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Coronavirus and You - Page 151

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Any and all updates regarding the COVID-19 will need a source provided. Please do your part in helping us to keep this thread maintainable and under control.

It is YOUR responsibility to fully read through the sources that you link, and you MUST provide a brief summary explaining what the source is about. Do not expect other people to do the work for you.

Conspiracy theories and fear mongering will absolutely not be tolerated in this thread. Expect harsh mod actions if you try to incite fear needlessly.

This is not a politics thread! You are allowed to post information regarding politics if it's related to the coronavirus, but do NOT discuss politics in here.

Added a disclaimer on page 662. Many need to post better.
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1416 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-05-07 15:59:37
May 06 2020 21:56 GMT
#3001
Deleted my post.
Emnjay808
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States10665 Posts
May 06 2020 22:39 GMT
#3002
Idk if it’s sad or comforting that I get all my news/current events from TL. I get a good mix of perspectives and most of the people here seem to know what they’re talking about or at least always cites sources. I always thought the best way to gather information is to hear all sides and not entrench with your first stance/view, but be open minded as possible.

Anyways Hawaii seems to be reopening non-essentials (slowly). I hope gyms are gonna be one of the first. + Show Spoiler +
I’m gonna take so much tren and fuck every part of my body up so bad.
Skol
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
May 06 2020 23:41 GMT
#3003
Recently, my local mall was advertising that it was opening up after the legal restrictions on open businesses loosened up. Nice place to walk around / get some food, so I was really looking forward to it.

When the announced opening date rolled around, turns out it was just that it now added curbside delivery for a very small (20%) number of its businesses. I suppose I understand the need for the lockdown, but I can't help but be bummed out by the false advertising .
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-05-07 03:56:02
May 07 2020 03:55 GMT
#3004
Anyone else see this ridiculous Plandemic video circulating today?

It's revealed how many fucking conspiracy theorists I know on social media. It's depressing.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44032 Posts
May 07 2020 04:20 GMT
#3005
On May 07 2020 12:55 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Anyone else see this ridiculous Plandemic video circulating today?

It's revealed how many fucking conspiracy theorists I know on social media. It's depressing.

Was it this theory?
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Belisarius
Profile Joined November 2010
Australia6233 Posts
May 07 2020 04:59 GMT
#3006
I'm far too out-of-touch to be a connoisseur of memes, but that template is easily my favourite.
SC-Shield
Profile Joined December 2018
Bulgaria852 Posts
May 07 2020 06:37 GMT
#3007
On May 07 2020 13:20 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2020 12:55 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Anyone else see this ridiculous Plandemic video circulating today?

It's revealed how many fucking conspiracy theorists I know on social media. It's depressing.

Was it this theory?
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Which film is this from? It seems interesting.
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany7216 Posts
May 07 2020 08:00 GMT
#3008
On May 07 2020 15:37 SC-Shield wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2020 13:20 KwarK wrote:
On May 07 2020 12:55 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Anyone else see this ridiculous Plandemic video circulating today?

It's revealed how many fucking conspiracy theorists I know on social media. It's depressing.

Was it this theory?
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]


Which film is this from? It seems interesting.


You don't know Despicable Me??????
Go watch them! All of them! And Minions!
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11861 Posts
May 07 2020 08:02 GMT
#3009
He is from the Despicable Me movies with the minions.
SC-Shield
Profile Joined December 2018
Bulgaria852 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-05-07 09:04:44
May 07 2020 08:35 GMT
#3010
Thank you guys. Will watch as soon as possible.

On topic: excellent news.
South Korea says that reinfection cases are actually "false positive". Or, actually, not really - just the virus lingers for a bit longer and that's why it's detected by tests, but these virus particles might be just deactivated ones. In that case people might not be infectious.

Also, the article says that reactivation is unlikely because the virus doesn't behave like hepatitis B and HIV. It doesn't enter cells' nucleus.

Source: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-southkorea-explain/explainer-south-korean-findings-suggest-reinfected-coronavirus-cases-are-false-positives-idUSKBN22J0HR

I think that's a relief that this virus doesn't break the rule that reinfection is unlikely. Of course, if the virus doesn't mutate too much. However, I think that when someone is negative after 2 consequent tests (doctors in Bulgaria usually let patients go in that case), they should make them stay for 1-2 weeks more to avoid such cases. For instance, one medical person in my country got negative tests, then her health quickly became worse and died. The tests we use are PCR, so they're as reliable as what is currently available.

On a different topic, Russia's case shows how unreliable their government is. From coronavirus is "under control" to 10-11k new cases every day. I'm pretty sure they lied in order to get their political agenda (they expect a referendum to increase Putin's mandate as far as I know), but they probably saw that things are getting worse and delayed their election. Yesterday I predicted they're going to be next Italy and now I think they'll have more infections than Spain too.
thePunGun
Profile Blog Joined January 2016
598 Posts
May 07 2020 09:50 GMT
#3011
I think I've posted that SK false positive news a week ago SC-Shield. xD

On April 30 2020 22:59 thePunGun wrote:
Reinfection false positives are most likely caused by dead virus fragments according to the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC). [source]
"You cannot teach a man anything, you can only help him find it within himself."
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1937 Posts
May 07 2020 10:07 GMT
#3012
On a different topic, Russia's case shows how unreliable their government is. From coronavirus is "under control" to 10-11k new cases every day. I'm pretty sure they lied in order to get their political agenda (they expect a referendum to increase Putin's mandate as far as I know), but they probably saw that things are getting worse and delayed their election. Yesterday I predicted they're going to be next Italy and now I think they'll have more infections than Spain too.


Yes, they are in danger for sure. As in Italy and Spain, grandparents are often important and integrated parts of the family.

One of the most curious Corona responses has to be the Belarusian one. The government essentially does nothing, and even held a large annual military parade. LImiteing the spread is essentially left to the population, which it actully does a decent job with. I also doubt if the numbers from such a government should be trusted at all.

https://www.newsweek.com/despite-one-worst-coronavirus-outbreaks-europe-belarus-refuses-cancel-military-parade-1502046
Buff the siegetank
Elroi
Profile Joined August 2009
Sweden5600 Posts
May 07 2020 10:20 GMT
#3013
I'm sorry to repeat myself (from last page) but I haven't gotten any answers to this question so far: for those of you who want countries to stay completely closed until the disease is gone - lockdown and then track and then trace for the last cases seems to be the strategy in that case. What are you going to do after that with a population that has no immunity to a disease that has spread in the entire outside world? Have the borders closed until a vaccine with enough security measures in place, permanently, to quickly track down every new occurrence of the virus before it spreads too much in the population again? To me that sounds impossible. I'd love to be wrong, but I don't think I have heard anyone even try to give an answer to that question.
"To all eSports fans, I want to be remembered as a progamer who can make something out of nothing, and someone who always does his best. I think that is the right way of living, and I'm always doing my best to follow that." - Jaedong. /watch?v=jfghAzJqAp0
Gina
Profile Joined July 2019
241 Posts
May 07 2020 10:25 GMT
#3014
I must say, "don't trust the government" is like the baseline here in Russia, so not sure if anyone actually believed it was under control. On the other hand, it always seemed like we were just about a month behind most European countries on the spread.
All local authorities have been steadily increasing the danger levels in their predictions, and on paper the quarantine measures are pretty tight, but the way it is observed and enforced... not so much.
Omit needles swords.
Nouar
Profile Joined May 2009
France3270 Posts
May 07 2020 10:31 GMT
#3015
On May 07 2020 19:20 Elroi wrote:
I'm sorry to repeat myself (from last page) but I haven't gotten any answers to this question so far: for those of you who want countries to stay completely closed until the disease is gone - lockdown and then track and then trace for the last cases seems to be the strategy in that case. What are you going to do after that with a population that has no immunity to a disease that has spread in the entire outside world? Have the borders closed until a vaccine with enough security measures in place, permanently, to quickly track down every new occurrence of the virus before it spreads too much in the population again? To me that sounds impossible. I'd love to be wrong, but I don't think I have heard anyone even try to give an answer to that question.

Because I'm not sure anyone here wants that?
It has mostly been to give time to health care to ramp up and prepare, and bring the first wave down to manageable levels to avoid uncontrolled spread and patient triage like we've seen in italy the first weeks...
NoiR
warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2395 Posts
May 07 2020 10:50 GMT
#3016
No one here wants that but then again, if the level at which you build a decent moat to prevent uncontrolled future spread is somewhere around 20-25% of the population being infected, then countries who only had 1-2% in the first spread will have to open up and live with way higher detected infection rates and not freak out.

Lets take Portugal and say we are going to have a second wave in October and we allow it to come and infect 20% of the population because we don't want to live under permanent lockdowns. We'll have super good testing by then so we're going to detect at least 50% of cases. So 1 million infections will be detected over the span, of say, 3 months. That's 11 thousand infections every day, announced daily on TV. Max we've had in this first wave was 1500 in a freak day (backlog). Given how afraid everyone is of the disease, are we going to be fine with that? Is the government going to want to live with the political consequences of the fear, after so much of it was instilled in society in this first wave? I have a hard time imagining this scenario. Especially when the public sector workers have massive influence and, to them, a lockdown is fine because they keep 100% of their salary.
Elroi
Profile Joined August 2009
Sweden5600 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-05-07 11:09:53
May 07 2020 11:08 GMT
#3017
On May 07 2020 19:31 Nouar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2020 19:20 Elroi wrote:
I'm sorry to repeat myself (from last page) but I haven't gotten any answers to this question so far: for those of you who want countries to stay completely closed until the disease is gone - lockdown and then track and then trace for the last cases seems to be the strategy in that case. What are you going to do after that with a population that has no immunity to a disease that has spread in the entire outside world? Have the borders closed until a vaccine with enough security measures in place, permanently, to quickly track down every new occurrence of the virus before it spreads too much in the population again? To me that sounds impossible. I'd love to be wrong, but I don't think I have heard anyone even try to give an answer to that question.

Because I'm not sure anyone here wants that?
It has mostly been to give time to health care to ramp up and prepare, and bring the first wave down to manageable levels to avoid uncontrolled spread and patient triage like we've seen in italy the first weeks...

So everyone agrees with the herd immunity strategy now? It was viewed as extreme only a couple days ago afaik. I thought the consensus was something more like this:
On May 05 2020 20:12 Simberto wrote:
As has been discussed multiple times in this thread, the general plan is not (and has never been) to lockdown until vaccine. Originally, it was just flatten the curve to keep the healthcare systems from being overwhelmed, but that seems to have evolved into:

Reduce amount of infected people until you can individually track them again.
Individually track infections, and test and quarantine everyone the infected person was in contact with.

Which is clearly a possible way of solving this.

This seems to be the direction taken by most countries that are viewed as successful, such as Germany and Norway. But if herd immunity is in fact the goal, that implies that those countries must change their strategy, right?
"To all eSports fans, I want to be remembered as a progamer who can make something out of nothing, and someone who always does his best. I think that is the right way of living, and I'm always doing my best to follow that." - Jaedong. /watch?v=jfghAzJqAp0
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18860 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-05-07 11:10:44
May 07 2020 11:10 GMT
#3018
The two posts you quoted are not mutually exclusive, so it's still not clear what you're getting at.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
mahrgell
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Germany3943 Posts
May 07 2020 11:18 GMT
#3019
No, herd immunity is not a goal.

But just continue to pretend, that there is nothing between 70%+ infected in a year and full lockdown, nobody moves.
Steering in the middle is more complicated to fine tune, especially when the effects of different measures are so difficult to account for. But is rather obviously still the goal of countries like Germany.


korrekt
Profile Joined March 2011
76 Posts
May 07 2020 11:26 GMT
#3020
On May 07 2020 20:08 Elroi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2020 19:31 Nouar wrote:
On May 07 2020 19:20 Elroi wrote:
I'm sorry to repeat myself (from last page) but I haven't gotten any answers to this question so far: for those of you who want countries to stay completely closed until the disease is gone - lockdown and then track and then trace for the last cases seems to be the strategy in that case. What are you going to do after that with a population that has no immunity to a disease that has spread in the entire outside world? Have the borders closed until a vaccine with enough security measures in place, permanently, to quickly track down every new occurrence of the virus before it spreads too much in the population again? To me that sounds impossible. I'd love to be wrong, but I don't think I have heard anyone even try to give an answer to that question.

Because I'm not sure anyone here wants that?
It has mostly been to give time to health care to ramp up and prepare, and bring the first wave down to manageable levels to avoid uncontrolled spread and patient triage like we've seen in italy the first weeks...

So everyone agrees with the herd immunity strategy now? It was viewed as extreme only a couple days ago afaik. I thought the consensus was something more like this:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2020 20:12 Simberto wrote:
As has been discussed multiple times in this thread, the general plan is not (and has never been) to lockdown until vaccine. Originally, it was just flatten the curve to keep the healthcare systems from being overwhelmed, but that seems to have evolved into:

Reduce amount of infected people until you can individually track them again.
Individually track infections, and test and quarantine everyone the infected person was in contact with.

Which is clearly a possible way of solving this.

This seems to be the direction taken by most countries that are viewed as successful, such as Germany and Norway. But if herd immunity is in fact the goal, that implies that those countries must change their strategy, right?

I think stalling the virus is about a lot of things:
- Not overwhelming the health system
- Waiting for vaccinations
- Waiting for better understanding of the virus (how does it spread exactly, how can spread be prevented)
- Waiting for better treatments of the virus
Additionally, no one knows how long someone who contracted the virus will be immune. It could be a long time, but it would also be possible it's only a couple of months or years. Which would mean the herd immunity strategy simply does not work at all. I do agree that we cannot live in an indefinite lockdown scenario, which is why many countries are slowly easing some restrictions while keeping others in place. I think that's a sensible approach.
I'm not saying Sweden's approach is wrong though, it might work in a "more distanced" culture (I'm lacking a better word) in a country where people usually live quite far apart. Though I do not think it was the best approach for a dense, urban place like Stockholm. The "best" strategy might very well be completely different depending on the region in question...
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