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Although this thread does not function under the same strict guidelines as the USPMT, it is still a general practice on TL to provide a source with an explanation on why it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion. Failure to do so will result in a mod action.
Starlightsun
Profile Blog Joined June 2016
United States1405 Posts
November 05 2017 22:29 GMT
#12961
On November 06 2017 06:29 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 03 2017 16:47 Nebuchad wrote:
I've said it before and I'll say it again. The conversation around gun control is hollow because the reason why you don't have better gun control in the US isn't genuine political disagreement, it's lobbying.

You will have progress on this question not the day you gain the hearts and minds of your opponents (who btw, are something like 10% of the population when you're pushing for some specific gun regulations as opposed to a gun ban), but the day people who have a lot of money to gain from the system staying the same stop being able to dictate whether the system gets to change or not.

The approach of attempting to convince an opposition that there's a problem only works if the opposition is actually oblivious to said problem, and not willingly ignoring it because they have been told to do so by people who benefit from the situation.


Yeah, a lot of truth to that. And guns are only a portion of the evils sustained by lobbying.
Deleted User 261926
Profile Joined April 2012
960 Posts
November 05 2017 23:33 GMT
#12962
On November 06 2017 06:29 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 03 2017 16:47 Nebuchad wrote:
I've said it before and I'll say it again. The conversation around gun control is hollow because the reason why you don't have better gun control in the US isn't genuine political disagreement, it's lobbying.

You will have progress on this question not the day you gain the hearts and minds of your opponents (who btw, are something like 10% of the population when you're pushing for some specific gun regulations as opposed to a gun ban), but the day people who have a lot of money to gain from the system staying the same stop being able to dictate whether the system gets to change or not.

The approach of attempting to convince an opposition that there's a problem only works if the opposition is actually oblivious to said problem, and not willingly ignoring it because they have been told to do so by people who benefit from the situation.

The 10% figure is way off.
Incognoto
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
France10239 Posts
November 06 2017 00:23 GMT
#12963
Disgusting. I have no words. This is terrible.
maru lover forever
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12471 Posts
November 06 2017 01:14 GMT
#12964
On November 06 2017 08:33 Karpfen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2017 06:29 Nebuchad wrote:
On October 03 2017 16:47 Nebuchad wrote:
I've said it before and I'll say it again. The conversation around gun control is hollow because the reason why you don't have better gun control in the US isn't genuine political disagreement, it's lobbying.

You will have progress on this question not the day you gain the hearts and minds of your opponents (who btw, are something like 10% of the population when you're pushing for some specific gun regulations as opposed to a gun ban), but the day people who have a lot of money to gain from the system staying the same stop being able to dictate whether the system gets to change or not.

The approach of attempting to convince an opposition that there's a problem only works if the opposition is actually oblivious to said problem, and not willingly ignoring it because they have been told to do so by people who benefit from the situation.

The 10% figure is way off.


There are specific gun regulations that have 90% support, but it won't be the ones that stop something like this. Banning assault weapons was at 80% in october with 70% republican support, so there's that.
No will to live, no wish to die
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-11-06 01:16:42
November 06 2017 01:16 GMT
#12965
I haven't followed in a while, but is there a specific definition of assault weapon that has majority agreement among the public for a ban? The definitions I've seen previously, including in some state laws that were actually implemented, were poorly conceived and result in ineffective bans.
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-11-06 02:44:13
November 06 2017 02:42 GMT
#12966
It's hard to create laws to ban specific types of fire arms since the gun manufacturers will redesign the gun to avoid the restrictions.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46104 Posts
November 06 2017 03:14 GMT
#12967
On November 06 2017 06:04 Faruko wrote:
https://www.google.cl/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2017/11/05/us/texas-church-shooting/index.html

At least 27 killed


Seeing as how people were literally praying when they were being mowed down, I think it's safe to say that "thoughts and prayers" isn't enough to stop mass shootings in the United States.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
mortyFromRickAndMort
Profile Blog Joined September 2017
85 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-11-06 10:17:13
November 06 2017 10:13 GMT
#12968
On November 06 2017 12:14 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2017 06:04 Faruko wrote:
https://www.google.cl/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2017/11/05/us/texas-church-shooting/index.html

At least 27 killed


Seeing as how people were literally praying when they were being mowed down, I think it's safe to say that "thoughts and prayers" isn't enough to stop mass shootings in the United States.


Top kek. Thoughts and prayers, a. k. a. the Republican Forcefield.

Is this year an outlier, or is it always this bad?

Also, these mass shootings are less than 5% of gun deaths in the USA, so assault weapons bans won't really do much to address the larger issue of gun violence. Most gun deaths are from pistols.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46104 Posts
November 06 2017 14:02 GMT
#12969
On November 06 2017 19:13 mortyFromRickAndMort wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2017 12:14 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On November 06 2017 06:04 Faruko wrote:
https://www.google.cl/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2017/11/05/us/texas-church-shooting/index.html

At least 27 killed


Seeing as how people were literally praying when they were being mowed down, I think it's safe to say that "thoughts and prayers" isn't enough to stop mass shootings in the United States.


Top kek. Thoughts and prayers, a. k. a. the Republican Forcefield.

Is this year an outlier, or is it always this bad?

Also, these mass shootings are less than 5% of gun deaths in the USA, so assault weapons bans won't really do much to address the larger issue of gun violence. Most gun deaths are from pistols.


I believe that from year to year, the number of gun-related deaths in the USA has been relatively stable or even slightly decreasing, although over the past few years, we've pretty much had an average of one mass shooting per day, defining mass shooting as four or more casualties in a single incident. You're right, though, that mass shootings don't account for a significant percentage of the 30,000+ annual gun deaths in America or the 70,000+ annual gun injuries. And I think about 1/3 of those statistics come from suicide, so the entire issue is extremely complex. Until we seriously start to understand depression and mental illness, deal with poverty, actually address racial and prejudicial issues, and have common sense gun laws in this country, the problem isn't going to be magically fixed. Americans have become desensitized to the fact that about 80-100 people die each day in this country from a gun for a ton of different reasons.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
mortyFromRickAndMort
Profile Blog Joined September 2017
85 Posts
November 06 2017 14:13 GMT
#12970
These stats make it very difficult for me take Democrats seriously when they get up on their high horse re: gunreform.

Assault weapons ban? Sure, that sounds entirely reasonable, but that targets far less than five percent of gun deaths.

Can anyone explain the undue influence the NRA has in this to an outsider? According to WSJ, the NRA had a total revenue of 350kk, which isn't that much money. However much of that they spend on lobbying, a single liberal Hollywood or Silicon Valley billionaire could cancel that out. They only have 5kk members, which is less than 2% of Americans, so where does their political clout come from?
Aveng3r
Profile Joined February 2012
United States2411 Posts
November 06 2017 14:39 GMT
#12971
On November 06 2017 23:13 mortyFromRickAndMort wrote:
These stats make it very difficult for me take Democrats seriously when they get up on their high horse re: gunreform.

Assault weapons ban? Sure, that sounds entirely reasonable, but that targets far less than five percent of gun deaths.

Can anyone explain the undue influence the NRA has in this to an outsider? According to WSJ, the NRA had a total revenue of 350kk, which isn't that much money. However much of that they spend on lobbying, a single liberal Hollywood or Silicon Valley billionaire could cancel that out. They only have 5kk members, which is less than 2% of Americans, so where does their political clout come from?

I also am curious about this
I carve marble busts of assassinated world leaders - PM for a quote
ahswtini
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Northern Ireland22212 Posts
November 06 2017 14:50 GMT
#12972
On November 06 2017 23:13 mortyFromRickAndMort wrote:
These stats make it very difficult for me take Democrats seriously when they get up on their high horse re: gunreform.

Assault weapons ban? Sure, that sounds entirely reasonable, but that targets far less than five percent of gun deaths.

Can anyone explain the undue influence the NRA has in this to an outsider? According to WSJ, the NRA had a total revenue of 350kk, which isn't that much money. However much of that they spend on lobbying, a single liberal Hollywood or Silicon Valley billionaire could cancel that out. They only have 5kk members, which is less than 2% of Americans, so where does their political clout come from?

there is the oft-cited "fact" that the NRA funded by the gun lobby, and if it weren't for these evil selfish manufacturers of death machines, the NRA wouldn't have the influence it has. which is absolutely nonsense. i think this lie can be traced back to the "Blood Money" report put out by the Violence Policy Center, which isn't exactly a neutral unbiased organisation. one only has to look closely at some of the big claims made in the report to realise how badly they misrepresent the figures. it's the closest you can get to lying, without actually lying.

and yes, billionaire elites who live in their gated communities like Bloomberg have pledged millions for gun control. just how democratic is that?
"As I've said, balance isn't about strategies or counters, it's about probability and statistics." - paralleluniverse
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
November 06 2017 15:12 GMT
#12973
On November 06 2017 11:42 Plansix wrote:
It's hard to create laws to ban specific types of fire arms since the gun manufacturers will redesign the gun to avoid the restrictions.


There needs to be some way to control rate of fire in some kind of digital way. If time since last fire < (minimum time between shots), do not fire sort of deal. Would basically put guns on par with knives for these kinds of situations.
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
November 06 2017 15:28 GMT
#12974
On November 06 2017 23:13 mortyFromRickAndMort wrote:
These stats make it very difficult for me take Democrats seriously when they get up on their high horse re: gunreform.

Assault weapons ban? Sure, that sounds entirely reasonable, but that targets far less than five percent of gun deaths.

Can anyone explain the undue influence the NRA has in this to an outsider? According to WSJ, the NRA had a total revenue of 350kk, which isn't that much money. However much of that they spend on lobbying, a single liberal Hollywood or Silicon Valley billionaire could cancel that out. They only have 5kk members, which is less than 2% of Americans, so where does their political clout come from?



So from https://www.opensecrets.org/lobby/clientsum.php?id=d000000082 it seems the NRA spent 3.89 million this year on lobbying.

While 5 million people might not be that great in % of Americans, it is a large voting block. If you could get 80 + % of that number to vote how you want you get a VERY politically powerful org. Now I am not sure what % of the members vote and how they vote so take this part with a grain of salt.
Something witty
acker
Profile Joined September 2010
United States2958 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-11-06 16:03:06
November 06 2017 15:30 GMT
#12975
I don't think anything is going to happen legislatively from this shooting. The narrative is too complicated.

For starters, the shooter managed to pass a background check and buy his gun from a sporting store despite a bad conduct discharge from the military for domestic violence. Somebody fucked up here.

It also appears that a good guy with a gun took down the shooter halfway through the mass shooting. I think it's a safe bet that the good guy also used an AR-15 variant; it's the most common rifle in America. The usual suspects are arguing that the count would have been zero given "commonsense" legislation. The other usual suspects are claiming that the shooting would have been closer to Brevik or the Bataclan otherwise.

If the Las Vegas shooting changed nothing, this isn't going to change anything either.

On November 07 2017 00:12 Mohdoo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2017 11:42 Plansix wrote:
It's hard to create laws to ban specific types of fire arms since the gun manufacturers will redesign the gun to avoid the restrictions.


There needs to be some way to control rate of fire in some kind of digital way. If time since last fire < (minimum time between shots), do not fire sort of deal. Would basically put guns on par with knives for these kinds of situations.


Repeating firearms were invented over a hundred years before the transistor. Limiting guns through computer science would be extremely difficult.
acker
Profile Joined September 2010
United States2958 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-11-06 15:54:08
November 06 2017 15:48 GMT
#12976
On November 07 2017 00:28 IyMoon wrote:
While 5 million people might not be that great in % of Americans, it is a large voting block. If you could get 80 + % of that number to vote how you want you get a VERY politically powerful org. Now I am not sure what % of the members vote and how they vote so take this part with a grain of salt.

It should be noted that the majority of Americans (~55%) support the NRA*. Moreover, I think it's safe to say that people who do NOT support the NRA tend to be disproportionately clustered into large cities in safely Democratic states.

To put it another way, swing states really, really like the NRA. Political representatives behave accordingly.

*More to the point, the vast majority of gun owners support the NRA and vote accordingly. It's really hard to find a gun range or gun store in America that doesn't advertise its NRA credentials. In states that require training to obtain a gun license or concealed carry permit, the NRA is the major source of credentialed instructors.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
November 06 2017 16:18 GMT
#12977
On November 07 2017 00:30 acker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2017 00:12 Mohdoo wrote:
On November 06 2017 11:42 Plansix wrote:
It's hard to create laws to ban specific types of fire arms since the gun manufacturers will redesign the gun to avoid the restrictions.


There needs to be some way to control rate of fire in some kind of digital way. If time since last fire < (minimum time between shots), do not fire sort of deal. Would basically put guns on par with knives for these kinds of situations.


Repeating firearms were invented over a hundred years before the transistor. Limiting guns through computer science would be extremely difficult.

I don't think I understand. Why would it be difficult? There are a million other physical processes that we keep reliant on digital feedback. I'm sure there are lots of creative ways to accomplish this.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
November 06 2017 16:27 GMT
#12978
On November 06 2017 23:13 mortyFromRickAndMort wrote:
These stats make it very difficult for me take Democrats seriously when they get up on their high horse re: gunreform.

Assault weapons ban? Sure, that sounds entirely reasonable, but that targets far less than five percent of gun deaths.

Can anyone explain the undue influence the NRA has in this to an outsider? According to WSJ, the NRA had a total revenue of 350kk, which isn't that much money. However much of that they spend on lobbying, a single liberal Hollywood or Silicon Valley billionaire could cancel that out. They only have 5kk members, which is less than 2% of Americans, so where does their political clout come from?

It is a combination of things. Basically, they care more. If it were put to a national vote gun control would be increased a fair amount based on public opinion. However, gun control is not a #1 issue for the vast majority of people- except for those against it. So when a gun control bill is up a congress person gets like 99-1 phone calls against legislation. This is maintained by the NRA having a "just say no" stance. No matter what, they're against gun control. This makes it so they don't have to engage in tough arguments about where to draw the line, and means their members can lobby/phone senators without needing lots of knowledge about arguments.
acker
Profile Joined September 2010
United States2958 Posts
November 06 2017 16:38 GMT
#12979
On November 07 2017 01:18 Mohdoo wrote:
I don't think I understand. Why would it be difficult? There are a million other physical processes that we keep reliant on digital feedback. I'm sure there are lots of creative ways to accomplish this.

People build AR-15s and AK-47s in their garage on a daily basis using hand tools; guns are mechanically simple in a way a "million other physical processes" aren't. Their method of operation is completely independent of electricity, let alone electronics.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15743 Posts
November 06 2017 16:55 GMT
#12980
On November 07 2017 01:38 acker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 07 2017 01:18 Mohdoo wrote:
I don't think I understand. Why would it be difficult? There are a million other physical processes that we keep reliant on digital feedback. I'm sure there are lots of creative ways to accomplish this.

People build AR-15s and AK-47s in their garage on a daily basis using hand tools; guns are mechanically simple in a way a "million other physical processes" aren't. Their method of operation is completely independent of electricity, let alone electronics.


I guess my assumption is that the % of mass-shooter types who are also able to build their own guns is low? And when you look at where most gun deaths come from, that number gets even lower.
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