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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Wolfstan
Profile Joined March 2011
Canada605 Posts
February 03 2014 19:01 GMT
#16761
Is the free market the best way to be paid for the things I do and buy the things I like? Then it's good enough for me. Any new idea of a way of doing things should still allow for that. Long live buying and selling things for what people are willing to buy and sell them. Unless a better way is discovered and tested.
EG - ROOT - Gambit Gaming
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-03 20:03:18
February 03 2014 19:20 GMT
#16762
On February 04 2014 03:56 aksfjh wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 04 2014 02:16 WhiteDog wrote:
On February 04 2014 02:03 aksfjh wrote:
On February 03 2014 23:38 WhiteDog wrote:
On February 03 2014 23:27 Doublemint wrote:
On February 03 2014 23:01 Silvanel wrote:
The problem is people tend to ignore "externalities" of so called green energy much more. Everyone is aware of the problem with nuclear waste storage. Almost noone is aware of how much energy inefficient is so called "green energy".
For example governament subsidies might make solar panel economical plusible but it still doesnt change the fact that it generates net energy loss.


Well it's certainly true that there's a lot of waste and inefficiency with renewable energy. Though I would argue exact the opposite, MOST people are very much aware of solar and/or wind getting huge subsidies. With nuclear energy I am not so sure - and that's not even taking the "hidden" costs into consideration... hidden is a bad word I guess, you just can't put a number on it.

On the other side, fossil energy or nuclear energy are also vastly inefficient if we could take into consideration the externalities they are responsible of : destruction of nature, loss of biodiversity, asthma and even death, etc. One could even say that the economic growth we have witnessed in the last two hundred years could be vastly over estimated because we didn't take in consideration the irrevocable damage that "growth" caused on our earth and our population. It is a basic critic of the GDP today.

If we experience real damage, then it will some day be reflected in the GDP output. GDP is not a forecaster, but a current measure.

What's real damage ?

It will reflect in the GDP only if it indeed has an impact on production. The loss of biodiversity has no real impact on GDP because biodiversity has no impact on production - altho we (humans) value it, the market does not. Same for death from working conditions or asthma, not only there are people to take the place of the workers who died (yes it lower unemployment ! how great !), but the health problems are positively taken into account in GDP through medical costs.

Actually, if you employ some people to destroy a forest and then replant it, the positive impact on GDP is double, as both the added value for the destruction and for replanting the forest are counted in positively. But the value of the ecosystem that has been destroyed is not a market value (economists call it a value of non usage) so it is not counted in.
There are try outs to take those into consideration : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Economics_of_Ecosystems_and_Biodiversity and they valued it at 2 to 4.5 trillion USD loss a year in 2008. And to be fair, it's grossly under valued, since the only way to value those heavily depends on assumptions that everybody could criticize if they were out in the open (like how economists value the life of a Man), and the value is assessed in relation to men's preference (which is quite sad if you think about it, should we protect nature for our own desire, or for itself ?).

Ah, but if those costs that expand GDP (like health costs and whatnot) are ultimately detrimental to our survival or productivity, it will show in diminished growth/production capacity later down the road. So, are you asking for GDP to be some sort of measure of production minus some fantasy loss that we have no standardized way to measure?

You seem to be wanting some sort of measure that uses economics to make a point outside the actual realm of economics. Like trying to take the temperature of the distance between two planets, you'll just end up with garbage and numbers that are ultimately meaningless.

No it will not show in diminushed growth why would it ? If we have a gain on productivity through various innovations, but that innovation also is responsible for health problems, it will have no negative impact on GDP at all.

And I'm not asking the GDP to be anything more than it is, but economists don't consider it for that. For economists (well mainstream economists), GDP is the best measure of well being.
Monetary gain are secondary, so is production, and products are always valued in regard to the usefulness of those product for humans and not for itself (the idea of price = marginal utility). A net gain in GDP is not viewed as a gain of production (I product more goods), but a gain in utility through the consumption of the production (I consume more hence I'm more happy) : an increase in well being.

Economic theory always imply a certain number of thing : for exemple they always imply that market equilibrium is the best solution possible in regard to political questions (such as poverty, or wealth distribution) but it is wrong (in fact the theory is pretty clear about it, but "economists" put that aside). Same for GDP, it is presented as the sole goal for our modern societies, the best way to reduce unemployment, increase living condition, and even increase well being (yeah, that's one of the fundamental of modern economy), but it is nothing but a measure of production.
What I'm criticising it the fact that all those implied notion are not taking a lot of things in perspective - like the value of the biodiversity, or the value of human life outside of its market usefulness. Hence through the desire to reach market equilibrium, we are in fact letting economists decide for a lot of things that should be, and would have some ages ago, been decided through politics and debate.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
FabledIntegral
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States9232 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-03 19:24:02
February 03 2014 19:22 GMT
#16763
On February 04 2014 03:17 KwarK wrote:
At no point did I argue that we had a less wasteful alternative to the free market, I merely attacked the idea that the free market is efficient. It's better than a command economies but the forces that drive competition are surplus demand creating profit and surplus supply weeding out the inferior businesses, both of which are waste. It's a waste driven economy.

I'll give a very basic example. There are no shoemakers in my village. Shoes are in demand. As someone able to make shoes I then open a shoemaking shop and sell my shoes for the money equivalent of ten times the labour involved in their production from a properly saturated market (example if a baker bakes one loaf an hour and sells it for cost +$1 then his time is worth $1/hr, I then sell my shoes at cost +$10/hr). The reason I do this is because I want to spend 90% of my time not working, or alternatively hoard 10x as much as I would otherwise have. The force driving my shoe shop is the desire to have 10 other dudes working just to meet my surplus desires, or to spend 90% of my time masturbating instead of working. And that's okay because we get shoes out of it and we needed shoes but don't tell me that it's efficient.


Uh, well once again that's all short term. And if no one else wants to make shoes for cheaper, then it would be efficient, because apparently it's not a desirable enough job for people to do less. That's the definition of efficient to me, unless you're looking into a forced labor to create efficiencies of some sort.

I would also argue that it would fit the definition of "optimal" if there is no practical alternative.
nunez
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Norway4003 Posts
February 03 2014 19:35 GMT
#16764
On February 04 2014 04:22 FabledIntegral wrote:
I would also argue that it would fit the definition of "optimal" if there is no practical alternative.


you would argue that it is optimal if it is trivially optimal? risky...
conspired against by a confederacy of dunces.
hypercube
Profile Joined April 2010
Hungary2735 Posts
February 03 2014 19:57 GMT
#16765
On February 04 2014 03:56 aksfjh wrote:

You seem to be wanting some sort of measure that uses economics to make a point outside the actual realm of economics. Like trying to take the temperature of the distance between two planets, you'll just end up with garbage and numbers that are ultimately meaningless.


That's the point: GDP (per capita) is a poor measure of well-being. Too many people are trying to use it for that and they don't get called out nearly often enough.

FWIW, 'useless' GDP should slow down future GDP growth. But that wouldn't show up for a long-long time. For example money spent on treating lifestyle-related diseases have been rising for some time. A example would be smoking. At first tobaco production/consuption was propping up GDP. Then as lung cancer cases were increasing there was a decrease in productivity. But treatment costs were masking some of the damage. At some point total treatment cost starts to decrease and the net effect becomes negative.

A lot of these things are like hidden debts. Tobbacco is one of the most brutal examples, but climate change, obesity or underinvestment in things like education or even flood defenses works the same way. They have different 'maturation periods' but at some point we will have to pay.
"Sending people in rockets to other planets is a waste of money better spent on sending rockets into people on this planet."
FabledIntegral
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States9232 Posts
February 03 2014 20:24 GMT
#16766
On February 04 2014 04:35 nunez wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 04 2014 04:22 FabledIntegral wrote:
I would also argue that it would fit the definition of "optimal" if there is no practical alternative.


you would argue that it is optimal if it is trivially optimal? risky...


"optimal: best or most favorable"

If there's no better alternative, it would currently be our most optimal choice. At no point is anyone stating to not seek out an even better system, but it's the best of what we know. I wouldn't say that's a far-fetched argument on my part.
itsjustatank
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Hong Kong9176 Posts
February 03 2014 20:26 GMT
#16767
All the GDP statistic is worth measuring is exactly what it stands for: the gross domestic product of a country. Attempting to extrapolate anything else out of that is foolhardy. If you want to measure well-being, you need to construct your own metric, and it shouldn't be GDP.
Photographer"nosotros estamos backamos" - setsuko
FabledIntegral
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
United States9232 Posts
February 03 2014 20:32 GMT
#16768
On February 04 2014 05:26 itsjustatank wrote:
All the GDP statistic is worth measuring is exactly what it stands for: the gross domestic product of a country. Attempting to extrapolate anything else out of that is foolhardy. If you want to measure well-being, you need to construct your own metric, and it shouldn't be GDP.


Completely disagree with this statement. Lots of useful things can be gathered from extrapolating on different variables, I think it's silly not to. I would agree that we would absolutely need to be careful on how it's used as a proxy for standard of living or other metrics, and it very well may be misused in today's society, but to say it's foolhardy to try to use it at all is just silly.
itsjustatank
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Hong Kong9176 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-03 20:45:22
February 03 2014 20:37 GMT
#16769
The domestic product of a country cannot necessarily be linked to the well-being of a country's people. You can have a great amount of disorder, violence, unemployment, murder, incarceration, depression, mental health issues, structural poverty, sickness, death, et cetera, and none of these things are measured directly by GDP. All it does it show how big your economy is, not how well it is doing for its people (or even what segments of the economy it benefits).

China is second on GDP but has a large number of people in poverty. Brazil is sixth and has the favelas and other structural problems. Mexico is 14th and has a huge fucking drug war that it cannot manage. The United States is first but we all know things are fucked up here too.

It is a terrible statistic to be attempting to extrapolate well-being out of, all-in-all. Make a new metric if you want to measure well-being, don't appropriate something out of what it is patently not.
Photographer"nosotros estamos backamos" - setsuko
nunez
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Norway4003 Posts
February 03 2014 20:56 GMT
#16770
On February 04 2014 05:24 FabledIntegral wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 04 2014 04:35 nunez wrote:
On February 04 2014 04:22 FabledIntegral wrote:
I would also argue that it would fit the definition of "optimal" if there is no practical alternative.


you would argue that it is optimal if it is trivially optimal? risky...


"optimal: best or most favorable"

If there's no better alternative, it would currently be our most optimal choice. At no point is anyone stating to not seek out an even better system, but it's the best of what we know. I wouldn't say that's a far-fetched argument on my part.


i think i misunderstood your post, and maybe visa-versa.

my point was that if the premise is that there is no practical alternative, then the point is optimal by definition (trivially) [there is only one point in the feasible set]! it doesn't have to be argued, it follows from the premise. similarly if the premise is that it is the optimal point...

your reasoning for why you think there is no practical alternative might be far-fetched.
conspired against by a confederacy of dunces.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 03 2014 21:09 GMT
#16771
The poor pay more.

According to a report put out this week by the Office of the Inspector General (OIG) of the U.S. Postal Service, about 68 million Americans -- more than a quarter of all households -- have no checking or savings account and are underserved by the banking system. Collectively, these households spent about $89 billion in 2012 on interest and fees for non-bank financial services like payday loans and check cashing, which works out to an average of $2,412 per household. That means the average underserved household spends roughly 10 percent of its annual income on interest and fees -- about the same amount they spend on food.

Think about that: about 10 percent of a family's income just to manage getting checks cashed, bills paid, and, sometimes, a short-term loan to tide them over. That's more than a full month's income just to try to navigate the basics.

The poor pay more, and that's one of the reasons people get trapped at the bottom of the economic ladder.

But it doesn't have to be this way. In the same remarkable report this week, the OIG explored the possibility of the USPS offering basic banking services -- bill paying, check cashing, small loans -- to its customers. With post offices and postal workers already on the ground, USPS could partner with banks to make a critical difference for millions of Americans who don't have basic banking services because there are almost no banks or bank branches in their neighborhoods.

Families rely on financial services more than ever, but those who need them most -- who struggle to make ends meet -- too often must contend with sky-high interest rates and tricks and traps buried in the fine print of their loan products.

This is not a new problem, and policymakers in Washington have long sounded the alarm. Michael Barr -- an assistant secretary of the Treasury under President Obama and law professor at University of Michigan -- has pushed on this issue for years. As Chair of the FDIC, Sheila Bair put in place a Committee on Economic Inclusion to generate ideas for expanding access to lower-cost banking services. (I had the honor of serving as a committee member.) And we've taken some important steps forward. The new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), for example, is a cop on the beat that is putting in place commonsense rules to protect consumers and ensure that payday lenders are held accountable when they break the law.

There has been momentum in the right direction, but there is so much more work to do to make sure that families have access to affordable and fair financial services.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28796 Posts
February 03 2014 22:43 GMT
#16772
On February 04 2014 05:37 itsjustatank wrote:
The domestic product of a country cannot necessarily be linked to the well-being of a country's people. You can have a great amount of disorder, violence, unemployment, murder, incarceration, depression, mental health issues, structural poverty, sickness, death, et cetera, and none of these things are measured directly by GDP. All it does it show how big your economy is, not how well it is doing for its people (or even what segments of the economy it benefits).

China is second on GDP but has a large number of people in poverty. Brazil is sixth and has the favelas and other structural problems. Mexico is 14th and has a huge fucking drug war that it cannot manage. The United States is first but we all know things are fucked up here too.

It is a terrible statistic to be attempting to extrapolate well-being out of, all-in-all. Make a new metric if you want to measure well-being, don't appropriate something out of what it is patently not.


While I agree that I don't think GDP is a good measurement of well being, I did assume we were talking about GDP per capita.
Moderator
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
February 03 2014 22:48 GMT
#16773
comparing total GDP makes no sense, but GDP/capita actually is a reasonable indicator to compare standards of living. There's a pretty high correlation between GDP/capita and HDI or whatever you want to measure standards of living in.
itsjustatank
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Hong Kong9176 Posts
February 03 2014 23:06 GMT
#16774
Per capita or not, GDP only measures the size of an economy. It does not translate to the well-being of each and every person within that economy (and certainly does not begin to measure the well-being of those people who are systematically left out of that economy).
Photographer"nosotros estamos backamos" - setsuko
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 03 2014 23:08 GMT
#16775
Four same-sex couples represented by the American Civil Liberties Union sued Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) and other state top administration officials on Monday, challenging Wisconsin’s seven-year-old ban on gay marriage.

In addition to attempting to overturn the state’s constitutional amendment barring marriage equality, the lawsuit also seeks to repeal Wisconsin’s "marriage evasion" law, which criminalizes leaving the state to “contract a marriage that is prohibited or void” in Wisconsin. Couples violating the marriage evasion statute can be fined up to “$10,000 or imprisoned for not more than 9 months or both.”

“Wisconsin is unique in that sense, and so we think that argument particularly exemplifies the harm or the animus toward same-sex couples in some parts of the country,” John Knight, director of ACLU's LGBT and AIDS Project, told the Washington Blade on Monday.

The couples in the lawsuit are Roy Badger and Garth Wangemann; Charvonne Kemp and Marie Carlson; Judith Trampf and Katharina Heyning; and Virginia Wolf and Carol Schumacher, the lead plaintiffs in the case.

Virginia Wolf et al. v. Scott Walker et al., which was filed by the ACLU, the ACLU of Wisconsin and Mayer Brown LLP, argues that Wisconsin’s gay marriage ban violates the couples’ due process and equal protection rights under the 14th Amendment.

“Wisconsin, a historic leader in marriage equality, maintains one of the most restrictive bans on marriage for same-sex couples in the nation,” the lawsuit reads. “The State deprives same-sex couples of these rights and freedoms for no other reason than their sexual orientation and their sex.”


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
February 04 2014 00:16 GMT
#16776
Oregon Gov. John Kitzhaber told newspaper editors last week that the Beaver State needs to get ready for legal weed.

"I hear the drumbeats from Washington and Colorado," Kitzhaber said, The Oregonian reported. "I want to make sure we have a thoughtful regulatory system. The legislature would be the right place to craft that."

A recent poll showed 57 percent of the state's likely 2014 voters support recreational marijuana legalization. Oregon has already decriminalized cannabis and legalized it for medical use.

After a poorly coordinated and widely criticized marijuana legalization effort that failed in 2012, marijuana legalization advocates are now approaching the issue from two sides, both with a ballot initiative and through lobbying state lawmakers for legislative action.

"A majority of Americans support ending marijuana prohibition, and that surely includes a majority of Oregonians," said Mason Tvert, communications director for Marijuana Policy Project, to The Huffington Post. "Voters will surely welcome a well-written law that effectively regulates and taxes marijuana similarly to alcohol."

Voters in Colorado and Washington approved recreational marijuana legalization measures back in 2012 which legalized the possession, use and sale of marijuana to adults 21 and older. The Department of Justice let both states to proceed with the groundbreaking new laws last year, allowing a legal, taxed and regulated marijuana marketplace to take shape. On New Year's Day, the historic first legal recreational marijuana dispensaries opened in Colorado to long lines and tremendous revenue, generating more than $5 million in the first week alone. Washington's pot shops are expected to open later in the year.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
zusch
Profile Joined March 2011
United States73 Posts
February 04 2014 00:53 GMT
#16777
Scary shit right here:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-12-28/its-ok-you-can-admit-it-independent-us-media-just-wants-you-shop-till-you-drop
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43977 Posts
February 04 2014 00:55 GMT
#16778
No conspiracy theory sites please.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
zusch
Profile Joined March 2011
United States73 Posts
February 04 2014 00:58 GMT
#16779
On February 04 2014 09:55 KwarK wrote:
No conspiracy theory sites please.

Talking to me? Not a conspiracy...all the news anchors said the exact same thing word for word.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-02-04 01:17:00
February 04 2014 01:16 GMT
#16780
On February 04 2014 09:55 KwarK wrote:
No conspiracy theory sites please.
So ThinkProgress, right?

That's a site where economists, newsmen in the financial industry, and bloggers with an eye towards markets post anonymously. Their posts are judged by how they reached their conclusions and the strength of the shown evidence. You will find everywhere sourced graphs and quotes from reputable sources such as IMF, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, BLS, Bloomberg News, Federal Reserve. These sources are used by nearly every other popular news media worldwide.

You can read on their about page that skeptical examination of financial journalism is one part of their mission, among others like "widen[ing] the scope of financial, economic, and political information available to the professional investing public" and "to provide analysis uninhibited by political constraint." The bar has been set quite low with thinkprogress and talkingpointsmemo and a number of other blogs regularly cited here. You can consult Alexa if you wonder where ZH rates globally (hint: more people consult it than previous two examples).

If you want a real site for conspiracy theorists, check out Alex Jones'. If you like hearing happy financial news, don't check it out (for it will more often express and back up negative outlooks). If you want news from the political left, go to huffpo, not ZH. If you want to toss your ideological opponents into the crazy heap, grow up.

((I should add, the youtube.com video comes from a comedy show. Is your beef with linking Conan videos, Kwark?))
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
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