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The China Politics Thread - Page 12

Forum Index > General Forum
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Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17850 Posts
June 07 2022 00:59 GMT
#221
I don't think they can get any concessions or better deals, especially if we take into consideration that a lot of businesses started moving out of China and moving their production centers elsewhere. That's a big hit to China's position in the supply chain.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Erasme
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Bahamas15899 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-06-07 01:10:13
June 07 2022 01:09 GMT
#222
the issue is their pollution damage is catching up on them (and everyone around), i wonder what their real growth is
Also cant help but think we still don't have the real # on covid in china
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7lxwFEB6FI “‘Drain the swamp’? Stupid saying, means nothing, but you guys loved it so I kept saying it.”
[JXSA].Zergling
Profile Joined July 2020
China186 Posts
June 07 2022 01:12 GMT
#223
The reason why enterprises move out of China is that the wages of employees in Chinese enterprises have increased. The wages of employees in Vietnamese enterprises are only half of those in China。
China's problems are too complicated to be explained simply,Economically, militarily, historically and ideologically, there are many ethnic groups。
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14211 Posts
June 07 2022 04:17 GMT
#224
On June 07 2022 04:32 Manit0u wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2022 23:15 Sermokala wrote:
On June 06 2022 12:40 Archeon wrote:
On June 06 2022 05:46 JimmiC wrote:
The Russia one I'm not so sure on. But that would totally turn the world upside down because they pretty much vote lock step as it tends to go democracies voting one way and dictatorships the other. Not to mention that Russia still has nukes and would likely use them over losing that much territory.

If I had to bet, they would, but only to a point that wouldn't hurt the western countries that much. I do not think they would be to the level of Russian ones. It would also probably cause the fall of Putin. I wonder if China would then become the third country to try to occupy Afghanistan.

In the end I think the Chinese leadership is too shrewd and will just get themselves way ahead by getting dirt cheap enery from Russia and likely some other deals with them to increase their power and profile.

I agree with your points about Russia, it's both China's ally as well as dangerous if attacked.

I could see them attacking a fairly weak neutral neighbor like Afghanistan, but supposedly the Chinese gov has very good relationships with the Taliban, so I don't really think that that's as interesting for them.

I still think the most likely case is Taiwan. The sanctions against China will never reach the same severity as the ones against Russia because the western economy is heavily dependent on Chinese products, a large scale trade war would ruin our economies almost as much as the Chinese. Considering that inflation in many western countries is already high due to the war in Ukraine I just don't see it happening. Secondly I strongly doubt that the USA will go into a direct military confrontation with China if they can avoid it and I don't think Taiwan is worth risking a nuclear war for (Japan or SK might). Third the CCP has strong ideological reasons to attack Taiwan, China is extremely nationalist and has expressed that they will stop at nothing to achieve the "unification" of China. Conquering Taiwan is not just a question of geopolitical usage but also prestige for the Chinese government, especially because Taiwan presents an alternative to their totalitarian regime.

Why do you think that the US will go against their word and abandon taiwan despite constantly saying they will defend them? And why do you think that the west won't be united when a majority of the chip production globally comes offline due to the invasion? A real trade war with China would hurt China a lot more. The US can buy its products from another market rather easily while China would have to find a new USA sized market to sell its products to, which doesn't exist.

And again can someone explain to me what part of Chinese Ideology would explain risking the starvation of hundreds of millions and the end of their ability to obtain oil? Ignoreing completely the difficulty in actually invading Taiwan I just don't understand how a reckless and insane invasion of taiwan reconciles with the "long game pragmatism" we've seen from them for the longest time.


Are you telling me that entirely locking down huge cities, including closing the biggest port in the world can be considered "long game pragmatism"? If anything in recent years China has done anything but thinking long term, most of their moves were centered around strengthening the CCP short-term and unnecessary flexing that actually hurt them.

Yes it is. They haven't gone through the waves of the plauge like the rest of the world with an MRNA vaccine to top off people from dieing from it. If they don't lock down Bejing and Shanghai like they did their entire population gets hit with Omicron 2 with little to no resistance to it.

Leaning into nationalism in times of crisis is a classic western move. They're still building up their trade routes and buying friends in Africa while building fake islands in the south china sea. For all the unforced errors they take the money they bring to places still talks louder.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17850 Posts
June 07 2022 18:07 GMT
#225
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
pebble444
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Italy2503 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-06-07 19:08:33
June 07 2022 19:07 GMT
#226
Can’ t wait till the communist regime in China falls and people actually get to experience some freedom out there;

Freedoms such as leaving the country, freedoms such as professing your religious belief system, freedoms such as owning your own house (you can only rent it as is from the goverment long term like 30 years)

People deserve better than this; also,internet freedom to enjoy YouTube, Facebook, whatever
"Awaken my Child, and embrace the Glory that is your Birthright"
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17850 Posts
June 07 2022 19:15 GMT
#227
On June 08 2022 04:07 pebble444 wrote:
Can’ t wait till the communist regime in China falls and people actually get to experience some freedom out there;

Freedoms such as leaving the country, freedoms such as professing your religious belief system, freedoms such as owning your own house (you can only rent it as is from the goverment long term like 30 years)

People deserve better than this; also,internet freedom to enjoy YouTube, Facebook, whatever


Yeah, I think that if suddenly the great firewall of China would fall it would be quite a shock to many people there.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
June 07 2022 19:39 GMT
#228
On June 08 2022 04:15 Manit0u wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 08 2022 04:07 pebble444 wrote:
Can’ t wait till the communist regime in China falls and people actually get to experience some freedom out there;

Freedoms such as leaving the country, freedoms such as professing your religious belief system, freedoms such as owning your own house (you can only rent it as is from the goverment long term like 30 years)

People deserve better than this; also,internet freedom to enjoy YouTube, Facebook, whatever


Yeah, I think that if suddenly the great firewall of China would fall it would be quite a shock to many people there.


It’s really not hard to get past, VPNs work fine basically all the time except for political anniversaries and shit, which has always said to me China isn’t actually that interested in totally blocking western internet, just making it annoying to access. The difference between when China is REALLY trying to stop you from accessing western internet and when they’re not is night and day.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17850 Posts
June 07 2022 21:11 GMT
#229
On June 08 2022 04:39 Zambrah wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 08 2022 04:15 Manit0u wrote:
On June 08 2022 04:07 pebble444 wrote:
Can’ t wait till the communist regime in China falls and people actually get to experience some freedom out there;

Freedoms such as leaving the country, freedoms such as professing your religious belief system, freedoms such as owning your own house (you can only rent it as is from the goverment long term like 30 years)

People deserve better than this; also,internet freedom to enjoy YouTube, Facebook, whatever


Yeah, I think that if suddenly the great firewall of China would fall it would be quite a shock to many people there.


It’s really not hard to get past, VPNs work fine basically all the time except for political anniversaries and shit, which has always said to me China isn’t actually that interested in totally blocking western internet, just making it annoying to access. The difference between when China is REALLY trying to stop you from accessing western internet and when they’re not is night and day.


Yes, but it's still more a tool for more tech savvy people. I would presume that the majority of population have no idea how to use a VPN (even in the west it's hard for people to use anything that doesn't come pre-installed on their machines).
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
June 07 2022 21:47 GMT
#230
Most people who are using the internet a lot are able to use VPNs, they often dont because China has a huge tech sector with Chinese versions of western apps like Uber is DiDi, Spotify is QQ (QQ is better though,) Amazon is Taobao, WeChat is like Giga-Facebook+ApplePay, etc. so they don’t really feel the need to go through the mild hassle to go to blocked western websites.

The great firewall going down wouldn’t change much beyond western tech moving in and fighting Chinese tech. It’s not like Chinese people would see some sort of hidden light and be in awe at western magic, tech literate people would barely notice until Google tried to assert a monopoly over China and the tech illiterate Chinese wouldn’t know the difference because they’re not using the internet much anyways.

China isn’t the stonewalled North Korea brand isolated country that people imagine it to be.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 07 2022 22:02 GMT
#231
--- Nuked ---
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-06-07 22:29:30
June 07 2022 22:27 GMT
#232
I would argue that China kept the west out of their tech market for 1. Government control, and 2. to create a robust domestic tech industry that keeps them from being beholden to western corporations, which they now have.

I’d like to point out the massive amount of data harvesting the US does, immediately after the Roe v Wade leak people were warned to delete their period tracking apps because they could become a legal liability in states that aimed to criminalize any loss of pregnancy. The west is no paragon of data privacy.

I can’t fathom the idea that western corporations have an ounce of morality or integrity, frankly. They’ve shown time and again they have neither. At best they want to retain their own autonomous power and the Chinese government doesn’t take kindly to encroachments on its power in even small ways.

Also your link says Dragonfly got shut down because of disagreements with Googles privacy team, not because anyone found out about the relationship.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 07 2022 22:38 GMT
#233
--- Nuked ---
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
June 07 2022 22:48 GMT
#234
I mean yeah, Chinese governments authoritarianism is awful, but I take issue with the core conceit that people in China are hyper ignorant (beyond the typical hyper ignorance people from the west are equally susceptible to) because of the great firewall. It’s not nearly as big a deal as people make it out to be and they totally could make it a big deal, they prove that several times yearly (I’m not in China atm but the Tiananmen Square anniversary almost definitely had a good three days of actual legitimate western internet blockage.)

The west really has to stop thinking it’s uniquely moral or immune to information control, we’re neither of those things.

I remember people asking me “where will you sleep??” before I moved to China because they didn’t grasp that Chinese people slept in fucking beds, lol. They thought people in China lived in huts and slept on fucking piles of straw.

We’re all grossly ignorant of the places we haven’t actually been or spent any time in and we have these weird pictures of what we think those places are like but I doubt they’re often accurate.

The Chinese people I met thought America was full of rich homeowners in giant houses with white picket fences, if you showed them urban squalor or any random neighborhood that wasn’t rich they’d go “fuck this is not what I imagined at all.”
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 07 2022 23:13 GMT
#235
--- Nuked ---
Fleetfeet
Profile Blog Joined May 2014
Canada2836 Posts
June 07 2022 23:26 GMT
#236
This thread had its title changed because (I presume) it was pretty heavily slanted anti-china. I don't see Zambrah's critique as going in the wrong direction, and can relate to the ignorance and bias they speak of.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 07 2022 23:31 GMT
#237
--- Nuked ---
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-06-07 23:44:38
June 07 2022 23:44 GMT
#238
Some people definitely have that sort of innate perception of moral superiority, even if only that kind of underlying kind. It’s just the nature of things, people don’t get the opportunity to experience other countries culture and have to absorb an idea of it from media and media obviously is going to offer its own slanted view of things, plenty of truth but without a lot of context to ground it in. So we get ideas of the Chinese government basically being North Korea (which I’ve never been to so they could be totally dissimilar to how we imagine them to be, to be fair) You don’t have to think the west is very moral to think then morally superior and such.

I just want to offer a perspective as a westerner who spent time living in China and got some interesting prospective insights into phenomena we’ve all mostly heard about and how those phenomena actually worked out when I was there.

Like the censorship thing is about as bad as the media makes it out, but the great firewall isn’t nearly as isolating as people think it is. CCP is authoritarian and awful but they’re not communist, they’re like crony state capitalist, etc.

Generally I now view China as an authoritarian country with a fairly competent government that I don’t think young people in the US can adequately understand. The US government is so beholden to corporations and so unbelievably short sighted and ineffective compared to the Chinese government which is basically an opposite situation.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
June 08 2022 00:00 GMT
#239
--- Nuked ---
Zambrah
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States7393 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-06-08 01:41:16
June 08 2022 01:34 GMT
#240
In the power equation yeah basically, and also in a kind of literal sense, I remember the tobacco industry in particular was basically immensely corrupt and government owned and all of that hairy business when capitalism has gross sloppy sex with government.

They also have a mountain of foreign companies that operate there obviously, like Ive never seen so many fucking Adidas stores in one city before, but utilities and sort of "core" business sectors domestically are basically the government.

The price of utilities cant be beat though, 200USD for the maxiest phone and cable package, aside from that I was spending 40 bucks a month on utilities (electric, gas, and water) and I kept the AC to a crisp 60 degrees at all times.
Incremental change is the Democrat version of Trickle Down economics.
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