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Republican nominations - Page 436

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liberal
Profile Joined November 2011
1116 Posts
February 12 2012 07:55 GMT
#8701
Savio, in two posts in a row you took a statement completely out of context and proceeded to argue against it. In the first post, I used the syllogism to try and reveal a logical fallacy, and you thought I was advocating the fallacy.

In the second post, you ignored the argument actually being made to claim the nomination was already over. The really funny thing is, the site you linked to says that Romney has only officially won 98 out of 2,286 delegates, which reaffirms the point that the delegates can't be counted for any candidate yet.

I suggest you watch the video before you try to argue against it.
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
February 12 2012 08:07 GMT
#8702
On February 12 2012 16:10 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 12 2012 16:00 xDaunt wrote:
For the most part, the only wealthy people who do not work hard are those who get their wealth through inheritance. Most people who are wealthy work their asses off to earn it. No one gets wealthy on a simple 9 to 5 schedule.


Eh, there are plenty of jobs which will get you into the top 1%--- professors, researchers, engineers, doctors and the like easily make 6 figures on a more or less "standard" work schedule. But past that, you need some serious mojo.


Being an average professor does NOT get you into the top 1% on its own.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
Romulox
Profile Joined October 2011
United States125 Posts
February 12 2012 08:12 GMT
#8703
Ive been waiting about 2 years now for them to find someone the general public might elect over Obama. I'm still waiting...
NeMeSiS3
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
Canada2972 Posts
February 12 2012 08:13 GMT
#8704
^

So I was reading this (after a long absence) and... Who in there right mind would want any of these candidates to run for office? They are all so politically fuck-backwards and lobbyed for.

Now I'm not one to think Obama is that great, and he may be full of shit, but at least he can somewhat hide it, all of these "republican nominations" Excluding Ron Paul, are so obviously bought and paid for its disturbing they might get voted in.

Need Ventura to do this! : )
FoTG fighting!
forgottendreams
Profile Joined August 2010
United States1771 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-02-12 17:56:22
February 12 2012 08:23 GMT
#8705
decided to edit this out on second thought seeing as you guys are trying to move back towards talk of the actual topic
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
February 12 2012 18:54 GMT
#8706
On February 12 2012 16:14 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 12 2012 16:10 ticklishmusic wrote:
On February 12 2012 16:00 xDaunt wrote:
For the most part, the only wealthy people who do not work hard are those who get their wealth through inheritance. Most people who are wealthy work their asses off to earn it. No one gets wealthy on a simple 9 to 5 schedule.


Eh, there are plenty of jobs which will get you into the top 1%--- professors, researchers, engineers, doctors and the like easily make 6 figures on a more or less "standard" work schedule. But past that, you need some serious mojo.


Getting to six figures isn't the same as wealthy. In fact, it is surprising how little six figures actually gets you, especially when you factor kids into the equation.


I think the so-called top 1% make around 500K a year, and the top 01% make 2M a year.

Okay, so lemme correct myself, most of the jobs I mentioned can land you in the top 5-10%of wealthiest Americans. Six figures (100K) is still around top 80%. Huh, Americans are richer than I thought.

Out of all my dad's siblings' families, we are admittedly the poorest (I think my dad might make something in the low 6 figures, he's been at his job for 20 years or so). All of the family units consist of a mom, dad and two kids of varying ages. However, we still manage to make a pretty comfortable living, though we don't have Ming Dynasty vases in our not-three story house. It's just about how you spend your money-- spending a little time looking around at the mall can make your money go a long way. We're pretty frugal people generally.

On February 12 2012 17:07 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 12 2012 16:10 ticklishmusic wrote:
On February 12 2012 16:00 xDaunt wrote:
For the most part, the only wealthy people who do not work hard are those who get their wealth through inheritance. Most people who are wealthy work their asses off to earn it. No one gets wealthy on a simple 9 to 5 schedule.


Eh, there are plenty of jobs which will get you into the top 1%--- professors, researchers, engineers, doctors and the like easily make 6 figures on a more or less "standard" work schedule. But past that, you need some serious mojo.


Being an average professor does NOT get you into the top 1% on its own.


Oops, that's probably true-- I was under the impression the 1% line was lower than it actually is. But a professor at a decent university can pull in 6 figures pretty easily. I know that the professors at the b-school at my uni make like 200K+ a year.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
February 12 2012 19:11 GMT
#8707
On February 13 2012 03:54 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 12 2012 16:14 xDaunt wrote:
On February 12 2012 16:10 ticklishmusic wrote:
On February 12 2012 16:00 xDaunt wrote:
For the most part, the only wealthy people who do not work hard are those who get their wealth through inheritance. Most people who are wealthy work their asses off to earn it. No one gets wealthy on a simple 9 to 5 schedule.


Eh, there are plenty of jobs which will get you into the top 1%--- professors, researchers, engineers, doctors and the like easily make 6 figures on a more or less "standard" work schedule. But past that, you need some serious mojo.


Getting to six figures isn't the same as wealthy. In fact, it is surprising how little six figures actually gets you, especially when you factor kids into the equation.


I think the so-called top 1% make around 500K a year, and the top 01% make 2M a year.

Okay, so lemme correct myself, most of the jobs I mentioned can land you in the top 5-10%of wealthiest Americans. Six figures (100K) is still around top 80%. Huh, Americans are richer than I thought.

Out of all my dad's siblings' families, we are admittedly the poorest (I think my dad might make something in the low 6 figures, he's been at his job for 20 years or so). All of the family units consist of a mom, dad and two kids of varying ages. However, we still manage to make a pretty comfortable living, though we don't have Ming Dynasty vases in our not-three story house. It's just about how you spend your money-- spending a little time looking around at the mall can make your money go a long way. We're pretty frugal people generally.

Show nested quote +
On February 12 2012 17:07 Stratos_speAr wrote:
On February 12 2012 16:10 ticklishmusic wrote:
On February 12 2012 16:00 xDaunt wrote:
For the most part, the only wealthy people who do not work hard are those who get their wealth through inheritance. Most people who are wealthy work their asses off to earn it. No one gets wealthy on a simple 9 to 5 schedule.


Eh, there are plenty of jobs which will get you into the top 1%--- professors, researchers, engineers, doctors and the like easily make 6 figures on a more or less "standard" work schedule. But past that, you need some serious mojo.


Being an average professor does NOT get you into the top 1% on its own.


Oops, that's probably true-- I was under the impression the 1% line was lower than it actually is. But a professor at a decent university can pull in 6 figures pretty easily. I know that the professors at the b-school at my uni make like 200K+ a year.

There's a lot of factors in teachers wages, including where they live. A teacher or professor in NYC is going to make a lot more than one in Kansas.

To the point of the "super-rich." Many of them don't work harder or have a better education than the top 10 or 20%, they are simply overcompensated through the power they inherited, either by birth or by social conventions. To suggest that anybody "earns" $100M a year more than somebody earns $15 an hour is dishonest.
SerpentFlame
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
415 Posts
February 12 2012 19:27 GMT
#8708
Ron Paul not conceding Maine
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/gop-presidential-primary/210153-ron-paul-not-conceding-maine
I Wannabe[WHITE], the very BeSt[HyO], like Yo Hwan EVER Oz.......
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
February 12 2012 19:29 GMT
#8709

Oops, that's probably true-- I was under the impression the 1% line was lower than it actually is. But a professor at a decent university can pull in 6 figures pretty easily. I know that the professors at the b-school at my uni make like 200K+ a year.


Just pulling stats from Wikipedia:

Rank Lowest median[20] Highest median[20] Overall median
Assistant Professor $45,927 $81,005 $58,662
Associate Professor $56,943 $98,530 $69,911
Full Professor $68,214 $136,634 $98,974

Not that Wikipedia is necessarily the most trusted site in the world, but professors definitely do not make six figures "easily".
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-02-12 20:02:08
February 12 2012 19:48 GMT
#8710
On February 13 2012 04:29 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Show nested quote +

Oops, that's probably true-- I was under the impression the 1% line was lower than it actually is. But a professor at a decent university can pull in 6 figures pretty easily. I know that the professors at the b-school at my uni make like 200K+ a year.


Just pulling stats from Wikipedia:

Rank Lowest median[20] Highest median[20] Overall median
Assistant Professor $45,927 $81,005 $58,662
Associate Professor $56,943 $98,530 $69,911
Full Professor $68,214 $136,634 $98,974

Not that Wikipedia is necessarily the most trusted site in the world, but professors definitely do not make six figures "easily".


Decent university more or less the same as elite university, which you neglected to put there.

Curious as to if the data is negatively or positively skewed as well.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
HellRoxYa
Profile Joined September 2010
Sweden1614 Posts
February 12 2012 21:13 GMT
#8711
On February 12 2012 16:00 xDaunt wrote:
For the most part, the only wealthy people who do not work hard are those who get their wealth through inheritance. Most people who are wealthy work their asses off to earn it. No one gets wealthy on a simple 9 to 5 schedule.


Probably should look up those statistics.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22060 Posts
February 12 2012 21:22 GMT
#8712
On February 13 2012 04:27 SerpentFlame wrote:
Ron Paul not conceding Maine
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/gop-presidential-primary/210153-ron-paul-not-conceding-maine


Its funny how a country like america can still have election fraud.
Yes this isnt the actual run for president but this might aswell be election fraud all things considered.
No winner can be announced untill everyone has had a chance to vote.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
BluePanther
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2776 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-02-12 21:43:24
February 12 2012 21:40 GMT
#8713
On February 13 2012 06:22 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2012 04:27 SerpentFlame wrote:
Ron Paul not conceding Maine
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/gop-presidential-primary/210153-ron-paul-not-conceding-maine


Its funny how a country like america can still have election fraud.
Yes this isnt the actual run for president but this might aswell be election fraud all things considered.
No winner can be announced untill everyone has had a chance to vote.


They "project" winners in elections. It's not official until months later. They are educated estimates.

It's american tradition for the loser of the projection to concede the race and allow the "winner" to be undisputed and therefore not have to wait for a vote to legitimize them. However, this doesn't happen in close races (see Bush v. Gore 2000, or the Minnesota senate race with Franken from 2008).
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22060 Posts
February 12 2012 21:53 GMT
#8714
That has nothing to do with the situation here. A portion of the voting public was withheld there right to vote.
Besides, since this only matters for the county convention or whatever they call it why cant they allow the voters in Maine to vote at a later date and count those votes as normal.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Dapper_Cad
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United Kingdom964 Posts
February 12 2012 21:56 GMT
#8715
On February 12 2012 11:49 Housemd wrote:
Well, some states have updated to a winner take all system so it doesn't make a difference at the convention. However, caucuses have existed before 1800s and some continue in today's time. However, the source actually does seem legit. If Paul supporters stay, then they do get spots at the convention. Although they "promise" to vote for the candidate that won, they are not required to break that promise and can vote for whoever they like at the national convention where it counts. It does not happen often, heck never, but it can and seems like a slim possibility in this year's election.


When has it happened in the past?


But he is never making short-term prediction, everyone of his prediction are based on fundenmentals, but he doesn't exactly know when it will happen... So using these kind of narrowed "who-is-right" empirical analysis makes little sense.
BluePanther
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2776 Posts
February 12 2012 22:06 GMT
#8716
On February 13 2012 06:53 Gorsameth wrote:
That has nothing to do with the situation here. A portion of the voting public was withheld there right to vote.
Besides, since this only matters for the county convention or whatever they call it why cant they allow the voters in Maine to vote at a later date and count those votes as normal.


Because it's party rules. Which are likely that way due to the nature of a caucus. There is no "right" to vote in partisan primaries that I'm aware of, only general elections.
BluePanther
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2776 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-02-12 22:29:03
February 12 2012 22:15 GMT
#8717
On February 13 2012 06:56 Dapper_Cad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 12 2012 11:49 Housemd wrote:
Well, some states have updated to a winner take all system so it doesn't make a difference at the convention. However, caucuses have existed before 1800s and some continue in today's time. However, the source actually does seem legit. If Paul supporters stay, then they do get spots at the convention. Although they "promise" to vote for the candidate that won, they are not required to break that promise and can vote for whoever they like at the national convention where it counts. It does not happen often, heck never, but it can and seems like a slim possibility in this year's election.


When has it happened in the past?




http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/votes/1953_1957.html#1952

Happened in the 1956 general election. The electoral college election is similar. Most states have required their presidential voters to be bound by law to vote for the elected person. There are multiple cases of this happening in history, although most of them are in the old days before binding pledges were introduced. In 1820, an electoral voter voted for a random person just to prevent a shutout. His reasoning was that only George Washington should ever have that honor to recieve unanimous approval.


Most primary caucuses haven't required this. Also, this is why once someone drops out of the race, the other candidates flirt with the pledgers of the dropping candidate, because they still hold the vote but are no longer bound on who they can vote for.
Derez
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Netherlands6068 Posts
February 12 2012 22:27 GMT
#8718
On February 13 2012 07:15 BluePanther wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2012 06:56 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 12 2012 11:49 Housemd wrote:
Well, some states have updated to a winner take all system so it doesn't make a difference at the convention. However, caucuses have existed before 1800s and some continue in today's time. However, the source actually does seem legit. If Paul supporters stay, then they do get spots at the convention. Although they "promise" to vote for the candidate that won, they are not required to break that promise and can vote for whoever they like at the national convention where it counts. It does not happen often, heck never, but it can and seems like a slim possibility in this year's election.


When has it happened in the past?




http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/votes/1953_1957.html#1952

Happened in the 1956 general election. The electoral college election is similar. Most states have requiered their presidential voters to be bound by law to vote for the elected person. There are multiple cases of this happening in history, although most of them are in the old days before binding pledges were introduced.

Most primary caucuses haven't required this. Also, this is why once someone drops out of the race, the other candidates flirt with the pledgers of the dropping candidate, because they still hold the vote but are no longer bound on who they can vote for.


The situation that is being described isn't likely at all tho. Suppose Romney wins a majority of delegates by winning primaries, and at the convention 400 of them flip their vote on the first ballot. That would be circumventing the entire primary process and would be 'undemocratic'. Probably even more so then not counting a county somewhere in Maine. Delegates will vote who their are supposed to vote for, bar a brokered convetion (where things like this could play a role).

If RP wants to make a real run at the presidency without the approval of primaries, he should do so as an independent in the general. Become the republican Ralph Nader.
BluePanther
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2776 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-02-12 22:34:10
February 12 2012 22:31 GMT
#8719
On February 13 2012 07:27 Derez wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2012 07:15 BluePanther wrote:
On February 13 2012 06:56 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 12 2012 11:49 Housemd wrote:
Well, some states have updated to a winner take all system so it doesn't make a difference at the convention. However, caucuses have existed before 1800s and some continue in today's time. However, the source actually does seem legit. If Paul supporters stay, then they do get spots at the convention. Although they "promise" to vote for the candidate that won, they are not required to break that promise and can vote for whoever they like at the national convention where it counts. It does not happen often, heck never, but it can and seems like a slim possibility in this year's election.


When has it happened in the past?




http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/votes/1953_1957.html#1952

Happened in the 1956 general election. The electoral college election is similar. Most states have requiered their presidential voters to be bound by law to vote for the elected person. There are multiple cases of this happening in history, although most of them are in the old days before binding pledges were introduced.

Most primary caucuses haven't required this. Also, this is why once someone drops out of the race, the other candidates flirt with the pledgers of the dropping candidate, because they still hold the vote but are no longer bound on who they can vote for.


The situation that is being described isn't likely at all tho. Suppose Romney wins a majority of delegates by winning primaries, and at the convention 400 of them flip their vote on the first ballot. That would be circumventing the entire primary process and would be 'undemocratic'. Probably even more so then not counting a county somewhere in Maine. Delegates will vote who their are supposed to vote for, bar a brokered convetion (where things like this could play a role).

If RP wants to make a real run at the presidency without the approval of primaries, he should do so as an independent in the general. Become the republican Ralph Nader.


It's the rules they play the game by, you can't fault the guy for trying to win with the rules that are given to him.

Also, it's NOT democratic, nor is it pretended to be. It's representative voting. It's built directly into our constitution with the electoral college. How each state wishes to hande their allocation is up to them. If they want direct democracy, they can simply do pledged primaries, either proportional or winner take all.
Derez
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Netherlands6068 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-02-12 22:59:07
February 12 2012 22:42 GMT
#8720
On February 13 2012 07:31 BluePanther wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2012 07:27 Derez wrote:
On February 13 2012 07:15 BluePanther wrote:
On February 13 2012 06:56 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 12 2012 11:49 Housemd wrote:
Well, some states have updated to a winner take all system so it doesn't make a difference at the convention. However, caucuses have existed before 1800s and some continue in today's time. However, the source actually does seem legit. If Paul supporters stay, then they do get spots at the convention. Although they "promise" to vote for the candidate that won, they are not required to break that promise and can vote for whoever they like at the national convention where it counts. It does not happen often, heck never, but it can and seems like a slim possibility in this year's election.


When has it happened in the past?




http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/votes/1953_1957.html#1952

Happened in the 1956 general election. The electoral college election is similar. Most states have requiered their presidential voters to be bound by law to vote for the elected person. There are multiple cases of this happening in history, although most of them are in the old days before binding pledges were introduced.

Most primary caucuses haven't required this. Also, this is why once someone drops out of the race, the other candidates flirt with the pledgers of the dropping candidate, because they still hold the vote but are no longer bound on who they can vote for.


The situation that is being described isn't likely at all tho. Suppose Romney wins a majority of delegates by winning primaries, and at the convention 400 of them flip their vote on the first ballot. That would be circumventing the entire primary process and would be 'undemocratic'. Probably even more so then not counting a county somewhere in Maine. Delegates will vote who their are supposed to vote for, bar a brokered convetion (where things like this could play a role).

If RP wants to make a real run at the presidency without the approval of primaries, he should do so as an independent in the general. Become the republican Ralph Nader.


It's the rules they play the game by, you can't fault the guy for trying to win with the rules that are given to him.

Also, it's NOT democratic, nor is it pretended to be. It's representative voting. It's built directly into our constitution with the electoral college. How each state wishes to hande their allocation is up to them. If they want direct democracy, they can simply do pledged primaries, either proportional or winner take all.


Do you think the average republican voter is likely to accept a candidate that backdoored his way into the nomination? The majority of the party would go all out insane, alienate the base even further and a nominee like that would get utterly crushed in a general. If its a true, brokered convention almost anything is possible, otherwise its simply a dream.

(Which is why no serious media outlet is reporting on it.)

On February 13 2012 07:42 Housemd wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 13 2012 07:27 Derez wrote:
On February 13 2012 07:15 BluePanther wrote:
On February 13 2012 06:56 Dapper_Cad wrote:
On February 12 2012 11:49 Housemd wrote:
Well, some states have updated to a winner take all system so it doesn't make a difference at the convention. However, caucuses have existed before 1800s and some continue in today's time. However, the source actually does seem legit. If Paul supporters stay, then they do get spots at the convention. Although they "promise" to vote for the candidate that won, they are not required to break that promise and can vote for whoever they like at the national convention where it counts. It does not happen often, heck never, but it can and seems like a slim possibility in this year's election.


When has it happened in the past?




http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/votes/1953_1957.html#1952

Happened in the 1956 general election. The electoral college election is similar. Most states have requiered their presidential voters to be bound by law to vote for the elected person. There are multiple cases of this happening in history, although most of them are in the old days before binding pledges were introduced.

Most primary caucuses haven't required this. Also, this is why once someone drops out of the race, the other candidates flirt with the pledgers of the dropping candidate, because they still hold the vote but are no longer bound on who they can vote for.


The situation that is being described isn't likely at all tho. Suppose Romney wins a majority of delegates by winning primaries, and at the convention 400 of them flip their vote on the first ballot. That would be circumventing the entire primary process and would be 'undemocratic'. Probably even more so then not counting a county somewhere in Maine. Delegates will vote who their are supposed to vote for, bar a brokered convetion (where things like this could play a role).

If RP wants to make a real run at the presidency without the approval of primaries, he should do so as an independent in the general. Become the republican Ralph Nader.


From what I know, most primaries are binding. Some are not. So it doesn't matter if Romney wins primaries like you said, since delegates are legally bound to to Romney. However, nearly all caucuses are not binding and thus they can vote for Paul. Is Paul cheating? Not really, he's playing by the rules that are set forth for him like another poster already said. The name of the game is winning delegates.


All true, but in the end the goal of the primaries (and caucusses) is to come to a consensus nominee. If current trends continue RP will prolly drag in around 15% of the total voteshare, which is respectable, but bound to be much lower than the other candidates. If he were to be nominated like that, there would be other consequences then the strictly legal ones, such as the entire republican party falling apart. I'd be cool with that, but it would still be a shortcut into the nomination. If you want the nomination, you should simply win the primary season and failing that, a candidate should get out.
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