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Republican nominations - Page 187

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nebffa
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
Australia776 Posts
December 20 2011 07:06 GMT
#3721
Here's a question about the economics - if Peter Schiff got it right with the housing market bubble, and he is saying there is a much bigger and worse bubble quickly coming, regardless of if you disagree with him how can you be so sure as to completely push what he says under the rug? I think that is very careless
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10501 Posts
December 20 2011 07:13 GMT
#3722
Video claiming to be by Anonymous threatening to hack Iowa caucus has GOP officials worried

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_IOWA_CAUCUSES_HACKING?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2011-12-19-18-28-32
BobTheBuilder1377
Profile Joined August 2011
Somalia335 Posts
December 20 2011 07:18 GMT
#3723
On December 20 2011 16:13 BlackJack wrote:
Video claiming to be by Anonymous threatening to hack Iowa caucus has GOP officials worried

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_IOWA_CAUCUSES_HACKING?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2011-12-19-18-28-32


This is how the mainstream media is reacting towards recent polls on Paul being in 1st with 23%
They basically wanna discredit Iowa as much as possible if Ron Paul wins.
Whitewing
Profile Joined October 2010
United States7483 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-12-20 07:30:20
December 20 2011 07:26 GMT
#3724
On December 20 2011 15:14 ryanAnger wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2011 14:37 SerpentFlame wrote:
On December 20 2011 14:23 BobTheBuilder1377 wrote:
On December 20 2011 12:57 SerpentFlame wrote:
On December 20 2011 12:48 ryanAnger wrote:
On December 20 2011 12:25 allecto wrote:
This whole Paul Krugman debate should be going the other way. Just looking at his core economic beliefs shows him to be outdated on his "calls." Someone made a good point about his right calls being based on wrong reasoning. Although it may be over the top, this article (and CNN showing) shows why his views aren't correct in the current economy:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/08/15/paul-krugman-fake-alien-invasion_n_926995.html

He claims that deficits are not the problem of the current economy, when obviously what we are seeing in Europe is driven almost completely by debt problems. His strict adherence to Keynesianism is incredible, when we have seen so much stimulus in the past couple of years not work at all.


As for Ron Paul, that little cartoon sums up how I feel. For so many people against creationism and religion being involved with the state, Ron Paul should be incredibly refreshing since his core beliefs are anything but for mixing religion and government.

However, more importantly is the fact that what matters in our reality right now is what Ron Paul is suited to fix. Who cares if his views are against abortion? I think the economy is the largest concern for the US for a myriad of reasons, and $4+ trillion in debt later, Obama is still shooting in the dark. Ron Paul has a solution that works, even if the main stream would say otherwise.


And even if we look at his economic views in a negative light (many people hate Austrian econ), he wants to drastically reduce the amount of money we are spending each year on frivolous, unwinnable wars. If he cut DoD budget in half (I've heard him say he'd like to do that, don't remember where though) that would be another $350bil that would be state-side, and quite frankly, it wouldn't matter where that money would go, it would be significantly more beneficial at home than away.

I was pretty neutral on Ron Paul, and I don't know enough to know what huge DoD cuts would do to world stability (but putting that all into say, medicine or education would be crazy-helpful for the US). But I saw one of Ron Paul's campaign ads that he would eliminate the Department of the Interior, the Department of Education, and the Department of Energy. That's huge. Would the US actually be any better off without the Education department? Sure it has flaws, but shouldn't we at least be a little cautious? Have just a little evidence, maybe on a community or state-based level (or in other countries), before we drastically write all those departments off entirely?



Department of Education

I've seen the Department of Education popping up in conversation here more and more frequently, and it's come to my attention that a lot of people are woefully misinformed about what the DOE actually does. So here it is.

**Here is what the Department of Education Actually Does**

* The original system of land-grants to create colleges, more or less defunct.

* Enforcing Civil Rights Legislation in our public schools

* No Child Left Behind and related statistical gathering(some local school district funding is here or scattered to similar programs, but accounts for <=10%).

A little more statistical gathering.

Administers federal education funding like financial aide. Keep in mind that this funding would still exist without the DOE.

**What the Department of Education Does NOT Do**

* Provide funding to school districts(outside of NCLB)

* Determine curriculum

* Determine/recommend text books

* Hire/fire teachers

* Make administrative decisions regarding schools.

* Provide the majority of funding to schools.

Want Proof? Here's what was specified by Congress when creating the Department of Education.

No provision of a program administered by the Secretary or by any other officer of the Department shall be construed to authorize the Secretary or any such officer to exercise any direction, supervision, or control over the curriculum, program of instruction, administration, or personnel of any educational institution, school, or school system, over any accrediting agency or association, or over the selection or content of library resources, textbooks, or other instructional materials by any educational institution or school system, except to the extent authorized by law. (Section 103[b], Public Law 96-88)

TLDR; The Department of Education is not our public school system. Our public school system is not the Department of Education. The connections between the 2 are not especially substantial.

Thanks for the info, I did not know that.

General Comment: With all the pro-Ron Paul comments here, keep in mind that Congress binds a president's hands. (For example, how would theoretical president Ron Paul close Guantanamo if Congress vetoes any resolution about what to do with the released inmates?) Voting the right people into Congress is just as essential.


This is completely true, and I feel like not enough people actually care or know who to vote into Congress, but the right President with the right policies is a good start.

@Whitewing, refer to 2 posts above yours regarding the Dept of Education. It literally does nothing of value. Also, I understand you reservation about the economy, but Ron Paul as President wouldn't abuse his Executive powers like Obama has by creating legislation to manipulate the economy based on his own economic beliefs.

According to the Constitution (remember, Ron Paul is the "champion of the Constitution") the Executive branch has NO say about what the economy does. That's basically all up to Congress, through their legislation, and the businesses, and the consumers. And again, I'm starting to sound like a broken record, but it doesn't matter what Paul's economic beliefs are because he's not going to act on them as President.



And 2 years ago I would have whole-heartedly agreed with you that being a creationist also meant you were irrational, and illogical, and most likely dull, but I've since overcome my prejudice and understand that you can have faith and still maintain a rational, logical way of thought.


I read it, I consider one of it's primary functions to be of significant value (civil liberties in schools). I also understand what would happen if public education were completely left up to the states and the federal government took a hands off approach to it, and it would not be pretty.

* Enforcing Civil Rights Legislation in our public schools
This is VERY important.

Obama didn't create legislation, he proposed some, and congress passed it. That's how the system works. Further, there's a substantial amount of evidence suggesting that the stimulus bill would have worked if it were bigger, but it was cut down too much in compromise to get it passed. Deficit spending during a recession is a well understood concept. Your next paragraph also completely contradicts your statement regarding Obama.

Further, it's not true that the president has no say on the economy: he has the right to veto any bill regarding it congress puts forwards. He has no control over the budget.

Being a creationist does mean you are irrational and illogical. It means that you subscribe to a belief that is illogical and irrational, and it is at the very center of your values and decision making. Thus, everything you do is tainted by an illogical belief. It does not mean that you can't make decisions with good results in other areas, nor does it mean you're always wrong about everything by any means, but it does mean you are incapable of making decisions based on good information.
Strategy"You know I fucking hate the way you play, right?" ~SC2John
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
December 20 2011 07:28 GMT
#3725
On December 20 2011 16:13 BlackJack wrote:
Video claiming to be by Anonymous threatening to hack Iowa caucus has GOP officials worried

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_IOWA_CAUCUSES_HACKING?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2011-12-19-18-28-32


I believe the anon twitter feed laughed at this, someone or somebody claiming to be anon to direct blame?
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Whitewing
Profile Joined October 2010
United States7483 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-12-20 07:43:18
December 20 2011 07:40 GMT
#3726
On December 20 2011 15:20 BobTheBuilder1377 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2011 15:14 Whitewing wrote:
On December 20 2011 11:23 ryanAnger wrote:
On December 20 2011 10:32 BobTheBuilder1377 wrote:
On December 20 2011 09:16 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Ron Paul may make valid foreign policy statements and hold popular domestic economic positions but the underlying fact is he is a creationist and with that everything he states goes out the window in terms of social policies etc. that he could try and sway if elected President.


This is all I see with these kinds of comments

[image loading]


Agreed. I'm as atheist as they come, and in my atheism I embrace logic and reasoning over all else. Even with my hatred of religion, I support Ron Paul, because religious beliefs aside, he is right on all of the important issues.


He is not right on all the important issues, he's right on some of the important issues. You left out things like wanting to eliminate the department of education, bad economics (sorry, as an economist myself I can't agree with his positions on numerous things. Yes, he was right about the bubble, but for the wrong reasons, and anyone who knew what was going on would have seen that bubble break coming, there are serious issues with Austrian Economics) and various other host of problems. He isn't the worst candidate in the world, but he certainly isn't very good at all.

And I don't even like Obama either.

As for evolution? It's an excellent question to ask to determine whether the candidate is willing to trust actual experts and trust what science says about the world around us. It's a good way to find out whether the candidate is reasonable and rational, and actually understands the world. Someone who doesn't believe in it has no business running a country, despite his position on other policies.

And civil liberties in schools is very important (what the dept. of education does). You take that away, and you'll soon find that Ron Paul's position of state schooling only with no federal guidance leads to a gross inequality of education across the country which brings with it a host of other problems, not to mention that many people won't even get to go to school.

Did you even read my posts at the top on the DOE and his economic theories being ECHOED by this years Economic Prize winner.


I read it, some of the things he says are similar to Ron Paul's position, but just being of a similar mind in a few regards isn't sufficient to say his position is the same as Ron Paul's, I wouldn't call this echoing. Further, his point regarding the stimulus isn't quite right: there are a multitude of published studies from prestigious organizations like the Princeton Review that have argued that the stimulus failed due to being too small, but was still a good idea. His point about economists not agreeing is correct, because economists on the whole never agree with one another. There is never consensus.

One should note that he's arguing directly with other nobel prize winners (like Paul Krugman). He's right about this: “Policymakers can’t manipulate the economy by systematically ‘tricking’ people with policy surprises. Central banks, for example, can’t permanently lower unemployment by easing monetary policy, as Sargent demonstrated with Neil Wallace, because people will (rationally) anticipate higher future inflation and will (strategically) insist on higher wages for their labor and higher interest rates for their capital.”, but that isn't actually disagreeing with anyone really, it's just stating an obvious fact. Nobody is pushing for 'tricking' people, and we all know about the liquidity trap and the failure of monetary policy. He isn't arguing with anybody here, nobody disagrees with this. Legitimate fiscal policy is called for, which is exactly what the stimulus was.

He's right that the gold standard required more discipline, because there were fewer options and decisions to be made: that's a direct result. You have more options, you make more and more varied decisions. However, a gold standard isn't necessary, what is necessary (in my opinion) is to require a balanced budget over a set period of time.

The biggest issue is the failure to properly tax long term capital gains and the absurdly low income tax on the super rich. Taxing both of those things (especially long term capital gains, 15% is stupidly low) would raise a TON of money, and we keep letting the super rich walk away without paying significant taxes on their easily earned money. Believe me: investors will not stop investing if taxes go up, as long as they can earn a profit through investment they will invest.

On the whole, the only thing he said that agrees with Ron Paul and not every other candidate is about the gold standard. This isn't exactly the Austrian Economics that Ron Paul adheres to, other than the segment about the gold standard.
Strategy"You know I fucking hate the way you play, right?" ~SC2John
shinosai
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States1577 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-12-20 09:50:29
December 20 2011 09:27 GMT
#3727

Being a creationist does mean you are irrational and illogical. It means that you subscribe to a belief that is illogical and irrational, and it is at the very center of your values and decision making. Thus, everything you do is tainted by an illogical belief. It does not mean that you can't make decisions with good results in other areas, nor does it mean you're always wrong about everything by any means, but it does mean you are incapable of making decisions based on good information.


Problem: Everyone is irrational and illogical when it comes to their own beliefs. This is what differentiates us. You, for example, if you believe capitalism is awesome, will likely tend to agree with evidence that suggests that capitalism is awesome, and dismiss that which is contrary.

Religious people may in fact be irrational and illogical about their religious beliefs, but rational and logical about other things. Likewise, you are rational and logical about certain things, but when it comes to your core beliefs, you likely do not hold them up to the same scrutiny that you would to any other belief. This is the case with people in general. Which is why it just so happens that people that are religious can also be considered quite intelligent, even if we take the position that they are irrational to be a factual truth. In fact, a Christian or a Muslim or even a Hindu is quite capable of making decisions based on good information. They reject other religions because there isn't sufficient evidence to prove them. The only thing they lack here is applying their own intellectual criticisms towards themselves; a quality that you will find in nearly all of humanity.

I can say with a great deal of certainty that there's probably some sort of ideology that you subscribe to that conflicts with a great deal of information. Your conclusion would seem to be that you are incapable of making decisions based on good information.
Be versatile, know when to retreat, and carry a big gun.
Velocirapture
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States983 Posts
December 20 2011 09:55 GMT
#3728
On December 20 2011 18:27 shinosai wrote:
Show nested quote +

Being a creationist does mean you are irrational and illogical. It means that you subscribe to a belief that is illogical and irrational, and it is at the very center of your values and decision making. Thus, everything you do is tainted by an illogical belief. It does not mean that you can't make decisions with good results in other areas, nor does it mean you're always wrong about everything by any means, but it does mean you are incapable of making decisions based on good information.


Problem: Everyone is irrational and illogical when it comes to their own beliefs. This is what differentiates us. You, for example, if you believe capitalism is awesome, will likely tend to agree with evidence that suggests that capitalism is awesome, and dismiss that which is contrary.

Religious people may in fact be irrational and illogical about their religious beliefs, but rational and logical about other things. Likewise, you are rational and logical about certain things, but when it comes to your core beliefs, you likely do not hold them up to the same scrutiny that you would to any other belief. This is the case with people in general. Which is why it just so happens that people that are religious can also be considered quite intelligent, even if we take the position that they are irrational to be a factual truth.

I can say with a great deal of certainty that there's probably some sort of ideology that you subscribe to that conflicts with a great deal of information. Your conclusion would seem to be that you are incapable of making decisions based on good information.


I do not think that a belief in creationism and a belief in capitalism can be compared at all. It is true that we all have different values and thus see different sides of many issues but that is because 99% of all issues have multiple sides. There are completely rational reasons to value and prioritize almost any political point of view. The reason creationism is such a sticking point is that there is no two sides to the issue. Its not even like a belief in god which is so abstract that cant be argued at all. A person who believes in creationism willing forsakes a mountain of evidence in favor of a very specific and quantifiable falsehood.

This is VERY dangerous in a leader. Every good student knows that HOW you get to an answer is as important if not more so than the answer itself. Even if I like his policies as I see them now based on what I know, will he be able to adjust his policies if they turn out to not work? If new evidence appears that strongly suggests he go against one of his long held beliefs will he be able to change course or will he ignore the evidence as he does with evolution?

Whitewing
Profile Joined October 2010
United States7483 Posts
December 20 2011 10:00 GMT
#3729
On December 20 2011 18:27 shinosai wrote:
Show nested quote +

Being a creationist does mean you are irrational and illogical. It means that you subscribe to a belief that is illogical and irrational, and it is at the very center of your values and decision making. Thus, everything you do is tainted by an illogical belief. It does not mean that you can't make decisions with good results in other areas, nor does it mean you're always wrong about everything by any means, but it does mean you are incapable of making decisions based on good information.


Problem: Everyone is irrational and illogical when it comes to their own beliefs. This is what differentiates us. You, for example, if you believe capitalism is awesome, will likely tend to agree with evidence that suggests that capitalism is awesome, and dismiss that which is contrary.

Religious people may in fact be irrational and illogical about their religious beliefs, but rational and logical about other things. Likewise, you are rational and logical about certain things, but when it comes to your core beliefs, you likely do not hold them up to the same scrutiny that you would to any other belief. This is the case with people in general. Which is why it just so happens that people that are religious can also be considered quite intelligent, even if we take the position that they are irrational to be a factual truth. In fact, a Christian or a Muslim or even a Hindu is quite capable of making decisions based on good information. They reject other religions because there isn't sufficient evidence to prove them. The only thing they lack here is applying their own intellectual criticisms towards themselves; a quality that you will find in nearly all of humanity.

I can say with a great deal of certainty that there's probably some sort of ideology that you subscribe to that conflicts with a great deal of information. Your conclusion would seem to be that you are incapable of making decisions based on good information.


You 'might' be right, but in this case I doubt it, since the core of my beliefs is rationality and logic itself. I've, at various times in my life, been forced to abandon or change previous core beliefs because I could not find a good reason to logically continue with it. I constantly evaluate my own values on a regular basis. My beliefs are simple: I believe in the scientific method. Everything else follows from that and the opinion that I like the human race, and want it to do well.

Further, my argument mentioned specifically that religion is at the core of people's values when they are religious, thus every decision is based at least in some part on that fact (since it colors their world views significantly). The important part here is "core". Being wrong isn't a big deal, but when you base who you are as a person and base almost every decision you make in some part on a fallacious concept (it's fallacious in the sense that it has no evidence to support it, thus is logically infeasible. It might be right, but we have no way of knowing that it is, therefore must assume that it is not until shown otherwise. This is the logical position to take on any particular idea). Is my belief in the scientific method misplaced? Perhaps, but it's the only thing that actually makes logical sense and follows reason.
Strategy"You know I fucking hate the way you play, right?" ~SC2John
Voros
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States222 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-12-20 10:14:18
December 20 2011 10:12 GMT
#3730
I do not think that a belief in creationism and a belief in capitalism can be compared at all. It is true that we all have different values and thus see different sides of many issues but that is because 99% of all issues have multiple sides. There are completely rational reasons to value and prioritize almost any political point of view. The reason creationism is such a sticking point is that there is no two sides to the issue. Its not even like a belief in god which is so abstract that cant be argued at all. A person who believes in creationism willing forsakes a mountain of evidence in favor of a very specific and quantifiable falsehood.


This remains a silly non-argument for the reasons spelled out above. Ron Paul is a 70-something evangelical Christian who graduated from an evangelical college fifty years ago. Among this population, it is common if not expected to be a creationist, and virtually no one in that community would believe in evolution unless they specialized in a related field. Of all the criticisms of Paul I've read, this one's right up there with the worst. It's even goofier when you recognize that Paul is campaigning on the promise of stripping the executive branch of its power over education--the philosophical centerpiece of his campaign is that the President and his appointees should not have undue power over the states, including (but not limited to) the education of students within public schools. Whether you believe him to be a genius or idiot, Paul's entire campaign is focused on the singular goal of reducing the power of his branch. Given the abuses we've witnessed from the last couple of presidents, you'd think this would be a huge attraction, creationist beliefs or no.
allecto
Profile Joined November 2010
328 Posts
December 20 2011 16:46 GMT
#3731
On December 20 2011 16:40 Whitewing wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2011 15:20 BobTheBuilder1377 wrote:
On December 20 2011 15:14 Whitewing wrote:
On December 20 2011 11:23 ryanAnger wrote:
On December 20 2011 10:32 BobTheBuilder1377 wrote:
On December 20 2011 09:16 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Ron Paul may make valid foreign policy statements and hold popular domestic economic positions but the underlying fact is he is a creationist and with that everything he states goes out the window in terms of social policies etc. that he could try and sway if elected President.


This is all I see with these kinds of comments

[image loading]


Agreed. I'm as atheist as they come, and in my atheism I embrace logic and reasoning over all else. Even with my hatred of religion, I support Ron Paul, because religious beliefs aside, he is right on all of the important issues.


He is not right on all the important issues, he's right on some of the important issues. You left out things like wanting to eliminate the department of education, bad economics (sorry, as an economist myself I can't agree with his positions on numerous things. Yes, he was right about the bubble, but for the wrong reasons, and anyone who knew what was going on would have seen that bubble break coming, there are serious issues with Austrian Economics) and various other host of problems. He isn't the worst candidate in the world, but he certainly isn't very good at all.

And I don't even like Obama either.

As for evolution? It's an excellent question to ask to determine whether the candidate is willing to trust actual experts and trust what science says about the world around us. It's a good way to find out whether the candidate is reasonable and rational, and actually understands the world. Someone who doesn't believe in it has no business running a country, despite his position on other policies.

And civil liberties in schools is very important (what the dept. of education does). You take that away, and you'll soon find that Ron Paul's position of state schooling only with no federal guidance leads to a gross inequality of education across the country which brings with it a host of other problems, not to mention that many people won't even get to go to school.

Did you even read my posts at the top on the DOE and his economic theories being ECHOED by this years Economic Prize winner.


I read it, some of the things he says are similar to Ron Paul's position, but just being of a similar mind in a few regards isn't sufficient to say his position is the same as Ron Paul's, I wouldn't call this echoing. Further, his point regarding the stimulus isn't quite right: there are a multitude of published studies from prestigious organizations like the Princeton Review that have argued that the stimulus failed due to being too small, but was still a good idea. His point about economists not agreeing is correct, because economists on the whole never agree with one another. There is never consensus.

One should note that he's arguing directly with other nobel prize winners (like Paul Krugman). He's right about this: “Policymakers can’t manipulate the economy by systematically ‘tricking’ people with policy surprises. Central banks, for example, can’t permanently lower unemployment by easing monetary policy, as Sargent demonstrated with Neil Wallace, because people will (rationally) anticipate higher future inflation and will (strategically) insist on higher wages for their labor and higher interest rates for their capital.”, but that isn't actually disagreeing with anyone really, it's just stating an obvious fact. Nobody is pushing for 'tricking' people, and we all know about the liquidity trap and the failure of monetary policy. He isn't arguing with anybody here, nobody disagrees with this. Legitimate fiscal policy is called for, which is exactly what the stimulus was.

He's right that the gold standard required more discipline, because there were fewer options and decisions to be made: that's a direct result. You have more options, you make more and more varied decisions. However, a gold standard isn't necessary, what is necessary (in my opinion) is to require a balanced budget over a set period of time.

The biggest issue is the failure to properly tax long term capital gains and the absurdly low income tax on the super rich. Taxing both of those things (especially long term capital gains, 15% is stupidly low) would raise a TON of money, and we keep letting the super rich walk away without paying significant taxes on their easily earned money. Believe me: investors will not stop investing if taxes go up, as long as they can earn a profit through investment they will invest.

On the whole, the only thing he said that agrees with Ron Paul and not every other candidate is about the gold standard. This isn't exactly the Austrian Economics that Ron Paul adheres to, other than the segment about the gold standard.



I'd be curious to know what state you had your schooling in, because where I am from (Georgia) the efforts by the federal government to improve our education have miserably failed, not only on a graduation rate/overall schooling sense but also with regard to many civil liberties. One just has to look at the absolute paucity of opportunities inner-city Atlanta kids get to understand this fact. I have little doubt that a larger state (or county) guided effort could produce the same results if not much better considering they understand the issues more.

As for economic issues: you and others keep proposing that Keynesianism and deficit spending during a recession works. I'd like to know how you rectify this with dwindling resources, rising gas prices, and ever-increasing debt. The problem with deficit spending is, well, the deficit. You have to pay that debt down eventually, which is why we find ourselves in a debt crisis across the world right now. I'm not going to mention Europe again because it is worse off than us, but the US is at over 100% debt / GDP. Under Obama's presidency, $4.4 trillion was issued--that's was a 40% increase from the beginning balance of $10.5 trillion. More spending would've equaled even more debt, and at that point the only way out would be inflating it away, which leads us back to the problem of monetary policy again.

And, what is there to prove that added stimulus would have successfully helped with the recession (can you point me to an article?) Where would this extra money have gone?
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
December 20 2011 16:57 GMT
#3732
On December 21 2011 01:46 allecto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 20 2011 16:40 Whitewing wrote:
On December 20 2011 15:20 BobTheBuilder1377 wrote:
On December 20 2011 15:14 Whitewing wrote:
On December 20 2011 11:23 ryanAnger wrote:
On December 20 2011 10:32 BobTheBuilder1377 wrote:
On December 20 2011 09:16 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Ron Paul may make valid foreign policy statements and hold popular domestic economic positions but the underlying fact is he is a creationist and with that everything he states goes out the window in terms of social policies etc. that he could try and sway if elected President.


This is all I see with these kinds of comments

[image loading]


Agreed. I'm as atheist as they come, and in my atheism I embrace logic and reasoning over all else. Even with my hatred of religion, I support Ron Paul, because religious beliefs aside, he is right on all of the important issues.


He is not right on all the important issues, he's right on some of the important issues. You left out things like wanting to eliminate the department of education, bad economics (sorry, as an economist myself I can't agree with his positions on numerous things. Yes, he was right about the bubble, but for the wrong reasons, and anyone who knew what was going on would have seen that bubble break coming, there are serious issues with Austrian Economics) and various other host of problems. He isn't the worst candidate in the world, but he certainly isn't very good at all.

And I don't even like Obama either.

As for evolution? It's an excellent question to ask to determine whether the candidate is willing to trust actual experts and trust what science says about the world around us. It's a good way to find out whether the candidate is reasonable and rational, and actually understands the world. Someone who doesn't believe in it has no business running a country, despite his position on other policies.

And civil liberties in schools is very important (what the dept. of education does). You take that away, and you'll soon find that Ron Paul's position of state schooling only with no federal guidance leads to a gross inequality of education across the country which brings with it a host of other problems, not to mention that many people won't even get to go to school.

Did you even read my posts at the top on the DOE and his economic theories being ECHOED by this years Economic Prize winner.


I read it, some of the things he says are similar to Ron Paul's position, but just being of a similar mind in a few regards isn't sufficient to say his position is the same as Ron Paul's, I wouldn't call this echoing. Further, his point regarding the stimulus isn't quite right: there are a multitude of published studies from prestigious organizations like the Princeton Review that have argued that the stimulus failed due to being too small, but was still a good idea. His point about economists not agreeing is correct, because economists on the whole never agree with one another. There is never consensus.

One should note that he's arguing directly with other nobel prize winners (like Paul Krugman). He's right about this: “Policymakers can’t manipulate the economy by systematically ‘tricking’ people with policy surprises. Central banks, for example, can’t permanently lower unemployment by easing monetary policy, as Sargent demonstrated with Neil Wallace, because people will (rationally) anticipate higher future inflation and will (strategically) insist on higher wages for their labor and higher interest rates for their capital.”, but that isn't actually disagreeing with anyone really, it's just stating an obvious fact. Nobody is pushing for 'tricking' people, and we all know about the liquidity trap and the failure of monetary policy. He isn't arguing with anybody here, nobody disagrees with this. Legitimate fiscal policy is called for, which is exactly what the stimulus was.

He's right that the gold standard required more discipline, because there were fewer options and decisions to be made: that's a direct result. You have more options, you make more and more varied decisions. However, a gold standard isn't necessary, what is necessary (in my opinion) is to require a balanced budget over a set period of time.

The biggest issue is the failure to properly tax long term capital gains and the absurdly low income tax on the super rich. Taxing both of those things (especially long term capital gains, 15% is stupidly low) would raise a TON of money, and we keep letting the super rich walk away without paying significant taxes on their easily earned money. Believe me: investors will not stop investing if taxes go up, as long as they can earn a profit through investment they will invest.

On the whole, the only thing he said that agrees with Ron Paul and not every other candidate is about the gold standard. This isn't exactly the Austrian Economics that Ron Paul adheres to, other than the segment about the gold standard.



I'd be curious to know what state you had your schooling in, because where I am from (Georgia) the efforts by the federal government to improve our education have miserably failed, not only on a graduation rate/overall schooling sense but also with regard to many civil liberties. One just has to look at the absolute paucity of opportunities inner-city Atlanta kids get to understand this fact. I have little doubt that a larger state (or county) guided effort could produce the same results if not much better considering they understand the issues more.

As for economic issues: you and others keep proposing that Keynesianism and deficit spending during a recession works. I'd like to know how you rectify this with dwindling resources, rising gas prices, and ever-increasing debt. The problem with deficit spending is, well, the deficit. You have to pay that debt down eventually, which is why we find ourselves in a debt crisis across the world right now. I'm not going to mention Europe again because it is worse off than us, but the US is at over 100% debt / GDP. Under Obama's presidency, $4.4 trillion was issued--that's was a 40% increase from the beginning balance of $10.5 trillion. More spending would've equaled even more debt, and at that point the only way out would be inflating it away, which leads us back to the problem of monetary policy again.

And, what is there to prove that added stimulus would have successfully helped with the recession (can you point me to an article?) Where would this extra money have gone?

I live in Texas where we largely ignore anything from the federal government we can. Our education system sucks balls as well. It's not that DoEducation doesn't know what it's doing, it's that NOBODY does. Inner cities across the nation struggle with school standards regardless of federal intervention because it's a difficult problem to solve.

The problem with deficit spending in 2008 is that we already had 2 unfunded wars and a military budget that is out of control. We had no room for adequate deficit spending. We had to settle for less.
allecto
Profile Joined November 2010
328 Posts
December 20 2011 17:38 GMT
#3733
On December 21 2011 01:57 aksfjh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 21 2011 01:46 allecto wrote:
On December 20 2011 16:40 Whitewing wrote:
On December 20 2011 15:20 BobTheBuilder1377 wrote:
On December 20 2011 15:14 Whitewing wrote:
On December 20 2011 11:23 ryanAnger wrote:
On December 20 2011 10:32 BobTheBuilder1377 wrote:
On December 20 2011 09:16 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Ron Paul may make valid foreign policy statements and hold popular domestic economic positions but the underlying fact is he is a creationist and with that everything he states goes out the window in terms of social policies etc. that he could try and sway if elected President.


This is all I see with these kinds of comments

[image loading]


Agreed. I'm as atheist as they come, and in my atheism I embrace logic and reasoning over all else. Even with my hatred of religion, I support Ron Paul, because religious beliefs aside, he is right on all of the important issues.


He is not right on all the important issues, he's right on some of the important issues. You left out things like wanting to eliminate the department of education, bad economics (sorry, as an economist myself I can't agree with his positions on numerous things. Yes, he was right about the bubble, but for the wrong reasons, and anyone who knew what was going on would have seen that bubble break coming, there are serious issues with Austrian Economics) and various other host of problems. He isn't the worst candidate in the world, but he certainly isn't very good at all.

And I don't even like Obama either.

As for evolution? It's an excellent question to ask to determine whether the candidate is willing to trust actual experts and trust what science says about the world around us. It's a good way to find out whether the candidate is reasonable and rational, and actually understands the world. Someone who doesn't believe in it has no business running a country, despite his position on other policies.

And civil liberties in schools is very important (what the dept. of education does). You take that away, and you'll soon find that Ron Paul's position of state schooling only with no federal guidance leads to a gross inequality of education across the country which brings with it a host of other problems, not to mention that many people won't even get to go to school.

Did you even read my posts at the top on the DOE and his economic theories being ECHOED by this years Economic Prize winner.


I read it, some of the things he says are similar to Ron Paul's position, but just being of a similar mind in a few regards isn't sufficient to say his position is the same as Ron Paul's, I wouldn't call this echoing. Further, his point regarding the stimulus isn't quite right: there are a multitude of published studies from prestigious organizations like the Princeton Review that have argued that the stimulus failed due to being too small, but was still a good idea. His point about economists not agreeing is correct, because economists on the whole never agree with one another. There is never consensus.

One should note that he's arguing directly with other nobel prize winners (like Paul Krugman). He's right about this: “Policymakers can’t manipulate the economy by systematically ‘tricking’ people with policy surprises. Central banks, for example, can’t permanently lower unemployment by easing monetary policy, as Sargent demonstrated with Neil Wallace, because people will (rationally) anticipate higher future inflation and will (strategically) insist on higher wages for their labor and higher interest rates for their capital.”, but that isn't actually disagreeing with anyone really, it's just stating an obvious fact. Nobody is pushing for 'tricking' people, and we all know about the liquidity trap and the failure of monetary policy. He isn't arguing with anybody here, nobody disagrees with this. Legitimate fiscal policy is called for, which is exactly what the stimulus was.

He's right that the gold standard required more discipline, because there were fewer options and decisions to be made: that's a direct result. You have more options, you make more and more varied decisions. However, a gold standard isn't necessary, what is necessary (in my opinion) is to require a balanced budget over a set period of time.

The biggest issue is the failure to properly tax long term capital gains and the absurdly low income tax on the super rich. Taxing both of those things (especially long term capital gains, 15% is stupidly low) would raise a TON of money, and we keep letting the super rich walk away without paying significant taxes on their easily earned money. Believe me: investors will not stop investing if taxes go up, as long as they can earn a profit through investment they will invest.

On the whole, the only thing he said that agrees with Ron Paul and not every other candidate is about the gold standard. This isn't exactly the Austrian Economics that Ron Paul adheres to, other than the segment about the gold standard.



I'd be curious to know what state you had your schooling in, because where I am from (Georgia) the efforts by the federal government to improve our education have miserably failed, not only on a graduation rate/overall schooling sense but also with regard to many civil liberties. One just has to look at the absolute paucity of opportunities inner-city Atlanta kids get to understand this fact. I have little doubt that a larger state (or county) guided effort could produce the same results if not much better considering they understand the issues more.

As for economic issues: you and others keep proposing that Keynesianism and deficit spending during a recession works. I'd like to know how you rectify this with dwindling resources, rising gas prices, and ever-increasing debt. The problem with deficit spending is, well, the deficit. You have to pay that debt down eventually, which is why we find ourselves in a debt crisis across the world right now. I'm not going to mention Europe again because it is worse off than us, but the US is at over 100% debt / GDP. Under Obama's presidency, $4.4 trillion was issued--that's was a 40% increase from the beginning balance of $10.5 trillion. More spending would've equaled even more debt, and at that point the only way out would be inflating it away, which leads us back to the problem of monetary policy again.

And, what is there to prove that added stimulus would have successfully helped with the recession (can you point me to an article?) Where would this extra money have gone?

I live in Texas where we largely ignore anything from the federal government we can. Our education system sucks balls as well. It's not that DoEducation doesn't know what it's doing, it's that NOBODY does. Inner cities across the nation struggle with school standards regardless of federal intervention because it's a difficult problem to solve.

The problem with deficit spending in 2008 is that we already had 2 unfunded wars and a military budget that is out of control. We had no room for adequate deficit spending. We had to settle for less.


This is a fair point. My case was that the DoEd is a superfluous institution that doesn't really do anything worthwhile. If neither the states nor the federal government can solve the problem, I don't see why getting rid of the DoEd is contended so vehemently by people.

By no means am I saying that the wars were not a huge burden on our deficit--of course they were. However, they were continued, and in 2009 I believe at least $800 billion in new deficit spending can be directly linked to Obama.

Getting back to the main point: in my opinion, none of these bailouts and stimulus packages worked, and I don't see any data backing up why they would've worked, especially in the long run. Ron Paul is set on cutting the federal budget, and I think his plan is aggressive but sound. The main problem with Obama is that he serves the same people that Bush did, perhaps to an even larger degree (if you look at who Obama received campaign funding from, it is hilarious). Ron Paul would in essence do away with all of the bailout stuff, which by my guess most everyone agrees was a huge failure.
Jibba
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States22883 Posts
December 20 2011 20:10 GMT
#3734
On December 20 2011 15:50 SoLaR[i.C] wrote:
[image loading]

Just picked this up as my winter break book. Has anybody else read this? Word has it that even Keynes was deeply moved by the book and largely in agreement with its philosophical ideas. Austrianism FTW.

Keynes was a fan of Hayek but the book isnt really in reference to pure Austrianism. The context of the book is post WW2 Britain and its government driven economy. It is not directly about socialist programs such as what a country like Sweden uses, although there might have been an update briefly talking about it.

It's an important read but it's not a one sided issue, as there are some flaws in his thinking as well. And ultimately, it's not particuladly relevant to either side at the moment. Most politicians, regardless of party, shy away from statutory laws and sunset clauses. Ron Paul becoming president wont impact that unless he just vetos everything and shuts down all productivity.
ModeratorNow I'm distant, dark in this anthrobeat
Jibba
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States22883 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-12-20 20:31:00
December 20 2011 20:20 GMT
#3735
I want to point out that Gingrich's idiotic remarks are the result of his ghastly personality. No competent campaign manager would've allowed him to say that and damage their reputation but he chased the rest of his staff away and replaced them with yes men and friends. Not only is it a terrible position in general but it's one that would get him crushed in the general election against a constitutional scholar like Obama.

The man would be a despot. There's a difference between reforming the judicial review process and undermining the entire system because of popularity. The Court system is generally left alone because it swings both ways. Neither liberals or conservatives want to give up a safeguard for when they're the weaker party.
ModeratorNow I'm distant, dark in this anthrobeat
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-12-20 20:37:20
December 20 2011 20:37 GMT
#3736
Can't help but laugh at gingrich's position on the judicial system. Not even America is crazy enough to elect somebody like that. "I don't like this ruling, therefore impeach them all! Secularism is evil!"
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
December 20 2011 20:44 GMT
#3737
Criticizing the judiciary for activism is one thing, but threatening to compel judges to testify before congress every time they make controversial decisions is over the line.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
December 21 2011 00:01 GMT
#3738
On December 21 2011 02:38 allecto wrote:
Getting back to the main point: in my opinion, none of these bailouts and stimulus packages worked, and I don't see any data backing up why they would've worked, especially in the long run.

Your opinion is wrong. Countless non-partisan studies have shown the stimulus had a very positive impact on the economy - it simply wasn't big enough to suffice.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
Gryffes
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United Kingdom763 Posts
December 21 2011 00:04 GMT
#3739
On December 21 2011 05:20 Jibba wrote:
I want to point out that Gingrich's idiotic remarks are the result of his ghastly personality. No competent campaign manager would've allowed him to say that and damage their reputation but he chased the rest of his staff away and replaced them with yes men and friends. Not only is it a terrible position in general but it's one that would get him crushed in the general election against a constitutional scholar like Obama.

The man would be a despot. There's a difference between reforming the judicial review process and undermining the entire system because of popularity. The Court system is generally left alone because it swings both ways. Neither liberals or conservatives want to give up a safeguard for when they're the weaker party.



Gringrich isn't acting on a level 1 thought process.

He says something batshit insane, that is however lapped up by the base, gets media coverage he couldn't afford to buy, then if/when he secures the nomination it never happens.

It's called politics.
www.youtube.com/gryffes - Random Gaming Videos.
Kiarip
Profile Joined August 2008
United States1835 Posts
December 21 2011 00:30 GMT
#3740
On December 21 2011 09:01 kwizach wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 21 2011 02:38 allecto wrote:
Getting back to the main point: in my opinion, none of these bailouts and stimulus packages worked, and I don't see any data backing up why they would've worked, especially in the long run.

Your opinion is wrong. Countless non-partisan studies have shown the stimulus had a very positive impact on the economy - it simply wasn't big enough to suffice.


right, and countless others have shown that it doesn't... In the end if you ask the people they'll tell you that their costs of living have been going up by significantly more than 5% a year lol.
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