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Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better. |
On June 14 2020 06:41 Silvanel wrote: A friend of mine has survived COVID but now he has problems with walking two floors up the stairs, he is in his twenties. That fucking sucks, that's way too young to struggle with that kind of issues. Do the doctors know if it's chronic damage to his lungs yet?
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Lalalaland34491 Posts
It's common for significant chest infections to impact your lungs to the point that it can take months to recover most of their baseline function. Sometimes you never regain complete baseline ability. If you had more issues beforehand (smoking, asthma) your chances are worse. Oftentimes it's just a wait and see situation.
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I read positive reports about using plasma to cure coronavirus, but that's taken from recovered patients. Is it difficult to mass produce? I suppose yes because people would have done it already.
We had 2-3 days of 2nd peak like 105 cases, but we got 75 today. Hopefully cases remain less and less. It seems like the world is getting 2nd peak too?
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Plasma can't be produced, only extracted from people, so yes, it's quite difficult to mass produce haha
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If they can use plasma to cure corona or at least vastly increase the survivability of it you'll see a large push to test people for the antibodies and to convince them to donate plasma.
That is the real key to reopening the nation without worrying about another massive outbreak and shutdown. A vaccine may be a while off but if we can drop the mortality rate down a lot I can see most nations just saying that saving the rest of the lives isn't worth it. Expecially when you can just buy Chinese plasma with tax money.
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The company next door to mine is developing rapid test machines that can be deployed to any medical clinic, pharmacy or large company and produce results in 30 minutes. They're currently testing its performance regarding sensitivity and specificity. They're a relatively small company too, so I think it's safe to assume that these types of tests are going to be mainstream everywhere and testing capacity is going to shoot up by the fall so that we'll be able to spot and contain outbreaks much quicker and effectively.
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On June 15 2020 01:29 Jek wrote:Show nested quote +On June 14 2020 06:41 Silvanel wrote: A friend of mine has survived COVID but now he has problems with walking two floors up the stairs, he is in his twenties. That fucking sucks, that's way too young to struggle with that kind of issues.  Do the doctors know if it's chronic damage to his lungs yet? 
Not sure yet. He is young so the hopes are high, like mentioned above sometimes it takes months or years to recover.
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No idea where else to put this:
Apparently over 6000 people near Manchester were having a covid rave party Aside from the obvious risk of infection, 1 died, 3 were heavily injured by knife attacks and a girl was raped...
German source
Dafuq is going on over there? Pot boiling over or just stupid decision making of selfish people?
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What the...why?
Why would you go to a fucking rave party right now? Especially in the UK which is still very much in the middle of the pandemic?
Ignoring all of the other shit (dunno if one rape, 1 overdose and three knifings are more or less than what happens at your average 6k people rave), just why?
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Lalalaland34491 Posts
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How much longer until covid-19 is over?
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A new cluster seems to have appeared in Beijing. Perfect timing for everyone to reopen. Smh. So in one or two months everyone reacts too late again and we don't even know if it's the same strain?
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On June 16 2020 08:50 soul55555 wrote: How much longer until covid-19 is over?
Moderna"s vaccine just entered phase 2 trials two weeks ago (www.modernatx.com), as well as AstraZeneca's (www.fiercebiotech.com) and SinoVac's (www.fiercepharma.com). So if we're on the fast track route, and ifat least one of them works, we get to phase 3 in the winter...then phase 3 is going to last a year or so before we get to phase 4. In other words, our daily lives is going to be the same for at least another 1.5 years minimum...
There's also a plethora of treatments, antibody developments, and other vaccines out there that are being studied.
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The Covid app is available in Germany for iOS and Android.
The Corona-Warn-App helps us to determine whether we have had any contact with an infected person which could result in a risk of catching the virus. This way, we can interrupt chains of infection more quickly. The app is a service by the Federal Government. Download and use of the app are entirely voluntary. It is available as a free download in the App Store and from Google Play.
www.bundesregierung.de english version
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On June 16 2020 15:36 Harris1st wrote:The Covid app is available in Germany for iOS and Android. Show nested quote +The Corona-Warn-App helps us to determine whether we have had any contact with an infected person which could result in a risk of catching the virus. This way, we can interrupt chains of infection more quickly. The app is a service by the Federal Government. Download and use of the app are entirely voluntary. It is available as a free download in the App Store and from Google Play. www.bundesregierung.de english version This sounds very very Big Brother-like. What are the terms and conditions for the government's data storage and what watchdog is entrusted with ensuring the government doesn't just hold onto that data "just in case".
Norway already made a 180 with regards to its Corona app: https://techcrunch.com/2020/06/15/norway-pulls-its-coronavirus-contacts-tracing-app-after-privacy-watchdogs-warning/
Without geolocation data, as the German app claims (https://www.thelocal.de/20200402/privacy-mad-germany-turns-to-app-to-track-virus-spread), I know from personal work, that accuracy is a gigantic problem. Contact tracing is not what Bluetooth or wifi were intended for and the algorithms that try it are very very noisy. There are dedicated devices intended for that, but phones are not equipped with that. In fact, all the successful proximity experiments I know of use some form of sensor platform because currently cellphones just aren't good enough.
And even without geolocation, if they *do* get this to work, that is still a massive breach of privacy (the government tracking who you were with for how long).
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Had a chat with an owner of a cafe near my workplace. It's in a industrial/technology park, so just about as bad of a spot as you can be in during a pandemic. Food's great, steady stream of customers and regulars etc. Place makes some of the best burger & fries in the city IMO. But there's another industrial park and a highway between him and a residential area. Probably a 5 minute drive to the nearest residential household.
Like probably hundreds of thousands of restaurants around the world, he is just struggling to get by. He's trying so hard, from opening additional evening hours where it's just him maybe one other person, to having a frozen foods section for takeout, and getting on all the delivery apps, and I'm worried it still might not be enough because there's hardly anybody still in the area to work.
Just from what he's said. Aviation parts company nearby with 300 employees - Literally everybody laid off. Software company with 200 - WFH til September My company - 30-40% capacity, rest WFH. I'm only one of a couple people who buy lunch every day, rather than bringing lunch (many people have changed habits due to covid fears). Friend's company down the road 150 people - WFH til August at the earliest (friend is dropping by to grab lunch tomorrow because she loves the place too).
On any normal day, my company would probably have 5 people grabbing food from there, and we'd order lunch platters for meetings from them as well a couple of times a month. Now, as far as I know it's just me grabbing takeout once a week.
It's a really depressing situation, because he's done everything he can, and even then it might not be enough. When optimistically, 10% of his customer base is still in the area, there's literally nothing he can do.
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On June 16 2020 16:09 Acrofales wrote:Show nested quote +On June 16 2020 15:36 Harris1st wrote:The Covid app is available in Germany for iOS and Android. The Corona-Warn-App helps us to determine whether we have had any contact with an infected person which could result in a risk of catching the virus. This way, we can interrupt chains of infection more quickly. The app is a service by the Federal Government. Download and use of the app are entirely voluntary. It is available as a free download in the App Store and from Google Play. www.bundesregierung.de english version This sounds very very Big Brother-like. What are the terms and conditions for the government's data storage and what watchdog is entrusted with ensuring the government doesn't just hold onto that data "just in case". Norway already made a 180 with regards to its Corona app: https://techcrunch.com/2020/06/15/norway-pulls-its-coronavirus-contacts-tracing-app-after-privacy-watchdogs-warning/Without geolocation data, as the German app claims (https://www.thelocal.de/20200402/privacy-mad-germany-turns-to-app-to-track-virus-spread), I know from personal work, that accuracy is a gigantic problem. Contact tracing is not what Bluetooth or wifi were intended for and the algorithms that try it are very very noisy. There are dedicated devices intended for that, but phones are not equipped with that. In fact, all the successful proximity experiments I know of use some form of sensor platform because currently cellphones just aren't good enough. And even without geolocation, if they *do* get this to work, that is still a massive breach of privacy (the government tracking who you were with for how long).
Don't get your tinfoil hat in a bunch 
Seriosuly though, from what I've read the app was scrutinized by every user safety and data protection firm in the country with no issues (anymore) It has no access to GPS, just BT
Already have it installed. If it helps fighting Covid, count me in.
And it's not like people value their data. They give it voluntarily to everyone and their mother (facebook, google, apple) But when the government asks "No! they will chip me! Vaccines are bad! Earth is flat! The cake is a lie!"
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The app would produce a mind boggling amount of false positives. The likelihood of being somewhat in proximity to someone is way higher than being infected in the process.
Probably going to be as 'temporary' as other privacy-breaching measures of the last two decades if it sees widespread use.
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On June 16 2020 17:22 Harris1st wrote:Show nested quote +On June 16 2020 16:09 Acrofales wrote:On June 16 2020 15:36 Harris1st wrote:The Covid app is available in Germany for iOS and Android. The Corona-Warn-App helps us to determine whether we have had any contact with an infected person which could result in a risk of catching the virus. This way, we can interrupt chains of infection more quickly. The app is a service by the Federal Government. Download and use of the app are entirely voluntary. It is available as a free download in the App Store and from Google Play. www.bundesregierung.de english version This sounds very very Big Brother-like. What are the terms and conditions for the government's data storage and what watchdog is entrusted with ensuring the government doesn't just hold onto that data "just in case". Norway already made a 180 with regards to its Corona app: https://techcrunch.com/2020/06/15/norway-pulls-its-coronavirus-contacts-tracing-app-after-privacy-watchdogs-warning/Without geolocation data, as the German app claims (https://www.thelocal.de/20200402/privacy-mad-germany-turns-to-app-to-track-virus-spread), I know from personal work, that accuracy is a gigantic problem. Contact tracing is not what Bluetooth or wifi were intended for and the algorithms that try it are very very noisy. There are dedicated devices intended for that, but phones are not equipped with that. In fact, all the successful proximity experiments I know of use some form of sensor platform because currently cellphones just aren't good enough. And even without geolocation, if they *do* get this to work, that is still a massive breach of privacy (the government tracking who you were with for how long). Don't get your tinfoil hat in a bunch  Seriosuly though, from what I've read the app was scrutinized by every user safety and data protection firm in the country with no issues (anymore) It has no access to GPS, just BT Already have it installed. If it helps fighting Covid, count me in. And it's not like people value their data. They give it voluntarily to everyone and their mother (facebook, google, apple) But when the government asks "No! they will chip me! Vaccines are bad! Earth is flat! The cake is a lie!"
As I said, unless vast strides have been made in the last year or so (last time I tried to do anything in that area), bluetooth is really unreliable as a proximity sensor. It is better as a location sensor for proximity to a fixed base station, but if they aren't using geolocation they obviously aren't doing that. Oh, and it'll also drain your phone battery like nobody's business.
So yes, no doubt the privacy watchdogs are now on board, but is the app still at all functional? If it generates more false positives than true positives, how useful is it really? It gives you an upper bound, but a similar upper bound is fairly easily computed without an app.
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