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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 1115

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.


If you have any questions, comments, concern, or feedback regarding the USPMT, then please use this thread: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/website-feedback/510156-us-politics-thread
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
February 12 2019 19:05 GMT
#22281
the problem is the economics don't support that. a "luxury" apartment and a regular apartment cost about the same to build, but you can charge 50% more for one. from a profit standpoint, the choice is pretty obvious. beyond that, developers need to get financing from banks, who like the luxury stuff a lot more.

also, see this surprisingly informative overview of what happens with gentrification as done in cities:skylines.

(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Sbrubbles
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil5776 Posts
February 12 2019 19:37 GMT
#22282
On February 13 2019 04:05 ticklishmusic wrote:
the problem is the economics don't support that. a "luxury" apartment and a regular apartment cost about the same to build, but you can charge 50% more for one. from a profit standpoint, the choice is pretty obvious. beyond that, developers need to get financing from banks, who like the luxury stuff a lot more.

also, see this surprisingly informative overview of what happens with gentrification as done in cities:skylines.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdeirDrinWk


One being more profitable than the other only matters if there are absolutely no areas left for construction. If there are, and there's demand for both kinds of housing, then construction companies would do both. Companies are after profit, not average roi.

I'm no expert on the US construction sector, but from what I've read it's more a problem of excessive regulation and nimby advocacy
Bora Pain minha porra!
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-02-12 19:49:40
February 12 2019 19:49 GMT
#22283
On February 13 2019 04:37 Sbrubbles wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2019 04:05 ticklishmusic wrote:
the problem is the economics don't support that. a "luxury" apartment and a regular apartment cost about the same to build, but you can charge 50% more for one. from a profit standpoint, the choice is pretty obvious. beyond that, developers need to get financing from banks, who like the luxury stuff a lot more.

also, see this surprisingly informative overview of what happens with gentrification as done in cities:skylines.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdeirDrinWk


One being more profitable than the other only matters if there are absolutely no areas left for construction. If there are, and there's demand for both kinds of housing, then construction companies would do both. Companies are after profit, not average roi.

I'm no expert on the US construction sector, but from what I've read it's more a problem of excessive regulation and nimby advocacy

As someone who deals in US real estate and the issue of housing, it is not regulation. There are only so many companies building housing in the state. Those companies only build what developers want and developers are only interested in maximum return on investment. Especially given the amount of money up front development requires. The demand exists, but the market does not serve that demand due to the limitations of labor, investors and local government being more interested in high income housing units.

Now many would argue that if we reduced investment, the affordable housing would arrive. But that has never really happens. Instead you just get more high income housing with less oversight from the local community. The way my state handles it is there is reduced regulation for affordable housing ONLY. And those units have to be handled out through a lottery to assure they are going to people who need them.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-02-12 20:12:36
February 12 2019 19:50 GMT
#22284
It depends. Generally inside cities, there's not that much space to build a block of flats, as being a city, the area is already built up. Not to say that the aforementioned problems are not real contributing problems though.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-02-12 21:03:37
February 12 2019 20:03 GMT
#22285
On February 13 2019 04:37 Sbrubbles wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2019 04:05 ticklishmusic wrote:
the problem is the economics don't support that. a "luxury" apartment and a regular apartment cost about the same to build, but you can charge 50% more for one. from a profit standpoint, the choice is pretty obvious. beyond that, developers need to get financing from banks, who like the luxury stuff a lot more.

also, see this surprisingly informative overview of what happens with gentrification as done in cities:skylines.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdeirDrinWk


One being more profitable than the other only matters if there are absolutely no areas left for construction. If there are, and there's demand for both kinds of housing, then construction companies would do both. Companies are after profit, not average roi.

I'm no expert on the US construction sector, but from what I've read it's more a problem of excessive regulation and nimby advocacy


the point is,why would ever sell something for x, when you could sell it for 2x? there is no incentive (unless the government offers one or something) to build lower cost housing when you could be building higher cost housing. in addition, having lower cost units drags down the amount you could get for a higher end one.

regulation does play a role, but NIMBYism is a separate issue from gentrification.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-02-12 20:18:32
February 12 2019 20:17 GMT
#22286
People used to not like low income housing being built in their communities. That seems to have shifted a bit, at least in my area. The rising cost of housing has made even the worst retired, fixed income jerks in my local town meetings far more understanding that there isn’t enough cheap housing. We also all bond over hating rising home prices and the taxes associated with it.

Now building a new library because the old one was built in the 1950s and is a garbage heap, that is another story.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Sbrubbles
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil5776 Posts
February 12 2019 20:23 GMT
#22287
On February 13 2019 05:03 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2019 04:37 Sbrubbles wrote:
On February 13 2019 04:05 ticklishmusic wrote:
the problem is the economics don't support that. a "luxury" apartment and a regular apartment cost about the same to build, but you can charge 50% more for one. from a profit standpoint, the choice is pretty obvious. beyond that, developers need to get financing from banks, who like the luxury stuff a lot more.

also, see this surprisingly informative overview of what happens with gentrification as done in cities:skylines.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdeirDrinWk


One being more profitable than the other only matters if there are absolutely no areas left for construction. If there are, and there's demand for both kinds of housing, then construction companies would do both. Companies are after profit, not average roi.

I'm no expert on the US construction sector, but from what I've read it's more a problem of excessive regulation and nimby advocacy


the point is,why would ever sell something that costs you x, when you could sell it for 2x? there is no incentive (unless the government offers one or something) to build lower cost housing when you could be building higher cost housing. in addition, having lower cost units drags down the amount you could get for a higher end one.

regulation does play a role, but NIMBYism is a separate issue from gentrification.


Why would you ever sell something for x, when you could sell it for 2x? When you can do both and it costs you less than x to make it.

This is what I meant when I said "One being more profitable than the other only matters if there are absolutely no areas left for construction"
Bora Pain minha porra!
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11803 Posts
February 12 2019 20:29 GMT
#22288
On February 13 2019 05:23 Sbrubbles wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2019 05:03 ticklishmusic wrote:
On February 13 2019 04:37 Sbrubbles wrote:
On February 13 2019 04:05 ticklishmusic wrote:
the problem is the economics don't support that. a "luxury" apartment and a regular apartment cost about the same to build, but you can charge 50% more for one. from a profit standpoint, the choice is pretty obvious. beyond that, developers need to get financing from banks, who like the luxury stuff a lot more.

also, see this surprisingly informative overview of what happens with gentrification as done in cities:skylines.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdeirDrinWk


One being more profitable than the other only matters if there are absolutely no areas left for construction. If there are, and there's demand for both kinds of housing, then construction companies would do both. Companies are after profit, not average roi.

I'm no expert on the US construction sector, but from what I've read it's more a problem of excessive regulation and nimby advocacy


the point is,why would ever sell something that costs you x, when you could sell it for 2x? there is no incentive (unless the government offers one or something) to build lower cost housing when you could be building higher cost housing. in addition, having lower cost units drags down the amount you could get for a higher end one.

regulation does play a role, but NIMBYism is a separate issue from gentrification.


Why would you ever sell something for x, when you could sell it for 2x? When you can do both and it costs you less than x to make it.

This is what I meant when I said "One being more profitable than the other only matters if there are absolutely no areas left for construction"


Yeah, but you could also build the 2x thing at both places and make even more money.

This only stops if either the demand for high-price housing is met (And you thus can no longer sell those 2x things), or if there are additional incentives that make building low-cost housing more attractive. Those additional incentives almost certainly have to be something the government does.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 12 2019 20:38 GMT
#22289
On February 13 2019 05:23 Sbrubbles wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2019 05:03 ticklishmusic wrote:
On February 13 2019 04:37 Sbrubbles wrote:
On February 13 2019 04:05 ticklishmusic wrote:
the problem is the economics don't support that. a "luxury" apartment and a regular apartment cost about the same to build, but you can charge 50% more for one. from a profit standpoint, the choice is pretty obvious. beyond that, developers need to get financing from banks, who like the luxury stuff a lot more.

also, see this surprisingly informative overview of what happens with gentrification as done in cities:skylines.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdeirDrinWk


One being more profitable than the other only matters if there are absolutely no areas left for construction. If there are, and there's demand for both kinds of housing, then construction companies would do both. Companies are after profit, not average roi.

I'm no expert on the US construction sector, but from what I've read it's more a problem of excessive regulation and nimby advocacy


the point is,why would ever sell something that costs you x, when you could sell it for 2x? there is no incentive (unless the government offers one or something) to build lower cost housing when you could be building higher cost housing. in addition, having lower cost units drags down the amount you could get for a higher end one.

regulation does play a role, but NIMBYism is a separate issue from gentrification.


Why would you ever sell something for x, when you could sell it for 2x? When you can do both and it costs you less than x to make it.

This is what I meant when I said "One being more profitable than the other only matters if there are absolutely no areas left for construction"

You do know the old saying "Invest in real estate, they are not making it any more."

The number of areas that are available for construction are very limited. All the land is owned by someone and only a set amount of it is for sale at any given time. Its not like someone can just walk up and buy my house if they want to develop. I mean, they can, but they won't make a profit because my price is not reasonable at all.

So when someone buys 10 lots for houses, they can only make 10 houses. If their margin will be 15%, there is no reason for them to make a 200K house when they can make a 500K house. Both will sell because that is the way real estate market is right now. So there is no reason to build affordable housing because the math doesn't work out and there are only 10 housing lots.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-02-12 21:07:56
February 12 2019 21:03 GMT
#22290
On February 13 2019 05:23 Sbrubbles wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2019 05:03 ticklishmusic wrote:
On February 13 2019 04:37 Sbrubbles wrote:
On February 13 2019 04:05 ticklishmusic wrote:
the problem is the economics don't support that. a "luxury" apartment and a regular apartment cost about the same to build, but you can charge 50% more for one. from a profit standpoint, the choice is pretty obvious. beyond that, developers need to get financing from banks, who like the luxury stuff a lot more.

also, see this surprisingly informative overview of what happens with gentrification as done in cities:skylines.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdeirDrinWk


One being more profitable than the other only matters if there are absolutely no areas left for construction. If there are, and there's demand for both kinds of housing, then construction companies would do both. Companies are after profit, not average roi.

I'm no expert on the US construction sector, but from what I've read it's more a problem of excessive regulation and nimby advocacy


the point is,why would ever sell something that costs you x, when you could sell it for 2x? there is no incentive (unless the government offers one or something) to build lower cost housing when you could be building higher cost housing. in addition, having lower cost units drags down the amount you could get for a higher end one.

regulation does play a role, but NIMBYism is a separate issue from gentrification.


Why would you ever sell something for x, when you could sell it for 2x? When you can do both and it costs you less than x to make it.

This is what I meant when I said "One being more profitable than the other only matters if there are absolutely no areas left for construction"


i had a brain fart. meant to say that you would always sell for the higher price, etc. like simberto posted.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
February 12 2019 21:08 GMT
#22291
To give you kids an idea of city living and apartments going up around here. I live in LA and every single apartment I see going up is luxury.

It's not ohhh a lot are going up and a few low cost. it is every one. The average price for a 2 bedroom in these new places? 4k.

Why in gods name would someone ever make a 2k 2 bedroom when they know people are buying up 4k ones?
Something witty
ShoCkeyy
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
7815 Posts
February 12 2019 21:13 GMT
#22292
Lol at "affordable" apartments in cities... It's all been Luxury + tax havens for off shore rich people.
Life?
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35172 Posts
February 12 2019 21:40 GMT
#22293
On February 13 2019 06:13 ShoCkeyy wrote:
Lol at "affordable" apartments in cities... It's all been Luxury + tax havens for off shore rich people.

We're not just talking about downtown. Some of my friends are trying to find a new place and the rent are stupid right now.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 12 2019 21:48 GMT
#22294
--- Nuked ---
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
February 12 2019 22:00 GMT
#22295
On February 13 2019 06:48 JimmiC wrote:
The down side of super low interest rates is housing has gone sky high because people make their decision not based on the value of the house but on the value of the payment. For good credit people with steady income this isn't a huge deal and lets them feel good about owning a Half million dollar home or whatever. For people not in that situation it sucks.


i believe most home mortgages now are fixed rate, so that risk has been significantly mitigated.

and on the adjustable rate side, i believe most banks conduct sensitivity tests to make sure that borrowers can still pay given an increase in the fed rate.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
February 12 2019 22:11 GMT
#22296
--- Nuked ---
Nouar
Profile Joined May 2009
France3270 Posts
February 12 2019 23:08 GMT
#22297
Finally, some good news from the Senate... A bipartisan bill on nature protection and national park extensions ! It's too rare not to mention.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2019/02/12/senate-just-passed-decades-biggest-public-lands-package-heres-whats-it/?utm_term=.ec4919bba992

On February 13 2019 07:11 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2019 07:00 ticklishmusic wrote:
On February 13 2019 06:48 JimmiC wrote:
The down side of super low interest rates is housing has gone sky high because people make their decision not based on the value of the house but on the value of the payment. For good credit people with steady income this isn't a huge deal and lets them feel good about owning a Half million dollar home or whatever. For people not in that situation it sucks.


i believe most home mortgages now are fixed rate, so that risk has been significantly mitigated.

and on the adjustable rate side, i believe most banks conduct sensitivity tests to make sure that borrowers can still pay given an increase in the fed rate.


Oh yes the teaser rates were an absolute killer. But I am just talking in general. Like 4% for a home is incredibly low and will likely stay that wayish for the foreseeable future.


4% still sounds crazy nowadays. When I bought in 2011, I had lower than that even though the crisis was in full bloom, it's now down to around 1.5% for a 15-year loan here in France if you have ok credentials.
NoiR
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
February 13 2019 00:14 GMT
#22298
On February 13 2019 07:11 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2019 07:00 ticklishmusic wrote:
On February 13 2019 06:48 JimmiC wrote:
The down side of super low interest rates is housing has gone sky high because people make their decision not based on the value of the house but on the value of the payment. For good credit people with steady income this isn't a huge deal and lets them feel good about owning a Half million dollar home or whatever. For people not in that situation it sucks.


i believe most home mortgages now are fixed rate, so that risk has been significantly mitigated.

and on the adjustable rate side, i believe most banks conduct sensitivity tests to make sure that borrowers can still pay given an increase in the fed rate.


Oh yes the teaser rates were an absolute killer. But I am just talking in general. Like 4% for a home is incredibly low and will likely stay that wayish for the foreseeable future.

I think you may have swopped low with high there.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43905 Posts
February 13 2019 00:49 GMT
#22299
On February 13 2019 08:08 Nouar wrote:
Finally, some good news from the Senate... A bipartisan bill on nature protection and national park extensions ! It's too rare not to mention.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2019/02/12/senate-just-passed-decades-biggest-public-lands-package-heres-whats-it/?utm_term=.ec4919bba992

Show nested quote +
On February 13 2019 07:11 JimmiC wrote:
On February 13 2019 07:00 ticklishmusic wrote:
On February 13 2019 06:48 JimmiC wrote:
The down side of super low interest rates is housing has gone sky high because people make their decision not based on the value of the house but on the value of the payment. For good credit people with steady income this isn't a huge deal and lets them feel good about owning a Half million dollar home or whatever. For people not in that situation it sucks.


i believe most home mortgages now are fixed rate, so that risk has been significantly mitigated.

and on the adjustable rate side, i believe most banks conduct sensitivity tests to make sure that borrowers can still pay given an increase in the fed rate.


Oh yes the teaser rates were an absolute killer. But I am just talking in general. Like 4% for a home is incredibly low and will likely stay that wayish for the foreseeable future.


4% still sounds crazy nowadays. When I bought in 2011, I had lower than that even though the crisis was in full bloom, it's now down to around 1.5% for a 15-year loan here in France if you have ok credentials.

It also depends upon the relative rate of inflation. You can’t directly compare dollar denominated interest with euro denominated.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43905 Posts
February 13 2019 00:50 GMT
#22300
On February 13 2019 09:14 Dangermousecatdog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2019 07:11 JimmiC wrote:
On February 13 2019 07:00 ticklishmusic wrote:
On February 13 2019 06:48 JimmiC wrote:
The down side of super low interest rates is housing has gone sky high because people make their decision not based on the value of the house but on the value of the payment. For good credit people with steady income this isn't a huge deal and lets them feel good about owning a Half million dollar home or whatever. For people not in that situation it sucks.


i believe most home mortgages now are fixed rate, so that risk has been significantly mitigated.

and on the adjustable rate side, i believe most banks conduct sensitivity tests to make sure that borrowers can still pay given an increase in the fed rate.


Oh yes the teaser rates were an absolute killer. But I am just talking in general. Like 4% for a home is incredibly low and will likely stay that wayish for the foreseeable future.

I think you may have swopped low with high there.

Nope. He’s just talking in dollars.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
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