questions are worth pursuing. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 08:44 Oatsmaster wrote: lol CC your case on me says why my play is bad scum play, then you conclude that I am scum??? Also, I was lurking but people werent posting ANYTHING. Again, my 'vote' on CC caused a hell of a discussion, which is good for town in my opinion and started the game off properly. So now your vote on CC was a "vote"? You were really insistant on CC being scum for a long while, now you claim it was never a true scum read? Really? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 08:56 Oatsmaster wrote: I see the folly of my bad play d1, but if it helps us to find scum, I am fine with it. So far I've lynched a grand total of 0 scum. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 27 2012 07:50 Oatsmaster wrote: Ok based on what I have read, Kickstart and Munke are scum, kickstart used a lousy case to justify lynching the most lynchable target. I say we vote kickstart today [b]##Unvote ##Vote: Kickstart Without any reasoning of course. Go check that section out for yourself. Oats put his vote on Kick at the same time CC set his scum trap for Yamato. What's even more weird is that at the point Oats votes for Kick, CC had just voted for Kick. Not only does Oats abandon his scum read CC, he immediate sheeps him. Meh, now I'm really done for the day. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Btw, it's not LYLO tomorrow and Oats looks like a good candidate. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 09:54 Oatsmaster wrote: CC, make a case with reasons saying why I am scum, not why I am bad. Too scummy to be scum is a legit argument. Seriously, if you don't see why saying that Aqua is scum while at the same time saying you can't make a case against him is scummy, I don't know what to tell you. And that's just one of many points. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Don't have time to post right now, leaning Oats based on my feelings from yesterday. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 19:10 Aquanim wrote: I'm still here. I had a town read on Oats initially (I didn't dislike his early pressure on CC), but his posts have just kept making no damn sense - he keeps contradicting himself. Maybe he's mafia and thinks he can just post disjointed thoughts and get away with it. Yeah, that's kind of grown to become my opinion too. Based on me defending him pretty hard in the beginning of D1 I could see how that'd be the case. I did say though, that his kind of posting is only ok and pro-town very early D1 and since then he's really shown no town motivation. He's shown no thought process that makes me feel he's pushing top scum reads and town agenda. CCs case points this out very well so I don't feel I need to go in depth on it. On November 28 2012 19:10 Aquanim wrote: Whether he's scum or not, there's at least one other elsewhere, and I keep talking myself out of scumreads on most everyone else. Gonna keep thinking about it. Anyone else here and want to have a chat? Yeah, that's what I've been doing as well. I've talked myself into a scum, out of it, into another, repeat. I'm going to have to stop doing that, So in order to move on, and in part by process of elimination, I will decide on who to look into more closely. Cheesecake - After having read his more of his posts again and upon realizing his case against Oats is just not some "omg inconsistencies and bad play!" case, I'm leaning town on Cheesecake. Which means that for D2 I'm not going to bother putting effort into figuring out if he's scum. He seems to think a lot like me tbh and seems to be genuinely scum hunting. Aqua - Again, the post I quoted is another one which I feel indicate Aqua has a town mindset. I'm satisfied enough with his explanation of his Kick vote. Aqua is another one that is off the table for me D2. Helo - I've had a town feel on him, but I haven't kept fully updated on his latest contributions so I will have to look at his filter and figure out why my feelings on him has been town. We'll see how that comes out, but he might be added to this list later. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 19:21 Oatsmaster wrote: Again, it was a joke. hammering the vote means that your vote causes the guy to be lynched, if you didnt vote for him, he wont be lynched. Do you have examples of my disjointed thoughts? What do you think about helo being scum? I'd recommend you to make a detailed reply to CCs case and explain your thought process behind the scummy things he points out. I don't think you've done this. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 07:25 HeloKnight wrote: Helo's Complete List of Reads SDM: Strong town. The most active player, constantly probing for information, explaining his thoughts, and generally playing smart. Going through his filter you can see lots of very useful posts commenting on the situation. Very confident on this one. Aquanim: Leaning town. He pushed his Kickstart case, but admitted it had holes when he found them, which shows he's not just tunneling one player. Not a long filter, but generally good posts. Mr. Cheesecake: Leaning town. He's throwing suspicion onto many players, such as myself, yamato, and Jacob, which I see as a town trait. I think he should consider a town explanation on yamato's posts instead of just a scum one, and I think confirmation bias might be a factor. For instance, the post referenced in this case can also be explained by newbie town. Might be scum pushing for an easier mislynch, but I doubt it. His vote onto Munk was also odd, but he's offered an explanation that doesn't tell much, so I'll ignore it. yamato77 Null. I've offered my opinions on him many times, and I still don't know if he's town or scum. I think he really could be either. Lynching him feels like a coinflip to me. A lot will depend on what he does tomorrow. Kickstart: Null. Pushed Oats pretty hard early, which doesn't say much. He's done a pretty good job of explaining himself against multiple accusations, but that's most of what he's done. I'd like to hear a little more about others than just Oats. Jacob Strangelove: Heavily leaning scum. Nearly his entire filter is just one liners, with almost nothing of value. Anything he says would be easily faked by scum. He does nothing but ask useless questions and say pretty obvious things. Will probably write a full case up for tomorrow. Oatsmaster: I don't even know what to say. He's been basically trolling this whole game. He spams about useless stuff, and hasn't done anything to make me think he's town. The only real defense for him is the "too scummy to be scum" defense, and I don't find it very convincing. I refer people to CC's case on him for a good explanation of what I'm getting at. I'm out of time for right now, but I'll elaborate on whatever you all want when I'm back. I'm not in the crowd who thinks lists are inherrently, I think they can be a good tool. However, you really need to build a case on Jacob to justy for a heavy scum lean. I become a little bit worried when someone makes a confident scum read without backing it up with logic to show your thought process. I'm on the fence with Jacob myself and I can see where your points are coming from, but they're also quite generic. The reason I'm not sure about Jacob is because I really haven't seen him push any scum read but has seemed quite content with sheeping. On the other hand I don't particularly agree his questions has been useless overall, to me most of them seems to have been motivated by curiousity. A few times I've read one of his question or one-liners and thought "HAH! time for a scum case on Jacob", just to go back and look at the context and find that they make quite a lot of sense from a town perspective. So while I've expressed some suspions of Jacob, it's mostly been because of the other points I mentioned. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 20:07 Oatsmaster wrote: My aqua response was to Jacob speculating that 1 scum was not on Munk-es wagon. Ok? good. So I thought that kickstart had 1 suspicious post but then was towny most of the time. I then concluded that Aqua is the scummiest WITHOUT reading his filter. Later on, I read his filter and was surprised that my impressions were wrong. Then I replied to Jacob basically saying that the scum has to be on Munk-es wagon because I cant make a case on kickstart and Aqua There's a long ass case against you, take your time to reply to it in detail. You concluding that Aqua is scummiest without reading his filter and because someone else said so doesn't make you look very town motivated. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 20:17 JacobStrangelove wrote: Yeah I am waiting for that case xD I have the most fun shutting down people. However considering there were only three truly in lynch situation (imo) yesterday if i went for any you could consider it sheeping. I haven't been pushing a scum read hard because I honestly don't know. As scum this part is easy you pick a poor sod and you harass him and make him look as scum as possible but as town there is more a sea of potential that my poor brain can't handle. I have however been looking for scum and trying to understand people (hence the questions) Yeah, I've been thinking about this exact thing but haven't posted about it because it's wifom etc. But I was thinking "how would I have played this game if I was scum?". This question to me is quite interesting, because when the horror strikes and I rand scum in my next game, I need to play as close to how I'm playing now as possible and I'm not looking forward to that. Anyway, I don't think scum generally would be very confused and flip-floppy. As scum you pick a target (or a few) and go with it. As scum in this game I most likely would've pretended to be confident that player X or Y is scum and I could've easily gotten away with it because frankly, there are good enough cases out there to make it look reasonable. So while your argument is wifom, it's a wifom idea I've had myself and you having those thoughts (knowing you've played both town and scum before) makes it feel quite townie. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 20:45 Kickstart wrote: Well I did post a rather large case on Yamato right before night ended and it has only gotten responses from Yamato himself (he basically just dismisses it, but that it to be expected since it is against him) and Jacob who thinks it brings up valid points. Anyone else have an opinion on it?: + Show Spoiler + On November 28 2012 07:35 Kickstart wrote: Right so as promised I did some digging into the Munk-E lynch because I felt there would be something there that would help us get some reads on people. After looking at it I have come to the conclusion that Yamato77 is SCUM Now before I get into making my own case I want to show what Munk-E had to say during Day 1 and particularly near lynch time, because at this point in time the only person who we know for 100% is town is Munk-E., so we automatically know that his posts were genuine and had town motivation. Now I will grant that just because Munk-E was town does not necessarily make his reads correct, but I think the fact that he is the only confirmed town at this point gives his reads some extra weight that we cannot yet give to anyone else. Munk-E's strongest read was on Yamato, here are his posts: + Show Spoiler + On November 27 2012 05:51 Munk-E wrote: Right now, I feel Yamato is our best bet. He seems to be against me, CC and kickstarter. I understand his reasoning behind being suspicious of me (despite my opinion of being suspicious of lurkers), however he never made an argument against CC, despite promising to. In fact, the only one I see who has made a real case against CC is SDM, and that case was based off of how he played in previous games. I feel basing a scum read on how he played before is really dumb, because he could easily change his style, and in that post he also said that he probably intentionally did that. This just creates a massive WIFOM situation, and thus to me, invalidates the point. This post was also posted in the middle of a minor Kickstarter bandwagon. And while he did make a small case against kickstarter, it was nothing really substantial, and somewhat contradictive. (Also as a side note, I saw that play as scummy, as I explained before.) This may be to distance himself from oats, who I feel still isn't in the clear, but his entire case on kickstarter was because he went after oats so aggressively, therefore, going and saying he might be scum is contradictory to his entire case. What I noticed most about his only posts that were more than a few lines were hardcore about defending his image. (above and below) Yes Yamato, yes you do Now I shouldn't need to tell you why I'm suspicious of someone who's only real content is making cases for why he's innocent. He also voted for me after both helo and SDM, but i'll let it slide because I was at the top of suscpicion list. Nonetheless, he seems most concerned about defending himself, and explaining his actions, and that certainly seems more scummy than anyone else so far to me, and while I wish I had longer to decide, he certainly looks the worst to me, so therefore ##Vote: yamato77 (p.s. before anyone says it, I didn't just make this post because he was voting for me, I understand that's just pressure.) and + Show Spoiler + On November 27 2012 11:26 Munk-E wrote: Alright,i hate having to defend myself, but i guess it's necessary so you don't waste a vote. No one has made a real case against me. The only real argument against me that everyone claims is that I'm lurking, and that i voted to save myself. As for the lurking, the point of accusing lurkers is to get them to talk. In theory, the more they say the easier they are to read, of they're mafia, they might say too much and give a tell. This point is null though, because it brings suspicion to lurkers. Besides, you got what you want from me, I'm talking more. As for the voting solely to save myself, it's not true. Yamato still is the scummiest player here, doing minimal scum hunting and over reacting every time someone accuses him of something. Someone accused me of being sheepish, because i said i wasn't 100% sure. I guess that was a wrong thing to say, even though that's how the game works. You never are positive about a role unless you are detective, which wouldn't work because it's day one, or mafia. You just go with your best guess. The point is there isn't a case against me, just a band wagon. Honestly, there are so many of you that voted for me with no or minimal justification, especially those who only recently jumped on the bandwagon. Now to sum up Munk-E's points against Yamato (but you should still read the posts I quoted because I think Munk-E actually did a good job in making his case, and again knowing that Munk-E was town makes his rather well thought out case against Yamato even more compelling) he accuses Yamato of content less posting, not making any scum reads himself while getting on others for doing the same thing, and of only defending himself. All of these charges are true and they hold up all through Yamato's filter. Now I cant copy and paste his entire filter but I encourage you to go look at it and you will see that Yamato has the largest filter of anyone in the game (about 5 pages), but it entirely composed of, one liners, summation posts (just a summary of events thus far), defense of himself, and bad/easy cases (his only real cases have been against cheese, both times they are bad and use points that have already been made by someone else). Now that is a huge pattern of posting - he has had more posts than anyone else and with the longest filter he has managed to offer nearly nothing in the way of looking for scum. Now all this so far is bad for Yamato and on its own would make a good case against him and is good enough reason to vote for him because it is all very scummy. But looking at the Munk-E lynch I found something even more damning. I looked at the progression of votes that went onto Munk-E and tried to see which ones were suspicious. The first vote on Munk-E is from HeloKnight and the second is from SDM. Now Helo is the first to make a move on Munk-E and does it because Munk-E is lurking and the only post Munk-E did make was a sheep onto Oats - both valid points at the time. Now SDMs vote onto Munk-E is for lurking aswell, but at least SDM is hesitant with the vote, but still gives solid reasons for it other than the ones Helo gave and doesn't seem to be jumping onto a Munk-E wagon. Then Yamato throws his vote on Munk-E with this post: This is suspicious for a few reasons. First he tries to hedge himself by saying that this isn't his final choice, he is just making it and will change it because he doesn't like lynching lurkers. Well the vote never changes - Yamato says he doesn't like lynching lurkers (which is his only charge against Munk-E in this post) but in the same post says Munk-E is the best candidate (when his only beef is his lurking) and again he just leaves the vote on the lurker. This is someone trying to jump on a wagon without drawing attention to themselves if I've ever seen it. He says "oh this really isn't a great vote and I will change it" but makes the vote anyways and never changes it. It is even worse given that he says he has two other scumreads, because if his only problem with Munk-E was his lurking then why would he jump onto that easy wagon instead of trying to push his actual reads? Here is another post from Yamato when he was under a bit of pressure: Again we have the typical accusing others of tunneling and sheeping and all that while not providing much himself, but the interesting thing here is the last paragraph because it just reaffirms what I have been saying. Yamato only brings up two points against Munk-E here, one is that he is lurking and the other is that Munk-E's two posts are content-less cheeping onto players. Well the first is just his excuse for leaving his vote on Munk-E, everyone was already saying Munk-E was lurking so this is just a safe statement - nothing new here. But the second statement is a blatant lie. Look at Munk-E's post on Yamato that I spoilered above and ask yourself if that is a content-less sheeping post. I don't think it is, it is a well reasoned post and all his criticisms of Yamato are valid even up until now, and we know now that Munk-E was town and this leads me to believe that he was being genuine - this was not a sheep. So there is my case on Yamato. I do need to go to class now but I wanted to post this case before night actions because I won't be back until afterwards and wanted to contribute incase I get NKd. So right now Yamato has been promoted to my top scum read followed by Oats. I like the case quite a bit. I won't have time to comment on it in detail because I need to go soon, but it looks like solid scum hunting. It's weird calling out Munk-E for blatant sheeping when in fact he was making quite long case. I will say that to some expect it's expected that the two wagons will go after eachother regardless of alignment though. I'm starting to feel I let Yamato off the hook a bit too easy during N1. Much like CC I was reacting like "oh look at this poor guy" when he started defended himself. It came off as quite genuine to me. That made me drop all the reasons I had suspected him to begin with. That doesn't make much sense. Also, one reason I've started reevaluate the situation was my realization that Oats is scummy as hell. I know this is an association and I don't really like thinking in those terms generally, but his just clicked for me: On November 28 2012 09:27 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: The only reasonable reason I can see for Oats' spazztastic change of mind wrt CC is if Oats is scum and Yamato is his scum buddy. When the momentum of the Yamato wagon is gathering, Oats pops in with this post, declaring "I've seen the light! Munk-E and Kick are scum!". Without any reasoning of course. Go check that section out for yourself. Oats put his vote on Kick at the same time CC set his scum trap for Yamato. What's even more weird is that at the point Oats votes for Kick, CC had just voted for Kick. Not only does Oats abandon his scum read CC, he immediate sheeps him. Meh, now I'm really done for the day. Will have to read Yamatos filter in its entirety, but that'll have to wait for a few hours. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 28 2012 22:58 Oatsmaster wrote: Why not? You implied that yamato is my scum partner, but fail to mention that aqua or helo could also be my partner based on your criteria of mafia partners.. Interaction is not a one-way street though. While you might've not tried to interact with Helo, Helo has been asking you question. Yamato hasn't addressed you one single time, which is kind of weird given that your behaviour has kind of been a focal point of attention and Yamato has been pretty active. His opinion on Oats has been "probably just a bored townie", "null leaning scum" (wat?) and "erratic". Overall he's been very wishy-washy on his read while not probing for more info. You guys tell me I'm crazy if I am, but I'm starting to feel Oats and Yamato. Oats I feel pretty good about lynching atm since he has still not given adequate responses to any of the questions. Yamato I still need to look more into. ##vote: Oats | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
This leaves Oats, Yamato and Helo. It's probably quite clear Oats would be my top lynch candidate right now. Helo is in here because I haven't interacted much with him and need to get a better read on him, so far I've had no real reason to suspect him. If everyone does something similar and look into their top reads I hope we'll reach a consensus on potential D2 lynches well in advance of EOD so we won't have another shit storm. It also gives people a chance to respond to accusations. Had Munk-E had been able to defend himself earlier yesterday we probably wouldn't have had a mislynch D1 (or maybe we would've mislynched someone else :p) | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 29 2012 00:56 Oatsmaster wrote: Am I reading this correctly? You are voting me because ANOTHER player doesnt want to talk about me? Please read that again. Also, I answered all the questions I am aware of.. No, that's just a part of my association case and not the focus on why I find you scummy. If that numbered list of yours was intended as your full response to CCs case I will come back with more questions for you later. If you're town, make sure to put to put together a coherrent defense and don't just have the parts scattered all over the thread. Then start scum hunting. If Helo is your top scum read, take your time and make a case. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Would you agree almost your entire D1 was making nonsensical posts? If so, why did you keep making those sorts of posts? Also, sheeping Helo's case on Jacob while your case on Helo was still unaddressed makes it seem like you never really was suspicious of Helo, which obviously is looks like a scummy mindset. When I look back at my D1 analysis of Yamato and Kicks, I come to realize that the reason I dropped my suspicions of Kicks is because he never actually did anything scummy. For some reason I just liked the idea of him being scum, because I wouldn't have expected it and people I don't expect are usually the ones ending up as scum. Looking back at it now, that's obviously rofl-bad reasoning on my part. For Yamato on the other hand I dropped my suspcions not because he hadn't been scummy, but because his defense looked "genuine" or whatever similar flimsy argument I was making. Looking back at his posts now, I still don't think his defense is scummy, but 1) it's one that could still be faked by scum without too much problem and 2) his actions before the defense are still somewhat scummy (in contrast to Kicks). Besides he still hasn't addressed Kicks' case against him very well or voiced much on any opinions about the D2 lynch. To me, association case aside, Oats really like the best lynch for D2. When it comes to Helo I still don't see him as scummy. I will look at his case on Jacob now though. @Yamato What are your thoughts on CC now? Who do you want to lynch? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
I can see where it's coming from and I've shared those feelings. I think they partly came from paranoia and me not being sure of anything though. I've become a bit more calm and I'm not throwing around suspicions towards everyone anymore is because I feel pretty damn good about a Oats lynch. Now, to me, it looks like Oats is trying desperately to save his ass by sheeping a case he knows at least one other player share. As far as the arguments go, I agree Jacob is throwing out a lot of ideas without reaching conclusions and I think this can be a scum trait. However, Jacob also did this in his town game, so for him it's not necessarily a scum trait. I would also say that if you look at his posts as a whole, a lot of his comments and questions seems to be motivated by curiosity. If you're making a lot of posts some are bound to look wishy-washy and like bad contributions and those are the ones Helo points out. Again, in XXVI Jacob had a tendency to comment on whatever came to mind and some of his comments (probably more of them than in this game) were really not very helpful. As for his actions around deadline, I was thinking your same things about his reasonings for voting Munk-E. It was one of these "I'm almost going to go after him now" kind of moments. BUT I don't think this necessarily signifies a scum mindset either, it could just be the result of confusion. It's quite similar to CC and myself. I know I'm town, I think CC is town, so I don't see why I should accuse Jacob of something similar. There's also the same wifom argument I made in defense of CC. If Jacob is scum, why even bother to switch to Munk-E? While wifom, it's enough to render his vote switching as kind of a null tell to me. That being said, if Oats flip town, I'm afraid my world will come crashing down again ![]() I haven't read jacob's response to the case btw. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 29 2012 15:34 Oatsmaster wrote: SDM do you agree that it is a pretty bad case? I still dont really understand how my behavior is scummy other than it doesnt make sense to you mortals. Why did you make the case if you think it's bad? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 29 2012 15:50 Oatsmaster wrote: Because I didnt read it before posting. Then I read it, and facepalmed hard :/ But you did write it, yes? I have a hard time seeing how you'd write it without putting any thought into it. And if you did, it's not a very townie thing to do anyway. I'm out again. Will check back on this thread in the evening (CET time). | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 29 2012 21:38 yamato77 wrote: Also I realize this looks like OMGUS but trust me, that case is REAL bad. So you're voting on him because his case is bad? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 29 2012 15:51 yamato77 wrote: I'm not 100% confident on CC being scum. I posted the case more to point out that his actions were suspicious and needed reading into, which people have said they would do. I suppose on that front I have been successful so far Day 2. You posted this wrt to your current stance on CC. That's really wishy-washy. No townie is 100% certain of anything so you're completely avoiding the question. Is CC even a scum lean for you now? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 29 2012 22:06 Oatsmaster wrote: Kickstart what the hell is your problem? Can you address the case on yamato? Well, I'll chime in. On November 29 2012 21:20 Oatsmaster wrote: Drawing attention to yamato again. What? why would town yamato post an emphasis on not being scummy as opposed to being town? Then he guilt trips us, I really feel that town yamato would make more of an effort to defend himself other than 'Dont lynch me or else town is far behind..' It's called establishing you townieness and should be a concern of townies (as well as scum ldo). He contradicts himself in order to throw suspicion on CC. Can you expand on this? What is the town motivation for asking this question? So he can get his lesser known partner to do the night kill? Already been explained. If he was scum he could ask this in Scum QT or PM a host. Maybe he already has and asked the question to look townie? It's quite null though. Personally I like to PM most questions whether town or scum (at least ones that might help the opposite alignment, like my earlier question about the framer role). Yamato's play is similar to Jacob's on day 1 but he condemns him for that.. Rose tinted glasses? or an excuse that doesnt apply to him but can be applied to Jacob. His motivation in choosing who to lynch is how much trouble they cause to himself... Any townie would want to lynch scum even if they have been not shitting up the thread. Extremely bad reasoning for not voting Jacob and he didnt actually vote for me. I feel like this is a fair point. If he's "highly suspicious" of Jacob, who seems to be one of the lynch candidates, he should look into that. Conclusion: He has not done ANY scumhunting the whole game, just acted hurt that he might be mislynched and defended himself ALL THE TIME. He promised a CC case but he didnt deliver.. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 29 2012 23:29 Kickstart wrote: he didnt do ##vote And putting his vote on himself is his punishment? :p | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 29 2012 23:42 Oatsmaster wrote: Since the votes dont look like moving, Ima gonna claim. I am a Doctor I healed SDM n1 because he was my best townread. I didnt breadcrumb because I couldnt really make it subtle. Given no RB claim we're pretty much dead sure to have a doctor. If no-one counter claims Oats is confirmed (and I'm confirmed) and my entire universe will collapse again ![]() Hmm, there some possibility we have a JK, he blocked scum and scum didn't claim RB. In that case Oats is forcing our JK to claim which is a smart play if he's going down anyway. I'll have to think about this. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
No one fucking claim. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
We could potentially gamble and lynch Oats, hoping it's a fake claim and save our doctor from claiming. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Scenario 1. We don't counterclaim and lynch Oats blindly a) Oats is doctor and we end up D3 MYLO 4 vs 2. We will have no confirmed townie because they'll NK me. b) Oats fake claimed and we end up D3 with 5 vs 1. We still (might) have our doctor and our doctor has 1 townie confirmed. Scenario 2. We counterclaim. a) Oats is doctor, no counterclaim happens, they kill Oats. We end up D3 either 4 vs 2 or 5 vs 1 and I'll be left as confirmed townie. b) Oats isn't doctor, someone counterclaims, they kill doctor. We end up D3 5 vs 1 without doctor but with me as confirmed townie. I think I like Scenario 2 better, but I need to think about it. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 00:27 JacobStrangelove wrote: Yeah they will get rid of him immediately. You could speculate that that they wouldn't just to throw us off though. But it is far to risky because he could save the one they go for. There's no scenario where this could happen. Or at least that would be retarded play by scum. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 00:19 Oatsmaster wrote: red text. woohoo. So what do you think happened on n1? Scum failed to send in KP? No, if you're scum you obviously knew you were trying to kill me and fail. Thus you know we have a doctor and can force him to claim. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 00:33 Oatsmaster wrote: I think kickstart hard defending CC at the start is not alignment/association related. Kickstart was trying to stop my stupidity from shitting up the thread. I am really sorry I didnt leave a breadcrumb ![]() As is it probably doesn't matter (assuming you're town). | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 00:43 yamato77 wrote: Or we could not waste a bunch of time talking about a really scummy play by a person about to get lynched. So what are you suggesting? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
I think we need to look at the possible outcomes for both scenarios and decide what's best based on that. I'm not fully convinced of anything right now. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 00:49 Oatsmaster wrote: Actually I think that yamato might be town because after you guys lynch me, he is on the chopping block for being so against it. That's not why he's on the chopping block and scum being against a townie mislynch is standard scum play. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
![]() | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 00:50 Kickstart wrote: I agree 100% with yamato that this claim is fucking up town pretty bad because Oats basically forced us to divert the entire thread discussion to whether or not his claim is fake or real, but I'm not sure I agree with your conclusion yamato that we lynch him anyways - what if his claim is true? ;/ This is scummy as hell. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 00:56 Kickstart wrote: Everyone wants to lynch you -_-, you just fucked us by your play all game and now even more so because we are forced to weigh if your claim is enough to excuse your play. This shitstorm is entirely your fault. (I'm really not trying to be an asshole but you have really thrown a wrench into things, I don't even know what to think anymore - I'm going to have to chill so I can make a rational vote come lynch time). Seriously, are you scum? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 01:00 Kickstart wrote: What in the world are you talking about SDM. Yuor reaction is so far from town thinking I'm thinking it might be scum thinking. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 01:00 yamato77 wrote: Then we lynched a lurking town D1 because he didn't put in enough time to play the game properly, and then we lynched a blue D2 for playing so terrible up the point of his claim that there was NO REASON to believe what he said when he claimed. If that's true, two town players have basically screwed over their own wincon. If we don't lynch him, who is the alternative? Jacob? Me? No one thinks CC is worthy of further inspection? What about Helo and Aqua? Are either of them worth suspicion? Is SDM's inconclusive play D2 helping town? His one and only case was one he backed off of D1. So you guys choose. Lynch Oats or find his potential scumbuddy. My vote sticks with him until someone else makes a case I can honestly get behind. First thing we need to decide if we should counterclaim. If yes: If counterclaim = lynch Oats Otherwise = calm down and find scum hunt again. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
I'll explain after this have settled. We need to figure this counterclaiming hassle out. It was kind of an emotional comment but yeah, to me it seems like scum mindset. Not an "OMG scumslip", just a way in his thinking that really didn't resonate with how I was thinking. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 01:26 HeloKnight wrote: I think that's right SDM unless we don't have either (unlkely). I thought you were supposed to be doc? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 01:27 HeloKnight wrote: What? Sorry, thought it was oats posting. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 01:30 HeloKnight wrote: Actually, the real question is should a JK claim? Doctor should claim 100%. Yeah this is true. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
No actually I think it's wrong, because we'll end up lynching oats either way. And if the true doc counterclaims we lose our doc. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 01:41 HeloKnight wrote: But if we don't ask for a claim, we have to treat Oats as confirmed town without knowing if he is. If we do ask and get none, Oats is confirmed town. My alternative would be to lynch Oats anyway, not to confirm him town. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
1. Doc, please counterclaim! a) Counterclaim happens: we lynch scum Oats and lose our doc. b) If counterclaim doesn't happen, proceed to 2. 2. JK, please counterclaim! a) Counterclaim happens: we lynch Oats (who might still be doc) b) Counterclaim doesn't happen: we have confirmed Oats Scenario 1: Oats is doc a) We have a JK: we've outed our JK and we've mislynched our doc (lol) b) We don't have a JK: we have confirmed Oats Scenario 2: Oats is scum c) We have doc: we've outed our doc and lynched scum Oats d) We have a JK: we've outed our JK and lynched scum Oats a) is stricly dominated by just lynching Oats b) is good c) is stricly dominated by just lynching Oats d) is stricly dominated by just lynching Oats Conclusion: JK claiming seems bad | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Please speak to me! | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Can we really live with that risk? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 02:03 HeloKnight wrote: Oh, you mean that just lynching Oats would be better. Yes. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 02:14 Kickstart wrote: I already admitted I am bad at following this kind of argument about role possibilities and such, but I agree that Oats has been scummy and that him claiming blue does nothing in terms of making any of his actions any less scummy but I am having a really hard time justifying lynching a claimed blue when there is no evidence that he is lying about it. Can you maybe more succinctly say why just lynching him is the best option - because I am not following you and am hesitant about doing something like that. I don't think I can make it easier than this: Exhibit A: Why we don't want just doc to counterclaim. On November 30 2012 01:54 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: We could do like this: 1. Doc, please counterclaim! a) Counterclaim happens: we lynch scum Oats and lose our doc. b) If counterclaim doesn't happen, proceed to 2. 2. JK, please counterclaim! a) Counterclaim happens: we lynch Oats (who might still be doc) b) Counterclaim doesn't happen: we have confirmed Oats Scenario 1: Oats is doc a) We have a JK: we've outed our JK and we've mislynched our doc (lol) b) We don't have a JK: we have confirmed Oats Scenario 2: Oats is scum c) We have doc: we've outed our doc and lynched scum Oats d) We have a JK: we've outed our JK and lynched scum Oats a) is stricly dominated by just lynching Oats b) is good c) is stricly dominated by just lynching Oats d) is stricly dominated by just lynching Oats Conclusion: JK claiming seems bad Exhibit B: Why we don't want to counterclaim with doc but not JK On November 30 2012 02:04 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: Unless we wanna settle with doc but not JK counterclaiming. But in that case if we have no doc counterclaim we have to assume Oat is doc AND we have to accept the risk of there either being a JK that 1) blocked the NK or 2) blocked scum's night action. If that's the case, Oats' claim can still be fake 1. We don't want both doc and JK to counterclaim. 2. We don't want just doc to counterclaim Conclusion: We don't want to counterclaim, we want to lynch Oats | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 02:11 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: Seriously, in lack of a breadcrumb AND with how scummy Oats has been, how is this not a no-brainer lycnh? No I have to stick to this. On November 29 2012 23:42 Oatsmaster wrote: Since the votes dont look like moving, Ima gonna claim. I am a Doctor I healed SDM n1 because he was my best townread. I didnt breadcrumb because I couldnt really make it subtle. I mean, how is he even making this argument? He couldn't make it subtle? It's super fucking easy to make at least some kind of breadcrumb. The claim is super convenient. He's been scummy. Besides I'm soon off to bed and don't know who last-minute-switch to anyway. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 05:54 Aquanim wrote: I've been thinking the same thing about you and sonic. :/ Also, I'm pretty sure we can have two doctors... though it would be pretty silly. Could there be two doctors in this setup? This possibility seems to be specifically indicated in the preliminaries to the role list, but since noone else is considering it I'll check. Possible like iamp says, but highly unlikely. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 06:00 yamato77 wrote: Alright last post before I head to work. I suggest to the rest of my townie buddies that you look for someone else today. My time is going to be limited Friday and Saturday due to previous commitments. Tonight I will come back and do some real hard reads on people's filters to try to make more sense of this game. I think my criteria of town being unsure of itself this game is one to REALLY consider. Mafia has done a good job sowing extra layers of doubt in people's heads about allegiances. This is a vague criteria to look for but something to consider when reading people for tone. So scum is pretending to be confident in their reads in order to sow confusion? I feel like I've been one of the most confused AND confusing players in this game. The only thing I seem to have been able to establish is my own townieness. Don't get me wrong, players who seems to deliberately sow confusion is scummy. Sometimes being confused yourself will sow confusion. Jesus Christ, this post is confusing. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 06:13 Aquanim wrote: I can't see us having more than two power roles, and (probably) not less than two either. If they all claim, and we ended up with three including Oats that would be an effective counterclaim. Having all the PRs claim seems pretty ridiculous though, and I don't think it's worth it. I can't distinguish anything Oats has done since my vote between "oh crap, I'm doctor about to be lynched" and "oh crap, I'm scum about to be lynched". I reckon his posting quality has improved maybe a little, but that doesn't tell me anything. And claiming doctor and a protect on SDM is about as obvious and easy a fake-claim as claiming VT, esp. without a crumb. Dammit! If you're a doctor, I'm really sorry, but I just. can't. tell. And I still have no better reads, and I still think this read won't improve. Vote sticks. I have 5 minutes before I have to leave, and I won't be back before lynch. In the event of a massclaim, which I do not endorse, it may be possible for me to leave a message with someone and have them post it. Now this is a weird post. Not only is it a silly idea, which you seem to understand, but it ends with the implication that you may be blue. Why even bring this up since you know it's a silly idea? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 06:25 yamato77 wrote: Dude I am going to say the same thing I said to Jacob because you have posted like him since halfway through D1. I know this game is difficult and all but using the thread as your personal idea checker isn't helping anyone. Figure out what you think scum's plan was this game. Look for people who have acted like you think scum would act. All these self-esteem issues you're having with your reads is beginning to make me think you might not be so townie after all. You haven't pushed a single case all game. You dropped your (bad) case on CC the INSTANT he responded to it. Since then you have done little else but basically sheep yourself on other people's cases and post every little minute thought about the game you've had in the thread. Shape up. Not entirely true but a fair message. I need to keep my posts shorter and put in more work again. I've been lazy D2 because I totally convinced myself that Oats is scum. D2 for me became a wait for his flip. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 06:28 Sonic Death Monkey wrote: Now this is a weird post. Not only is it a silly idea, which you seem to understand, but it ends with the implication that you may be blue. Why even bring this up since you know it's a silly idea? Me? Because it seemed like a deliberate message that no one could miss. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 06:51 yamato77 wrote: ok seriously last post from my phone before I clock in at work. Someone should look at SDM. A lot of us have read him as town and why? He has posted a LOT this game but I can't really recall much in the way of pushing reads or making real cases. FoS: Sonic Death Monkey On the topic of sowing confusion. Seriously, "someone should" look at SDM"? How about you do it? You just made a post where you said people should look into people sowing confusion? The only case you've made is against CC. When I asked why you dropped it, that case too was just not because he was a top scum read, but you "posted the case more to point out that his actions were suspicious and needed reading into". You just throw out random suspicion but don't follow up on them AT ALL. I think someone should look into that and that someone will be me. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
I definitely wouldn't outsource making reads on my top suspicions to other players in this game. If you're legitimately confused as to who's town and scum, which he supposedly is, why would you say something like that? Especially this was true for me when I was in paranoia mode, which I've kind of gotten back into after Oats claim. Seriously, that's the last thought on my mind and it comes off as scummy to me. I and many others have pressured other players to make cases on their top scum reads, Yamato on the other hand is pressuring (or at least suggesting) that others should make cases on his supposed top suspicions. I can't recall anyone else acting like this in the thread. Yamato himself basically hasn't made one single case. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 08:12 Oatsmaster wrote: I guess this is why this is a newbie game, where you lynch an uncontested blue claim FOR NO REASON OTHER THAN THERE IS NO ONE ELSE. The reason why I claimed so early was to give you guys time to scumhunt instead of speculating. I'm sorry man, if you're really doc there's is no way for us to find out. The fact that there isn't a counterclaim doesn't matter much. Since JK RBs doesn't get notified, even if we have no counterclaim (so far we haven't even asked[ for one) there could just as well have been a JK who blocked the NK. This has been explained. Also, you need to look at your own play. Are we supposed to believe you didn't leave a breadcrumb because it was too difficult? That ridiculous. And playing with your reckless style in general isn't something I would expect from a blue, that's silly. The fact that you're lashing out on us now makes me feel your claim is fake. How could you possibly not see that if you're doc you have put us in a shitty situation? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 08:21 yamato77 wrote: posting from work because this game is distracting me. I'm not saying you are evil necessarily, but again I feel like my actions thus far have gone nowhere so I'm beginning to change my entire perspective on this game. I am definitely not calling you scum, I'm just announcing my intent to dig into your play because I feel like I'be given you a pass th home game for no good reason. I say I can't remember you making your own cases but that doesn't mean that you haven't at all. I ask others to look because I don't have the time on my phone at work to do so. Well, I was the one putting forward the arguments for your wagon D1, you if anyone ought to know that. Doesn't really matter though, you've motivated me to start putting in more work which is a good thing. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 08:26 Oatsmaster wrote: So I shouldve just let you guys mislynch me? I breadcrumb like, I healing SDM? I really couldnt think of 1. Isnt that why its good play as blue? so that scum are totally not suspicious of me. No, if you're doc your claim is fine (or at least what I likely would've done, it's hard for you to know the feeling of the remaining players and how difficult it will be to stop the lynch). If you're scum it's definitely a good play though, because it can force a claim. I might as well let the cat out of the bag on that one now. That's the reason I got pissed of at Kicks and asked him if he was scum. His reaction to your claim felt unnatural to me. He got pissed off AND seemed to say the claim, even if real, was bad play. I didn't get pissed at all and thought it would've been the obvious play if Oats was doc. I got shocked and pretty excited to find out what was going. Even though bad for town claims like that adds to the excitement of the game. It felt to me like Kicks was scum trying to emulate townie emotions. Now admittedly I'm sure even among townies reactions can be different. If you're townie and you were around for the claim, think about what emotion it induced in you. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 08:42 yamato77 wrote: I remember a lot of CC but not you. Will look into it tonight. He was the first to vote on you and pushed it for a longer while, but he was second on the ball to all my arguments. That was even part of my original case on him. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 06:38 HeloKnight wrote: Looking at XXVI, I do see a lot of this "wishy-washy" style of posting that he was doing and a lot of conclusion-less posts. It feels scummy to me, but I guess it's just something that he does. What game was he scum in? I need to see if he does this as scum too. As for the voting, Jacob didn't say that he felt confused, he said that he "had doubts about my yamato case". I don't see it as similar to what Cheesecake claims (and your vote was the result of confusion). The votes were pretty close between Munk, yamato, and Kickstart when Jacob switched, so I can see scum motivation in that. Anyway, this is rather irrelevant for now since I'm not considering Jacob as a lynch possibility today anymore. I will keep an eye on him for later though. On Oats, I... am still skeptical of the lynch. There's still a chance he'll flip blue and put us in a really bad position. I doubt that anything will stop the lynch at this point, but I want to look at yamato closely before I vote. He was scum in XXVII. I haven't looked closely at it yet, but he seems to post longer rants. I hope to be able to look into Jacob. Looking very quickly at his filter the ONLY substantial post is him defending himself and I just can't feel anything but uneasy about that. But looking at meta, at least on the surface his play in this game seems to be more consistent with his town play. I don't really like to rely on meta though since his activity level in this game might be influenced by that game he was going to play and it's just based on 2 games. I'd want to look closer at motivation. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 09:05 Oatsmaster wrote: CC is scum I am going through this again. Why would a townie be focused on blue/green rather than the actual roles? This reads like he already knew I was town and it turns out that I was blue. He cant give an explanation on why yamato and I are a scumteam so he drops it with no pressure whatsoever. He says me and yamato cant be scum because its too easy? WTF? What a waste of space, getting town to waste time discussing Helo's whereabouts WHEN IT DOESNT MATTER. I find this post really fucking weird, Marv is the town coach so CC subtly references him HOWEVER, no one else the whole game has mentioned anything about the coaches. I think that Marv told him that tip after XXX where he crashed and burned. I did see him reference marv and found it a bit weird. The case is rather weak though. But fuck, now I'm doubting you're scum. If I was scum Oats right now I wouldn't give a flying fuck about this game right now. If you're doc, I really appreciate your efforts. I don't see how a last minute switch will be possible though. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 09:18 JacobStrangelove wrote: I agree with your first point and your second post. The third is not really a tell and the fourth is a possibility. Checking his filter before though I didn't find anything scummy but a careful scum could get away with the kind of content. You agree with the first point? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 09:29 JacobStrangelove wrote: Yes that is what I said, but also I mistyped post and point in my second part of that sentence. Mainly because if felt contrived. Unfortunately he came late enough to get away without the spotlight. Oh yeah, I actually agree about contrived. I didn't think that was Oats point. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 09:27 JacobStrangelove wrote: He is doc almost for sure in my mind, but logically no. If anyone wasn't leaving a breadcrumb it would be oats and he gave us ages to think. He feels like town he always has but he if almost worse than kush... And why would he say we shouldn't counterclaim? If he's scum that must've been the main point with his claim. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 09:38 Oatsmaster wrote: I didnt say we shouldnt counterclaim I said that there was no counterclaim On November 30 2012 01:25 Oatsmaster wrote: So town shouldnt counterclaim because it gives more targets for the scum to hit. Note that I made my argument in defense of you though. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 09:47 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: Holy shit, I just realized that course of action from Aqua is scummy as fuck. Literally puts suspicion on every player except himself. He also hasn't done fuck else this game except push this Oats lynch. He doesn't really seem to give a fuck who is lynched at all. If there are enough players online, hell, I might end up going full retardmode. Start a wagon on Aqua. Would you be willing to switch to Aqua? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 09:52 Oatsmaster wrote: Yeah CC seems town Lol what? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 09:51 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: I believe that's what starting a wagon means, sir. I still have no fucking clue about this Oats blue claim or whatnot, but Aqua is shady as fuck. ##Unvote ##Vote: Aqua It just seemed rather weird after having read your recent opinion on Oats. I really don't know. The only thing scummy about Aqua so far is that... well, his activity level wouldn't be that hard for scum to pull off without coming off as scum. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 10:37 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: Anyone also notice how Aqua defends Jacob hardcore, but thinks every other case ever invented in this game is solid? If you notice, Jacob also takes a positive stance on Aqua. If we lynch Oats, and he flips doc, I'm totally saying Aqua/Jacob scumteam association case paranoia. Are you suggesting scum would hardcore buddy eachother? Seems kind of unlikely. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 10:48 Oatsmaster wrote: SDM, I think that you should think about why you are voting me instead of Aqua. I am, but what's your read on me? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 10:51 Oatsmaster wrote: I read that you are town by far, thats why I healed you and I assume scum attacked you n1 terriblescumtrapfail.jpg | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 10:17 JacobStrangelove wrote: Ok back sorry something came up... Do we take the gamble? Because there is another scum in the mix if we don't vote for oats. (assuming he is scum) And nobody has a problem voting oats. (until now) which to me gave me the idea scum were on board. This is the same thing I felt but ignored with munk-e. I think scum quite possibly would buss Oats, so I don't think that in itself matters much. What matters to me is how Oats is acting right now, which doesn't seem like scum imo. I have NEVER made the correct decision in those situations though. Are we really considering not lynching a blueclaim without a breadcrumb that comes in a situation where scum will fakeclaim 100%? On the other hand, has Oats become a fucking genius genius who is actually about to turn around this lynch as scum? If he's scum, why would he even bother to be here given the way he's played earlier? We also need to consider the risk of mislynching anyway. We might be correct Oats is doc and still mislynch Aqua, WTF do we do D3? Do we keep assuming Oats is doc? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Aqua is SCUM because he seems to deliberately focus on being original in an unnatural way (lol me). On November 29 2012 18:09 Aquanim wrote: I can't shake the feeling that Oatsmaster is capable of much better posting than this. It's kinda difficult to substantiate a read like this, but I have a few points: 1) The Cheesecake vote. This is in some ways a townish move - it started the first real discussion and got the real game underway. I was particularly liking this because I too had a difficult-to-define scum read from CC's first handful of posts. On the other hand, we discussed Oatsmaster's vote around and around through all of day one, and didn't really accomplish that much with it (he was just too random to lynch). Perhaps this was his intention? 2) These posts: This would seem to indicate to me that he isn't just playing badly, he's aware of what he is doing. I mean, his posts were kinda better day two until the lolswitch onto Jacob (and tbh I think there's a worthwhile case to be made on Helo out there) but still... 3) The hammer thing: I knew full well what a hammer is. (Check this one out sometime, it's hilarious.) But anyone who knows what a hammer is, or has even heard of one, either read a GSL mafia game, in detail, or has experience with mafia offsite (the concept only applies to instant lynch), which is more experience than I'd expect someone posting like Oats to have. For that matter, Oatsmaster made the sixth vote with nine players, so it's not even like his vote gave Munk-E a majority of the votes. Again, something I would expect someone who knows about hammers at all to know. 4) Grammar. It's not that hard to make a little effort. Everyone else in the game is. And I for one find uncapitalised, unpunctuated posts harder to read and tend to glaze over them. Again, perhaps this is intentional. Look, none of these point are a slam-dunk, and it's not like I have any meta to work with. But the outline they sketch out is interesting - I see a player TRYING to look bad (apologies if I'm wrong, but I don't think I am). And Oats is not contributing anything towards a town victory. Daft town is quite capable of doing that too, but the simplest explanation is scum. ##Vote: Oatsmaster After the Oats wagon gains momentum, Aqua appears. Instead of rehashing the good points that has been made before, he's making up 4 of his own. And they are quite terrible (I thought that at the time as well, even though I was in full confirmation bias mode vs Oats). Particularly 3) and 4) are terrible. Grammar lol? Why would a townie be so fucking insistant in making original points for the sake of it? He ignores the good points already made (I know there has been one more nistance of this that caught my eye but can't remember which). On November 30 2012 06:13 Aquanim wrote: I can't see us having more than two power roles, and (probably) not less than two either. If they all claim, and we ended up with three including Oats that would be an effective counterclaim. Having all the PRs claim seems pretty ridiculous though, and I don't think it's worth it. I can't distinguish anything Oats has done since my vote between "oh crap, I'm doctor about to be lynched" and "oh crap, I'm scum about to be lynched". I reckon his posting quality has improved maybe a little, but that doesn't tell me anything. And claiming doctor and a protect on SDM is about as obvious and easy a fake-claim as claiming VT, esp. without a crumb. Dammit! If you're a doctor, I'm really sorry, but I just. can't. tell. And I still have no better reads, and I still think this read won't improve. Vote sticks. I have 5 minutes before I have to leave, and I won't be back before lynch. In the event of a massclaim, which I do not endorse, it may be possible for me to leave a message with someone and have them post it. I recently quoted this again he comes up with a fucking terrible idea that is "original". It feels forced and makes no sense. And it ends with that really weird hint. One might argue that the Kicks case falls under the same category. After actually analyzing it it just makes no sense, it's just original for the sake of being original. So, what do we think, guys? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:03 JacobStrangelove wrote: Screw this voting my top scum read. ##UnVote ##Vote: Yamato Since when is he your top scum read and why? And why do you feel it relevant to throw out a vote on your "top scum read" without a case fucking 50 mins before deadline? Do you really think that will change anything? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:10 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: @SDM The grammar thing is something I picked on Djo for in XXIX (smileycase) rofl. Just sayin'. Also, I like how the bolded is basically saying "Omg, I don't think mass roleclaim is good, obv town". Problem is, he's done so little of actual worth in this game that it's detrimental to any cases we can scrounge up at this point. Isn't that just how he posts though? Yeah, i can't even convince myself with that case ldo, I thought I'd just throw my thoughts out there. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:13 JacobStrangelove wrote: Probably not but with oats being townish he is my main scum read. But true it probably won't change anything which is why I am trying to convince myself aqua is scum. Can you at least point out how you arrived at that read? I can't recall you having a decently strong scum read on Yamato and without a decent read, i don't see why you'd feel the need to vote him RIGHT NOW. Unless you want to show off your townieness for no reason. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:15 Oatsmaster wrote: 3. SDM Made good posts with logic, strongest town read. Did you just scum slip? If you saved me you should KNOW that I'm townie, otherwise we'd have a NK. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:14 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: Yes it's just how he posts. I was scum and thought it to be a good point xD (didn't know it was his meta, though) So what we say, lynch Aqua he's too original? :p | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:00 yamato77 wrote: Pretty sure no lynch is an option if none of you can make a real decision. Hmm, let's think about this for a sec. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:19 Oatsmaster wrote: I dont get a notification that I saved you and roleblocks are notified either, so I think you got attacked and I saved you but that is speculation Terrible scum trap fail the sequel. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:21 JacobStrangelove wrote: ^ can't get everyone to unvote some aren't here. We just need most people to vote nolynch. If you unvote you get modkilled. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:25 HeloKnight wrote: Why is no lynch a good idea? We'd be in the same "two lynches left" situation, but with one less player. I don't know. At least we'll have some more time to think. Thing is, tomorrow we'll be in MYLO (4 vs 2) if we mislynch, so tomorrow we shouldn't lynch anyone anyway. Instead of not lynching anyone tomorrow, we might as well not lynch anyone today. Is this solid logic? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
## vote nolynch | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:31 HeloKnight wrote: Why would we no lynch tomorrow? Mafia just kills the towniest player and then the lynch has to happen without them to help town. Yeah it's true. We need to lynch someone D3 and use our extra day when we're 3 vs 1. Probably? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
##unvote ##vote Aqua | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
I was refering to my part of the case in particular, it's pretty terribad. There are some decent points made against him and I don't think Oats is scum. My reasoning kind of ends there. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:44 HeloKnight wrote: I am the only person on Oats right now that's not afk. Can someone respond to my paragraph? It's a reasonable post. It might even be what makes the most sense. I really got the feeling Oats is town though so I'd rather lynch a non-doc (probably) nullish read than him. I'm still worried about the D3 implications though, but the D3 implications of lynching our doc aren't great either. As far as other alternatives, I only finished half Yamato's filter and it didn't come back as scummy as I thought. I read the first half so I'd be interested in what you thought was scummy in that (I think it was you saying it was scummy). | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 11:55 HeloKnight wrote: Did you feel Oats as town before or did you just change? I changed when he kept hanging on and tried to survive when he was down like 6-1 in votes. Especially given the level of effort he's put in so far. I know I would've NEVER bothered. If he's really scum he's a real fucking fighter. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
![]() | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 12:08 JacobStrangelove wrote: ok, we should be able to work out, from now what happened. Most of the people I think are town were on this lynch as well. Hmm looks like you're pointing fingers in others' based on a mislynch. I think we just established that was lynchworthy. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 12:09 Oatsmaster wrote: ok we lynch helo, his vote on aqua was really late and ambiguous leaving him room to say, I didnt really agree. then Fake as shit I think we should just sheep this guy imo. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 12:14 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: I'm just going to go ahead and confirm Oats doc in my mind. a jk would have claimed because jk/doc is like impossible. I see no reason Oats isn't doc. Yamato, Helo, Jacob. Scum is two of them. Where did this opinion come from? If it's your opinion JK should've claimed, why did you wait to say it until 5 mins after the lynch? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 12:15 Oatsmaster wrote: Actually your vote was the hammer vote, and you had really no good reason for not voting for me Here we go again, back to your old self, what the flying fuck? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 12:19 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: Because it didn't occur to me that JK/doc is OP as shit. Question is, did it occur to the potential JK? Even though we said he shouldn't claim? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 12:20 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: Anyway, it was better than lynching the doctor imo. Obviously if Oats is doc, yes. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 12:22 Oatsmaster wrote: What old self? WHAT ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT? Why would Helo in particular have no reason to change his vote from you? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 12:22 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: And there's the problem. We'll prolly get a mass roleclaim tomorrow, though right? Well, one of them has claimed. I wouldn't call one more blue claiming a mass claim. And our remaining blue(s) will have to figure out when to claim himself. Discuss it with the coach. He shouldn't be taking advice from this thread. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 12:29 Oatsmaster wrote: Scum Helo changed because mislynching a blue is worse than mislynching a green. Town Helo changed because ??? This post is right before he changed It's possible, but deadline time wasn't exactly a festival of awesome reasoning. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 13:05 yamato77 wrote: Lol whatever. I you are really town you need to start fucking playing like it because if I don't get killed tonight (HIGHLY likely at this point), I'm coming after you D3. That goes for CC and SDM as well. one of you is responsible for this whole thing. What are you implying exactly? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 13:47 yamato77 wrote: I'be given plenty of reasons throughout my filter as to why I think you are scum. Your fakeclaim of doctor doesn't help. No, you haven't. As usual OTHERS have been giving plenty of reason and you've just been sheeping while being one of the most wishy-washy players wrt Oats. And you just spent a couple of hours in this thread without doing any scum hunting again, just throwing around random accusation. Despite giving that "c'mon guys we really have to scum hunt" rant earlier, you do nothing. My thought process yesterday was a mess, but now let's make the best out of this instead of acting butt hurt. I'm currently working on a strategy we can use to almost dead sure confirm Oats doc (or if the claim was fake, confirm him scum). I will post this right before day post because it's not a good idea to give this info to scum right now. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 19:08 Oatsmaster wrote: SDM, your strat is probably a bad idea if it involves claim/directing blues. Please dont post it I don't think you know what my strat would be. In any case, why would it be a bad idea for anyone to present a suggestion? And if you're doc, why wouldn't you support this? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 18:58 JacobStrangelove wrote: I keep going in circles.... I will ignore most of the early game for my posts in that case and focus more on the later days, this is because scum find it easy to hide early in the game anyway. I will post what i was going in circles with just so you know what was up but to quote myself at the start of the last case I abandoned. So I will spoiler what I was looking at and have a drink and look at the later stages of the game again. This was my start on yamato. (remember take it for what is is worth I have no confidence in looking at the early stage anymore) + Show Spoiler + So I will re-hash old topics and this will be an extensive case. I did plenty of these as scum but the difference is I will be very clear and precise about my reads and what I think everything means. I also might not quote the whole thing when referring to things because it is really hard to see the formatting in a word doc. Why yamato is scum. He wants to appear active without actually being active in the early stages of the game. He goes on CC for playing without contributing saying “None of this reads town to me, at all.” Then a soon as CC replies he folds beginning his first major post which is a defence. Ending with the conclusion of. “ I'm on the fence about Mr. Cheesecake. His posting is still mostly defending himself, and attacking two players who posted early, me and Helo. That kind of behavior doesn't really indicate alignment, but if he keeps coming after me with posts that don't even address my concerns about him, I'm going to vote for him. Most of what I've posted so far has been to get a reaction, and it has worked. How people answer questions and accusations are definitely tells.” He has gone from doesn’t look like town to on the fence and also tries to prohibit CC from going after him with “if he keeps coming after me with posts that don't even address my concerns about him, I'm going to vote for him.” However there is the “if he doesn’t address the concerns” part I will admit. Then the hypocrisy. In regards to oats he says this. “You want my opinion on Oats? He is probably just a bored townie early on because him giving some silly read is just to spark discussion on something.” When before he said this regarding himself. “Most of what I've posted so far has been to get a reaction, and it has worked. How people answer questions and accusations are definitely tells.” Isn’t this the same thing? Why is it silly when oats says it and logical when he says it. I’ll include this for his clarification but personally I don’t think it changes much. On November 26 2012 08:23 yamato77 wrote: Also, to clarify, when I say Oats is a bored townie, calling someone scum really early is just what I think a bored townie would do when no one is posting anything useful. His posting after that is what I mean to be not alignment indicative. This was my start on kick. + Show Spoiler + Ok I started a case on kickstart then I thought hmm no helo is probably more scum and after reading a bit abandoned it in favour of a case on yamato after writing a bit about that I have been pointed to kick.... So here is the case on why kick is scum. 1. His meta is completely different, he has said many times meta isn’t good in newbie games but I find it very telling. (for example I can get a good grasp of a meta read on sdm and such) From yamato... “As far as reads on other people. Kickstarter's sheer aggression when defending Cheesecake against Oats is astounding. He uses vulgar language more than once and seems wholly preoccupied with Oats' vote being on CC. He doesn't even care if other people think Oats is scum necessarily, so why did he vote for him? The play doesn't really make sense because all he did was cause a whole lot of uproar over a play that no one else saw as scummy. If anything, THAT seems like a scum play.” While you shouldn’t care if other people think someone is scummy as you don’t want to sheep oh great I just talked my way out of this case as well.... I'll be back sorting out who I think is scum properly looking at the thread from a bit before the doc claim and first lynch. I don't see any reason to post this, do you? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On November 30 2012 20:00 Oatsmaster wrote: Because it allows scum to plan their night actions accordingly, and we dont want that If I post it the minute before the day post, how would this be true? I'm going to make one of those post where I give it my best shot to find the scum that is remaining. We have enough info at this point and if we play D3+ well we still should have a decent chance. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On December 01 2012 06:50 Kickstart wrote: SDM has this horrible tendency to go "this person doesn't think about this situation like I do therefore I think they are scummy" ... But yeah that Aqua lynch was like the most horrible thing I've ever seen and it seems all the people involved just up and ditched the thread. And it seems like you have no intention whatsoever to look into what really happened yesterday and make scum reads, which I find really fucking strange. You know what happened yesterday? I stayed up to 4.30am trying to discuss what was going on. You seemed completely uninterested and went to bed with a "I don't understand, wat is setup?". I've been fucking tired today from having to get up early. You have been doing what? Concluding that the lynch was bad. Yes the lynch was bad, BUT Y MAKE NO ANALYSIS? As for my "horrible tendency"? Well, we all can't just copy the cases of dead townies and make them our own, some of us actually think for ourselves in this game. I often think in terms like "does this guy think like a townie?". Had I stuck to the read I had of Aqua having a town mindset this wouldn't have fucking happened (but we still might've lynched our doc). Sometimes I compare how other players react to how I react and tries to understand if the differences are likely to have natural explanations or not. Whatever. Atreides had a similar reaction as you to a similar situation in XXVII. I don't think being you upset is scummy, but your effort level is fucking terrible. I'll use what might be the last of my time alive to actually try to scum hunt now. Keep in mind there's now way scum will NK Oats even if he's doc. Not tonight. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On December 01 2012 06:19 yamato77 wrote: The Terribly Bad Aqua Cases Oats playing up to par this game. The simplest explanation for his ENTIRE filter is scum. Everything he's done this game reads scum at this point, because in now way would a bad town keep playing so fucking bad. His "case" against Aqua is in the same vein as his "case" against me and his "case" against CC. He keeps posting utter shit to try to get people to bandwagon someone else to save his own ass. His blue claim is equally the same sort of play. It managed to get enough of you uncomfortable that you lynched a town player. There's zero reason to take this guy seriously but yet CC and SDM have? Why? Let's look at them. CC's terribad case on Aqua. None of it is convincing at all. He posts a lot of quotes and puts some stuff in red and everyone sheeps this shit. Aqua playing NEUTRAL is scummy? For fucking real? That's a point in his case? What the fuck. This is REALLY scummy play. Could definitely see CC/Oats scumteam going, "HEY, I THINK I CAN GET PEOPLE TO SHEEP MY AQUA CASE!" "GOOD LOL I'LL POST A SHIT ONE TOO!". Town should get roasted for following this guy into lynching Aqua. He doesn't give ANY good reason for not lynching Oats at all, and then starts a bandwagon on Aqua with just a post about how he thinks he is scummy. What the fuck? The most perplexing thing this game is SDM. Why would someone I read as such a strong town D1 and part of D2 get himself involved in this Aqua business? Surely a good town player would see a counterwagon for what it is, right? NOPE. He's bad too. He talks himself out of the best play D2, lynching the scumbag Oats, and then posts a case calling Aqua scum for being ORIGINAL? What the fuck? You guys have railed on me and others for "sheeping", and the best thing you come up with against Aqua is that he DOESN'T sheep? COMPLETE AND UTTER BULLSHIT. You should be ashamed as town for how terrible that logic is. I can't even fathom why town SDM would post that case. I am CONVINCED that two of these three are scum. If I survive until D3 I will go after all three until I get to the bottom of this. JACOB AND HELO: You guys should not have voted for Aqua. Why the fuck did you? Neither of you read him as scum. You both got convinced by SDM to lynch this townie. You cannot allow your play to be dictated by people posting such bad cases. D3 I expect both of you to come out super strong. If you are town, you need to take me seriously. Town has had no direction this game. We've failed to lynch ANY scum. We need to step it up D3 or we are going to lose. That means not talking yourself out of scum reads. Not letting others talk you out of scum reads. I am guilty of this, too, but I am standing strong. Town should stand behind me. First the formalities, you seem to not even have read what happened yesterday. If you would've read it in any sort of context you would have known that the reason I voted Aqua wasn't my "case". I just threw out whatever opninions I had there. The fact that my part of the case is bad is acknowledged in the "lol me" parenthesis. Perhaps too subtle for you? Well maybe if you would have read the other posts you would've seen me literally saying it was bad. You also would've seen that my vote on Aqua was based more on me getting a town lean on Oats. I've never seen scum who was in a hopeless 6 vs 1 votes situation stay and fight like this. Again, read the thread instead of cherry picking if you want to know what was going on. Jacob and Helo sheeped me? No, we all sheeped CC. I'm not trying to pass blame on CC, it is what it is and I accept responsibility for thinking it was the correct thing to do at the time. If CC is scum he's really gutsy. If Oats is doc there's still a risk CC is scum, but that would require CC to be really ballsy in a situation where he could just sit back. If Oats is scum, I think the risk decreases. I mean, what if his switch attempt fails? He'll look scummy as fuck. Even if it succeeds he still lead a town mislynch and he's obv going to take heat for that. You seem to barely have caught up with what happened and you're not looking for town motivation, just to fling poo around. You know who does that? Scum. You know who doesn't read the thread and just cherry pick posts? Scum. I know that from experience. It's much more difficult to keep motivated t read the entire thread, because you're really not looking to catch scum but to catch whatever "scummy" comment to cling on to. Now what is even more amazing with your post is? YOU STILL DON'T MAKE ONE SINGLE SCUM READ! It's a post to fling poo and establish your own townieness. That's what motivates it and that's not town motivation. I've said it before, you seem to outsource making reads on your top scum reads to other players, who you are supposedly suspicious of. How does that make any sense? You keep posting about how we need to step it up, scum hunt more etc. It's all empty fucking words. You even made a promise last night that when you got back, you were going to start seriously scum hunting, but it's empty promises. You know who makes empty promises? SCUM! Just check me out as scum in XXVIII. I know it's tempting as scum to say you're going to contribute, but it's so hard to follow up on it. You never do. And finally, the motivational speech at the end of your post. Everyone should make their own reads and trust them, But no wait, we should stand behind you, the shining beacon of townieness that still has yet to make a scum case. Either you have some kind of mega hybris or you're scum. Now for a question. You have probably been the most wishy-washy player wrt Oats all D1/N1 (this is super easy to confirm, I don't have time to quote all that). You did vote for him finally, but you did it with the weakest argument ever: On November 29 2012 21:36 yamato77 wrote: two people have said I didn't post a CC case now when I already did. again, it seems like no one actually reads my filter which doesn't bode well. Oats that post is full of outright lies and you should feel bad. my motivation for choosing who to lynch has been trying to figure out how scum would play and looking at who has played that way. not going to repost that argument. I honestly didn't know if mafia KP could be role blocked. If it couldn't then one of our blues has a confirmed town which helps the game. that is why I asked. You have cherry-picked my posts pretty bad to make this bad case of yours. I know I said I wouldn't defend myself and all but I want people to see this terrible case so they know why I voted for you. only a scum would make a case this bad. ##Vote: Oatsmaster Before that, this was your last statement on Oats: On November 29 2012 15:51 yamato77 wrote: Oats, though, was a huge hindrance to town day 1. His posting was so chaotic that it was almost certainly designed to cause all sorts of discussion, for better or worse, but in no way could that discussion have been useful to town because nothing he said made any sense or was ever backed up with any solid reasoning. CC's case against him says as much, but as I said before he posted that, I don't think erratic play necessarily indicates scum. He could just be playing a really bad town game. I don't want to lynch people for being bad town. Now to the interesting part, shortly after that Oats claim doc. Now all of a sudden, you are the ONLY player in the thread who's convinced he's a good lynch. I was really sure Oats was a good lynch until he claimed, at which point I really had to pause to try to figure things out. Even Kicks, who's been after him all game was less convinced than you (I don't know Kicks alignment, but he's just one in the masses, same can be said about CC etc). Again, you had been super undecided on him before, but now you're entirely convinced: On November 30 2012 00:32 yamato77 wrote: I hate that Oats claimed blue. Honestly, I'm inclined not to believe it because SDM was THE MOST obvious scum target N1 so him claiming he protected him is not conclusive enough proof. It could just as easily be a fake claim by scum in that regard. Equally terrible is the fact that even if it saves him from getting lynched today is that unless there is a JK that protects him tonight, he has just painted a really huge target on his back as a blue for scum KP. On November 30 2012 00:40 yamato77 wrote: There is literally zero reason to take his claim seriously. The play is survival based. He's done nothing this whole game but cause stupid shit discussion in the thread and this is just more of it. My vote sticks with him. He should have fucking played less like scum if he really is a blue. I'm really pissed if he's actually a blue. WHY WOULD YOU PLAY SO BAD AS A BLUE? On November 30 2012 00:43 yamato77 wrote: Or we could not waste a bunch of time talking about a really scummy play by a person about to get lynched. For me, this claim was interesting and something worth thinking about and figure out. Why did you become so dead sure? I will add to this an analysis of motives here ends up as wifom. If Oats is scum, scum Yamato might fish for townie points. If Oats is doc, scum Yamato might want him lynched, he might think he's acting like a townie but you can also make the argument that he wouldn't want. Townie Yamato on the other hand can only have the motivation of being really sure that lynching Oats is clearly best, however, that doesn't really seem fit. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Why do you ask? | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On December 01 2012 11:21 HeloKnight wrote: Was curious to see if we would know Oats' alignment, don't answer if it would change anything. Unless you're scum and considering who to NK I don't see the point in asking. Unless it was to remind me not to forget it, but since it was your own curiousity... It's obvious you paid attention to that post of mine and found it important. Seems like something scum considering NK options would do. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Give Oats the benefit of a doubt. The thing is this, read OP. The doctor can’t protect the same target two nights in a row. This means if his claim is true, the only ones they can be sure to kill (barring an unlikely JK) is me and Oats. They most likely won’t kill Oats because he’s a huge liability for town atm. However, if Oats is scum, they really have to fear a JK protecting me, because the JK can protect me twice in a row. Obviously this is not a 100% sure thing, but it’s enough to raise the probability of his claim being true. Scum might gamble trying to shoot me again even with a risk of JK, but this is unlikely. And if the claim is fake it’s not necessarily I who was being the target N1, but I find it likely considering I probably was the focal point both of a save and attack. A JK could’ve blocked the scum submitting the NK, but a JK will usually try to save a town read (me). At least consider this mechanic when you analyze why I got killed, (this was not what I was talking about earlier in the thread, at that point I was just talking out of my ass because I thought scum would read it and that it would benefit town if they feared Oats could be confirmed D3… I found it a bit interesting Helo had paid attention to and remembered that post but you guys will have to analyze that one) At least I’d also say we’ll need blue claims in order to lynch Oats… I’ll just spell out my ideas, but contact the coaches for help. Scenario 1: Only a cop Oats is 100% clear. Scenario 2: None Oats is 100% clear. Scenario 3: Only a JK This is where it becomes sticky, but I think JK + cop is a too powerful setup, so it likely means either Oats or the JK has fake claimed. Scenario 4: Cop + JK Obv too powerful setup, Oats is scum unless there’s been a fakeclaim. Now obviously scenario 1-2 can be turned into scenario 3-4 with a fakeclaim, which is why we need to be wary. Scum could easily set up breadcrumbs N2 but is kind of unlikely to have done it earlier. Hopefully any claim will have solid crumbing, otherwise be wary (only in scenario 3-4 obv). When it comes to my case on Yamato I’m not sure I like it much. The part of him not reading the thread is null. He may have been selective, but I find myself being selective as well as townie especially when I’m upset. The fact that he’s upset is not a scum tell. And when it comes to his stance on Oats, would scum really take such a decisive stand when no one else is if he knows he flips blue? Unlikely imo. If Oats is his scum buddy? A little bit more unsure. But iirc he actively promoted that no one should counterclaim (you’ll need to double check this). Why would scum do this? No, I think after the D2 shit fest, scum don’t need to fling poo, I think town is flinging poo in full force so there’s really no need to. Scum is more likely to lay relatively low. Cheesecake – I can’t see much of any reason for him to push a wagon on Aqua if scum. Doesn’t make him town but meh, must give slight town lean. Helo – Haven’t paid much attention to him which makes me a bit wary. Jacob – When speaking about laying low, look at this this dude. Kicks – He still sticks hardcore to his two scum reads. Have he ever been considerably suspicious of someone else? As someone who’s accused 100% of players in this game I find this worth looking into. In my first newbie scum game I really liked sticking to a few reads and I think CC shared a similar experience. Also, here’s Kicks 100% agreeing with one of them shortly after the blue claim: On November 30 2012 00:50 Kickstart wrote: I agree 100% with yamato that this claim is fucking up town pretty bad because Oats basically forced us to divert the entire thread discussion to whether or not his claim is fake or real, but I'm not sure I agree with your conclusion yamato that we lynch him anyways - what if his claim is true? ;/ Honestly this is the kind of wishy-wash stance I would expect from scum, esp if Oats is doc. I think looking into reactions to the claim can be very helpful. Fuck this is wishy washy... Anyway, don’t put too much weight in my reads, I just summed up my thoughts real quick. I’ve read the thread a lot but haven’t had time to research a lot tonight. Just consider what I said. The only way this can be solved is by a lot of work so hopefully you’re up for the task. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Sorry for completely sucking D2, but you guys suck too <3 Gl town! ***/dead*** | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On December 02 2012 21:35 Dandel Ion wrote: SDM, solid game, improve your reads a little bit, but you're doing a good job of looking really townie. Somehow, everybody else being scummy (or considered scummy) helped you (=town) this game, because you ended up as the clear NK, so an easy Medic save to hit. Now this is an understatement. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On December 02 2012 14:01 debears wrote: [/u]SDM - I'm pretty sure you talked to Marv for coaching. I'd say he has better input than me. One thing I'd say is that you overthink things once in a while. However, you had a solid game, hence the n1 nk. Most certainly true. I need to be more focused. Make up my damn mind about things and not keep harping about everything over and over again. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
| ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Slow pony just realized. This puts my record 1-4 life time. If I wasn't so fucking hung over I would celebrate. Actually I got some cheesecake in the fridge, imma eat some cheesecake. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
![]() | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On December 02 2012 13:47 Aquanim wrote: I really need to have more time to play (particularly in the US daytime) I think, not being able to push my questions and cases in person was pretty frusturating (and if I've understood your case right, is what got me lynched in the end). Unfortunately I won't have any more time until Feburary so I don't think I'll be playing again for a while. No hard feelings - I'll obs some games, and hopefully be playing again in a couple of months. I think you played well. I think a lot of the things you said were really townie. The lynch of you was really arbitrary and mostly because Jacob, CC and I thought Oats was doc. I don't know how I ended up talking myself out of my town lean on you, but it was fucking 4am and my brain wasn't working. | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On December 03 2012 18:31 yamato77 wrote: I'll admit, that sequence of events really threw me for a loop. First Oats claims doc, no one wants to believe him, then CC entered the thread and everyone went full regard and lynched Aqua. I was CERTAIN that scum was behind it so the post I made N2 really reflects how mad I was that we lynched Aqua instead of Oats or even no lynch. I still think it should have been a no lynch looking back. I probably would have switched my vote to that at the time. Lesson learned. Sometimes last minute wagons are comprised solely of insane town members trying to save the scummy looking player who claims doc. Sometimes. lol xD | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On December 03 2012 21:22 Promethelax wrote: SDM: you did a good job proving yourself townie and trying to figure out how things had come together but you managed to over think things a little too much. Remember if there are only two scum catching one is always worth the 1 for 1 trade, no matter if the townie is blue or green. You also had some mind numbingly crazy posts about how Kickstart's d1 wasn't scummy, whatever lead you to that conclusion early on you need to re think. When I talk to him you may see some things which should have convinced you of his scumminess moments after the game started. Of all the townies in this game you played the best; you need to remember that Ockham's razor is your friend though and that the un-counter-claimed doctor claim is probably doctor. Yeah, you're definitely correct I couldn't make up my damn mind. You asked me in obs qt what I thought went wrong but at the time I didn't know, but I think... 1) I didn't organize my thoughts, like at all. I threw out random suspicions, sometimes even before thinking about whether they had scum motivation. I think I have to take some notes otherwise I just won't be able to form any overall opinions at all. 2) I put way too little weight into town reads. I pointed out several times things I thought made CC, Jacob and Aqua townie, but then completely didn't care abuot them. Had I just kept some notes with town/scum signs for every player I would've quickly found Jacob's and CCs columns flood with town signs (in contrast to Kicks). 3) Even though I told myself before the game started that the most scummy behaviour ever is to try not to be noticed I never suspected Helo, even though he who made posts so bland I didn't even remember reading them. When it comes to the claim, I would've snapcalled a 1 for 1 trade. My problem was since I didn't realize a JK + doc was an unlikely setup, I didn't think there was a way to guarantee a 1 for 1 trade. We might've had a legit JK claim, we lynch our doc Oats and lose our JK to a NK. Marv told me that a JK counterclaim is good because it gives us more information, but that assumes that the info we obtain can be used to alter the lynch. I think for you guys in the obs qt it was an easy decision to counterclaim because you knew what combination of blue roles are likely (ie JK + doc being very unlikely). When we later started considering an Aqua lynching I realized CC, Jacob and Helo couldn't be doc or JK, so at least everyone around at that time implicitly claimed VT and I felt more comfortable switching target (but not loving the switch being to Aqua). | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On December 03 2012 22:03 marvellosity wrote: The timing on the doc claim was quite optimal due to the fact Oats had to go to bed and school and shit. Well done to Jacob for appreciating the timing of the claim (no other townie managed this, even though Jacob stressed it repeatedly) This is what I had to say in PM to SDM after the Oats lynch. yamato, take note (you were bizarrely against Oats even when it was confirmed for no reason - you should think about why carefully): Edit: that reminds me. Prome covered the main reasons Kick was catchable Day 1. So reading through Day 1 I picked out Helo, because he did not mention Kickstart *at all*. This totally fits the newbie scum profile whose partner is under pressure, has absolutely no idea how to deal with it, and so ignores him completely. The 'association' here was in fact the complete lack of association. Further edit: by the way, Oats contradicted himself like 1000x this game. scumread/townread/scumread and what have you. Scum are normally more careful. Their contradictions are subtle, accidental, subconscious. Look here: Musing with Hapa on irc, I told him this gave me a soft townread on yamato. On the face of it, it's horrendous - setting up mislynches! But it's so goddamn blatant. Scum avoid saying shit like this. Kickstart's scum mentality of killing Oats whether he was scum OR bad town was better hidden inside a long case. In fact only Aquanim picked up on it. That's the kinda difference to look for in bad/new town and scum. Hmm yeah, I had a town read on Oats for D1 because of those reason, but changed my mind after I got a PM from you. It was not that you mentioned an association case, but that you said that you (unlike me) had experience distinguishing bad town from scum made you find the first scum. I had given Oats a town read all game and to me he was the obvious bad town. So I levelled myself into think you had to have been talking about Oats, and from there I convinced myself he was scum. Fucking horrible, yeah I know, guess why I never contacted you :p | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
Kickstart: you took the lead role for scum early but decided not to do anything with it. If any of this town had bothered to read mario mini (which no one should ever read it is longer than most of my text books) they would have had you pinned in about thirty seconds. Lucky for you no one did. You also played it safe and went for the townie making the most mistakes (Oats) unfortunately for you you attacked him as bad town or scum and said he needed to die either way. This is not a town mindset at all and should have triggered alarm bells in all of town. Your list post featured Oats as 'slightly scummy' you had tunneled him all day and he had not done anything to change your read a townie would see him as 'scummy scum scum, the scummiest thing since sliced red' not slightly scummy. You needed to make your reads and stick to them. Scum often want to sit back and allow town to make cases for them, you needed to make your cases stronger and to push them instead of being wishy washy. Your reaction to the Oats claim was a scum claim. When someone claims blue town does not automatically believe that as that person might be scum fake claiming; only scum believes them 100% because they know that player is not scum. After having made that mistake you should have stuck to it though, hard defending Oats would have given you a lot of town cred. Or going right for him and getting him lynched. You and Helo chose the easy way out and it lost you the game. Oh man, Kicks' D1 is the one I spent most time reading :/ Here's what I thought was happening: Kicks attacked Oats, I told him Oats actions weren't scummy because he painted a target on his own back and that lead Kicks to chill down a bit on the scum accusations. I'm not even sure that makes chronological sense. Was Mario the game where Shady got lynched early because of spazztastic play? I didn't follow that game, did scum push his lynch? Oh and thanks for your analysis <3 | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On December 03 2012 23:15 marvellosity wrote: I'm not here to WIFOM you sweetheart ![]() You don't even have to try tho :/ | ||
Sonic Death Monkey
Sweden991 Posts
On December 03 2012 23:27 marvellosity wrote: huh? no, Shady wasn't playing in Mario. Ok, was probably thinking about Liquid City... or something. | ||
| ||