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On June 17 2011 06:46 Voltaire wrote:Show nested quote +On June 16 2011 03:38 vnlegend wrote: I read an article on Yahoo the other day about how the drug war has begun to spread to Monterrey, Mexico's richest area. I don't understand how the government let the cartels grow so large and powerful? Now they've become huge and deeply rooted in society with all the corruption. They also have huge armies to fight the government. Mexico is a place where a lot of drug trafficking goes through so there will always be drugs, money, and guns.
How can Mexico can ever come out of this? Drug legalization. All of a sudden the cartels would have no way to make money. legalize marijuana and suddenly everyone wants to legalize cocaine. Hmm yeah, not a good idea.
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On June 18 2011 03:06 RoosterSamurai wrote:Show nested quote +On June 17 2011 23:10 Midj wrote:On June 17 2011 22:59 RoosterSamurai wrote:On June 17 2011 19:36 WinterNightz wrote: Nobody is saying that they're loyal suppliers for the good of lazy american potheads. They're saying that this would take away a large amount of profit. As you said, if there's more profit to be had in sex slavery/arms dealing, the cartels will do that. If we minimize the possible profit from the drug trade, they'll move to those other markets. But will those markets suddenly explode in demand? No. If anything, the arms trade will LOSE potential profit.
So the cartels will lose the huge amount of profit from drugs, and marginally from arms trades. They instead focus on the slave trade, which will be nowhere near as huge, meaning they won't have anywhere near the funds that they used to. Less money, less power in the hands of the criminal cartels.
Is that really so hard to understand? I think you may want to go back and re-read my previous posts. I really don't know where you're getting this idea that drugs would become unprofitable? These cartels aren't junkies with a meth lab in their garage. They are a huge operation- obviously bigger than you know. Just because drugs are legal doesn't mean their worthless- In fact, because they would have to be regulated to government standards, they might even become more profitable. Drugs being legal != Demand for drugs disappearing. These cartels have money, and they can start a business. Why are you assuming that they can't do that? Is it really so difficult to understand that drugs will still profit even when they're legal? Also, what I said was that they would be able to allocate less of their funds into buying off police, buying weapons and muscle, getting court cases dropped, etc. And that extra money could easily be put into some other illicit shady business to earn them more money. But really, I would like you to break it down real simple for me. What is giving you the idea that when drugs become legal, their price will drastically drop. You do understand how corporations work, right? You do understand that their #1 goal above all else is to make money, right? But yet it seems to me that you think that they're going to slash prices down until they're next to nothing, so that they'll become the robin hood of drugs, so-to-speak. Depending on what legalization is decided as, the ability for domestic growers to grow on a larger scale, without the constant looming threat of jail time, would hurt the profits of mexican drug lords. Possibly so much so that bringing it across the border for them would not be worth their time when they have larger markets to work in. The argument here isn't if they would stop making profits, but if they would stop making absurd profits that can arm their thugs and pad the pockets of corrupt politicians. By no means does legalizing cannabis completely eliminate the mexican drug cartels. When marijuana legalization was being pushed in California there were plenty of arguments for, but an ethical point made by many pro-legalization folks was that legalization could very well save lives in Mexico because of a less funded cartel. Edit: To add citations to my earlier points about domestic growth, here is one I dug up: http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2010/07/proposition-19-marijuana-costs.htmlhttp://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2010/07/proposition-19-marijuana-costs.html Marijuana is most likely a small portion of what these Mexican drug cartels deal with. They obviously have a hand in the heroin and cocaine businesses, too. I don't know why people always assume that marijuana is the only illegal drug in existence?
40% of their income comes from marijuana. No one is assuming it is the only drug. Legalizing it alone wouldn't solve the problem but it would weaken the cartels. You said it yourself that corporations are there to make money, of course the price would drop from its ridiculously inflated point right now because corporations try to make money and as more corporations got involved they would keep undercutting each other. That is how capitalism works. If all illegal drugs were legalized this would happen on an even greater scale. As it currently is a kilo of heroin is sells for over $40,000. There is no way that price would remain that way if it was legalized and corporations could sell their product for 10,000 times the cost of production.
On June 18 2011 03:08 Alexl wrote:Show nested quote +On June 17 2011 06:46 Voltaire wrote:On June 16 2011 03:38 vnlegend wrote: I read an article on Yahoo the other day about how the drug war has begun to spread to Monterrey, Mexico's richest area. I don't understand how the government let the cartels grow so large and powerful? Now they've become huge and deeply rooted in society with all the corruption. They also have huge armies to fight the government. Mexico is a place where a lot of drug trafficking goes through so there will always be drugs, money, and guns.
How can Mexico can ever come out of this? Drug legalization. All of a sudden the cartels would have no way to make money. legalize marijuana and suddenly everyone wants to legalize cocaine. Hmm yeah, not a good idea.
It's a great idea. If you actually had an argument as to why it is such a bad idea you'd have given it. This is the 21st century and the drug war should be a thing of the past, costing nothing but thousands of lives and billions of dollars while illegal drug use has risen since it began.
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if you under cut them, you will still have to regulate them. And if they are regulated there will still be room for an illegal drug market, i mean there is for legal OTC drugs. So i don't know how much of a difference it would make.
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On June 18 2011 04:53 Brewed Tea wrote: if you under cut them, you will still have to regulate them. And if they are regulated there will still be room for an illegal drug market, i mean there is for legal OTC drugs. So i don't know how much of a difference it would make.
If they were regulated like alcohol and tobacco there wouldn't be any room for an illegal market. The illegal market only exists for prescription drugs like Oxycontin where you need a doctor's prescription to get it and the prescription is only valid for one bottle usually. If all the recreational drugs were regulated like alcohol and tobacco the illegal market would drastically shrink, just like it did after alcohol prohibition ended.
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On June 18 2011 04:45 Voltaire wrote:Show nested quote +On June 18 2011 03:06 RoosterSamurai wrote:On June 17 2011 23:10 Midj wrote:On June 17 2011 22:59 RoosterSamurai wrote:On June 17 2011 19:36 WinterNightz wrote: Nobody is saying that they're loyal suppliers for the good of lazy american potheads. They're saying that this would take away a large amount of profit. As you said, if there's more profit to be had in sex slavery/arms dealing, the cartels will do that. If we minimize the possible profit from the drug trade, they'll move to those other markets. But will those markets suddenly explode in demand? No. If anything, the arms trade will LOSE potential profit.
So the cartels will lose the huge amount of profit from drugs, and marginally from arms trades. They instead focus on the slave trade, which will be nowhere near as huge, meaning they won't have anywhere near the funds that they used to. Less money, less power in the hands of the criminal cartels.
Is that really so hard to understand? I think you may want to go back and re-read my previous posts. I really don't know where you're getting this idea that drugs would become unprofitable? These cartels aren't junkies with a meth lab in their garage. They are a huge operation- obviously bigger than you know. Just because drugs are legal doesn't mean their worthless- In fact, because they would have to be regulated to government standards, they might even become more profitable. Drugs being legal != Demand for drugs disappearing. These cartels have money, and they can start a business. Why are you assuming that they can't do that? Is it really so difficult to understand that drugs will still profit even when they're legal? Also, what I said was that they would be able to allocate less of their funds into buying off police, buying weapons and muscle, getting court cases dropped, etc. And that extra money could easily be put into some other illicit shady business to earn them more money. But really, I would like you to break it down real simple for me. What is giving you the idea that when drugs become legal, their price will drastically drop. You do understand how corporations work, right? You do understand that their #1 goal above all else is to make money, right? But yet it seems to me that you think that they're going to slash prices down until they're next to nothing, so that they'll become the robin hood of drugs, so-to-speak. Depending on what legalization is decided as, the ability for domestic growers to grow on a larger scale, without the constant looming threat of jail time, would hurt the profits of mexican drug lords. Possibly so much so that bringing it across the border for them would not be worth their time when they have larger markets to work in. The argument here isn't if they would stop making profits, but if they would stop making absurd profits that can arm their thugs and pad the pockets of corrupt politicians. By no means does legalizing cannabis completely eliminate the mexican drug cartels. When marijuana legalization was being pushed in California there were plenty of arguments for, but an ethical point made by many pro-legalization folks was that legalization could very well save lives in Mexico because of a less funded cartel. Edit: To add citations to my earlier points about domestic growth, here is one I dug up: http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2010/07/proposition-19-marijuana-costs.htmlhttp://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2010/07/proposition-19-marijuana-costs.html Marijuana is most likely a small portion of what these Mexican drug cartels deal with. They obviously have a hand in the heroin and cocaine businesses, too. I don't know why people always assume that marijuana is the only illegal drug in existence? 40% of their income comes from marijuana. No one is assuming it is the only drug. Legalizing it alone wouldn't solve the problem but it would weaken the cartels. You said it yourself that corporations are there to make money, of course the price would drop from its ridiculously inflated point right now because corporations try to make money and as more corporations got involved they would keep undercutting each other. That is how capitalism works. If all illegal drugs were legalized this would happen on an even greater scale. As it currently is a kilo of heroin is sells for over $40,000. There is no way that price would remain that way if it was legalized and corporations could sell their product for 10,000 times the cost of production. Show nested quote +On June 18 2011 03:08 Alexl wrote:On June 17 2011 06:46 Voltaire wrote:On June 16 2011 03:38 vnlegend wrote: I read an article on Yahoo the other day about how the drug war has begun to spread to Monterrey, Mexico's richest area. I don't understand how the government let the cartels grow so large and powerful? Now they've become huge and deeply rooted in society with all the corruption. They also have huge armies to fight the government. Mexico is a place where a lot of drug trafficking goes through so there will always be drugs, money, and guns.
How can Mexico can ever come out of this? Drug legalization. All of a sudden the cartels would have no way to make money. legalize marijuana and suddenly everyone wants to legalize cocaine. Hmm yeah, not a good idea. It's a great idea. If you actually had an argument as to why it is such a bad idea you'd have given it. This is the 21st century and the drug war should be a thing of the past, costing nothing but thousands of lives and billions of dollars while illegal drug use has risen since it began. Would you say it's safe to assume that if marijuana were legal (and more easily accessible) that more people would buy it? I think we can both agree on that. So, then, the cartels go into the marijuana selling business and have more money to spend on their other operations. You can't just legalize marijuana or else their market grows.
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On June 18 2011 06:37 RoosterSamurai wrote:Show nested quote +On June 18 2011 04:45 Voltaire wrote:On June 18 2011 03:06 RoosterSamurai wrote:On June 17 2011 23:10 Midj wrote:On June 17 2011 22:59 RoosterSamurai wrote:On June 17 2011 19:36 WinterNightz wrote: Nobody is saying that they're loyal suppliers for the good of lazy american potheads. They're saying that this would take away a large amount of profit. As you said, if there's more profit to be had in sex slavery/arms dealing, the cartels will do that. If we minimize the possible profit from the drug trade, they'll move to those other markets. But will those markets suddenly explode in demand? No. If anything, the arms trade will LOSE potential profit.
So the cartels will lose the huge amount of profit from drugs, and marginally from arms trades. They instead focus on the slave trade, which will be nowhere near as huge, meaning they won't have anywhere near the funds that they used to. Less money, less power in the hands of the criminal cartels.
Is that really so hard to understand? I think you may want to go back and re-read my previous posts. I really don't know where you're getting this idea that drugs would become unprofitable? These cartels aren't junkies with a meth lab in their garage. They are a huge operation- obviously bigger than you know. Just because drugs are legal doesn't mean their worthless- In fact, because they would have to be regulated to government standards, they might even become more profitable. Drugs being legal != Demand for drugs disappearing. These cartels have money, and they can start a business. Why are you assuming that they can't do that? Is it really so difficult to understand that drugs will still profit even when they're legal? Also, what I said was that they would be able to allocate less of their funds into buying off police, buying weapons and muscle, getting court cases dropped, etc. And that extra money could easily be put into some other illicit shady business to earn them more money. But really, I would like you to break it down real simple for me. What is giving you the idea that when drugs become legal, their price will drastically drop. You do understand how corporations work, right? You do understand that their #1 goal above all else is to make money, right? But yet it seems to me that you think that they're going to slash prices down until they're next to nothing, so that they'll become the robin hood of drugs, so-to-speak. Depending on what legalization is decided as, the ability for domestic growers to grow on a larger scale, without the constant looming threat of jail time, would hurt the profits of mexican drug lords. Possibly so much so that bringing it across the border for them would not be worth their time when they have larger markets to work in. The argument here isn't if they would stop making profits, but if they would stop making absurd profits that can arm their thugs and pad the pockets of corrupt politicians. By no means does legalizing cannabis completely eliminate the mexican drug cartels. When marijuana legalization was being pushed in California there were plenty of arguments for, but an ethical point made by many pro-legalization folks was that legalization could very well save lives in Mexico because of a less funded cartel. Edit: To add citations to my earlier points about domestic growth, here is one I dug up: http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2010/07/proposition-19-marijuana-costs.htmlhttp://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2010/07/proposition-19-marijuana-costs.html Marijuana is most likely a small portion of what these Mexican drug cartels deal with. They obviously have a hand in the heroin and cocaine businesses, too. I don't know why people always assume that marijuana is the only illegal drug in existence? 40% of their income comes from marijuana. No one is assuming it is the only drug. Legalizing it alone wouldn't solve the problem but it would weaken the cartels. You said it yourself that corporations are there to make money, of course the price would drop from its ridiculously inflated point right now because corporations try to make money and as more corporations got involved they would keep undercutting each other. That is how capitalism works. If all illegal drugs were legalized this would happen on an even greater scale. As it currently is a kilo of heroin is sells for over $40,000. There is no way that price would remain that way if it was legalized and corporations could sell their product for 10,000 times the cost of production. On June 18 2011 03:08 Alexl wrote:On June 17 2011 06:46 Voltaire wrote:On June 16 2011 03:38 vnlegend wrote: I read an article on Yahoo the other day about how the drug war has begun to spread to Monterrey, Mexico's richest area. I don't understand how the government let the cartels grow so large and powerful? Now they've become huge and deeply rooted in society with all the corruption. They also have huge armies to fight the government. Mexico is a place where a lot of drug trafficking goes through so there will always be drugs, money, and guns.
How can Mexico can ever come out of this? Drug legalization. All of a sudden the cartels would have no way to make money. legalize marijuana and suddenly everyone wants to legalize cocaine. Hmm yeah, not a good idea. It's a great idea. If you actually had an argument as to why it is such a bad idea you'd have given it. This is the 21st century and the drug war should be a thing of the past, costing nothing but thousands of lives and billions of dollars while illegal drug use has risen since it began. Would you say it's safe to assume that if marijuana were legal (and more easily accessible) that more people would buy it? I think we can both agree on that. So, then, the cartels go into the marijuana selling business and have more money to spend on their other operations. You can't just legalize marijuana or else their market grows.
The market would grow a little if it was legalized but not by all that much. If it was legalized I can guarantee you that people would be buying cannabis grown and sold in the US and not importing from Mexico. The cannabis the cartels deal with is low quality, hence the phrase Mexican schwag. The quality of cannabis currently being sold in dispensaries in states like California, Oregon, and Colorado is much much higher, I can't stress that enough if you haven't experienced it personally.
You also underestimate the power of a corporation. The cartels may be able to elude the Mexican government through bribery and violence but there is no way they could compete with a major corporation in an international market. If drugs were legalized and regulated like alcohol and tobacco these major corporations would definitely get into the business as there are huge profits to be made with the current prices. These prices would decrease over time as more corporations became involved and competition grew fiercer.
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Marijuana is most likely a small portion of what these Mexican drug cartels deal with. They obviously have a hand in the heroin and cocaine businesses, too. I don't know why people always assume that marijuana is the only illegal drug in existence?
its actually the #1 drug they made their money.... read this in the previous pages. Not sure but next time do some reading hehe
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MEXICO CITY (Reuters) – Dwarfed by surrounding reporters and with her head bowed to avoid the television cameras, the slender 16-year-old hesitated slightly before she answered the question. "I'm a hitwoman," she said.
Maria Celeste Mendoza was among six teenage suspected gang members arrested this week by police after a shoot-out with authorities in central Mexico, one of the growing ranks of young people working for the country's drug cartels.
Dressed in combat fatigues and with her face hidden, the girl from the northern border state of Tamaulipas described how she had been trained to use Kalashnikov assault rifles and other weapons by the Zetas, one of Mexico's most brutal gangs.
In a listless drawl, Mendoza said she was paid 12,000 pesos ($1,000) for two weeks' work, more than three times the national average. Although she said she was trained as a hitwoman, it was unclear if she had killed anyone yet.
As is customary in Mexico, she and the other suspects, six of whom were women aged 21 or below, were paraded in front of the media by police after their capture in San Cristobal de la Barranca, near the country's second city, Guadalajara.
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I don't think legalizing drugs is the problem here. The problem is the cartels and how powerful they are. They also have a huge amount of people involved or in their pockets like politicians, mayors, local townspeople. At this point it's like a civil war instead of a drug war. There's the gang and gang-related people and the rest of Mexico.
In which case, a huge military army running through Mexico and crushing all the gang bases would beat them. Too bad the government has to follow laws and stuff heh... it's like fighting a civil war when one side is handicapped.
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I'm opposed to Marijuana legalization primarily for moral reasons (it reminds me so much of soma from brave new world... don't attack me for that).
I think a better way for the US to hurt the drug cartels is restricting weapon sales because the majority of arms used by the cartels is brought over across the border.
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If Mexico would just invest in itself and create nicer places to live with better job opportunities then all these people wouldn't have to join Cartels to put food on the table.
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On June 20 2011 06:49 Spacely wrote: If Mexico would just invest in itself and create nicer places to live with better job opportunities then all these people wouldn't have to join Cartels to put food on the table. We have a hard enough time doing that here. Government policy does not dictate economic growth (for the most part).
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Things that need to be cleared in this thread:
1) 60% of cartel revenue = marijuana sales; fact. 2) ~$2 billion in revenue comes from marijuana exports to the US (15-26% of total revenue)
Drug legalization in the US would have a very small effect on cartel revenue - fact. Rand analysis reveals that only ~20% of cartel profits consist of marijuana sales to the US, and CA is only one of many states. Were CA to pass prop 19, it would likely only affect about 2-4% of cartel revenue.
Points here indicate that US-CA marijuana legalization is not the primary concern with regard to quelling drug cartel operations in MX.
On June 18 2011 04:45 Voltaire wrote: 40% of their income comes from marijuana.
Patently false. The correct statistic is 60%.
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On June 20 2011 07:01 FallDownMarigold wrote:Things that need to be cleared in this thread: 1) 60% of cartel revenue = marijuana sales; fact. 2) ~$2 billion in revenue comes from marijuana exports to the US (15-26% of total revenue) Drug legalization in the US would have a very small effect on cartel revenue - fact. Rand analysis reveals that only ~20% of cartel profits consist of marijuana sales to the US, and CA is only one of many states. Were CA to pass prop 19, it would likely only affect about 2-4% of cartel revenue. Points here indicate that US-CA marijuana legalization is not the primary concern with regard to quelling drug cartel operations in MX. Show nested quote +On June 18 2011 04:45 Voltaire wrote: 40% of their income comes from marijuana. Patently false. The correct statistic is 60%.
Global drug legalization of all illegal substances is what I am talking about. It is much more than just legalizing cannabis in CA.
On June 20 2011 06:48 Gamegene wrote: I'm opposed to Marijuana legalization primarily for moral reasons (it reminds me so much of soma from brave new world... don't attack me for that).
I think a better way for the US to hurt the drug cartels is restricting weapon sales because the majority of arms used by the cartels is brought over across the border.
Your definition of "moral reasons" is that it reminds you of a fictional character? Great logic.
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On June 20 2011 10:05 Voltaire wrote: Your definition of "moral reasons" is that it reminds you of a fictional character? Great logic. Soma isn't a fictional character lol.
It is a fictional drug.
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The subject of the mexican drug war has to be one of the most depressing topics of the modern era. People just don't really see how bad it is until you really do some research. It's a sad state of affairs down there, couldn't be more grateful to live in the country that I live in!
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Your definition of "moral reasons" is that it reminds you of a fictional character? Great logic.
I see you haven't passed sophmore english yet.
Global drug legalization of all illegal substances is what I am talking about. It is much more than just legalizing cannabis in CA.
...Seriously? All illegal substances? Even the most addictive and dangerous? ...There is no arguing with you. That's just ridiculous.
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![[image loading]](http://english.aljazeera.net/mritems/Images/2011/6/19/2011619213317481734_20.jpg)
At least 22 people have been killed in a string of weekend attacks in Mexico, including a shooting at a bar in Monterrey, the country's third largest city, just hours after the nearby opening of football's Under-17 World Cup.
Four people, aged 18 to 25 years old, were killed on Sunday in Guadalupe, a city adjacent to Monterrey.
"The victims were gathering in front of one of their homes when armed men showed up in several vehicles and shot them," an official said.
Another 14 people were killed in the western state of Michoacan, whose bodies were found early on Sunday, authorities said, also blaming drug cartel-related violence there.
Gunmen stormed a bar in Monterrey late on Saturday and "executed three people," wounded another, and kidnapped a bar security guard who was later found dead, an official of Nuevo Leon state's investigation agency told the AFP news agency.
The relatively prosperous industrial hub of northern Mexico, home to Monterrey and Guadalupe, was until recently considered a near-safe haven as violence has increased in many parts of the country.
But a bloody turf war between two drug cartels, the Gulf cartel and its former hitmen the Zetas, has spilled into the state over the past two years, leading to daytime shootouts, grenade attacks and a widespread climate of fear.
Thirty-three violent killings were recorded in and around Monterrey, an area of some four million, on Wednesday, making it the area's most violent day in recent history.
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On June 20 2011 13:00 Gamegene wrote:Show nested quote + Your definition of "moral reasons" is that it reminds you of a fictional character? Great logic.
I see you haven't passed sophmore english yet. Show nested quote +Global drug legalization of all illegal substances is what I am talking about. It is much more than just legalizing cannabis in CA.
...Seriously? All illegal substances? Even the most addictive and dangerous? ...There is no arguing with you. That's just ridiculous.
I'm the ridiculous one? You criticize my grammar and make a spelling mistake in the same sentence and then go on to claim there is no arguing with me while hardly bringing up any argument yourself and I am the one being ridiculous?
If you haven't realized it yet there is a war going on in Mexico. This violence that has shown no signs of ceasing or lessening any time soon is far worse than any consequences that would be brought about because of legalization. Plenty of people are quick to call that idea "absurd" but no one has been able to provide a solid argument against it yet.
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On June 20 2011 19:22 Voltaire wrote:Show nested quote +On June 20 2011 13:00 Gamegene wrote: Your definition of "moral reasons" is that it reminds you of a fictional character? Great logic.
I see you haven't passed sophmore english yet. Global drug legalization of all illegal substances is what I am talking about. It is much more than just legalizing cannabis in CA.
...Seriously? All illegal substances? Even the most addictive and dangerous? ...There is no arguing with you. That's just ridiculous. I'm the ridiculous one? You criticize my grammar and make a spelling mistake in the same sentence and then go on to claim there is no arguing with me while hardly bringing up any argument yourself and I am the one being ridiculous? If you haven't realized it yet there is a war going on in Mexico. This violence that has shown no signs of ceasing or lessening any time soon is far worse than any consequences that would be brought about because of legalization. Plenty of people are quick to call that idea "absurd" but no one has been able to provide a solid argument against it yet.
The problem with your argument is that there is absolutely no evidence that global legalization of marijuana or all drugs will actually affect them, or affect them in a manner significant enough to cripple or destroy them. Assuming best case conditions (prices are droped so low cartels can't compete, which they could easily drop their prices as well) then their income is hurt by about half in the case of marijuana.
The second, and larger fault, is that assuming that just because the cartels can't get money from marijuana or even all drugs, they'll just go away. The cartels came to power by selling illegal things that people want; they could and in all likelihood would move on to a new source of revenue if your proposals were to become reality.
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