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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 3939

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46277 Posts
May 25 2023 22:51 GMT
#78761
I'm not sure, but it might be the case that the "Make America Florida/Lorida" website and slogan might not be run by the DeSantis campaign, but rather by just a supporter looking to make money. It might be the case that Ron's official slogan is "Our Great American Comeback", which is another shameless copy of "Make America Great Again": https://rondesantis.com/
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
May 26 2023 00:41 GMT
#78762
On May 26 2023 02:28 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 26 2023 01:39 Sadist wrote:
Republicans moving to florida and out of swing states is a win for the swing states and democrats/liberals.


While that's true, do we happen to know which states have the most people leaving for Florida? Because if they're leaving solid blue states, that wouldn't be very helpful for Democrats (especially since Florida could be purple but arguably is becoming light red now, pulling a potential swing state away from Democrats).


New York and California alone carry the lion’s share. This source I just googled actually shows net migration positive for every single state except for California, New York, and Illinois.

https://tampabayedc.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/2020-2021-Net-Migration-by-State.pdf

We can sit and theorize all we want for the reasons this is happen but there’s also opinion polls of the residents of these people that explain exactly why they are leaving. Spoiler alert, it’s not the weather. I think I think I’ve posted an article about this a couple years ago here or on liquidpoker. I can try to find it if you want. If memory serves something like 50% are considering moving out of San Francisco with the main reasons being the usual suspects: housing, cost of living/taxes, homelessness, crime.

I think the hemorrhaging will end soon. I don’t think voters and politicians are that dumb and there will be an adjustment. I think you are already seeing that after defund the police blew up in their face spectacularly. You can see the Philadelphia mayor primary where the winning candidate promised to hire more police and was the only candidate to support stop-and-frisk. Stop and frisk being off-criticized for disproportionately affecting and profiling black peoples. I think she won something like 33% of the total vote and over 50% of the black vote which is a pretty solid majority.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27266 Posts
May 26 2023 00:48 GMT
#78763
On May 25 2023 21:27 BlackJack wrote:
Don’t worry, I’ve been told this Twitter site won’t exist soon anyway due to Musk laying off 2/3 of the staff. The only reason it’s still online is for the same reason a Jet with no fuel can stay in the air for a little while. It should be offline any day now.

It’s almost like if you sidestep positions most people actually hold and cherry pick the most hysterical out there one can present themselves as some reasonable centrist skeptic at all times

It’s just breathtakingly disingenuous

'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
May 26 2023 02:12 GMT
#78764
My theory is that Blackjack mostly uses this thread to blow off steam after a work day. Maybe after a beer or 2 or something. I have no idea. Sometimes he has some great replies though.
KeyConsideration99
Profile Joined May 2023
5 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-05-26 03:07:24
May 26 2023 02:45 GMT
#78765
Twitter is pretty dead as a utility though? Blender, the 3D modelling program, is trending right now but there’s no staff to properly handle filtering out bad content so Twitter is forced to literally filter everything out with a shotgun. You either get no results or useless search results.

Even this shotgun approach doesn’t work that well, I’ve seen a whole load of WorldStar style shit or animal abuse content when I absolutely do not want to see either. Even 4chan is better at keeping NSFW stuff isolated within NSFW channels or tags.

That’s just one of Twitter’s recent problems. Every tweet is now filled with Twitter Blue white noise posters, the For You feed is incapable of giving you content you actually want (whether due to the content you’re being fed being old as dirt, irrelevant, or plain offensive because there’s no moderation to filter out shit like violence), and there’s added general instability where the app just doesn’t work properly.

Yeah it didn’t catastrophically explode but Musk actively killed the main selling points of Twitter trying to become forum superstar Richard Kyanka.
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
May 26 2023 03:26 GMT
#78766
On May 26 2023 09:48 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 25 2023 21:27 BlackJack wrote:
Don’t worry, I’ve been told this Twitter site won’t exist soon anyway due to Musk laying off 2/3 of the staff. The only reason it’s still online is for the same reason a Jet with no fuel can stay in the air for a little while. It should be offline any day now.

It’s almost like if you sidestep positions most people actually hold and cherry pick the most hysterical out there one can present themselves as some reasonable centrist skeptic at all times

It’s just breathtakingly disingenuous



Twitter going down actually was a mainstream belief after Twitter staff resigned en masse when Musk gave them an ultimatum. You can search google from mid to late November last year and find plenty of articles on it. #RIPTwitter was trending and everyone was tweeting about the other platforms you can find them on after Twitter goes dark. Obviously nobody beliefs that now but I’m presuming you picked up on a little tongue-in-cheek sarcasm where I’m merely poking fun at all the people that ended up being wrong on that one.

Anyway I apologize. I forgot forum rules stipulate we can only mock the random fringe hot takes if they belong to the Qanon followers on 4chan or the horse paste eaters in the fly-over states, etc
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
May 26 2023 03:45 GMT
#78767
No, you're definitely right about the Twitter thing. We have no idea what goes on behind the scenes at Twitter since its all private now, so for all we know Elon is just directly funding it and burning through money on it. But I think most people (myself included) assumed Twitter would simply not exist at this point. It is a valid kidney shot.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44242 Posts
May 26 2023 04:39 GMT
#78768
I didn’t think it would literally go offline. Keeping the core functionality online is something that they ought not have been able to fuck up. It’s the moderation/legal compliance stuff that will get them over time, plus not being able to keep up with feature creep. I’m sure you all noticed how YouTube Facebook and Instagram all immediately released their own short format content streams after tik tok got big. At some point Twitter will have to add new features and that takes investment that has been gutted.

But it’s not going to go offline overnight. The Roman colosseum managed to last two millennia without anyone actively working on it, Twitter can do a few years.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4769 Posts
May 26 2023 09:02 GMT
#78769
Yeah, projects can run understaffed for a very long time until they start collapsing under mounting techdebt, compliances, burnout etc.
Pathetic Greta hater.
NewSunshine
Profile Joined July 2011
United States5938 Posts
May 26 2023 12:18 GMT
#78770
I think the most common reaction people actually had was "wow, Twitter is circling the drain". Something that wasn't built overnight rarely collapses overnight either, but all of Musk's dumb theatrics and the business decisions that followed are not the mark of a brand that's on the rise. People aren't being proven wrong when the company and platform proceed to do much worse than they have in years.
"If you find yourself feeling lost, take pride in the accuracy of your feelings." - Night Vale
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27266 Posts
May 26 2023 13:32 GMT
#78771
On May 26 2023 13:39 KwarK wrote:
I didn’t think it would literally go offline. Keeping the core functionality online is something that they ought not have been able to fuck up. It’s the moderation/legal compliance stuff that will get them over time, plus not being able to keep up with feature creep. I’m sure you all noticed how YouTube Facebook and Instagram all immediately released their own short format content streams after tik tok got big. At some point Twitter will have to add new features and that takes investment that has been gutted.

But it’s not going to go offline overnight. The Roman colosseum managed to last two millennia without anyone actively working on it, Twitter can do a few years.

MySpace and various other platforms still existed long, long after they had any particular cultural sway.

Twitter has two main niches, as a news aggregator, especially in a big emerging event, and being the place you can hear the thoughts and interact with prominent public figures.

Twitter had a flawed moderation regime re the former, it’s considerably worse as a bullshit free-for-all. Nothing that’s happened under Musk’s watch to enhance the latter, and the new verification system has pissed off many of the public figures that are a big draw in the first place. Also boosting content from paid users over other more meritorious content, doesn’t really enhance the browsing experience.

They can’t roll out new features properly, hell to be vague something broke with services my company provided because they fired a bloke, revoked all his access and it turns out all the authentication tokens went with him.

It’s not a well-run company and without the mediating influences I believe are present in his other enterprises, the Emperor is being very much shown to have no clothes here.

#RIPTwitter, perhaps some did genuinely think it was going to disappear completely, by far the most common sentiment I’ve found was more ‘I think Twitter is going in a bad direction and I’ll seriously consider not using the platform anymore’
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
May 26 2023 13:59 GMT
#78772
--- Nuked ---
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14187 Posts
May 26 2023 15:24 GMT
#78773
The absolute tire fire of de santis's campaign announcement is everything people were saying about Twitter going down the drain after musk took over. A simple audio only event for less than a million people being absolutly impossible to run is embarrassing for everyone involved. Not even the servers blowing up, but the hot micing the feedback and the echoing is not something a legitimate tech company should be struggling with in the year of our lord 2023.

Being tounge in cheek about something bearly existing vs dieing outright is not a funny joke though its just sad. No one wants something to be kept on life support like this.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
May 26 2023 15:57 GMT
#78774
--- Nuked ---
NewSunshine
Profile Joined July 2011
United States5938 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-05-26 16:57:00
May 26 2023 16:32 GMT
#78775
On May 27 2023 00:24 Sermokala wrote:
The absolute tire fire of de santis's campaign announcement is everything people were saying about Twitter going down the drain after musk took over. A simple audio only event for less than a million people being absolutly impossible to run is embarrassing for everyone involved. Not even the servers blowing up, but the hot micing the feedback and the echoing is not something a legitimate tech company should be struggling with in the year of our lord 2023.

Being tounge in cheek about something bearly existing vs dieing outright is not a funny joke though its just sad. No one wants something to be kept on life support like this.

The problem our far-right fascists are going to run into now, more than at any other point in history, is they Need people who understand science and technology to effectively manage their campaigns, and most people who understand those things have to be able to deal with reality for what it is, instead of reality as a timey-wimey whatever-you-feel-like-that-day kinda deal.

In other words, most people who learned enough about how technology works probably told the guy who loves business but hates the biggest company in Florida, and also wants to control and dictate education, to fuck off. So he's left with yes-men who think it'll be a piece of cake to manage stage tech (LOL), but don't know shit about it.
"If you find yourself feeling lost, take pride in the accuracy of your feelings." - Night Vale
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35174 Posts
May 26 2023 19:58 GMT
#78776
On May 26 2023 13:39 KwarK wrote:
I didn’t think it would literally go offline. Keeping the core functionality online is something that they ought not have been able to fuck up. It’s the moderation/legal compliance stuff that will get them over time, plus not being able to keep up with feature creep. I’m sure you all noticed how YouTube Facebook and Instagram all immediately released their own short format content streams after tik tok got big. At some point Twitter will have to add new features and that takes investment that has been gutted.

But it’s not going to go offline overnight. The Roman colosseum managed to last two millennia without anyone actively working on it, Twitter can do a few years.

Twitter owns Vine. Seems like an easy refurb job that a lot of people would love to see come back.
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10574 Posts
May 26 2023 22:09 GMT
#78777
On May 27 2023 00:57 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 26 2023 09:41 BlackJack wrote:
On May 26 2023 02:28 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On May 26 2023 01:39 Sadist wrote:
Republicans moving to florida and out of swing states is a win for the swing states and democrats/liberals.


While that's true, do we happen to know which states have the most people leaving for Florida? Because if they're leaving solid blue states, that wouldn't be very helpful for Democrats (especially since Florida could be purple but arguably is becoming light red now, pulling a potential swing state away from Democrats).


New York and California alone carry the lion’s share. This source I just googled actually shows net migration positive for every single state except for California, New York, and Illinois.

https://tampabayedc.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/2020-2021-Net-Migration-by-State.pdf

We can sit and theorize all we want for the reasons this is happen but there’s also opinion polls of the residents of these people that explain exactly why they are leaving. Spoiler alert, it’s not the weather. I think I think I’ve posted an article about this a couple years ago here or on liquidpoker. I can try to find it if you want. If memory serves something like 50% are considering moving out of San Francisco with the main reasons being the usual suspects: housing, cost of living/taxes, homelessness, crime.

I think the hemorrhaging will end soon. I don’t think voters and politicians are that dumb and there will be an adjustment. I think you are already seeing that after defund the police blew up in their face spectacularly. You can see the Philadelphia mayor primary where the winning candidate promised to hire more police and was the only candidate to support stop-and-frisk. Stop and frisk being off-criticized for disproportionately affecting and profiling black peoples. I think she won something like 33% of the total vote and over 50% of the black vote which is a pretty solid majority.


I'm confused by your second paragraph. Are you saying that because people leaving San Francisco are not saying they are leaving because of the weather, that everyone moving to Florida are not considering the weather? SF not having amazing weather for Cali might be a thing but I'm sure it a lot better than much of the US. Very strange thing to extrapolate over the whole country, it does not even seem to be about people moving specifically from SF to Florida. When I google any article about moving to Florida it has taxes or weather on top with the other behind. I can also find articles that say Its not just the taxes and weather.

Your 3rd paragraph is also not helpful. It would be great if you followed the forums rules on sourcing but since you do not can you at least provide the relevant information if you are trying to use an example to prove a point. The candidates name would be nice, were they strictly running on the points you brought up or are those cherry picked? What were the other candidates running on? Why is 33% of the total vote a solid majority? With the source I could look it up and be like wow BJ has a great point here, or wow he sure cherry picked the numbers he wanted. Without the source I think everyone you are trying to convince is just going to think the later and move on.


First of all, Florida’s climate is shit, in my opinion. Im in Florida right now. Have you ever been somewhere with 80+% humidity and 80+ degrees F around the clock? Maybe some people like being hot and sticky and eaten by mosquitoes but not me.

Anyway, I’m telling you that we have polls of people from San Francisco, which has the highest rate of exodus of any major city and there reasoning has little to do with weather and everything to do with shitty politicians and policies slowly turning it into a shithole.

https://sfstandard.com/politics/san-francisco-standard-voter-poll-june-2022/

If planning to leave SF, why?

Too many homeless living on the streets 70%
Cost of living too high 68%
Rising crime 67%
Local government is not addressing the city's problems 57%
Don't agree with the progressive political culture 35%
Post-pandemic SF is not as livable as it was before 34%
Personal/family reasons 18%
Better job opportunities elsewhere 6%
The weather 5%
Poor job opportunities here 5%
Other (specified) 18%

Also yes I am fairly confident in extrapolating this to NYC as well which also has rates of rising crime, homelessness, and cost of living that is correlated with the increase in migration out of the city.






JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2023-05-26 23:16:08
May 26 2023 23:00 GMT
#78778
--- Nuked ---
Razyda
Profile Joined March 2013
1058 Posts
May 26 2023 23:31 GMT
#78779
On May 27 2023 07:09 BlackJack wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 27 2023 00:57 JimmiC wrote:
On May 26 2023 09:41 BlackJack wrote:
On May 26 2023 02:28 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On May 26 2023 01:39 Sadist wrote:
Republicans moving to florida and out of swing states is a win for the swing states and democrats/liberals.


While that's true, do we happen to know which states have the most people leaving for Florida? Because if they're leaving solid blue states, that wouldn't be very helpful for Democrats (especially since Florida could be purple but arguably is becoming light red now, pulling a potential swing state away from Democrats).


New York and California alone carry the lion’s share. This source I just googled actually shows net migration positive for every single state except for California, New York, and Illinois.

https://tampabayedc.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/2020-2021-Net-Migration-by-State.pdf

We can sit and theorize all we want for the reasons this is happen but there’s also opinion polls of the residents of these people that explain exactly why they are leaving. Spoiler alert, it’s not the weather. I think I think I’ve posted an article about this a couple years ago here or on liquidpoker. I can try to find it if you want. If memory serves something like 50% are considering moving out of San Francisco with the main reasons being the usual suspects: housing, cost of living/taxes, homelessness, crime.

I think the hemorrhaging will end soon. I don’t think voters and politicians are that dumb and there will be an adjustment. I think you are already seeing that after defund the police blew up in their face spectacularly. You can see the Philadelphia mayor primary where the winning candidate promised to hire more police and was the only candidate to support stop-and-frisk. Stop and frisk being off-criticized for disproportionately affecting and profiling black peoples. I think she won something like 33% of the total vote and over 50% of the black vote which is a pretty solid majority.


I'm confused by your second paragraph. Are you saying that because people leaving San Francisco are not saying they are leaving because of the weather, that everyone moving to Florida are not considering the weather? SF not having amazing weather for Cali might be a thing but I'm sure it a lot better than much of the US. Very strange thing to extrapolate over the whole country, it does not even seem to be about people moving specifically from SF to Florida. When I google any article about moving to Florida it has taxes or weather on top with the other behind. I can also find articles that say Its not just the taxes and weather.

Your 3rd paragraph is also not helpful. It would be great if you followed the forums rules on sourcing but since you do not can you at least provide the relevant information if you are trying to use an example to prove a point. The candidates name would be nice, were they strictly running on the points you brought up or are those cherry picked? What were the other candidates running on? Why is 33% of the total vote a solid majority? With the source I could look it up and be like wow BJ has a great point here, or wow he sure cherry picked the numbers he wanted. Without the source I think everyone you are trying to convince is just going to think the later and move on.


First of all, Florida’s climate is shit, in my opinion. Im in Florida right now. Have you ever been somewhere with 80+% humidity and 80+ degrees F around the clock? Maybe some people like being hot and sticky and eaten by mosquitoes but not me.

Anyway, I’m telling you that we have polls of people from San Francisco, which has the highest rate of exodus of any major city and there reasoning has little to do with weather and everything to do with shitty politicians and policies slowly turning it into a shithole.

https://sfstandard.com/politics/san-francisco-standard-voter-poll-june-2022/

If planning to leave SF, why?

Too many homeless living on the streets 70%
Cost of living too high 68%
Rising crime 67%
Local government is not addressing the city's problems 57%
Don't agree with the progressive political culture 35%
Post-pandemic SF is not as livable as it was before 34%
Personal/family reasons 18%
Better job opportunities elsewhere 6%
The weather 5%
Poor job opportunities here 5%
Other (specified) 18%

Also yes I am fairly confident in extrapolating this to NYC as well which also has rates of rising crime, homelessness, and cost of living that is correlated with the increase in migration out of the city.







They also will prolly vote Democrats because it is right thing to do

On the other hand I must say that reading last few pages of this thread one can feel a fear, with a little bit of desperation.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46277 Posts
May 27 2023 00:12 GMT
#78780
On May 27 2023 08:31 Razyda wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 27 2023 07:09 BlackJack wrote:
On May 27 2023 00:57 JimmiC wrote:
On May 26 2023 09:41 BlackJack wrote:
On May 26 2023 02:28 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On May 26 2023 01:39 Sadist wrote:
Republicans moving to florida and out of swing states is a win for the swing states and democrats/liberals.


While that's true, do we happen to know which states have the most people leaving for Florida? Because if they're leaving solid blue states, that wouldn't be very helpful for Democrats (especially since Florida could be purple but arguably is becoming light red now, pulling a potential swing state away from Democrats).


New York and California alone carry the lion’s share. This source I just googled actually shows net migration positive for every single state except for California, New York, and Illinois.

https://tampabayedc.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/2020-2021-Net-Migration-by-State.pdf

We can sit and theorize all we want for the reasons this is happen but there’s also opinion polls of the residents of these people that explain exactly why they are leaving. Spoiler alert, it’s not the weather. I think I think I’ve posted an article about this a couple years ago here or on liquidpoker. I can try to find it if you want. If memory serves something like 50% are considering moving out of San Francisco with the main reasons being the usual suspects: housing, cost of living/taxes, homelessness, crime.

I think the hemorrhaging will end soon. I don’t think voters and politicians are that dumb and there will be an adjustment. I think you are already seeing that after defund the police blew up in their face spectacularly. You can see the Philadelphia mayor primary where the winning candidate promised to hire more police and was the only candidate to support stop-and-frisk. Stop and frisk being off-criticized for disproportionately affecting and profiling black peoples. I think she won something like 33% of the total vote and over 50% of the black vote which is a pretty solid majority.


I'm confused by your second paragraph. Are you saying that because people leaving San Francisco are not saying they are leaving because of the weather, that everyone moving to Florida are not considering the weather? SF not having amazing weather for Cali might be a thing but I'm sure it a lot better than much of the US. Very strange thing to extrapolate over the whole country, it does not even seem to be about people moving specifically from SF to Florida. When I google any article about moving to Florida it has taxes or weather on top with the other behind. I can also find articles that say Its not just the taxes and weather.

Your 3rd paragraph is also not helpful. It would be great if you followed the forums rules on sourcing but since you do not can you at least provide the relevant information if you are trying to use an example to prove a point. The candidates name would be nice, were they strictly running on the points you brought up or are those cherry picked? What were the other candidates running on? Why is 33% of the total vote a solid majority? With the source I could look it up and be like wow BJ has a great point here, or wow he sure cherry picked the numbers he wanted. Without the source I think everyone you are trying to convince is just going to think the later and move on.


First of all, Florida’s climate is shit, in my opinion. Im in Florida right now. Have you ever been somewhere with 80+% humidity and 80+ degrees F around the clock? Maybe some people like being hot and sticky and eaten by mosquitoes but not me.

Anyway, I’m telling you that we have polls of people from San Francisco, which has the highest rate of exodus of any major city and there reasoning has little to do with weather and everything to do with shitty politicians and policies slowly turning it into a shithole.

https://sfstandard.com/politics/san-francisco-standard-voter-poll-june-2022/

If planning to leave SF, why?

Too many homeless living on the streets 70%
Cost of living too high 68%
Rising crime 67%
Local government is not addressing the city's problems 57%
Don't agree with the progressive political culture 35%
Post-pandemic SF is not as livable as it was before 34%
Personal/family reasons 18%
Better job opportunities elsewhere 6%
The weather 5%
Poor job opportunities here 5%
Other (specified) 18%

Also yes I am fairly confident in extrapolating this to NYC as well which also has rates of rising crime, homelessness, and cost of living that is correlated with the increase in migration out of the city.







They also will prolly vote Democrats because it is right thing to do

On the other hand I must say that reading last few pages of this thread one can feel a fear, with a little bit of desperation.


What are you referring to, and why do you think that people are fearful/desperate?
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
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