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Surprisingly Normal Mini Mafia XI - Page 19

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Mordanis
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States893 Posts
May 01 2012 07:00 GMT
#361
Yes, sir, mister Golden, sir
First things first, I just realized that nreekay = Enrique...
Yeah...
Anyways
Nreekay has only really posted three things which can be evaluated, and of course I can analyze his vote. I'll begin with his first analytical post.

+ Show Spoiler [first post] +

+ Show Spoiler +

On April 28 2012 04:12 nreekay324 wrote:
Hello again all,
Lots to go through, I’ll try to make it neat;

Why I voted for whysomuch so early
+ Show Spoiler +

It was an impulse post. When I saw that yomi voted for him, it triggered me. I played with yomi in a previous game, and I had to endure the aftermath of an overly aggressive play he made (more on this later). My reason was obviously unsubstantiated, + Show Spoiler +
(i just really dislike twilight)


No-Lynch Stance
+ Show Spoiler +
I’ve alluded to before, and I’d like to state explicitly that I think no-lynch is a generally bad policy, with little exception. Other people have (whysomuch, lazermonkey) have made some points about this. It is very unlikely that by the deadline that town won’t have high-scum read targets to vote for. Sure, a mis-lynch would suck, but it’s not like we’re voting randomly. If there really aren’t clear scum choices, than we should no-lynch. This leads me to the next point, which is why I really think no-lynch is important.

Generating discussion
+ Show Spoiler +
More discusion = more info = better for town. If the town’s general consensus flirts too much with no-lynch, then it will encourage lurking.
On April 27 2012 22:48 The_Zen_Man wrote:
If we vote for a nolynch there will still be people, like yourself, that would oppose that and vote for a person instead. We can use that information to decide everyone standings. The time before deadline will also give us information, as we can observe how people act then.

The quality / quantity of information can vary drastically with a town that has a lot of votes and cases and from a town that has some votes, a few cases, and some no-lynches. It goes beyond who voted for who, it’s who voted for who and why they did so. People have to build cases to vote for people, and cases = more discussion.


“Meta-game”? (yomi)
+ Show Spoiler +
People have mentioned meta-game elements, specifically yomi’s quick-post. Specifically,
Golden
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 27 2012 13:33 O.Golden_ne wrote:
I've seen yomi's play before and i understand he likes to be aggressive, and i like his aggression.. i just hope it isn't misplaced aggression and i want him to explain to me why he has picked WhySoMuch other than for his pro-first-day-lynch attitude and his contrary views on the percentages of lynching. i think you have to pick your battles and maybe lynching people with opposing views might not be the key, opposing views lead to discussion, which leads to correct eviction.

On April 27 2012 16:27 O.Golden_ne wrote:
Perhaps the small shred of logic yomi has shown in his lurking argument makes him less suspicious than Nreekay?

Pure SC2
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 27 2012 23:58 Pure-SC2 wrote:
@AcesAnoka - Yomi has a bit of a reputation from his last 2 newbie games and he tends to play the same way regardless of if he is scum or town. He's essentially trying to stir up discussion by posting "off the wall" (yomi feel free to correct me here if you'd explain it differently). Last game it got him lynched day 1 and he was town, so while it's good to pressure him like you are, bare in mind that this is essentially how he plays.

Both Golden and Pure SC2 cite yomi’s previous game, in which he played blantantly aggressively and voted early off of little (no) evidence. I know this, because I was in the same game yomi was in. His play severely impacted that game, and it was still on my mind in the beginning of this game.
What I find interesting however, is that both Golden and PureSC2 are making the beginnings of yomi’s town case FOR him, with the previous game serving as “meta-game evidence”. This is suspicious to me. They are beginning yomi’s defense case for him, why not let him make it? Further, if yomi decided to use this “meta-game evidence to make a case for himself eventually, I would be highly suspicious of yomi, because it could be a perfect mafia play. If other “townies” began the defense for yomi, it’d go down a lot better. However, I can’t make a claim against yomi because he really hasn’t said much. So, ##FOS: Golden, PureSC2.


thezenman
+ Show Spoiler +
Your filter consists of 1)lynch vs no lynch opinions, 2) defensive questioning, 3) a brief overview summary opinions on people. This shows me that although you been posting, you lack substance in your post. Your opinions on people are rather general, or they are merely in dull agreement with others. ##FOS


@lurkers; post!!!!! get into town discussion @everyone else; keep posting!! there has been lots of discussion going on, and lots of things analyzing needs to be done. don't be afraid to keep it coming.
@yomi; waiting on some concrete analysis
##FOS Golden, Pure SC2, thezenman
for now,
## unvote


This post occured fairly early in the game. He admits that he jumped on the bandwagon to vote for WhySoMuch because Yomi voted for WSM earlier. In literally the next sentence, Nreekay states that Yomi's overagressiveness is detrimental. Perhaps he was under the same misunderstanding as I was, and thought the day was already a good portion consumed. Whatever the reason, it seems more illogical than scummy to me. On to his second point (he should have used then instead of than, but anyways...), some suspicion has been cast on his saying that the no-lynch is important, despite being pro-lynch. To me it seems much more logical to assume that he was referring to his next point, which is that if we had decided to not lynch the first day, there wouldn't have been much discussion. I don't think anyone would think a first day where there is zero discussion and no lynch favors the town. After that, he simply casts some suspicion on 3 players (golden, pure, and Zen). I think this was actually really good, as it lead to discussion, and helped to establish Golden and Pure as pretty solid non-scum reads.

In total, I think that parts of this post were ill-explained or just plain illogical, but I don't see any scumminess.

+ Show Spoiler [Second Post (O Lord,What have I begun?)] +

+ Show Spoiler +
On April 28 2012 13:57 nreekay324 wrote:
@yomi
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2012 05:35 yomi wrote:
On April 28 2012 04:12 nreekay324 wrote:
if yomi decided to use this “meta-game evidence to make a case for himself eventually, I would be highly suspicious of yomi, because it could be a perfect mafia play.

are you saying my vote on whysomuch made you suspicious that I was mafia? and if not, what ARE you saying?

If other “townies” began the defense for yomi, it’d go down a lot better.

you mean if they didn't start it? im confused


When I posted last night, I was thinking that Golden&PureSC2 were suspicious; They were brushing off suspicion towards you by acknowledging that this was your “playstyle “. But the reason I didn’t flat out say I was suspicious of you, yomi, was because I was waiting on your analysis/reads. Last game, you laid out some good stuff I would have went off of more (if i didn’t get shot). But I’m still waiting for that this game. Maybe you’re holding off until there’s more info, but the pace of this game is so much faster that there’s lots of stuff to go through already. So my point is, I think part of me had acknowledged your aggressive play of random voting, and had already seen you innocent. But I’ve been waiting for you to make a case, or add some analysis, or something.I realize now that my suspicion on golden&puresc2 are highly based on my suspicion of you, yomi. Its definitely possible they’re townies afraid of mis-lynching. (Golden stated he’s for d1 lynch, puresc2 finds no-lynch circumstantially acceptable) It seems puresc2, inparticular, is pretty against mis-lynches. If you don’t add anything, then you have the easiest job right now as mafia, because you’re pretty much getting a free pass atm.

##FOS yomi
/remove suspicion from golden and puresc2 until I get a better read on yomi

@thezenman
I think what I said earlier still stands. But I think also, you have to realize that if you’re town, you should be playing to contribute to the discussion through analysis, interpretation, and taking stances based on these. First, to this ;
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2012 05:13 The_Zen_Man wrote:
Now, concerning your vote, i think the rest of the players would like to have a better explanation than the one you just gave. Bandwagoning on someone seems very suspicious on me, and it seems like scum-play. And as soon as people start finding you suspicious, like yomi, and votes for you, instead of explaining yourself properly you start a case against them. You seem to prefer when someone else is getting voted for no reason at all, but when you are voted for with a good reason you start a case against them.

I would agree with you if you had come out and said my reasoning for voting for whysomuch was shitty. But it was early on, I was impulsive, and that’s all I can really say about it. If you think that I deserve a vote for this, there’s that. But I didn’t make case against them just because they made one against me. There were plenty of people who had/have their suspicions against me. But I made a case against them because I thought I thought I thought I saw a connection between them. (As above, it was related to yomi). I absolutely do not think that people should get voted for no reason, if this were near the deadline it would have been ridiculous.
When you say this;
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2012 05:13 The_Zen_Man wrote:
nreekay324: As to my lack of contributing, it is mainly beacuse i've had to defend myself so much. That is why i posted my last post, so i could contribute a little. Also, i don't think you can complain on other peoples lack of contribution, as your only contributing post is the one above.

it just sounds like; hey, i’ve got to defend myself. you’re not contributing either, why don’t you contribute? You need to contribute more than I do.
I want to make the point that your posts should have more concrete analysis. As you mentioned earlier, when you throw suspicion back to people who are pointing their fingers at you, you only look more suspicious.
Your post of opinions on people was mainly just like/dislike of those people. I get that you’re being pressured, but take the time to develop more analysis that contributes to overall town discussion. If you’re only defending yourself the whole time, it adds very little.

Again, I can't help but approve of the way that Nreekay was driving us forward. Yomi had been suspicious, voting for one person without evidence and then not posting any reasoning or evidence for what he did. Look at that in a vacuum, and it makes a lot of sense. It is just a mite hypocritical for Nreekay, simply because he also voted with basically no evidence. But he then told us why he voted the way he did. I find this odd (and again, illogical), but not consistent with the mindset of mafia. After this part though, he goes on a diatribe against Zen, and I honestly have no idea what it was meant to prove. I simply cannot wade through that portion, and if someone else were to comment on it I'd love to hear something about it. I just have no fucking clue what that was supposed to do, who it was supposed to convince, anything.

Summary: Again, his play here seems more illogical than suspicious. Perhaps we have completely different mindsets...


+ Show Spoiler [The Dark Descent] +

I really should have waited until morning for this. Anyways, here's his 3rd post that has real content in it.
+ Show Spoiler +
On May 01 2012 01:52 nreekay324 wrote:
Greetings again,
D2, here we go;
Veriat flipping red.
+ Show Spoiler +
This is awesome for us, because not only did we already get one mafia, he was a roleblocker. I don’t know how many roles mafia get, but that was definitely a plus.
Info from votes to who voted for him, there was;
Veriat: (7): yomi, The_Zen_Man, WhySoMuch, Pure-SC2, Splinter[eP], Mordanis, O.Golden_ne. Important details include that veriat got the minimum 7/7 votes, and that the swing vote was a vote change golden made from aces to veriat. It seems unreasonable that golden was swing vote to knock veriat off just to gain town cred, as it’s not statistically favorable for mafia on a D1 lynch. For now, you have my town read Golden + Show Spoiler +
I can’t see mafia offing one of their own for street cred on a minimum vote, but it’s notable it’s a possibility


Looking at Veriat’s filter there’s not much to go off of. He has scum reads on thezenman, me, and jailbreaker. However, he makes no case against them, or (for zenman) a really weak case. In itself, there's so little posted it's hard to make anything of it.


yomi flipping green.
+ Show Spoiler +
Personally, I had him pegged as mafia, and I have re-evaluations to do. It’s confusing as to why the mafia chose yomi, he was a lurker, albeit with either good luck or gosu senses on veriat. However, it does give us something interesting, as one person did vote for him...


Jailbreaker
+ Show Spoiler +

1) Only vote on yomi, and yomi was shot night cycle.
2) Posts don’t seem to have a lot of content, there’s a lot of summary and weak accusations/ questioning.
3) This quote in particular;
On April 29 2012 04:09 Jailbreaker wrote:
nonononononono water you guys doin? you planet all wrong.
Can't you see that other players are trying to rush people into a decision so fast??
Just because we dun have a majority vote, doesn't mean we should rush.
Even though I voted for Yomi so fast in the game, i didn't rush. Just like what golden says, stay clam and dont panic.
I know its fail logic right here, no apollo-gies here on my part.

This was a decent amount of time before the lynch-veriat train really started rolling, jailbreaker tries to advocate against it. He doesn’t provide any case in favor of Veriat however, and just side-steps the issue.
4) And then this,
On April 30 2012 16:13 Jailbreaker wrote:
Since I voted to horribly wrong, I'm going to delay my vote until it is closer to the deadline.

It’s like jailbreaker wants to let other people make cases for him, so that he can choose the safest one to vote for and thus remain safe.
4) Was on Veriat’s “scum” list. I”ll defer to whysomuch for this;
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 29 2012 09:12 WhySoMuch wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 28 2012 18:26 Veriat wrote:
Ok here are my thoughts on who are the scum:

The_Zen_Man
nreekay324
Jailbreaker


The_Zen_Man You're stance on the "lynch no lynch" discussion has left me a little puzzled, and your overall playstyle seem fishy to me, so you're getting my vote.

nreekay324 All your posts just seem off and scummy. Many of them seem rushed or flawed, and you basically just jumped the bandwagon with your early vote on Why_So_Much. On a side note i did find Why_So_Much's playstyle kind of off, but i don't think he's scum, because then why would you vote for him?

Jailbreaker You've my number 3 due to consistent flaws in your previous posts.


However JailBreaker, this is exactly how a newer mafia would do it, he just throws his name out there with some lame, non existent reasoning. I am moving Jailbreaker to the mafia side for this alone.




@Pure SC2-
+ Show Spoiler +

On April 30 2012 06:46 Pure-SC2 wrote:
nreekay324 - His filter reads suspicious to me. I see a vote for WhySoMuch, followed by an unbolded unvote. He then leaves it at that. He makes no comment against the most suspicious person in the game so far, who was proven to be mafia. So he votes for WhySoMuch, and has FoS against Golden, Me, Yomi and The_Zen_Man (incidently all of which voted for Veriat). Very suspicious.

I should clarify, I hadn’t intended to neither leave it at whysomuch nor unvoted, but I was unable to return to the deadline. (I’ll look at whysomuch again later in this post). Apparently my unvote wasn’t registered so I didn’t get targeted by nova(looks like aces didnt get modkilled either, so I would have been okay anyway?) When I did find time to check up, it was in the night cycle and it seemed fruitless to post anything then. In regards to what you said, I’ll point out that in one of my posts I state that my FoS ; you and golden were related to yomi, as in if yomi was mafia then I would pursue you two. As he isn’t, the point is moot. Also, if you looked carefully, I made those FoS before yomi even voted for veriat.


To this;
On April 30 2012 17:58 Pure-SC2 wrote:
Why was yomi killed?

Mafia hit people for a reason. What was the reason behind yomi getting whacked? Well in the course of day 1, other than getting annoyed by WhySoMuch, he had genuine suspicions of two people, Veriat and nreekay324.

We know one of them was scum, and nreekay324 is my strongest scum read (refer to my night post just before the deadline). If you were the two remaining mafia, and you had seem yomi lead the lynch on one of your scum buddies, and he had found you suspicious, wouldn't that make him a good target?

Interesting points related to the hit on yomi:
- After the first day post, nreekay324 states "looks like my suspicions about yomi may have been wrong though..." - this is interesting in that if nreekay324 knows yomi is about to die and flip town it's a good way to clear himself from his earlier stated suspicions of yomi.
- People who found yomi suspicious: Jailbreaker, AcesAnoka, nreekay324

I said that because yomi voted for veriat in the very beginning. I thought it was unlikely yomi would have voted veriat in the beginning, because why choose a scum buddy when there were other lurkers to vote? Yomi was highly suspicious, and deserved this suspicion. He was lurking, HARD, and throwing out ##votes for other people to analyze. He could have easily been switching between townies, trying to confuse the town conversation.
I’ve been thinking of why they would shoot yomi (I have an idea, as described later), but I don’t know what to say about it “clearing” me. I can deny it, saying that it’d be foolish because it doesn’t clear me, it really incriminates me (I have nothing original now that yomi is green), but then we’ll start throwing WIFOM around and we’ll get nowhere. If you think it’s enough to vote for me, well there’s that.


@Golden-
+ Show Spoiler +
Your first half analysis of whysomuch was rolling towards #FOSwhysomuch, but you conclude that he’s more likely an overly aggressive towny in your opinion. Is this because he voted for you/ is suspicious of you? It seems you’re trying to discredit him and his earlier posts, and as such his suspicions of you. I have my own opinions, but I was wondering if this was the point you were making.

In regards to my case against yomi, I don’t know what you mean by squirmy. But I would find it agreeable to say that when yomi flipped green, my case got shit on. There’s another post later, where I state that you and puresc2’s suspicions were really based on my suspicions of yomi being mafia, and since he wasn’t I no longer have suspicions against you two in regards to that.


Re-evaluations
@puresc2, golden -no more suspicions

whysomuch
+ Show Spoiler +

This jumps out at me. Why bring this up, right after the mafia lynch? This may be what golden was referring to as “the champion” of veriat’s lynch.
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 29 2012 08:15 WhySoMuch wrote:
Well this game just became a lot more simple.

The_Zen_Man
Splinter
Pure_SC
Mordanis
Myself

Look the best for their voting yesterday

Also, he made a case against veriat and helped push his lynch. But quick-scum/town lists based on one or two ideas is messy. It’s more beneficial to take time looking at specifics and make cases (unless you’re mentioning something in a sort of passing way that you don’t want to forget), and then organize that info into lists of scum/town. It’s very confusing play,maybe just scummy town play.

thezenman
+ Show Spoiler +
I’m removing my suspicions from him now, for the case he made against Veriat. Its decent enough, and I don’t see any reason he would have, as mafia, to make such an extended case against Veriat, which contributed to the bandwagon to get veriat lynched.

Acesanoka
+ Show Spoiler +
A number of arguments have been made, and not much to add to them because he hasn’t been posting much. He, like other lurkers, should be pressured D2. What got the successful D1 lynch was from pressuring lurkers (yomi called out veriat for this very reason). We need to keep this up.

@Blue role players
+ Show Spoiler +

It’d be detrimental to name players, so to “all blue roles”. As I was reviewing yomi’s filter, something popped out to me;
On April 29 2012 08:14 yomi wrote:
Night time is generally not a great time to post. Let the blue players do what they want and don't give mafia any hints on who they should kill.

This is only a thought, but the mafia may have been hoping for a lucky blue snipe. It makes sense, because yomi was semi-lurking (blue roles tend to play more cautiously to protect the blue role). It’s not concrete, but it’s a possibility. We’re already ahead of the mafia, so we don’t need blues to do anything reckless (i.e. claim)


##vote: AcesAnoka
##FOS: Jailbreaker
I'll do my best to check this/ stay active more. I understand we need to push the lead we have on the mafia.

This actually confuses the hell out of me. It makes sense. In a garbled, warped way, perhaps, but he manages to communicate ideas. This is a major step up for him. Some of the things he brings up I disagree with, but this post doesn't have the batshit crazyness his first two posts had. There are only two things I find suspicious with this post. First, why did he vote for Aces? Yeah, there were some decent arguments for lynching him, but there were some pretty major shake-ups with Veriat turning out to be mafia. The other suspicious thing to me is his little comment about the blue role players. Why would he be able to name names? Why would it be detrimental to to do so? This is the prime example of the illogical world that Nreekay has been posting from.
Final read from this: This paragraph exudes illogic and dumb-townie. Almost too much so. It feels, somehow, contrived

+ Show Spoiler [Final Thoughts] +

Okay, so to sum up my feelings on Nreekay, I'd have to say that right now I'm getting much more of an incompetent/illogical town read than a straight scum read. As I just wrote however, it does feel somewhat contrived, and so whether its simply a function of a less-than-superior mastery of the language/rhetoric, or whether he's trying to hide something, is beyond me to say. More than anything, his posting makes my head hurt. Prime example: several times he's told everyone to stop lurking, but he has published little content. WTF? Does he not realize that other people have posted much, much more than him?

All said and done, I weakly support a lynch for him in the future if he doesn't change. He isn't adding anything to the discussion, but only distracting from it with senseless posts. The difference I see between him and Jailbreaker is that Jailbreaker seems much more active in his attempts to throw us off (if he indeed is). Where Nreekay seems to be simply bad at communicating (and lilely mafia in general), Jailbreaker seemed to be actively trying to steer us away from voting for Veriat. I'm getting a fairly weak town read for Nreekay, but I don't mind a lynch because I'd say there's probably a 30-35% probability he's mafia (just made that up completely off the top of my head), but either way he isn't helping. So for the final judgement:
Unless Jailbreaker manages to completely exculpate himself, I'd favor a lynch for Jailbreaker. I would however vote for either one.
I love the smell of napalm in the morning... it smells like... victory. -_^ Favorite SC2 match ->Liquid`HerO vs. SlayerS CranK g.1 @MLG Summer Championship
nreekay324
Profile Joined February 2012
46 Posts
May 01 2012 08:30 GMT
#362
I’m just checking on the thread, post more when I can;

@Mordanis, I’ll look into splinter. I only have one vote to give, and decided at the time that since Aces was already pressured (and didn’t contribute) he deserved it. Although it seems irrelevant now.

@Marvellosity; welcome to the game! Your posts are your own, not aces, but since you took his role you have somewhat of a upward climb ahead of you.

@Golden; well, I will not vote aces(marvellosity) anymore. I felt that Aces had been called out for lurking, etc. earlier than jailbreaker, and he should continue to be pressured. As marvellosity is a new player, I can’t peg him for the same reasons Aces would have against him.

@Mordanis; I (obviously) find everything I have to say logical, but admittedly I may not be able to convey this on paper. I’ll take your comment as constructive criticism, and I’ll take more time to review what I write before posting.
Also, you are absolutely correct about the enrique=nreekay, although I would prefer not to be called enrique.

@whysomuch
+ Show Spoiler +

On May 01 2012 07:25 WhySoMuch wrote:
Even if he doesn't contribute, we aren't lynching him today or tomorrow, or prolly even the next day.

I don't know everyone's obsession with getting rid of "lurkers", yes it's fine d1 but after that, if people clear themselves then they shouldn't be lynched even if they aren't big contributors. I'm not encouraging to stop posting because he seems like a really good town to have, but if he can't cause of irl or whatever, we still aren't lynching him.



In regards to lynching lurkers, I think it’s a good policy to maintain, in this sense; blind lynching lurkers is bad, but pressuring them to contribute is what leads to more town discussion. It’s what lead to Veriat’s D1 lynch, isn’t it? I see asking them to post more as light pressure, but actually voting for them real pressure.


##Unvote

##vote: Jailbreaker
Pure-SC2
Profile Joined November 2011
United Kingdom1440 Posts
May 01 2012 09:08 GMT
#363
On May 01 2012 12:03 marvellosity wrote:
To Pure: I see you posted two scumreads. Which would you prefer to lynch today and why?


Well, since my posting them, there have been some good developments (including your arrival) that have put more information out there for everyone.

As I posted yesterday, nreekay was my strongest read but he made a good post that seemed a marked improvement over his earlier posts. However, I hadn't seen it the way Mordanis had, who raised a really good point in that it seemed contrived. However, nreekay has since posted further and I think for the moment has lowered his scum rating in my eyes but will remain a person of suspicion for me.

Jailbreaker has moved to the top of my list and he is now receiving a lot of heat. What is his response to the cases against him? He's remained silent through it all further increasing suspicion. At this stage he would be my prime lynch candidate.

Splinter - well he's either uninterested town or lurky mafia. He's contributed nothing to this day and his last post was that he'll dump his thoughts when he gets home from work. Where is this post?

Marvellosity - I think you've done a good job so far, but I think Golden had a good point regarding your focus on WhySoMuch. So based on your filter reviews, who are your strongest scum reads and why?

WhySoMuch - he is causing so much confusion and distraction with the way he is posting. I actually have a neutral read on him but my plan is to just ignore him for now. He's either playing a very deep and layered deception play or has so many bad preconceived notions of what to look for that it's just not worth engaging in. He may need to be looked at closer depending on what happens over the day/night cycle.
"Every time I visit community sites, I'm just embarrassed. There's so much witch hunting and name calling and arguing and gossip. Misogynist comments against women. It's just embarrassing." – Tasteless
Lazermonkey
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden2176 Posts
May 01 2012 09:26 GMT
#364
I'll post the second part of my thoughts of all the players so far, first one can be found here : ).

+ Show Spoiler +
My reads so far, from most likely town to dunno relly to most likely scum:

Nova/The_Zen_Man - Like everyone already said, their actions can't be explained in any other way that they are twonies.

AcesAnoka - My prime suspect from day 1. Like a said before, Him being scum doesn't make alot of sense to me atm. Mafia would just spread votes between him and Verait. However I think that he is play is quite strange. The only thing he posted after he got him from the wedding was some excuses and this:
On April 29 2012 18:03 AcesAnoka wrote:
EDIT: Just read through the whole thread and from what i've seen Veriat looked very suspicious, if I were there my vote would've gone to him too. I already thought it was strange that he was lurking so hard and his reasoning behind his voting was not much.

This is just so strange to say imo. This would be a somewhat safe way to say that he is town because Veriat DID in fact flip scum but what if he wouldn't have? We will never know which is why I feel this post is just so unnecessary. Aces, I'm leaning town on you but not because of your play. Step up and contribute!

WhySoMuch - Orginally you were town for me. But I share the concerns of Golden against you. I am also a bit puzzled by your night play also feel. Sure you added some cool points, but why not do it later? This would ensure that scum had no time to switch their votes if you really were that afraid of getting killed.
On April 29 2012 08:50 WhySoMuch wrote:
I think I'm going to get all my thoughts out there during this night period because I believe I am a likely target for tonight's kill. Hence my posting. The Mafia isn't stupid and they know who they should kill, posting isn't really gonna give them any clues on who to kill. Obviously you could also try to level with them if you are not a power role to draw the kill as well.
If you choose not to post I don't think it's a bad thing, but I think we can use tonight to get a jump on tomorrow

I also don't like this post. Feels like you are baiting medics/jailers here.

Jailbreaker - Not posting much that can be usefull as of yet. And he just added this post:
On April 30 2012 16:13 Jailbreaker wrote:
Mordanis -
+ Show Spoiler +
All I get is a scum vibe from you on this post. But i feel like i don't have enough info on you to make a significant case against you. Seeing how I take individual posts instead of looking at the context of the posts.

will post more when i have a goodnight sleep

Which only increases my suspicion of him. If you check his filter you can also spot of mass escuses on why he is posting so "scummy" things.

His play with yomi/Verait also is pointing towards him being scum but people have already talked about that enough, which is why I don't include it in this post. Overall this is my strongest scumread atm.

I am too lazy to complete the list as I havn't really got very strong reads of Mordanis, Splinter[eP], nreekay324 and golden(don't think I missed anyone, did I?). Will update this post later on with my read on theese guys!


Marvellosity - I claimed Aces to be town not due to his play but due to the events of D1 even though his own play were quite strange. So far your play seems town to me, and my view on you/Aces is unchanged.

Mordanis - You pushed the lynch at Veriat harder than most people. Arguable maybe the hardest. You will remain town for me for at least some time.

Golden - This is a harder one, your vote D1 seems WIFOM to discuss. Either your scum and you tried to save Verait as hard as you possibly could. Not voting Verait make you look scummy. You can also be town and just didn't think he was scum. Other than that, your play seems okay. The only thing a find a little strange is that excluding the first half of D1 Jailbreaker havn't been on your list of suspicious people at all. What is your opinion on him? Do you think that he is town now and if so, why? My impression from this post is that you still find him somewhat suspicious, but it's hard to make any analysis on this matter as it is the first time you mention him since D1:
On May 01 2012 11:23 O.Golden_ne wrote:

1. Nreekay324

You posted a decent argument against Jailbreaker in a spoiler on your D1 Summary post. Nreekay324's Filter
What would it take to change your vote from AcesAnoka (marvellosity) in the same post, to Jailbreaker? I feel like your argument against Jailbreaker looks stronger than this one against AcesAnoka (marvellosity):

Show nested quote +

A number of arguments have been made, and not much to add to them because he hasn’t been posting much. He, like other lurkers, should be pressured D2. What got the successful D1 lynch was from pressuring lurkers (yomi called out veriat for this very reason). We need to keep this up.



Overall Golden seems town atm but that is subject to change.

nreekay324 - Hmm, I clearly feel your activity during D1 wasn't great at all. You only posts were mostly centered around yomi being scum, which we for sure isn't true now. Your latest post was good tho and you answered for at least some of the allegations against you. The only thing about this post is that is confusing to me is your vote on Aces:

+ Show Spoiler +
[QUOTE]On May 01 2012 01:52 nreekay324 wrote:
Jailbreaker
1) Only vote on yomi, and yomi was shot night cycle.
2) Posts don’t seem to have a lot of content, there’s a lot of summary and weak accusations/ questioning.
3) This quote in particular;
[QUOTE]On April 29 2012 04:09 Jailbreaker wrote:
nonononononono water you guys doin? you planet all wrong.
Can't you see that other players are trying to rush people into a decision so fast??
Just because we dun have a majority vote, doesn't mean we should rush.
Even though I voted for Yomi so fast in the game, i didn't rush. Just like what golden says, stay clam and dont panic.
I know its fail logic right here, no apollo-gies here on my part.
[/QUOTE]
This was a decent amount of time before the lynch-veriat train really started rolling, jailbreaker tries to advocate against it. He doesn’t provide any case in favor of Veriat however, and just side-steps the issue.
4) And then this,
[QUOTE]On April 30 2012 16:13 Jailbreaker wrote:
Since I voted to horribly wrong, I'm going to delay my vote until it is closer to the deadline.
[/QUOTE]
It’s like jailbreaker wants to let other people make cases for him, so that he can choose the safest one to vote for and thus remain safe.
4) Was on Veriat’s “scum” list. I”ll defer to whysomuch for this;
[QUOTE]On April 29 2012 09:12 WhySoMuch wrote:
[QUOTE]On April 28 2012 18:26 Veriat wrote:
Ok here are my thoughts on who are the scum:

The_Zen_Man
nreekay324
Jailbreaker

Acesanoka
+ Show Spoiler +
A number of arguments have been made, and not much to add to them because he hasn’t been posting much. He, like other lurkers, should be pressured D2. What got the successful D1 lynch was from pressuring lurkers (yomi called out veriat for this very reason). We need to keep this up.


##vote: AcesAnoka
##FOS: Jailbreaker
[/QUOTE]

Sense is not made here. I don't really understand why you are voting Aces at all. Overall, your gameplay is at times good and at times quite confusing and I'm not sure whether you newbie town or scum.

Splinter - Lurking at the moment, and havn't been posting anything of substance since D1, where he posted a case vs Aces. He was the one who started the suspicion on Aces. Can't do to much analysis in this case as it's very WIFOM. Either he is scum and wanted to capitalize on the confusion in Aces posts or he was town and thought the play in fact was scummy. Needs to be stepping up hardcore.

Conclusion/TL;DR

Townies:
The_Zen_Man
Pure

Dunno yet:
O.Golden_ne(although I'm leaning town here)
Marvellosity(same as above)
Mordanis(same as above)
WhySoMuch
nreekay324

Scum:
Splinter[eP](due to lurking)
Jailbreaker(strongest read due to major holes and confusion in play)

Lazermonkey
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden2176 Posts
May 01 2012 09:37 GMT
#365
EBWOP: nreekay324 posted while I was writing. Overall good post but I find his reason for voteswitch rather weak. Not that I DON'T find Jailbreaker suspicious, but why wouldn't vote for him in the first place?
Pure-SC2
Profile Joined November 2011
United Kingdom1440 Posts
May 01 2012 09:40 GMT
#366
It is interesting that nreekay voted for Jailbreaker and didn't provide any of his own reasoning why. Soft bandwagoning.
"Every time I visit community sites, I'm just embarrassed. There's so much witch hunting and name calling and arguing and gossip. Misogynist comments against women. It's just embarrassing." – Tasteless
O.Golden_ne
Profile Joined August 2010
Australia204 Posts
May 01 2012 11:18 GMT
#367
##Vote: Jailbreaker

Can we get a vote count?
Like a baneling in a mineral line
Pure-SC2
Profile Joined November 2011
United Kingdom1440 Posts
May 01 2012 11:29 GMT
#368
@Lazermonkey

+ Show Spoiler +
[QUOTE]On May 01 2012 18:26 Lazermonkey wrote:
I'll post the second part of my thoughts of all the players so far, first one can be found here : ).

+ Show Spoiler +
My reads so far, from most likely town to dunno relly to most likely scum:

Nova/The_Zen_Man - Like everyone already said, their actions can't be explained in any other way that they are twonies.

AcesAnoka - My prime suspect from day 1. Like a said before, Him being scum doesn't make alot of sense to me atm. Mafia would just spread votes between him and Verait. However I think that he is play is quite strange. The only thing he posted after he got him from the wedding was some excuses and this:
On April 29 2012 18:03 AcesAnoka wrote:
EDIT: Just read through the whole thread and from what i've seen Veriat looked very suspicious, if I were there my vote would've gone to him too. I already thought it was strange that he was lurking so hard and his reasoning behind his voting was not much.

This is just so strange to say imo. This would be a somewhat safe way to say that he is town because Veriat DID in fact flip scum but what if he wouldn't have? We will never know which is why I feel this post is just so unnecessary. Aces, I'm leaning town on you but not because of your play. Step up and contribute!

WhySoMuch - Orginally you were town for me. But I share the concerns of Golden against you. I am also a bit puzzled by your night play also feel. Sure you added some cool points, but why not do it later? This would ensure that scum had no time to switch their votes if you really were that afraid of getting killed.
On April 29 2012 08:50 WhySoMuch wrote:
I think I'm going to get all my thoughts out there during this night period because I believe I am a likely target for tonight's kill. Hence my posting. The Mafia isn't stupid and they know who they should kill, posting isn't really gonna give them any clues on who to kill. Obviously you could also try to level with them if you are not a power role to draw the kill as well.
If you choose not to post I don't think it's a bad thing, but I think we can use tonight to get a jump on tomorrow

I also don't like this post. Feels like you are baiting medics/jailers here.

Jailbreaker - Not posting much that can be usefull as of yet. And he just added this post:
On April 30 2012 16:13 Jailbreaker wrote:
Mordanis -
+ Show Spoiler +
All I get is a scum vibe from you on this post. But i feel like i don't have enough info on you to make a significant case against you. Seeing how I take individual posts instead of looking at the context of the posts.

will post more when i have a goodnight sleep

Which only increases my suspicion of him. If you check his filter you can also spot of mass escuses on why he is posting so "scummy" things.

His play with yomi/Verait also is pointing towards him being scum but people have already talked about that enough, which is why I don't include it in this post. Overall this is my strongest scumread atm.

I am too lazy to complete the list as I havn't really got very strong reads of Mordanis, Splinter[eP], nreekay324 and golden(don't think I missed anyone, did I?). Will update this post later on with my read on theese guys!


Marvellosity - I claimed Aces to be town not due to his play but due to the events of D1 even though his own play were quite strange. So far your play seems town to me, and my view on you/Aces is unchanged.

Mordanis - You pushed the lynch at Veriat harder than most people. Arguable maybe the hardest. You will remain town for me for at least some time.

Golden - This is a harder one, your vote D1 seems WIFOM to discuss. Either your scum and you tried to save Verait as hard as you possibly could. Not voting Verait make you look scummy. You can also be town and just didn't think he was scum. Other than that, your play seems okay. The only thing a find a little strange is that excluding the first half of D1 Jailbreaker havn't been on your list of suspicious people at all. What is your opinion on him? Do you think that he is town now and if so, why? My impression from this post is that you still find him somewhat suspicious, but it's hard to make any analysis on this matter as it is the first time you mention him since D1:
[QUOTE]On May 01 2012 11:23 O.Golden_ne wrote:

1. Nreekay324

You posted a decent argument against Jailbreaker in a spoiler on your D1 Summary post. [url=http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=331498&user=248687]Nreekay324's Filter[/url]
What would it take to change your vote from AcesAnoka (marvellosity) in the same post, to Jailbreaker? I feel like your argument against Jailbreaker looks stronger than this one against AcesAnoka (marvellosity):

[quote]
A number of arguments have been made, and not much to add to them because he hasn’t been posting much. He, like other lurkers, should be pressured D2. What got the successful D1 lynch was from pressuring lurkers (yomi called out veriat for this very reason). We need to keep this up.[/quote]
[/QUOTE]

Overall Golden seems town atm but that is subject to change.

nreekay324 - Hmm, I clearly feel your activity during D1 wasn't great at all. You only posts were mostly centered around yomi being scum, which we for sure isn't true now. Your latest post was good tho and you answered for at least some of the allegations against you. The only thing about this post is that is confusing to me is your vote on Aces:

+ Show Spoiler +
[QUOTE]On May 01 2012 01:52 nreekay324 wrote:
Jailbreaker
1) Only vote on yomi, and yomi was shot night cycle.
2) Posts don’t seem to have a lot of content, there’s a lot of summary and weak accusations/ questioning.
3) This quote in particular;
[QUOTE]On April 29 2012 04:09 Jailbreaker wrote:
nonononononono water you guys doin? you planet all wrong.
Can't you see that other players are trying to rush people into a decision so fast??
Just because we dun have a majority vote, doesn't mean we should rush.
Even though I voted for Yomi so fast in the game, i didn't rush. Just like what golden says, stay clam and dont panic.
I know its fail logic right here, no apollo-gies here on my part.
[/QUOTE]
This was a decent amount of time before the lynch-veriat train really started rolling, jailbreaker tries to advocate against it. He doesn’t provide any case in favor of Veriat however, and just side-steps the issue.
4) And then this,
[QUOTE]On April 30 2012 16:13 Jailbreaker wrote:
Since I voted to horribly wrong, I'm going to delay my vote until it is closer to the deadline.
[/QUOTE]
It’s like jailbreaker wants to let other people make cases for him, so that he can choose the safest one to vote for and thus remain safe.
4) Was on Veriat’s “scum” list. I”ll defer to whysomuch for this;
[QUOTE]On April 29 2012 09:12 WhySoMuch wrote:
[QUOTE]On April 28 2012 18:26 Veriat wrote:
Ok here are my thoughts on who are the scum:

The_Zen_Man
nreekay324
Jailbreaker

Acesanoka
+ Show Spoiler +
A number of arguments have been made, and not much to add to them because he hasn’t been posting much. He, like other lurkers, should be pressured D2. What got the successful D1 lynch was from pressuring lurkers (yomi called out veriat for this very reason). We need to keep this up.


##vote: AcesAnoka
##FOS: Jailbreaker
[/QUOTE]

Sense is not made here. I don't really understand why you are voting Aces at all. Overall, your gameplay is at times good and at times quite confusing and I'm not sure whether you newbie town or scum.

Splinter - Lurking at the moment, and havn't been posting anything of substance since D1, where he posted a case vs Aces. He was the one who started the suspicion on Aces. Can't do to much analysis in this case as it's very WIFOM. Either he is scum and wanted to capitalize on the confusion in Aces posts or he was town and thought the play in fact was scummy. Needs to be stepping up hardcore.

Conclusion/TL;DR

Townies:
The_Zen_Man
Pure

Dunno yet:
O.Golden_ne(although I'm leaning town here)
Marvellosity(same as above)
Mordanis(same as above)
WhySoMuch
nreekay324

Scum:
Splinter[eP](due to lurking)
Jailbreaker(strongest read due to major holes and confusion in play)



Hi, just one thing - on your comments against Golden and his voting behaviour at the end of Day 1. I really don't see a scum play here, I actually see the opposite. Golden had a case against Aces (which was closely aligned with my own thoughts on him), and prior to the shift onto Veriat had already stated his suspicions on him. At the time I voted for Veriat, I had scum readings on both Veriat and Aces, however did feel stronger towards my read on Veriat which was what influenced my vote. When I read Golden's filter at the time, he wanted people to explain why they thought Veriat was more suspicious than Aces which is exactly what I wanted as well. He made his vote in the hour leading up to the deadline and I cannot see a scum motivation for this as it sealed the fate of Veriat the scum to be lynched. If he was scum, there was absolutely no reason to make that vote.

Other than that, I have similar reads to you (I need more from Marvellosity at this stage, and have nreekay as a possible scum read) and like your contribution.
"Every time I visit community sites, I'm just embarrassed. There's so much witch hunting and name calling and arguing and gossip. Misogynist comments against women. It's just embarrassing." – Tasteless
Lazermonkey
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden2176 Posts
May 01 2012 11:59 GMT
#369
Hi, just one thing - on your comments against Golden and his voting behaviour at the end of Day 1. I really don't see a scum play here, I actually see the opposite. Golden had a case against Aces (which was closely aligned with my own thoughts on him), and prior to the shift onto Veriat had already stated his suspicions on him. At the time I voted for Veriat, I had scum readings on both Veriat and Aces, however did feel stronger towards my read on Veriat which was what influenced my vote. When I read Golden's filter at the time, he wanted people to explain why they thought Veriat was more suspicious than Aces which is exactly what I wanted as well. He made his vote in the hour leading up to the deadline and I cannot see a scum motivation for this as it sealed the fate of Veriat the scum to be lynched. If he was scum, there was absolutely no reason to make that vote.

Other than that, I have similar reads to you (I need more from Marvellosity at this stage, and have nreekay as a possible scum read) and like your contribution.

True that. But do you really think that he wouldn't vote Verait if he were scum? He were hard pressured in the very end and saving Verait that day could've resluted in both him and Veriat getting lynched the following days.
Lazermonkey
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden2176 Posts
May 01 2012 12:00 GMT
#370
EBWOP: failed to quote because I'm stupid. My lines are the two last, the others quotes from Pure!
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
May 01 2012 12:19 GMT
#371
To everyone in the thread - use the bloody Preview button to see if your post looks like it should. Too many badly formatted posts >.<

It does seem for now that Jailbreaker is the strongest case. Given his filter isn't too long, I probably bear the risk of repeating what others have said, but never mind.

First of all, we have the 'I don't want to rush my vote' followed by rushing his vote.

On April 27 2012 04:33 Jailbreaker wrote:
with all this nonsense talk about scheduals and lynch/no lynch, we're forgetting about the real issue here:

THERE'S MAFIA SCUM AMONG US.

I know it is day one, but does it have to be so passive? I don't want to vote for the wrong person based on three posts


On April 27 2012 11:52 Jailbreaker wrote:
vote## yomi


On April 27 2012 13:39 Jailbreaker wrote:
##vote: yomi

I voted for you because:
Show nested quote +
On April 27 2012 00:04 yomi wrote:
hi lets all be best friends and work together to solve the puzzle!



He's finally prodded into making a post that has more content than my rubbish bin, but there's so little to note in it I find it hard to comment on it:

On April 27 2012 16:05 Jailbreaker wrote:
Semi Long Post Warning
+ Show Spoiler +

These are my thoughts so far on what has been posted. right or wrong, this is my interpretation.

On April 27 2012 02:57 yomi wrote:
these players havent posted:

whysomuch
mordanis

calls them out for lurking: bandwagon under construction

On April 27 2012 03:24 yomi wrote:
ya rando lynch is bad that's 25% I think to hit which is not profit. But you only need 25 more points to get to 50% and then we are in profit territory so we'll see how it plays out. if everyone is getting along friendly and lurking all day like they are now then we can't do anything.

and being useless: bandwagon mobilized.

On April 27 2012 03:52 Mordanis wrote:
Shit. I was asleep or at class until now. Anyways, I personally think that a lynch on the first day would be a mistake. I haven't followed much mafia, played before, or read as much as I should have, and so my personal view is that it would be a shame to lynch someone solely based on trying to trim down the total pool of people in the spaceship.

OHMIGOSH was called a lurker! time to panic!

On April 27 2012 04:00 Mordanis wrote:
As an addendum to my previous post, it is going to be hard to judge whether someone is lurking or just sleeping, seeing as we have people from USA, Europe, and even South Pacific. Since days are 24 hours and nights are 48 hours, I definitely think that you need to wait for a fairly long time (I'm thinking about 9 hours), because people do occasionally sleep
If nothing else, at least for first little bit we should tell everyone our relative schedules so that there is no misunderstanding. To start this off, I will be going to class in about an hour, and after that I'll be able to post maybe once before going to work until about 10:30ish PM (AZ time)

Tries to clear lurker name. because hey, this is a gobal game right? somepeople might need more time.
seemsreasonabletome.

On April 27 2012 05:27 Lazermonkey wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 27 2012 04:33 Jailbreaker wrote:
with all this nonsense talk about scheduals and lynch/no lynch, we're forgetting about the real issue here:

THERE'S MAFIA SCUM AMONG US.

I know it is day one, but does it have to be so passive? I don't want to vote for the wrong person based on three posts

But yet your own post doesn't really contribute much at all. If you think not enough people are posting or that they are posting useless stuff, wouldn't it be better if you did some analysis yourself? I think everyone are conscious about that we have mafia among us and everyone would like to avoid dumb misslynches. You are stating the obvious here.

Your post is even a bit counterproductive in that you discouraging people from making posts about lynch/no lynch. Afaik there isn't much else to talk about atm but please let us know if there is something. Talking about peoples opinions about lynching gives us a tell on their gameplan/motives etc. so I find nothing bad with it.

I'm off to bed now. There is a chance that I will not be able to post to much untill 20:00 CEST tomorrow.

You're right, I should put more analysis into my posts.

On April 27 2012 10:22 WhySoMuch wrote:
Hey all,

This is my first game on this site, but I have played WW elsewhere so I'm not a total newbie.

First off, with regards to No-Lynch, this is a very bad idea. We have 2 kills a day as of right now, the vig and the lynch, by negating a kill we are automatically giving the wolves an edge by not taking advantage of our kill-rate. Also, even though a villager is more likely to be lynched, the information we gain via wagon analysis, late vote changes etc. becomes very valuable as we progress through the game.

And a random question: Is there any way to get more posts per page? Right now mine is set to default and couldnt find a way to make me see more posts. Idk if it's possible.

totally not drawing attention to myself

Page 5 is the Yomi versus WhySoMuch showdown
Yomi votes for whysomuch,
whysomuch votes for The_Zen_Man (where did this come from?)
they talk about win rates for town correctly lynching and whatnot

I vote for Yomi because I feel like you are starting a bandwagon against whysomuch so early in the game
then he asks why i voted for him. I think that is suspicious.

then
On April 27 2012 12:38 nreekay324 wrote:
they're almost as bad as vampires
##vote: whysomuch

so confused by this, dont know what to say.

next is:
On April 27 2012 13:16 WhySoMuch wrote:
nreekay's vote on me is weirder than yomi

I think I see this as: "YOMI has a reason to vote for me. Nreekay is prolly jumping on the bandwagon"

O.Golden_ne - obvious critical analysis out in the open. BOOM CHECK IT

next set of posts is my fail vote, lol. I vote for yomi for reasons stated above

Mordanis- i think he is just trying to keep a "netural" image. I'm totally against the witchhunt too, I will put more analysis into posts.


But within it, he does say this twice:

On April 27 2012 16:05 Jailbreaker wrote:
You're right, I should put more analysis into my posts.


On April 27 2012 16:05 Jailbreaker wrote:
I will put more analysis into posts.


See the bolded part of the post below:

On April 28 2012 13:52 Jailbreaker wrote:
when i read the past few pages of this thread, most of you seem so suspicious.
I dont want to post a Fos untill i can get my logic straightened out. Yes, I realize that my posts have flaws, but I will stand by my decision untill i am fully convinced to change my vote. I don't want to sit in the neutral zone because I feel that it is to passive. What Golden has said in the post above me, "Both these players seem very afraid to be lynched, and squirm under scrutiny." Even though it is for two different players, getting accused causes panic and action. I feel like it would be easier to identify between scum and town.

Im going to stand by my vote of yomi.
No apologies for my shallow posts.



The last few quotes have all gone to generally illustrate the point that Jailbreaker is aware his posts are lacking. In fact, he keeps repeating it (instead of, you know, analysing). And finally there, 'no apologies for his shallow posts'. O.o

Finally we have a vague suspicion thrown at Mordanis:

On April 30 2012 16:13 Jailbreaker wrote:

Mordanis -
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 30 2012 11:53 Mordanis wrote:
Frankly, I was simply reluctant to change my 3 times in about an hour. In reality, I was more for a lynch for either player than I was for a lynch of specifically one of them. At that point, Aces hadn't posted in about a day, so without knowing any justification for why he was lurking, he was a good candidate for a lynch even if there was a low probability of his being mafia just because he wasn't any help for the town. Hell, I'm still for lynching lurkers even if there is a low probability of them turning out scum because we need to work together. Lurking only hurts us. Also, if you look at the earlier parts of the thread, I was one of the first to put pressure on Veriat, which I don't see mafia doing.

After that little bit of defense, I'm very glad to have suspicion cast upon me. We need to have everyone defending themselves and looking at other players behavior. I'd like to think that I'm one of the least scummy posters, but I have no problems. I'll be able to post a bit more in a little bit, so bye for a few minutes :D

All I get is a scum vibe from you on this post. But i feel like i don't have enough info on you to make a significant case against you. Seeing how I take individual posts instead of looking at the context of the posts.



The bold part is all he says about why he finds it scummy. In other words, no reason at all. But wait, what did we see before?

On April 28 2012 13:52 Jailbreaker wrote:
I dont want to post a Fos untill i can get my logic straightened out.


A-ha! He doesn't want to post a FoS until his logic is straightened out. Except he then does exactly that against Mordanis with... no logic at all.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

At this point Jailbreaker is the strongest and most obvious scumread. One question for the thread.

1) Are you sure that he's scum and not just bad town?

Second nagging feeling is how Veriat fingered Jailbreaker and nreekay, the two 'popular' suspects for today. Makes me a little uncomfortable.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Pure-SC2
Profile Joined November 2011
United Kingdom1440 Posts
May 01 2012 13:07 GMT
#372
@marvellosity

In answer to your question, no I'm not sure that he's scum and not just bad town. I wasn't certain about Veriat either, but felt that I was basing my vote on what I classed as scummy behaviour, which I feel can be applied to Jailbreaker as well.

On your second nagging feeling, it's an interesting one that I was grappling with yesterday. So I'm going to go over the thoughts I had around this.

What do we know? Veriat wasn't very good at being mafia. He was suspicious enough to get a majority vote on day 1. This means that the actions he did make (i.e. his posts) potentially contain more info in the shape of scum slips, or inexperienced scum posts based on whatever co-ordination is going on between the scum team.

He posted scum reads on 3 players; The_Zen_Man, nreekay and Jailbreaker. The reasoning behind each of these was bad (a big part of the suspicions against him). This came after there were 2 votes on him, and there were 2 on Aces at around the same time. This came just after he admitted he was looking pretty scummy, so I think we can assume he was feeling the pressure.

So the questions I have from this based on Veriat being bad/inexperienced mafia who is under some pressure and already admitting he looks scummy:
1). Is it time to try and distance yourself from your scum buddies by posting your own reads that contain 1 or 2 of them? (I think it unlikely to include 2 of them, but could very well include 1)
2). Or, do you try to create hollow cases against townies to try and move the heat off to someone else?
- Note: I have a town read on The_Zen_Man so it makes sense for him to be number 1 on Veriats scum list regardless of the answer above.

What are the motivations behind his scum read post?


In his scum post, Veriat has this to say about WhySoMuch:
On a side note i did find Why_So_Much's playstyle kind of off, but i don't think he's scum, because then why would you vote for him?

I find this statement interesting in the context of knowing Veriat is scum, and bad/inexperienced scum at that. It's WIFOM, but what is his motivation for saying he doesn't think WhySoMuch is scum at this point? Maybe it's too obvious, but it's the only other read he makes.
"Every time I visit community sites, I'm just embarrassed. There's so much witch hunting and name calling and arguing and gossip. Misogynist comments against women. It's just embarrassing." – Tasteless
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-05-01 13:30:05
May 01 2012 13:19 GMT
#373
On May 01 2012 20:18 O.Golden_ne wrote:
Can we get a vote count?

Vote Count - Deadline at 21:59 GMT (+00:00). With 10 players left it takes 6 to lynch.
O.Golden_ne (0) - WhySoMuch
AcesAnoka (0) - nreekay324
Jailbreaker (4) - WhySoMuch, Mordanis, nreekay324, O.Golden_ne
Not voted - Pure-SC2, Marvellosity, Lazermonkey, The_Zen_Man, Jailbreaker, Splinter[eP]
All players must vote before the deadline. Anyone that doesn't will be modkilled without warning.
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
May 01 2012 13:23 GMT
#374
I've read your thoughts and I went back and had a look at Veriat's post.

The problems are contained in your questions 1 and 2. I can see nothing that makes me think one is more likely than the other. This very much isn't a dig at you, but this is classic wifom territory - the answer changes every time you add or takeaway a piece of information of logical thinking from the equation.

I suppose this is why I said it makes me feel uncomfortable - I can't draw any worthwhile conclusions from his fingering, and yet they still exist.

Going through my thought process, I'm glad you made me think about it a little more. In my view, for now, effectively ignoring who Veriat pointed fingers at is probably the best mindset. If we think someone is scum, then we shouldn't worry what Veriat thought.

Moving on - Jailbreaker is obviously a likely lynch today. But it doesn't do town much good just to go 'yep, we'll lynch this guy', so if there are other cases to be made, let's give it a go.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Pure-SC2
Profile Joined November 2011
United Kingdom1440 Posts
May 01 2012 13:23 GMT
#375
Artanis - I think Jailbreaker hasn't voted yet also...
"Every time I visit community sites, I'm just embarrassed. There's so much witch hunting and name calling and arguing and gossip. Misogynist comments against women. It's just embarrassing." – Tasteless
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
May 01 2012 13:25 GMT
#376
And Mordanis voted and didn't :p
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
May 01 2012 13:30 GMT
#377
Was just testing you guys.
Pure-SC2
Profile Joined November 2011
United Kingdom1440 Posts
May 01 2012 13:30 GMT
#378
We have a serious lurker problem right now with both Jailbreaker and Splinter.

Splinter was going to post when he got home from work and never did. What does this say? Maybe not much but he's fallen into heavily lurking state after being quite active during day 1.

Jailbreaker has made absolutely no response to the cases against him.
"Every time I visit community sites, I'm just embarrassed. There's so much witch hunting and name calling and arguing and gossip. Misogynist comments against women. It's just embarrassing." – Tasteless
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36160 Posts
May 01 2012 13:35 GMT
#379
I'll take another look at Splinter today. For some reason, when I went over his filter last night something told me townie, but I will re-examine.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
WhySoMuch
Profile Joined April 2012
132 Posts
May 01 2012 14:38 GMT
#380
On April 29 2012 05:30 Splinter[eP] wrote:
Okay, just quickly scanned over the thread posts. I will vote for Veriat instead to secure a lynch; while my analysis and other's of Aces makes sense I myself now see that the reasoning for Veriat is also quite concrete and some people are more sold on him than Aces. I think Veriat has tripped over himself more than Aces has as well, so thus:

##Unvote AcesAnoka

##Vote Veriat

I hope that he turns up red, but if not that means we've at least eliminated bad town play instead of someone more useful to the conversation.


I don't see Splinter ever being mafia.

-He made a case on Aces earlier in the day and therefore had ever reason to keep his vote on Aces
-He comes back into the thread and makes his vote change, where at the time the votes were 4-3, because he switched off Aces it made the votes 5-2 which made a veriat lynch likely

-His following post he says "depending on the results I'm still coming for Aces"

I think that is a very hard post to make as a mafia in that spot, he would know Veriat is flipping mafia, and therefor would have to clear (I'm assuming) Aces.
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