EPTThe confident pollster was Chief pollster Robert Cahaly from the Trafalgar group.
The short interviewe piece in the programme starts at minute 35 and is linked below.
Source
2020 US Election - Page 167
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Artisreal
Germany9235 Posts
The confident pollster was Chief pollster Robert Cahaly from the Trafalgar group. The short interviewe piece in the programme starts at minute 35 and is linked below. Source | ||
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Nevuk
United States16280 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:38 Wegandi wrote: Well DC is not supposed to be a state (read the Constitution). I don't think the balance of power question is an arbitrary one but if you want to ratchet up the sectarian and partisan strife to 800000% levels then ya go ahead and ram through DC and PR. No one is saying to make the WH and Congress, the relevant portions of DC in the OG form envisioned by the constitution, a state. They're saying that it's insane that we have 3 million people living around them with 0 representation in the senate or house. The constitution also says that Hillary should have been Trump's VP. | ||
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PhoenixVoid
Canada32754 Posts
The rest of the tweet chain is Spanberger complaining that 2022 will be a bloodbath for Dems and Pelosi disagreeing, saying they won the presidency and held the House. | ||
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Biff The Understudy
France8153 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:34 FlaShFTW wrote: https://twitter.com/shadihamid/status/1324386750026993671?s=20 Well this is certainly interesting, not sure if this info is true or not but holy hell 30% Muslims for Trump? After all that talk about what he thinks of them and his immigration policy. Very interesting. GA UPDATE: https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324449301494378501?s=20 Since last time: Lead now 12.7k Biden +3k Trump + 2k Only 60% gain for Biden, not enough. Georgia is starting to slip away. The amount of Turkeys voting for Christmas this election is surprising to say the very least. | ||
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Diavlo
Belgium2915 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:35 Ciaus_Dronu wrote: There's a very recent piece of data that runs contrary to this... The referendum was 52-48, that's not exactly the biggest endorsement. Only the brits would completely change their political system on a 52% referendum... | ||
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Wegandi
United States2455 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:38 farvacola wrote: This is a dumb and unnecessarily hostile take, it's not as though the Missouri Compromise worked, did you skip yours? Having just come from the Toledo-Detroit area, I find the driving around here annoyingly familiar, but with way better roads Thats the point. Of course it didnt work. You alter the balance of power to ensure one party rule youre going to force the red states to just say fuck you again and youll say nuh huh you cant leave and then we'll have 1860 all over again. | ||
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Zambrah
United States7393 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:38 farvacola wrote: This is a dumb and unnecessarily hostile take, it's not as though the Missouri Compromise worked, did you skip yours? Having just come from the Toledo-Detroit area, I find the driving around here annoyingly familiar, but with way better roads Sounds icy, you won't see that so much here for sure. Selfish fucks here though, seriously the games of fucking chicken Ive played in my car, these people are homi or suicidal and they will legit endanger their entire family's lives to cut ahead in a lane. I've taken to imagining a humongous blue hand that grabs these people's cars and pankcakes them and frisbees them into the distance like a cartoon. | ||
FlaShFTW
United States10534 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:41 PhoenixVoid wrote: A fractious call between House Democrats between Rep. Spanberger who barely held on to her Virginia seat and Pelosi is the embodiment of the ideological soul-searching Democrats are having right now. https://twitter.com/ericawerner/status/1324439295847968768 The rest of the tweet chain is Spanberger complaining that 2022 will be a bloodbath for Dems and Pelosi disagreeing, saying they won the presidency and held the House. Pelosi has failed in her leadership of the Dems. She has no idea wtf she is doing and does not understand how to construct a winning democratic message. Though, this has, and always will be, the reason why Republicans remain relevant in this current political battle. | ||
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iPlaY.NettleS
Australia4437 Posts
Trump: 2,432,799 GOP Sen: 2,433,617 Dif: 818 Biden: 2,414,651 Dem Sen: 2,318,850 Dif: 95,801 | ||
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farvacola
United States18866 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:41 PhoenixVoid wrote: A fractious call between House Democrats involving Rep. Spanberger who barely held on to her Virginia seat and Pelosi is the embodiment of the ideological soul-searching Democrats are having right now. https://twitter.com/ericawerner/status/1324439295847968768 The rest of the tweet chain is Spanberger complaining that 2022 will be a bloodbath for Dems and Pelosi disagreeing, saying they won the presidency and held the House. Spanberger is avoiding the self-reflection she should engage in, campaigning and expecting to win on being an incredibly vanilla civil service-oriented politician is an increasingly out of date approach to US politics. That said, I can see why what she sees says otherwise, Northern Virginia is a very unusual place all US things considered. | ||
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Zambrah
United States7393 Posts
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food
United States1951 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:34 FlaShFTW wrote: Well this is certainly interesting, not sure if this info is true or not but holy hell 30% Muslims for Trump? After all that talk about what he thinks of them and his immigration policy. Very interesting. Same as Latino vote, it's hilarious to me. This must have to do with religious conservativism, I have no idea. Maybe it's that "I got mine" mentality that more feeble-minded populace seems to posess. | ||
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pmh
1416 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:24 farvacola wrote: It'a laughably inaccurate to assert that the Dem Party is in any way married to Sanders' policy positions, the opposite, while still too broad, is much closer to the truth. Yes this very much true,even in europe a large part of the left wing partys (which are left of the democrats) are more maried to rightwing economic and social policies then traditional leftwing policies. Now on cnn: "nevada says count will take days" ? Biden almost 4m ahead in the overall vote,thats an impressive margin. | ||
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Erasme
Bahamas15899 Posts
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Nevuk
United States16280 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:42 Wegandi wrote: Thats the point. Of course it didnt work. You alter the balance of power to ensure one party rule youre going to force the red states to just say fuck you again and youll say nuh huh you cant leave and then we'll have 1860 all over again. 1860 will never happen again because we're not geographically positioned correctly for it. That only worked because we were very centralized within states on the issue. The only people who didn't want to fight a civil war to preserve slavery in the South were the slaves. In the states that tracked the popular vote and allowed Lincoln on the ballot, he got 1% of the vote or less (VA, basically. KY had similar numbers). Most southern states didn't even have him on the ballot. This is nothing like most of our states where it's looking like 35-45% are on the other side. Even CA is like 1/3 GOP. PR is a perfectly winnable state for the GOP, if they toned down their insane racism. DC not really, but if we're excluding people on this basis, let's just join ND and SD back into one state again (they got split for this exact type of nonsense about the Senate). We could split Nebraska or something if you really insist on it. On November 06 2020 05:41 PhoenixVoid wrote: A fractious call between House Democrats involving Rep. Spanberger who barely held on to her Virginia seat and Pelosi is the embodiment of the ideological soul-searching Democrats are having right now. https://twitter.com/ericawerner/status/1324439295847968768 The rest of the tweet chain is Spanberger complaining that 2022 will be a bloodbath for Dems and Pelosi disagreeing, saying they won the presidency and held the House. Environment in 2022 will be so different that this is very premature. | ||
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Slydie
1998 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:22 Biff The Understudy wrote: It's been said many times in that thread, but the fact that an election where a candidate has 4 millions votes more than his opponent can hang on a few thousand votes in the suburb of some random city in effing Georgia is retarded. I know it's not quiiite the case here because it looks that Georgia won't matter but still. I would be so pissed off to live in California or DC. Butbut... the constitution and the founding fathers.... I remember my father explained this to me when I was a kid, and I already found it illogical and awful. How did they even come up with something that unfair and complicated when most other countries make it simple and fair, and why wasn't it changed ages ago? It is very sad that this is the election system of the most powerful democracy in the world. The only saving grace is that both candidates know the rules of the game, but making the mast majority of voters irrelevant is a disgrace. | ||
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BlueBird.
United States3890 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:42 Wegandi wrote: Thats the point. Of course it didnt work. You alter the balance of power to ensure one party rule youre going to force the red states to just say fuck you again and youll say nuh huh you cant leave and then we'll have 1860 all over again. So what your saying is humans in these areas don’t deserve representation because other people currently being over represented by the current systems flaws might get angry and be unreasonable. I’m not following this line of reasoning. Holding America hostage is not a valid argument against DC statehood. | ||
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Nevuk
United States16280 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:43 iPlaY.NettleS wrote: Even if Biden won Georgia he probably wouldn't win senate race there due to massive difference in people not voting in senate race compared to Trump voters Trump: 2,432,799 GOP Sen: 2,433,617 Dif: 818 Biden: 2,414,651 Dem Sen: 2,318,850 Dif: 95,801 Doesn't matter. The GOP senator needs 50% of the vote to win, and he's going to fall short. Otherwise there's a runoff. | ||
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eviltomahawk
United States11135 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:51 Nevuk wrote: Doesn't matter. The GOP senator needs 50% of the vote to win, and he's going to fall short. Otherwise there's a runoff. I wonder if enough Dems will come out to vote in the runoffs to be able to tip the senate election in the other direction. | ||
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Wegandi
United States2455 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:41 PhoenixVoid wrote: A fractious call between House Democrats involving Rep. Spanberger who barely held on to her Virginia seat and Pelosi is the embodiment of the ideological soul-searching Democrats are having right now. https://twitter.com/ericawerner/status/1324439295847968768 The rest of the tweet chain is Spanberger complaining that 2022 will be a bloodbath for Dems and Pelosi disagreeing, saying they won the presidency and held the House. I thought Freitas was gonna win. Such a shame. Could have used another Massie in the House. | ||
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