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kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
June 29 2016 21:12 GMT
#3621
Who knew all the MPs who voted for the Iraq war are suddenly trying to oust the Labour leader who would call out Blair in Commons weeks before the Chilcot report...
Lonyo
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United Kingdom3884 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-29 21:20:24
June 29 2016 21:19 GMT
#3622
On June 30 2016 06:12 kollin wrote:
Who knew all the MPs who voted for the Iraq war are suddenly trying to oust the Labour leader who would call out Blair in Commons weeks before the Chilcot report...


They didn't get elected on a Corbyn ticket, they got elected on a Milliband ticket. Corbyn didn't lead, and doesn't have the same philosophy as the one the Labour party had when the MPs were elected. They (reasonably rightfully) are considering their electorate rather than their party leader. While that may be pure self interest, rather than actually caring about the electorate, the two interests happen to coincide.

They are MPs of the Labour Party, but they were elected by the electorate on a Labour Party manifesto that isn't the same as the direction Corbyn seems to want. The fact that the underlying core Labour party has changed direction from the direction when they were elected isn't their fault, but it is their problem. They are trying to be a party that represents the interests of their electorate rather than their party membership, which currently aren't aligned. They want a leader who will lead them in the direction people want/expected, not the direction the Party Membership wants.

Basically the problem is that the Labour Party and the Labour Electorate are not the same and have sufficiently different view to cause a schism between the leader, elected by the Party Membership, and the MPs, elected by the Electorate.

I am not sure anyone will give an ounce of sympathy to Blair when the Chilcot report comes out. It's also not (entirely) the fault of the MPs that the Leave vote won and Corbyn failed to lead on it, which cause the whole mess in the first place that happens to be at the same time as the Chilcot report. They hardly planned for the two things to be happening at the same time. Trying to make up conspiracy theories just makes you sound like a nutter.
HOLY CHECK!
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
June 29 2016 21:42 GMT
#3623
On June 30 2016 06:19 Lonyo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 06:12 kollin wrote:
Who knew all the MPs who voted for the Iraq war are suddenly trying to oust the Labour leader who would call out Blair in Commons weeks before the Chilcot report...


They didn't get elected on a Corbyn ticket, they got elected on a Milliband ticket. Corbyn didn't lead, and doesn't have the same philosophy as the one the Labour party had when the MPs were elected. They (reasonably rightfully) are considering their electorate rather than their party leader. While that may be pure self interest, rather than actually caring about the electorate, the two interests happen to coincide.

They are MPs of the Labour Party, but they were elected by the electorate on a Labour Party manifesto that isn't the same as the direction Corbyn seems to want. The fact that the underlying core Labour party has changed direction from the direction when they were elected isn't their fault, but it is their problem. They are trying to be a party that represents the interests of their electorate rather than their party membership, which currently aren't aligned. They want a leader who will lead them in the direction people want/expected, not the direction the Party Membership wants.

Basically the problem is that the Labour Party and the Labour Electorate are not the same and have sufficiently different view to cause a schism between the leader, elected by the Party Membership, and the MPs, elected by the Electorate.

I am not sure anyone will give an ounce of sympathy to Blair when the Chilcot report comes out. It's also not (entirely) the fault of the MPs that the Leave vote won and Corbyn failed to lead on it, which cause the whole mess in the first place that happens to be at the same time as the Chilcot report. They hardly planned for the two things to be happening at the same time. Trying to make up conspiracy theories just makes you sound like a nutter.

Angela Eagle praised Corbyn's campaign two weeks ago saying he worked an itinerary that would've made a 25 year old tired. The fact they waited to oust him now, and chose not to wait until the Tories had somewhat stabilised (because it's hard to criticise their implosion when you're doing the same) suggests there's something more than the interest of the electorate - which would be best represented by a unified opposition - at stake.
Lonyo
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United Kingdom3884 Posts
June 29 2016 21:53 GMT
#3624
On June 30 2016 06:42 kollin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 06:19 Lonyo wrote:
On June 30 2016 06:12 kollin wrote:
Who knew all the MPs who voted for the Iraq war are suddenly trying to oust the Labour leader who would call out Blair in Commons weeks before the Chilcot report...


They didn't get elected on a Corbyn ticket, they got elected on a Milliband ticket. Corbyn didn't lead, and doesn't have the same philosophy as the one the Labour party had when the MPs were elected. They (reasonably rightfully) are considering their electorate rather than their party leader. While that may be pure self interest, rather than actually caring about the electorate, the two interests happen to coincide.

They are MPs of the Labour Party, but they were elected by the electorate on a Labour Party manifesto that isn't the same as the direction Corbyn seems to want. The fact that the underlying core Labour party has changed direction from the direction when they were elected isn't their fault, but it is their problem. They are trying to be a party that represents the interests of their electorate rather than their party membership, which currently aren't aligned. They want a leader who will lead them in the direction people want/expected, not the direction the Party Membership wants.

Basically the problem is that the Labour Party and the Labour Electorate are not the same and have sufficiently different view to cause a schism between the leader, elected by the Party Membership, and the MPs, elected by the Electorate.

I am not sure anyone will give an ounce of sympathy to Blair when the Chilcot report comes out. It's also not (entirely) the fault of the MPs that the Leave vote won and Corbyn failed to lead on it, which cause the whole mess in the first place that happens to be at the same time as the Chilcot report. They hardly planned for the two things to be happening at the same time. Trying to make up conspiracy theories just makes you sound like a nutter.

Angela Eagle praised Corbyn's campaign two weeks ago saying he worked an itinerary that would've made a 25 year old tired. The fact they waited to oust him now, and chose not to wait until the Tories had somewhat stabilised (because it's hard to criticise their implosion when you're doing the same) suggests there's something more than the interest of the electorate - which would be best represented by a unified opposition - at stake.


According to the media for most of the first part of the year, she's been planning a coup to happen before the Labour Autumn conference. The fact it's happening now is because of the Brexit vote.

http://www.pinknews.co.uk/2016/04/05/angela-eagle-could-become-first-lgbt-labour-leader-following-corbyn-coup/
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2016/02/28/angela-eagle-jeremy-corbyn-marr_n_9340712.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/05/03/a-coup-against-jeremy-corbyn-is-probably-doomed-but-labour-still/
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/mar/14/tom-watsontells-labour-mps-plotting--corbyn--calm-down
HOLY CHECK!
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
June 29 2016 22:12 GMT
#3625
Then she's told a fucking dreadful time to execute that coup and has most likely obliterated the Labour Party at the worst, most self-serving moment she possibly could have done.
Lonyo
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United Kingdom3884 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-29 22:16:21
June 29 2016 22:16 GMT
#3626
The whole fucking point is that they don't believe Corbyn can lead for shit. The longer they wait the more terrible the timing is, because he's a shitshow of a leader.

It's already been too long, as shown by the Leave vote. The best time was the day after he got elected leader. Each day after that was also the best time after that, right up to when it finally happened.
HOLY CHECK!
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
June 29 2016 22:30 GMT
#3627
On June 30 2016 07:16 Lonyo wrote:
The whole fucking point is that they don't believe Corbyn can lead for shit. The longer they wait the more terrible the timing is, because he's a shitshow of a leader.

It's already been too long, as shown by the Leave vote. The best time was the day after he got elected leader. Each day after that was also the best time after that, right up to when it finally happened.

You're blaming the Leave vote, in which over 60% of Labour voters voted Remain on Corbyn? And you think the fact that the pro-Iraq MPs waited until just weeks before Chilcot to launch this coup is purely coincidence? I don't have much faith left in Jeremy to lead Labour, but let's not pretend the MPs involved in ousting him are much better. The only person emerging from this all who I could ever support as leader is Andy Burnham, but the boat sailed long ago there.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42925 Posts
June 29 2016 22:43 GMT
#3628
On June 30 2016 07:30 kollin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 07:16 Lonyo wrote:
The whole fucking point is that they don't believe Corbyn can lead for shit. The longer they wait the more terrible the timing is, because he's a shitshow of a leader.

It's already been too long, as shown by the Leave vote. The best time was the day after he got elected leader. Each day after that was also the best time after that, right up to when it finally happened.

You're blaming the Leave vote, in which over 60% of Labour voters voted Remain on Corbyn?

Obviously he's not solely to blame and I don't think anyone is saying that he is. But it's not like Labour MPs can oust Cameron, even if they think he holds more of the blame. They're focusing their efforts on the problem they can solve. And I think it's perfectly fair to say that Corbyn could have done more to support the Remain vote.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
June 29 2016 23:01 GMT
#3629
On June 30 2016 07:43 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 07:30 kollin wrote:
On June 30 2016 07:16 Lonyo wrote:
The whole fucking point is that they don't believe Corbyn can lead for shit. The longer they wait the more terrible the timing is, because he's a shitshow of a leader.

It's already been too long, as shown by the Leave vote. The best time was the day after he got elected leader. Each day after that was also the best time after that, right up to when it finally happened.

You're blaming the Leave vote, in which over 60% of Labour voters voted Remain on Corbyn?

Obviously he's not solely to blame and I don't think anyone is saying that he is. But it's not like Labour MPs can oust Cameron, even if they think he holds more of the blame. They're focusing their efforts on the problem they can solve. And I think it's perfectly fair to say that Corbyn could have done more to support the Remain vote.

I completely agree, in my opinion he was very lukewarm on the EU, and it's swung my opinion of him quite significantly. I'm just not sure he would have made 1.7 million voters' worth of difference or however many it was had he delivered a stronger message, and I'm not sure anyone in the Labour Party currently could have made that difference either.
Holy_AT
Profile Joined July 2010
Austria978 Posts
June 29 2016 23:04 GMT
#3630
I also heared, britain decided to continue to stay in the EM, until the new trainer recognices the result of the Iceland game.
Many fans feel betrayed by this. Even Wayne Rooney was distrought by the fact that you are actually gona loose if you let the ball in your goal.
Many brits and fans have started to petion against the Iceland game and ask for a repeat of the game.
Nigel Farage commented on the issue, that he does not see the game as a loss, but as a victory for the simple people in their battle against the elites!
showstealer1829
Profile Blog Joined May 2014
Australia3123 Posts
June 30 2016 01:55 GMT
#3631
On June 30 2016 07:43 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 07:30 kollin wrote:
On June 30 2016 07:16 Lonyo wrote:
The whole fucking point is that they don't believe Corbyn can lead for shit. The longer they wait the more terrible the timing is, because he's a shitshow of a leader.

It's already been too long, as shown by the Leave vote. The best time was the day after he got elected leader. Each day after that was also the best time after that, right up to when it finally happened.

You're blaming the Leave vote, in which over 60% of Labour voters voted Remain on Corbyn?

Obviously he's not solely to blame and I don't think anyone is saying that he is. But it's not like Labour MPs can oust Cameron, even if they think he holds more of the blame. They're focusing their efforts on the problem they can solve. And I think it's perfectly fair to say that Corbyn could have done more to support the Remain vote.



They can't oust Corbyn either, they can force a spill but if Corbyn's on it the members will just vote him in again, what then?
There is no understanding. There is only Choya. Choya is the way. Choya is Love. Choya is Life. Has is the Light in the Protoss Dark and Nightmare is his chosen Acolyte
Diabolique
Profile Joined June 2015
Czech Republic5118 Posts
June 30 2016 08:23 GMT
#3632
I still don't get it, why everyone cares about some opposition party break-up, when the main topic should be BREXIT and the new PM. So this Michael Gove is a candidate ... saying that the famous football player Boris the dream would probably not be capable to create a team and lead the negotiations ... Who is he? Is he a good guy? Popular guy? Not a stupid guy?
sOs | Rogue | Maru | Trap | Scarlett | Snute | MC
Laurens
Profile Joined September 2010
Belgium4544 Posts
June 30 2016 09:09 GMT
#3633
On June 30 2016 17:23 Diabolique wrote:
I still don't get it, why everyone cares about some opposition party break-up, when the main topic should be BREXIT and the new PM. So this Michael Gove is a candidate ... saying that the famous football player Boris the dream would probably not be capable to create a team and lead the negotiations ... Who is he? Is he a good guy? Popular guy? Not a stupid guy?


In a country with a 2-party system, one of the 2 parties having a crisis like this is big news.

The Brexit shock is over, and now nothing will happen until September, can't discuss it forever.
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6230 Posts
June 30 2016 09:15 GMT
#3634
On June 30 2016 05:32 Sbrubbles wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 03:38 Lord Tolkien wrote:
On June 30 2016 03:20 Sbrubbles wrote:
I would be skeptical of saying anything about the effects of brexit on long term growth. Short term, british exporters will suffer to some extent as they will have to deal with new bureocracy, and the exchange rate will adjust to partially balance this out, but stating that, after the smoke clears, this will have an appreciable effect on investment or technology adoption, is an exercise in divination.

Edit: I'm not saying Britain is not worse off, it very likely is.

I would simply point to what the overwhelming number of economists have said regarding the full implications of an Article 50 invocation and a full exit. This depends greatly on the kind of deal the UK negotiates out of it If it turns out to be similar to Norway, and thus common market plus free movement (essentially what the UK has now), but minus any political influence in EU legislation, the Thatcher rebate and EU subsidies, then, well...yes, economic ramifications are going to be survivable, though I'm not sure if that would be popular at all since the majority of the Brexit vote was motivated by immigration (and the free movement clauses of the EU).

If it turns into a full reversion to WTO standards, then yes, it will absolutely harm the UK economy. The primary reason it's been the target of so much FDI and is/was growing quite nicely was due to a major financial sector that could service the EU (which would migrate over to Paris/Frankfurt if free movement of capital is lost), as well as serving as a gateway to the EU for many firms (which a major break would cause a migration of, over to Ireland or elsewhere).

The UK may still recover if it can reorient it's economy and shift it away from this (as well as make up for the structural shortfalls fiscally that the loss of EU subsidies to underserved areas and scientific research a withdrawal from the EU will definitely entail), but a weaker pound for a major net-importing country, and knocking down the UK economy's primary pillars, is not a recipe for economic growth.


An overwhelming number of economists agree that brexit is a terrible move, no doubt about that, but I would point out (recent poll of british economits) that while the significant majority (72% in this case) see a negative long term effect, is it less than the 88% who agree on short term effects. Moreso, the poll asks about an impact of brexit over the level of gdp, so if most believed in a negative effect on long term growth, that number should have gone up from 88%, as the negative effect accumulates, not down to 72%. I know this poll is probably not what you were refering to when making the overwhelming number of economists argument, but I feel it's representative (also, it was the first one that showed up when googled).

You are making specific sectorial arguments about who will lose with brexit, and I have no problem with that (and overall agree!), but long term growth is not about which industries win or lose, it's about productivity. You might have a good argument there about loss of EU subsidies for science; I'll admit I know nothing about that.

That is because the long term effects are dependent on what will still happen. Mostly retaining access to the single market. Fact is thst the British economy is reliant on services and thus human capital. Companies moving to other countries(already happening) and limiting immigration (likely to happen) are both negatives for this. Productivity growth is already weak and this will not make it any better.
Ghostcom
Profile Joined March 2010
Denmark4782 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-30 10:01:21
June 30 2016 09:35 GMT
#3635
On June 30 2016 18:09 Laurens wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 17:23 Diabolique wrote:
I still don't get it, why everyone cares about some opposition party break-up, when the main topic should be BREXIT and the new PM. So this Michael Gove is a candidate ... saying that the famous football player Boris the dream would probably not be capable to create a team and lead the negotiations ... Who is he? Is he a good guy? Popular guy? Not a stupid guy?


In a country with a 2-party system, one of the 2 parties having a crisis like this is big news.

The Brexit shock is over, and now nothing will happen until September, can't discuss it forever.


More importantly, when the current PM resigns you kinda partly expect to somewhat soon have to go for a vote. When the opposition literally implodes during a period which should be the easiest of their life (wash your hands, point fingers, lean back) it makes you wonder how inept they really are.

EDIT: Fucking lol - it only gets more juicy from here apparently. If anyone ever wondered what tragicomedy is - this is it (although I'm not sure there are actually enough comedy in it to really qualify).
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-30 09:47:50
June 30 2016 09:46 GMT
#3636
Shock news:





































Diabolique
Profile Joined June 2015
Czech Republic5118 Posts
June 30 2016 10:16 GMT
#3637
On June 30 2016 17:23 Diabolique wrote:
I still don't get it, why everyone cares about some opposition party break-up, when the main topic should be BREXIT and the new PM. So this Michael Gove is a candidate ... saying that the famous football player Boris the dream would probably not be capable to create a team and lead the negotiations ... Who is he? Is he a good guy? Popular guy? Not a stupid guy?

Yes, that is what I meant, when I asked about Gove. Is he a better guy than Boris the dream?
sOs | Rogue | Maru | Trap | Scarlett | Snute | MC
Rebs
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Pakistan10726 Posts
June 30 2016 10:56 GMT
#3638
On June 30 2016 19:16 Diabolique wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 17:23 Diabolique wrote:
I still don't get it, why everyone cares about some opposition party break-up, when the main topic should be BREXIT and the new PM. So this Michael Gove is a candidate ... saying that the famous football player Boris the dream would probably not be capable to create a team and lead the negotiations ... Who is he? Is he a good guy? Popular guy? Not a stupid guy?

Yes, that is what I meant, when I asked about Gove. Is he a better guy than Boris the dream?




Make up your mind..
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
June 30 2016 11:01 GMT
#3639
What a CRAZY morning again now Boris isn't going to stand:







Micheal Gove the man who destroyed Boris Johnson
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4338 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-06-30 11:10:24
June 30 2016 11:02 GMT
#3640
On June 30 2016 19:56 Rebs wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 30 2016 19:16 Diabolique wrote:
On June 30 2016 17:23 Diabolique wrote:
I still don't get it, why everyone cares about some opposition party break-up, when the main topic should be BREXIT and the new PM. So this Michael Gove is a candidate ... saying that the famous football player Boris the dream would probably not be capable to create a team and lead the negotiations ... Who is he? Is he a good guy? Popular guy? Not a stupid guy?

Yes, that is what I meant, when I asked about Gove. Is he a better guy than Boris the dream?


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGgiGtJk7MA

Make up your mind..

Fair point really.
How many "experts" predicted the GFC?
Heck even the economic "experts" on twitter have gone quiet now the FTSE is above the level it was before the vote....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
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