EPTBiden is already starting to receive briefings for the state of the country. Looks like their camp is really confident for the results, which they should be.
2020 US Election - Page 164
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FlaShFTW
United States10597 Posts
Biden is already starting to receive briefings for the state of the country. Looks like their camp is really confident for the results, which they should be. | ||
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Slydie
2017 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:33 KungKras wrote: I think Winston Churchill said something like "The best argument against democracy is a conversation with the average voter" But he also said "Democracy is by far the worst form of government. If you disregard all others" Just checked, he didn't, but the quote is great! | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10597 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:38 Nouar wrote: Where the hell do you get your numbers from ? I see Philadephia county at 82% reporting with already +380k votes for Biden. Are you talking about the city itself ? My brain farted hard. My numbers are off, add 200k to all the numbers haha. So yes, you're right, Philly is +370k, I expected Biden to win by +500k in Philly. Sorry about that. I've been reducing and simplfying numbers to myself. | ||
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ChristianS
United States3304 Posts
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FlaShFTW
United States10597 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:40 ChristianS wrote: Idk, feels like there’s nobody more likely to lose than a confident Democrat. I still think Biden has this but I wouldn’t put much stock in his campaign’s projected confidence. I mean the numbers are clear. Biden has practically won Nevada, and the PA numbers are bound to flip PA soon when Philly dump comes in. Biden is looking like a +200k vote in PA at this moment. | ||
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Biff The Understudy
France8216 Posts
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TheTenthDoc
United States9561 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:39 FlaShFTW wrote: My brain farted hard. My numbers are off, add 200k to all the numbers haha. So yes, you're right, Philly is +370k, I expected Biden to win by +500k in Philly. Sorry about that. I've been reducing and simplfying numbers to myself. Still a better network than the AP. After Trump's lead disappears in PA, how long do you think it will take those protesters to swap from chanting "stop the count" to "count the votes"? | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10597 Posts
538 update that Biden just needs 60% of the remaining vote to win the state. He is currently winning 3:1 or 75%. If the 75% line holds, Biden is projected to win 272k votes, leading to roughly a 170k victory. Philly votes still should be closer to 80/20, even 90/10. | ||
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ChristianS
United States3304 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:42 FlaShFTW wrote: I mean the numbers are clear. Biden has practically won Nevada, and the PA numbers are bound to flip PA soon when Philly dump comes in. Biden is looking like a +200k vote in PA at this moment. Oh, totally. The numbers definitely look that way, didn’t mean to imply otherwise | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10597 Posts
Decision Desk is now actually behind NYT somehow, but here's the latest updates from them. According to their last update, the new votes that came in were +1.5k for Trump, +5k for Biden. This is a 77% gain for Biden, still holding to that 3:1 vote line that has been showing ever since the early vote started coming in. | ||
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FiWiFaKi
Canada9859 Posts
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WombaT
Northern Ireland27471 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:43 Biff The Understudy wrote: FlashFTW, First of His Name, Lord of the Election Thread, Savior of Team Liquiders, Father of the Updates, Scourge of the Hopeful Trumpers, Breaker of the Uncertainties... For his sterling shift in this thread he has ascended up the pole of Flashes, surging past such luminaries as Flash Gordon and Grandmaster Flash, while still a distant second to Flash ‘The Ultimate Weapon, God, the Unimpressed One’ Lee Young Ho | ||
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PhoenixVoid
Canada32755 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:47 FiWiFaKi wrote: Man, it's been a stressful week after betting every penny to my name on the election. Finally the stress levels are going down. Gonna feast tonight I really wish I betted because I was predicting a Biden 306-232 Trump nailbiter that would go down to Arizona and the Rust Belt, and so far it's developing like that. | ||
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Biff The Understudy
France8216 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:48 WombaT wrote: For his sterling shift in this thread he has ascended up the pole of Flashes, surging past such luminaries as Flash Gordon and Grandmaster Flash, while still a distant second to Flash ‘The Ultimate Weapon, God, the Unimpressed One’ Lee Young Ho Amen. | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10597 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:48 WombaT wrote: For his sterling shift in this thread he has ascended up the pole of Flashes, surging past such luminaries as Flash Gordon and Grandmaster Flash, while still a distant second to Flash ‘The Ultimate Weapon, God, the Unimpressed One’ Lee Young Ho Please don't even mention me in the same sentence as God Young Ho please. But these are hilarious, I love you all. Gotta update my sig now. | ||
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FiWiFaKi
Canada9859 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:49 PhoenixVoid wrote: I really wish I betted because I was predicting a Biden 306-232 Trump nailbiter that would go down to Arizona and the Rust Belt, and so far it's developing like that. I lost like 3 years of my life in stress when Trump was up to - 300, not sure if it was worth lol. | ||
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TheTenthDoc
United States9561 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:49 PhoenixVoid wrote: I really wish I betted because I was predicting a Biden 306-232 Trump nailbiter that would go down to Arizona and the Rust Belt, and so far it's developing like that. Those 25.8% odds for Biden on Tuesday night  | ||
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GreenHorizons
United States24459 Posts
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FiWiFaKi
Canada9859 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:52 GreenHorizons wrote: I'm curious what the winning condition is for betting markets. Like if Trump did manage to pull off some faithless elector scheme, would he be the winner by betting market standards? When certain news networks call it. Every sport book has different criteria for which one. | ||
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TheTenthDoc
United States9561 Posts
On November 06 2020 04:52 GreenHorizons wrote: I'm curious what the winning condition is for betting markets. Like if Trump did manage to pull off some faithless elector scheme, would he be the winner by betting market standards? I think they're worded to dodge around that; all the bets will be paid out long before then, as well. I think Australia actually already closed bets and paid out. | ||
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