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Bisutopia19372 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:48 WombaT wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 04:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
FlashFTW, First of His Name, Lord of the Election Thread, Savior of Team Liquiders, Father of the Updates, Scourge of the Hopeful Trumpers, Breaker of the Uncertainties... For his sterling shift in this thread he has ascended up the pole of Flashes, surging past such luminaries as Flash Gordon and Grandmaster Flash, while still a distant second to Flash ‘The Ultimate Weapon, God, the Unimpressed One’ Lee Young Ho
Wasn't FlashFTW a pro-trumper in 2016?... 
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On November 06 2020 04:50 FlaShFTW wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 04:48 WombaT wrote:On November 06 2020 04:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
FlashFTW, First of His Name, Lord of the Election Thread, Savior of Team Liquiders, Father of the Updates, Scourge of the Hopeful Trumpers, Breaker of the Uncertainties... For his sterling shift in this thread he has ascended up the pole of Flashes, surging past such luminaries as Flash Gordon and Grandmaster Flash, while still a distant second to Flash ‘The Ultimate Weapon, God, the Unimpressed One’ Lee Young Ho Please don't even mention me in the same sentence as God Young Ho please. But these are hilarious, I love you all. Gotta update my sig now.
I stopped refreshing the NYT a long time ago because I get faster, better information here. And I have had a better time with this nightmare of an election reading you guys comments than I could have had anywhere else :D
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On November 06 2020 04:53 FiWiFaKi wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 04:52 GreenHorizons wrote:
I'm curious what the winning condition is for betting markets. Like if Trump did manage to pull off some faithless elector scheme, would he be the winner by betting market standards? When certain news networks call it. Every sport book has different criteria for which one.
Something about bookies paying out for a Biden win only for Trump to still legally (stretching that word there a bit) end up president would be very 2020.
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United States10534 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:54 BisuDagger wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 04:48 WombaT wrote:On November 06 2020 04:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
FlashFTW, First of His Name, Lord of the Election Thread, Savior of Team Liquiders, Father of the Updates, Scourge of the Hopeful Trumpers, Breaker of the Uncertainties... For his sterling shift in this thread he has ascended up the pole of Flashes, surging past such luminaries as Flash Gordon and Grandmaster Flash, while still a distant second to Flash ‘The Ultimate Weapon, God, the Unimpressed One’ Lee Young Ho Wasn't FlashFTW a pro-trumper in 2016?...
LISTEN HERE YOU LITTLE SHIT. We all make mistakes in life.
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On November 06 2020 04:45 FlaShFTW wrote:https://twitter.com/FiveThirtyEight/status/1324435653220847616?s=20538 update that Biden just needs 60% of the remaining vote to win the state. He is currently winning 3:1 or 75%. If the 75% line holds, Biden is projected to win 272k votes, leading to roughly a 170k victory. Philly votes still should be closer to 80/20, even 90/10.
When you say 170K victory, do you mean the final PA count, once everything is tallied? Or is that number a subset of some smaller part of PA?
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The more I think about it the more interested I am in the GA runoffs. I think it might be a great gauge of where the GOP will go and how much Trump being on the ballot helped or hurt them (and the same for Biden and the Dem Senators).
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Northern Ireland27248 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:58 FlaShFTW wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 04:54 BisuDagger wrote:On November 06 2020 04:48 WombaT wrote:On November 06 2020 04:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
FlashFTW, First of His Name, Lord of the Election Thread, Savior of Team Liquiders, Father of the Updates, Scourge of the Hopeful Trumpers, Breaker of the Uncertainties... For his sterling shift in this thread he has ascended up the pole of Flashes, surging past such luminaries as Flash Gordon and Grandmaster Flash, while still a distant second to Flash ‘The Ultimate Weapon, God, the Unimpressed One’ Lee Young Ho Wasn't FlashFTW a pro-trumper in 2016?... LISTEN HERE YOU LITTLE SHIT. We all make mistakes in life.
As far as I’m concerned what occurred during my psychosis-induced hiatus from TL didn’t actually happen so you’re grand
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On November 06 2020 04:59 TheTenthDoc wrote:
The more I think about it the more interested I am in the GA runoffs. I think it might be a great gauge of where the GOP will go and how much Trump being on the ballot helped or hurt them (and the same for Biden and the Dem Senators).
I would bet that Dems lose both, but not by much.
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United States10534 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:59 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:When you say 170K victory, do you mean the final PA count, once everything is tallied? Or is that number a subset of some smaller part of PA?
Looking solely at if Philly was the only county left to count, the win would be estimated at 170k.
There are still many other counties like Pittsburgh that have several thousand vote that will all lean blue. If I try to include those numbers, I expect a win closer to 200-250k. Not entirely sure on just how many votes are left though so all of these are estimates.
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On November 06 2020 04:58 FlaShFTW wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 04:54 BisuDagger wrote:On November 06 2020 04:48 WombaT wrote:On November 06 2020 04:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
FlashFTW, First of His Name, Lord of the Election Thread, Savior of Team Liquiders, Father of the Updates, Scourge of the Hopeful Trumpers, Breaker of the Uncertainties... For his sterling shift in this thread he has ascended up the pole of Flashes, surging past such luminaries as Flash Gordon and Grandmaster Flash, while still a distant second to Flash ‘The Ultimate Weapon, God, the Unimpressed One’ Lee Young Ho Wasn't FlashFTW a pro-trumper in 2016?... LISTEN HERE YOU LITTLE SHIT. We all make mistakes in life.
The plot thickens.
Then again. Kwark was a registered tory and I was an armchair communist. It makes it more fun to have had a surprising previous life.
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Bisutopia19372 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:58 FlaShFTW wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 04:54 BisuDagger wrote:On November 06 2020 04:48 WombaT wrote:On November 06 2020 04:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
FlashFTW, First of His Name, Lord of the Election Thread, Savior of Team Liquiders, Father of the Updates, Scourge of the Hopeful Trumpers, Breaker of the Uncertainties... For his sterling shift in this thread he has ascended up the pole of Flashes, surging past such luminaries as Flash Gordon and Grandmaster Flash, while still a distant second to Flash ‘The Ultimate Weapon, God, the Unimpressed One’ Lee Young Ho Wasn't FlashFTW a pro-trumper in 2016?... LISTEN HERE YOU LITTLE SHIT. We all make mistakes in life.
I'm not entirely sure you aren't PBU amazingxkcd. He's the only one clever enough to infiltrate TL with as a never-trumper.
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United States10534 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:04 BisuDagger wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 04:58 FlaShFTW wrote:On November 06 2020 04:54 BisuDagger wrote:On November 06 2020 04:48 WombaT wrote:On November 06 2020 04:43 Biff The Understudy wrote:
FlashFTW, First of His Name, Lord of the Election Thread, Savior of Team Liquiders, Father of the Updates, Scourge of the Hopeful Trumpers, Breaker of the Uncertainties... For his sterling shift in this thread he has ascended up the pole of Flashes, surging past such luminaries as Flash Gordon and Grandmaster Flash, while still a distant second to Flash ‘The Ultimate Weapon, God, the Unimpressed One’ Lee Young Ho Wasn't FlashFTW a pro-trumper in 2016?... LISTEN HERE YOU LITTLE SHIT. We all make mistakes in life. I'm not entirely sure you aren't PBU amazingxkcd. He's the only one clever enough to infiltrate TL with as a never-trumper.
Hey man we had some good times with him. Never forget those casts we all did together.
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@FlashFTW thank you for the terrific job. It's amazing that this forum is faster and better than most big media out there.
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United States10534 Posts
Some updates on states we don't really care about, but interesting nonetheless:
Wisconsin: Biden's lead has widened to 25k votes, up from 20k.
Michigan: Biden's lead has widened to 150k votes, up from 120k. He is now up by 3 points there, a recount is totally out of the question at this point in Michigan.
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On November 06 2020 05:01 FlaShFTW wrote:Show nested quote +On November 06 2020 04:59 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:On November 06 2020 04:45 FlaShFTW wrote:https://twitter.com/FiveThirtyEight/status/1324435653220847616?s=20538 update that Biden just needs 60% of the remaining vote to win the state. He is currently winning 3:1 or 75%. If the 75% line holds, Biden is projected to win 272k votes, leading to roughly a 170k victory. Philly votes still should be closer to 80/20, even 90/10. When you say 170K victory, do you mean the final PA count, once everything is tallied? Or is that number a subset of some smaller part of PA? Looking solely at if Philly was the only county left to count, the win would be estimated at 170k. There are still many other counties like Pittsburgh that have several thousand vote that will all lean blue. If I try to include those numbers, I expect a win closer to 200-250k. Not entirely sure on just how many votes are left though so all of these are estimates.
I appreciate the analysis, thanks 
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United States10534 Posts
On November 06 2020 05:09 alypse wrote:
@FlashFTW thank you for the terrific job. It's amazing that this forum is faster and better than most big media out there.
Glad to have helped out so many of you for this! I've done this in 2016 to just my group of friends back then, and also 2018 just on my twitter feed. Looking at numbers and polls is actually fun for me, even if the balance of the country hangs with these votes.
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GA seems impossible for Biden now.
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United States10534 Posts
GEORGIA UPDATE: Michael Gold, in New York 2m ago
Georgia still has 47,277 ballots remaining to be counted, an official with the secretary of state’s office said.
So with Biden currently trailing by about 13k votes, Biden needs 30k to Trump's 17k to overtake Trump. That's still in line with the 66% line that Biden has had to hold this entire time. The remaining vote is mostly in Savannah.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-georgia-president.html
Going off the remaining vote, it's going to be so so close. There might be a trickle of Dekalb and Fulton votes but those are both at 98%+ reporting now.
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Let's go GA!! Do what FL should of done.
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It's been said many times in that thread, but the fact that an election where a candidate has 4 millions votes more than his opponent can hang on a few thousand votes in the suburb of some random city in effing Georgia is retarded.
I know it's not quiiite the case here because it looks that Georgia won't matter but still. I would be so pissed off to live in California or DC.
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EPT
