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Newbie Mini Mafia XVIII

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 21 2012 03:53 GMT
#49
/in please.

For the hosts, this is my second game, the first was newbie mini mafia IV under a hydra account.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-06-22 13:53:21
June 22 2012 05:29 GMT
#80
7. Whomever has the most votes at the end of the day will be lynched!


So just to double check, we're not using a majority lynch system?
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 23 2012 03:26 GMT
#88
On June 22 2012 14:29 BassInSpace wrote:
Show nested quote +
7. Whomever has the most votes at the end of the day will be lynched!


So just to double check, we're not using a majority lynch system?


Um just gonna ask again since it seems my question got buried. Sorry if it seems like a stupid question but I just wanted to double check since from what I've seen most TL games use a majority lynch system?
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 24 2012 02:50 GMT
#106
On June 24 2012 00:24 JieXian wrote:
erm actually since I'm at +8 gmt wouldn't there be a problem for me when it comes to voting? I'd have to vote a lot earlier than everyone else


You're not the only one, I'm at +10 GMT.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 25 2012 14:29 GMT
#175
First of all, for everyone FOSing release for his very early vote, have a look at his past games. I happened to skim over a past newbie game that he so happened to be involved in as a townie, and he did the exact same thing: putting in a very early vote to foster discussion. Whether or not you agree with his decision is not the point; he has done it before and he is doing it again. In fact, what little reasoning was behind his early vote in this game is more than what was in the other game. I am obviously not saying we should just stop looking at him of course, we should continue scrutinising him as much as any other player throughout the game. I am just saying that you guys should approach this particular action of his with caution. Also JieXian, I don't agree with your use of pre-game posts as part of your case against release (in regards to your "create escape route" point. I think analysis of posts should start when the game actually starts.

Now, I interpreted hopeless1der's post to mean that we should lynch those who are actively lying/trying to mislead town (aside from blues protecting themselves, of course). Release, I do really think you were arguing semantics here. Obviously someone putting effort and logic into building their case, but turns out to be wrong shouldn't be lynched even though that could be technically considered "being caught in a lie". That's all I'm going to say about this argument, which has wasted a lot of discussion time IMO.


Esspen, your contributions to the thread so far:

On the policy: I believe we should try to identify and lynch mafia first. Simple policy, but with great results


Which is the whole point of the game and stating the obvious...

I do not get all that "lynch the liar" for several reasons. Townies obviously cannot know whether someone lied or not, only clues they can grasp onto are inconsistencies and vagueness. The only players who know the truth are scums and if the whole game is going to revole around us identifying who lied, mafia is going to win rather easy. Mafia can win just by ereasing their memory that they are mafia and simply playing with a mindset of a townie, leaving townies lyinching each other as they find innocent inconsistencies in their speeches (ie posts). Secondly, even blues have to lie in order to survive.

But that also means when I say "I am mafia." you should lynch me no matter whether it is true or not, as if I'm telling the truth, you just lynched mafia, and if it is not true you lynched liar. (breaks my heart )

But I believe we should try to identify and lynch blues first, confusing mafia and leaving them vulnerable...


And this post. No one is saying we should focus on finding liars. Lies will be just some of the evidence we will use to build up cases against the mafia. And did you just say we should actively find and lynch blue roles? This is some pretty bizarre logic, and you can bet that the rest of the players in this game will be questioning you when they see that post. That had better be some catastrophic typo, or you'd better have a good explanation for that. If you don't, by the next time you post, I will be placing my vote on you for trying to fish for blue roles.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 25 2012 14:44 GMT
#176
Vivax:

I don't see how a lie could possibly help town. Town players are supposed to establish their innocence by being open and honest in their posting, lying does not help to achieve this. Special cases apply where blue roles are concerned of course, but we shouldn't be trying to find blue players and forcing them to lie in the first place. Thus, I am inclined to lynch all liars.

As for lynching lurkers, things get a bit murky for me. Both lynching and not lynching lurkers hurt town in my first game, so this is something that depends on the situation. I am of the opinion that we should stick to our convictions and vote for who we actually think is mafia, rather than stack our votes on a lurker because of pressure from other players (remember, lurkers are easy targets for mafia to bandwagon).

This is where I stand on those 2 policies.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 25 2012 14:50 GMT
#178
Well, English is not esspen's first language I presume, so if anything, it could be that something got lost in translation. Seems pretty clear to me what he's trying to say in that last line though, so I'd like an explanation.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 25 2012 14:52 GMT
#179
EBWOP: an explanation of how getting rid of our blue players puts town in a favourable situation instead of an unfavourable one, and how it confuses mafia.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 25 2012 15:26 GMT
#182
I'm off to bed now, hope we have a productive day everyone.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 26 2012 06:06 GMT
#211
Hopeless1der, you say that policy lynching should be our last resort, but then you post this?

Okay then...which lurker are we lynching? Im seeing Aegon, NrGmonk and BioSC as our prime candidates.


You have a FOS on esspen, who you already said you find suspicious for trying to bring attention back to release, but then you ask which of our "prime candidates" out of those 3 we should lynch? If policy lynching really is the last resort, should you not be pressuring esspen more, or waiting closer to the voting deadline when there has been more activity before you start wanting to lynch lurkers (by my count there are still 22 hours until the deadline)? That is the whole point of a last resort. I really don't like how much attention you were putting on voting for lurkers before BiosC responded to you. I'm not sure if you'll get to see this and respond any time soon because of time zones, but I will hold off putting my vote on you until I go to bed just in case you manage to post before then.

As for esspen, I really don't know. That really is just way too obvious a move for mafia to make as others have said, but I am getting a stronger read from hopeless1der.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 26 2012 15:54 GMT
#217
First of all, for everyone discussing the merits of no-lynching vs mislynching: I just remembered no-lynching is pretty much impossible at this stage. This particular game isn't using a majority lynch system; whoever has the most votes on them will get lynched regardless of whether or not they have more than half of the players voting for them.

5. In the event of a tie the person with the most votes first is lynched.
6. Voting is mandatory. You may NOT abstain.
7. Whomever has the most votes at the end of the day will be lynched!


Because of this, I am very hesitant to decide between BioSC and hopeless1der right now with the current info in the thread, since this will be my last post for the night and I may not be around in time for the deadline. Both players' cases against each other are not enough to convince me, and I would love to be able to analyse both players' posting more. Hopefully I have the time in the morning to read more, but I doubt I will have time to post thorough reasoning for my vote (will be on my phone as well).

For now however, I am going to vote for roflwaffles55.


On June 25 2012 14:37 roflwaffles55 wrote:
Good to see that we already have some conversation going + Show Spoiler +
even if it is just Release flailing his FoS everywhere. :D
.

Figure I'll address a couple of the policy points with my opinions while I'm here.

I haven't really seen a good reason to NL early game, so I'd prefer a mislynch to a NL day 1/2.
As for Release's strategy, at the moment, it is likely just scaring scum from posting.
I'm exhausted, going to sleep now, I'll contribute something more meaningful in the morning.


He didn't post anything useful in his first post, and hasn't made good on his promise to post "something more meaningful in the morning"

If I don't see anyone who sticks out more to me in the morning (or I don't get the time to check), then I am leaving my vote on him/her.

##Vote rofflewaffles55
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 26 2012 16:03 GMT
#218
VIvax, in regards to NrGmonk, here is a post from the NMM XIX thread:

On June 26 2012 05:33 NrGmonk wrote:
I can /in if I'm allowed to play 2 newbie games at the same time and as long as this doesn't start for another week. I have a shitload of TL-related stuff to do this week.


Just something I thought I'd bring up for others to keep in mind.

We seem to disagree on roflwaffles55. His commenting negatively of release isn't "very early" as you put it was easy for him to do. Release's early vote/fos style is brash and sure to attract attention/criticism. Plenty of people thought it was the wrong move due to the lack of information, and roflwaffles55 was third to comment on it negatively, after Hopeless1der and dNa.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 26 2012 16:06 GMT
#219
EBWOP:

We seem to disagree on roflwaffles55. His commenting negatively on release was easy for him to do; release's early vote/fos style is brash and sure to attract attention/criticism. It's not a bold move or particularly townie to disagree with it; plenty of people thought it was the wrong move due to the lack of information. Also, roflwaffles55 was third to comment on it negatively, after Hopeless1der and dNa.

Sorry, the first version read like crap.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 26 2012 16:07 GMT
#220
With that, I'm off to bed.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 27 2012 00:02 GMT
#263
Biosc I'm nit vitiing for hopeless because the weight of your case lies on him making what you likely think is a bad case. I actually agree withvyou as here. However, a bad case by itself cou. ld just as likely be a mistaken townie as mafia. As itty if I misinterpreted your recentvposts though haven't had time to go
through properly.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 27 2012 00:03 GMT
#265
Damn ninja at the last minute sorry I tried to rush out that post asap but my phone was not complying.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 27 2012 00:13 GMT
#268
Actually it would have he changed his vote to roflwaffle. I was actually wanted to get my vote off him after reading gis reason for nit posting but I did nit want a hopeless lynch. I will be looking at DNA later when I have time. Also esspen why the vote on hopeless? No explanation and you didn't even go with majority of town like you Saud you would. At the time it your vote, rofl was ser to be lynched, look at the voting thread.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 27 2012 00:16 GMT
#269
Since you were reminded it is plurality lynch and you didn't need to vote with majority to get a lynch, why vote for hopeless? Your vote was the lynch changer.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 27 2012 08:14 GMT
#285
Jiexian, miltonkram will be replacing one of aegonc or keirathi, who did not vote at all, if that's what you're unsure about. What exactly is holding you back from voting from the remaining lurkers (you do say you really feel like lynching lurkers) and sticking to release? What do you mean by release "doing his thing". He's right, activity isn't good in this game at all, with 2 players being modkilled/replaced already, and a bunch of others posting very little. I didn't like your original case against release; I think it's gotten even worse now.

Esspen:

On June 27 2012 08:14 Esspen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 27 2012 08:07 BioSC wrote:
EBWOP: That goes for Esspen as well. There is NO excuse. There are plenty of cases to choose from. How people are missing Hopeless' scumminess is beyond me, but do NOT waste votes like that. You are too easy targets for scum to manipulate your votes like that.


There are cases, but those cases are not going to be lynched anyway as now it's either Hopeless or Rofl. I unfortunately cannot vote for Hopeless as only thing he's done is gone maybe too far with attacking you, otherwise I completely agree with him.


On June 27 2012 08:53 Esspen wrote:
##Vote Hopeless1der


What was that? I gave you the benefit of doubt at first, but I'm gonna be looking at you very closely again.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 28 2012 02:24 GMT
#302
My case against esspen:

Some of this has already been covered, but I'll just consolidate it all in this post.

On the policy: I believe we should try to identify and lynch mafia first. Simple policy, but with great results.


States the obvious with his very first post


On June 25 2012 20:23 Esspen wrote:
I do not get all that "lynch the liar" for several reasons. Townies obviously cannot know whether someone lied or not, only clues they can grasp onto are inconsistencies and vagueness. The only players who know the truth are scums and if the whole game is going to revole around us identifying who lied, mafia is going to win rather easy. Mafia can win just by ereasing their memory that they are mafia and simply playing with a mindset of a townie, leaving townies lyinching each other as they find innocent inconsistencies in their speeches (ie posts). Secondly, even blues have to lie in order to survive.

But that also means when I say "I am mafia." you should lynch me no matter whether it is true or not, as if I'm telling the truth, you just lynched mafia, and if it is not true you lynched liar. (breaks my heart )

But I believe we should try to identify and lynch blues first, confusing mafia and leaving them vulnerable...



We've already talked about how anti town this tactic would be.

On June 26 2012 02:43 Esspen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2012 22:28 JieXian wrote:
Jokes aside, Esspen why the hell did you post that?


To be quite honest, just to see reactions of people. And maybe catch some scummy behaviour.
Btw I must say that Release seems to be the scum as all reacted to my post it the form of "wtf? please explain" etc. wanting some explanation, yet Release is the only one actually attacking.

Show nested quote +
On June 25 2012 23:52 Release wrote:
If yourself and vivax found that confusing, doesn't that make him Mafia (as opposed to yourselves)? Townies are trying to avoid confusion while mafia try to cause confusion. If you say his reasoning is the reasoning is your reasoning, that's kind of a catch 22



Goes with the flow of the thread by casting yet more suspicion on release, saying he was "the only one attacking" him for that post regarding blues. This isn't true, as he'd raised most active posters' alarm bells, and release's reaction was not any more aggressive than the others.

+ Show Spoiler +
On June 27 2012 04:12 Esspen wrote:
Originally I planned to vote for either BioSC or Release, but now reading posts about Hopeless makes me want to lynch him too... anyway I'll probably vote for what majority votes, no sense in a No-lynch.

Case on BioSC:
His posts before someone accused him as lurker:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2012 11:01 BioSC wrote:
I like Esspen. A man after my own heart!

I've played in one other newbie mafia game, and lurking town + scum made it hard to make reads. So post, and post often, lest I find you and do horrible things to your bodies.

And hi everyone else!

Show nested quote +
On June 25 2012 12:57 BioSC wrote:
On June 25 2012 12:53 Hopeless1der wrote:
To further clarify my response to Release:

I'm saying lynch people that we can collectively agree have been dishonest in something they have said or done.

Further discussions on what constitutes 'dishonesty' may follow at a later time, or right now if whoever is reading this should so happen to desire.


Right now would be the perfect time to discuss it, seeing as we've been talking about it since game start. Now would be a good time to say some things, seeing as how you have the first vote and all.

Show nested quote +
On June 26 2012 03:32 BioSC wrote:
@ JieXian - We have 48 hours from the day 1 post to decide a lynch target, and then 24 hours to submit night actions. The mafia get to shoot at this time as well. Then it all starts over.


So far he has said the obvious, embraced the discussion (while not adding anything to it - this is just weird) and answered a question. Contribution to town - zero.

But after he gets mentioned as a possible target for lynch for being a lurker, he gets active and tries to put the focus on the other lurker who is even more lurkerious. He also mentiones he's not lurker which can only mean that he saw himself being active - might indicate that he wrote such vacuous things for a reason. Also he attacks the one who proposed him for the lynch.
His posts after getting accused for being a lurker:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2012 12:12 BioSC wrote:
On June 26 2012 10:47 Hopeless1der wrote:
Very well dNa, that rules our NrGmonk.

BioSc vs AegonC

Im inclined towards BioSc because he has more useless posts, whereas Aegon could just be super inactive


I'm confused... You want to change policy to lynching lurkers, but want to lynch me because I'm not lurking? Huh...

Show nested quote +
On June 26 2012 12:41 BioSC wrote:
Whatever. My point was that you want to lynch lurkers. AegonC isn't going to be modkilled. He's met the quota (Barely, but he has) Release called you out on your first policy, and now you are shifting to lurkers.

Show nested quote +
On June 26 2012 13:03 BioSC wrote:
On June 26 2012 12:55 Hopeless1der wrote:
##VOTE BioSC

Who says I cannot maintain multiple policies. Not enough has been said for me to conclude that anyone has been dishonest. I do not agree with No-Lynch, especially in the early game.
Are you not a lurker BioSC? In what way...what have you done that suggests otherwise?

(p.s. I know I have to vote in the Vote Thread thread for it to count)


Sorry, I'm not going to make a case on myself for you. If you believe me to be scum, make the case. Look through my filter. I've discussed policy (Hint: I want people to post too)

You are voting for me? Why? Am I a lurker? I'm not even sure you know why you are voting for me. We've done and posted about pretty much the same things. So, I bounce the question back to you. What makes me a lurker, a candidate for YOUR policy, over someone who's filter I can quote in 4 lines?

+ Show Spoiler +
On June 17 2012 03:09 AegonC wrote:
/in

This is my first mafia game, I believe I am signing up correctly.

On June 25 2012 10:22 AegonC wrote:
Perhaps the best way to approach this situation is circumspectly, that is to say don't rush into any stupid decisions. I agree with Hopeless1der, truth should be our banner and justice our sigil!


Show nested quote +
On June 26 2012 13:43 BioSC wrote:
## Vote Hopeless1der

Odd, because I was about to say similar to you. You have yet to explain to me why I've met your random, mysterious qualities for lurking, over someone with bare minimum posting standards.

Here's me not discussing policy - + Show Spoiler +
On June 25 2012 11:01 BioSC wrote:
I like Esspen. A man after my own heart!

I've played in one other newbie mafia game, and lurking town + scum made it hard to make reads. So post, and post often, lest I find you and do horrible things to your bodies.

And hi everyone else!


Hmm... so lets see, now who's meeting policy? Don't try to make a half assed case on me and ignore portions of my filter, especially this early, there is no reason for it. We wanted policy talk done early. I made my statement about lurkers, and that was it.

Now, lets go through YOUR posts.

Your opening post contains some cliche townie wisdom/ Your "policy" (don't lie) wrapped up in some cute dialect.
2-4th posts are you floundering about when Release calls you out on your policy. Trying to make yourself seem better when you are called out (I.E. excuse making.)

Then this post: + Show Spoiler +
On June 26 2012 04:46 Hopeless1der wrote:
FOS:Esspen

Show nested quote +
On June 25 2012 20:23 Esspen wrote:
...

But I believe we should try to identify and lynch blues first, confusing mafia and leaving them vulnerable...



Blues are townies as well, yes? In what game would your suggestion be beneficial to the town? Certainly not a newbie game. This is an insane statement to make, regardless of "I wanted to see the reactions."
Also, Release hasn't really questioned you except for the whole "OMGUS" as the opening post:

Show nested quote +
On June 25 2012 10:04 Release wrote:
Fos: Esspen

I don't like your name. Do something about it.


Oh noes...Granted Release is attacking just about anyone right now, but that's to get things going. Your statement was ridiculous and right now, I'm suspect you of trying to shift the attention back onto him since he's been so vocal that it makes him an easier target.


Release has gone to bed, so his pressure is off you, and now you begin shifting attention away from yourself. Start with the easiest case, Esspen with his really bad "joke" statement. Easy target to shift focus to.

Finally, we arrive to your 3rd policy of the day, Lurkers. No one is really biting on Esspen for whatever reason, so you need to find something that sticks. Lurkers gets some comments, as some people have already expressed interest in that policy.

So your choices are arbitrarily narrowed down to 2 people. If you honestly expect people to follow your lynch lurker policy, Aegon would have probably been a better choice. Hell, I may have gone along with you. But for whatever reason you have yet to explain adequately, you focus me. I think you may have made a few too many scumslips. You can stick to policy lynching lurkers. I'll policy lynch scum.

Show nested quote +
On June 26 2012 13:51 BioSC wrote:
Don't think I've forgotten about you Aegon

FOS Aegon

Step up the activity. If you don't want to be next.

I'm going to bed. See everyone in the morning.


Now on Release:
There is just something wrong with him. Seems like a smart guy, might as well be the most heard one so noone would assume he's mafia. Why would anyone assume that the most outgoing person is mafia?
That's it on him.

Anyway we should all reach some consensus for whom to vote, and then all vote for him.


Then this post, where he basically rehashes everything hopeless1der said about biosc with reworded commentary. Also note how he basically spams biosc's entire filter in this post towards the end with no commentary at all, padding out his post and making it look like he's contributing more than he really has. Note also that he is very indecisive; he planned to vote for biosc or release, then hopeless1der, makes a case against biosc and then votes for roflwaffles55

I know we gave him the benefit of the doubt after that bizarre post saying we should lynch blues, but he can't hide behind this cover forever. I think this is something we should deal with now rather than later. For now I'm voting for him, but this is of course subject to change if a better target presents themselves. Jinglehell, I might have something to add to your vivax case later, but I have to rush now, so it'll have to wait.

## Vote Esspen
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 28 2012 02:27 GMT
#303
EBWOP:

Massive screw up in the second last paragraph, it's meant to read:

Note also that he is very indecisive; he planned to vote for biosc or release, then hopeless1der, makes a case against biosc and then votes for hopeless1der despite saying he wouldn't.

On June 27 2012 08:14 Esspen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 27 2012 08:07 BioSC wrote:
EBWOP: That goes for Esspen as well. There is NO excuse. There are plenty of cases to choose from. How people are missing Hopeless' scumminess is beyond me, but do NOT waste votes like that. You are too easy targets for scum to manipulate your votes like that.


There are cases, but those cases are not going to be lynched anyway as now it's either Hopeless or Rofl. I unfortunately cannot vote for Hopeless as only thing he's done is gone maybe too far with attacking you, otherwise I completely agree with him.


This is his last post btw.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 28 2012 15:19 GMT
#315
I wanted to wait to see what Vivax would post before adding to Jinglehell's FOS, and he has more than delivered.

@Jinglehell, while you raise an interesting point about him making his presence known in a relatively inactive game to appear towny, my case doesn't actually revolve around any of that.

My case against Vivax:

The post that made me suspicious of Vivax was this one:

On June 27 2012 19:25 Vivax wrote:
Esspen voted for hopeless when rofl was set to lynch, as already mentioned.

If one of them is scum, the other most likely is, too. With the current information available, I would go for one of them.

Also remember that posting cases during the night can make you a target for scum.
Speaking of it, I think I'm the designed nightkill simply cause noone suspected me yet. Townies who are believed to be townies are dangerous for scum, and I didn't see any blue role vibes for them to use yet, so they don't have many alternatives.


What exactly makes you so special Vivax? If your definition of a townie believed to be a townie is someone who hadn't had suspicion cast on them yet, then at the time of that post, dNa, keirathi, JieXian and myself all fit the bill. Why would you be the only candidate for being shot? I think you're trying to make yourself look more towny than you really are.

Now for this next part I'd like people to follow his filter as they read my post, because there are too many suspicious posts for me to place here:

The other thing that I find suspicious is your habit of going after easy targets, and insistence in voting for JingleHell over esspen. Your basis for voting rofl in the first place was his lurking. Jinglehell has already posted way more than rofl has, yet you still prefer his lynch over esspen because you think a Jinglehell lynch would yield more information. We now know rofl didn't post because of RL issues; he was replaced. He wasn't lurking with a mafia agenda. His replacement is now active, not lurking. Why are you still going after him over esspen or dNa?

Your main target now is Keirathi. Again, the easy target because he hasn't done anything in awhile. But again, why Keirathi over esspen or dNa? Since the policy discussion on day 1, Keirathi didn't even vote, and should have been modkilled/replaced by now. Keirathi is not lurking with a mafia agenda either.

I'm thinking you're trying to leave the esspen vs jinglehell lynch alive as long as possible by going for Keirathi. This way, town will have to deal with the potential relationship between esspen and jinglehell and lynch one, when YOU know that neither one is mafia.

He put a lot of effort into discussing policy the entire game (look at how detailed and thorough his first post in the game is compared to the rest), and has not made a single case against anyone. I don't count casting suspicion all over the place (especially with regards to esspen and jingle) and then wanting to go after keirathi for lurking (which i already pointed out as flawed) as making cases.

Lastly:

+ Show Spoiler +
On June 28 2012 20:41 Vivax wrote:
If we kill Esspen and he is scum, then JingleHell most likely is scum, too. (For being protected by Esspen against his own beliefs)
If we kill Esspen and he is townie, then JingleHell can be anything.

If we kill Jinglehell and he is scum, then Esspen is either scum or a misled townie with confusing playstyle.
If we kill Jinglehell and he is town, then Esspen probably isn't scum cause scum would have known Jinglehell (roflwaffle55) was town, and wouldn't have had to vote like that.

I still find these options to be risky overall, so I went on with looking at other information:

Let's have a look at the nightkill, scum has to be sloppy to use it to kill people suspecting them openly. They would rather use nightkills to cast suspicion upon others.
However, in this case, Release had a lot of interesting interactions at the start:

-He was the first to suspect Hopeless1der
-dNa was the first to suspect Release
-immediately after, Keirathi put his FoS on him aswell based on the same argument dNa used (using votes so early isn't good, they said.)

+ Show Spoiler +
Ok, I got suspicious about Keirathi here, so I had a quick look at his filter, and

-Keirathi tried to put doubt on the most active townie soon and only after another one did.
-He doesn't post anything suspicious about Release on his own, instead he tries to encourage more policy discussion.
When he's done with that, he suddenly drops his Release FoS cause 'he's putting himself too much into the limelight for a townie'. After dropping the FoS, he immediately follows other townies into the attention switch onto Esspen.

Keirathi: Bandwagony, really weak contributions, tries to blend in, keeps activity to a minimum.


- JieXian posted a case against Release.
- After the lynch, Release called out BioSC for his criticism of high activity. No real threat for Bio here yet.

Then, he got killed.

I'd like to hear some more regarding Release's death and especially Keirathi. Latter has a very passive, safe playstyle, the mafiavibes are strong with this one.

FoS: Keirathi


You can't speculate on night kills like this. I could just as easily say mafia killed the people who WERE suspecting them openly because they figure people would never think they'd do something that obvious. I believe prompting discussion about night kills like this (half of that whole post) and your constant focusing on "lurkers" who aren't actually lurking in a scummy fashion is an attempt at confusing town and stifling useful discussion.

For now, I am getting off esspen and going for you Vivax















BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 28 2012 15:19 GMT
#316
Oh wow, sorry for the massive space at the bottom, my mistake.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 28 2012 15:21 GMT
#317
EBWOP:

I'm thinking you're trying to leave the esspen vs jinglehell lynch alive as long as possible by going for Keirathi. This way, town will have to deal with the potential relationship between esspen and jinglehell and lynch one later in the game, when YOU know that neither one is mafia.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 02:57 GMT
#353
On my phone right now, skimmed over stuff. Vivax still holding out on defense post? And I'm guessing your failproof defense is that you attempted to switch last minute to roflwaffle in the day one vote but it wad too late.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 11:53 GMT
#358
I'm back now, gonna go over the last few pages in detail. Vivax, you realise this makes it very hard for JieXian and myself who are on the other side of the world right? I was looking forward to reading your defense and weighing it up against the case I and the others made against you. Instead, I now have to put in my vote in a few hours' time before I sleep without having read anything substantial from you. That aside, posting your case so late is going to confuse, and could potentially cause last minute vote switches when people can't even discuss your case. Should we just all post our reads and defenses at the last minute so mafia can't "get themselves back into a safe spot?"
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 13:33 GMT
#362
Here's my problem with esspen. We can all agree he has been posting... sub-optimally.So much so that most of us have voted or FOS'd him at some point in the game but were never quite sure because of how blatantly weird/anti-town his posts have been. However, the bolded section of this post by dNa got me thinking:


+ Show Spoiler +
On June 29 2012 11:11 dNa wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 29 2012 10:00 Miltonkram wrote:
Let's take a look at what dNa just said:
---snip
The reason why i vote for Esspen and not for JingleHell is that, Esspen's posts overall are just confusing, not really helpful, and even if all my suspicions on them were wrong and they really would be townies, he seems the better guy to lose of them.

Not good reasoning. We're here to lynch scum, not confusing/suboptimal players. dNa's reasoning reeks of scumminess. I think we just found our last scum guys. My plan is we lynch Vivax today, BioSC tomorrow, and dNa the next, though I really don't care about the order. Any takers?

Another scummy point for Vivax:
- He's been pretty content to sit back and just pressure lurkers. This is another deviation from his town play in NMM XV. I'd imagine a town Vivax would put a bit more effort into cases against active players. Pushing for a lurker lynch is a really non-confrontational move. Tralalala, obvious scum is obvious.

Since Esspen has come under heavy fire, here's a town point in his favor.
In case Vivax (i know i said i believe both BioSC and Vivax are scums, but more people seem to dislike Vivax) won't seem to get lynched this day I have two propositions:
1: you lynch me and if I turn out to be townie, you lynch Vivax
2: you lynch Vivax and if he turns out to be townie, you lynch me

He's either making a ballsy scum move, or this is extremely pro-town. Offering to take the lynch in order to confirm that your reads are made in good faith isn't a move most scum would think of IMO. If the assumptions I've made on our scumteam are wrong, then I'll rethink taking Esspen up on his offer. I've got to take a rather long trip, my case on BioSC will have to wait for a little while.

I'm feeling pretty good about this game


I really enjoy where you put out all the reasoning behind my vote and just quoted the one thing that does not 100% point into esspen's direction, although part of it does. really great manipulation in this post, i'll give you that.

to your points against vivax i'm only seeing alot of "metagaming" on your end, no actual tells in this game.

in regards to your points about Esspen i agree, this is one thing not many scum players would have done... then again maybe he saw that after the history he has gotten in this channel, he has lost his value as a scum asset and therefore - after consolidating with his teammates, decided to make this move to:
1. appear not scummy for once
2. increase the amount of attention in regards to Vivax's case.


If indeed esspen is scum (and is now seen as a liability to his team) and vivax is town, he could very well just be adding another vote to vivax to force the lynch, not caring that he will be up next if the flip reveals vivax is town, hence his fearlessness in saying that we should lynch him should vivax flip town to give himself town cred (what do you think of this Miltonkram? This was your soft defense of him after all). Even though I've switched to pressuring Vivax now, I'm still very suspicious of esspen; I feel that my original case against him from a few days ago is still valid, and what I've discussed here doesn't help improve my opinion of him. However...

Vivax, as it is, I cannot change my vote from you, because I haven't read your secret defense post. Again, I sincerely did want to, because I did agree with you that it was hard not to target lurkers considering that amount of activity in the thread at that point. It was that post I highlighted in my case (where you said you thought you were the most towny and therefore most likely to be shot) and your choice in exactly which lurkers to target that pushed me to making a case on you. I will try to get online before the deadline to read it, and if it is convincing enough, change my vote accordingly.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 13:42 GMT
#363
At the very least, I am pleased with the activity this has generated. On top of my suspicion, part of the reasoning for my posting an actual case was so we could get discussion on something other than esspen and lurkers. Btw Vivax, when you say my posts have "craploads of mistakes in them" I hope you are talking about the typos rather than the actual content... If so, let's just say I'm not a fan of the Android system's autocorrect function. I do apologise about that though, and the sometimes brief/quick posts when I'm rushing. I normally post the meatier stuff around this time (my night) if you haven't noticed, so this is usually when I can really delve into things. That being said, I have a party tomorrow night, so I won't be as active. Also, I forgot to actually

##Vote Vivax
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 13:44 GMT
#364
Vivax I'll be around for another 2 hours-ish if you're still around.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 13:54 GMT
#365
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 29 2012 16:15 JieXian wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 29 2012 03:21 Esspen wrote:
On June 29 2012 02:45 BioSC wrote:
Now that you are here, and have posted your reads, which of me or Vivax is the bigger scum read atm?

Both, I'm certain for you 98% and Vivax 102% (ok that means Vivax).

And this defence of eachother just makes me think you are both scums.

In case Vivax (i know i said i believe both BioSC and Vivax are scums, but more people seem to dislike Vivax) won't seem to get lynched this day I have two propositions:
1: you lynch me and if I turn out to be townie, you lynch Vivax
2: you lynch Vivax and if he turns out to be townie, you lynch me


WTF? You start the post attacking and linking Bio and Vivax together and end by putting the 2 people who are most likely to be lynched on the line? To gain what?

You don't make any sense Esspen....................................

For now you're next on my list after Vivax.

Show nested quote +
On June 29 2012 10:00 Miltonkram wrote:
Let's take a look at what dNa just said:
---snip
The reason why i vote for Esspen and not for JingleHell is that, Esspen's posts overall are just confusing, not really helpful, and even if all my suspicions on them were wrong and they really would be townies, he seems the better guy to lose of them.

Not good reasoning. We're here to lynch scum, not confusing/suboptimal players. dNa's reasoning reeks of scumminess. I think we just found our last scum guys. My plan is we lynch Vivax today, BioSC tomorrow, and dNa the next, though I really don't care about the order. Any takers?

Another scummy point for Vivax:
- He's been pretty content to sit back and just pressure lurkers. This is another deviation from his town play in NMM XV. I'd imagine a town Vivax would put a bit more effort into cases against active players. Pushing for a lurker lynch is a really non-confrontational move. Tralalala, obvious scum is obvious.

Since Esspen has come under heavy fire, here's a town point in his favor.
In case Vivax (i know i said i believe both BioSC and Vivax are scums, but more people seem to dislike Vivax) won't seem to get lynched this day I have two propositions:
1: you lynch me and if I turn out to be townie, you lynch Vivax
2: you lynch Vivax and if he turns out to be townie, you lynch me

He's either making a ballsy scum move, or this is extremely pro-town. Offering to take the lynch in order to confirm that your reads are made in good faith isn't a move most scum would think of IMO. If the assumptions I've made on our scumteam are wrong, then I'll rethink taking Esspen up on his offer. I've got to take a rather long trip, my case on BioSC will have to wait for a little while.

I'm feeling pretty good about this game


I'm giving you the BOTD for now in abscence of much evidence but HOLY SHIT that really sounds like a scumslip: How the hell can you be so dead sure of yourself?

That defense of Esspen isn't a defense at all imo, everyone knows both of them are on the chopping block either way. However if Esspen is scum you won't be feeling good about yourself. So I'm not linking both of you together as scum. Rather I see it as a pretentious defense of Esspen for townie cred since he's probably going to die anyways and you would know that he's townie.


If both Vivax and Esspen flip townie I'm going to hunt for Milton. (Unless of course either Bio or Dna flip scum)

ok I'm quite worried about dying now so IF I GET SHOT TONIGHT FUCKIGN HUNT MILTON DOWN

If I'm wrong and I know it's a long shot with a lot of ifs, Milton sorry for being crazy. If either 3 of them from your list flip scum you're gonna get some townie cred from me.


This is another take regarding esspen that I had considered earlier. That nagging feeling that in fact esspen is town and we're all being played by mafia. However, JieXian, I disagree with you holding Miltonkram's confidence against him. Him saying that he feels "pretty good about the game" is a rather trivial remark. I think we both agree that his soft defense of esspen may warrant further discussion though, but that is for another day I think.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 14:11 GMT
#367
Damn it, I suspected you were the DT. Your playstyle kind of reminded me of my own when I played DT in my first game, but I couldn't be sure. Because of this, I'm willing to take the chance and take you on your word that you are in fact the DT. I'm not too sure about your decision to roleclaim, since I don't think your lynch is set in stone and you could've breadcrumbed as insurance, but I understand it's hard given that 2 of the votes on you were in different time zones and may not have been changed.

## Vote JingleHell
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 14:22 GMT
#371
Um I never said there was a breadcrum, he just straight out roleclaimed.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 14:28 GMT
#375
I don't know what you don't understand, but let me take a stab at guessing. I'm saying it might have been preferable for him to breadcrumb INSTEAD of straight out roleclaiming, on the chance that he doesn't get lynched, so that our DT stays hidden.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 14:44 GMT
#378
On June 29 2012 23:18 JingleHell wrote:
So a false roleclaim and a false accusation is your "perfect" proof? Again, an effort to contravene the weight of evidence based on trying to force a reaction.

I suppose, Vivax, that on night 1, you checked every single individual who was going to make a case against you today, and everyone is scum, right?

Tell me, out of your "scumlist" you posted earlier, of
Show nested quote +
Miltonkram, JingleHell, Esspen, Keirathi, NrGMonk

listed in that order, why would you not have listed or weighted the names differently? Why would you discuss lynching for information that you already have and aren't uncomfortable giving out with a roleclaim?

Something doesn't add up here, so I'm going to accuse you of a false roleclaim to get your head off the chopping block.


Jinglehell, the DT is meant to play like a normal town player. He is allowed to have a scumlist, based on relationships he believes exists between players. It can be argued that a relationship exists between Miltonkram, Esspen and yourself, for instance. He doesn't need to check a person before making a case against them. People would then be asking why he is so slow to make cases or confirm his position, and could make others supicious of his true role. Also, the way he formatted the list is something that is trivial at best IMO.

Esspen, same points apply to you. He is allowed to accuse more than one person even though he has a positive check on one. His decision to vote keirathi is strange, I'll admit, and hopefully he can explain it before I sleep. However, I'm still leaving my vote on you jinglehell.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 15:19 GMT
#387
The DT can only make checks at night. That was still during day 1.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 15:33 GMT
#390
Vivax, my post was in reply to this post by JieXian, explaining why it wasn't possible for you to have a scum check on waffles on day 1.

On June 30 2012 00:11 JieXian wrote:
Vivax I'm ready to give you the BOTD and unvote you since I mainly voted you to get because you were really irritated me by wanting to post after feeling threathened, if you can clarify a few things:

Show nested quote +
On June 27 2012 19:25 Vivax wrote:
Esspen voted for hopeless when rofl was set to lynch, as already mentioned.

If one of them is scum, the other most likely is, too. With the current information available, I would go for one of them.

Also remember that posting cases during the night can make you a target for scum.
Speaking of it, I think I'm the designed nightkill simply cause noone suspected me yet. Townies who are believed to be townies are dangerous for scum, and I didn't see any blue role vibes for them to use yet, so they don't have many alternatives.


Why are you as a DT asking to be killed? Especially since you didn't breadcrumb anything as insurance?

Show nested quote +
On June 27 2012 09:00 Vivax wrote:
##unvote
##Vote roflwaffle55


Show nested quote +
On June 27 2012 09:02 Vivax wrote:
Oh god my vote didn't get through in time -.-


And that gives me seeeeeeeeeeeerious doubts about for roleclaim right there.

Why the hell delay if you knew he was scum?
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 15:34 GMT
#392
If you haven't been following I've been on your side since your role claim...
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 29 2012 15:59 GMT
#398
Off to bed, should be back before day 2's end.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 30 2012 02:15 GMT
#495
I was banking on vivax playing a timid/overly cautious DT only making solid cases after he made checks, hence my vote change despite his qeustionable play. I'm gonna review everything and have jinglehell pushed back to a null read for now despite vivax's last post, since I am not a fan of his focus on hypotheticals.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
June 30 2012 02:20 GMT
#496
Ebwop: only wanting to make solid cases on people after he had checked them during nights, hence his apparent inconsistencies before he could actually make said checks. This is why I believed his DT claim. Maybe it's from having played DT in my previous game.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 01 2012 07:46 GMT
#539
+ Show Spoiler +
On July 01 2012 09:18 JingleHell wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 01 2012 09:13 Esspen wrote:
I'm confused, why would mafia kill somebody we suspected of being mafia? Wtf?


Well, answering that requires that we understand what the scum were thinking. We don't, so all we can do is drive ourselves into a state of paranoia trying to metagame the people who know more than us.

The best thing we can do is try to find the case where Milton being dead is beneficial to the scum. Look at his discussions, look at his thought process, look at other people's thought processes about him. Time to dive into the filters and start trying to piece things together, IMO.


+ Show Spoiler +
On July 01 2012 09:30 JingleHell wrote:
Milton calls Keirathi scummy. Which was something Vivax also thought before the OMGUS against me exploded into a rather unfortunate shitstorm. + Show Spoiler +

On June 30 2012 07:59 Miltonkram wrote:
Keirathi, the question doesn't come down to "what does town lose if player X is telling the truth." It comes down to who you think is scum. The fact that you acknowledge that there is a decent case against him but you does not reflect well on your alignment. Here is why I'm voting Vivax over JingleHell: Vivax's play has been incredibly scummy, JingleHell's has not. It's that simple.


On June 30 2012 08:02 Miltonkram wrote:
EBWOP: "The fact that you acknowledge that there is a decent case against him but you don't vote for him does not reflect well on your alignment."



Keirathi, of course, was right in the thick of a lot of the hot points of that mess, and now he's trying to discuss policy when we're in a world of trouble numerically.

Milton's other suspicion mentioned at one point...
Show nested quote +
On June 29 2012 10:20 Miltonkram wrote:

What do you think of dNa's reasoning for his Esspen vote? Pretty scummy right?


Bear in mind, even though yesterday went terribly, Milton was one of the few people really trying to consider the cases, and look at alternatives even after it started exploding.

This isn't even a read, this is ONLY Milton's last couple of times saying someone looked scummy, which gives us a place to start looking. After the debacle, I'm going to be as methodical as possible to avoid a town loss because of another OMGUS shouting match.

These are only highlights, please read filters and help with this, the last thing we want is for scum to poke and prod us into a horrid bandwagon.


JingleHell, I feel like your second post is doing exactly what you cautioned against in your first post: metagaming the people who know more than us. Besides, I don't think Milton's point against keirathi holds any weight anymore, considering how Vivax flipped.

On July 01 2012 10:22 Keirathi wrote:
While I agree that we have to find some credible evidence to decide on who to lynch eventually, it's pretty counter-productive to discuss it today if we do decide to no-lynch. If we have even the slightest evidence against someone, and lay it out, then decide to no-lynch and they are in fact town, then there is virtually 0% chance that the mafia night-kills that person, which just leads to more suspicion towards them the next day, giving mafia a stronger case to get them lynched and win the game. No-lynching gives us one less person to have to try to build a case against.

Like I said, its not that I don't agree with you, its just that no-lynching is our best solution, and until it happens, any information we disclose can give mafia ammunition to use during the next day.


This might be true if it wasn't for one factor: Esspen. There is already evidence against him (and 2 votes currently against him from NrGmonk and dNa). We have to come to a consensus regarding him as soon as possible. He has been suspected the entire game so far and with good reason. If we decide on a no lynch, people will still be arguing about him the next day and mafia knows it. As you said, they won't shoot him; he's too valuable an asset for them if he's town (granted at this point even if he is mafia, he could still be considered an asset, just look at how many cases have been made against him or revolve around him, and he is STILL alive with no mafia lynched). If you want to no lynch, this point, combined with JieXian's points, must be considered.

I also feel we are wasting our nights because we are too afraid of posting some revolutionary new idea or case that will get us shot. If it is posted and gains enough momentum during the night with enough people agreeing, I don't see why mafia would choose to shoot that person over any other player who agreed. This no lynch is something that we could definitely have discussed in the night. Keirathi, you could've posted your no lynch idea earlier in the night for others to discuss. Had we reached a consensus before the day started, I see no reason for mafia to target you over any other player. Even if we did not reach a consensus during the night, your idea and posts during the night would still have been there for us to reflect on while discussing a no lynch.

Anyway, I am opposed to a no lynch for the above mentioned reasons for now, and am very likely to vote for Esspen.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 01 2012 07:49 GMT
#540
Barring some strong evidence against another player of course.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 01 2012 13:49 GMT
#545
Esspen, seriously? That's how you're going to post? Did you even read what has been posted, and if so, are you asking us to lynch you?
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 05:41 GMT
#563
On July 02 2012 12:40 Keirathi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 02 2012 04:58 NrGmonk wrote:
Keirathi, I think now the evidence against Esspen is indisputable and "concrete", with quotes like:



No. That is exactly the opposite of concrete.

Does he have the most compelling case against him? Certainly. Does that make it a concrete case? Definitely not.

Think about our judicial system. Everything you quoted is circumstantial evidence. Its probably enough to convince a jury of our peers of the defendants guilt, but it is very much not guaranteed.

Think about it like this: if you assume that he is mafia, then those quotes can easily feel like indicators of that. But what if you assume he is town?




Now, I agree that he probably still has the strongest individual case against him. But it is NOT concrete. But, our only hope for concrete evidence at this point are credible blue role claims, and the slim chance that they actually have useful information. And claiming them during the day today would just be suicide, hence my whole no-lynch policy.


What exactly does a mass blue role claim achieve? Nothing.
Medic: Only knows as much as the rest of town.
Veteran: Same as above, at this stage; there has been a night kill each night so far.
Jailkeeper: Also only knows as much as the rest of town at this stage.
Vigilante: Dead

The ONLY role that would provide us with more information is the detective, and we don't even know if we have one. So please clarify exactly what concrete information would be gained from a mass role claim? You are taking the risk that we actually have a detective, which is not "concrete". You would need EVERYONE to actually trust the role claims if we go ahead with your no lynch in order to get some "confirmed" town.

Also:

+ Show Spoiler +
If we have even the slightest evidence against someone, and lay it out, then decide to no-lynch and they are in fact town, then there is virtually 0% chance that the mafia night-kills that person, which just leads to more suspicion towards them the next day, giving mafia a stronger case to get them lynched and win the game.


To which I replied:

+ Show Spoiler +
This might be true if it wasn't for one factor: Esspen. There is already evidence against him (and 2 votes currently against him from NrGmonk and dNa). We have to come to a consensus regarding him as soon as possible. He has been suspected the entire game so far and with good reason. If we decide on a no lynch, people will still be arguing about him the next day and mafia knows it. As you said, they won't shoot him; he's too valuable an asset for them if he's town (granted at this point even if he is mafia, he could still be considered an asset, just look at how many cases have been made against him or revolve around him, and he is STILL alive with no mafia lynched). If you want to no lynch, this point, combined with JieXian's points, must be considered.


You didn't even address that post, so how can you hope to convince others if you don't even defend the flaws in your idea?

+ Show Spoiler +
It seems that everyone is against the no-lynch then role-claim idea. I really don't understand, but whatever. I'm not going to keep defending the idea over and over and over again.


You can't just propose an idea and expect us all to go along with it if you don't even address the points made against it. Or maybe you just didn't read my post, I don't know.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 05:43 GMT
#564
To add on, what makes a medic or veteran claim believable? There has been a kill every night. A jailkeeper claim would also not be 100% believable for the same reasons.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 05:55 GMT
#567
+ Show Spoiler +
The repeat votes on the mislynches go to BioSC, rofl/JingleHell, and Esspen.
Turns out all of them were in Vivax's list, but I'm not really sure how much stock we can put into that. It does seem fishy that rofl/Jingle had a large number of votes both days, and got out of it with an Esspen vote change. However, Jingle has his vote on Esspen right now. Has the mafia decided to give up one of their own already? Or is it possible that Esspen is just playing badly and mafia sees a chance to railroad him?


IMO Esspen is still the best target out of those 3. I was actually getting suspicious of BioSC, who hasn't said much at all recently, but then I realised yesterday that it was his birthday (he had a birthday icon while I looked through his filter), so I'm not sure if this is really lurking with a mafia agenda or not. I'm not sure about JingleHell, but Esspen's last minute vote switches are either an attempt to save a mafia JingleHell from a lynch, or a continuous attempt at setting up suspicions. If he is a poor town player who just doesn't care (if he is a town player I was ok with the poor posting since it's a newbie game, but that last post was just in poor form), then I'm sorry, but he will still be causing problems for the next day if we leave him alive.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 06:05 GMT
#569
But again, you are still gambling on all of us agreeing on the lynch for the next day Keirathi. Also, a jailkeeper can't roleblock a mafia kill role, they can only keep a player safe FROM a night kill if I understand correctly. To be honest, I am actually still open to a no lynch, it's just that I think Esspen really would cause us problems if left alive. So much discussion has been about whether or not he is brazen mafia or misguided (and now lazy) town. My vote currently boils down to esspen vs no lynch.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 06:30 GMT
#572
But how exactly do you suppose people will actually make role claims believable?
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 06:36 GMT
#574
Well what do you think of the no lynch right now JieXian?
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 06:50 GMT
#576
It says that Mafia KP is always one. I don't think jailing one mafia will result in a blocking of their night shot.

can we get a clarification of the jailkeeper role? If a member of the mafia is jailed, does the mafia team's night shot still go through?

BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 15:50 GMT
#582
Well, we've just wasted half a day discussing the no lynch policy rather than hunting mafia. I suspect there is 1 or more mafia currently on the esspen wagon. We've had Keirathi, JingleHell, JieXian and myself discussing the no lynch for awhile now, while dNa and NrGmonk, who posted after the discussion started, haven't said a word about it and threw their votes on esspen. I'm starting to suspect that esspen really isn't mafia, but I don't think I can push a solid case on either of those 2 in this MYLO situation with what I currently have. Maybe they'll post later, but I am actually going to vote for the no lynch for now.

##Vote no lynch
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 15:55 GMT
#583
And with that, I'm off to bed. I'll be around maybe 30 minutes to an hour before the lynch on my phone to change my vote if events develop further.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 23:43 GMT
#617
But is there any sense in keirathi trying so hard to push this idea if he were mafia? Everyone wanted esspen dead. It would be much easier for mafia to just bus him at this point. He has pushed this idea so hard that it would indeed put him in bad light if esspen flips mafia. There is no reason for him to take such a big risk when mafia still have w pretty good chance of winning considrting we have no other reads. I believe he is townie and I know I a, leading me to the conclusion that mafia are bandwagonning esspen.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 23:46 GMT
#618
So is no one else here or us everyone just waiting...
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 23:50 GMT
#619
It's ten minutes to deadline and esspen hasn't even voted. This is looking more and more likely like he's a town player who has given up.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 23:53 GMT
#621
I am willing to take the chance that I look suspicious if I don't vote him, but I don't care. I believe I am right. I would try to push a DNA lynch if it weren't so late.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 23:56 GMT
#623
And I understand that esspen has a decent case against him so its not really.bandwagonning, which is what makes this situation and this whole game hard. I am not voting for esspen purely because I believe keirathi is town, and I know I am, which jeans mafia wants a town lynch.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 23:57 GMT
#624
Wants an esspen lynch sorry
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 02 2012 23:58 GMT
#625
If you're talking about focussing on other suspicious people then yes, DNA.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 03 2012 00:02 GMT
#630
Which is why I said the game has been so difficult because if him, but here we go...
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 03 2012 00:07 GMT
#639
I was pretty sure about jinglehell for shutting down keirathi so hard, but but was sure I couldn't push a case against you with the current votes so I figured a no lynch was my next best bet. Bio's birthday let him off the hook and jiexian I suspected earlier but he took a backemseat during the vivax debacle and now this, but wp guys.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 03 2012 00:09 GMT
#641
Yeah jiexian did indeed do a decent Jon of posting just the right amount. Will there be post game analysis by the hosts?
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 03 2012 00:15 GMT
#643
Esspen's last post seemed like a big "screw you guys" cus everyone said he posted poorly. I'm wondering if we were too harsh considering this is a newbie game.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 03 2012 00:21 GMT
#646
Doesn't he simply get mafia banned for not voting?
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 03 2012 00:59 GMT
#659
Out of curiosity, it seems everyone in obs had esspen pegged as town. Is this true?
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 03 2012 01:03 GMT
#663
And at what point did people think he was town?
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 03 2012 01:24 GMT
#676
Oh obs qt was posted nvm.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 03 2012 06:01 GMT
#690
Oh I didn't know that about the no lynch either. The only reason I chose to vote for it though was because at that stage of the game I thought there was a higher chance of getting a no lynch than a lynch of a player besides esspen. We really did waste too much time talking about the no lynch.
BassInSpace
Profile Joined June 2011
Australia165 Posts
July 03 2012 06:02 GMT
#691
Oh and thanks kita and blazinghand for hosting
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