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Newbie Mini Mafia XXXI - Page 7

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 28 2012 16:50 GMT
#734
When it comes to Yamato I nee to gather my thoughts. I've been flip-flopping a lot on him and I need to see where I finally end up. Without using the confirmation bias goggles provided by my association case.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 06:26 GMT
#763
@Oats
Would you agree almost your entire D1 was making nonsensical posts? If so, why did you keep making those sorts of posts?

Also, sheeping Helo's case on Jacob while your case on Helo was still unaddressed makes it seem like you never really was suspicious of Helo, which obviously is looks like a scummy mindset.

When I look back at my D1 analysis of Yamato and Kicks, I come to realize that the reason I dropped my suspicions of Kicks is because he never actually did anything scummy. For some reason I just liked the idea of him being scum, because I wouldn't have expected it and people I don't expect are usually the ones ending up as scum. Looking back at it now, that's obviously rofl-bad reasoning on my part.

For Yamato on the other hand I dropped my suspcions not because he hadn't been scummy, but because his defense looked "genuine" or whatever similar flimsy argument I was making. Looking back at his posts now, I still don't think his defense is scummy, but 1) it's one that could still be faked by scum without too much problem and 2) his actions before the defense are still somewhat scummy (in contrast to Kicks). Besides he still hasn't addressed Kicks' case against him very well or voiced much on any opinions about the D2 lynch.

To me, association case aside, Oats really like the best lynch for D2.

When it comes to Helo I still don't see him as scummy. I will look at his case on Jacob now though.

@Yamato
What are your thoughts on CC now? Who do you want to lynch?
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 06:48 GMT
#765
About the case on Jacob

I can see where it's coming from and I've shared those feelings. I think they partly came from paranoia and me not being sure of anything though. I've become a bit more calm and I'm not throwing around suspicions towards everyone anymore is because I feel pretty damn good about a Oats lynch. Now, to me, it looks like Oats is trying desperately to save his ass by sheeping a case he knows at least one other player share.

As far as the arguments go, I agree Jacob is throwing out a lot of ideas without reaching conclusions and I think this can be a scum trait. However, Jacob also did this in his town game, so for him it's not necessarily a scum trait. I would also say that if you look at his posts as a whole, a lot of his comments and questions seems to be motivated by curiosity. If you're making a lot of posts some are bound to look wishy-washy and like bad contributions and those are the ones Helo points out. Again, in XXVI Jacob had a tendency to comment on whatever came to mind and some of his comments (probably more of them than in this game) were really not very helpful.

As for his actions around deadline, I was thinking your same things about his reasonings for voting Munk-E. It was one of these "I'm almost going to go after him now" kind of moments. BUT I don't think this necessarily signifies a scum mindset either, it could just be the result of confusion. It's quite similar to CC and myself. I know I'm town, I think CC is town, so I don't see why I should accuse Jacob of something similar. There's also the same wifom argument I made in defense of CC. If Jacob is scum, why even bother to switch to Munk-E? While wifom, it's enough to render his vote switching as kind of a null tell to me.

That being said, if Oats flip town, I'm afraid my world will come crashing down again

I haven't read jacob's response to the case btw.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 06:49 GMT
#766
On November 29 2012 15:34 Oatsmaster wrote:
SDM do you agree that it is a pretty bad case?
I still dont really understand how my behavior is scummy other than it doesnt make sense to you mortals.


Why did you make the case if you think it's bad?
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 06:51 GMT
#769
Btw I do think Helo manages to back up his scum lean on Jacob with reasoning which could easily come from a town point of view. I just don't that what he's presenting necessarily shows scum motivations.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 06:57 GMT
#770
On November 29 2012 15:50 Oatsmaster wrote:
Because I didnt read it before posting.
Then I read it, and facepalmed hard :/


But you did write it, yes? I have a hard time seeing how you'd write it without putting any thought into it. And if you did, it's not a very townie thing to do anyway.

I'm out again. Will check back on this thread in the evening (CET time).
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 12:45 GMT
#795
On November 29 2012 21:38 yamato77 wrote:
Also I realize this looks like OMGUS but trust me, that case is REAL bad.


So you're voting on him because his case is bad?
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 13:03 GMT
#798
He's been playing like that all game though and during N1 you still went after CC. One might even say Oats play has improved compared to his D1 performance. How come he's become more scummy now? And how come CC is getting a pass?

On November 29 2012 15:51 yamato77 wrote:
I'm not 100% confident on CC being scum. I posted the case more to point out that his actions were suspicious and needed reading into, which people have said they would do. I suppose on that front I have been successful so far Day 2.


You posted this wrt to your current stance on CC. That's really wishy-washy. No townie is 100% certain of anything so you're completely avoiding the question. Is CC even a scum lean for you now?
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 13:04 GMT
#799
ebwop: that was in response to Yamato
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 14:15 GMT
#805
On November 29 2012 22:06 Oatsmaster wrote:
Kickstart what the hell is your problem?
Can you address the case on yamato?


Well, I'll chime in.

On November 29 2012 21:20 Oatsmaster wrote:
Drawing attention to yamato again.

Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 06:22 yamato77 wrote:
I keep trying to make sure I don't look scummy because apparently I do. And if you guys mislynch me day 1, it sets town WAY behind. Maybe I shouldn't care, but it also apparently hurts any chances of anyone else believing me, too, if they all think I'm scum. Perception matters for the town player.


What? why would town yamato post an emphasis on not being scummy as opposed to being town? Then he guilt trips us, I really feel that town yamato would make more of an effort to defend himself other than 'Dont lynch me or else town is far behind..'

It's called establishing you townieness and should be a concern of townies (as well as scum ldo).

Show nested quote +
As he said earlier, apparently only scum cares about looking scum.

He contradicts himself in order to throw suspicion on CC.

Can you expand on this?

Show nested quote +
On November 28 2012 13:00 yamato77 wrote:
Can mafia KP be roleblocked?

What is the town motivation for asking this question? So he can get his lesser known partner to do the night kill?

Already been explained. If he was scum he could ask this in Scum QT or PM a host. Maybe he already has and asked the question to look townie? It's quite null though. Personally I like to PM most questions whether town or scum (at least ones that might help the opposite alignment, like my earlier question about the framer role).

Show nested quote +
On November 29 2012 16:31 yamato77 wrote:
On November 29 2012 16:21 JacobStrangelove wrote:
On November 29 2012 15:48 Sonic Death Monkey wrote:

I haven't read jacob's response to the case btw.


You haven't read my response? Lol don't bother just read yours again

Comments to yamato is there any posts you have made where you mentioned being suspicious of me (I forgot) Or did you just decide to start being suspicious now that two other people are?

Look at my filter. I have expressed my dislike for your play since D1. I also questioned you during our exchange over kick's read on me.

This also isn't the first time I've had to direct you to posts I've made. Do you even read my filter? Jesus.


Yamato's play is similar to Jacob's on day 1 but he condemns him for that.. Rose tinted glasses? or an excuse that doesnt apply to him but can be applied to Jacob.

Show nested quote +
On November 29 2012 15:51 yamato77 wrote:
I feel no more confident in lynching anyone right now than I did day 1.

I'm not 100% confident on CC being scum. I posted the case more to point out that his actions were suspicious and needed reading into, which people have said they would do. I suppose on that front I have been successful so far Day 2.

I also have been highly suspicious of Jacob for a while because of how little he has contributed and how much fluff his filter contains, but I don't like voting to lynch him because he hasn't exactly been causing problems for town, either.

Oats, though, was a huge hindrance to town day 1. His posting was so chaotic that it was almost certainly designed to cause all sorts of discussion, for better or worse, but in no way could that discussion have been useful to town because nothing he said made any sense or was ever backed up with any solid reasoning. CC's case against him says as much, but as I said before he posted that, I don't think erratic play necessarily indicates scum. He could just be playing a really bad town game. I don't want to lynch people for being bad town.

In reference to Munk's case (can't call it kick's because all he did was repost it basically), I think it's easy enough to explain. Of course I have been defending myself because tons of people have read me as scum this game and attacked me for it. You said yourself that this partly explains why I haven't been hunting scum as much, because I have been under attack almost every time I post. So from now on, I guess the best play for me to make is to IGNORE these cases on me based on my low level of contribution because to defend against them is counterproductive to the real goal of the game; hunting and lynching scum. I'll let you guys decide for yourselves if I am scum or not. No more input from me about my actions.


His motivation in choosing who to lynch is how much trouble they cause to himself... Any townie would want to lynch scum even if they have been not shitting up the thread. Extremely bad reasoning for not voting Jacob and he didnt actually vote for me.

I feel like this is a fair point. If he's "highly suspicious" of Jacob, who seems to be one of the lynch candidates, he should look into that.

Conclusion:
He has not done ANY scumhunting the whole game, just acted hurt that he might be mislynched and defended himself ALL THE TIME. He promised a CC case but he didnt deliver..

Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 14:28 GMT
#807
Hey imperfection, Oats isn't voting on himself.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 14:31 GMT
#809
On November 29 2012 23:29 Kickstart wrote:
he didnt do ##vote


And putting his vote on himself is his punishment? :p
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 15:11 GMT
#821
On November 29 2012 23:42 Oatsmaster wrote:
Since the votes dont look like moving,
Ima gonna claim.
I am a Doctor
I healed SDM n1 because he was my best townread.
I didnt breadcrumb because I couldnt really make it subtle.


Given no RB claim we're pretty much dead sure to have a doctor. If no-one counter claims Oats is confirmed (and I'm confirmed) and my entire universe will collapse again

Hmm, there some possibility we have a JK, he blocked scum and scum didn't claim RB. In that case Oats is forcing our JK to claim which is a smart play if he's going down anyway.

I'll have to think about this.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 15:12 GMT
#822
If we have a JK don't claim yet, we need to think this through. I guess there's some chance we have both a JK and doc which would fuck this up even more.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 15:14 GMT
#823
##unvote
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 15:15 GMT
#824
Fuck hold on here, no one claim, not even doctor!
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 15:16 GMT
#825
Oats didn't breadcrumb, this is a super convenient play.

No one fucking claim.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 15:19 GMT
#826
Scum Oats knew they targeted me, failed and there was no RB claim. Scum KNOWS we have a doctor. This might be an attempt to get our doctor to claim and trade Oats for our doctor.

We could potentially gamble and lynch Oats, hoping it's a fake claim and save our doctor from claiming.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 15:30 GMT
#831
If we do a cost-benefit analysis.

Scenario 1. We don't counterclaim and lynch Oats blindly
a) Oats is doctor and we end up D3 MYLO 4 vs 2. We will have no confirmed townie because they'll NK me.
b) Oats fake claimed and we end up D3 with 5 vs 1. We still (might) have our doctor and our doctor has 1 townie confirmed.

Scenario 2. We counterclaim.
a) Oats is doctor, no counterclaim happens, they kill Oats. We end up D3 either 4 vs 2 or 5 vs 1 and I'll be left as confirmed townie.
b) Oats isn't doctor, someone counterclaims, they kill doctor. We end up D3 5 vs 1 without doctor but with me as confirmed townie.

I think I like Scenario 2 better, but I need to think about it.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 15:33 GMT
#835
On November 30 2012 00:27 JacobStrangelove wrote:
Yeah they will get rid of him immediately. You could speculate that that they wouldn't just to throw us off though. But it is far to risky because he could save the one they go for.


There's no scenario where this could happen. Or at least that would be retarded play by scum.
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