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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
September 29 2023 13:59 GMT
#11981
--- Nuked ---
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44203 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-09-29 16:19:11
September 29 2023 14:50 GMT
#11982
That said, conscripts from the alphabet republics have been used extensively in the war so far, despite their use being a literal war crime. That’s not regular Russian conscription though, that’s Russian paramilitary troops rounding up Ukrainian men on the street and forcing them to fight their countrymen. It’s one of the reasons for the gap between Ukrainian reported kills and Russian reported losses. Despite the annexation Russia is still largely of the opinion that the occupants of the Donbas don’t count as real Russians.

On September 29 2023 21:57 Gorsameth wrote:Nor would I expect any of the Ukrainians that are drafted to actually be deployed anywhere remotely near the fighting. That would seem like a recipe for 'accidents' and 'friendly fire incidents'.

The Russian controlled alphabet republics have conscripted and lost thousands of Ukrainian men in their militias. It’s extremely sad.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany7326 Posts
September 29 2023 14:56 GMT
#11983
On September 29 2023 21:47 JimmiC wrote:
Russia is starting new conscriptions starting Oct 1st and including the parts of Ukraine that they control. I guess they are not getting enough vaccines volunteers. It will be even more disturbingly Ukrainians vs Ukrainians.

Show nested quote +

Fall conscription will begin from October 1 in all parts of the Russian Federation, including in the illegally annexed regions of Ukraine, Russia's defense ministry announced Friday.

In some regions of the Far North, the conscription will begin on November 1 due to the climate differences, Rear Admiral Vladimir Tsimlyansky, deputy chief of the Main Organizational and Mobilization Directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, said during a briefing.

“The autumn conscription will take place from October 1 in all constituent entities of the Russian Federation," Tsimlyansky said.
"The exception is certain regions of the Far North and certain areas equated to regions of the Far North, where citizens living in these territories are conscripted for military service from November 1 to December 31. This is primarily due to the climatic characteristics of these territories."
The departure of conscripts from collection points is scheduled to begin on October 16, he said. “The term of conscription military service, as before, will be 12 months,” Tsimlyansky said.

The conscription for military service in what Moscow claims are Russia's the new regions is regulated by a so-called constitutional law on admission to the Russian Federation, according to state news agency TASS.

According to the law, the autumn 2023 conscription will include the annexed territories – Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia – for the first time. There was no conscription for military service last year and in the spring of 2023 in these regions, according to TASS.

While regular conscriptions will be carried out, Russia has no plans for further mobilizations, Tsimlyansky, said.

Some context: Conscriptions in Russia happen twice per year. Last fall’s conscription began a month later than usual due to bottlenecks at conscription offices amid a partial mobilization, according to TASS.


It is also a chance to shoot some Russians in the back I imagine
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11941 Posts
September 29 2023 15:13 GMT
#11984
On September 29 2023 23:56 Harris1st wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 29 2023 21:47 JimmiC wrote:
Russia is starting new conscriptions starting Oct 1st and including the parts of Ukraine that they control. I guess they are not getting enough vaccines volunteers. It will be even more disturbingly Ukrainians vs Ukrainians.


Fall conscription will begin from October 1 in all parts of the Russian Federation, including in the illegally annexed regions of Ukraine, Russia's defense ministry announced Friday.

In some regions of the Far North, the conscription will begin on November 1 due to the climate differences, Rear Admiral Vladimir Tsimlyansky, deputy chief of the Main Organizational and Mobilization Directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, said during a briefing.

“The autumn conscription will take place from October 1 in all constituent entities of the Russian Federation," Tsimlyansky said.
"The exception is certain regions of the Far North and certain areas equated to regions of the Far North, where citizens living in these territories are conscripted for military service from November 1 to December 31. This is primarily due to the climatic characteristics of these territories."
The departure of conscripts from collection points is scheduled to begin on October 16, he said. “The term of conscription military service, as before, will be 12 months,” Tsimlyansky said.

The conscription for military service in what Moscow claims are Russia's the new regions is regulated by a so-called constitutional law on admission to the Russian Federation, according to state news agency TASS.

According to the law, the autumn 2023 conscription will include the annexed territories – Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia – for the first time. There was no conscription for military service last year and in the spring of 2023 in these regions, according to TASS.

While regular conscriptions will be carried out, Russia has no plans for further mobilizations, Tsimlyansky, said.

Some context: Conscriptions in Russia happen twice per year. Last fall’s conscription began a month later than usual due to bottlenecks at conscription offices amid a partial mobilization, according to TASS.


It is also a chance to shoot some Russians in the back I imagine


Russia is pretty good at keeping people they don't like fighting for them without those people getting a chance to backstab them. That is basically a core soviet expertise that Russia probably kept alive.
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
12132 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-09-29 18:06:30
September 29 2023 18:05 GMT
#11985
Something to consider for the long term progress of the war is that I have heard little about Western mass drone aid. While Russia is gearing up to produce a lot of them in new factories. Ukraine has a hard time scaling their own production up due to cruise missiles from Russia, no point building a high tech plant that will just get bombed out.

Since this currently static war is mostly artillery, missile and drone based.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
September 29 2023 18:12 GMT
#11986
On September 30 2023 03:05 Yurie wrote:
Something to consider for the long term progress of the war is that I have heard little about Western mass drone aid. While Russia is gearing up to produce a lot of them in new factories. Ukraine has a hard time scaling their own production up due to cruise missiles from Russia, no point building a high tech plant that will just get bombed out.

Since this currently static war is mostly artillery, missile and drone based.


Its an interesting situation because the US has been whiny about giving Ukraine missiles that can reach within Russia. But drones already do that pretty easily. So if the US were to give Ukraine 500 drones, that could mean 500 attacks within Russia.

So do drones get treated the same as missiles? Is the entire thing a farce? Its all very silly.
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6343 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-09-29 18:38:45
September 29 2023 18:38 GMT
#11987
On September 29 2023 19:47 KwarK wrote:
“They’re not winning fast enough”

Statistically the least amount of winning on any side since the conflict started
Pre-emptive retaliatory de-escalation action
Ghostcom
Profile Joined March 2010
Denmark4783 Posts
September 29 2023 20:10 GMT
#11988
I think the entire argument is dumb, but I really do hate to see bad inferences being made from data.

What is reported is the least changes to the frontlines. Whether or not that equates to less winning remains to be seen as it depends on a number of other factors such as losses, reserves, replacement rates, troop morale, popular opinions, political opinions etc.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
September 30 2023 04:30 GMT
#11989
On September 30 2023 05:10 Ghostcom wrote:
I think the entire argument is dumb, but I really do hate to see bad inferences being made from data.

What is reported is the least changes to the frontlines. Whether or not that equates to less winning remains to be seen as it depends on a number of other factors such as losses, reserves, replacement rates, troop morale, popular opinions, political opinions etc.


Agreed. This is essentially a weird fusion of WW2 and the cold war. There are so many dynamics, so much at stake, and all the folks up top know the outcome of this conflict will likely set the stage for global political/military dynamics across the world for at least 20 years.

Right now my armchair perspective is that the major winner in all of this will ultimately be China. Russia has done considerable deal with the devil kinda plays so far and is clearly going to be a subsidiary of China regardless of how all this plays out. Whether openly or otherwise.

I think this ends up with Russia being mostly neutered and not an actual threat to Europe permanently. Then China massively gains economically and otherwise by informally being Russia's puppet master.
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8272 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-09-30 10:55:59
September 30 2023 10:54 GMT
#11990
On September 30 2023 05:10 Ghostcom wrote:
I think the entire argument is dumb, but I really do hate to see bad inferences being made from data.

What is reported is the least changes to the frontlines. Whether or not that equates to less winning remains to be seen as it depends on a number of other factors such as losses, reserves, replacement rates, troop morale, popular opinions, political opinions etc.


You'd also have to be pretty incredibly naive to not understand that measuring "frontline" in m^2 is genuinely ridiculous. Ukraine is focusing all their effort into a very specific part of the frontline in order to achieve some very specific goals, which is to get their short range artillery close enough to cut off supply routes first to the front, and then to Crimea. If they get pushed back elsewhere, it genuinely doesn't matter. Russia isn't going to be pushing all the way to Kyiv any time soon. Ukraine would trade 100 meters up north for an additional 100 meters down south any day of the week

And that's on top of everything you just listed. As people have pointed out repeatedly numerous times already, in both WW1 and WW2, the frontlines barely moved for a very long time, until something collapsed, and then it all came barreling down at once.

But it's understandable for people like Zeo to keep harping on about this, because there is genuinely nothing else he could use to talk up Russia. By every other measurement and standard, Russia is doing incredibly poorly. Poorly thought out arguments, bad sources and logical leaps is all he can argue with, because there just isn't anything else.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17800 Posts
September 30 2023 13:10 GMT
#11991
Russia did have some success lately. They managed to shoot down their own Su-35
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5847 Posts
September 30 2023 14:18 GMT
#11992
On September 30 2023 19:54 Excludos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 30 2023 05:10 Ghostcom wrote:
I think the entire argument is dumb, but I really do hate to see bad inferences being made from data.

What is reported is the least changes to the frontlines. Whether or not that equates to less winning remains to be seen as it depends on a number of other factors such as losses, reserves, replacement rates, troop morale, popular opinions, political opinions etc.

But it's understandable for people like Zeo to keep harping on about this, because there is genuinely nothing else he could use to talk up Russia. By every other measurement and standard, Russia is doing incredibly poorly. Poorly thought out arguments, bad sources and logical leaps is all he can argue with, because there just isn't anything else.

Well, he could be criticizing Russia for sending tens of thousands of L/DNR men in meat waves without equipment or ammunition, like one of the Russian mercenaries popular on Telegram, since zeo is so concerned about the people of Donbas. ;-)

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1708081230120444122?t=g0CY_NnSx_sXxfrb3XJmiA&s=19
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5847 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-09-30 14:36:43
September 30 2023 14:36 GMT
#11993
And here's one of the DNR leaders calmly explaining Russia's genocidal intent, for all the peacemongers in this thread (from 3:30 onwards):

Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11941 Posts
September 30 2023 15:00 GMT
#11994
Wow, that is some nice fascist stuff in there. Literally every sentence is just insane nonsense.

"They want to exterminate the Russian people and replace them with ethnic migrants"

He also makes it very clear that any peace will be tactical short-term stuff that they intend to break the second they view it as an advantage.
maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5847 Posts
September 30 2023 15:38 GMT
#11995
On October 01 2023 00:00 Simberto wrote:
Wow, that is some nice fascist stuff in there. Literally every sentence is just insane nonsense.

"They want to exterminate the Russian people and replace them with ethnic migrants"

He also makes it very clear that any peace will be tactical short-term stuff that they intend to break the second they view it as an advantage.

He's using Hitler's rhetoric. You've got Russian supremacism, a national rejuvenation, a plot to destroy Russia/ethnic Russians, might makes right, and ambitions to conquer the world/change the world order.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
September 30 2023 16:51 GMT
#11996
--- Nuked ---
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 01 2023 00:27 GMT
#11997
If the official said it in front of cameras, then I can't find it. But the reason I bring this is up is the fact that if what Romania says is true, isn't active Jamming considered an act of war? Or is that just in the form of air jamming?

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8272 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-10-01 01:44:54
October 01 2023 01:44 GMT
#11998
On October 01 2023 09:27 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
If the official said it in front of cameras, then I can't find it. But the reason I bring this is up is the fact that if what Romania says is true, isn't active Jamming considered an act of war? Or is that just in the form of air jamming?

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1708259769838919717


At every Cold Response NATO exercise in Norway, Russia has been busy jamming the comms. Active jamming is an act of war, but so are cyberattacks, or flying over someone else's airspace with military jets. Pushing boundaries is what Russia has always done. They've become so commonplace no one cares about them any more other than the nuisance they provide.
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium5195 Posts
October 01 2023 06:18 GMT
#11999
Has anyone ever thought about just giving Putin a hug? Perhaps he's just lashing out with his entire everything because he just kind of like, you know, feels sad or something low dimensional psychopaths can't ever seem to grasp.
Taxes are for Terrans
0x64
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
Finland4632 Posts
October 01 2023 09:40 GMT
#12000
On October 01 2023 15:18 Uldridge wrote:
Has anyone ever thought about just giving Putin a hug? Perhaps he's just lashing out with his entire everything because he just kind of like, you know, feels sad or something low dimensional psychopaths can't ever seem to grasp.


Or open the window to give him fresh air?
Dump of assembler code from 0xffffffec to 0x64: End of assembler dump.
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