If you can (I know that you are probably busy considering you are at CERN), try to come onto IRC during US afternoon(#TLMafia on Quakenet). Or we can use the QT that I sent you in like the 2nd PM if that works better. But this delayed PM thing is really not working.
SSB-64 Mafia - Page 43
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Mister Saturn
Vatican City State155 Posts
If you can (I know that you are probably busy considering you are at CERN), try to come onto IRC during US afternoon(#TLMafia on Quakenet). Or we can use the QT that I sent you in like the 2nd PM if that works better. But this delayed PM thing is really not working. | ||
HomerunBat
Oman114 Posts
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kingdedede
Kazakhstan80 Posts
On July 06 2012 07:31 HomerunBat wrote: off-topic, but after the game s&b I'm really curious what you are doing at CERN. It has to be nuts there right now. Agreed. You celebrating? :D | ||
Mister Saturn
Vatican City State155 Posts
On July 06 2012 07:29 HomerunBat wrote: @Mr. S cephiro was right about the finger pointing. it starts and ends with the filters, if you really think I'm scum, make a case. I have to say that your actions leading up to this deadline, are giving me doubts. I'm also trying to think of what Tali has done that has helped town. I still think we lynch grush today. The one thing that has me convinced is that he kept calling cephiro scum after it was extremely clear that the scum kp was aimed at him. Afterwards, he said something along the lines of it being an elaborate scum conspiracy. Hm, this is true. idk, I really need to read this entire thread again. I'll give out my thoughts again tonight. If you are town, please consider the fact that I just might be town... I know my play has been weird and pretty bad this game but that doesn't make me scum. If we lynch grush today and he turns out to be town, we still don't lose, right? Cephiro and we can both shoot talismania tonight and we can still win by getting HomerunBat right after? - Hiro | ||
HomerunBat
Oman114 Posts
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
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talismania
United States2364 Posts
On July 06 2012 07:22 Mister Saturn wrote: grush must have forgot to send a PM. And I really don't think he's scum. Is the fact that he hit the same person that scum did, weird? Yes. But I don't see why as scum, he would either reveal the fact that both Cephiro and I were Samus (town has no way of knowing that kind of info without grush saying it and scum would want to keep that kind of information private so they can plan their night hits) and the fact that he would actually claim his hit as scum just seems ridiculous to me. S&B, you have talismania as your strongest scum read also, right? I think we should lynch him today and shoot him at night. HomerunBat is probably the other scum. If we're wrong, we can always lynch grush. What do people actually think of this plan? my vote isn't leaving grush and I don't think anyone else's should either but I'm very curious about reactions to this idea. | ||
HiroPro
United States2624 Posts
The chances of an independent shot being the same as the mafia shot is pretty low... It's weird as hell for a scum player to reveal that they made a shot like that but it's also really strange from a town perspective to shoot someone who you didn't even mention the day before (especially when there's two people who you called scum available to shoot). And connections are so shit to use when you don't have dead scum to make them off... But with grush, I have literally no other way to figure out his alignment, lol. I just don't see a scum team that grush could be part of (talismania+grush is laughable (2 scum up for lynch on day 1, lol? not to mention grush voting for talis), HrB was a fairly key vote in grush being lynched), the other combos are also pretty lolworthy. So what the hell is grush.... | ||
Mister Saturn
Vatican City State155 Posts
+ Show Spoiler + On July 06 2012 13:33 HiroPro wrote: Man this game is so fucked up. I can't even figure out grush at this point... I'm going to talk to s&b tomorrow before I decide what to do. The chances of an independent shot being the same as the mafia shot is pretty low... It's weird as hell for a scum player to reveal that they made a shot like that but it's also really strange from a town perspective to shoot someone who you didn't even mention the day before (especially when there's two people who you called scum available to shoot). And connections are so shit to use when you don't have dead scum to make them off... But with grush, I have literally no other way to figure out his alignment, lol. I just don't see a scum team that grush could be part of (talismania+grush is laughable (2 scum up for lynch on day 1, lol? not to mention grush voting for talis), HrB was a fairly key vote in grush being lynched), the other combos are also pretty lolworthy. So what the hell is grush.... | ||
kingdedede
Kazakhstan80 Posts
If Grush is scum, we don't want him getting his second Capt. Falcon shot off, so I think lynching him is still the best bet. I think it's best to kill the strongest scumread at the moment, especially as nobody else will even give a flip, so we won't even know for sure what we did. My main paranoia is about Grush NOT being scum. I just can't figure out a scumteam then. Tali is almost certainly scum in that situation, maybe with Saturn. If that's the case then we still have a chance lynching Grush, but we may be better off lynching Tali now before he donkey kongs one of us, and leaving Grush with a Capt. Falcon shot alive. Crap :S I don't want to out-wifom myself. Lets lynch Grush. iGrok seemed to know what he was doing, even if he wasn't very pleasant about it. Everything else just seems like it's too big a risk. | ||
HomerunBat
Oman114 Posts
If he flips town, where would you be looking? | ||
HomerunBat
Oman114 Posts
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Mister Saturn
Vatican City State155 Posts
I should still talk with s&b, though. | ||
HomerunBat
Oman114 Posts
On July 05 2012 10:42 grush57 wrote: CALLED YOU SCUM OUT NOW THREAD DEAD. EASY TOWN LYNCHED D2 GG SCUM WINS. AND UR ALL LETTING IT HAPPEN He is 100% correct. I think this is the scum team: Cephiro & Talismania Let's start with Cephiro. He is a town read to a lot of people. Why? He shit up the thread right off the bat arguing with Risen, and then tunneled him for the rest of the game. He buddied up to iGrok. These posts rang alarm bells for me the first time I read through them: + Show Spoiler + On July 04 2012 05:49 Cephiro wrote: Back. I'm not exactly fond of Homerunbat's play, as he seems to be trying to avoid pissing anyone off. Or that's how it looks like to me. Of course one can just be very polite by nature, but the way he words what he says doesn't sound very natural to me. He keeps up a discussion with Saturn, where he originally has Saturn as one of his scumreads. Afterward he agrees on lynching talismania fairly easily, but based on what? The larger post of him earlier doesn't cover enough reasoning to do that imo. His other choice I can't criticize because I admit that I wouldn't mind seeing our useless lurker lose some stock if that's the only way to get him talking. Rank: 6 Risen needs to die, seriously. He was bashing on iGrok's plan without proper reasoning (he accused iGrok's plan of being bad due to losing town stock, and about lack of information, but his own plan was worse in BOTH areas.) And what are his scumreads? The people who agreed with iGrok or defended him. Brilliant play if I say so myself. The way he jumps at Homerunbat after he defends iGrok's play makes me cry. He also clearly buddies with Saturn and tries to control his actions (and even succeeds to get Saturn to vote for the bat.) Rank: 8 ##Vote: Risen Grush is useless. Literally. He comes in, keeps changing his votes constantly and doesn't contribute at all. I just can't see a townie do this, and if he somehow is town, he needs to be waken up. A prime target for night actions that cause stock loss, or a lynch if you won't lynch Risen today. Rank: 7 talismania, you need to stop trying to crunch the setup and base your play on your meta-game against the host, you need to start playing the game the way it's supposed to be played and deciding your reads based on the actions of others. If you're not going to step up your play asap, I will push you for lynch. Rank: 4 My thoughts on dedede+Saturn to follow. I don't believe that I need to add more about my opinion on iGrok (Rank: 2), he's my strongest townread but he has to stop the retarded derping around. So please, concentrate and prove me I'm not wrong about you. + Show Spoiler + On July 04 2012 06:39 Cephiro wrote: Mister Saturn: I was okay with his earlygame play, but since then he's gone all wishy-washy and saying he doesn't trust himself at all. He could be honest about it, or he could be scum looking for an easy way to vote for anyone. I don't care if you're unsure about yourself, I want you to do decisions based on your own opinion, not sheep others. Even the best players are wrong sometimes, and I don't want us to lose if you'll happen to sheep a townie that was wrong, or even worse, a scum dragging you by the ropes. The way you talk about "no-one cares about my opinion so I won't push for it anymore, but I have a gun and I'm not afraid to use it", isn't giving you any points in my book either. I want to hear YOUR opinions. Even if you aren't sure who is scum (which few are at this stage of the game), your opinions can still be valuable for others. So pick it up. And think before you act! Rank: 5 Kingdedede: The roleclaim at start seems quite honest to me, with the valid reasoning he gave. I am very interested in seeing how he is going to use it, given that he needs to keep his action secret from scum and only reveal his reasoning in the morning. I'm expecting his N1 action to tell a lot. What I don't like is that he is pushing for a mass claim. Certain roles claiming may be useful yes, but everyone claiming is better for scum than town imo. I like his provided reasoning for why he thinks iGrok is town, and I pretty much agree with it. I also like that he pointed out a minor contradiction in iGrok's play. (iGrok was against a mass claim, but wanted to lynch for role info earlier.) I'm slightly confused why he is pushing for talis lynch so hard without more/better reasoning though. Currently leaning slightly town, but I'm expecting to hear more from him soon, and very much looking forward to what he decides to do N1. Rank: 3 The ranks are just strange. He uses a lot of words to point out tiny things he doesn't like about each person. Risen is the only person he really goes after hard...but he really doesn't describe anything scummy about him. All his accusations look to me like he is accusing Risen of bad play, not being scum. This is really the extent of his scum hunting, outside of tunneling Risen like a boss. I really don't get the sense he is going after the town win-condition. Let's look at the reasoning using his ranks. The highest numbers should lose stock first, continuing on down to the lower numbers. He has Risen first, and as I already explained, his accusations are pretty bad. Following Risen he has grush, a lurker. Following that he has me, because I am polite and I decided I would lynch talismania. Read those three paragraphs, his three top reads, and take note of how phony sounding the accusations are. Now let's go to the reason why he has been basically auto-towned...the NK. This is important. There are perfectly logical reasons for scum Cephiro to aim the NK at himself. Dedede read him as town, so Cephiro knew that as a townie looking Samus, there was a good chance that dedede would choose to protect him via bus. Even if he didn't, the NK only removes one stock, which would absolutely be worth the massive town cred it got him. This does not add or subtract to the case against him. The important thing here is that the NK aimed at Cephiro is a null point. There are logical, valid reasons for it be he town or scum. Without that NK stuff, there is just his filter, and the filter looks pretty bad imo. On to Talismania. It's a lot of the same. He has been very passive. He shit up the thread with set-up speculation. He buddied up to iGrok with the 'translation' post. He also disobeyed his own 'call to action.' + Show Spoiler + On July 04 2012 06:13 talismania wrote: eh then I guess ##unvote ##vote grush57 Since I don't think mister saturn is going to happen. + Show Spoiler + On July 06 2012 01:57 talismania wrote: eh, ##push: Risen I think he's done ok scrambling but I can't shake the fact that he tried to save grush at the last second. grush is clearly scum and he has simply played poorly. He shouldn't have shot the same person they were putting the night kill on to begin with, and he shouldn't have claimed the shot afterwards. Assuming there's at least some modicum of communication between the two scumbuddies, I can't imagine hiropro or strongandbig letting someone do that. I'll go ahead and roleclaim since I don't see why not at this point. I'm kirby, and I ate risen last night. He is indeed a donkey kong (kirby's eating is unaffected by the bus according to toad after I asked). I think this leaves only homerunbat as an unknown role not that it really matters at this point anyway. I don't see conviction, I see going with the flow. This following post is really the only independent scum-hunting I could find from him: + Show Spoiler + On July 03 2012 23:38 talismania wrote: Yo guys I know it seems like I'm focusing too weirdly on the game setup but I'm almost certain toad didn't do this game randomly (and iGrok confirms that) and I also have the benefit of knowing what my role is. And knowing what my role is and the fact that I'm town makes it seem really crazy that town would also have two samuses. I dunno - it could still be balanced that way but it would have to depend on what Grush/homerunbat/risen are. Even then I think risen is town and half the time I think homerunbat is town as well (some vacillation there though). Beyond that point I think Saturn/hiropro is acting the scummiest. To reiterate/expand: 1) Read how he participated in the Risen v iGrok debate. He was there but he wasn't in-your-face there (as cephiro was). He pushed Risen a bit but also threw in heaps of questions all over the place. 2) Pointing out every little thing that could be scummy. He did this with grush just recently and I think once before that I can't remember. Bit of a weak scumtell. 3) Being a bit of an opportunistic voter. Weakest evidence for sure but he hopped on iGrok, then hopped off rather quickly. 4) Even weaker but he has made a few points that hint at thinking from a scum POV, where he talks about the optimal play for scum etc in the beginning. My only big problem with saturn being scum is that I can't figure out who his partner would be. I thought it was iGrok until the post-derp spat and it became clear iGrok picked him up and whatnot (which makes no sense from a scum point of view). In any event ##vote: Mister Saturn ________________ @acro I'm pretty sure iGrok wants to lynch me just to figure out what my role is (same as he would for grush - dunno why he doesn't want to lynch risen for that reason though. or homerunbat). He said not to vote for him today presumably because then we would also be doing 1.5kp to saturn (so he said to wait for tomorrow so he could pick someone else up). Don't know why he wouldn't want the extra damage on saturn though. He calls 2 of his own points weak, and then essentially invalidates his own argument at the end by declaring that he can't be sure because there is nobody that makes sense for his partner. Here's his 'call to action': Call to action: + Show Spoiler + On July 05 2012 01:33 talismania wrote: this is an 8-person game. To expand on what acro is asking for, everyone should be posting their reads of everyone else, at least once a cycle. In a thirty person game this sort of thing is cumbersome, but in a game this small it is essential. It forces scum to talk about themselves and everyone else, the more we make scum lie the better, yadda yadda. I'll keep compiling people's reads and such in the spreadsheet/document as they happen. Did anybody see the follow-through for this? It's just like a broken promise, he didn't answer his own call to action. Lastly, this of course means I think grush57 is town. If you assume Cephiro is scum, grush's actions make sense. I feel good about these reads, but I'm more sure on Talismania, so that's the direction I want to go today. Get your votes off grush57 and on to Talismania. ##unvote ##vote: Talismania | ||
HomerunBat
Oman114 Posts
grush dies-> 3 town vs. 2 scum-> scum Cephiro shoots Saturn+ NK Saturn dies 2 town vs 2 scum=GG | ||
talismania
United States2364 Posts
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grush57
Korea (South)2582 Posts
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s0Lstice
United States1832 Posts
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HomerunBat
Oman114 Posts
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grush57
Korea (South)2582 Posts
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