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On February 12 2020 13:54 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 13:49 CorsairHero wrote:On February 12 2020 12:52 GreenHorizons wrote: Mayor Cheat is on the stage so I think that means Sanders won.
did i miss something about pete cheating The entire week of Iowa caucuses, I guess? Buttigieg + IDP + DNC screwed up incredibly badly, blatantly cheating and giving Buttigieg 3 of Sanders's delegates.
To add more context, this list:
![[image loading]](https://i.imgur.com/RDOHSRs.png)
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On February 12 2020 11:44 TentativePanda wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 11:42 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 11:34 StasisField wrote:On February 12 2020 11:26 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 11:21 Lmui wrote:On February 12 2020 10:08 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 10:06 Wombat_NI wrote:On February 12 2020 10:03 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 09:58 Nyxisto wrote:On February 12 2020 08:22 Nebuchad wrote:[quote] I don't think your take is controversial, I think your take is incorrect. Trump right now is very tough to beat, he's the incumbent, he has an economy with good liberal markers, he just defeated impeachment which makes him look strong (record approval rating for him, right?). "We don't like him" is hardly a successful message against this, especially not since you've been saying it for four years and the voters see mostly no difference. Now let's talk political strategy. We need to win back some states, what are our best options? Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, fairly clearly. What was up with these states not voting for Hillary? Those states went for Bernie in the primary (except for Pennsylvania which was a closed primary), it's fairly obvious that they weren't too fond of the neoliberal economic policy that Hillary offered, but they seemed okay with something more radical. Good to know. As usual, the most important bit of political strategy that is forgotten in this analysis is that the center of the US is not where you think it is. This study that I keep posting in the wind shows that. The centrist in America is not someone who thinks trans people are awesome and it's great that the 1% is hoarding all the wealth, it's someone who is concerned with income inequality but not quite woke on social issues. When taking that into account, it makes perfect sense that Trump is viewed as more "moderate" than Hillary Clinton, as you said: on the graph, she campaigned bottom right where very few people are, and he campaigned somewhere in the upper center left, way closer to the true center of american politics. The republican strategists salivating at the thought of running against socialist Sanders are the mirror image of the democratic strategists who were salivating at the thought of running against racist, sexist Trump. Is it impossible that they win? No, of course, Trump still has a decent shot. But from the data that we have and the objectives that we should aim for, one strategy makes way more logical sense than the other. On top of being the right thing to do for the long term wellbeing of the country. The only thing that Sanders has going for him in regards to the rustbelt voters is his anti-establishment brand. Bernie isn't socially moderate. In addition to his economic policies he's also running on abolishing the ICE, providing healthcare to illegal immigrants, etc.. he runs just as woke of a program as the progressive wing of the party in addition to his left-wing economic policies. Why would people who go from Obama to Trump or from Clinton to Trump go from Trump to Sanders? It just doesn't make that much sense. If you want to win the rustbelt run a socially conservative economically moderate candidate, not a progressive. The idea that people who think bernie can't win are akin to people who think Trump couldn't win isn't great because the democrats were always borderline delusional about the fact that half of the country is very right-wing. Trump never trailed Clinton by that much, and urban liberals thought racism is too off-putting for the average voter. Which is wrong. However half of polled people say they aren't going to vote for a socialist. The Republican strategists happen to be right with the claim that the US is much more right-wing than progressives think it is. This is an anecdote of one. I abhorr Trump, but if Bernie is the (D) nominee I will sprint to the polls to vote for Trump. Take that as you will. Why? His economic policies for the most part. He would ruin the country, even if I happen to agree with some of his other stances. Fucking Trump ballooned your deficit by a 500 billion dollars a year and you get less done now. You could've had universal healthcare for less money. I never said Trump was good, but compared to Bernie, I'll run to the polls. Plus, it's hilarious to see people who supported Obama talk about deficits. I don't want "Green" Chavez V2 in the WH. So can you specifically list which of his policies you think will ruin this country or...? There are a lot, I'll list 4 to start with: Student debt forgiveness Green New Deal Medicare for All Delusion that "rich" tax increases will pay for any of his socialist drivel Before we get into the details, first explain why *many* other countries have implemented all of the above to great success but it would “ruin the economy” in the US
Why hasn’t anybody mentioned that if you raise taxes on the rich and corporations, they could simply just move their money offshore. With the legal teams at their disposal it would be pretty easy. That’s how the rich stay rich. No way they are just gonna let the government increase their taxes without doing anything.
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On February 12 2020 14:43 Dante08 wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 11:44 TentativePanda wrote:On February 12 2020 11:42 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 11:34 StasisField wrote:On February 12 2020 11:26 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 11:21 Lmui wrote:On February 12 2020 10:08 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 10:06 Wombat_NI wrote:On February 12 2020 10:03 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 09:58 Nyxisto wrote: [quote]
The only thing that Sanders has going for him in regards to the rustbelt voters is his anti-establishment brand. Bernie isn't socially moderate. In addition to his economic policies he's also running on abolishing the ICE, providing healthcare to illegal immigrants, etc.. he runs just as woke of a program as the progressive wing of the party in addition to his left-wing economic policies.
Why would people who go from Obama to Trump or from Clinton to Trump go from Trump to Sanders? It just doesn't make that much sense. If you want to win the rustbelt run a socially conservative economically moderate candidate, not a progressive.
The idea that people who think bernie can't win are akin to people who think Trump couldn't win isn't great because the democrats were always borderline delusional about the fact that half of the country is very right-wing. Trump never trailed Clinton by that much, and urban liberals thought racism is too off-putting for the average voter. Which is wrong. However half of polled people say they aren't going to vote for a socialist. The Republican strategists happen to be right with the claim that the US is much more right-wing than progressives think it is. This is an anecdote of one. I abhorr Trump, but if Bernie is the (D) nominee I will sprint to the polls to vote for Trump. Take that as you will. Why? His economic policies for the most part. He would ruin the country, even if I happen to agree with some of his other stances. Fucking Trump ballooned your deficit by a 500 billion dollars a year and you get less done now. You could've had universal healthcare for less money. I never said Trump was good, but compared to Bernie, I'll run to the polls. Plus, it's hilarious to see people who supported Obama talk about deficits. I don't want "Green" Chavez V2 in the WH. So can you specifically list which of his policies you think will ruin this country or...? There are a lot, I'll list 4 to start with: Student debt forgiveness Green New Deal Medicare for All Delusion that "rich" tax increases will pay for any of his socialist drivel Before we get into the details, first explain why *many* other countries have implemented all of the above to great success but it would “ruin the economy” in the US Why hasn’t anybody mentioned that if you raise taxes on the rich and corporations, they could simply just move their money offshore. With the legal teams at their disposal it would be pretty easy. That’s how the rich stay rich. No way they are just gonna let the government increase their taxes without doing anything. Because Bernie's plan also closes these loop holes for both the billionaires and the corporations they own.
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As a Bernie Bro (TM) I was a little disappointed that the margin of victory was so small, even understanding the bloated field. After I thought about it though, the fact that Sanders has won the popular vote in both Iowa and New Hampshire (primarily white electorates) proves that he can best moderates like Buttigieg/Biden/Klobuchar in demographics that are as good as they're gonna get, especially for Buttigieg and Klobuchar. Neither one have any minority support at the moment, and I'm skeptical that second or third in NH will change that trajectory going into Nevada and SC. Biden supposedly has his SC firewall, but with Sanders, Steyer and Bloomberg all pouring money into the markets there and Biden embarrassing himself in NH, I don't think that's a shoe in anymore.
Bernie's strongest states may end up being some weird mix of diverse states like California and Texas, as well as rust belt states like Michigan/Wisc/Minnesota. People keep bringing up the idea that, "Well, if you combine all the moderate candidates, they make up like 75% of the vote!!!" which is very similar to the conventional wisdom regarding Trump in 2016. People are often low information, and don't necessarily subscribe to the ideological boxes of progressive and moderate. A Biden supporter very well may have Bernie as his #2 regardless of ideology. A lot of people just want to beat Trump, and will go to the flavor de jour to do it. If Sanders wins three of the first four states, and clobbers in California, it becomes easier to see the electability argument slanting in his favor. I do agree, however, that it is important for Bernie to have most of the moderates stick around for a couple more states, even into Super Tuesday.
I would also imagine Bernie getting a Yang/Gabbard endorsement might help as well. No clue if it will happen, but Yang and Sanders are both "outsiders" who appeal to similar voters, and Yang has been complimentary of Bernie in the past.
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Netherlands45349 Posts
Goodnight sweet Yang prince
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On February 12 2020 14:45 StasisField wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 14:43 Dante08 wrote:On February 12 2020 11:44 TentativePanda wrote:On February 12 2020 11:42 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 11:34 StasisField wrote:On February 12 2020 11:26 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 11:21 Lmui wrote:On February 12 2020 10:08 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 10:06 Wombat_NI wrote:On February 12 2020 10:03 Wegandi wrote: [quote]
This is an anecdote of one. I abhorr Trump, but if Bernie is the (D) nominee I will sprint to the polls to vote for Trump. Take that as you will. Why? His economic policies for the most part. He would ruin the country, even if I happen to agree with some of his other stances. Fucking Trump ballooned your deficit by a 500 billion dollars a year and you get less done now. You could've had universal healthcare for less money. I never said Trump was good, but compared to Bernie, I'll run to the polls. Plus, it's hilarious to see people who supported Obama talk about deficits. I don't want "Green" Chavez V2 in the WH. So can you specifically list which of his policies you think will ruin this country or...? There are a lot, I'll list 4 to start with: Student debt forgiveness Green New Deal Medicare for All Delusion that "rich" tax increases will pay for any of his socialist drivel Before we get into the details, first explain why *many* other countries have implemented all of the above to great success but it would “ruin the economy” in the US Why hasn’t anybody mentioned that if you raise taxes on the rich and corporations, they could simply just move their money offshore. With the legal teams at their disposal it would be pretty easy. That’s how the rich stay rich. No way they are just gonna let the government increase their taxes without doing anything. Because Bernie's plan also closes these loop holes for both the billionaires and the corporations they own.
No plan is going to be full proof without massively screwing up regulation. Even if it were fool proof, some of the rich and corporations would simply move offshore permanently, there are tons of countries that would welcome their wealth with open arms. Everyone in the finance industry knows this.
Bernie’s plan ultimately will involve raising taxes for the middle class and obviously he hasn’t stated this.
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The reason why we don't hear that argument about rich people leaving too often is because the establishment's argumentative strategy is still to try and pretend that capitalism is a good and desirable system, and "rich people have us hostage and that's why we can't have nice things" doesn't really help with that messaging.
The reason why the argument's logic doesn't really work is that it's true regardless of what billionnaires are doing. There is a point where your tolerance would break even if it means they could go elsewhere and do what they want, maybe if they were taking 99% of new profit in a year instead of 83% or whatever. Eventually you would break. With that argument you're essentially just saying that you haven't yet.
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On February 12 2020 14:56 Nebuchad wrote: The reason why we don't hear that argument about rich people leaving too often is because the establishment's argumentative strategy is still to try and pretend that capitalism is a good and desirable system, and "rich people have us hostage and that's why we can't have nice things" doesn't really help with that messaging.
You can have nice things, but be prepared to pay the bulk for it compared to what the rich pays. You can’t have nice things and expect to pay the same taxes. You want free healthcare like Europe? Be prepared to pay 50% income tax.
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On February 12 2020 14:53 Dante08 wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 14:45 StasisField wrote:On February 12 2020 14:43 Dante08 wrote:On February 12 2020 11:44 TentativePanda wrote:On February 12 2020 11:42 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 11:34 StasisField wrote:On February 12 2020 11:26 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 11:21 Lmui wrote:On February 12 2020 10:08 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 10:06 Wombat_NI wrote: [quote] Why? His economic policies for the most part. He would ruin the country, even if I happen to agree with some of his other stances. Fucking Trump ballooned your deficit by a 500 billion dollars a year and you get less done now. You could've had universal healthcare for less money. I never said Trump was good, but compared to Bernie, I'll run to the polls. Plus, it's hilarious to see people who supported Obama talk about deficits. I don't want "Green" Chavez V2 in the WH. So can you specifically list which of his policies you think will ruin this country or...? There are a lot, I'll list 4 to start with: Student debt forgiveness Green New Deal Medicare for All Delusion that "rich" tax increases will pay for any of his socialist drivel Before we get into the details, first explain why *many* other countries have implemented all of the above to great success but it would “ruin the economy” in the US Why hasn’t anybody mentioned that if you raise taxes on the rich and corporations, they could simply just move their money offshore. With the legal teams at their disposal it would be pretty easy. That’s how the rich stay rich. No way they are just gonna let the government increase their taxes without doing anything. Because Bernie's plan also closes these loop holes for both the billionaires and the corporations they own. No plan is going to be full proof without massively screwing up regulation. Even if it were fool proof, some of the rich and corporations would simply move offshore permanently, there are tons of countries that would welcome their wealth with open arms. Everyone in the finance industry knows this. Bernie’s plan ultimately will involve raising taxes for the middle class and obviously he hasn’t stated this. Considering I have looked at his plans and they don't raise taxes on the middle class, I'll have to respectfully disagree. I guess we'll see what happens when he get's elected
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On February 12 2020 14:48 darthfoley wrote: As a Bernie Bro (TM) I was a little disappointed that the margin of victory was so small, even understanding the bloated field. After I thought about it though, the fact that Sanders has won the popular vote in both Iowa and New Hampshire (primarily white electorates) proves that he can best moderates like Buttigieg/Biden/Klobuchar in demographics that are as good as they're gonna get, especially for Buttigieg and Klobuchar. Neither one have any minority support at the moment, and I'm skeptical that second or third in NH will change that trajectory going into Nevada and SC. Biden supposedly has his SC firewall, but with Sanders, Steyer and Bloomberg all pouring money into the markets there and Biden embarrassing himself in NH, I don't think that's a shoe in anymore.
Bernie's strongest states may end up being some weird mix of diverse states like California and Texas, as well as rust belt states like Michigan/Wisc/Minnesota. People keep bringing up the idea that, "Well, if you combine all the moderate candidates, they make up like 75% of the vote!!!" which is very similar to the conventional wisdom regarding Trump in 2016. People are often low information, and don't necessarily subscribe to the ideological boxes of progressive and moderate. A Biden supporter very well may have Bernie as his #2 regardless of ideology. A lot of people just want to beat Trump, and will go to the flavor de jour to do it. If Sanders wins three of the first four states, and clobbers in California, it becomes easier to see the electability argument slanting in his favor. I do agree, however, that it is important for Bernie to have most of the moderates stick around for a couple more states, even into Super Tuesday.
I would also imagine Bernie getting a Yang/Gabbard endorsement might help as well. No clue if it will happen, but Yang and Sanders are both "outsiders" who appeal to similar voters, and Yang has been complimentary of Bernie in the past. Results are pretty much what I expected to be honest. Bernie got around 26% and most polls ranged from 30% to 25% for Bernie. Buttigieg and Klobuchar over performed but after Biden's implosion, Pete grabbing a ton of air time by claiming an (unprovable) Iowa victory, and Klobuchar's good debate performance, at least one of them was bound to over perform. I think Bernie will perform much better in NV and SC where the minority vote plays a bigger role and that momentum will help him ride into Super Tuesday looking very strong. Bernie is doing very well in California and he is dumping a ton of resources into Texas (opening a Dallas office, Dallas rally on Friday, tons of Barnstorms happening now, etc), and those 2 states both bring a ton of delegates to the table. I am not going to outright call it now, but I will say I am feeling confident in Bernie's chances.
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On February 12 2020 06:24 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 06:15 Nouar wrote:On February 12 2020 05:38 Mohdoo wrote:On February 12 2020 05:19 Nyxisto wrote:On February 12 2020 05:06 farvacola wrote: This kind of presumptuous neoliberal nonsense is precisely why Bernie is the man for the job. But yes, I hope the warmth that emanates from your magical ability to predict elections occurring in foreign nations keeps you safe from the winter’s chill. It's always a tropical 25 degrees celsius here above the equator but I think an outside perspective might be better than the extremely online far-left internet userbase who thinks the revolution is around the corner. I have just one question, assuming Bernie wins the primary and the gets hammered in the general election, will you actually concede that it might not have been the best idea or is there going to be some other justification? If every online rant about neoliberalism would make left-wing candidates the man for the job I suspect the entire world would be run by democratic socialists. lol what a pointless post. You are basically describing your prediction, saying we are idiots for disagreeing, citing nothing, then ask us if we will admit we were wrong and that you were right if a certain outcome ends up happening. What are you even doing? What compels you to just walk in, be condescending and antagonistic and offer nothing? What's going on? Maybe he is getting a little bit hot-headed because the previous responses to his posts were completely condescending and borderline insulting him for his opinions that were not exactly the same as held here lately ? So much for the "we are idiots for disagreeing" since he got shat on when he wrote that he had a different read of the situation. You all have your opinion, you all can express them, he can think differently and also tell it without being antagonised instantly, and then get complaints that his next posts are more condescending and antagonistic ??? These past few weeks, it looks like if someone if not pro-Bernie, he gets dissed. You all are usually better than that. From my (also external) point of view : Bernie's ideas are not so left-wing, but for the USA, they are. It might be too much, too fast, and that's merely what he expressed. The "he's a communist §/§/.¨§M¨µ%P" trope, though *false*, will be an issue for some voters. As will be his age, and Buttigieg being gay, etc etc. What's the issue with expressing this kind of opinion ? Even if you like the guy ! Please continue to listen to other opinions respectfully or rename the thread "Publicly say you root for Bernie 100% or GTFO". This 10000000%. This has become an "us vs them" in regards to democratic voters and party affiliates. It's either Bernie or bust as said above, but the level of discourse as tanked to outright condescending tones and insults.
I find it quite peculiar you would say that it has become "us vs them". The first thing that comes to my mind is: When was it not like that in the US?
I spent a year in the US in `06-`07 and it most certainly already felt like "us vs them" was the most significant factor in voting preferences. I will never forget how my host brought me to the voting office when there were elections for senate/governor/etc (seemed like an endless list of elected positions back then. I couldn't say if it was 10 or 50, though) to teach me about American politics. He literally did not even read the names of the people up for office but simply went by party affiliation. I even asked him about a few particular people and why he chose them and he simply replied to me: "because they are from the X party". On a side note, I will also never forget that out of the countless positions he voted for without having any clue about the people he chose, there was one single exception of choosing an opposing candidate instead of the one from "his party" due to something like his "integrity" and "proven record" or whatever, but that's a bit besides the point. Obviously, I do not base my statement about "us vs them" on this single isolated example, though. While politics was not exactly a hot topic among high school seniors it came up every now and then and apparently voting preferences are a genetic predisposition in the US. I cannot count the times when I heard that somebody "is from a conservative/liberal family and that's why he/she supports that party", or that somebody told me "my family/we always vote conservative/liberal", but it certainly left a lasting impression on me. As if having your own opinion on politics was not only unnecessary but actually bad. And besides the inheritable property of political positions, I was stunned to witness the absolutely mind-numbing ignorance on any political topics by the overwhelming majority of people, which was in stark contrast to their unshakable political convictions. Asking somebody why he supports party X (never mind asking about a particular candidate) normally yielded an inability to name even 5 topics relating to that party. And even the topics that were being named and people felt strongly about often boiled down to some social topics that were just a tiny fraction of what the chosen party supports - not to mention objectively quite inconsequential about their own lives... Another reason why I felt like "us vs them" was already a thing back then is the concept of "swing states". This implies that there are other states where the outcome is predetermined no matter who the candidate for the opposing party is and what he supports. To me that is a perfect example of a "us vs them" mentality. From my experience in the US I can say that political leanings felt a whole lot like sport leanings - supporting one team without any reason other than "it is my team".
And as far as "outright condescending tones and insults" are concerned, this was certainly already quite common in the political "discourse" back then in 2006. My host enjoyed listening to certain radio stations when driving, so I often had the questionable pleasure to listen to the triple combo of "talk" shows hosted by Limbaugh, Hannity and some other dude that quite honestly can only qualify as hate speech. Everything was centered around being condescending and offensive about everything that was said/done/considered by the democratic party. Most of the program was about shouting at hand-picked weird callers, insulting them and adding a couple of lines why the democratic party supported by such idiots is - in fact and without a doubt - shit. It is mind-boggling to me that somebody like Limbaugh can be socially acceptable given the fundamentally offensive nature of his shows, and he was by far the tamest of the three...
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On February 12 2020 15:41 ggrrg wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 06:24 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:On February 12 2020 06:15 Nouar wrote:On February 12 2020 05:38 Mohdoo wrote:On February 12 2020 05:19 Nyxisto wrote:On February 12 2020 05:06 farvacola wrote: This kind of presumptuous neoliberal nonsense is precisely why Bernie is the man for the job. But yes, I hope the warmth that emanates from your magical ability to predict elections occurring in foreign nations keeps you safe from the winter’s chill. It's always a tropical 25 degrees celsius here above the equator but I think an outside perspective might be better than the extremely online far-left internet userbase who thinks the revolution is around the corner. I have just one question, assuming Bernie wins the primary and the gets hammered in the general election, will you actually concede that it might not have been the best idea or is there going to be some other justification? If every online rant about neoliberalism would make left-wing candidates the man for the job I suspect the entire world would be run by democratic socialists. lol what a pointless post. You are basically describing your prediction, saying we are idiots for disagreeing, citing nothing, then ask us if we will admit we were wrong and that you were right if a certain outcome ends up happening. What are you even doing? What compels you to just walk in, be condescending and antagonistic and offer nothing? What's going on? Maybe he is getting a little bit hot-headed because the previous responses to his posts were completely condescending and borderline insulting him for his opinions that were not exactly the same as held here lately ? So much for the "we are idiots for disagreeing" since he got shat on when he wrote that he had a different read of the situation. You all have your opinion, you all can express them, he can think differently and also tell it without being antagonised instantly, and then get complaints that his next posts are more condescending and antagonistic ??? These past few weeks, it looks like if someone if not pro-Bernie, he gets dissed. You all are usually better than that. From my (also external) point of view : Bernie's ideas are not so left-wing, but for the USA, they are. It might be too much, too fast, and that's merely what he expressed. The "he's a communist §/§/.¨§M¨µ%P" trope, though *false*, will be an issue for some voters. As will be his age, and Buttigieg being gay, etc etc. What's the issue with expressing this kind of opinion ? Even if you like the guy ! Please continue to listen to other opinions respectfully or rename the thread "Publicly say you root for Bernie 100% or GTFO". This 10000000%. This has become an "us vs them" in regards to democratic voters and party affiliates. It's either Bernie or bust as said above, but the level of discourse as tanked to outright condescending tones and insults. I find it quite peculiar you would say that it has become "us vs them". The first thing that comes to my mind is: When was it not like that in the US?I spent a year in the US in `06-`07 and it most certainly already felt like "us vs them" was the most significant factor in voting preferences. I will never forget how my host brought me to the voting office when there were elections for senate/governor/etc (seemed like an endless list of elected positions back then. I couldn't say if it was 10 or 50, though) to teach me about American politics. He literally did not even read the names of the people up for office but simply went by party affiliation. I even asked him about a few particular people and why he chose them and he simply replied to me: "because they are from the X party". On a side note, I will also never forget that out of the countless positions he voted for without having any clue about the people he chose, there was one single exception of choosing an opposing candidate instead of the one from "his party" due to something like his "integrity" and "proven record" or whatever, but that's a bit besides the point. Obviously, I do not base my statement about "us vs them" on this single isolated example, though. While politics was not exactly a hot topic among high school seniors it came up every now and then and apparently voting preferences are a genetic predisposition in the US. I cannot count the times when I heard that somebody "is from a conservative/liberal family and that's why he/she supports that party", or that somebody told me "my family/we always vote conservative/liberal", but it certainly left a lasting impression on me. As if having your own opinion on politics was not only unnecessary but actually bad. And besides the inheritable property of political positions, I was stunned to witness the absolutely mind-numbing ignorance on any political topics by the overwhelming majority of people, which was in stark contrast to their unshakable political convictions. Asking somebody why he supports party X (never mind asking about a particular candidate) normally yielded an inability to name even 5 topics relating to that party. And even the topics that were being named and people felt strongly about often boiled down to some social topics that were just a tiny fraction of what the chosen party supports - not to mention objectively quite inconsequential about their own lives... Another reason why I felt like "us vs them" was already a thing back then is the concept of "swing states". This implies that there are other states where the outcome is predetermined no matter who the candidate for the opposing party is and what he supports. To me that is a perfect example of a "us vs them" mentality. From my experience in the US I can say that political leanings felt a whole lot like sport leanings - supporting one team without any reason other than "it is my team". And as far as "outright condescending tones and insults" are concerned, this was certainly already quite common in the political "discourse" back then in 2006. My host enjoyed listening to certain radio stations when driving, so I often had the questionable pleasure to listen to the triple combo of "talk" shows hosted by Limbaugh, Hannity and some other dude that quite honestly can only qualify as hate speech. Everything was centered around being condescending and offensive about everything that was said/done/considered by the democratic party. Most of the program was about shouting at hand-picked weird callers, insulting them and adding a couple of lines why the democratic party supported by such idiots is - in fact and without a doubt - shit. It is mind-boggling to me that somebody like Limbaugh can be socially acceptable given the fundamentally offensive nature of his shows, and he was by far the tamest of the three... When I wrote that, I didn't mean it to be left vs right. But Pro-Bernie vs Other Democrats. As you've mentioned this has always been the case when looking at the two parties broadly. And I can attest to what you claim is in fact true. My family did hardcore Democrat no matter what. Didn't matter what they talked about. I got lucky and actually paid attention when I grew up (around the time you were here visiting) and I picked certain politicians based on what they supposedly stood for or against. Not everyone takes a critical eye to these things. The funny part is listening to them bitch and moan when things go sideways because of the policies implemented by the people they chose to be in power.
In regards to the tones, that was also specifically for this thread. It's mostly liberal/left political in here so a lot is roughly the same. It's when you get people who disagree fundamentally on topics or candidates that you get that condescending tone and unnecessary insults. I don't mind someone being called out for having the wrong facts. But to trash and insult them on an opinion that you could have just asked for some clarification gets you nowhere. Alienating possible allies is a bad thing (as has been stated before). But some posters here feel they are gatekeepers. Obviously it isn't the case for the majority, but in most aspects in life, it is the loud minority that gets the most attention.
My whole point is what Nouar stated a few pages back. There's no need to jump on someone because they don't see things the same way or they raise a question that should be worth thinking about. Anyway, that's over and done with. Just thought I should reply to this.
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On February 12 2020 15:41 ggrrg wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 06:24 ZerOCoolSC2 wrote:On February 12 2020 06:15 Nouar wrote:On February 12 2020 05:38 Mohdoo wrote:On February 12 2020 05:19 Nyxisto wrote:On February 12 2020 05:06 farvacola wrote: This kind of presumptuous neoliberal nonsense is precisely why Bernie is the man for the job. But yes, I hope the warmth that emanates from your magical ability to predict elections occurring in foreign nations keeps you safe from the winter’s chill. It's always a tropical 25 degrees celsius here above the equator but I think an outside perspective might be better than the extremely online far-left internet userbase who thinks the revolution is around the corner. I have just one question, assuming Bernie wins the primary and the gets hammered in the general election, will you actually concede that it might not have been the best idea or is there going to be some other justification? If every online rant about neoliberalism would make left-wing candidates the man for the job I suspect the entire world would be run by democratic socialists. lol what a pointless post. You are basically describing your prediction, saying we are idiots for disagreeing, citing nothing, then ask us if we will admit we were wrong and that you were right if a certain outcome ends up happening. What are you even doing? What compels you to just walk in, be condescending and antagonistic and offer nothing? What's going on? Maybe he is getting a little bit hot-headed because the previous responses to his posts were completely condescending and borderline insulting him for his opinions that were not exactly the same as held here lately ? So much for the "we are idiots for disagreeing" since he got shat on when he wrote that he had a different read of the situation. You all have your opinion, you all can express them, he can think differently and also tell it without being antagonised instantly, and then get complaints that his next posts are more condescending and antagonistic ??? These past few weeks, it looks like if someone if not pro-Bernie, he gets dissed. You all are usually better than that. From my (also external) point of view : Bernie's ideas are not so left-wing, but for the USA, they are. It might be too much, too fast, and that's merely what he expressed. The "he's a communist §/§/.¨§M¨µ%P" trope, though *false*, will be an issue for some voters. As will be his age, and Buttigieg being gay, etc etc. What's the issue with expressing this kind of opinion ? Even if you like the guy ! Please continue to listen to other opinions respectfully or rename the thread "Publicly say you root for Bernie 100% or GTFO". This 10000000%. This has become an "us vs them" in regards to democratic voters and party affiliates. It's either Bernie or bust as said above, but the level of discourse as tanked to outright condescending tones and insults. I find it quite peculiar you would say that it has become "us vs them". The first thing that comes to my mind is: When was it not like that in the US?I spent a year in the US in `06-`07 and it most certainly already felt like "us vs them" was the most significant factor in voting preferences. I will never forget how my host brought me to the voting office when there were elections for senate/governor/etc (seemed like an endless list of elected positions back then. I couldn't say if it was 10 or 50, though) to teach me about American politics. He literally did not even read the names of the people up for office but simply went by party affiliation. I even asked him about a few particular people and why he chose them and he simply replied to me: "because they are from the X party". On a side note, I will also never forget that out of the countless positions he voted for without having any clue about the people he chose, there was one single exception of choosing an opposing candidate instead of the one from "his party" due to something like his "integrity" and "proven record" or whatever, but that's a bit besides the point. Obviously, I do not base my statement about "us vs them" on this single isolated example, though. While politics was not exactly a hot topic among high school seniors it came up every now and then and apparently voting preferences are a genetic predisposition in the US. I cannot count the times when I heard that somebody "is from a conservative/liberal family and that's why he/she supports that party", or that somebody told me "my family/we always vote conservative/liberal", but it certainly left a lasting impression on me. As if having your own opinion on politics was not only unnecessary but actually bad. And besides the inheritable property of political positions, I was stunned to witness the absolutely mind-numbing ignorance on any political topics by the overwhelming majority of people, which was in stark contrast to their unshakable political convictions. Asking somebody why he supports party X (never mind asking about a particular candidate) normally yielded an inability to name even 5 topics relating to that party. And even the topics that were being named and people felt strongly about often boiled down to some social topics that were just a tiny fraction of what the chosen party supports - not to mention objectively quite inconsequential about their own lives... Another reason why I felt like "us vs them" was already a thing back then is the concept of "swing states". This implies that there are other states where the outcome is predetermined no matter who the candidate for the opposing party is and what he supports. To me that is a perfect example of a "us vs them" mentality. From my experience in the US I can say that political leanings felt a whole lot like sport leanings - supporting one team without any reason other than "it is my team". And as far as "outright condescending tones and insults" are concerned, this was certainly already quite common in the political "discourse" back then in 2006. My host enjoyed listening to certain radio stations when driving, so I often had the questionable pleasure to listen to the triple combo of "talk" shows hosted by Limbaugh, Hannity and some other dude that quite honestly can only qualify as hate speech. Everything was centered around being condescending and offensive about everything that was said/done/considered by the democratic party. Most of the program was about shouting at hand-picked weird callers, insulting them and adding a couple of lines why the democratic party supported by such idiots is - in fact and without a doubt - shit. It is mind-boggling to me that somebody like Limbaugh can be socially acceptable given the fundamentally offensive nature of his shows, and he was by far the tamest of the three...
Yesterday at the radio, there was this famous French philosopher (Alain Badiou) who just published his new book called Trump. His idea was that that Trump (and several other democratically elected leaders) could come in power because most politics were now negative, against something, that there were no constructive propositions. And if we look back to Trump's campaign, it was against politic establishment, migrants, etc etc. It was all negative minus the mysterious, undefined "make America great again".
Though Trump is not the problem, he's a symptom. The problem is supposedly opposed camps are in facts totally on the same page, as they agree on capitalistic-democracy, leaving no room for building new politics.
Sorry if I'm unclear, it far exceeds my English capabilities and even in French I would struggle to properly explain his point.
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On February 12 2020 15:05 Dante08 wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 14:56 Nebuchad wrote: The reason why we don't hear that argument about rich people leaving too often is because the establishment's argumentative strategy is still to try and pretend that capitalism is a good and desirable system, and "rich people have us hostage and that's why we can't have nice things" doesn't really help with that messaging. You can have nice things, but be prepared to pay the bulk for it compared to what the rich pays. You can’t have nice things and expect to pay the same taxes. You want free healthcare like Europe? Be prepared to pay 50% income tax.
I dont think Id mind increased taxes given that when I had a job with healthcare in the US they were still charging me a shit ton every month for it. So overall, in my situation I doubt Id end up in a worse situation, it could very easily wind up slightly cheaper than UHC (fuck them, btw), or at the very least would almost assuredly provide MUCH better coverage.
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On February 12 2020 15:05 Dante08 wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 14:56 Nebuchad wrote: The reason why we don't hear that argument about rich people leaving too often is because the establishment's argumentative strategy is still to try and pretend that capitalism is a good and desirable system, and "rich people have us hostage and that's why we can't have nice things" doesn't really help with that messaging. You can have nice things, but be prepared to pay the bulk for it compared to what the rich pays. You can’t have nice things and expect to pay the same taxes. You want free healthcare like Europe? Be prepared to pay 50% income tax.
I dont think that is accurate, tax regime in various European countries are vastly different, for exmaple in Poland i pay 17% income tax below certain treshold and on income above that treshhold 32%. In total income tax + mandatory health insurance + mandatory retiremnt found adds up to about 37% i think.
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On February 12 2020 15:05 Dante08 wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 14:56 Nebuchad wrote: The reason why we don't hear that argument about rich people leaving too often is because the establishment's argumentative strategy is still to try and pretend that capitalism is a good and desirable system, and "rich people have us hostage and that's why we can't have nice things" doesn't really help with that messaging. You can have nice things, but be prepared to pay the bulk for it compared to what the rich pays. You can’t have nice things and expect to pay the same taxes. You want free healthcare like Europe? Be prepared to pay 50% income tax.
I was wondering why I pay 50% income tax lol Damn Europe and our communist governments.
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On February 12 2020 15:05 Dante08 wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 14:56 Nebuchad wrote: The reason why we don't hear that argument about rich people leaving too often is because the establishment's argumentative strategy is still to try and pretend that capitalism is a good and desirable system, and "rich people have us hostage and that's why we can't have nice things" doesn't really help with that messaging. You can have nice things, but be prepared to pay the bulk for it compared to what the rich pays. You can’t have nice things and expect to pay the same taxes. You want free healthcare like Europe? Be prepared to pay 50% income tax. Funny how in the money spend on healthcare per capita is lower in the EU then it is in the US. Maybe free healthcare isn't more expensive and the problem lies in how the US system works, and not the concept of universal healthcare.
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On February 12 2020 13:49 Wegandi wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 13:42 StasisField wrote:On February 12 2020 13:12 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 12:13 StasisField wrote:On February 12 2020 11:42 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 11:34 StasisField wrote:On February 12 2020 11:26 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 11:21 Lmui wrote:On February 12 2020 10:08 Wegandi wrote:On February 12 2020 10:06 Wombat_NI wrote: [quote] Why? His economic policies for the most part. He would ruin the country, even if I happen to agree with some of his other stances. Fucking Trump ballooned your deficit by a 500 billion dollars a year and you get less done now. You could've had universal healthcare for less money. I never said Trump was good, but compared to Bernie, I'll run to the polls. Plus, it's hilarious to see people who supported Obama talk about deficits. I don't want "Green" Chavez V2 in the WH. So can you specifically list which of his policies you think will ruin this country or...? There are a lot, I'll list 4 to start with: Student debt forgiveness Green New Deal Medicare for All Delusion that "rich" tax increases will pay for any of his socialist drivel 1. Studies show this would actually boost the economy 2. This would create countless jobs and put us on a track of sustainability 3. Even a study by the Koch brothers shows this M4A would save money 4. It's not a delusion and these aren't even socialist policies. Care to explain why basically every other developed country on earth can do these things but us? Do you actually think your bullet points there are going to convince anyone? Also, yes, nationalizing healthcare, destroying the educational loan market (and post-secondary confidence...imagine you're the unlucky fool who has to pay loans because you're 16, or 37 and just happened to go to college after this forgiveness lol...), and rhetoric decrying making money aren't anything close to socialism. /Rollseyes By the way, if you want to follow your argument, why do you fight against strict immigration controls? Almost every other developed country on earth has stricter controls than we do. That's a bad non-starter of an argument, in fact, it's not one because it's a combination of Argumentum ad populum and bandwagon fallacy. No, I don't. i just wanted to see how much you would lash out from someone challenging your claims with the same amount of effort you put in to making your claims. You didn't disappoint  Oh, you mean the "unlucky fool" who won't have to pay for college either because there will be a tax that also pays for future college students and trade school students? So unlucky! Yup, you got it. It's not socialism! It's called Social Democracy which is different from Democratic Socialism and Socialism. To make this short; SD = economic benefits gained from capitalism helps everyone, not just the wealthy and DS = a transition from Capitalism to Socialism. You know what's funny? I directed my question at stances I know you have. You have no idea what I believe on immigration. What's worse: asking someone to answer for their beliefs or making up someone's beliefs and asking them to answer for their made up beliefs? I think we're both smart enough to figure that out  EDIT: Grammar So you want to nationalize healthcare, post-secondary schooling, and massively increase taxes (if you want to emulate countries like Denmark you're going to have to increase middle class taxes from the 20-25% they are now to 50-55% like they are in Denmark, Netherlands, etc.), and then on top of that centrally plan the energy sector? Yeah, that's not socialism, but hey, guess not if you just write democracy around it.
Would you vote for any of the democrat candidates over Trump?
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Northern Ireland23825 Posts
On February 12 2020 20:37 Jockmcplop wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 15:05 Dante08 wrote:On February 12 2020 14:56 Nebuchad wrote: The reason why we don't hear that argument about rich people leaving too often is because the establishment's argumentative strategy is still to try and pretend that capitalism is a good and desirable system, and "rich people have us hostage and that's why we can't have nice things" doesn't really help with that messaging. You can have nice things, but be prepared to pay the bulk for it compared to what the rich pays. You can’t have nice things and expect to pay the same taxes. You want free healthcare like Europe? Be prepared to pay 50% income tax. I was wondering why I pay 50% income tax lol Damn Europe and our communist governments. I was wondering why I’m always broke!
Places that tend to have those higher personal tax rates have more social programs than even a Bernie who gets his entire platform through, plus lower corporate taxation with it.
I wasn’t present when Bevan and his boys formed the NHS over in the UK, I assume these kinds of arguments about cost and tax hikes were made then, but at least we were dealing with hypotheticals and a system that hadn’t really precedent in being implemented.
Today various forms of nationalised healthcare exist all over the place and the data on costs and tax rates is pretty easily accessible.
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On February 12 2020 15:05 Dante08 wrote:Show nested quote +On February 12 2020 14:56 Nebuchad wrote: The reason why we don't hear that argument about rich people leaving too often is because the establishment's argumentative strategy is still to try and pretend that capitalism is a good and desirable system, and "rich people have us hostage and that's why we can't have nice things" doesn't really help with that messaging. You can have nice things, but be prepared to pay the bulk for it compared to what the rich pays. You can’t have nice things and expect to pay the same taxes. You want free healthcare like Europe? Be prepared to pay 50% income tax.
People are always scared of the "new taxes!" boogeyman, but the vast majority of people pay far more in monthly health insurance premiums than any tax increase would be.
I pay over $200 per month for health insurance for my family, and that doesn't include our yearly per-person deductible. This is also really, really cheap. Most people pay several hundred dollars per pay check for health insurance, and if they don't, their deductible is several thousands of dollars (upwards of $5,000-$10,000). Any tax increase is almost guaranteed to save the middle class money by eliminating insurance premiums and deductibles.
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