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The Elephant in the Room - Page 18

Forum Index > Final Edits
6514 CommentsPost a Reply
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kNightLite
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States408 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-05-12 06:39:05
May 12 2011 06:36 GMT
#341
Yeah, great post. But I doubt your prediction that this August many BW pros will switch over. GSL still doesn't have the money, prestige, and stability that BW does. Flash/Jaedong might dominate if they switch, but not any more than they do in SC1. Mechanics and experience are just not as important in SC2. In any case its risky to leave a stable game where you are incredibly sucessful for a new game that won't stabalize until two expansions are released.
JIJIyO
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Canada1957 Posts
May 12 2011 06:36 GMT
#342
On May 12 2011 15:06 Anzekay wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2011 15:03 JIJIyO wrote:
Good shit Intrigue and Hot_Bid. Nice article.

And to people saying SC2 is just one year old, and SC had 10 years to develop, you have to consider the fact on HOW the game grew. The first year of pro SC people were living off cup noodles, sleeping on the floor, used their own winnings just to keep the team alive, etc to play this game. There was no system in place for pro SC when it first came out, and because of this the games were obviously worse compared to the games now. Despite being a different game, SC2 had the basis of SC to build on with team houses, training, etc. Please consider this before using those arguments.


While this is true, there is still game-specific developement that has to occur (in regards to development of play, builds, stratergies and the like), not to mention player mentality for those who crossed over to SC2 after a lull in their BW career, or those who are fresh to the scene with SC2 in the first place.

To say that SC2 is going to start at the same level of development, across all areas where development is important, is just silly.


On May 12 2011 15:06 Dfgj wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2011 15:03 JIJIyO wrote:
Good shit Intrigue and Hot_Bid. Nice article.

And to people saying SC2 is just one year old, and SC had 10 years to develop, you have to consider the fact on HOW the game grew. The first year of pro SC people were living off cup noodles, sleeping on the floor, used their own winnings just to keep the team alive, etc to play this game. There was no system in place for pro SC when it first came out, and because of this the games were obviously worse compared to the games now. Despite being a different game, SC2 had the basis of SC to build on with team houses, training, etc. Please consider this before using those arguments.

This isn't valid. Let's look at modern-day BW - how good are most players after less than a year in a training house? Most aren't even seeing televised games. Flash was still all-ining people TSL_Rain style.

The game being new also means players have had less time to develop the best ways to play it.



My bad forgot to include the game part lol. SC2 has the basis of macro and micro. Yes, it might sound stupid, but when SC started, there was no concept of "proper" macro and micro. Sure there was some, but it wasn't the most efficient and effective way. Timings were another thing that developed within the game. No, not timing pushes and such, but timings of when to make units, buildings, etc. An example being saving 3 larva on each hatchery and saving 900/900 gold/gas to get 9 mutas out at the same time. SC2 has the knowledge of the proper way to micro and macro, as well as the knowledge of proper timings.

It's late and I don't usually engage myself in SC/2 arguments, so my points might not even be comprehensible, but they make sense to me lol. My bad about that.

I'm probably going to stop posting about this shit since I see no point in these things. People will like SC and people will like SC2, and some will even like both. No point trying to change peoples' opinions. Really a waste of time for me. Say I'm just taking the easy way out. Whatever.
KT_Violet
Mailing
Profile Joined March 2011
United States3087 Posts
May 12 2011 06:36 GMT
#343
My guess is what Flash would have a LOWER average win rate than most people suspect he would in SC2. There are far more build order loses, ways to lose because of missing a scout, etc.

Even if his win rate in every matchup was 85%, it still means it's easily possible for someone like him to get knocked out in the first round of major tourneys due to luck.
Are you hurting ESPORTS? Find out today - http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/viewblog.php?topic_id=232866
Mordiford
Profile Joined April 2011
4448 Posts
May 12 2011 06:37 GMT
#344
On May 12 2011 15:13 Two_DoWn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2011 15:00 T0fuuu wrote:
On May 12 2011 14:55 GolemMadness wrote:
On May 12 2011 14:48 darmousseh wrote:
On May 12 2011 14:37 KWik-E wrote:
I feel like the point of this article is to belittle the achievements of the SC2 champions. I feel like the article doesn't address the fact that most of these people who have switched over after having relatively unsuccessful BW careers most likely approached this new game with a work ethic and mind set that they most likely didn't have in their mediocre BW experience.


^^
This reflects my thoughts about the article. Just because they aren't the best RTS gamers in the world should it change anything. In sports, many great athletes choose one sport over another. For example, Michael Jordan was a great basketball player and some of the same athleticism would transfer over to baseball, but it's not 1-1. I think having talent spread out among multiple games is important for ESPORTS. Obviously the best thing for sc2 would be to have the best talent, but I don't think that any pros or any fans of sc2 care right now. The only people that really care about scbw players switching over are those who don't want them to switch over. It would be great to have jaedong, flash, bisu for sure, but I will enjoy watching Nestea, MVP, and MC instead.

In the end, I don't understand the point of this article. So Top level bw players haven't switched over and so the best players in sc2 are mid level bw players. Ok, and?

Your point as quoted is

I am saying that there are 300 current pros and semi-pros that have the potential to come in and dominate SC2 at any moment, with a latency of a few months from the day they switch. Among this group there are a notable few that CRUSH any other players in terms of raw talent and/or work ethic and/or ability to learn. This knowledge cheapens any form of competition I see right now, no matter how much I try to enjoy the games.


If the Top 500 football(american) players suddenly switched to soccer, we suddenly would forget the names of the current best soccer players (assuming the transfer of skills is the same as bw/sc2, which it's close enough). Yes that's true, but that doesn't make me think "Oh geez, I don't like soccer because the best athletes are playing american football so I should just watch american football instead". They are different games and while they are related, no one should ever see an "elephant in the room". When I talk to casual fans of watching sc2 I don't say "man, this would be so much better if flash was playing", take sc2 as it is and enjoy it, without any elephants.


...Are you serious? You think that a sport that's only really played in two countries has the best athletes on the planet and the athletes of a sport that's by far the most popular on the planet are inferior? Do you ACTUALLY think this?


ROFLMAO. But ignoring the fact that the top 500 american football players would get destroyed, the top 500 american football players would probably never leave because it is far more profitable to play their sport. Same problem the article has because it is entirely hypothetical and not realistic for a player to switch.

Only this would be like NFL players going back to college football. For some reason people continually deny this fact: SC2 is not a different game from BW. The mechanics are the same. The concepts are the same. Only everything in SC2 is easier. Are there new units and strategies? Sure. But it isnt as though knowing when to expand and when to attack is somehow lost in translation.


But it is a different game. It wouldn't be like going from NFL to college football.

It would be more akin to going from the NFL to a Rugby League. Alright, so the NFL is big in the US, Rugby, not as much. Now, Rugby starts growing and some mediocre NFL players start playing Rugby and doing fairly well. Now, this doesn't mean that there aren't people going directly into Rugby who have talent, there are still people who could probably make it in the NFL, but choose Rugby because it's new and exciting and there's less competition. After a while, it turns out that the Rugby guys are good enough that only the top NFL players would really be able to compete at a high level in Rugby.

As time goes on, and even now, we're getting our own stand-outs in SC2. There's no reason that the next 'Flash' can't go directly into SC2. Obviously the very top players of BW would move over to SC2 and do well, just like the top or decent players from other RTSs have come over and done well. This shouldn't take away from the potential players that develop within the game as it is now.
emecee
Profile Joined September 2010
United States222 Posts
May 12 2011 06:37 GMT
#345
why is this article in the front page of tl?
this is incredibly BW biased bullshit written by a BW elitist, even if there is evidence saying if BW pros switched over they would dominate no one can know for sure thats true, and for the author to say the potential for that to happen undermines the competition in SC2 is seriously just sad.

User was temp banned for this post.
Dfgj
Profile Joined May 2008
Singapore5922 Posts
May 12 2011 06:38 GMT
#346
On May 12 2011 15:33 IntoTheWow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2011 15:27 Dfgj wrote:
On May 12 2011 15:23 IntoTheWow wrote:
I hate making comparisons, but I hope you will let this one slide. In BW when we see a pro make big mistake, we laugh at them. Jaehoon is a running joke in all match ups, sKyHigh can't play a TvZ for his life, etc. In sc2, I don't know if it's the casters, the general consensus or what, but sometimes I see forum posts (maybe they just hold onto something a commentator said) saying "such beautiful micro", when you see mistakes.

This is totally fair, but I feel you're generalizing a bit. I think most blatant micro errors get hammered just as much as they do in BW - it's just that the 'general' ones aren't picked out because they're not as noticeable or significant. By contrast, there's definitely some fantastic micro (marine control vs banelings) that would have been praised in a BW LR thread if it was from an OSL.


Then I must be really really unlucky, because whenever I watch I see praise for stuff that looks either "normal" or actually has mistakes (I see this with banshee control a lot for example).

It's hard to not generalize without going through a shit ton of vods and picking case by case, so I apologize for that, but I hope people still see my point. I don't think people should be focusing so much on that "if Flash/JD switched" line so much, but actually on the other parts are mentioned (which have more to be dicussed, and actually mean something to the future of sc2).

Got to take into account who is posting in LR threads - most BW followers were players of some level (ie: could win a game on iCCup), while SC2 players are far more general. And everyone laughs when BitByBit fails hard.

As you bring up, the parts about practice are very relevant, but I think we need more time to see if it makes a significant distinction between players (those that practice in more 'bw style', those that don't to the same degree, etc). I just wish those aspects weren't encased in what reads like an incitement to BW vs SC2 all day long.
Artok
Profile Joined May 2011
Netherlands2219 Posts
May 12 2011 06:38 GMT
#347
I'm sad how he always mentioned Flash and jd, but rarely mentioned bisu ;(
Chun-li since ST
Firkraag8
Profile Joined August 2010
Sweden1006 Posts
May 12 2011 06:38 GMT
#348
This article pretty much assumes that no future pure SC2 player will ever attain the same amount of talent and work ethic that BW players currently have. This is obviously not true, and unless the BW teams keep scouting for SC2 players like these to recruit then SC2 will have their fair share of flash's and jaedongs as well.
Too weird to live, too rare to die.
Cataphract
Profile Joined August 2010
United States69 Posts
May 12 2011 06:38 GMT
#349
I loved SC:BW, but I didn't follow Professional BW like I follow SC2. I was vaguely aware of who Boxer and JulyZerg were. Or who firebathero was from his absurd celebrations, but I didn't watch it or anything. I still don't. I know who Flash, Jaedong, and Bisu are, but they are just people that are good at another game to me. They aren't the god SC2 players of the future that everyone seems to think they will be.

Nestea could have been 0-900 in BW, I wouldn't care. He is good at SC2. Whether or not people think that is because it is an easier game, a worse game, or just a different game. He is good now. Was the Nestea vs SC series amazing? Absolutely. Does the fact that Nestea wasn't a good BW player make me think, "GEE this is horrible."? No, no it does not. It just makes me think, "Thank god he is playing SC2 now."
Zamiel
Profile Blog Joined August 2008
United States211 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-05-12 06:40:48
May 12 2011 06:39 GMT
#350
It's pretty funny seeing a ton of people's terrible posts in this thread from users that have registered in 2010+. Not going to name names. ^_^

Intrigue, one thing that you flirted with but didn't really address is that:

1) The skill ceiling in SC2 is lower than BW.
2) SC2 is more volatile than BW in terms of weaker gamers being able to take games off of stronger gamers.


So yes, the overarching theme of the article is true in the fact that Flash/JD/Bisu are three times the gamers that MVP/Nestea/MC are. However, due to these 2 points it will be a lot harder for ex BW S-class to gain complete dominance over the scene. Agree?

There was a lot of contestation between TL netizens during the time of SC2 beta as to whether SC2 was going to turn out to be as good of an E-sport as SC1. That's what I originally had figured that this final edit was going to address, but it kind of skirted around that subject. This is definitely an issue that a future final edit should address. Unfortunately, the game has been out for a while now and I think that the answer is no, which sucks because both I and most of the people here at TeamLiquid love SC2.

Personally, I'm really hoping that Heart of the Swarm and the Protoss expansion change these 2 points for the better. For e-sports!
"Mech is at the store buying groceries and you attack him at home. You burn his house down. And then he comes home and puts out the fire, and then you burn down the grocery store so he can't buy more groceries."
rysecake
Profile Joined October 2010
United States2632 Posts
May 12 2011 06:39 GMT
#351
On May 12 2011 15:38 Artok wrote:
I'm sad how he always mentioned Flash and jd, but rarely mentioned bisu ;(


Bisu's too sexy to be mentioned.
The Notorious Winkles
quentel
Profile Joined March 2011
349 Posts
May 12 2011 06:39 GMT
#352
Wonderful article, A++


Hopefully we do see some BW pros transition soon, that would be a delight to see.
blAke139
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Switzerland199 Posts
May 12 2011 06:40 GMT
#353
I don't get this post. SC2 is maybe not on the level of BW yet, but what do you expect? It has been not even a year since the release, while BW is out like 12 years or what?

Of course, some points make sense. But I still think all you say is theory. Because as you can see, NaDa, BoxeR, July, Grubby, Moon and all those "outliers" don't get the results we would expect.

It's still a different game. I HOPE that JD and Flash switch sometime, but I still don't see them DOMINATE the whole scene until the game didn't reach it's "it's done and balanced"-state (I'm not saying SC2 is imbalanced at all, I'm just saying that it's a young game and it has to develop)

But still: SC2 is growing much more in the international scene, than BW ever was, period.
Check out my original SC2 Songs: http://www.youtube.com/user/blAkeMusic4Life
I)etox
Profile Joined April 2011
1240 Posts
May 12 2011 06:41 GMT
#354
On May 12 2011 15:36 Mailing wrote:
My guess is what Flash would have a LOWER average win rate than most people suspect he would in SC2. There are far more build order loses, ways to lose because of missing a scout, etc.

Even if his win rate in every matchup was 85%, it still means it's easily possible for someone like him to get knocked out in the first round of major tourneys due to luck.


you don't know flash.

also even if what you're saying is true, that a player of flash's calibre would still routinely lose to BO loses speaks volumes about sc2's gameplay.

The article isn't trying to prove the point that bw pros would own sc2 pros (everyone knows this), it's trying to bring to our attention the need for sc2 players to push themselves further.
dredd276
Profile Joined October 2010
United States80 Posts
May 12 2011 06:41 GMT
#355
On May 12 2011 15:32 I)etox wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2011 15:27 dredd276 wrote:
OP's theory would predict that the crazy-good "outliers" in WC3 would dominate BW too. Grubby, Moon, Lyn? Mixed results...


woah there buddy, wc3 and sc2 are entirely different beasts. wc3 heroes/items/xp system makes it really, really unique. sc2/bw are much more similar.


Maybe that's right, but then you need some sort of story about how SC2 is much more similar to BW than WC3 which I'm not sure is right (at least from a mechanical perspective.) Might be true though. Still, to the extent that WC3 is similar, that the mega-talents from there haven't performed better seems like evidence against OP's point.
JIJIyO
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Canada1957 Posts
May 12 2011 06:41 GMT
#356
On May 12 2011 15:38 Artok wrote:
I'm sad how he always mentioned Flash and jd, but rarely mentioned bisu ;(

LOL. Fucking great first post. Didn't even notice it until you pointed it out haha. Maybe Bisu will get mentioned more when he finally wins an OSL ;D
KT_Violet
Xenocide_Knight
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Korea (South)2625 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-05-12 06:41:44
May 12 2011 06:41 GMT
#357
On May 12 2011 15:36 Mailing wrote:
My guess is what Flash would have a LOWER average win rate than most people suspect he would in SC2. There are far more build order loses, ways to lose because of missing a scout, etc.

Even if his win rate in every matchup was 85%, it still means it's easily possible for someone like him to get knocked out in the first round of major tourneys due to luck.


And that's why sc2 is not a very good competitive game..

Thank god an article like this finally came out. If TL wants to be a professional e-sport covering website, it should be 90% about the ONLY professional e-sport. BW.

User was temp banned for this post.
Shine[Kal] #1 fan
Nois
Profile Joined May 2010
Germany14 Posts
May 12 2011 06:41 GMT
#358
was a really good read. nice article !
darmousseh
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States3437 Posts
May 12 2011 06:41 GMT
#359
On May 12 2011 15:34 flowSthead wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2011 15:10 darmousseh wrote:
On May 12 2011 14:55 GolemMadness wrote:
On May 12 2011 14:48 darmousseh wrote:
On May 12 2011 14:37 KWik-E wrote:
I feel like the point of this article is to belittle the achievements of the SC2 champions. I feel like the article doesn't address the fact that most of these people who have switched over after having relatively unsuccessful BW careers most likely approached this new game with a work ethic and mind set that they most likely didn't have in their mediocre BW experience.


^^
This reflects my thoughts about the article. Just because they aren't the best RTS gamers in the world should it change anything. In sports, many great athletes choose one sport over another. For example, Michael Jordan was a great basketball player and some of the same athleticism would transfer over to baseball, but it's not 1-1. I think having talent spread out among multiple games is important for ESPORTS. Obviously the best thing for sc2 would be to have the best talent, but I don't think that any pros or any fans of sc2 care right now. The only people that really care about scbw players switching over are those who don't want them to switch over. It would be great to have jaedong, flash, bisu for sure, but I will enjoy watching Nestea, MVP, and MC instead.

In the end, I don't understand the point of this article. So Top level bw players haven't switched over and so the best players in sc2 are mid level bw players. Ok, and?

Your point as quoted is

I am saying that there are 300 current pros and semi-pros that have the potential to come in and dominate SC2 at any moment, with a latency of a few months from the day they switch. Among this group there are a notable few that CRUSH any other players in terms of raw talent and/or work ethic and/or ability to learn. This knowledge cheapens any form of competition I see right now, no matter how much I try to enjoy the games.


If the Top 500 football(american) players suddenly switched to soccer, we suddenly would forget the names of the current best soccer players (assuming the transfer of skills is the same as bw/sc2, which it's close enough). Yes that's true, but that doesn't make me think "Oh geez, I don't like soccer because the best athletes are playing american football so I should just watch american football instead". They are different games and while they are related, no one should ever see an "elephant in the room". When I talk to casual fans of watching sc2 I don't say "man, this would be so much better if flash was playing", take sc2 as it is and enjoy it, without any elephants.


...Are you serious? You think that a sport that's only really played in two countries has the best athletes on the planet and the athletes of a sport that's by far the most popular on the planet are inferior? Do you ACTUALLY think this?


American football is the #1 sport in the US and all of the best athletes go to play it and IF football was suddenly cancelled and the football players all went to play soccer instead, then yes, the United States would win every single world cup. There is a book about it called Soccernomics if you enjoy reading about sports.

Also it's just an analogy, but it's the closest one i can think of.


You have no idea what you are talking about. Let's forget for a moment that the only active player on the field of an American Football team uses his foot, and that he uses it in a way which is a very small part of being a Soccer player. Let's forget about that and the fact that all of these players would lack the necessary foot dexterity to play Soccer.

The biggest reason why all of these American Football players would fail at Soccer is because their focus in training has never been endurance running, but sprinting. Football has on average 11 minutes of playtime. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704281204575002852055561406.html
Soccer is a minimum of 90 minutes. Sprinting is important in Soccer as well, but endurance is much more important seeing as you can't sub out all of the players, you have a max of 3 subs per game, so the majority of your players are going to be running for the full 90 minutes.

It is not comparable at all, which is why your analogy is terrible. I don't really want to comment on the BroodWar and SC2 situation since frankly I am not that familiar with BroodWar. I can find points of argument on either sides, but it really doesn't matter because of my lack of BroodWar knowledge. But I had to comment on your analogy because it is so awful, it actually makes me a little angry that you would write something so ill informed.

Also, not all of the best athletes go to play American Football. That is also ill informed. It takes a different type of skill to play Football than it does to play Basketball, and that it does to play Tennis. All of these different pro sports players have talent, but the reasons they chose their sports could be because they like them, or their talent is more suited to what is desired in that sport, or maybe that was the thing that they played when they were kids. You have literally 0 basis for deciding that all of the best athletes in the U.S. play American Football. It would be literally impossible to find out who all of the best athletes in the U.S. are.

Analogies have to have internal logic to be useful.


That was way too deep of an analysis. Skill in football(american) and skill in soccer do transfer over, but it would take years to learn the new sport compared to months for sc2. Read that book I reccomended it talks about this analogy exactly.

So yes, not EVERY single great athlete plays football, but football draws many of the best players because of it's high prestige and the insane salaries. Being an offensive lineman pays more than being 1 of 5 average guys on an nba team. Almost all great athletes were good at more than one sport. Michael Jordan was great at baseball. Bo Jackson played like 3 sports professionally. The difference is that at the high school level, the best athletes put their time an effort into football more than any other sport.

The sports require different mechanical skills (kicking a ball as opposed to tackling or carrying a football), but the mechanics such as running, using your body, reacting, predicting, endurance, etc all carry over to all sports. (Just like how wc3 players and cs players can be good at sc2). While learning a new esport might take less effort than learning a new physical sport, the analogy works and like I said, if you don't believe me read that book, it has statistical proof of what I'm saying.
Developer for http://mtgfiddle.com
densha
Profile Joined December 2010
United States797 Posts
May 12 2011 06:41 GMT
#360
On May 12 2011 15:35 kzn wrote:
Players who are "carried" by their mechanics in SCBW cannot expect an identical level of success in SC2.


That's a great point, nicely stated. I always hated the fact that through just pure mechanics a player can become quite good at BW. Maybe that's why a player like Nestea isn't top tier in that game but is quite amazing in SC2. I'm far more interested in decision making and execution than I am in how fast you can click on your buildings or order workers to mine.
If you wish to make an apple pie from scratch, you must first invent the universe.
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